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Diagnostics
  • Article
  • Open Access

1 June 2023

Design and Development of IoT and Deep Ensemble Learning Based Model for Disease Monitoring and Prediction

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School of Information Technology and Engineering, Vellore Institute of Technology, Vellore 632014, Tamil Nadu, India
2
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Lebanese American University, Byblos 13-5053, Lebanon
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Department of Data Science, School of Science, Engineering and Environment, University of Sanford, Manchester M5 4WT, UK
4
Department of Business Administration, College of Business and Administration, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia
This article belongs to the Section Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence in Diagnostics

Abstract

With the rapidly increasing reliance on advances in IoT, we persist towards pushing technology to new heights. From ordering food online to gene editing-based personalized healthcare, disruptive technologies like ML and AI continue to grow beyond our wildest dreams. Early detection and treatment through AI-assisted diagnostic models have outperformed human intelligence. In many cases, these tools can act upon the structured data containing probable symptoms, offer medication schedules based on the appropriate code related to diagnosis conventions, and predict adverse drug effects, if any, in accordance with medications. Utilizing AI and IoT in healthcare has facilitated innumerable benefits like minimizing cost, reducing hospital-obtained infections, decreasing mortality and morbidity etc. DL algorithms have opened up several frontiers by contributing towards healthcare opportunities through their ability to understand and learn from different levels of demonstration and generalization, which is significant in data analysis and interpretation. In contrast to ML which relies more on structured, labeled data and domain expertise to facilitate feature extractions, DL employs human-like cognitive abilities to extract hidden relationships and patterns from uncategorized data. Through the efficient application of DL techniques on the medical dataset, precise prediction, and classification of infectious/rare diseases, avoiding surgeries that can be preventable, minimization of over-dosage of harmful contrast agents for scans and biopsies can be reduced to a greater extent in future. Our study is focused on deploying ensemble deep learning algorithms and IoT devices to design and develop a diagnostic model that can effectively analyze medical Big Data and diagnose diseases by identifying abnormalities in early stages through medical images provided as input. This AI-assisted diagnostic model based on Ensemble Deep learning aims to be a valuable tool for healthcare systems and patients through its ability to diagnose diseases in the initial stages and present valuable insights to facilitate personalized treatment by aggregating the prediction of each base model and generating a final prediction.

1. Introduction

Communicable diseases have always been a part of human development from early civilization stages and have been a critical issue threatening human health even till now. Regardless of multiple progressive advances accomplished in medicine and healthcare management, contagious diseases continue to be the primary cause of death, infections, illness, and disability, together with global socio-economic disorders. Accurate and early diagnosis followed up with proper treatment selection can significantly influence the effect of any disease. Several countries worldwide implement a confidential system of management to deal with infectious diseases and their control [1]. With COVID-19 recently added, around 500 infectious diseases have been reported universally. Strategic management approaches are adopted to handle many diseases involving accurate and timely diagnosis of suspected diseases to manage healthcare efficiently. Several elements are involved in an effective disease control system, like accurate diagnosis, prognosis, prediction, treatment, and possible prevention and care. These elements are considered to be vital in facilitating quality clinical service. To realize a wholesome diagnostic system, healthcare providers require complete access to all necessary information to arrive at an accurate diagnosis. Predictions and follow-up treatments can be based only upon the outcome of proper analysis [2,3]. Nevertheless, some numerous challenges and limitations obstruct this from happening in real-world application scenarios:
  • Cases where patients might withhold certain significant information that they may consider irrelevant, but it may be critical to arrive at a suitable diagnosis.
  • Time and effort are involved in acquiring information.
  • Geographical constraints when medical practitioners try to access different information with respect to patients’ health result in an obscured view of their medical documentation [4].
  • Depending on updated data whose availability and factors like multiple diseases may be possible, there is an urgency for accurate and timely diagnosis, especially life-threatening diseases, and infections [5].
  • Due to the deficiency of suitable diagnostic tools to collect total information about the patient for specific disease types, be it mental health, allergies etc.
With the above-mentioned issues, there is also an aspect worth considering where a diagnosis can be regarded as an evolving factor. The temporal nature of diagnosis is because medical providers need to get more information, as the actual context in which they diagnose, along with probabilities where their predictions might change, must also be considered. For instance, a simple cough could be thought of as a cold or bronchitis, but in recent times, when it worsens over time with other varying symptoms, COVID tests are prescribed [6]. Thus, an AI-based diagnostic system can assist medical providers in finding an effective solution to the issues mentioned above. Furthermore, AI can play an imperative role in assembling all the necessary patient data and can assist medical caregivers in solving patients’ difficulties by categorizing multiple possibilities and aspects that would have been missed otherwise.
DL is a branch of AI which has rapidly been transforming the face of healthcare, presenting the capability to investigate data with higher speed and preciseness that has never been witnessed before. This hierarchical or deep structure-based learning type utilizes layered architecture to study and explore the input data [7]. In DL models, data gets filtered by a cascade of numerous layers, where every succeeding layer uses the output of preceding ones to update its outcomes. DL models can train themselves to be even more accurate as they keep processing more complex data, learning from earlier outcomes to fine-tune and revise their abilities towards making observations concerning existing correlations and associations. DL is based on the biological working of neurons in human brains, where their interconnections and processing of incoming information are imitated in an artificial neural network setup. Analogous to how electrical signals pass through the cells of living organisms that travel through each successive layer of nodes that gets activated as soon as it obtains stimuli from their fellow neurons. In the case of ANNs, that forms the foundation of DL models, where every layer is allocated with a particular segment of input task. Information traverses the multiple layers several times to get treated, refined, and optimized to generate the final desired output. These concealed layers execute the mathematical transformation operations that convert the raw data into resourceful output.
Through the composition of a sufficient number of translations, multiple complex functionalities can be studied and discovered. Upper layers of demonstrations strengthen the aspects of input which are significant for carrying out classification and hold back unrelated disparities. Due to this multi-layered policy, DL models are primarily employed in the medical system (Figure 1) to perform classification tasks like identification of delicate abnormalities present in medical images that would have been missed even by expert practitioners, categorizing the patients with identical attributes to form risk-oriented groups, or highlighting correlations among symptoms and results by analyzing the immense amount of unstructured medical data. In contrast to other ML, DL has the extra leverage of arriving at informed decisions with relatively less or less human interruptions [7,8]. Normal ML [9] procedure necessitates a human trainer/programmer to recognize whether a conclusion is exact. DL, on the other hand, can determine the correctness of its responses on its own owing to its multi-layered framework. Ensemble learning integrates several individual models to attain enhanced generalization and performance. At present, DL architectures are demonstrating promising potential compared to several traditional algorithms. Thus, deep ensemble learning models help leverage the pros of DL [10,11] models and ensemble learning so the ultimate design has better performance and efficiency. The ensemble models are generally grouped into bagging, boosting, stacking etc. The deployment of ensemble ML algorithms to medical imaging results in better accuracy when compared with a single classifier. An enhanced level of accuracy and effectiveness can be achieved by combining different algorithms, enabling a thorough understanding of biological integration, analysis, improved access, and transition in the healthcare domain. This, in turn, will trim down costs, facilitating the earlier discovery of diseases and the exact interpretation of results rather than relying on a single model. Thus, our study focuses on investigating and proposing an ensemble DL and IoT-based medical diagnostic system [12] that lets authorized personnel diagnose disease [13,14]. In addition to diagnosis, our model can incorporate expert facts acquired from multiple sources, which form a knowledge extraction structure that can capture maximum features that are feasible to execute the task of disease characterization. There are two main reasons to use an ensemble-based model in our system over a single model-one aspect is performance, as an ensemble can make better predictions and achieve better performance than any single contributing model. The next one is its robustness, as the ensemble reduces the predictions’ spread or dispersion, thereby improving model performance.
Figure 1. DL in the Healthcare system (Norgeot et al., 2019).
Finally, our contributions can be summarized as follows:
  • A novel ensemble DL and IoT-based medical framework [15,16] has been designed and developed to diagnose and predict diseases.
  • The deep Ensemble learning technique integrates the predictions of different models to construct a robust model that can reduce variance and avert over-fitting and underfitting phenomena to facilitate accurate prediction of diseases.
  • Performance evaluation through extensive experimental results and comparisons are drawn among the suggested and existing models by applying various performance metrics.
The organization of our study is as follows. First, Section 1 gives an overview of the role of DL in healthcare, the challenges faced by traditional approaches, and the benefits of the application of ensemble DL in the medical domain. Section 2 deals with existing research work related to our domain of study. Section 3 provides our design framework and our diagnostic system model in detail. Section 4 presents the evaluation of our system through results analysis and discussion. Finally, Section 5 concludes the paper by highlighting the necessary futures and outlines the scope for future directions.

3. Proposed Deep Ensemble Learning Based Disease Prediction Model

This section elaborately discusses the design and architecture of the proposed IoT and deep ensemble learning-based medical diagnostic system for disease prediction. The main motive for utilizing ensemble-based DL in our model is due to the following merits namely:
  • Suitable for real-world scenarios where diversity in predictions may often result in inaccurate outcomes affecting the model’s overall performance.
  • To choose an optimal model as different algorithms exhibit varied outcomes under varying datasets and offer multiple prediction options.
  • Applicable for larger datasets as well as smaller datasets. Instead of training a single classifier with large volumes of data, different classifiers can be used to divide classification tasks. For medical datasets, bootstrapping ensemble strategy can help to create several subsets of a single dataset using a replacement strategy.
  • The estimation of confidence through voting further strengthens the prediction outcomes.
  • Single classifiers may not be sufficient for situations involving complex problems that require the calculation of polynomial decision boundaries.
  • The ensemble learning model is highly recommended for information fusion applications for improving classification performance.
  • Drug recommendations in medical applications based on silico analysis of side effects [20]
The architecture (Figure 2) is divided into several layers to facilitate appropriate operations during real-world applications. The ensemble DL model performs the actual prediction in patients and advises on appropriate treatment plans and prognosis. The framework depends on two central data sources-wearable sensors and EMRs. The smart wearable on the user’s body collects interior and exterior physiological information like BP [26,27], glucose level, location, heart, respiration rate, O2 and other vital metrics for monitoring. EMRs act as an essential source containing patients’ medical examination reports, history, diabetes, any other previous illnesses, detailed physiological and radiological examinations, lab reports etc. Once data is collected, our novel scheme transmits data and related information to the concerned gateway devices. Scheme exchanges clinical data using Bluetooth and WI-FI to securely store in a database which can be regarded as Medical Big Data. IoT users like doctors, medical experts, researchers, healthcare providers, and patients can access their results from the database through authorized access [28]. The proposed model aims to predict the probability of a given disease in patients with available health information. Thus, to enhance the overall performance of our proposed model is endowed with essential components, namely:
Figure 2. Proposed Deep Ensemble learning architecture for disease prediction.
  • IoT-based smart wearable sensor component for data collection.
  • Ensemble DL based Diagnostic components to facilitate symptoms-based disease predictions
The information in EMRs usually consists of unnecessary features that may affect prediction accuracy. On the other hand, taking out resourceful information from medical records requires minimizing the noise, choosing only those valuable attributes that achieve precise outcomes, and decreasing the dimensions and complexities of the dataset. Thus, feature selection is crucial for enhancing the clearness of information and reducing the training time of DEL models. Multiple approaches are utilized to perform feature selection in clinical datasets, like
  • Rough Sets
  • Weighted squares
  • Uni-variate Selection
  • Sequential forward selection
Our method is based on the concept of IG, which improves accuracy by eliminating noisy characteristics. Out of 10 attributes from our input dataset Ddp, only a few features are considered significant to classify the diseases. The proposed system learns about particular constraints through knowledge based on their significance. Thus, information gain helps in choosing the features necessary to undergo classification. The entropy is employed to measure the uncertainty that calculates the divergence between past and succeeding entropy of input variables, x and y, as expressed in the following equations:
I G ( x y ) = D ( x ) D ( x y )
x, y→Random and discrete variables.
D(x)→past entropy function.
D ( x ) = i   p x i l o g 2 p ( x i )
p(xi)→Probability of previous occurrence.
Following succeeding entropy- y , conditional entropy for discrete variable x is computed as:
D ( x y ) = i   p y i D x y i = i   p y i i   p x i y i l o g 2 p x i y i
Thus Information Gain (IG) can be calculated using Equations (2) and (3) as:
I G ( x y ) = i   p x i X l o g 2 p ( x i ) = i   p y i i   p x i y i X l o g 2 p x i y i
The proposed model calculates approximately the value of every attribute to perform the task of disease prediction through Equation (4). This method removes the less important ones after estimating the IG for every feature. Thus, unnecessary features get eliminated one at a time until the fine-tuning of the model happens, resulting in accurate result-based performance. Once data preprocessing is done to extract features from collected data through various processes like filtering, normalization, and feature selection using condition-based probability criteria, pre-processed input is routed to the ensemble DL classifier to obtain the final prediction of diseases.
The Logit Boost algorithm was employed as the learning classifier, which boosts the DL model to attain the highest precision and more benefit in handling noisy data compared with AdaBoost. In addition, it has been developed to minimize bias and variance, thereby enhancing classification accuracy.
The ensemble DL model has five layers:
Input layer-1
Hidden layers 3
Output layer-1
The input layer contains 15 nodes, equivalent to the total features in the input dataset. The hidden layer’s estimation is done in the neural model based on the node count [29]. The number of neurons in a hidden layer which is completely connected is defaulted to 15 to have consistent performance. Key input attributes are allocated to the DNN model by using the input layer. All connected parameters are conceded through 3 hidden layers by increasing associated weights with relevant values from the previous layer. Weighted-sum is then computed, followed by the addition of bias which can be represented as:
N e t W t j = i n   a i × W t i , j + b s j
ai→Input data set.
Wti,j→Associated weights.
bsj→Associated Bias.
The proposed DL model mostly identifies inactive neurons using activation-function ReLU, which is nothing but a computation of rectified linear-unit. Activation function uses negligible –ve slope 0.01 when the value of ‘a’ is less than ‘0’. This resulted in a leak.
f ( N e t W t j ) = max 0 , N e t W t j
The transformed data is fed to output nodes to predict the diseases. The output layer has two nodes that represent the outcomes of binary (presence or absence) classification. The training operation of DL is initialized by assigning default preliminary weight to all input datasets. Consequently, the discrepancy between real and expected output is reduced by utilizing a back propagation algorithm. Weights are constantly updated throughout training, expressed as (8).
Δ w t i , j = µ D w t i , j
µ Rate at which learning happens.
D→Rate of error.
D n = 1 2 P = 1 n   O = 1 n   E O i p A O j q 2
where P , O , T O , and A O denote the count of input samples, outputs, expected result, and actual result, respectively. Errors recorded during training are used to update the weights, and expected results are reassessed consequently. The above steps are reiterated until the negligible error between actual and expected output is attained for the proposed network. In our study, the learning rate is defaulted to 0.02, and the Adam optimizer is used for training the proposed DEL model with noisy and gradient input datasets. The Pseudo code of the proposed scheme is presented in the section below (Algorithm 1):
Algorithm 1. Pseudo code for IoT and Ensemble DL-based disease prediction model
Input: Extracted features a = a 1 , a 2 , a n for disease prediction
Output: Existence or non-existence of disease
Begin
For each training batch, execute
                  Compute weighted summation, including the value of bias in hidden layers using
  i n   a i × W t i , j + b s j
                  Estimate Δ w t i , j = µ D w t i , j and D n = 1 2 P = 1 n   O = 1 n   E O i p A O j q 2
                  Select µ and update w t i , j
                  Reiterate until the error becomes minimum between E O and A O
End-for
Assign activation fn(ReLU) f ( N e t W t j ) = m a x 0 , N e t W t j for predicting disease risk. To attain maximum efficiency, employ LogitBoost as the learning classifier

4. Results Analysis and Discussion

This section is dedicated to experimental analysis and simulation of the proposed ensemble and IoT-based disease prediction model. Our novel approach is executed on an IntelCorei7-9050H processor with a memory capacity of 8 GB, NVIDIA GTX-105-GPU or equivalent and 64-bit Windows OS. The proposed ensemble model is a feed-forward network using the back-propagation principle and gradient functions like Adam to perform binary classification. ECG, pulse oximeter, and temperature sensors have been used as wearables to collect heart rate, temperature, blood pressure and other medical data. These sensors managed data are captured and saved in the cloud using IoT technology for further analysis. In addition, we utilized features from the generated smart watch-based dataset collected from 25 volunteers, each wearing Amazfit GTS 2 Band watches. These subjects were all of ages ranged from 20 to 70, heights ranged from 5 to 6 ft. and the weight from 50 kg to 95 kgs. The collected data was utilized to train the model and predict the results based on real-time input data (Table 1).
Table 1. Dataset Attributes.
Ensemble learning combines the prediction of several classification algorithms into distinct representations so that bias along with variation is decreased, thus improving the overall accuracy of the result. Ensemble learning with cross-validation is deployed with SVM, DT and LR classifiers [25]. In the ensemble boosting approach, base-level classifiers are trained through a similar dataset, and a meta-learner is employed to augment the proposed model‘s performance. In the present study, LogitBoost is utilized to improve the accuracy of base-level classification models and generates a final classification result, the binary result (Yes/No) indicating the presence of disease. Model parameters are presented below (Table 2):
Table 2. Proposed Model Parameters.
The efficiency of any ML model is established by its accuracy. The performance of our proposed model is assessed through metrics like accuracy, specificity, recall, precision, RMSE and MAE. We also performed ablation tests for every ensemble method to validate the effect of each model. This is done by evaluating the performance of ablated ensemble by removing a single model. Table 3 shows the prediction scores for each ablated ensemble and its divergence from the full ensemble. Deep learning methods impacted the ensemble’s performance in a great manner. When the LSTM model was removed, the prediction score dropped the most for the voting and SVM, DT and RF did not affect overall performance much when dropped. Comparative analysis of our novel scheme is provided in Figure 3, a Table 4 from which it can be observed that the results obtained through ensemble modeling have generated significant performance metrics like predictive accuracy being 94.21% in relation to existing methods. In addition, specificity (95.87%), precision (96.48%), and recall (93.65%) confirm the efficacy of our system in comparison to other conventional methods. In addition to that, Table 4 shows the Ablation tests for the ensemble models used in our study.
Table 3. Ablation tests of ensemble methods.
Figure 3. Confusion Matrix.
Table 4. Comparison analysis of the proposed approach.
We have evaluated our suggested method through real-world data, and our experimental results convey that our proposed system produces better performance on medical diagnosis, which has been provided in our current study that also observes its significant efficiency compared to other baseline methods in all factors shown in Figure 4.
Figure 4. Comparison analysis of the proposed approach.
Figure 3 shows the confusion matrix before and after tuning hyperparameters. The Proposed algorithm attained better accuracy, 99.3%, compared to the average accuracy of other models. The difference in value was considerable at point p = 0.018.

5. Conclusions and Future Enhancements

The unbelievable growth of IoT has resulted in a massive boom in Medical Big data, facilitating better healthcare support systems where Patient’s data can be accessed, analyzed, and stored in cloud-based environments. These data are priceless and significant for performing activities like monitoring, diagnosing, and decision-making. Fundamentally, the medical data can be either statistical or pictorial or sequential information with different recovery modes, development, and operation modes. Furthermore, the deployment of Ml and DL in medical care systems is evolving at a larger pace, where several highly effective designs are employed to improve efficiency. Consistency and accuracy are vital aspects in the medical domain, where improving results by preserving stability is always critical [30]. The foremost inspiration for our study has been derived from IoT and ensemble DL techniques. By integrating multiple weak models by means of an ensemble approach, accomplishing accuracy and reliability is possible. We thus propose a deep ensemble learning (DEL) based disease diagnosis and monitoring model which can predict diseases through monitoring from IoT devices. The proposed scheme has been compared with several existing algorithms through various performance evaluation metrics. It has been inferred that our model surpasses them towards achieving a better healthcare support system. In addition, a comparison between our proposed approach and the corresponding individual DL and ML models with similar architecture shows that the proposed approaches outperform the others by fine-tuning the learning rate, activation function, and optimization function to improve the learning process. However, there are limitations like training time and hardware resource consumption as several DL models are ensembled.
On the other hand, this trade-off is trivial as hardware resources are more affordable, and the ultimate requirements of accuracy, consistency and reliability are always the core priorities in healthcare. Another significant feature affecting the prediction has not been addressed, as this is a general limitation of most DL approaches. This approach also reveals that the abovementioned techniques are easily manageable and can be applied to realize optimal efficiency by employing real-time data that can be broadly used in real-world executions. However, as the prime reason to use ensemble models is to deal with noise, bias and variance, there could be situations where the collective experience to improve accuracy may not be feasible, especially in environments where interpretation needs to be generalised and straightforward. In addition, the limitation concerning long inference time and generating overfitting models needs to be considered. Future investigations are dedicated to determining the optimal model parameters to fine-tune the prediction model and check the other possibilities of applying multiple clinical datasets with a larger set of attributes to generate an even more generalized and robust architecture. Furthermore, anomaly detection and data sampling methodologies could also be further considered.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, M.V.A.S. and J.P. methodology, S.B.K. and A.A.; validation, M.T.; resources, A.A.; data curation, V.R.; writing—original draft preparation, M.V.A.S. and J.P.; writing—review and editing, S.B.K., A.A. and M.E.; visualization, S.B.K.; supervision, S.B.K., V.R. and M.E.; project administration, A.A., P.S., V.R. and M.E. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research is supported by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project number (PNURSP2023R432), Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Not applicable.

Acknowledgments

This research is supported by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project number (PNURSP2023R432), Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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