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Sustainable Transport Planning under Conditions of Uncertainty

A special issue of Sustainability (ISSN 2071-1050). This special issue belongs to the section "Sustainable Engineering and Science".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (30 April 2022) | Viewed by 9459

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
School of Civil Engineering, University College Dublin, Dublin 4, Ireland
Interests: modelling of travel behavior; multi-modal transport networks and systems; with a keen interest in applying concepts from transport policy, transport and behavioural economics

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Guest Editor
Department of Civil, Structural and Environmental Engineering, Trinity College Dublin, D02 PN40 Dublin, Ireland
Interests: environmental impacts of transport; simulation and modelling transportation networks; stated preference analysis; transport modelling; transport policy
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

A Special Issue of the Sustainability journal is being organized, entitled ‘Sustainable Transport Planning under Conditions of Uncertainty’

In recent years, there has been a surge in interest in examining how various techniques and tools can be applied to aid the decision-making process for transport projects when faced with situations of deep uncertainty. Such uncertainty in the area of transport and mobility can be associated with topics such as a growth or decline in economic activity, climate change, the influence of intelligent transport systems, the Internet of Things and computer science and, more recently, global pandemics. The radical changes being experienced in society today due to changes in mobility behavior, information and communications technology (ICT) advances, and social and environmental concerns have meant that new perspectives and analytical tools are required to deal with new challenges that can inform robust decision making.

The result of this has meant that there is an added level of empirical attention which questions the use, accuracy, and appropriateness of traditional techniques for forecasting and managing travel demand and mobility practices. There is, therefore, a need to accept this deep uncertainty and integrate ways of managing it in strategic planning processes that are intended to shape that future. This helps to ensure that policymaking and investment decisions are placed on robust empirical foundations.

The objective of this Special Issue is to present research that explores existing and new, innovative approaches being applied to understand and cope with the impacts that deep uncertainty places on decision-making processes in transport. Papers on new methods examining these impacts, as well as case studies quantifying them, are welcomed.

Papers suitable for this issue should focus on topics including:

Transport modelling

Adaptive policymaking

Travel behavior

Transport policy appraisal

Dr. Páraic Carroll
Dr. Brian Caulfield
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Sustainability is an international peer-reviewed open access semimonthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2400 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • uncertainty
  • future mobility
  • transport policymaking
  • adaptive policymaking
  • travel behaviour
  • transport modelling
  • pathways

Published Papers (4 papers)

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Research

17 pages, 891 KiB  
Article
A Hybrid MCDM for the Location of Urban Distribution Centers under Uncertainty: A Case Study of Casablanca, Morocco
by Maha Bennani, Fouad Jawab, Yasmina Hani, Abderrahman ElMhamedi and Driss Amegouz
Sustainability 2022, 14(15), 9544; https://doi.org/10.3390/su14159544 - 03 Aug 2022
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 1668
Abstract
In this article, the main subject is the problem of the location of Urban Distribution Centers (UDC) in an environment characterized by uncertainty. Thus, a decision support process based on fuzzy multi-criteria methods (F-MCDM) will be proposed as the solution. The CATWOE method [...] Read more.
In this article, the main subject is the problem of the location of Urban Distribution Centers (UDC) in an environment characterized by uncertainty. Thus, a decision support process based on fuzzy multi-criteria methods (F-MCDM) will be proposed as the solution. The CATWOE method is used for identifying the Stakeholders (PPs) concerned by the localization. Furthermore, direct interviews and the review of the literature help to enhance the decision criteria. The use of the F-SWARA method made it possible to weight the criteria by taking into consideration the opinion of the PPs. The F-ENTROPY method corrected the subjectivity of the weights given by the first method. The hybridization of the two is a first in the literature in this field and allows precise and realistic results. In the end, the different alternatives obtained by the F-VIKOR method are ranked. This approach was applied to the city of Casablanca, which is extremely impacted by the negative externalities of urban freight transport. The results of this study showed that zone four (AIN SBAA) is the best zone to implement the UDC in the city of Casablanca. The sensitivity analysis validated the robustness of the model. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Transport Planning under Conditions of Uncertainty)
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15 pages, 1575 KiB  
Article
Uncertainties Influencing Transportation System Performances
by Serban Raicu, Mihaela Popa and Dorinela Costescu
Sustainability 2022, 14(13), 7660; https://doi.org/10.3390/su14137660 - 23 Jun 2022
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1687
Abstract
The design and operation of transportation systems, as with any large complex technical system, are marked by indetermination—risks and uncertainties (scientific/methodologic and/or socio-economic). This paper analyzes the occurrence and consequences of uncertainties, defined as completely unknown random events (“unknown unknowns”), on transportation system [...] Read more.
The design and operation of transportation systems, as with any large complex technical system, are marked by indetermination—risks and uncertainties (scientific/methodologic and/or socio-economic). This paper analyzes the occurrence and consequences of uncertainties, defined as completely unknown random events (“unknown unknowns”), on transportation system performances. Interest in the topic is justified by the considerable value and long life of transportation system components. In order to reduce the effects of uncertainties, a holistic approach to all technical infrastructures in society, regardless of the flow category (material, energy, information), is necessary. Technological progress and changes in territorial activity systems historically confirm the dynamism of the competition and complementarity relations between civil and industrial infrastructures and transport infrastructures, as well as among different modal transport/traffic infrastructures. Declining discount rates are applied to compensate for the effects of uncertainties on investment project opportunities on long time horizons. There is no unanimous agreement on the discount rate values. Unforeseen exogenous events are considered differentiated/non-systemic or undifferentiated/systemic uncertainties. They can have significant consequences on the performance of a transport system, including a change in the transport market share. Therefore, an adaptive policy is required to reduce the methodological/scientific and socio-economic uncertainties that affect the design and operation of any transportation system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Transport Planning under Conditions of Uncertainty)
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16 pages, 1905 KiB  
Article
A Multimodal Transport Model to Evaluate Transport Policies in the North of France
by Moez Kilani, Ngagne Diop and Daniel De Wolf
Sustainability 2022, 14(3), 1535; https://doi.org/10.3390/su14031535 - 28 Jan 2022
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 2449
Abstract
We developed a passenger transport model for the North of France and used it to discuss the impacts of some policies focusing on the limitations of polluting gas emissions and congestion. The model is calibrated for the North of France and includes both [...] Read more.
We developed a passenger transport model for the North of France and used it to discuss the impacts of some policies focusing on the limitations of polluting gas emissions and congestion. The model is calibrated for the North of France and includes both urban and intercity trips. Four transport modes are considered: walking, biking, public transport and private cars. To some extent, the combination of these modes is possible. The model is calibrated to match mode shares and the dynamic of congestion along a full day. The simulations are conducted within the MATSim framework. We evaluate the impacts, on traffic flows and polluting gas emissions, of two pricing reforms: free public transport and road pricing in city center of Lille (the main metropolitan area in the study region). Free public transport yields a significant modal shift towards public transport, resulting in a reduction in the usage of private cars. The road pricing scheme we have considered results in similar impacts but with limited magnitude. Overall, a significant reduction in congestion and emissions of pollutant gases can be obtained by applying convenient pricing reforms. Since we use an agent-based model, we are able to identify the specific location of the main impacts on the network. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Transport Planning under Conditions of Uncertainty)
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12 pages, 1448 KiB  
Article
Integrated Urban Mobility for Our Health and the Climate: Recommended Approaches from an Interdisciplinary Consortium
by Shilpa Dogra, Nicholas O’Rourke, Michael Jenkins and Daniel Hoornweg
Sustainability 2021, 13(22), 12717; https://doi.org/10.3390/su132212717 - 17 Nov 2021
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2535
Abstract
Background: The purpose of this paper is to suggest an approach to aid with the creation of an interdisciplinary team and evidence-informed solutions addressing the urban mobility challenges facing many communities. Methods: We created a local Urban Mobility Consortium with experts from different [...] Read more.
Background: The purpose of this paper is to suggest an approach to aid with the creation of an interdisciplinary team and evidence-informed solutions addressing the urban mobility challenges facing many communities. Methods: We created a local Urban Mobility Consortium with experts from different disciplines to discuss the development of healthy, accessible communities, electrification, ride-sharing, and overarching issues related to urban mobility. A workshop and survey data collected during COVID-19 are presented in this paper. Results: Several evidence-informed recommendations are provided. Broadly, these were: (1) support the creation and development of accessible and safe active-transportation infrastructure; (2) incentivize and prioritize the use of active, public, and shared transportation over use of personal vehicles; (3) ensure connectivity of active transportation infrastructure with major destinations and public transportation options; (4) work towards electrification of personal and public transportation; and (5) work across siloes to improve integrated mobility to impact climate and health related outcomes, and enhance overall efficiency. Conclusions: An integrated approach is needed to improve mobility, access, and environmental impact. This needs to be carried out in the local context and requires government and non-governmental leadership. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Transport Planning under Conditions of Uncertainty)
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