District Heating Benefits and Economic Assessment Methods: A Systematic Review and the Role of Emerging Technologies
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
3. Results
3.1. Geographic Variation and Scientific Studies
3.1.1. Scientific Studies
3.1.2. Geographical Variation
3.2. Benefits of the DH System
3.2.1. Benefits for the Energy System
3.2.2. Benefits for the End User
3.2.3. Benefits for the Environment
3.2.4. Benefits for the Society
3.3. Comparison of Monetisation Methods for Monetising DH Benefits
4. Discussion
5. Benefits of DH System by Using Emerging Technologies
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| 1GDH | First-generation DH |
| 2GDH | Second-generation DH |
| 3GDH | Third-generation DH |
| 4GDH | Fourth-generation DH |
| 5GDH | Fifth-generation DH |
| AI | Artificial intelligence |
| ANN | Artificial neural network |
| Bagging | Bootstrap aggregating |
| BiLSTM | Bidirectional long short memory |
| BLO | Bi-level optimisation |
| BPNN | Back-propagation neural network |
| BT | Bagged tree |
| CNN | Convolution neural network |
| CPS | Cyber-physical system |
| CRO | Chemical reaction optimisation |
| DAO | Day-ahead optimisation |
| DDPG | Deep deterministic policy gradient |
| DH | District heating |
| DT | Decision trees |
| EIA | Energy information administration |
| ELM | Extreme learning machine |
| ENTSO-E | European network of transmission system operators for electricity |
| ETR | Extreme tree regression |
| FFNN | Feed forward neural network |
| GA | Genetic algorithm |
| GHG | Greenhouse gas emissions |
| GRU | Gated recurrent unit |
| GPR | Gaussian process regressions |
| GWO | Gray wolf optimisation |
| H2M-LSTM | Hybrid bimodal LSTM |
| HPBO | Hybrid polar bear optimisation |
| IoT | Internet of things |
| KNN | K-nearest neighbour |
| LCOH | Levelised cost of heat |
| LGBM | Light gradient boosting model |
| LR | Logistic regression |
| LSTM | Long-short term memory |
| MILP | Mixed-integer linear programming |
| MLP | Multi-layer perceptron neural network |
| MLR | Multinomial logistic regression |
| MOGA | Multi-objective genetic algorithm |
| MPC | Model predictive control |
| NLO | Non-linear optimisation |
| NPC | Net present cost |
| NPV | Net present value |
| NuSVR | Nu-support vector regression |
| RF | Random forest |
| RL | Reinforcement learning |
| RNN | Recurrent neural networks |
| RT | Regression tree |
| SLR | Systematic literature review |
| SG | Stochastic gradient |
| SVC | Support vector classifier |
| SVM | Support vector machine |
| SVR | Support vector regression |
| PassAgg | Passive-aggressive regression |
| PRISMA | Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses |
| PoSo | Proof of Solution |
| PSO | Particle Swarm Optimisation |
| TCN | Temporal convolution neural network |
| TSRO | Two-stage robust optimisation |
| WTP | Willingness to pay |
| WOA | Whale optimisation algorithm |
| WOS | Web of science |
Appendix A
Appendix A.1
| Algorithms/Methods | Ref. | DH Benefit | Improvement Sector of DH | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANN | [32,38,39,42,43,45,46,51,52,60,83,84,85,86,102,105,114,120,127,128,132,151] | Energy Efficiency, Flexibility, Comfort, Decreases the system cost, Scaling of peaks in demand, Storage possibilities, Average risk avoided in the house, Lower maintenance cost, Environmental and health damage avoided | Operation | [38,39,43,46,52,60,84,105,114,127,128,132] |
| Management | [51,85,86,102,120,151] | |||
| Design | [32,42,45,60,83,84,102,114] | |||
| ADABOOST | [37,103] | Energy efficiency, Storage possibilities, Heat supply security | Operation | [37,103] |
| Design | [103] | |||
| Autoregression | [77] | Scaling of peaks in demand | Operation | [77] |
| Bagging | [37] | Energy Efficiency | Operation | [37] |
| Bayesian Ridge | [103] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security | Design | [103] |
| BiLSTM | [77,85] | Scaling of peaks in demand | Operation | [77] |
| Management | [85] | |||
| Boosted Trees | [103] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security | Design | [103] |
| BPNN | [40,42,102] | Stabilisation system | Management | [102] |
| Design | [42,102] | |||
| Operation | [40] | |||
| BT | [103] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security | Design | [103] |
| CNN | [36,37,127] | Heat supply security, Energy Efficiency | Operation | [36,37,127] |
| DEEP RL | [94] | Reduction of power consumption, Comfort, Resource recovery from waste | Operation | [94] |
| DeepVAR, | [41,49] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [41,49] |
| DT | [85,86,103,105] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security, Scaling of peaks in demand | Design | [103] |
| Operation | [105] | |||
| Management | [85,86] | |||
| Elastic Net | [103] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security | Design | [103] |
| ELM | [43,128] | Heat supply security | Operation | [43,128] |
| Extreme gradient boosting | [41,50] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [41,50] |
| Extremely randomised trees regressor ETR | [38] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [38] |
| FB-Prophet | [41,49] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [41,49] |
| FFNN | [39] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [39] |
| GPR | [116] | Storage possibilities, CO2 reduction, Exploitation of local resources | Operation | [116] |
| KNN | [36,85] | Scaling of peaks in demand | Operation | [36] |
| Management | [85] | |||
| Lasso Regression | [103] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security | Design | [103] |
| Least Angle | [103] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security | Design | [103] |
| LGBM | [127] | Heat supply security | Operation | [127] |
| LSTM | [36,49,50,77,85,92,103,127] | Scaling of peaks in demand, Storage possibilities, Heat supply security, Reduction of power consumption, Resource recovery from waste | Design | [103] |
| Operation | [36,49,50,77,92,127] | |||
| Management | [71] | |||
| LR | [38,39,76,85,86,87,92,95,103] | Scaling of peaks in demand, Storage possibilities, More relationship between consumer and producer, Reducing consumption of water resources | Design | [76,103] |
| Operation | [38,39,92,95] | |||
| Management | [85,86,87,95] | |||
| GRU | [92] | Reduction of power consumption, Resource recovery from waste, | Operation | [92] |
| H2M-LSTM | [103] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security | Design | [103] |
| MLP | [36,49,85,103,123] | Storage possibilities, Heat supply security, Lower maintenance cost, | Design | [103] |
| Operation | [36,49,123] | |||
| Management | [85,123] | |||
| MLR | [39,86] | Energy efficiency, Scaling of peaks in demand | Management | [86] |
| Operation | [39] | |||
| Multilayer perceptron | [41] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [41] |
| NuSVR | [37] | Energy Efficiency | Operation | [37] |
| RBFNN | [40] | Stabilisation system | Operation | [40] |
| RF | [36,50,85,86,92,103,127,162] | Energy efficiency, Storage possibilities, Heat supply security, Reduction of power consumption | Design | [103] |
| Operation | [36,50,92,127,162] | |||
| Management | [85,162] | |||
| RL | [82] | Scaling of peaks in demand, CO2 reduction, Health damage avoided | Operation | [82] |
| RNN | [37,49] | Energy Efficiency | Operation | [37,49] |
| RT | [39,50] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [39,50] |
| SARIMA | [79] | Scaling of peaks in demand | Operation | [79] |
| SVC | [85] | Scaling of peaks in demand | Management | [85] |
| SVM | [37,38,39,43,45,81,84,89,92,105,127,151,162] | Energy efficiency, Scaling of peaks in demand, Storage possibilities, Reduction of power consumption, Resource recovery from waste, Heat supply security | Operation | [37,38,39,43,84,92,105,127,162] |
| Management | [151,162] | |||
| Design | [45,84] | |||
| SVR (poly, linear, rbf) | [37,41,103] | Energy efficiency, Storage possibilities, Reduction of power consumption, Resource recovery from waste | Design | [103] |
| Operation | [37,41] | |||
| SVR | [40] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [40] |
| SG | [103] | Reduction of power consumption, Resource recovery from waste, Storage possibilities | Design | [103] |
| TCN | [37] | Energy Efficiency | Operation | [37] |
| PassAgg | [37] | Energy Efficiency | Operation | [37] |
| Xgboost | [36,37,40,42,49,151] | Stabilisation system, Energy Efficiency | Operation | [36,37,49] |
| Design | [151] | |||
| Management | [42] |
Appendix A.2
| Emerging Technology | Ref. | DH Benefits | Improvement Sector | Generation of DH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blockchain | [57] | Flexibility, Decreases the system cost | Operation | 5GDH |
Appendix A.3
| Emerging Technology | Ref. | DH Benefits | Improvement Sector | Generation of DH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital twin | [48] | Energy efficiency, Scaling of peaks in demand, Reduction of power consumption | Design, Operation, | 5GDH |
| [119] | Average risk avoided in the house | Design, Operation, Management | 5GDH | |
| [43] | Energy efficiency, Heat supply security | Operation | 5GDH | |
| [129] | Heat supply security | Design, Operation | 5GDH | |
| [47] | Energy efficiency, Flexibility, RES integration, Reduction of power consumption, Security supplies, Stabilisation system, Storage possibilities, Environmental and health damage avoided, Resource recovery from waste, Exploitation of local resources | Operation | 5GDH |
Appendix A.4
| Emerging Technology | Ref. | DH Benefits | Improvement Sector | Generation of DH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOT | [93] | Reduction of power consumption, Reduction of pollutants (no CO2) | Operation | 5GDH |
| [119] | Average risk avoided in the house | Design, Operation, Management | 5GDH | |
| [120] | Average risk avoided in the house, Lower maintenance cost, Environmental and health damage avoided | Management | 5GDH |
Appendix A.5
Appendix A.6
| Optimisation Algorithm/Method | Ref. | DH Benefits | Improvement Sector of DH | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MILP | [56,75,104,108] | Flexibility, Scaling of peaks in demand, More relationship between consumer and producer, Heat supply security, Resource recovery from waste, CO2 reduction, Impacts on macroeconomics/local economy recovery, Storage possibilities, RES integration | Operation | [56,75,108] |
| Design | [104,108] | |||
| MOGA | [73] | RES integration, Storage possibilities, Lower maintenance cost, Decreases the system cost | Operation | [73] |
| Design | [73] | |||
| PSO | [69,94,131] | RES integration, Reduction of power consumption, Decreases the system cost, Reduction of power consumption, Comfort, Resource recovery from waste | Operation | [69,131] |
| Management | [69,94] | |||
| GA | [81,94,104,115] | Reduction of power consumption, Comfort, Resource recovery from waste, Scaling of peaks in demand | Management | [94] |
| Operation | [81,115] | |||
| Design | [104] | |||
| GWO | [94] | Reduction of power consumption, Comfort, Resource recovery from waste | Management | [94] |
| WOA | [94] | Reduction of power consumption, Comfort, Resource recovery from waste | Management | [94] |
| DDPG | [94] | Reduction of power consumption, Comfort, Resource recovery from waste | Management | [94] |
| HPBO | [138] | Reducing consumption of water resources | Management | [138] |
| Operation | [138] | |||
| NSGA-II | [135] | CO2 reduction | Operation | [135] |
| Management | [135] | |||
| Design | [135] | |||
| CRO | [138] | Reducing consumption of water resources | Management | [138] |
| Operation | [138] | |||
| Firefly | [45] | Energy Efficiency | Design | [45] |
| NLO | [31] | Energy efficiency | Operation | [31] |
| BLO | [98] | Stabilisation system | Operation | [98] |
| TSRO | [124] | Lower maintenance cost, Resource recovery from waste | Operation | [124] |
| MPC | [62,116] | Flexibility, Storage possibilities, Impacts on macroeconomics/local economy recovery, CO2 reduction, Exploitation of local resources | Operation | [62,116] |
| DAO | [130] | Heat supply security | Operation | [130] |
| Normal Optimisation | [30,34,41,42,48,49,53,60,61,70,71,72,78,82,84,88,89,90,91,93,95,110,114,117,119,125,132,163] | Flexibility, Decreases the system cost, Impacts on macroeconomics/local economy recovery, Reduction of pollutants associated with health issues, CO2 reduction, Average risk avoided in the house, Storage possibilities, Resource recovery from waste, Reducing consumption of water resources, Lower maintenance cost, Security supplies, Reduction of pollutants (no CO2), Reduction of power consumption, Scaling of peaks in demand, Health damage avoided, RES integration, Energy efficiency, Reduction of power consumption, Comfort | Operation | [30,34,48,49,53,60,61,70,71,78,82,84,88,89,90,91,93,95,110,114,117,119,125,132,163] |
| Management | [41,60,84,93,95,117,119] | |||
| Design | [41,48,61,70,71,78,84,93,110,114,117,129] |
Appendix A.7
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| Search Runs | Search Keywords |
|---|---|
| First run | “district heating” |
| Second run | “district heating” AND “economic” |
| Third run | (“district heating” AND “economic”) AND (“society” OR “energy” OR “environment” OR “user”) |
| Fourth run | (“district heating” AND “economic”) AND (“society” OR “energy” OR “environment” OR “user”) AND (“cyber physical” OR “digital twin” OR “IOT” OR “Artificial Intelligence” OR “block chain”) |
| Energy System Benefit | Assessment Criteria | Ref. | Methodology | Frequency (Percentage) | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy efficiency | I | [20,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47] | - | 26 (21.14%) | Russia (Omsk); Estonia (Narva); South Korea; China (Dalian, Hefei); Switzerland; USA; Austrailia; Ukraine |
| M | [48] | - | China | ||
| Q | [49,50,51,52,53] | - | China; Turkey (Afyonkarahisar); Ukraine | ||
| Flexibility | Q | [33,34,54,55] | - | 15 (12.2%) | China (Hefei, Dalian); Netherlands; Greece (Kozani) |
| I | [29,30,47,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63] | - | Russia (Omsk); China (Chifeng, Tianjin); Nordic region; UK (London); Sweden (Stockholm); Switzerland; Denmark; Ukraine | ||
| RES integration | I | [47,64,65,66,67] | - | 15 (12.2%) | Italy; China; Finland (Kaskinen); Europe; Ukraine |
| Q | [53,63,68,69,70,71] | - | Denmark; Latvia; USA (Utah); Ukraine | ||
| M | [58,72,73,74] | - | South Korea; Spain (Madrid); UK (London); Italy | ||
| Scaling of peaks in demand | I | [30,75,76,77,78,79] | - | 20 (16.26%) | Italy (Naples); Russia (Omsk); Denmark (Aalborg, Copenhagen); China |
| Q | [46,59,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91] | - | Sweden (Stockholm); China (Tianjin); Italy (Osimo); USA; Serbia (Belgrade); Australia | ||
| Reduction of power consumption primary sources | I | [47,69,92] | - | 9 (7.32%) | China (Tianjin); USA (Utah); Ukraine |
| Q | [17,29,48,93,94] | - | Russia (Omsk); China (Tianjin) | ||
| M | [17] | Avoided cost | EU | ||
| Security supplies | I | [20,47,95] | - | 4 (3.25%) | Denmark (Odense), USA |
| M | [96] | Report case Studies | EU | ||
| Electric security system | M | [96] | - | 4 (3.25%) | EU |
| I | [19,20,97] | - | UK, Estonia, USA | ||
| Stabilisation system (heat storage) | Q | [98] | 9 (7.32%) | China (Beijing) | |
| I | [40,42,47,55,99,100,101,102] | - | Latvia (Riga); China; Spain; Netherlands; Ukraine | ||
| Storage possibilities | I | [46,47,73,76,103,104,105,106,107,108] | - | 26 (21.14%) | Spain (Madrid); Russia (Omsk); Switzerland (Geneva); Canada; Belgium (Genk); Australia; Ukraine |
| M | [29,58,109,110] | - | UK (London); Russia (Omsk); Sweden (Stockholm); Belgium (Genk) | ||
| Q | [61,62,67,78,103,111,112,113,114,115,116,117] | Slovenia (Vransko); Italy (Naples, Ferrara); Netherlands; Germany (Kempen); China (Chifeng, Tianjin); Canada (Alberta); Finland (Kaskinen); |
| End Users Benefit | Assessment Criteria | Ref. | Methodology | Frequency (%) | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comfort | I | [30,94,112] | - | 7 (5.69%) | China (Tianjin); Russia (Omsk) |
| M | [118] | WTP | South Korea | ||
| [17] | Hedonic pricing | Europe | |||
| Q | [32,54] | - | South Korea; Greece (Kozani) | ||
| Average risk avoided in the house | I | [119,120,121] | - | 4 (3.25%) | Germany; China |
| M | [122] | WTP | South Korea | ||
| More relationship between consumer and producer | I | [54,58,68,75,76,112] | - | 7 (5.69%) | Lativa; Denmark (Copenhagen); Russia (Omsk); UK (London); Greece (Kozani) |
| Q | [29] | - | Russia (Omsk) | ||
| Lower maintenance cost | I | [29,73,74,78,95,112,120,123,124] | - - | 9 (7.32%) | Italy (Aosta, Naples); Denmark (Odense); Germany; Russia (Omsk); Spain (Madrid); Northern Europe |
| Reduction of pollutants associated with health issues | I | [125] | - | 1 (0.81%) | Italy (Torino) |
| Space saving | I | [20,122,126] | - | 3 (2.44%) | Europe; USA |
| Heat supply security | I | [29,43,75,103,107,127,128,129,130] | - | 9 (7.32%) | Russia (Omsk); Denmark (Copenhagen); Slovenia (Vransko); China (Tianjin) |
| Decreases the system cost | M | [18,57,69,131] | - | 7 (5.69%) | USA (Utah); Denmark; Poland; China |
| I | [52,95,132] | - | Denmark (Odense); Turkey (Afyonkarahisar) |
| Environmental Benefit | Assessment Criteria | Ref. | Methodology | Frequency (%) | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Environmental and health damage avoided | M | [96] | Avoided cost | 4 (3.25%) | EU |
| I | [47,120] | - | Germany; Ukraine | ||
| Q | [109] | - | Sweden (Stockholm) | ||
| Resource recovery from waste | I | [47,58,61,75,92,94,111,133] | - | 13 (10.57%) | Denmark (Copenhagen); China (Tianjin); UK (London); Netherlands; Germany; Italy (Milan); China (Chifeng); Ukraine |
| Q | [72,117,134] | - | South Korea; Italy (Ferrara); Croatia (Rijeka) | ||
| M | [80,124] | - | Sweden (Stockholm); Northern Europe | ||
| CO2 reduction | I | [29,104,116] | - | 11 (8.94%) | Russia (Omsk); Latvia; Switzerland (Geneva); Germany (Kempen) |
| Q | [59,68,74,75,78,82,125,135] | - - | Latvia; Denmark (Copenhagen); Italy (Naples, Osimo, Torino); UK (Wales); Sweden (Stockholm) | ||
| CO2 reduction equivalent | Q | [21,136,137] | - | 3 (2.44%) | Italy; Sweden |
| Reducing consumption of water resources | I | [76,117,138] | - | 3 (2.44%) | China; Russia (Omsk); Italy (Ferrara) |
| Reduction of pollutants (no CO2) | I | [93] | - | 4 (3.25%) | China |
| Q | [64,139] | - | Croatia; China | ||
| M | [140] | Avoided cost, Pollution tax, Tool | China |
| Societal Benefit | Assessment Criteria | Ref. | Methodology | Frequency (%) | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health damage avoided | M | [96] | Avoided cost | 2 (1.63%) | EU |
| I | [82] | - | Italy (Osimo) | ||
| Impacts on macroeconomics/local economy recovery | I | [34,62,132] | - | 6 (4.88%) | China (Tianjin, Hefei); Turkey (Afyonkarahisar) |
| M | [74,80] | - | Italy; Sweden (Stockholm) | ||
| M | [19] | Tool (MOVE2social) | Austria | ||
| Exploitation of local resources | I | [29,47,58,67,116] | - | 6 (4.88%) | Russia (Omsk); UK (London); Germany (Kempen); Finland (Kaskinen); Ukraine |
| Q | [141] | - | Poland (Poznan, Warsaw) | ||
| Reduction of energy poverty | I | [97] | - | 1 (0.81%) | UK |
| Monetisation Method | Frequency (%) | Cost Aspect | Additional Influential Factors | Interest Rate | Monetised DH Benefits | Monetised Results | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avoided Cost | 4 (3.25%) | Marginal cost, penalty cost | Annual heat production | No | Reduction of power consumption primary sources | EUR 9.3 million | [17] |
| Environmental and health damage avoided | EUR 0.1014/kWh | [96] | |||||
| Health damage avoided | EUR 0.1014/kWh | [96] | |||||
| Impacts on macroeconomics/local economy recovery | IRR. 4.40–6.93% | [96] | |||||
| NPV | 6 (4.88%) | Net cash flow | Time in years | Yes | RES integration | EUR 0.080/kWh (EUR 0.07/kWh) | [58] |
| Security supplies | EUR 18.92 million | [96] | |||||
| Electric security system | EUR 27.46 million | [96] | |||||
| Resource recovery from waste | EUR 0.079–0.11/kWh (0.8732–1.193 sek/kWh) | [80] | |||||
| Impacts on macroeconomics/local economy recovery | EUR 8487 million | [80] | |||||
| IRR. 4.40–6.93% | [96] | ||||||
| NPC | 1 (0.81%) | Investment Cost, operational cost and replacement cost | No | No | RES integration | EUR 0.0625–0.165/kWh | [73] |
| Hedonic pricing | 1 (0.81%) | Cost of product | Regression coefficient, attribute of a product, and error | No | Comfort | EUR 330 | [17] |
| LCOH | 4 (3.25%) | Total expenses | Total energy generations | Yes | Storage possibilities | EUR 0.036/kWh | [29] |
| EUR 0.082–0.11/kWh (0.90–1.18 sek/kWh) | [109] | ||||||
| EUR 0.045–0.03/kWh | [110] | ||||||
| Resource recovery from waste | EUR 0.079–0.11/kWh (0.8732–1.193 sek/kWh) | [80] | |||||
| WTP | 2 (1.63%) | Maximum price a customer is ready to pay, price of product | No | Comfort | EUR 3.93/month (6660 won/month) | [118] | |
| Average risk avoided in the house | EUR 0.017/kWh (USD 0.01943/kWh) | [122] |
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Ahmed, S.M.M.; Bagaini, A.; Croci, E. District Heating Benefits and Economic Assessment Methods: A Systematic Review and the Role of Emerging Technologies. Energies 2025, 18, 6464. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246464
Ahmed SMM, Bagaini A, Croci E. District Heating Benefits and Economic Assessment Methods: A Systematic Review and the Role of Emerging Technologies. Energies. 2025; 18(24):6464. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246464
Chicago/Turabian StyleAhmed, S.M. Masum, Annamaria Bagaini, and Edoardo Croci. 2025. "District Heating Benefits and Economic Assessment Methods: A Systematic Review and the Role of Emerging Technologies" Energies 18, no. 24: 6464. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246464
APA StyleAhmed, S. M. M., Bagaini, A., & Croci, E. (2025). District Heating Benefits and Economic Assessment Methods: A Systematic Review and the Role of Emerging Technologies. Energies, 18(24), 6464. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246464

