Estimating Multidimensional Poverty among Cassava Producers in Nigeria: Patterns and Socioeconomic Determinants
Abstract
:1. Introduction
1.1. Theory of Multidimensional Poverty
1.2. Concepts of Multidimensional Poverty
1.3. Estimation Strategy of Multidimensional Poverty
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Description of the Study Area and Sampling
2.2. Data Description, Sources and Collection Methods
2.3. Analysis of Determinants of Poverty
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Multidimensional Poverty Indicators and Dimensions
3.2. Indices of Multidimensional Poverty in Nigeria
3.3. Contribution of Dimension to Multidimensional Poverty of Cassava Producers in Nigeria
3.4. Contribution of the Indicators to Multidimensional Poverty of Cassava Producers in Nigeria
3.5. Determinants of Poverty among Cassava Producers in Nigeria: Logit Estimations
4. Conclusions and Recommendations
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Central Bank of Nigeria. Statistical Bulletin; Central Bank of Nigeria: Abuja, Nigeria, 2005; Volume 16.
- Lele, U.; Adu-Nyako, K. Integrated Strategy Approach for Poverty Alleviation: A Paramount Priority for Africa. Afr. Dev. Rev. 1991, 3, 1–29. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- National Bureau of Statistics. Poverty Profile for Nigeria, National Bureau of Statistics, Lagos. 2005. Available online: https://catalog.ihsn.org/index.php/catalog/3322/download/48492 (accessed on 3 June 2020).
- Nsikakabasi, A.E.; Obasi, O.U. Analysis of Poverty Profile of Rural Households: Evidence from South-south Nigeria. J. Agric. Soc. Sci. 2010, 6, 48–52. [Google Scholar]
- Central Bank of Nigeria. Annual Report and Statement of Account; Central Bank of Nigeria: Abuja, Nigeria, 2009.
- United Nations Development Programme. Human Development Report; Oxford University Press: New York, NY, USA, 2008. [Google Scholar]
- United Nations Development Programme. Human Development Report; Oxford University Press: New York, NY, USA, 2005. [Google Scholar]
- Ibrahim, H.; Umar, H.S. Determinants of Poverty among Farming Households in Nasarawa State, Nigeria. Prod. Agric. Technol. (PAT) 2008, 4, 11–21. [Google Scholar]
- Omonoma, B.T. Quantitative Analysis of Rural Poverty in Nigeria; Brief No. 17; The Nigeria Strategy Support program (NSSP) of the International Food Policy Research Institute, IFPRI-Abuja, International Food Policy Research Institute, c/o International Center for Soil Fertility and Agriculture Development: Abuja, Nigeria, 2010; p. 17. [Google Scholar]
- Anyawu, J.C. The correlates of poverty in Nigeria and policy implications. Afr. J. Econ. Sustain. Dev. 2013, 2, 23–52. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Israel, A.O.; Hakim, A.R. Multidimensional Poverty Assessments in Rural Farm Household, South-West of Nigeria: Evidence form Oyo State Farm Settlements. Bus. Econ. J. 2015, 6, 1. [Google Scholar]
- Adeoti, A.I. Trend and determinants of multidimensional poverty in rural Nigeria. J. Dev. Agric. Econ. 2014, 6, 220–231. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Amartya, S. Development as Freedom, 1st ed.; Oxford University Press: New York, NY, USA, 1999; ISBN 9780198297581. Available online: http://www.c3l.uni-oldenburg.de/cde/OMDE625/Sen/Sen-intro.pdf (accessed on 3 June 2020).
- Alkire, S.; Santos, M.M. Acute Multidimensional Poverty: A New Index for Developing Countries; Human Development Research Paper 2010/2011; Oxford poverty and Human Development Initiative (OPHI), Oxford Department of International Development, Queen Elizabeth House (QEH), University of Oxford: Oxford, UK, 2010. [Google Scholar]
- Deutsch, J.; Silber, J. Measuring multidimensional poverty: An empirical Comparison of various approaches. Rev. Income Wealth 2005, 51, 145–174. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dewilde, C. The multidimensional measurement of poverty in Belgium and Britain: A categorical approach. Soc. Indic. Res. 2004, 68, 331–369. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Furne, C.A.; Groot, W.; An den Brink, H.M. The health effects of education: A meta-analysis. Eur. J. Public Health 2008, 18, 417–421. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Wagl, U.R. Multidimensional poverty: An alternative measurement approach for the United States? Soc. Sci. Res. 2008, 37, 559–580. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bourguignon, F.; Chakravarty, S. The measurement of multidimensional poverty. J. Econ. Inequal. 2003, 1, 25–49. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Maleta, K. Undernutrition. Malawi Med. J. 2006, 18, 189–205. [Google Scholar]
- Alkire, S.; Foster, J. Counting and Multidimensional Poverty Measurement. J. Public Econ. 2011, 95, 476–487. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bourguignon, F.; Fields, G.S. Discontinuous losses from poverty, generalized Pα measures, and optimal transfers to the poor. J. Public Econ. 1997, 63, 155–175. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- UNDP. Poverty Reduction and Human Rights—A Practice Note; New York, NY, USA, 2003. Available online: https://www.undp.org/content/dam/aplaws/publication/en/publications/democratic-governance/dg-publications-for-website/poverty-reduction-and-human-rights-practice-note/HRPN(poverty)En.pdf (accessed on 2 June 2020).
- Rocha, S. On Statistical Mapping of Poverty: Social Reality, Concepts and Measurement; Background Paper Prepared for the Expert Group Meeting on Poverty Statistics: Santiago, Chile, 1998. [Google Scholar]
- Maxwell, S. The Meaning and Measurement of Poverty; Overseas Development Institute (Odi) Poverty Briefing 3; Overseas Development Institute: 1999. Available online: https://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/3095.pdf (accessed on 2 June 2020).
- Ajakaiye, O. Overview of the Current Poverty Eradication Programme in Nigeria. In The Poverty Eradication Programmes in Nigeria: Problems and Prospects; Jega, A., Wakili, H., Eds.; CDRT: Kano, Nigeria, 2002; pp. 8–33. [Google Scholar]
- Omotola, J.S. Combating Poverty for Sustainable Human Development in Nigeria: The Continuing Struggle. J. Poverty 2008, 12, 496–517. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Mishra, U.S.; Shukla, V. Welfare comparison with multidimensional wellbeing indicators: An Indian Illustration. Soc. Indic. Res. 2015, 129, 505–525. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Bidyadhar, D.; Sanjay, K.M. Regional Estimates of Multidimensional Poverty in India. Open Access Open Assess. E J. 2015, 9, 1–35. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Adeoti, A.; Popoola, O. Determinant of Child poverty in rural Nigeria: A multidimensional approach. Glob. J. Hum. Soc. Sci. Art Humanit. 2012, 12, 38–54. [Google Scholar]
- Ataguba, J.; Fonta, W.M.; Ichoku, H.E. The Determinants of Multidimensional Poverty in Nsukka; Nigeria PEP Policy Briefs 164434; Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP), PEP Global Secretariat Duduville Campus: Nairobi, Kenya, 2011. [Google Scholar]
- Nzenwa, G.C.; Oboh, V.U. Effects of household endowments on poverty among farmers in Benue State. In Proceedings of the 39th Conference of the Agricultural Society of Nigeria, Benin, Nigeria, 9–13 October 2005; pp. 308–311. [Google Scholar]
- Lipton, M. Growing points in poverty research. Int. Inst. Labour 1999, 6, 5–10. [Google Scholar]
- Schoummaker, B. Poverty and Fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from 25 Countries. 2004. Available online: http://www.brunoschoumaker.be/PAA2004schoumaker.pdf (accessed on 16 June 2011).
- Aassve, A.; Engllehardt, H.; Francavilla, F.; Kedir, A.; Kim, J.; Mealli, F.; Mencarini, L.; Pudney, S.; Prskawetz, A. Poverty and fertility dynamics: A comparative analysis. Popul. Rev. 2006, 45, 1–23. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kates, R.W.; Dasgupta, P. African poverty: A grand challenge for sustainability Science. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2007, 104, 16747–16750. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed] [Green Version]
S/n | Dimensions | Description of Indicators | Weights |
---|---|---|---|
1. | Empowerment | Long-time employment: Absence of long-time employment (at least five years). | 0.1 |
Formal employment: No formal employment in agriculture or non-agriculture | 0.1 | ||
2. | Education | School enrolment: No access to formal education | 0.1 |
Years of Schooling: Household head has not completed six years of schooling | 0.1 | ||
3. | Health | Access to hospital: No access to hospital | 0.1 |
Frequency of hospital visits: No hospital visits for medical check-up per annum | 0.1 | ||
4. | Asset | Ownership of phones: No ownership of mobile or fixed phone | 0.1 |
Household asset ownership: No ownership of two household assets | 0.1 | ||
5. | Public and housing utility | Land ownership: No land ownership | 0.04 |
Access to potable drinking water: No access to potable drinking water or no access covered well with pumping machine and presence of only open well, streams, lakes etc., | 0.04 | ||
Non-convenient cooking fuels: Use of sawdust and fuel wood and no usage of kerosene and/or gas | 0.04 | ||
Roofing material: Use of thatched roof and no usage of galvanized and/or aluminium | 0.04 | ||
Wall material: Use of thatched roof and no usage of concrete wall | 0.04 |
Variables | Description | Mean (SD) |
---|---|---|
Household size | Respondents household size (number of family members provided for by the household head) | 8.98 (3.99) |
Gender | 1 if the respondent is male, otherwise 0 | 0.68 (0.47) |
Marital status | 1 if the respondent is married, otherwise 0 | 0.89 (0.307) |
Years of formal education | Years of education (Number of years spent in school) | 6.92 (4.938) |
Age | Age of the respondents (years) | 49.36 (14.70) |
Years of farming experience | Farming experience (number of years in farming) | 17.36 (9.71) |
Remittance | 1 if the respondent has received remittance, otherwise 0 | 0.20 (0.40) |
Formal credit | 1 if the respondent has used formal credit, otherwise 0 | 0.44 (0.21) |
Informal credit | 1 if the respondent has used informal credit, otherwise 0 | 0.25 (0.43) |
Cash saving | 1 if the respondent saved, otherwise 0 | 0.59 (0.49) |
Food expenditure | Total amount spent on food item (in Naira) | 0.345 (0.476) |
Poverty dimension | = Empowerment, education, = health, = assets, public utilities and housing | 0.54 (0.15) |
Poverty status | (dummy) 1 = poor, 0 = non poor | 0.80 (0.39) |
K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | MO (H*A) | H | A | MO (H*A) | H | A | MO (H*A) | H | A |
Aggregate MPI | 0.366 | 0.742 | 0.493 | 0.201 | 0.327 | 0.615 | 0.049 | 0.064 | 0.770 |
Decomposition of MPI by Regions | |||||||||
North-central | 0.345 | 0.750 | 0.460 | 0.185 | 0.325 | 0.569 | 0.018 | 0.025 | 0.720 |
South-east | 0.389 | 0.782 | 0.497 | 0.210 | 0.338 | 0.621 | 0.052 | 0.068 | 0.765 |
South-South | 0.343 | 0.732 | 0.469 | 0.172 | 0.294 | 0.585 | 0.033 | 0.046 | 0.717 |
South-west | 0.363 | 0.718 | 0.506 | 0.210 | 0.334 | 0.629 | 0.057 | 0.073 | 0.781 |
Regions | North-Central | South-East | South-South | South-West | Aggregate MPI | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cut-off | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 |
MPI/Dimensions | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) |
Empowerment | 0.261 | 0.230 | 0.278 | 0.285 | 0.277 | 0.246 | 0.160 | 0.156 | 0.138 | 0.184 | 0.180 | 0.182 | 0.216 | 0.209 | 0.199 |
Education | 0.196 | 0.217 | 0.000 | 0.099 | 0.120 | 0.156 | 0.092 | 0.137 | 0.237 | 0.192 | 0.205 | 0.253 | 0.144 | 0.167 | 0.215 |
Health | 0.123 | 0.149 | 0.278 | 0.142 | 0.185 | 0.205 | 0.179 | 0.183 | 0.178 | 0.138 | 0.194 | 0.233 | 0.146 | 0.187 | 0.217 |
Asset | 0.181 | 0.20 | 0.278 | 0.253 | 0.234 | 0.230 | 0.303 | 0.304 | 0.257 | 0.227 | 0.206 | 0.162 | 0.247 | 0.232 | 0.199 |
Public and housing utility | 0.238 | 0.201 | 0.167 | 0.222 | 0.183 | 0.164 | 0.266 | 0.221 | 0.190 | 0.258 | 0.214 | 0.170 | 0.247 | 0.205 | 0.171 |
Regions | North-Central | South-East | South-South | South-West | Aggregate MPI | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cutoff | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 | K = 0.3 | K = 0.5 | K = 0.7 |
MPI/Indicators | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) | MO (H*A) |
Long-time employment | 0.174 | 0.149 | 0.139 | 0.175 | 0.145 | 0.115 | 0.010 | 0.011 | 0.000 | 0.107 | 0.073 | 0.056 | 0.114 | 0.089 | 0.069 |
Formal employment | 0.087 | 0.081 | 0.139 | 0.110 | 0.132 | 0.131 | 0.151 | 0.144 | 0.138 | 0.078 | 0.107 | 0.127 | 0.102 | 0.120 | 0.130 |
School enrolment | 0.094 | 0.108 | 0.000 | 0.053 | 0.065 | 0.082 | 0.048 | 0.072 | 0.138 | 0.096 | 0.103 | 0.127 | 0.073 | 0.086 | 0.111 |
Years of schooling | 0.102 | 0.108 | 0.000 | 0.046 | 0.055 | 0.074 | 0.044 | 0.065 | 0.099 | 0.096 | 0.103 | 0.127 | 0.071 | 0.081 | 0.103 |
Access to Hospital | 0.036 | 0.068 | 0.139 | 0.032 | 0.053 | 0.074 | 0.029 | 0.038 | 0.040 | 0.060 | 0.087 | 0.106 | 0.044 | 0.067 | 0.087 |
Frequency of hospital visits | 0.087 | 0.081 | 0.139 | 0.110 | 0.132 | 0.131 | 0.151 | 0.144 | 0.138 | 0.078 | 0.107 | 0.127 | 0.102 | 0.120 | 0.130 |
Ownership of phone | 0.065 | 0.081 | 0.139 | 0.101 | 0.096 | 0.098 | 0.139 | 0.148 | 0.138 | 0.084 | 0.080 | 0.066 | 0.099 | 0.097 | 0.087 |
Household asset ownership | 0.116 | 0.122 | 0.139 | 0.152 | 0.139 | 0.131 | 0.164 | 0.156 | 0.119 | 0.143 | 0.126 | 0.096 | 0.149 | 0.135 | 0.111 |
Land ownership | 0.029 | 0.027 | 0.056 | 0.052 | 0.043 | 0.039 | 0.047 | 0.049 | 0.040 | 0.064 | 0.051 | 0.036 | 0.055 | 0.047 | 0.038 |
Access to potable drinking water | 0.049 | 0.033 | 0.000 | 0.068 | 0.054 | 0.049 | 0.053 | 0.046 | 0.055 | 0.047 | 0.042 | 0.034 | 0.055 | 0.046 | 0.041 |
Non-convenient cooking fuel | 0.073 | 0.070 | 0.056 | 0.046 | 0.038 | 0.030 | 0.063 | 0.050 | 0.032 | 0.055 | 0.043 | 0.036 | 0.054 | 0.044 | 0.034 |
Roofing materials | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.028 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.082 | 0.064 | 0.055 | 0.037 | 0.034 | 0.000 | 0.031 | 0.027 | 0.022 |
Wall materials | 0.087 | 0.070 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.047 | 0.046 | 0.02 | 0.012 | 0.008 | 0.056 | 0.044 | 0.034 | 0.051 | 0.041 | 0.035 |
S/N | Dimensions | Description of Indicators | Weights | Deprived (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Empowerment | Long-time employment | 0.1 | 52.01 |
Formal employment | 0.1 | 37.61 | ||
2. | Education | School enrolment | 0.1 | 27.49 |
Years of Schooling | 0.1 | 26.07 | ||
3. | Health | Access to hospital | 0.1 | 16.08 |
Frequency of hospital visits | 0.1 | 37.61 | ||
4. | Asset | Ownership of phones | 0.1 | 39.04 |
Household asset ownership | 0.1 | 65.62 | ||
5. | Public and housing utility | Land ownership | 0.04 | 65.49 |
Access to potable drinking water | 0.04 | 63.42 | ||
Non-convenient cooking fuels | 0.04 | 60.96 | ||
Roofing material | 0.04 | 42.80 | ||
Wall material | 0.04 | 57.45 |
North-Central | South-East | South-South | South-West | Aggregate | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Coefficient | Marginal Effects | Coefficient | Marginal Effects | Coefficient | Marginal Effects | Coefficient | Marginal Effects | Coefficient | Marginal Effects |
Constant | −2.807(1.045) *** | 2.600(0.898) *** | 4.138(1.712) ** | −4.147(2.038) *** | 1.077 (0.392) *** | |||||
Age | −0.009(0.060) | −0.002(0.013) | 0.089(0.017) *** | 0.018(0.003) | −0.020(0.008) *** | −0.004(0.003) | 0.005(0.003) * | 0.000(0.001) | 0.025(0.070) *** | 0.006(0.002) |
Gender | 1.012(1.159) | 0.229(0.282) | 0.307(0.319) | 0.062(0.063) | −0.347(0.435) | −0.075(0.091) | −0.264(0.379) | −0.020(0.028) | 0.166(0.170) | 0.038(0.039) |
Marital status | −0.684(0.062) | −0.134(0.161) | −0.745(0.407) * | −0.168(0.123) | −0.862(0.590) * | −0.165(0.095) | 0.399(0.551) | 0.037(0.058) | −0.188(0.109) * | −0.041(0.058) |
Years of formal education | −0.161(0.062) *** | −0.013(0.133) | 0.043(0.036) | 0.009(0.007) | −0.123(0.039) *** | −0.027(0.009) | −0.171(0.032) *** | −0.014(0.003) | −0.093(0.016) *** | −0.021(0.004) |
Household size | −0.004(0.002) ** | −0.001(0.022) | −0.089(0.068) | −0.018(0.013) | 0.045(0.022) ** | 0.010(0.012) | −0.016(0.034) | −0.001(0.003) | 0.006(0.020) | 0.000(0.005) |
Years of farming experience | −0.093(0.041) ** | −0.195(0.015) | −0.788(0.022) *** | −0.016(0.005) | 0.049(0.027) * | 0.011(0.006) | −0.040(0.021) * | −0.003(0.002) | −0.005 (0.011) | −0.001(0.002) |
Remittance | −0.697(0.223) *** | −0.844(0.075) | −1.152(0.638) * | −0.200(0.149) | 0.201(1.031) | 0.044(0.224) | −0.767(0.349) ** | −0.998(0.001) | −1.609 (1.185) | −0.375(0.262) |
Food expenditure | 0.183(0.242) | 0.038(0.089) | 0.078(0.171) | 0.016(0.035) | −0.189(0.054) *** | −0.542(0.154) | 0.286(0.182) | 0.023(0.015) | 0.331(0.090) *** | 0.02(0.020) |
Informal Credit | −0.666(0.352) * | −0.949(0.015) | −0.738(0.343) ** | −0.162(0.242) | 0.783(1.058) | 0.164(0.205) | 0.768(0.248) *** | 0.834(0.040) | −1.975(1.169) * | −0.354(0.153) |
Cash saving | 1.191(1.162) | 0.269(0.276) | −0.255(0.369) | −0.053(0.078) | −0.121(0.397) | −0.027(0.087) | 0.289(0.338) | 0.024(0.028) | −0.023(0.164) | −0.005(0.037) |
Formal Credit | −0.620(1.145) | −0.138(0.270) | −0.134(0.996) | −0.027(0.192) | −0.408(0.847) | −0.095(0.204) | 0.571(0.289) ** | 0.212(0.029) | 1.793(1.079) * | 0.276(0.092) |
Diagnostics | ||||||||||
Pseudo R2 | 0.1689 | 0.1276 | 0.1028 | 0.1331 | 0.0660 | |||||
Prob > chi2 | 0.0000 ** | 0.0002 *** | 0.0310 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** | |||||
LR chi2 | 319.62 | 35.87 | 15.75 | 627.42 | 66.37 | |||||
N | 42 | 232 | 153 | 334 | 771 |
© 2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Olarinde, L.O.; Abass, A.B.; Abdoulaye, T.; Adepoju, A.A.; Fanifosi, E.G.; Adio, M.O.; Adeniyi, O.A.; Wasiu, A. Estimating Multidimensional Poverty among Cassava Producers in Nigeria: Patterns and Socioeconomic Determinants. Sustainability 2020, 12, 5366. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12135366
Olarinde LO, Abass AB, Abdoulaye T, Adepoju AA, Fanifosi EG, Adio MO, Adeniyi OA, Wasiu A. Estimating Multidimensional Poverty among Cassava Producers in Nigeria: Patterns and Socioeconomic Determinants. Sustainability. 2020; 12(13):5366. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12135366
Chicago/Turabian StyleOlarinde, Luke Oyesola, Adebayo Busura Abass, Tahirou Abdoulaye, Adebusola Adenike Adepoju, Emmanuel Gbenga Fanifosi, Matthew Olufemi Adio, Obadiah Adekunle Adeniyi, and Awoyale Wasiu. 2020. "Estimating Multidimensional Poverty among Cassava Producers in Nigeria: Patterns and Socioeconomic Determinants" Sustainability 12, no. 13: 5366. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12135366
APA StyleOlarinde, L. O., Abass, A. B., Abdoulaye, T., Adepoju, A. A., Fanifosi, E. G., Adio, M. O., Adeniyi, O. A., & Wasiu, A. (2020). Estimating Multidimensional Poverty among Cassava Producers in Nigeria: Patterns and Socioeconomic Determinants. Sustainability, 12(13), 5366. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12135366