Immunogenicity as a Predictor of Influenza Vaccine Efficacy: A Systematic Review
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Search Strategy and Eligibility Criteria
2.2. Outcome Measure
2.3. Data Collection and Analysis
2.4. Quality Assessment
3. Results
3.1. Subgroup Analysis
3.1.1. Efficacy per Vaccine Strain
3.1.2. Efficacy per Vaccine Type
3.2. Risk-of-Bias Assessment
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Author | Country | N | Population | Season | Vaccine | Test |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hirota 1997 [27] | Japan | 202 | Adults (19–76 y) | 1991/1992 | TIV | PCR |
Black 2011 [24] | Europe and USA | 777 | Children (6–17 m) | 2007 to 2009 | TIV | PCR |
Ohmit 2011 [30] | USA | 5510 | Adults (18–49 y) | 2007/2008 | TIV and LAIV | PCR |
Ng 2013 [29] | Hong Kong (China) | 3092 | Children (6–17 m) | 2010 | TIV | PCR |
Monto 2015 [28] | USA | 497 | Adults (18–49 y) | 2007/2008 | TIV and LAIV | PCR |
Gilbert 2019 [26] | USA | 1952 | Adults (18–49 y) | 2007/2008 | QIV and LAIV | PCR |
Danier 2021 [25] | USA and UK | 12,018 | Children (6–35 m) | 2011 to 2014 | QIV | PCR |
Population | Model | r2 | VE for HAI Level 30 (95% CI) | VE for HAI Level 40 (95% CI) | VE for HAI Level 50 (95% CI) | Proportion of Studies with Low Risk of Bias |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Children | Logarithmic | 0.859 | 0.486 (0.438–0.534) | 0.527 (0.486–0569) | 0.559 (0.522–0.596) | 2/3 |
Adults | Logarithmic | 0.474 | 0.150 (0.020–0.279) | 0.196 (0.075–0.317) | 0.231 (0.117–0.346) | 3/4 |
All | Logarithmic | 0.397 | 0.389 (0.301–0.476) | 0.430 (0.351–0.509) | 0.461 (0.388–0.535) | 5/7 |
Criteria | Model | r2 | VE for HAI Level 30 (95% CI) | VE for HAI Level 40 (95% CI) | VE for HAI Level 50 (95% CI) | Proportion of Studies with Low Risk of Bias |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Influenza A (H1N1) | Logarithmic | 0.966 | 0.470 (0.440–0.501) | 0.511 (0.485–0.538) | 0.543 (0.519–0.567) | 2/4 |
Influenza A (H3N2) | Logarithmic | 0.5778 | 0.506 (0.426–0.586) | 0.544 (0.474–0.615) | 0.574 (0.511–0.637) | 3/4 |
Influenza B | Logarithmic | 0.5133 | 0.490 (0.221–0.759) | 0.528 (0.301–0.754) | 0.557 (0.361–0.753) | 0/2 |
Unspecified strain | Linear | 0.2579 | 0.402 (0.286–0.519) | 0.403 (0.287–0.519) | 0.404 (0.288–0.520) | 2/2 |
Criteria | Model | r2 | VE for HAI Level 30 (95% CI) | VE for HAI Level 40 (95% CI) | VE for HAI Level 50 (95% CI) | Proportion of Studies with Low Risk of Bias |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TIV | Logarithmic | 0.312 | 0.481 (0.381–0.582) | 0.506 (0.415–0.597) | 0.525 (0.441–0.609) | 3/5 |
QIV | Logarithmic | 0.8784 | 0.533 (0.478–0.588) | 0.569 (0.520–0.617) | 0.596 (0.553–0.639) | 2/2 |
LAIV | Logarithmic | 0.5563 | −0.006 (−0.189–0.178) | 0.0476 (−0.126–0.221) | 0.089 (−0.078–0.255) | 3/3 |
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Martins, A.M.; Valero Juan, L.F.; Santos, M.; Martins, J.P. Immunogenicity as a Predictor of Influenza Vaccine Efficacy: A Systematic Review. Vaccines 2025, 13, 859. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13080859
Martins AM, Valero Juan LF, Santos M, Martins JP. Immunogenicity as a Predictor of Influenza Vaccine Efficacy: A Systematic Review. Vaccines. 2025; 13(8):859. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13080859
Chicago/Turabian StyleMartins, André Miguel, Luis Félix Valero Juan, Marlene Santos, and João P. Martins. 2025. "Immunogenicity as a Predictor of Influenza Vaccine Efficacy: A Systematic Review" Vaccines 13, no. 8: 859. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13080859
APA StyleMartins, A. M., Valero Juan, L. F., Santos, M., & Martins, J. P. (2025). Immunogenicity as a Predictor of Influenza Vaccine Efficacy: A Systematic Review. Vaccines, 13(8), 859. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13080859