COVID-19: Look to the Future, Learn from the Past
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Comparison to SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV
3. Prevention and Control
3.1. A New Perspective
- The total number of patients was small. Therefore, the administration was able to find and quarantine the close contacts of each patient;
- Once becomes onset, the symptoms were obvious, critical and typical. Patients were quickly identified and treated;
- There was no transmission capability during incubation period.
3.2. Vaccines
3.3. Hierarchical Management
3.4. A Long Winter
4. Conclusions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Country | Evacuated | Confirmed Cases | Prevalence | Converted to Infected Population in Wuhan | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Japan | 566 | 9 | 1.4% | 156,000 | [40] |
South Korea | 368 | 1 | 0.3% | 30,000 | [41,42,43] |
US | 195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | [44] |
Germany | 124 | 2 | 1.6% | 177,000 | [45] |
Singapore | 92 | 1 | 1.1% | 119,000 | [46,47,48] |
Italy | 56 | 1 | 1.8% | 196,000 | [49] |
Total | 1401 | 14 | 1.0% | 110,000 | NA |
Characteristics | SARS-CoV-2 | SARS-CoV | MERS-CoV | Influenza |
---|---|---|---|---|
R0 | 2.68 | 3 | <1 | 1.3 |
Virulence | Low | High | High | Low |
Case Fatality Rate | 2% | 10% | 37% | 0.1% |
Natural Hosts | Bat | Bat | Bat | Animals, humans |
Intermediate Hosts | Unknown | Civets | Camels | NA |
Origin of Outbreak | Wuhan, China | Guangzhou, China | Saudi Arabia | NA |
Incubation Period | 2–16 days | 2–7 days | 4–8 days | 1–4 days |
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Cheng, Z.J.; Qu, H.-Q.; Tian, L.; Duan, Z.; Hakonarson, H. COVID-19: Look to the Future, Learn from the Past. Viruses 2020, 12, 1226. https://doi.org/10.3390/v12111226
Cheng ZJ, Qu H-Q, Tian L, Duan Z, Hakonarson H. COVID-19: Look to the Future, Learn from the Past. Viruses. 2020; 12(11):1226. https://doi.org/10.3390/v12111226
Chicago/Turabian StyleCheng, Zhangkai J., Hui-Qi Qu, Lifeng Tian, Zhifeng Duan, and Hakon Hakonarson. 2020. "COVID-19: Look to the Future, Learn from the Past" Viruses 12, no. 11: 1226. https://doi.org/10.3390/v12111226