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J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2018, 6(2), 59; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse6020059

Projected 21st Century Coastal Flooding in the Southern California Bight. Part 1: Development of the Third Generation CoSMoS Model

1
U.S. Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, 2885 Mission Street, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
2
Civil and Materials Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, 2095 Engineering Research Facility, 842 W. Taylor Street (M/C 246), Chicago, IL 60607-7023, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 24 April 2018 / Revised: 11 May 2018 / Accepted: 11 May 2018 / Published: 24 May 2018
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Change, Coasts and Coastal Risk)
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Abstract

Due to the effects of climate change over the course of the next century, the combination of rising sea levels, severe storms, and coastal change will threaten the sustainability of coastal communities, development, and ecosystems as we know them today. To clearly identify coastal vulnerabilities and develop appropriate adaptation strategies due to projected increased levels of coastal flooding and erosion, coastal managers need local-scale hazards projections using the best available climate and coastal science. In collaboration with leading scientists world-wide, the USGS designed the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) to assess the coastal impacts of climate change for the California coast, including the combination of sea-level rise, storms, and coastal change. In this project, we directly address the needs of coastal resource managers in Southern California by integrating a vast range of global climate change projections in a thorough and comprehensive numerical modeling framework. In Part 1 of a two-part submission on CoSMoS, methods and the latest improvements are discussed, and an example of hazard projections is presented. View Full-Text
Keywords: sea-level rise; coastal storm flooding; coastal hazards sea-level rise; coastal storm flooding; coastal hazards
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O’Neill, A.C.; Erikson, L.H.; Barnard, P.L.; Limber, P.W.; Vitousek, S.; Warrick, J.A.; Foxgrover, A.C.; Lovering, J. Projected 21st Century Coastal Flooding in the Southern California Bight. Part 1: Development of the Third Generation CoSMoS Model. J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2018, 6, 59.

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