Modeling the Dynamic of Herpes Simplex Virus II Incorporating Voluntary Laboratory Test and Medical Treatment
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Herpes Simplex Virus-II Model
2.1. HSV-II Model Description
- The average length of their viral shedding episodes is shorter;
- They have fewer viral shedding episodes;
- Compared to those who are not vaccinated, they are less likely to spread infection.
2.2. HSV-II Model Equations
3. Results
3.1. Basic Properties of the HSV-II Model
3.2. Positivity of Solution
3.3. Invariant Region of HSV-II Model
4. Existence of Equilibrium
4.1. HSV-II-Free Equilibrium Point
4.2. Basic Reproduction Number of HSV-II Model
4.3. Endemic Equilibrium Points of HSV-II Model
4.4. Local Stability of HSV-II-Free Equilibrium
4.5. Global Stability of the HSV-II-Free Equilibrium Point
5. Sensitivity Analysis
6. Optimality Control for HSV-II Model
Existence of the Control Problem
7. Numerical Simulations of the Herpes Simplex Virus II Model
- Control strategy A: Condom use and HSV-II vaccine exclusively: When condom use and HSV-II vaccination are implemented, and voluntary HSV-II testing and treatment are set to zero, this intervention plan demonstrates the optimal control system (44). When the intervention strategy is applied, compared to the scenario in which there is no control, Figure 3a–h illustrate a decrease in the population of exposed unvaccinated individuals, exposed vaccinated individuals, symptomatic unvaccinated individuals, symptomatic vaccinated individuals, symptomatic aware individuals, quiescent unvaccinated individuals, quiescent vaccinated individuals, and quiescent aware individuals.The control profile, Figure 3i, shows a curve reaching 100% in the 9th year for the period under study.Also, Table 3 shows HSV-II cases averted as a result of the implementation of strategy A. It can be observed that the number of exposed unvaccinated individuals reduced drastically from 7.2495 without control to 2.0701 when control strategy A was implemented and about 6.1794 cases of HSV-II were averted. In the exposed vaccinated individuals, 19.5454 cases were averted using the same strategy; 3.3386, 13.8528, and 2.5021 cases were averted in the unvaccinated symptomatic individuals, vaccinated symptomatic individuals, and aware symptomatic individuals, respectively. In the quiescent unvaccinated individuals, quiescent vaccinated individuals, and quiescent aware individuals, 5.3241, 12.6355, and 3.9775 cases were, respectively, blocked.
- Control strategy B: Use of condoms, HSV-II test and treatment only: This intervention plan demonstrates the optimal control system solution (44) when condom use, HSV-II testing, and treatment are used, and the number of infected persons vaccinated against HSV-II is set at zero. Figure 4a–h show that when this intervention strategy is used, the population of exposed unvaccinated people, exposed vaccinated people, symptomatic unvaccinated people, symptomatic vaccinated people, symptomatic aware people, quiescent unvaccinated people, quiescent vaccinated people, and quiescent aware people decreases compared to the scenario in which there is no control.The control profile, Figure 4i, shows a curve of effective condom use and HSV-II test and treatment at the upper part for the period under study. Hence, we concluded that this strategy is effective in controlling HSV-II.Results from Table 4 indicate that HSV-II infection was averted as a result of the implementation of strategy B. It was shown that 7.1442 and 19.2273 cases in exposed unvaccinated and vaccinated individuals, respectively, were averted. Also, 6.3223, 13.2424, and 5.5256 cases in the symptomatic unvaccinated, symptomatic vaccinated, and aware symptomatic individuals were averted, respectively, when strategy B was implemented. For the quiescent unvaccinated, quiescent vaccinated, and quiescent aware individuals, 10.0047, 11.9922, and 8.6081 cases of HSV-II were averted, respectively.
- Control strategy C: HSV-II vaccination, HSV-II test and treatment only: This intervention strategy shows the solution of optimal control system (44) when the use of HSV-II vaccination and HSV-II test and treatment are implemented while the use of condoms by infected individuals is fixed at zero.Figure 5a–h demonstrate a significant decrease in the population of exposed unvaccinated individuals, exposed vaccinated individuals, symptomatic unvaccinated individuals, symptomatic vaccinated individuals, symptomatic aware individuals, quiescent unvaccinated individuals, quiescent vaccinated individuals, and quiescent aware individuals when this intervention strategy is used, compared to the case where there is no control.In Figure 5i, the control profile displays a curve of HSV-II vaccination, with the upper portion of the curve representing HSV-II laboratory testing and treatment over the study period. Therefore, it was determined that this approach is successful in reducing the prevalence of HSV-II infection in the general population.Results from Table 5 indicate that HSV-II was averted as a result of the implementation of strategy C. It was found that 1.8642 and 10.5253 cases in exposed unvaccinated and vaccinated individuals, respectively, were averted. Also, 3.4046, 5.3021, and 3.4370 cases in the symptomatic unvaccinated, symptomatic vaccinated, and symptomatic aware individuals were averted, respectively, when strategy C was implemented. For the quiescent unvaccinated, quiescent vaccinated, and quiescent aware individuals, 6.0699, 4.963, and 5.4963 cases of HSV-II were averted, respectively. Therefore, we conclude that strategy C is also effective in controlling HSV-II.
- Control strategy D: Effective condom use, HSV-II vaccination, HSV-II laboratory test and treatment: Lastly, we take into account all three controls simultaneously in this instance. This strategy’s graphical solution is displayed in Figure 6a–h, showing the matching control profile. When condoms, the HSV-II vaccine, the HSV-II test, and treatment are used effectively, the optimal control system (44) is demonstrated by this intervention plan. Figure 6a–h show a considerably decrease in the population of exposed unvaccinated individuals, exposed vaccinated individuals, symptomatic unvaccinated individuals, symptomatic vaccinated individuals, symptomatic aware individuals, quiescent unvaccinated individuals, quiescent vaccinated individuals and quiescent aware individuals. Figure 6i depicts the control profile of strategy D. From the figure, it can be observed that the effective condom use and lab test/treatment remains in the upper part through the time under study. This implies that with effective condom use, coupled with lab test and treatment, the HSV-II infection can be brought down to the minimum in the population even without vaccination. Results from Table 6 show that HSV-II was averted as a result of the implementation of strategy D. It was discovered that 8.3352 and 22.5585 cases in exposed unvaccinated and vaccinated individuals, respectively, were averted. Also, 9.3101, 15.1576, and 6.9163 cases in the symptomatic unvaccinated, symptomatic vaccinated, and symptomatic aware individuals were averted, respectively, when strategy D was implemented. In the quiescent unvaccinated, quiescent vaccinated, and quiescent aware individuals, 14.5408, 13.6165, and 10.8150 cases of HSV-II were averted, respectively. Therefore, we conclude that strategy D is most effective in controlling HSV-II.It is clear, from the graphical interpretations of the four scenarios that have been examined, that the fourth technique (strategy D) is the most effective one for averting HSV-II infection in the community.








8. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Parameter | Description | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recruitment rate of susceptible individuals | 10,000 | [5] | |
| Natural death rate | 0.143 | [5] | |
| Effective contact rate | 0.3 | Assumed | |
| Vaccination rate of susceptible individuals | 0.6 | [5] | |
| Efficacy of vaccine | 0.65 | [5] | |
| Waning rate of vaccine | Assumed | ||
| Reactivation rate in unvaccinated individuals | [5] | ||
| Reactivation rate in unvaccinated individuals | [5] | ||
| Reactivation rate in vaccinated individuals | [5] | ||
| Reactivation rate in aware individuals | Assumed | ||
| p | Proportion of newly recruited individuals vaccinated | 0.0960 | [5] |
| Rate of return to latency in unvaccinated unaware individuals | [5] | ||
| Rate of return to latency in vaccinated individuals | [5] | ||
| Rate of return to latency in aware individuals | [5] | ||
| Progression rate to symptoms (unvaccinated asymptomatic) | [5] | ||
| Progression rate to symptoms (vaccinated asymptomatic) | [5] | ||
| Modification parameter for lower infectiousness of aware classes | 0.5 | [5] | |
| Progression rate related to quiescent infectious classes | [5] | ||
| Proportion of recruited susceptible individuals in whom the vaccine takes effect | 0.6 | [5] | |
| Modification for reduced infectiousness of vaccinated individuals | 0.2, 0.1 | [5] | |
| Disease-induced death rate for unvaccinated symptomatic individuals | 0.0004 | [5] | |
| Disease-induced death rate for unvaccinated quiescent individuals | 0.0003 | [5] | |
| Screening rate of unvaccinated asymptomatic individuals | 0.85 | Assumed | |
| Screening rate of individuals in quiescent states | 0.85 | Assumed | |
| Treatment rates for aware symptomatic and quiescent individuals | variable | – |
| Parameter | Baseline Value | References | Sensitivity Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10,000 | [5] | +1.0000 | |
| 0.3000 | [5] | +0.7510 | |
| 1/15 | [8] | +0.4965 | |
| 0.6000 | [5] | −0.1661 | |
| ∈ | 0.6000 | [5] | −0.4285 |
| 0.5000 | Assumed | +0.0052 | |
| 0.0600 | Assumed | +0.0676 | |
| 0.5 | Assumed | −0.1857 | |
| 0.4 | Assumed | −0.2472 | |
| 0.5 | Assumed | −0.0557 | |
| 0.5 | Assumed | −0.0885 | |
| e | 0.6 | Assumed | +0.1466 |
| Variable | Without Control | With Control Strategy A | Infections Averted |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2495 | 2.0701 | 5.1794 | |
| 24.3638 | 4.8184 | 19.5454 | |
| 6.9858 | 3.6472 | 3.3386 | |
| 28.9818 | 15.1290 | 13.8528 | |
| 6.4737 | 3.9716 | 2.5021 | |
| 13.4699 | 3.1458 | 10.3241 | |
| 30.7888 | 18.1533 | 12.6355 | |
| 11.1163 | 7.1388 | 3.9775 |
| Variable | Without Control | With Control Strategy B | Infections Averted |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.053 | 1.910 | 7.1443 | |
| 23.8368 | 4.6095 | 19.2273 | |
| 7.6560 | 1.3337 | 6.3223 | |
| 28.3675 | 15.1251 | 13.2424 | |
| 6.9234 | 1.3978 | 5.5256 | |
| 13.8365 | 3.8318 | 10.0047 | |
| 30.1454 | 18.1532 | 11.9931 | |
| 11.6176 | 3.0095 | 8.6081 | |
| Total | 82.0678 |
| Variable | Without Control | With Control Strategy C | Infections Averted |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.6425 | 1.7783 | 1.8642 | |
| 22.4632 | 11.9379 | 10.5253 | |
| 4.6558 | 1.2512 | 3.4046 | |
| 21.1758 | 15.8737 | 5.3021 | |
| 4.7709 | 1.3339 | 3.4370 | |
| 9.7273 | 3.6574 | 6.0699 | |
| 23.1055 | 18.1686 | 4.9369 | |
| 8.38906 | 2.8927 | 5.4963 | |
| Total | 41.0381 |
| Variable | Without Control | With Control Strategy D | Infections Averted |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.2972 | 1.9620 | 8.3352 | |
| 27.2042 | 4.6457 | 22.5585 | |
| 11.2676 | 1.9577 | 9.3099 | |
| 30.2835 | 15.1259 | 15.1576 | |
| 8.6616 | 1.7453 | 6.9163 | |
| 19.6092 | 5.0684 | 14.5408 | |
| 31.7697 | 18.1532 | 13.6165 | |
| 14.3361 | 3.5211 | 10.8150 | |
| Total | 41.0381 |
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Momoh, A.A.; Yusuf, S.; Modu, G.U.; Michael, A.I.; Ahmed, I.; Tariboon, J. Modeling the Dynamic of Herpes Simplex Virus II Incorporating Voluntary Laboratory Test and Medical Treatment. Symmetry 2026, 18, 86. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym18010086
Momoh AA, Yusuf S, Modu GU, Michael AI, Ahmed I, Tariboon J. Modeling the Dynamic of Herpes Simplex Virus II Incorporating Voluntary Laboratory Test and Medical Treatment. Symmetry. 2026; 18(1):86. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym18010086
Chicago/Turabian StyleMomoh, Abdulfatai Atte, Salaudeen Yusuf, Goni Umar Modu, Ali Inalegwu Michael, Idris Ahmed, and Jessada Tariboon. 2026. "Modeling the Dynamic of Herpes Simplex Virus II Incorporating Voluntary Laboratory Test and Medical Treatment" Symmetry 18, no. 1: 86. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym18010086
APA StyleMomoh, A. A., Yusuf, S., Modu, G. U., Michael, A. I., Ahmed, I., & Tariboon, J. (2026). Modeling the Dynamic of Herpes Simplex Virus II Incorporating Voluntary Laboratory Test and Medical Treatment. Symmetry, 18(1), 86. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym18010086

