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Economic and Political Determinants of Energy: 3rd Edition

A special issue of Energies (ISSN 1996-1073). This special issue belongs to the section "C: Energy Economics and Policy".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 25 December 2025 | Viewed by 1552

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Faculty of Agriculture and Economics, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 21, 31-120 Krakow, Poland
Interests: circular economy; sustainable development economy; cleaner production practices; sustainable production; energy policy; energy use and consumption; sustainable consumption; waste minimization; international competitiveness; competitiveness in regional scale; quantitative methods in economics; statistical analysis and inference; statistical modeling; categorical data analysis; multivariate statistics
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Urban Economics Group, Wageningen University and Research, 6706KN Wageningen, The Netherlands
Interests: innovation; entrepreneurship; sustainability; economics
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Department of Bioprocess Engineering, Energetics and Automatization, Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Balicka Street 116b, 30-149 Krakow, Poland
Interests: sustainable development economy; economic issues of renewable energy; competitiveness in local and regional scale; methods and techniques of research on socio-economic phenomena and processes; investment processes
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Guest Editor
Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Balicka 116B, 30-149 Krakow, Poland
Interests: energy; renewable energy; photovoltaic systems; control systems; drive systems; solar collectors; heating systems in cultivation under cover; heating systems; energy management
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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The world economy still relies on fossil fuels and oil, coal, and gas play dominant roles in global energy systems. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), 81% of the total supply of primary energy to the global economy comes from coal, oil, and natural gas. Since the first quarter of 2020, the prices of the three main traditional energy sources have increased by 350%. Since our civilization is still fueled by fossil fuels, the world economy has plunged into crisis.

The recent increases in energy prices and the resulting surge in the prices of other goods are unprecedented in the history of the modern economy. Additionally, these upsurges encompass many sectors. They affect electricity, heating, transport, manufacturing, and all other areas. Unprecedented price surges affect producers (who are forced to reduce production), consumers (who reduce consumption), and also politicians (who are obliged to create plans for the provision of economic resources).

On the one hand, the crisis paves the way for the fossil fuel industry to continue operating longer than previously anticipated. However, the challenge in this respect for most economies is the low elasticity of fossil fuel supplies. Keeping energy costs down requires significant investments. However, capital expenditures are not growing at a pace that ensures adequate adjustments, leading to increases in energy prices. On the other hand, it seems that the energy crisis will accelerate the green transformation. Europe has the most energy-efficient economy in the world and was already at the forefront of the green transition before the crisis. The current energy crisis is likely to further accelerate the energy transition in Europe. Thus, Europe has a chance to become a leader in the field of energy technologies. As a result of the transformation, the European energy sector will become more competitive, paving the way for export success. Despite the fact that China is the largest producer of photovoltaic panels, Europe will also play a leading role in this field in the future.

The green transformation accelerates electrification, which is associated with stimulating the development of non-fossil energy sources. The progress of the green transformation depends on the availability of effective energy storage technologies. Green energy sources tend to produce an oversupply of electricity at certain times that needs to be stored. Technologies with prospective applications in this area include the conversion of electricity into hydrogen through water electrolysis and fuel cells, as well as batteries and electric vehicles used as network load stabilizers.

The experience of the energy crisis will probably induce many countries to reevaluate the idea of energy self-sufficiency. Following Europe's drive to become independent of Russia for resources, Africa will need to fill this gap. As a result of such a turn, Europe will begin to compete with China for resources in this area. Such direct and long-term rivalry will undoubtedly lead to new geopolitical tensions.

Globalization has been the driving force behind low inflation in the world economy in recent decades. In financial markets, the progress of globalization has been crucial for equity markets and emerging markets. Hence, the slowdown of globalization processes will put pressure on inflation growth. There are many indications that the energy crisis will accelerate deglobalization and the world economy will be divided into two competing systems. The energy crisis will lead to reshuffles in the global economy. It will potentially initiate a slowdown in development in some regions of the globe, and it will potentially initiate development in other regions. Africa is perceived as a continent with the potential for revitalization. Deglobalization will cause chaos in countries with structural trade surpluses. Among the consequences of deglobalization, threats to the US dollar as a reserve currency are also mentioned.

Each crisis situation is unique. Nevertheless, it is the reaction to it that determines future development opportunities, and, as past experience shows, it can push society onto a new path of development. Due to the complexity of developmental patterns, society moves from one crisis to another in its evolution. Despite a number of negative effects, from this perspective, crises can also be seen as turning points on the path of development.

Dr. Jacek Artur Strojny
Dr. Johan Van Ophem
Dr. Anna Krakowiak-Bal
Dr. Jarosław Knaga
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • changes in energy consumption trends
  • developments in trends in the consumption of goods in response to changes in the energy market
  • crises as opportunities for development and drivers of innovation
  • evolution of energy supply chains and industry in general
  • the role of energy security and energy self-sufficiency in the national economy
  • the crisis as an opportunity for renewable energy or a return to traditional sources
  • green transformation trends
  • developments in technologies related to the storage of green energy surpluses
  • geothermal energy is underestimated and should be supported in Europe in the future
  • deglobalization as a reaction to the crisis and its consequences for the world economy

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Published Papers (2 papers)

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Research

22 pages, 2994 KB  
Article
How Do Carbon Market and Fossil Energy Market Affect Each Other During the COVID-19, Russia–Ukraine War and Israeli–Palestinian Conflict?
by Wei Jiang, Xiangyu Liu, Jierui Zhang, Dianguang Liu and Hua Wei
Energies 2025, 18(17), 4724; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18174724 - 4 Sep 2025
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Abstract
Despite the close linkage between carbon markets and fossil fuel markets, minimal research has investigated their co-movement dynamics during times of heightened geopolitical instability and public health crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic, Israeli–Palestinian conflict, and the Russia–Ukraine war. Most studies use conditional mean [...] Read more.
Despite the close linkage between carbon markets and fossil fuel markets, minimal research has investigated their co-movement dynamics during times of heightened geopolitical instability and public health crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic, Israeli–Palestinian conflict, and the Russia–Ukraine war. Most studies use conditional mean regression models for testing linear Granger causality, which falls short in assessing time-varying causal relationships. This paper employs a time-varying Granger causality framework to examine the dynamic linkages between fossil fuel markets and carbon markets across multiple time horizons. This methodology enables the evaluation of causal relationships that evolve over time, providing deeper insights into how the carbon market interacts with traditional fossil fuel markets. The study examines causal linkages among carbon, coal, and oil prices from 2 January 2018 to 11 July 2025, using data from Wind Database. The findings reveal a short-lived yet highly significant bidirectional causality between the carbon and fossil fuel markets during the COVID-19 period, whereas a sustained and highly significant bidirectional causal relationship emerges after the onset of the Russia–Ukraine war. During the outbreak of the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, this linkage continued without major disruptions or directional shifts. Furthermore, the recursive evolution approach, based on variable sub-window sizes, detects additional evidence of significant bidirectional causal relationships among carbon, coal, and oil prices. These discoveries can serve as valuable inputs for investors and policymakers, enabling them to make informed decisions that protect their interests and ensure market stability. Additionally, coal prices showed greater persistence than oil prices in these bidirectional causal links. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Economic and Political Determinants of Energy: 3rd Edition)
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23 pages, 31409 KB  
Article
Wavelet Analysis of the Similarity in the Inflation Index (HICP) Dynamics for Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels in Poland and Selected European Countries
by Tadeusz Kufel and Grzegorz Rządkowski
Energies 2025, 18(17), 4610; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18174610 - 30 Aug 2025
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Abstract
Inflation is an indicator that signals emerging crises. The period of 2001–2024 witnessed numerous crises. Energy crises affect countries to varying degrees, making it important to identify those most sensitive to inflationary changes in energy prices. This study aims to assess the similarity [...] Read more.
Inflation is an indicator that signals emerging crises. The period of 2001–2024 witnessed numerous crises. Energy crises affect countries to varying degrees, making it important to identify those most sensitive to inflationary changes in energy prices. This study aims to assess the similarity in the dynamics of the annual inflation rates for the electricity, gas, and other fuels category (HICP—COICOP group 04.5) across Europe. In particular, we identify sub-periods and countries in which inflation indicators either led price changes in Poland or followed the inflation dynamics observed in Poland. This assessment of leading and lagging inflation dynamics is conducted using wavelet analysis, specifically analysis of the wavelet coherence with a phase difference, for Poland and 27 European countries. The analysis addresses two main questions. First, was there statistically significant coherence (correlation in the frequency domain over specific sub-periods) in energy price inflation processes between Poland and other countries? Second, which countries exhibited energy price inflation dynamics that led or lagged behind the pattern in Poland? For many countries, coherence with Poland was not significant in regard to short-term fluctuations (2–6 months) but became significant over longer time scales. Furthermore, at longer periodicities, Poland’s energy inflation dynamics were synchronous with those of many European countries, especially during the period of Russian aggression against Ukraine. This analysis identifies statistically significant coherence between Poland and the chosen European countries. Germany and Lithuania frequently led Polish energy price inflation, whereas other countries, such as Bulgaria and Spain, often lagged behind. These results reveal dynamic patterns in the time–frequency co-movements of energy inflation across Europe. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Economic and Political Determinants of Energy: 3rd Edition)
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