Mapping the Incidence of Dengue Fever in the State of Pará, Eastern Amazon: Epidemiology and Relationships with Climate
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
- i.
- The group of municipalities with positive values (≥0.1) on the correlation maps must be significantly higher than the group with negative values (≤−0.1);
- ii.
- To evaluate the representativeness of each group, the percentage proportions of the two groups (relative to the entire sample of municipalities = 86) are compared using the chi-square test; i.e., the difference in the proportion of the group with positive correlations must exhibit a statistically significant test value at the 5% level (p-value < 0.05).
3. Results
3.1. Mapping Dengue and the Epidemiology of Critical Areas
3.2. Relationships Between Climate Variables and Dengue Incidence
3.3. The Effects of the RAINY Regime on Dengue Incidence
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
References
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Groups | Results | P | Ws | Ta | Ts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Group of positive correlations | count | 51 * | 30 | 59 * | 57 * |
Group of negative correlations | 27 | 37 | 12 | 16 | |
Group of positive correlations | proportion | 59.3% | 34.9% | 68.6% * | 63.3% * |
Group of negative correlations | 31.4% | 43.0% | 14.0% | 18.6% | |
Group of positive correlations | chi-square | 7.38 * | 0.73 | 31.11 * | 23.03 * |
Group of negative correlations | p-value | 0.007 | 0.392 | 0.000 | 0.001 |
Variables | R2 | Adjusted R2 | Residual Std Error | F-Statistic | Intercept | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cluster 1 | Cluster 2 | Cluster 3 | |||||
P | 0.685 | 0.682 | 167.1 | 304.7 * | 1.30 | 2.67 | 0.97 |
Ws | 0.673 | 0.669 | 130.4 | 279.9 * | 979.5 | 406.1 | −306.1 |
Ts | 0.703 | 0.701 | 154.9 | 363.6 ** | 29.7 | 127.5 | −66.6 |
Ta | 0.690 | 0.688 | 163.7 | 351.4 ** | 69.1 | −43.2 | 239.5 |
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Serra, E.M.F.; Ferreira, D.B.d.S.; Silva Jr, J.d.A.; Moraes, B.C.d.; Lima, A.M.M.d.; Silva, B.C.S.d.; Godoy, B.S.; Coutinho, E.d.C.; Parente, A.T.; Cohen, J.C.P.; et al. Mapping the Incidence of Dengue Fever in the State of Pará, Eastern Amazon: Epidemiology and Relationships with Climate. Reports 2025, 8, 61. https://doi.org/10.3390/reports8020061
Serra EMF, Ferreira DBdS, Silva Jr JdA, Moraes BCd, Lima AMMd, Silva BCSd, Godoy BS, Coutinho EdC, Parente AT, Cohen JCP, et al. Mapping the Incidence of Dengue Fever in the State of Pará, Eastern Amazon: Epidemiology and Relationships with Climate. Reports. 2025; 8(2):61. https://doi.org/10.3390/reports8020061
Chicago/Turabian StyleSerra, Emilene Monteiro Furtado, Douglas Batista da Silva Ferreira, João de Athaydes Silva Jr, Bergson Cavalcanti de Moraes, Aline Maria Meiguins de Lima, Brenda Caroline Sampaio da Silva, Bruno Spacek Godoy, Eliane de Castro Coutinho, Andressa Tavares Parente, Julia Clarinda Paiva Cohen, and et al. 2025. "Mapping the Incidence of Dengue Fever in the State of Pará, Eastern Amazon: Epidemiology and Relationships with Climate" Reports 8, no. 2: 61. https://doi.org/10.3390/reports8020061
APA StyleSerra, E. M. F., Ferreira, D. B. d. S., Silva Jr, J. d. A., Moraes, B. C. d., Lima, A. M. M. d., Silva, B. C. S. d., Godoy, B. S., Coutinho, E. d. C., Parente, A. T., Cohen, J. C. P., Cunha, A. C. d., & Souza, E. B. d. (2025). Mapping the Incidence of Dengue Fever in the State of Pará, Eastern Amazon: Epidemiology and Relationships with Climate. Reports, 8(2), 61. https://doi.org/10.3390/reports8020061