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Quantification and Reduction of Uncertainties in Atmospheric Dispersion Simulations for Accidental Releases

This special issue belongs to the section “Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling“.

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Atmospheric dispersion simulations are used in case of accidental releases in the atmosphere, to assess the possible environmental and health damages and propose adapted countermeasures. Such evaluations are susceptible to biases caused by uncertainties intrisic to emergency situations, coming from e.g. meteorological forecast errors, insufficient knowledge on the release, physical and numerical approximations made within the dispersion models. This Special Issue is devoted to uncertainty quantification within atmospheric dispersion simulations, especially for the purpose of predicting the consequences of accidental releases. This may include nuclear accidents (Tchernobyl, Fukushima), volcanic ash, or other natural or human hazards. All scales of interest are welcome, from local scale (rural or urban) to regional and continental. The topics of interest of this Special Issue include:

  • Use of meteorological ensembles for dispersion models,
  • methods to take into account source term uncertainties,
  • uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods,
  • local or global sensitivity analysis (SA) methods,
  • inverse modelling methods for source reconstruction and/or localization,
  • probabilistic indicators for ensemble evaluation with observations,
  • use of probabilistic outputs for decision making in emergency situations.
  • methods to reduce uncertainties in emergency situations

Dr. Irène Korsakissok
Dr. Susan J. Leadbetter
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 250 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for assessment.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Atmosphere is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2400 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Dr. Irène Korsakissok
Dr. Susan J. Leadbetter
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 250 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for assessment.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Atmosphere is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2400 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • atmospheric dispersion modelling (ADM)
  • ensemble modelling
  • uncertainty quantification
  • uncertainty reduction
  • sensitivity analysis
  • ensemble evaluation
  • emergency response
  • decision making

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Atmosphere - ISSN 2073-4433