Identification of Innovative Opportunities Based on Product Scenario Evolution
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Related Research
2.1. Research and Methods of Opportunity Identification
2.2. Application of Scenario
3. Concept of Product Scenario
3.1. Scenario Elements of Product Scenario
3.2. Development of Product Scenario
3.3. Typical Product Scenario Construction
4. Proposed Method
4.1. The Target Scenario Elements for Extension
4.2. Methods for Extending Target Scenario Elements
4.2.1. Scenario Elements Extension Rules
4.2.2. Scenario Elements Extension Strategies
4.2.3. Selection Strategies for Extending Scenario Elements
4.3. New Scenario Element Sets Construction and Innovation Opportunity Identification
4.3.1. Innovation Opportunity Generation Process
4.3.2. Innovation Opportunity Evaluation
4.4. Summary
5. Case Study
5.1. Product Scenario of PE-WM
5.2. PE-WM’s Target Extension Scenario Elements
5.3. Selection of Element Extension Strategies
5.4. New Scenario Element Sets and Innovation Opportunities
5.5. Innovative Design Scheme of PE-WM
5.6. Solution Evaluation and Comparison
6. Discussion
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
No. | m1(E1) | m2(E2) | m3(E3) | No. | m1(E1) | m2(E2) | m3(E3) | No. | m1(E1) | m2(E2) | m3(E3) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H1 | A1 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.11 | A12 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.09 | A22 | 0.62 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
H2 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.20 | |||
H3 | 0.54 | 0.52 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.53 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.07 | |||
Θ | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.04 | |||
H1 | A2 | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.13 | A13 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.09 | A23 | 0.68 | 0.50 | 0.71 |
H2 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.22 | |||
H3 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.53 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.00 | |||
Θ | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 0.07 | |||
H1 | A3 | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.13 | A14 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.06 | A24 | 0.74 | 0.38 | 0.52 |
H2 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.36 | 0.31 | |||
H3 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.87 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.08 | |||
Θ | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.09 | |||
H1 | A4 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.11 | A15 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.03 | A25 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.18 |
H2 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 0.70 | |||
H3 | 0.54 | 0.52 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.92 | 0.74 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.11 | |||
Θ | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | |||
H1 | A5 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.09 | A16 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | A26 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.15 |
H2 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.71 | 0.81 | 0.59 | |||
H3 | 0.72 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.24 | |||
Θ | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | |||
H1 | A6 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.10 | A17 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.03 | A27 | 0.74 | 0.38 | 0.52 |
H2 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.36 | 0.31 | |||
H3 | 0.69 | 0.88 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.92 | 0.74 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.08 | |||
Θ | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.09 | |||
H1 | A7 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.11 | A18 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.06 | A28 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.18 |
H2 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 0.70 | |||
H3 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 0.63 | 0.87 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.11 | |||
Θ | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | |||
H1 | A8 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.05 | A19 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 0.14 | A29 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.22 |
H2 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.84 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 0.62 | |||
H3 | 0.74 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.14 | |||
Θ | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.02 | |||
H1 | A9 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.01 | A20 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.11 | A30 | 0.62 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
H2 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.20 | |||
H3 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 0.74 | 0.76 | 0.82 | 0.72 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.07 | |||
Θ | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.04 | |||
H1 | A10 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.26 | A21 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.22 | A31 | 0.75 | 0.54 | 0.63 |
H2 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.51 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 0.62 | 0.14 | 0.27 | 0.29 | |||
H3 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.07 | |||
Θ | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | |||
H1 | A11 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 0.02 | ||||||||
H2 | 0.52 | 0.74 | 0.71 | |||||||||
H3 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.26 | |||||||||
Θ | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
No. | Probability | No. | Probability | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H1 | H2 | H3 | Θ | H1 | H2 | H3 | Θ | ||
A1 | 0.0016758 | 0.1049519 | 0.8933560 | 0.0000163 | A17 | 0.0003267 | 0.0059875 | 0.9936817 | 0.0000041 |
A2 | 0.0086795 | 0.0817900 | 0.9095224 | 0.0000081 | A18 | 0.0002148 | 0.0086208 | 0.9911605 | 0.0000039 |
A3 | 0.0086795 | 0.0817900 | 0.9095224 | 0.0000081 | A19 | 0.0347296 | 0.9639804 | 0.0011889 | 0.0001012 |
A4 | 0.0016758 | 0.1049519 | 0.8933560 | 0.0000163 | A20 | 0.0007000 | 0.0097226 | 0.9895732 | 0.0000042 |
A5 | 0.0048121 | 0.0262057 | 0.9689708 | 0.0000113 | A21 | 0.0556322 | 0.9241654 | 0.0201771 | 0.0000253 |
A6 | 0.0011553 | 0.0095234 | 0.9893167 | 0.0000046 | A22 | 0.9455432 | 0.0537319 | 0.0006827 | 0.0000422 |
A7 | 0.0007650 | 0.0425621 | 0.9566673 | 0.0000056 | A23 | 0.9170105 | 0.0800972 | 0.0024681 | 0.0004242 |
A8 | 0.0006209 | 0.0093461 | 0.9900288 | 0.0000042 | A24 | 0.8642412 | 0.1101873 | 0.0246789 | 0.0008926 |
A9 | 0.0010156 | 0.0237232 | 0.9752559 | 0.0000053 | A25 | 0.0171186 | 0.9376036 | 0.0452532 | 0.0000246 |
A10 | 0.0746915 | 0.8354868 | 0.0897994 | 0.0000223 | A26 | 0.0032816 | 0.9821718 | 0.0145359 | 0.0000108 |
A11 | 0.0035949 | 0.9671421 | 0.0292563 | 0.0000067 | A27 | 0.8642412 | 0.1101873 | 0.0246789 | 0.0008926 |
A12 | 0.0017379 | 0.0313047 | 0.9669459 | 0.0000116 | A28 | 0.0171186 | 0.9376036 | 0.0452532 | 0.0000246 |
A13 | 0.0017379 | 0.0313047 | 0.9669459 | 0.0000116 | A29 | 0.0556322 | 0.9241654 | 0.0201771 | 0.0000253 |
A14 | 0.0002148 | 0.0086208 | 0.9911605 | 0.0000039 | A30 | 0.9455432 | 0.0537319 | 0.0006827 | 0.0000422 |
A15 | 0.0003267 | 0.0059875 | 0.9936817 | 0.0000041 | A31 | 0.9487290 | 0.0454473 | 0.0058167 | 0.0000070 |
A16 | 0.0000012 | 0.0004963 | 0.9995012 | 0.0000012 |
No. | Carrier | Act | Object | No. | Carrier | Act | Object |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A1 | User | Operate | Fixture-2 | A17 | Guide rod | Install | Heating plate |
A2 | User | Operate | Milling plate | A18 | Guide rod | Install | Fixture-1 |
A3 | User | Operate | Heating plate | A19 | Fixture-1 | Fasten and Move | Pipe-1 |
A4 | User | Operate | Fixture-1 | A20 | Cabel | Power | Heating plate |
A5 | User | Operate | Pump station | A21 | Pipe-1 | Push | Heating plate |
A6 | User | Operate | Electrical box | A22 | Heating plate | Heat | Pipe-1 |
A7 | Weather | Effect | Electrical box | A23 | Ground | Hold | Base |
A8 | Cable | Power | Pump station | A24 | Milling plate | Mill | Pipe-1 |
A9 | Pump station | Push | Piping and Hydraulic oil | A25 | Pipe-1 | Push | Milling plate |
A10 | Piping and Hydraulic oil | Push | Hydraulic cylinder | A26 | Fixture-2 | Fasten | Pipe-2 |
A11 | Hydraulic cylinder | Push | Fixture-1 | A27 | Milling plate | Mill | Pipe-2 |
A12 | Nut and bolt | Fasten | Fixture-1 | A28 | Milling plate | Push | Pipe-2 |
A13 | Nut and bolt | Fasten | Fixture-2 | A29 | Heating plate | Push | Pipe-2 |
A14 | Guide rod | Install | Fixture-2 | A30 | Heating plate | Heat | Pipe-2 |
A15 | Guide rod | Install | Milling plate | A31 | Pipe-1 | Push | Pipe-2 |
A16 | Base | Fix | Guide rod |
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Level | m1(E1) | m2(E2) | m3(E3) | ms |
---|---|---|---|---|
H1 | p11 | p12 | p13 | ms1 |
H2 | p21 | p22 | p23 | ms2 |
H3 | p31 | p32 | p33 | ms3 |
{H1, H2, H3} | pΘ1 | pΘ2 | pΘ3 | msΘ |
No. | Name | Explanation | Symbolic |
---|---|---|---|
Rule 1 | Same-object multi-characteristic extension | Increasing the involvement or importance of different characteristics that have not been attended to, thus changing the original scenario elements. | |
Rule 2 | Same-characteristic divergence | Changing the type of object while keeping the characteristics unchanged. Usually, this operation also changes the value of the characteristics and the type of scenario elements. | |
Rule 3 | Same-characteristic and same-value divergence | Exploring different objects with the same characteristics and values to discover diverse scenario elements with the same characteristics. | |
Rule 4 | Same-object and same-characteristic divergence | Change the value of a characteristic to change the category of an object or to increase the diversity of a characteristic. | |
Rule 5 | Change of correlation | There are six types of changes: disappearance or addition of correlation, stronger or weaker correlation, and exchange of linear and non-linear correlation. | |
Rule 6 | Extension by implication relations | Discover new scenario elements from the context of the scenario elements based on their implication relationships. | |
Rule 7 | Combination extension | Combine two or more scenario elements into a new scenario element through combination. | |
Rule 8 | Replication | This rule can be considered a special case of combination extension, which is the combination of multiple scenario elements that are the same or similar. | |
Rule 9 | Delete | This is the reverse of combination extension, where deleting some or all of the decomposed values, characteristics, or objects can change the original scenario element. |
No. | NEC | Suggested Extension Rules | Cases |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Adapting to changes in parameters within the product. | Rule 1, Rule 4, Rule 5 | Car cooling fan adjusts speed according to engine temperature. |
2 | Function execution time is dynamic. | Rule 1, Rule 4, Rule 5 | Solar concentrator rotates with the sun. |
3 | Function execution space is dynamic. | Rule 1, Rule 2, Rule 3, Rule 4, Rule 5 | Electromagnetic suspension adjusts the height and stiffness of the chassis according to the road surface. |
4 | Product structure in space and time is dynamic. | Rule 5, Rule 7, Rule 8, Rule 9 | Structural changes of a laptop computer when used on a desktop and when transported in a backpack. |
5 | Adapting product functions to environment parameters. | Rule 1, Rule 5 | Air conditioner compressor speed adjusted to room temperature. |
6 | Precise targeting of users. | Rule 1, Rule 5, Rule 6, Rule 9 | Change of user age of clothes to 0–3 years old to get baby and toddler clothes. |
7 | Reducing human involvement. | Rule 5, Rule 9 | A light-sensitive energy-saving lamp that automatically switches on and off according to light intensity. |
8 | Replication of product functions. | Rule 7, Rule 8, Rule 9 | A large number of small LED screens forming a large LED screen. |
9 | Integration of needs in different environments. | Rule 2, Rule 3, Rule 6 | Integrated dual-use drone for underwater and airborne use. |
10 | Integration of different user needs. | Rule 1, Rule 2, Rule 3, Rule 4 | A foldable smart phone that can satisfy both large and small-screen users. |
11 | Integration of functions with different needs. | Rule 1, Rule 3, Rule 6, Rule 7 | Integration of beer bottle opener and lighter. |
12 | Integration of functions with opposite needs. | Rule 6, Rule 7 | Integration of eraser and pencil. |
13 | Reducing harmful effects on users. | Rule 2, Rule 3, Rule 5, Rule 7, Rule 9 | Anti-blue-light coating for eyeglass lenses. |
14 | Reducing harmful effects on the environment. | Rule 2, Rule 3, Rule 5, Rule 7, Rule 9 | Electrical enclosures made from recycled waste. |
15 | Reducing harmful effects on the product. | Rule 2, Rule 3, Rule 5, Rule 7, Rule 9 | Surface carburizing of metal parts. |
16 | Improving the quality of needs. | Rule 2, Rule 3, Rule 7, Rule 9 | Upgrading of mercury thermometers to infrared thermometers. |
No. | Predecessor Product | Next Generation Product | LT Dimension (Input) | NEC (Output) |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mercury thermometer | Electronic thermometer | #37, #48 | 13 |
2 | Integrated air conditioner | Split air conditioner | #16, #24, #48 | 13 |
3 | Ground-level garage | Three-dimensional garage | #41 | 8 |
4 | Naturally aspirated engine | Turbocharged engine | #9, #28, #48 | 16 |
5 | Cell phone holder | Handheld gimbal | #29, #42, #44 | 4 |
No. | Indicators | Score |
---|---|---|
1 | Changing of basic scenario element value | 1 |
2 | Changing of basic scenario element characteristic | 2 |
3 | Changing of basic scenario element object | 3 |
4 | Changing of relationship scenario element | 1 |
No. | Function | No. | Function | No. | Function |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
A1 | Operate fixtures | A12 | Maintain clamping force | A23 | Increase stability |
A2 | Load and unload milling plate | A13 | Maintain clamping force | A24 | Flattens solid surface |
A3 | Load and unload heating plate | A14 | Constrain solid’s movement direction | A25 | Increase contact surface pressure |
A4 | Operate fixtures | A15 | Stabilize position | A26 | Fixed pipe position |
A5 | Connect fluid | A16 | Fix guide rod | A27 | Flattens solid surface |
A6 | Switch on the power | A17 | Stabilize position | A28 | Increase contact surface pressure |
A7 | Transmit current | A18 | Constrain solid’s movement direction | A29 | Increase contact area |
A8 | Convert electricity | A19 | Change solid’s position | A30 | Increase solid temperature |
A9 | Increase liquid’s pressure | A20 | Increase solid temperature | A31 | Combine solids |
A10 | Drive hydraulic cylinder | A21 | Increase contact area | ||
A11 | Move solid linearly | A22 | Input electric energy |
Target | LT Dimension Numbers | NEC | Suggested Extension Rules |
---|---|---|---|
Heating plate | #37, #41, #23, #29, #11 | 11 | Rule 1; Rule 3; Rule 6; Rule 7 |
Pipe-1 | #15, #24, #33, #25, #11, #19, #37 | 9 | Rule 2; Rule 3; Rule 6 |
Ground | #15, #24, #19 | 15 | Rule 2; Rule 3; Rule 5; Rule 7; Rule 9 |
Base | #33, #11, 19 | 3 | Rule 1; Rule 2; Rule 3; Rule 4; Rule 5 |
Milling plate | #16, #24, #32, #11, #41, #19, #35, #48, #28, #29 | 4 | Rule 5; Rule 7; Rule 8; Rule 9 |
Pipe-2 | #15, #24, #33, #11, #19, #37 | 14 | Rule 2; Rule 3; Rule 5; Rule 7; Rule 9 |
No. | Heating Plate | Rule | No. | New Scenario Elements |
---|---|---|---|---|
M3 | Rule 1 | M3-1 | ||
Rule 2 | M3-2 | |||
M3-3 | ||||
M3-4 | ||||
M3-5 | ||||
Rule 3 | M3-7 | |||
M3-7 | ||||
Rule 4 | M3-8 | |||
M3-9 |
No. | Pipe-1 | Rule | No. | New Scenario Elements |
---|---|---|---|---|
M6.1 | Rule 2 | M6.1-1 | ||
M6.1-2 | ||||
M6.1-3 | ||||
Rule 3 | M6.1-4 | |||
M6.1-5 |
No. | Ground | Rule | No. | New Scenario Elements |
---|---|---|---|---|
Me1 | Rule 2 | Me1-1 | ||
Me1-2 | ||||
Me1-3 | ||||
Rule 3 | Me1-4 | |||
Rule 5 | Me1-5 | |||
Me1-6 | ||||
Me1-7 | ||||
Me1-8 | ||||
Me1-9 |
No. | Base | Rule | No. | New Scenario Elements |
---|---|---|---|---|
M1.1 | Rule 1 | M1.1-1 | ||
Rule 4 | M1.1-2 | |||
M1.1-3 |
No. | Milling Plate | Rule | No. | New Scenario Elements |
---|---|---|---|---|
M2 | Rule 5 | M2-1 | ||
M2-2 | ||||
M2-3 | ||||
Rule 7 | M2-4 | |||
M2-5 | ||||
Rule 8 | M2-6 | |||
M2-7 |
No. | Pipe-2 | Rule | No. | New Scenario Elements |
---|---|---|---|---|
M6.2 | Rule 2 | M6.2-1 | ||
M6.2-2 | ||||
M6.2-3 | ||||
M6.2-4 | ||||
Rule 3 | M6.2-5 | |||
M6.2-6 | ||||
Rule 5 | M6.2-7 |
IIO | Expected Novelty | Expected Value | Total Score |
---|---|---|---|
IIO-1 | 3 + 2 + 2 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 11 | 6 | 17 |
IIO-2 | 3 + 2 + 2 + 3 + 1 = 11 | 10 | 21 |
IIO-3 | 3 + 2 + 2 + 1 + 3 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 14 | 11 | 25 |
Product name: New PE-WM | Overall function: Connect the pipes |
Key input: Two separated PE pipes | Key output: A connected complete PE pipe |
Important assistant functions: Adjusting the base, Walking, Loading and unloading milling and heating plates, Cutting pipes, Adjusting pipes | |
Performance requirements: | The angle of the pipe after welding is 90° to 180°; Adjusting the base to keep the machine level; Automatic loading and unloading of the milling and heating plates by means of hydraulic cylinders; Pipe cutting device and milling plate can be adjusted in angle; Clamps can be rotated and moved; |
Environmental characteristics: | The working place is outdoors in a non-flat area; Sunny weather; Power supply is available; Temperature and humidity are normal; |
User Characteristics: | Physically active adults engaged in pipeline construction; Have some specialized knowledge; Normal mobility; |
Available Resources: | Air, atmospheric pressure, power, manpower, power provided by motors and hydraulics, etc.; |
Design Constraints: | Cost should be kept under USD1500; Operation should not be too complicated; Pipe O.D. range from 100 to 4000 mm; Pipe wall thickness less than 30 mm. |
Type | Patent | Advantage | Disadvantage |
---|---|---|---|
Joint | CN218719619U: Novel electric fuse connecting pipe fitting for household interface of heat-resistant polyethylene heat supply pipe network | 1. Ease of construction. 2. Low cost. 3. No complicated equipment required. 4. Can be connected at 90 degrees. 5. Can connect complex shaped joints. 6. Can connect pipes of different materials. 7. Increase structural load bearing capacity. | 1. Requires prefabricated parts. 2. Angle cannot be adjusted. 3. Low construction tolerance. 4. Difficulty in ensuring quality of joints. 5. Joints are not universal. |
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Automatic (semi-automatic) | CN219405477U: A PE drainage pipe thermal welding equipment | 1. Highly automated. 2. High efficiency. 3. High versatility. 4. Controllable welding quality. 5. High welding quality. | 1. Unable to connect pipes of different materials. 2. Unable to connect pipes of different sizes. 3. Unable to connect pipes with angles. 4. Not easy to transport. 5. Cannot be moved by itself. |
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Wang, F.; Tan, R.; Peng, Q.; Wang, K.; Dong, Y. Identification of Innovative Opportunities Based on Product Scenario Evolution. Systems 2023, 11, 572. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems11120572
Wang F, Tan R, Peng Q, Wang K, Dong Y. Identification of Innovative Opportunities Based on Product Scenario Evolution. Systems. 2023; 11(12):572. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems11120572
Chicago/Turabian StyleWang, Fanfan, Runhua Tan, Qingjin Peng, Kang Wang, and Yafan Dong. 2023. "Identification of Innovative Opportunities Based on Product Scenario Evolution" Systems 11, no. 12: 572. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems11120572