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Demographic Change and Sustainable Development

A special issue of Sustainability (ISSN 2071-1050). This special issue belongs to the section "Sustainable Urban and Rural Development".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 28 October 2025 | Viewed by 3197

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Department of Mathematical Applications in Economics, Faculty of Economics, West Pomeranian University of Technology, Szczecin, Poland
Interests: applications of mathematical methods in economics; statistics; cluster analysis; regional development; sustainable development; quality of life
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

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Guest Editor
Department of Real Estate, Faculty of Economics, West Pomeranian University of Technology, Szczecin, Poland
Interests: real estate market; housing conditions; real estate transactions; spatial planning; sustainable development; regional development; quality of life
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

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Guest Editor
Department of Real Estate, Faculty of Economics, West Pomeranian University of Technology, Szczecin, Poland
Interests: real estate market; property market; sustainable development; rural areas; smart city; quality of life; regional development

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Department of Real Estate, Faculty of Economics, West Pomeranian University of Technology, Szczecin, Poland
Interests: property market; spatial planning; sustainable development; renewable energies; rural areas; regional development

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Demographic change is a dynamic phenomenon that affects all aspects of social, economic and environmental life. The analysis of demographic change is crucial for understanding what opportunities exist for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals in different contexts.

In both developed and developing countries, demographic change raises serious challenges related to the labour market, real estate phenomena, urbanisation processes, infrastructure, resource consumption and, consequently, economic growth and development. These factors can be a cause of inequality and social tensions or discrimination, but also a source of innovation and entrepreneurship, knowledge and skills. They can result in the depopulation of areas judged unattractive to live and work in, as well as the occurrence of overcrowded areas, and can cause climate change and environmental degradation.

Changes in the number and structure of the population, in addition to fertility and migration phenomena, require changes in the health and social care system, the pension system, family-friendly policies, housing, education and many environmental factors. These include measures to create a society that is resilient to the negative effects of demographic change and both economically and environmentally sustainable. Cooperation between authorities at all levels, private actors and NGOs is therefore essential to constantly develop effective strategies to manage demographic phenomena, so that their negative effects can be minimized and their resulting opportunities strengthened. In order to achieve this, the ongoing analysis and evaluation of both demographic change and its impact on the social, economic and environmental components of sustainable development are crucial.

In this Special Issue, original research articles and reviews are welcome. Due to the complex and multifaceted nature of demographic change considered in the context of sustainable development, the scope of this Special Issue includes, but is not limited to, the following:

  1. Demographic change and achieving the sustainable development goals.
  2. Implications of the increase in the elderly population in the context of social security and health care systems.
  3. Research on the impact of population ageing and the decline in the working-age population on the labour market, including productivity and retraining the needs of workers.
  4. Research on the effects of intensive urbanisation, with emphasis on spatial planning, public transport, housing and access to natural resources.
  5. Demographic change and the challenges of the residential property market.
  6. Analysis of the impact of intensive urbanisation on urban infrastructure, including access to clean water, energy and waste management.
  7. Urban demographic change and climate change adaptation and the implementation of sustainable energy solutions.
  8. Studies on the impact of migration and changes in the population on economic development, natural resources, and infrastructure.
  9. Analysis of integration policies and the impact of migration on local communities and labour markets.
  10. Research on the adaptation of regional development policies to demographic change, including the management of wastelands or the revitalisation of abandoned areas.
  11. Analysis of the impact of demographic change on the consumption of water, energy, food and other resources.
  12. Changes in land use under pressure from increasing population in relation to habitat loss.
  13. Analysis of the impact of demographic policies (e.g., birth control, migration policies, fertility support policies) on the demographic structure.
  14. Innovations such as robotics or medical technologies that can support societies in the face of an ageing population.
  15. The impact of technological developments on labour markets in the context of demographic change, including the replacement of human labour by machines.
  16. Access to education, in particular for women, and reproductive health policies and fertility and demographic change.
  17. Research on education systems that can prepare future generations for sustainable resource management in the context of changing demographic structures.
  18. The need for vocational training systems to adapt to changes in the labour market resulting from changes in the number and structure of the population. We look forward to receiving your contributions.

Dr. Agnieszka Sompolska-Rzechuła
Dr. Anna Oleńczuk-Paszel
Dr. Monika Śpiewak-Szyjka
Dr. Małgorzata Blaszke
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

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Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Sustainability is an international peer-reviewed open access semimonthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2400 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • demographic changes
  • fertility
  • migration processes
  • population ageing
  • demographic change and socio-economic development
  • demography and the property market
  • sustainable cities
  • sustainable communities
  • quality of education in the context of demographic change
  • senior citizenship policy
  • sustainable development
  • demographic change and achieving the sustainable development goals

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Published Papers (4 papers)

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Research

23 pages, 433 KiB  
Article
An Empirical Investigation on How Population Aging Affects Economic Development: A Panel Data Analysis of 16 Prefecture-Level Cities in Anhui, China
by Shaolong Zeng, Yun Ding, Chenfang Fu, Wenbo Lv and Fanghao Yu
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6578; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146578 - 18 Jul 2025
Viewed by 245
Abstract
In recent years, studies that examine the relationship between economic development and population change have drawn more attention from the academic community. The intrinsic links between changes in age structure and economic development rates at the macro-national level as well as specific regional [...] Read more.
In recent years, studies that examine the relationship between economic development and population change have drawn more attention from the academic community. The intrinsic links between changes in age structure and economic development rates at the macro-national level as well as specific regional aspects have been the subject of extensive theoretical analysis and empirical investigations by numerous academics. Using panel data from 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province between 2010 and 2023, this study investigates the impact of population aging on economic growth and its underlying mechanisms. This is obtained by using benchmark regression, the instrumental variable method (2SLS), mediation effect testing, and regional heterogeneity analysis. The study’s main conclusions are as follows: (1) Anhui Province’s population aging has a negative impact on economic growth; (2) the income gap between urban and rural areas is a significant mediating factor in the relationship between population aging and economic growth; and (3) there is significant regional variation among the 16 prefectural-level cities in Anhui Province. To lessen the negative effects of population aging on economic growth, Anhui Province must implement coordinated and integrated efforts to improve the social security system, accelerate industrial development, and lessen the gap between urban and rural areas. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Demographic Change and Sustainable Development)
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19 pages, 2167 KiB  
Article
How Does Internal Migration Affect Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Cities?
by Hong Mi and Yuxin Zheng
Sustainability 2025, 17(11), 4959; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114959 - 28 May 2025
Viewed by 577
Abstract
As China’s regional development enters a critical stage of population redistribution and urban transformation, the impact of population mobility on regional demographic structures and urban functional restructuring has become increasingly prominent. Against this backdrop of accelerating Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei integration, cities of varying types have [...] Read more.
As China’s regional development enters a critical stage of population redistribution and urban transformation, the impact of population mobility on regional demographic structures and urban functional restructuring has become increasingly prominent. Against this backdrop of accelerating Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei integration, cities of varying types have been confronted with growing complexity in demographic transitions and socioeconomic stratification during their processes of absorbing or exporting populations. This study employed microdata from the National Bureau of Statistics to construct migration flow matrices and utilized a decomposition quantification approach to explore the impact of internal migration on the population structure and quality in 13 cities within the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region. The findings indicated that, while Beijing has achieved some success in population control, it overall exhibits a “large inflow and large outflow” pattern. Langfang has attracted a large number of highly educated individuals and male migrants under the spillover effect from Beijing. Shijiazhuang’s population attractiveness has increased, yet the outflow of highly educated individuals remains unmitigated. Meanwhile, the internal migrant structures in industrial cities such as Tianjin and Tangshan have undergone significant changes following the industrial transformation. Cities in the passive outflow area and agricultural transformation area have experienced siphoning effects, but they face different potential risks due to their unique characteristics. This study further enriches the understanding of the impact mechanisms underlying domestic population mobility and provides differentiated policy references for cities to reconcile their development objectives with demographic realities. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Demographic Change and Sustainable Development)
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18 pages, 1146 KiB  
Article
Population Aging and Economic Competitiveness in Polish Small Towns
by Karolina Józefowicz
Sustainability 2025, 17(10), 4619; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17104619 - 18 May 2025
Viewed by 693
Abstract
The aim of this study is to identify relationships between population aging in small towns and the level of their economic competitiveness. These analyses are a continuation of research on the economic competitiveness of small town in Poland. The territorial scope comprised 110 [...] Read more.
The aim of this study is to identify relationships between population aging in small towns and the level of their economic competitiveness. These analyses are a continuation of research on the economic competitiveness of small town in Poland. The territorial scope comprised 110 small towns, while the timeframe covered the years 2004–2006, 2011–2013, 2017–2019, and 2020–2021. In this paper, the Perkal method was applied to construct a synthetic measure for the progression of the population aging process in the case of residents of small towns. In turn, the typology method was used to identify types of dependencies between the level of economic competitiveness and the degree of population aging for residents of small towns. In view of the advanced aging of inhabitants in the analyzed towns within the framework of the distinguished types, in the most recent investigated periods, most small towns were assigned to two types. They were the types comprising economically competitive towns, but with aging populations, and economically uncompetitive and aging towns, respectively. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Demographic Change and Sustainable Development)
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18 pages, 13615 KiB  
Article
Assessing the Impact of Demographic Growth on the Educational Infrastructure for Sustainable Regional Development: Forecasting Demand for Preschool and Primary School Enrollment in Kazakhstan
by Gaukhar Aidarkhanova, Chingiz Zhumagulov, Gulnara Nyussupova and Veronika Kholina
Sustainability 2025, 17(9), 4212; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17094212 - 7 May 2025
Viewed by 986
Abstract
Demographic growth in Kazakhstan over the past decades has had a significant impact on the entire education system, particularly at the preschool and primary levels. High birth rates have led to an increasing number of children requiring enrollment in kindergartens and first-grade classes. [...] Read more.
Demographic growth in Kazakhstan over the past decades has had a significant impact on the entire education system, particularly at the preschool and primary levels. High birth rates have led to an increasing number of children requiring enrollment in kindergartens and first-grade classes. This often results in a shortage of available places, increased workload for teaching staff, and a decline in the quality of educational services. This paper examines the application of Business Intelligence (BI) tools and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) for forecasting potential shortages of educational places and identifying regional priorities in infrastructure development. A predictive model is presented, based on birth rate indicators and age cohorts, which enables the estimation of future demand for preschool and primary school capacity across the regions of Kazakhstan. The study highlights the urgent need for proactive planning and targeted investment to prevent critical shortages and to ensure equitable access to quality education. The findings can serve as a foundation for the development of effective public education policies and support the formulation of regional strategies that reflect current demographic trends. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Demographic Change and Sustainable Development)
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