Complex Networks on Macroeconomics and Finance: Models, Methods, Applications

A special issue of Economies (ISSN 2227-7099).

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 30 September 2024 | Viewed by 2625

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Department of Economics, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
Interests: machine learning; data analysis

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Department of Economics, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
Interests: banking; finance; machine learning; Artificial Intelligence; econometrics
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The analysis of networks has primarily been the domain of the subfield of discrete mathematics, commonly referred to as graph theory. Graph theory analyzes systems consisting of nodes and the edges that connect them. The origin of graph theory is traced back to the renowned problem surrounding the bridges of Königsberg in 1736, which was analyzed by Leonhard Euler. He studied the unfeasible cycle path passing over all seven bridges of the Königsberg city. The concept of complex networks, instead of graph theory, emerged from a need scientists faced when encountering networks of entities so vast that monitoring each entity became either insufficient or impossible. This need arose with the study of social networks, which focused on human relationships, in the first half of the 20th century (friendship networks, inter-group relations, and scientific co-authorship networks). Since then, the interest in complex networks has been sparked by technological advances and their resulting applications: transportation networks, telecommunication networks (first wired and now wireless data transfer), internet and WWW, biological and genetic networks.

In economics, in many applications, it is useful to study each economic entity as an individual agent, i.e., firm, consumer, producer, country, etc. In this setting, we can focus and analyze the inter-relations between these agents and compare the evolution of these complex associations over time. This approach becomes increasingly relevant as the relationships between economic agents become dense and complex. This is the result of new technologies, e-commerce, e-trading, globalization, proliferation of international trade and financial transactions and recently the increasing relevance of cryptocurrencies. All these complex economic relationships can be better studied using the tools of complex network analysis. In this setting, the nodes represent agents, such as banks, countries, stocks, currencies, commodities, firms, etc. The edges describe various specific relationships, such as loans, trade, migration flows, similarity, correlation, and concordance. Applications range from monitoring a network, for example, the resilience of a banking network, to identifying critical nodes and calculating shortest or longest paths, e.g., analysis of the dispersion of events of economic distress, including the propagation of a financial crisis, industry specific bankruptcies, non-performing loans, etc.

The goal of this Special Issue is to explore the topological models of economic networks, the methods to study these networks, and their applications in all areas of economics: macroeconomics, microeconomics, and finance. We welcome all theoretical and empirical contributions on such networks.

Prof. Dr. Theophilos Papadimitriou
Prof. Dr. Periklis Gogas
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • economic and financial network models
  • structural analysis of economic networks
  • dynamics on economic networks
  • mathematical analysis of economic networks
  • economic complex network monitoring
  • synchronization on economic networks
  • multilayered complex networks
  • resilience and robustness of economic networks
  • crisis dispersion on economics networks

Published Papers (2 papers)

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Research

24 pages, 4852 KiB  
Article
Fuel Price Networks in the EU
by Fotios Gkatzoglou, Theophilos Papadimitriou and Periklis Gogas
Economies 2024, 12(5), 102; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12050102 - 26 Apr 2024
Viewed by 237
Abstract
This study deals with the evolution of fuels’ prices over time in the EU. The central research inquiry revolves around whether there exists any correlation among the trajectories followed by national prices in the gasoline and diesel markets. The EU, and more specifically [...] Read more.
This study deals with the evolution of fuels’ prices over time in the EU. The central research inquiry revolves around whether there exists any correlation among the trajectories followed by national prices in the gasoline and diesel markets. The EU, and more specifically the Euro-Area, by its construction, is treated as an OCA (Optimum Currency Area). In an OCA, certain conditions are met to ensure the smooth functioning of a common currency. The fuel price synchronization is essential because it contributes to the effective implementation of policies and promotes stability across the entire macroeconomy. The study covers the period of 2017–2022. For each type of fuel and year, we construct an individual network where network nodes represent the EU member states while the edges connecting these nodes represent strong temporal fuel price correlations among the member states. The properties of the resulting networks are analyzed within a Complex Network framework. Our goal is twofold: first, to detect any potential convergence or divergence in the trajectories of the prices, and second, to investigate the impact of tax and duty implementation on the co-movements of the prices. The empirical findings show that diesel markets have a more pronounced pattern of price co-movements compared to the gasoline markets. Moreover, the application of fuel taxation policies seems to adversely affect the co-movements of prices. Full article
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27 pages, 9071 KiB  
Article
On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine War
by Kashif Zaheer, Faheem Aslam, Yasir Tariq Mohmand and Paulo Ferreira
Economies 2024, 12(2), 41; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12020041 - 04 Feb 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1697
Abstract
Analysis of the relationships among global stock markets is crucial for international investors, regulators, and policymakers, particularly during a crisis. Complex network theory was applied to analyze the relationship between global stock markets during the Russia–Ukraine war. Daily data from 55 stock markets [...] Read more.
Analysis of the relationships among global stock markets is crucial for international investors, regulators, and policymakers, particularly during a crisis. Complex network theory was applied to analyze the relationship between global stock markets during the Russia–Ukraine war. Daily data from 55 stock markets from 6 August 2021 to 23 September 2023 were retrieved and used to investigate the changes in global stock market networks. The sample period was divided into 22 subsamples, using a 100-day rolling window rolled forward a trading month, and then long-range correlations based on distance matrices were calculated. These distance matrices were utilized to construct stock market networks. Moreover, minimum spanning trees (MSTs) were extracted from these financial networks for analytical purposes. Based on topological and structural analysis, we identified important/central nodes, distinct communities, vulnerable/stable nodes, and changes thereof with the escalation of war. The empirical findings reveal that the Russia–Ukraine war impacted the global stock markets’ network. However, its intensity varied with changes in the region and the passage of time due to the level of stock market integration and stage of war escalation, respectively. Stock markets of France, Germany, Canada, and Austria remained the most centrally connected within communities; surprisingly, the USA’s stock market is not on this list. Full article
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