Evaluating the Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Signalized Intersections’ Performance

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) hold strong potential to redefine traffic operations, yet their impacts at varying penetration levels within mixed traffic remain insufficiently quantified. This study evaluates the influence of SAE Level 5 AVs on traffic performance at two typical urban signalized intersections using a hybrid microsimulation approach that integrates behavioral AV modeling and performance evaluation. The analysis covers two typical intersection layouts, one with two through lanes and another with three, tested under varying traffic volumes and left-turn shares. A total of 324 simulation scenarios were conducted with AV penetration ranging from 0% to 100% (in 20% increments) and left-turn proportions of 15%, 30%, and 45%. The results show that 100% AV penetration lowers the average delay by up to 40% in the two-lane intersection scenario and 32% in the three-lane scenario, relative to the 0% AV baseline. Even 20% AV penetration yields about half of the maximum improvement. The greatest benefits occur with aggressive AV driving profiles, balanced approach volumes, and small left-turn shares. These findings provide preliminary evidence of AVs’ potential to enhance intersection efficiency and support Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 11 and 13, offering insights to guide intersection design and AV deployment strategies for data-driven, sustainable urban mobility.