Special Issue "Modeling and Forecasting of Rare and Extreme Events"
Deadline for manuscript submissions: 15 December 2021.
Interests: nonlinear dynamics; fractional calculus; modeling; control; evolutionary computing; genomics; robotics, complex systems
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Interests: data analysis; stochastic nonlinear dynamics; urban studies; complexity and uncertainty in the real-world systems
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Special Issue in Entropy: Mathematical Analysis of Urban Spatial Networks
Rare or extreme events designate phenomena that occur with low frequency, but that have huge and dramatic impact. These types of events encompasses natural phenomena, problems produced by the human activities, or even a combination of both. The case of natural events is portraited by catastrophes such as earthquakes, tsunamis, tornadoes, volcanos, floods, asteroid impacts, solar flares. For the events produced by the human species, also called anthropogenic hazards, we have bloody conflicts, such as warfare and terrorism, large industrial accidents, financial and commodity market crashes, economic crisis, Internet security outbreaks, energy or communications blackouts, and others. Regarding calamities involving both natural and anthropogenic factors we can mention global warming, forest fires, migrations, epidemic diseases outbreaks, and many others.
These phenomena often occur in complex systems, characterized by scale-invariance, self-similarity, fractality and non-locality, with power law behavior and alpha–stable distributions characterized by heavy-tails, giving non-negligible probability to extreme events. We find scattered in the literature names such as "dragon kings", "black swans", and others, to mention special cases of apparently unpredictable catastrophic events.
The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, spreading across the world with dramatic consequences for social, healthcare and economic systems, is an example of an extreme event.
This Collection on Modeling and Forecasting of Rare and Extreme Events focuses on original and new research results in mathematical, computational, algorithmic, or data-driven studies.
Manuscripts on new methodologies, advanced forms of system modeling and event forecasting, nonlinearity and novel perspectives for information processing are solicited. We welcome submissions addressing such issues, as well as those on more specific topics, illustrating the broad impact of entropy- and information-based techniques on the understanding of these type of phenomena.
Given the present state of COVID19 emergency in the world, submissions on the topic are welcome.
Prof. José A. Tenreiro Machado
Prof. Dimitri Volchenkov
Manuscript Submission Information
Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All papers will be peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.
Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Entropy is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.
Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 1800 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.
- asteroid impacts
- solar flares
- large industrial accidents
- market crashes
- economic crises
- Internet attacks
- energy blackout
- communications blackout
- global warming
- forest fires