Abstract
In recent years, as a new driving force for building a modern industrial system, new-quality productive forces have emerged as a key factor in advancing the high-end, intelligent, and green development of industrial chains. This study selects panel data from 31 provincial-level administrative regions in China (excluding Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and the Tibet Autonomous Region) for the period 2011–2021 as the research sample. A regression analysis model is constructed from three dimensions—overall effect, moderating effect, and spatial spillover effect—to empirically examine the impact of new-quality productive forces on industrial chain modernization. The results indicate that new-quality productive forces exert a stable and significant promotional effect on industrial chain modernization and generate an indirect positive impact by driving green technological innovation.