Abstract
We revisit the axioms of Scarsini, defining bivariate concordance measures for a pair of continuous random variables ; such measures can be understood as functions of the bivariate copula C associated with . Two constructions, investigated in the works of Edwards, Mikusiński, Taylor, and Fuchs, are generalized, yielding, in particular, examples of higher than degree-two polynomial-type concordance measures, along with examples of non-polynomial-type concordance measures, and providing an incentive to investigate possible further characterizations of such concordance measures, as was achieved by Edwards and Taylor for the degree-one case.
Keywords:
scarsini axioms; bivariate copula; transformation; polynomial-type concordance measure; multiplicative function MSC:
62H20; 62H05; 58D19
1. Introduction
When modeling the dependence between two or more random variables, one often tries to gauge the strength of their relationship by statistically estimating some measure(s) of association. This typically involves computing one or several functionals that depend on the copula of those variables (Spearman , Kendall’s , Gini’s , etc.; see Section 2) and, possibly, on the one-dimensional marginals (e.g., Pearson’s correlation coefficient).
The interest in dependence measures stems from two complementary directions: on the one hand, it comes from a desire to measure the strength of dependence in collected data samples, i.e., to empirically estimate some association or dependence measure among variables of interest using parametric or nonparametric approaches (the latter typically involves using ranks and their functions); on the other hand, the interest arises from the need to compute dependence measures in a given theoretical (population) model, i.e., to find the theoretical dependence level among the variables. Such results often end up being used in statistical goodness-of-fit tests when choosing competing models for the data at hand.
There are many different ways to measure dependence, and one can naturally wonder about key properties that such measures should have. In the literature, one encounters several sets of axioms listing the most important properties of such measures as functionals on the set of copulas. For the measures of concordance, there are the axioms of Scarsini [1] in the bivariate case, and their generalizations to the multivariate setting; see the works of Taylor [2,3], Joe [4], Nelsen [5], and Dolati and Úbeda-Flores [6], just to name a few. Alternatively, we also have the axioms of Rényi [7] for the measures of dependence of a pair of random variables. In the copula setting (when the considered variables have continuous distributions), these axioms are provided, e.g., in [8], Definition 5.3.1. For more recent results in a similar direction, we recommend a paper by Borroni [9] and the references cited therein.
Many authors have considered various properties of dependence measures, how they compare with each other, what inequalities are satisfied in general and for particular families of copulas, what dependence measures say about symmetry/asymmetry of distributions, etc. Among many such works, as examples, we could mention recent works by Kokol Bukovšek et al. [10] and Mroz and Trutschnig [11]. A significant amount of research has been conducted to extend bivariate measures of concordance to the multivariate setting. The interested reader is referred to the works of Joe [4], Nelsen [5,12], Úbeda-Flores [13], Fuchs [14,15], and Mesfioui and Quessy [16], just to name a few. Many classical facts about concordance measures can also be found in the books by Nelsen [8], Joe [17], and Durante and Sempi [18].
Regarding computational aspects and practical applications of concordance measures, we can mention recent works by Dalessandro and Peters [19], Derumigny and Fermanian [20], and Denuit et al. [21].
In this paper, we focus on the theoretical aspects of bivariate measures of concordance, which preserve the so-called concordance order, and primarily try to investigate the diversity of the set of such measures. This interest has been stimulated by the works of Edwards and Taylor [22] and Taylor [2,3]. The authors, among other questions, suggested characterizing degree- polynomial-type measures of concordance (see Section 2 for definitions). Degree-one measures of concordance were characterized in [22] (see also the earlier works with Mikusiński [23,24]), and three construction methods were provided. Yet another construction of degree-one concordance measures is provided by Borroni [9]. In higher dimensions, similar constructions were considered by Fuchs [14,15,25], extending earlier work by Fuchs and Schmidt [26]. To the best of our knowledge, there are well-known degree-one (Spearman’s , Gini’s , etc.) and degree-two (e.g., Kendall’s , or its generalization in [9]) polynomial-type concordance measures, but no higher-degree examples are present in the literature. Thus, before trying to solve the suggested characterization problem, one has to have several examples to work with. In this paper, we take the first step in this direction and provide two constructions of concordance measures of odd-degree polynomial-type, along with those of non-polynomial-type. This is achieved in Theorems 1 and 2, which generalize ([23] Theorem 0.6) and ([22] Theorem 2). In addition, we give also give an easy method to get some even-degree polynomial-type measures; see Remark 1. Our search for more nontrivial extensions for even-degree polynomial-type concordance measures that would generalize Kendall’s encountered several technical hurdles that were overcome only after a preliminary version of this paper was submitted for a review. We expect to provide the new findings regarding generalized Kendall’s in a companion paper [27] in the near future.
To summarize our contributions, we have (i) generalized popular degree-one polynomial-type concordance measures (Spearman’s , Gini’s , Blomqvist’s , etc.) to higher-degree (odd and also some even) polynomial and non-polynomial type measures and (ii) present various examples illustrating how the new measures could be computed. In the process we have found that the set of concordance measures is much bigger and deserves further study, both from the theoretical and practical points of view.
The rest of the paper is structured as follows. In Section 2, we give the preliminaries by introducing the needed concepts, including Scarsini’s axioms of concordance measures for bivariate copulas, emphasizing the role of the symmetries of the unit square . Section 3 and Section 4 provide our main results, Section 5 gives various examples of their application, and Section 6 includes a short discussion and directions for future research.
2. Preliminaries
In this section, we succinctly provide several basic notions and facts about copulas, their transformations obtained from the symmetries of the unit square, and the axioms of Scarsini for a functional on the set of bivariate copulas to be called a concordance measure. For more on the copula theory, see the books by Nelsen [8], Durante and Sempi [18], and Joe [17].
2.1. Basic Notions of Copula Theory
We begin with the notion of a bivariate copula. Let .
Definition 1
([8] Definition 2.2.2). By a bivariate copula (a copula, for short) C (though one can also consider n-variate copulas for any (see, e.g., [8,17,18]), but we will only be concerned with bivariate copulas in this paper), we mean a function defined on with values in such that
- (i)
- for any ,
- (ii)
- for any , and
- (iii)
- (2-increasingness) for all with and ,
The first two conditions for C are also called the boundary conditions, and the set of all bivariate copulas will be denoted by .
Among many examples of copulas in the literature (see [8,17,18] and the references therein), one often discusses the comonotonicity copula , independence copula , and countermonotonicity copula for .
With each (bivariate) copula , one can associate a Borel measure which is doubly stochastic, i.e., for any Borel set , and where denotes the Lebesgue measure, and such that , for any , and vice versa (see, e.g., ([18] Theorem 3.1.2), where the result is stated for a general dimension ). In what follows, integrals with respect to a copula , e.g., , will mean .
On the set of bivariate copulas, one can consider a pointwise partial order relation defined as follows:
Definition 2
([8] Definition 2.8.1). For any , we say that is smaller (resp. larger) than and denote it by (resp. ) if (resp. ) for any .
Concordance order, in the general d-dimensional setting (when ), is defined as
where , are uniformly distributed random variables on whose copula is C. In other words, is the survival function associated with copula C. For , , so concordance order for bivariate copulas is equivalent to pointwise order.
Then, the famous Fréchet–Hoeffding bounds (see, e.g., ([8] Equation (2.2.5)) can be written succinctly as for any . For any reasonable concordance measure in the sense of Scarsini (Kendall’s , Spearman’s , and Gini’s are examples; see ([8] Definition 5.1.7)), when measuring the dependence between continuous random variables X and Y whose copula is C, an increase in C in concordance order means an increase in , which justifies the name of the order.
2.2. Transformations of Copulas Generated by Symmetries of Their Domain
In relation to the axioms of concordance measures, of particular importance are the transformations of bivariate (or, more generally, multivariate) copulas that are induced by the symmetries of their domain (or for in higher dimensions). The group of symmetries of the unit square can be generated by involutions (permutation, i.e., reflection with respect to the main diagonal) and (partial reflection, i.e., symmetry with respect to the vertical line ), given by
Involution means that , the identity transformation. Additionally, one can get the partial reflection with respect to the axis as . Combining the two reflections, we get the so-called total reflection
Altogether, the group of symmetries of the unit square, also called the dihedral group , has elements:
Given a symmetry , there is a corresponding transformation given by
For the partial reflections , and total reflection , one easily gets
and the transpose of C is given by .
Partial reflections and can also be written using the star-product, introduced and developed by Darsow, Nguyen, and Olsen [28]:
where denotes the partial derivative of f with respect to the ith variable. Then, straightforward computations show:
2.3. Scarsini’s Axioms of Concordance Measures
In this paper, we are concerned with the family of functionals on the set of copulas , which measure the "degree of association" of continuous random variables having a given copula and preserve concordance order. This family was axiomatized by Scarsini in 1984 (see [1,29]; for extensions to the multidimensional case, see [2,6]).
Definition 3
([18] Definition 2.4.7). A measure of concordance is a mapping such that
- κ is defined for every copula ,
- for every , ,
- whenever ,
- ,
- ,
- for the partial reflections and , and any ,
- (continuity) if uniformly (for copulas, pointwise convergence is enough) as , then .
One can observe that some authors, e.g., Nelsen ([8] Definition 5.1.17, Property 2) and Fuchs ([15] Section 30) also required
- ,
which can be achieved by a simple normalization if the original concordance measure does not satisfy this condition.
The list of the best known concordance measures includes Spearman’s , Kendall’s , Gini’s , Blomqvist’s , see ([8] Chapter 5), ([18] Section 2.4). On the other hand, Spearman’s foot-rule is not a concordance measure, see ([8] Exercise 5.21).
These measures, including Spearman’s foot-rule, are typically defined in terms of the so-called biconvex form (a more precise name, in our opinion, would be convex-combinations-restricted bilinear form, which is much longer, albeit clearer), given by
which is linear in each place with respect to convex combinations of copulas, hence the terminology. Indeed (see [8]), for a copula ,
- Spearman’s is given by ,
- Kendall’s is defined as ,
- Gini’s is , and
- Spearman’s foot-rule is .
One can alternatively use Kruskal’s [30] concordance function
(which is, in fact, symmetric in the bivariate case) to define the above measures. An exception is Blomqvist’s defined by . It can be written in a similar form as
with the Borel measure , where denotes Dirac’s delta at the point z. Note that such a is not doubly-stochastic and so cannot come from a copula.
Many concordance measures in the literature have the property that the map
is a polynomial in t for any fixed . Thus, it makes sense to introduce
Definition 4
([22] Definition 2). A measure of concordance, κ, is of polynomial type if for every choice of the mapping in Equation (4) is a polynomial in t.
Definition 5
([22] Definition 3). The degree of a measure of concordance of polynomial type, κ, is defined as
It is known that the popular Spearman’s , Gini’s , and Blomqvist’s are all degree-one concordance measures, and Kendall’s is a degree-two concordance measure.
3. Main Results
This section contains our main results and their proofs. We begin with our generalization of ([23] Theorem 0.6).
Theorem 1.
Let μ be a Borel measure on and a multiplicative function, i.e., for any . Then, the mapping
defines a measure of concordance for some if and only if
- (a)
- μ is regular and -invariant;
- (b)
- ϕ is continuous, odd, nondecreasing, , , and
- (c)
- , , where
Remark 1.
Theorem 0.6 of [23] considers only . On the other hand, our theorem allows taking
- (i)
- for ;
- (ii)
- , where and denotes the sign function, i.e.,
The proof of Theorem 1 requires appropriate generalizations of Lemmas 0.4 and 0.5 [23]. First, we have
Lemma 1.
Let μ and ν be nonnegative, regular Borel measures on and be an odd, continuous, multiplicative function such that and . If
then .
Proof.
The proof mimics that of ([23] Lemma 0.4). The key differences are places where the original is replaced by a more general odd, continuous, and multiplicative function .
First, observe that it is enough to establish that for any rectangle . Following Edwards, Mikusiński, and Taylor, for any sufficiently small, so that , we consider
where is an absolutely continuous copula with density
This is an approximation of the indicator function : for any , there is a sufficiently small such that ; on the other hand, for any , . Moreover, as , .
Observing that and using the continuity and multiplicativity assumptions on , together with the dominated convergence theorem ( for any rectangle and any sufficiently small), we get
completing the proof of this lemma. □
Second, we need
Lemma 2.
If μ is a Borel measure on and is an odd, Borel measurable function, then μ is -invariant if and only if for any ,
provided the integrals on the left-hand sides or on the right-hand sides are defined (possibly infinite).
Proof.
The proof is almost identical to that of ([23] Lemma 0.5), and hence is omitted. It essentially employs the definition of -invariance and a change of variable formula for integrals (where only measurability of integrands is needed), and the oddness property of is needed to be able to get the minus sign outside the integral. □
Proof of Theorem 1.
(Necessity) Suppose in (5) defines a concordance measure. Consider a subfamily of Fréchet–Mardia copulas
Then, it is clear that if —that is, the family of copulas is positively ordered with respect to concordance order. Using the fact that is multiplicative, we get, for any ,
Since is assumed to be a concordance measure,
Moreover, since is assumed multiplicative,
The choice contradicts (9), so we are left with , which gives
However, due to multiplicativity, and so for any , and hence also for . Furthermore,
implying as in (6). As for any , by multiplicativity,
This shows that must be continuous on and hence also on . Indeed, for any we have pointwise (and also uniformly) if and so, using Axiom of concordance measures, .
In addition, since if , we also get that must be nondecreasing on , and hence also on by Equation (10).
To prove that is odd, we first need the fact that is necessarily nonnegative on any rectangle . As in the proof of Theorem 0.6 [23], for any small enough, we consider given by (7). Then, , and since is multiplicative, Axiom gives
Letting , we get
so that the left-hand side of (11) tends to by the dominated convergence theorem, remaining nonnegative in the limit.
As is multiplicative, for any ,
Thus, , but the value cannot be taken, since
This means that only can be taken, and so must be an odd function on .
To show that is regular, we argue by contradiction and slightly modify the corresponding lines in ([23] p. 1510). Suppose there is a compact set such that . Then, setting
we have
since , a contradiction. Therefore, must indeed be a regular measure.
Finally, since is a measure of concordance,
so that is -invariant by Lemma 2.
(Sufficiency) Suppose , , and satisfy conditions (a)–(c) of the theorem. Then, using Lemma 2 and Equation (2), we have
and using Fréchet–Hoeffding bounds (i.e., ) and nondecreasingness of , we get , for any copula , verifying Axiom . Additionally, it is clear that as , showing that Axiom holds.
Since is -invariant, by Lemma 2, we have and . Additionally,
so that Axiom is also verified.
As is a nonnegative measure and is nondecreasing, implies ; i.e., Axiom holds.
Finally, if pointwise as , then due to the continuity of and by dominated convergence theorem, , yielding Axiom . □
4. Inner and Outer Averages
Edwards and Taylor ([22] Theorems 2 and 3) also presented two more characterizations of degree-one bivariate concordance measures. The first is obtained by averaging (5) (with ) over the symmetries of for an arbitrary copula and using the fact that (see Equation (1) and Axioms and ), with
In other words, , called the order of , counts the minimal number of partial reflections (i.e., and ) needed to describe .
By ([22] Theorem 2), is degree one measure of concordance if and only if there is a Borel measure on , putting zero mass on the boundary of and normalizing it such that , so that
Here , where is the measure from ([23] Theorem 0.6) (the same also appears in ([22] Theorem 1)). Observe that here the measure need not be unique: several Borel measures on can give the same measure of concordance; is unique only among the Borel measures with the above-specified properties!
Note also that in [22], the authors construct from a given degree-one concordance measure , and in [23], concordance measure is constructed from a given measure .
With a more general function , we can consider two kinds of average:
- (outer)which clearly gives another (symmetrized) form of the same concordance measure as in Theorem 1, provided , , and satisfy the conditions of that theorem;
- (inner)where after averaging disappears.
Following similar ideas and generalizing the definitions of concordance measures to the multidimensional setting, by using the biconvex form (3), Fuchs [15] considers the mappings
where is a fixed copula, and is a transformation of copulas related to a certain subgroup of the group of copula transformations, which is generated by all partial reflections and permutations. The author gives conditions for the maps in (13) and (14) to be concordance measures when is the arithmetic average
where denotes the number of elements in . This is again a copula (as a convex combination of copulas) and -invariant, i.e., for any . We also emphasize that in that work the integrating measure (as in Equation (12)) was only considered to be a d-fold stochastic measure , for some copula A.
For simplicity of notation, we will consider the following linear transformation of a bivariate copula C, involving only reflections:
The function is not a copula, yet the map is increasing in concordance order, which will prove to be handy later:
Additionally, observe that .
We also define a -invariant version of ◊, given by
By construction and using ,
It is straightforward to check using the definitions (15), (16), and the properties and , for , that
Next we establish, under certain conditions, which are less stringent than in Theorem 1 due to acquired symmetries of the average inside the integrand, that is also a concordance measure, so inner averages as in (12) can also give concordance measures.
Conceptually similar are the results of Fuchs [15], where unsigned averages over several subgroups of are considered and the symmetries of the integrand are complimented by those of the integrator to obtain concordance measures. Our result is different as it uses a more general function (not only ) and also considers signed averages.
Theorem 2.
Let be a continuous, strictly increasing, odd function and such that . Fix an arbitrary . Then, the map given by
defines a concordance measure. If, in addition, A is -invariant, then also the mapping
is a concordance measure.
Remark 2.
Proof.
To verify the correctness of the definition of and , observe that there is a constant such that , and so
since is assumed to be strictly increasing and . Thus, the denominators in (19) and (20) do not vanish for any .
Additionally, it is clear from (18) that and , so Axioms and hold.
Axiom holds for because the mapping is -invariant. In the second case, i.e., when A is -invariant, is -invariant by the change of variable formula for integrals, verifying Axiom for .
Axiom holds since the biconvex form (for bivariate copulas) in (3) is increasing in its first argument with respect to concordance order, and we have emphasized that also is increasing with respect to this order; the same is true for .
Axiom holds due to Axioms and , and due to the fact that :
Finally, if a sequence of copulas converges uniformly to a copula C, as , then the also and uniformly converge to and , respectively, and so
pointwise on as , due to the continuity of . Thus, and as , by a standard application of Lebesgue’s dominated convergence theorem, completing the proof. □
The proof can easily be adapted to accommodate the case of a more general integrating Borel measure . We have
Corollary 1.
Let be a continuous, strictly increasing, odd function and such that . Let ν be a finite Borel measure with support . Then, the map given by
defines a concordance measure. If, in addition, ν is π-invariant (i.e., ), then the mapping
is a concordance measure.
5. Applications and Examples
Our starting observation that led to this study was the fact that the biconvex form in Equation (3) is defined for more general functions—namely, one can consider more general maps (where denotes the set of continuous functions on the unit square ). We wondered whether concordance measures of similar form as in (13) and (14) could still be obtained. The second motivation to step away from the requirement of having was the desire to construct examples of concordance measures such that the map in Equation (4) gives a polynomial of degree when is chosen appropriately. Edwards and Taylor ([22] Questions 1 and 2) (see also ([3] Questions 2 and 3, p. 235)) formulated a question about the characterization of bivariate (and multivariate) concordance measures of degree . Still, examples of concordance measures of degree were not provided, leaving one to wonder if such a question is non-vacuous.
The main family of examples we had in mind when starting the study was , . However, we soon realized that additional restrictions on were needed, in particular, the oddness of appeared as in Theorem 1. On the other hand, the multiplicativity property allows taking also for . Thus, to illustrate Theorem 1, we consider these two families of functions .
Example 1
(Generalized Blomqvist’s beta). By taking and , we have
and so in this case
which generalizes Blomqvist’s beta.
Remark 1.
The above power-construction can be generalized: indeed, for any bivariate concordance measure ρ and any , is again a concordance measure as all the axioms clearly hold. In particular, if is Kendall’s tau, then provides examples of degree polynomial-type concordance measures.
Example 2.
As another example, consider ; μ, being any Borel measure satisfying the conditions of Theorem 1; and, . Then, provides examples of non-polynomial-type concordance measures if is not an integer, or if for . When , an odd integer, we recover the function from the previous example.
Observe, furthermore, that the extreme case does not produce a concordance measure. Indeed, if
where
then
which does not satisfy Axiom . Indeed, considering , , we have pointwise as , but . In particular, this shows that the set of bivariate concordance measures is not closed as a subset of the space of continuous functions on , , with considered as a compact and convex subset of !
Example 3
(Generalized Gini’s gamma). Consider a function which satisfies the conditions of Theorem 1, and this time take . Then,
As for the normalizing constant, we obtain
thus
In particular, letting , for , we recover Gini’s gamma.
Example 4.
To illustrate Theorem 2, we consider . Then,
where
Observing that, for any ,
we get
In particular, for ,
and so
Choosing , we get
where denotes Spearman’s ρ for a copula C. Similar computations also yield as Π is, in particular, -invariant. Thus, the families
generalize Spearman’s ρ.
Additionally, observe that for ,
are polynomials of (odd) degree in , so that Edward and Taylor’s question mentioned earlier is non-vacuous at least for odd degrees. Unfortunately, this still leaves open the question about even degree 4) examples, generalizing Kendall’s . To give more details, consider, for example, the mapping
with
Even though such a satisfies most of the axioms of concordance measures, it is not clear if Axiom holds. The main reason for this is that is no longer a copula, so the symmetry of the biconvex form, i.e., , valid for bivariate copulas (see [25] Theorem 3.3), can no longer be applied without additional arguments. (While this paper was being reviewed, we made some progress in this direction and also found a way to generalize Kendall’s . The details will appear in a follow-up publication [27].)
One can wonder, as one of the referees did, if the concordance measures considered in this paper could be computed for popular elliptic or Archimedean families of copulas. This could definitely be achieved in the setting of Examples 1 and 3, for generalized Blomqvist’s and Gini’s . Regarding generalizations of Spearman’s , unfortunately, we do not have a general formula (even for the usual Spearman’s ) in terms, e.g., of the generator of an Archimedean copula, as opposed to the case of Kendall’s . Thus, computations, in general, need to be done on a case by case basis. To illustrate that this can be achieved, we present the final example of this section.
Example 5
(Generalized Spearman’s for Marshall–Olkin copulas). Let , , , and consider Marshall–Olkin (see, e.g., ([8] (3.1.3))) family of copulas:
Then,
where
and
As for the normalizing constant,
so that
In particular, if , we recover a well-known expression (see, e.g., [8] Example 5.7(b)) for Spearman’s ρ,
6. Closing Remarks and Directions for Further Research
In this paper, we have presented two construction methods and several examples for generating bivariate polynomial-type concordance measures of odd and certain even degree, and of non-polynomial-type concordance measures. More general constructions for even-degree measures will be discussed in a follow-up paper [27]. Our research was based on the ideas and results by Edwards, Mikusiński and Taylor, and of Fuchs, and should be extended further. For example, the full characterization of higher degree polynomial-type concordance measures is lacking, as is its generalization to the multivariate case. To be precise, we still do not know if the construction of the integrating measure , given in [22], in the case , is extendable to the case of more general multiplicative functions . It would also be interesting to explore the connections of our findings to the recent results of Borroni [9], where yet another characterization of degree-one measures is provided and even some second-degree measures, generalizing Kendall’s , are constructed.
We believe that our work, especially the examples constructed, showed that the questions of Edwards, Mikusiński, and Taylor about the characterization of polynomial-type concordance measures are justified and deserve further research efforts. It would indeed be interesting to further develop this theory to get a clearer picture about the diversity of the set of concordance measures. This way, we hope to get more information about the set of copulas and their properties from the (not only linear) functionals defined on them—a common theme in functional analysis and other branches of mathematics.
Yet another direction, not touched in this work, would be to explore statistical applications of such measures to the analysis of data. We have mentioned two recent works by Derumigny and Fermanian [20] and Denuit et al. [21], but, of course, there is much more research on applications of copulas and concordance measures in statistics. We wonder what advantage, if any, a more general multiplicative function as in Theorem 1 has over the simplest linear one, or what other properties of concordance measures are attractive to statisticians who select one concordance measure and not some other. Among such properties one naturally stumbles upon effective computability, easiness of application, etc. Thus, perhaps the recent results of Dalessandro and Peters [19] could be useful in this direction. Only the future will tell.
Funding
This research was funded, in part, by the Research Council of Lithuania (project No. S-MIP-20-16).
Institutional Review Board Statement
Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement
Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement
Not applicable.
Acknowledgments
The author would like to thank three anonymous referees for their suggestions that led to several improvements of this paper.
Conflicts of Interest
The author declares no conflict of interest.
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