Abstract
A continuous point of a trajectory for an ordinary differential equation can be viewed as a special impulsive point; i.e., the pulsed proportional change rate and the instantaneous increment for the prey and predator populations can be taken as 0. By considering the variation multiple pulse intervention effects (i.e., several indefinite continuous points are regarded as impulsive points), an impulsive predator–prey model for characterizing chemical and biological control processes at different fixed times is first proposed. Our modeling approach can describe all possible realistic situations, and all of the traditional models are some special cases of our model. Due to the complexity of our modeling approach, it is essential to examine the dynamical properties of the periodic solutions using new methods. For example, we investigate the permanence of the system by constructing two uniform lower impulsive comparison systems, indicating the mathematical (or biological) essence of the permanence of our system; furthermore, the existence and global attractiveness of the pest-present periodic solution is analyzed by constructing an impulsive comparison system for a norm , which has not been addressed to date. Based on the implicit function theorem, the bifurcation of the pest-present periodic solution of the system is investigated under certain conditions, which is more rigorous than the corresponding traditional proving method. In addition, by employing the variational method, the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix at the fixed point corresponding to the pest-free periodic solution are determined, resulting in a sufficient condition for its local stability, and the threshold condition for the global attractiveness of the pest-free periodic solution is provided in terms of an indicator . Finally, the sensitivity of indicator and bifurcations with respect to several key parameters are determined through numerical simulations, and then the switch-like transitions among two coexisting attractors show that varying dosages of insecticide applications and the numbers of natural enemies released are crucial.
Keywords:
variation multiple pulse intervention effects; positive periodic solution; bifurcation; permanence; global stability MSC:
34A34; 34K20
1. Introduction
Pest control has become an increasingly complex issue over the past two decades. Pests in the natural environment not only negatively impact human well-being but also disrupt food production and spread diseases; in the worst scenarios, they even cause death and serious disasters for plants and other living things on Earth [1]. Experimental evidence has demonstrated that these pests reduce the annual production of some agricultural commodities, e.g., shrinkage in rice, shrinkage in pulses, 5–10% shrinkage in wheat, shrinkage in sugarcane, shrinkage in oil seeds, and shrinkage in cotton [2]. This alarming issue has motivated an urgent demand for controlling the negative impact of pests. The traditional pest control method involves the application of a large variety of single pesticides to crops, which is not favorable for controlling the progress of pest resistance and preserving the quality of the environment. Chemical control by spraying pesticides and the simultaneous deployment of biological control by using natural enemies have been commonly applied in integrated pest management (IPM) systems [3,4].
Various mathematical models have been studied for pest control, including chemical and biological control tactics [5,6,7,8]. Researchers have proposed several state-dependent impulsive predator–prey models with integrated pest management to control crop pests and subsequently explored the properties of the Poincaré map and the existence, uniqueness, and local or global stability of the order-k () periodic solutions of the systems by means of the successor function method and the analog of the Poincaré criterion, respectively [9,10,11,12,13,14,15]. For example, Cheng et al. proposed a state-dependent impulsive predator–prey model with Holling type I and II responses and then investigated the properties of the Poincaré map and the existence, uniqueness, and sufficient conditions for the global stability of the order-1 periodic solutions of the system [16]. Al Basir et al. formulated an impulsive integrated pest management model for characterizing the application processes of biopesticides and chemical pesticides at fixed times, and the stability of the pest-free periodic solution was investigated using the small amplitude perturbation method, which established a threshold time limit for the impulsive release of various controls as well as some valid theoretical conclusions for effective pest management [17].
The classes of predator–prey systems can be generalized as follows [18,19]:
where and are the densities of the prey and predator populations, respectively, at time t. denotes the intrinsic growth rate of the prey population, represents the carrying capacity of the environment, and is the search efficiency of a predator for prey. is the mortality rate of the predator population, and is the biomass conversion. is the generalized functional response.
Since pesticides are harmful to pests and natural enemies, we can introduce the periodic spraying of pesticides and release predators at different instances [20]; thus, Liu et al. proposed an impulsive system as follows [21]:
where represent the constant fractions of the predator and prey populations that die due to pesticides at time (), respectively. represents the amount of natural enemies released at time .
For system (1), the frequencies of pesticide spraying and predator release are the same, which is not realistic. Similar to the modeling approach in [22], system (1) can be modified into the following system:
where and are impulsive point series at which the chemical and biological control strategies are applied, respectively. Zhao et al. investigated the global attractiveness of the trivial periodic solution only for the following two cases [22]:
Case I: , where ;
Case II: , where .
The above two cases are two special cases of real-world implementations of biological and chemical tactics. Thus, a problem arises naturally: is there a more general approach to characterize this kind of impulsive control strategy?
To solve this problem, it should be noted that a continuous point can be viewed as a special impulsive point. Taking system (2) as an example, if is continuous at , then it follows that , where ; or , where . Since the Holling type II functional response is common for most of the functional responses mentioned in [18,19], we can take
where is the half-saturation constant. Then, a novel impulsive system can be formulated as follows [23]:
where , and . represents the immigration rate of natural enemies [24,25,26]. In addition, , and
and
It should be noted that indicates that pesticides are not sprayed at time . Similarly, (or ) means that there are no natural enemy releases (or immigration) at time . Thus, the modeling approach for system (3) can characterize all of the possible practical cases for the implementation of biological and chemical control tactics.
The goal of our study is mainly to investigate the existence and global stability of pest-present periodic solutions. Unlike the techniques used in [21], the permanence of system (3) can be analyzed by constructing two uniform lower impulsive comparison systems, indicating the mathematical (or biological) essence of the permanence of system (3). To date, the global stability of the pest-present periodic solution of system (1) has not been addressed. Based on the permanence of system (3), we can define a norm with respect to the solution of system (3) and then construct an impulsive comparison system for this norm. Similar to the proof of the contraction mapping principle, we can prove the global stability of the pest-present periodic solution. Due to the complexity of the modeling approach of the system (3), the local bifurcation of a pest-present periodic solution cannot be solved by traditional methods [27]. We address this issue by using an implicit function theorem and Taylor’s series of two-variable functions. In addition, the local stability of the pest-free periodic solution is investigated by using the variational method, and the global attractiveness of the pest-free periodic solution is also discussed.
The rest of this article is organized as follows. In Section 2, for convenience, we present some definitions and lemmas. In Section 3, the local stability of the pest-free periodic solution is studied using the variational method; and the bifurcation of a pest-present periodic solution of system (3) is studied by using the implicit function theorem and Taylor’s series of a two-variable function. Several additional technical computations that were used to establish the results presented in Section 3 are discussed in Appendix A, Appendix B, Appendix C and Appendix D. Additionally, the global attractiveness of the pest-free periodic solution is discussed in this section. In Section 4, once the threshold condition is satisfied together with a certain other condition, system (3) is permanent; furthermore, the existence and global attractiveness of the pest-present periodic solution are investigated. Numerical simulations that confirm our theoretical findings are discussed in Section 5. Finally, a discussion of the theoretical and numerical results is provided.
2. Preliminaries
In this section, we introduce some definitions and state some preliminary lemmas that will be useful for establishing our results.
Definition 1
([21]). The system (3) is said to be permanent if there are constants (independent of the initial values) and a finite time such that for all solutions with all initial values , holds for all . Here, may depend on the initial values .
Note that is a globally stable equilibrium of the system . Then, we have the following lemma:
Lemma 1.
The positive orthant is an invariant region for the system (3), and for a sufficiently large , .
In the following, we assume that for .
It follows from (4) and (5) that
Then, it can be obtained by mathematical induction that
where and
and, furthermore,
Letting yields
Then, if (10) is valid, system (4) has a unique positive periodic solution as follows:
where .
Hence, we reach the following conclusions:
Lemma 2.
System (4) has a unique positive solution if and only if
and for every solution of (4), it follows that (see Figure 1).
Figure 1.
Dynamic cobweb method to show the relationship of and corresponding to the special case demonstrated in system (52). The baseline parameter values are fixed as follows: , , , , , and .
Proof.
From (4), we have
where . Similar to (9) and (8), it follows that
Equations (5)–(8), (10), and (11) indicate that .
This completes the proof. □
In the following, we always assume that
and denote
3. Bifurcation of the Pest-Present Periodic Solution
Denote by the solution of the first two equations of (3) for the initial data and ; also,
Additionally, we define some relevant mappings by
and
Clearly, it follows that
For , it follows from (A7) that
where . Then, from (A8), (12) and (16), we see that the two eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix of the map at the point are
which results in the following theorem [28]:
Theorem 1.
The pest-free periodic solution of system (3) is locally asymptotically stable provided that
Using the comparison theorem, we find that [29,30].
Theorem 2.
The pest-free periodic solution of system (3) is globally attractive provided that
In fact, we can prove that a necessary condition for the bifurcation of a pest-present periodic solution is [31]
According to Theorem 3, under a certain condition, (19) is sufficient as well.
To investigate the bifurcation of the pest-present periodic solution of system (3), we can consider the system as follows:
where
Theorem 3.
Suppose that
holds, then the pest-free periodic solution of system (20) bifurcates into a pest-present periodic solution.
Proof.
On the linear space defined in the field , we can define a linear transformation as follows:
where . Then, for , it follows that ; i.e.,
which implies that
and a basis in is .
On the other hand, it follows from (24) and (25) that , which possesses a basis . Let , i.e.,
Then, we can take . Then, a group of bases of the linear space can be taken as
Let , where , and
It follows from (23), (24), and (26) that
According to the implicit function theorem, there exists a unique function in some neighborhood of such that
Note that
and furthermore,
based on (31). In addition, . Then, there exists a unique function in some neighborhood of such that
It follows from (33) that
Then, from (31)–(34), we have
Thus, there exists a such that when , it follows that . Then, a pest-present periodic solution emerges.
This completes the proof. □
4. Existence and Global Attractiveness of the Pest-Present Periodic Solution of System (3)
In this section, we provide some sufficient conditions ensuring the permanence and the existence and global attractiveness of the pest-present periodic solution of system (3).
Theorem 4.
Assume that
we draw the following conclusions:
Proof.
According to Lemmas 2, (3), and (35), we may assume that for , where
with and . According to the definition of the permanence of system (3), we only need to find such that for a sufficiently large t.
Consider the following system:
According to Lemma 2, we see that . Then, there exists a such that
Similar to (44), we can prove that there exists a such that . Without loss of generality, assume that there exists some such that . Set ; then, . Then, holds for , and assume that , where .
We claim that holds within the interval . By contrast, assume that there exists a such that . Set
From (39), . Then, , and it follows for the interval that . Obviously, it is impossible that . Therefore, assume that . Then, , and furthermore, there exists a such that when , it follows that . Moreover, it follows for the interval that
Thus, is valid in the interval , contradicting the definition of .
Consider the following system:
We have
where is a solution of system (41). Thus, it follows that
where
Without loss of generality, assume that for all , . We claim that there exists a such that . By contrast, assume that for all . Then, when , it follows from (3) and (37) that
Note that . It follows from (41)–(43) that
which is a contradiction.
For the interval ,
For , the same arguments can be continued because .
To investigate the existence and global attractiveness of the pest-present periodic solution of system (3), we only need to carry it out in the set S, where
(3) shows that when and , where , we have the following:
Let us assume that , are two solutions of system (3). Then, when
it follows from (45) that
where , , and
Note that
For any solution of system (3), it follows from (49) and (36) that
and furthermore,
where
Then, for arbitrary , it follows from (50) that
which implies that and are both Cauchy sequences. Thus, both and exist.
Denote
where , and
Then, it follows that
Thus, we have
That is, is a fixed point of the Poincaré map of system (3).
If is a fixed point of the Poincaré map of system (3), then
Since
we have and because . Therefore, is a unique fixed point of the Poincaré map of system (3).
Therefore, is a globally attractive fixed point of the Poincaré map of system (3).
This completes the proof. □
5. Numerical Analysis
In the following, we perform numerical simulations for the special case of system (3) as follows:
where .
We are interested in how the key factors affect the threshold value defined in (18). Figure 2A–C show that when decreases to 0 or and q increase (to the threshold value ), monotonically decreases, revealing that fewer natural enemies should be killed, or more natural enemies should migrate or be released. Then, the optimal control strategy is achieved when is sufficiently small or and q are appropriately large. Similarly, Figure 2D,E show that monotonically decreases to 0 as T decreases to the threshold value or m increases. Thus, more frequent integrated pest management and release of natural enemies are beneficial for pest control.
Figure 2.
Simulations of the effects of , , q, T, and m on . The baseline parameter values are fixed as follows: , , , , , , , , , , and .
According to Theorems 1 and 2, when , , and , the pest-free periodic solution is locally asymptotically stable, globally attractive, and unstable, respectively (see Figure 3A).
Figure 3.
Bifurcation diagrams of system (52) with respect to T and q, where the other parameter values are fixed as follows: , , , , , , , , , and . (A): Two-dimensional bifurcation diagram with respect to T and q, where the green, red, and white regions denotes the locally stable, globally stable, and unstable regions of the pest-free periodic solution , respectively; (B,C): one-dimensional diagrams with respect to T, where and the initial values are and ; (D,E): one-dimensional diagrams with respect to q, where and the initial values are and .
Figure 3B,C show that when , the global attractiveness of the pest-free periodic solution can be validated (see Figure 4A,B); however, when , the emergence of a pest-present solution leads to the loss of the local stability of the pest-free periodic solution, i.e., system (52) is permanent (see Figure 5A–C). Similar numerical analysis is suitable for the bifurcation of a pest-present periodic solution with respect to q (see Figure 3D,E and Figure 4C,D). In addition, Figure 5D–F confirm that when Corollary 1 holds, the global attractive pest-present periodic solution emerges.
Furthermore, Figure 6 and Figure 7 show that model (52) exhibits more complex and interesting dynamic behaviors, including periodic doubling bifurcation, chaotic solutions, periodic adding\reducing, periodic windows, periodic halving bifurcation, and chaos crisis with increasing implementation period T and amount of released natural enemies q, respectively [32].
Figure 6.
Bifurcation diagrams of system (52) with respect to parameter T. The other parameter values are fixed as follows: , , , , , , , , , , , and the initial value is .
Figure 7.
Bifurcation diagrams of system (52) with respect to parameter q. (A,B). , , , , , , , , , , , and the initial value is ; (C,D): , , , , , , , , , , , and the initial values is .
Moreover, random perturbations due to variations in the dosages applied or releases (migration) of natural enemies can also be taken into account with parameters , , , and q. For example, when small random perturbations are introduced in one of the parameters , , and q, as shown in Figure 8, Figure 9A,B and Figure 10, the stable attractor with initial value can switch to another attractor with a smaller amplitude at a random time. Conversely, if a small random perturbation is introduced in parameter , Figure 9C,D show that the stable attractor with initial value can switch to another attractor with a larger amplitude at a random time. Thus, different doses of pesticide application and natural enemy release (or migration) can influence the dynamics of the system (3).
Moreover, Figure 11A shows that the pest population behaves in a “positive” fashion with pesticide spraying alone. As natural enemy release (or migration) is introduced to control pests, the pest population also oscillates in a periodic cycle but with a much smaller amplitude, revealing that the tendency of pests to become extinct becomes increasingly significant as m increases gradually (see Figure 11B,C). In particular, when m is sufficiently large, the pest population is eventually eradicated with integrated pest management (see Figure 11D). Thus, we demonstrate that integrated pest management is more effective than pesticide spraying alone.
Figure 11.
Dynamic behaviors of system (52) with integrated pest management. (A): , , ; (B): ; (C): ; (D): . The other parameter values are fixed as follows: , , , , , , , , , , , and the initial value is .
6. Discussion
In this study, we develop a predator–prey model with variation multiple pulse intervention effects to determine how chemical and biological control tactics affect pest control dynamics.
By employing the variational method, we determine the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix at the fixed point corresponding to the pest-free periodic solution. This fact is used to obtain the local stability threshold condition. A sufficient condition for the global attractiveness of the pest-free periodic solution is given as in (18). Moreover, the loss of local stability of the pest-free periodic solution results in the emergence of a pest-present periodic solution in the local neighborhood of the bifurcation point; furthermore, the permanence of system (3) is valid under certain conditions. Based on the techniques used in [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42], the existence and global attractiveness of the pest-present periodic solution are analyzed by using Cauchy’s convergence principle under certain conditions, and a special case is obtained.
Our results demonstrate that the effectiveness of integrated pest management is crucial for pest prevention and resurgence. The numerical results presented in Section 5 indicate that is sensitive to small changes in several key parameters, such as , , q, T, and m. Furthermore, we perform two-parameter bifurcation analyses on the threshold values and , which involve the local stability and global attractiveness of the pest-free periodic solution. Figure 3 shows the impacts of the period T and the amount q of natural enemies released on the behaviors of system (52).
Figure 6 and Figure 7 show that model (52) has several interesting dynamic behaviors, such as periodic doubling bifurcations, chaos, periodic adding\reducing, periodic windows, and periodic halving bifurcation. Moreover, the switch-like transitions between the two attractors reveal that both varying dosages of insecticide and the numbers of natural enemies released (or migrated) are crucial for pest control. In addition, further numerical simulations indicate that integrated pest management is more effective than pesticide spraying alone.
Compared with other relevant studies, the highlights of our study are as follows:
A continuous point can be viewed as a special impulsive point, i.e., the corresponding pulsed killing rate for the prey and predator populations, and the pulsed increment or migration rate of the natural enemies can be regarded as 0. Then, we propose model (3) to characterize all the possible situations of the implementation of the IPM strategy in reality. The traditional modeling approaches illustrated in [21,22,43,44] are special cases of our model.
Due to the complexity of our modeling approach, it is difficult for us to prove the permanence of system (3) by using the traditional proof method demonstrated in [21,45]. Therefore, we prove the permanence of system (3) by constructing two uniform lower impulsive comparison systems on the interval , where (37) holds. If is viewed as the second prey population, (39) and (40) indicate that the change rate of is greater than that of ; thus, holds within the interval .
However, if we view as the third prey population, (43) indicates that the change rate of is greater than that of . Thus, when jumps above the threshold line at time , also jumps above the threshold line at some . Since the change rate of is negative or the density of decreases as , it follows on the interval that , which only depends on .
In addition, the fact that and are always viewed as impulsive times facilitates our proof. , it may hold that , or .
To date, the global attractiveness of the pest-present periodic solution of system (3) has not been addressed. Then, based on the permanence of system (3), we define a norm with respect to the solution of system (3) and then construct an impulsive comparison system for . Similar to the proof of the contraction mapping principle, we prove the existence and global attractiveness of the pest-present periodic solution of system (3).
According to the conclusion in [27], the bifurcation of the nontrivial periodic solution in [45,46,47,48,49] can be determined under certain conditions. However, the bifurcation of the pest-present periodic solution of system (3) cannot be handled in the same manner. Based on the implicit function theorem, we address this problem successfully. Compared to the following equation mentioned in [46,47]
the existence of the pest-present periodic solution is inferred from more rigorously.
As T gradually increases in interval , the IPM strategy is implemented less frequently so as not to control the pests. Then, a pest-present periodic solution emerges. Biologically speaking, during the evolution of T, the pest-free periodic solution becomes unstable; intuitively, to maintain the ecological/systematic balance, both the prey and predator populations should eventually stabilize around a pest-present periodic solution. Given the numerical results in Figure 3, we hypothesize that the pest-present periodic solution obtained above is locally stable. We plan to investigate the stability of the pest-free solution in our future research.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, G.W.; Methodology, G.W.; Software, G.W.; Writing—original draft, G.W.; Writing—review & editing, M.Y. and Z.Z.; Supervision, M.Y. and Z.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This study received no financial support.
Data Availability Statement
The original contributions presented in this study are included in the article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Appendix A. First-Order Partial Derivatives of y(t) and x(t) with Initial Values
Let
be a solution of the first two equations of system (3), where . Then, we have
and
where . Moreover, it holds that
Similarly, from (A6), it can be obtained by mathematical induction that
Appendix B. Several Propositions for Determining the Signs of and at Point (Tb, 0)
Proposition A1.
It holds that
Proof.
Then, it can be obtained by mathematical induction that
Additionally, from (A11), it can be obtained by mathematical induction that
On the other hand, from (14), (23), (26), and (27), we see that
and thus,
Therefore, it holds from (12), (A10), (A12), and (A13) that
This completes the proof. □
Proposition A2.
It is considered that
Proof.
Then, it follows from (A15) that
This completes the proof. □
Proposition A3.
It is considered that
Proof.
On the other hand, it follows from (23), (24), (26), and (27) that
or,
and, hence, we obtain that
Then, we have
This completes the proof. □
Proposition A4.
(i) If the following condition holds:
then the following inequalities
hold for .(ii) It is considered that
where and .
Proof.
Note that
Since
we have
Then, according to the comparison theorem, (A20), (A21), (A22), and (A18), we know that (A19) is valid.
Note that
Since
we have
which implies that
This completes the proof. □
Proposition A5.
For , it is true that
and
Proof.
From (20) and Propositions A4 and A2, we obtain that
Similarly, we obtain that
This completes the proof. □
Appendix C. The Determination of the Sign of at Point (Tb, 0)
Appendix D. Determination of the Sign of at Point (Tb, 0)
Then, from (A31), it can be obtained by mathematical induction that
Furthermore, it can also be obtained by mathematical induction that
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