A Study on the Mechanisms of New Quality Productive Forces Enabling the Upgrading of the Modern Tourism System: Evidence from China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Research Hypothesis
2.1. NQPF
2.2. Impact of NQPF Enabling the Modern Tourism System Upgrade
2.3. The Mediating Effect of Industrial Dynamic Capabilities
2.4. Spatial Spillover Effects of NQPF on the Upgrading of the Modern Tourism System
3. Research Design
3.1. Model Construction
3.1.1. Baseline Model
3.1.2. Models of Mediating Effects
3.1.3. Model of Spatial Spillover Effect
3.2. Variable Selection
- (1)
- Explained variable: the modern tourism system (UMITS). Zhang et al. [48] pointed out that the evaluation of the modern industrial system should be constructed to reflect the overall development trend of the industrial system to a certain extent, and the evaluation indexes were constructed from the dimensions of economic level, industrial structure, industrial development, industrial innovation, and industrial association. This combines the existing research and the characteristics of the tourism industry to construct the evaluation index system of the modern tourism system from four dimensions: industrial efficiency upgrade, industrial technology upgrade, industrial structure upgrade, and open and shared superiority (Table 1).
- (2)
- Explanatory variables: new quality productive forces (NQPF). Academics have not yet reached a unified understanding of the indicators of NQPF, which belongs to the integration of complex systems and is difficult to use a single indicator to express. At present, some scholars take factor structure and value leap as the basic dimensions to construct the evaluation index system [51], but more scholars construct the index measurement system of NQPF in three dimensions: new quality laborers, new quality labor objects, and new quality labor materials from the factors of productivity [52]. Based on the existing research, this paper constructs the NQPF evaluation indexes as shown in the table below (Table 2). The development level of NQPF is calculated using the entropy value method.
- (3)
- Mediating variable: industrial dynamic capability (IDC). The core of IDC lies in “perception”, “development”, and “reconstruction”. Combined with the existing research, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of IDC from the three dimensions of opportunity perception capability, opportunity development capability, and resource reconstruction capability. This paper constructs the evaluation index system of IDC from the three dimensions of opportunity perception, opportunity development, and resource reconstruction capability. Finally, the entropy weight method is used to calculate the comprehensive score of IDC (Table 3).
- (4)
- Control variables: to avoid the bias of regression results due to the omission of variables, this paper further quotes the control variables. The control variables are ① the level of economic development (ECO), expressed as the logarithm of the regional per capita GDP; ② the degree of openness to the outside world (OPEN), measured by the degree of dependence on foreign trade, which is equal to the total number of imports and exports/GDP; ③ the level of financial development (FIN), measured by the ratio of the balance of loans to GDP; and ④ the level of urbanization (UR), measured by the proportion of the resident population to the total population of the region.
3.3. Data Sources
4. Empirical Test and Result Analysis
4.1. Analysis of Benchmark Regression Results
4.2. Robustness and Endogeneity Test
4.3. Testing the Mechanism of Action
4.4. Spatial Spillover Effect Test
5. Conclusions and Discussion
5.1. Research Conclusions
5.2. Theoretical Contributions
5.3. Practical Implications
5.4. Research Limitations and Future Directions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Modern Tourism Industry System | |||
---|---|---|---|
Primary Indicators | Secondary Indicators | Indicator Description | Weight |
Industrial efficiency upgrading | Tourism industry efficiency | DEA model calculation of tourism industry efficiency | 3.35% |
Industrial technology upgrading | Industrial innovation level | Tourism R&D expenditure | 10.24% |
Tourism invention patents | 15.21% | ||
Industrial structure upgrading | Rationalization of industrial structure | Degree of coupling and coordination between tourism industry and regional economy | 3.89% |
Advanced industrial structure | Consumption of high value-added segments | 9.92% | |
Per capita consumption of tourists | 6.95% | ||
Openness and sharing upgrading | Tourism open development | Tourism arrivals | 22.06% |
Tourism foreign exchange income as a percentage of GDP | 18.99% | ||
Tourism sharing development | Forest coverage rate | 6.19% | |
Green space per capita | 3.20% |
NQPF | |||
---|---|---|---|
Primary Indicators | Secondary Indicators | Indicator Description | Weight |
New type of workers | Quality of workers | Number of people with bachelor’s degree or above/number of people in labor force | 5.52% |
Labor productivity | Real GDP/total employment | 7.01% | |
New labor resources | Digital infrastructure | Number of Internet broadband access ports | 4.41% |
Length of fiber optic cable lines Area | 2.81% | ||
Capital investment in science and technology innovation | R&D expenditure/real GDP | 31.12% | |
Degree of transformation of scientific and technological achievements | Technology market turnover/real GDP | 15.86% | |
New types of labor objects | Development level of strategic emerging industries | Revenue of software and information technology service industry/real GDP | 17.71% |
Development level of future industries | Number of intelligent robots installed in the region | 2.90% | |
E-commerce development level | Total e-commerce sales/real GDP | 12.66% |
Industry Dynamic Capabilities | |||
---|---|---|---|
Primary Indicators | Secondary Indicators | Indicator Description | Weight |
Opportunity sensing ability | Attention allocation | Baidu news keyword search volume | 4.48% |
Opportunity development ability | Industry factor level | (Number of A-grade scenic spots, travel agencies, and star-rated hotels in each province)/(Sum of the number of A-grade scenic spots, travel agencies, and star-rated hotels in the country) | 18.16% |
Industry agglomeration level | (Total tourism income/gross regional product of each province)/(National total tourism income/gross domestic product) | 26.60% | |
Resource reconstruction capacity | Financial resources | Share of total tourism revenue in value added of tertiary industry | 29.52% |
Information resources | Number of web pages per 100 enterprises | 8.63% | |
Internet penetration rate | 12.61% |
UMITS | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
NQPF | 0.4697 *** | 0.4730 *** | 0.3473 ** | 0.3390 ** | 0.3452 ** |
(3.09) | (3.09) | (2.16) | (2.09) | (2.11) | |
ECO | 0.0268 | 0.0381 | 0.0394 | 0.03548 | |
(0.39) | (0.35) | (0.58) | (0.52) | ||
OPEN | 2.3164 ** | 2.2431 ** | 2.1375 * | ||
2.22 | (2.12) | (1.97) | |||
FIN | 0.1240 | 0.1251 | |||
(0.48) | (0.48) | ||||
UR | 2.5493 | ||||
(0.51) | |||||
ID FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
YEAR FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
cons | 7.9448 *** (7.9) | 7.6268 *** (5.88) | 7.7665 *** (6.08) | 7.6339 *** (5.83) | 6.0691 * (1.83) |
N | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 |
adj. R2 | 0.4189 | 0.4146 | 0.4286 | 0.4426 | 0.4391 |
Excluding Municipality Samples | Excluding 2020 | Shrinkage Treatment | Instrumental Variable Approach | |
---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
NQPF | 0.3352 ** (2.24) | 0.3741 ** (2.06) | 0.3866 ** (2.34) | |
L.NQPF | 0.2818 ** (2.33) | |||
Control variable | YES | YES | YES | YES |
ID FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
YEAR FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Constant | 10.5637 ** (2.34) | 28.8310 ** (2.34) | 20.2599 * (1.83) | 9.6536 *** (3.61) |
N | 130 | 120 | 150 | 120 |
R-squared | 0.4902 | 0.4507 | 0.4339 | 0.4820 |
IDC | UMITS | |
---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | |
NQPF | 0.1195 *** (2.81) | 0.3491 ** (2.09) |
IDC | 0.0714 ** (2.06) | |
Control variable | YES | YES |
ID FE | YES | YES |
YEAR FE | YES | YES |
Constant | 4.7673 *** (5.51) | 6.0261 (1.63) |
N | 150 | 150 |
R-squared | 0.7143 | 0.4252 |
Year | NQPF | UMITS | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Moran’I | Z | Moran’I | Z | |
2018 | 0.081 | 3.249 *** | 0.095 | 3.634 *** |
2019 | 0.088 | 3.465 *** | 0.085 | 3.356 *** |
2020 | 0.110 | 4.075 *** | 0.101 | 3.832 *** |
2021 | 0.114 | 4.176 *** | 0.106 | 3.955 *** |
2022 | 0.118 | 4.298 *** | 0.116 | 4.254 *** |
(1) Main | (2) Wx | (3) Spatial | (4) Variance | (5) Direct | (6) Indirect | (7) Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NQPF | 1.013 *** (7.19) | 2.688 * (1.82) | 0.6177 *** (3.96) | 1.4742 (1.52) | 2.0919 ** (2.00) | ||
rho | −0.6607 ** (1.98) | ||||||
Sigma2_e | 0.0457 *** (8.57) | ||||||
Control variable | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
ID FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
YEAR FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
N | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 |
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Chen, X.; Wu, Y. A Study on the Mechanisms of New Quality Productive Forces Enabling the Upgrading of the Modern Tourism System: Evidence from China. Sustainability 2025, 17, 2232. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052232
Chen X, Wu Y. A Study on the Mechanisms of New Quality Productive Forces Enabling the Upgrading of the Modern Tourism System: Evidence from China. Sustainability. 2025; 17(5):2232. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052232
Chicago/Turabian StyleChen, Xuejun, and Yue Wu. 2025. "A Study on the Mechanisms of New Quality Productive Forces Enabling the Upgrading of the Modern Tourism System: Evidence from China" Sustainability 17, no. 5: 2232. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052232
APA StyleChen, X., & Wu, Y. (2025). A Study on the Mechanisms of New Quality Productive Forces Enabling the Upgrading of the Modern Tourism System: Evidence from China. Sustainability, 17(5), 2232. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052232