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29 August 2023

Progress in Research on Net-Zero-Carbon Cities: A Literature Review and Knowledge Framework

and
Department of Architecture, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea
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Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
This article belongs to the Section B: Energy and Environment

Abstract

Through quantitative and qualitative analysis, this report conducts a thorough evaluation of the literature on the present progress in research on and the performance of net-zero-carbon cities (NZCCs). The quantitative analysis identifies ten major areas at this stage, and this analysis is followed by a systematic review of the dynamics and cutting-edge issues of research in the hot literature in this area. The systematic review reveals that the key points of NZCC transformation at this stage are research on zero-carbon buildings, urban paradigms, policies, economics, and renewable energy. Finally, based on the results of the previous analysis, to build the theoretical framework of NZCCs and combined with the sustainable development goals, future research directions are proposed, such as urban infrastructure transformation and low-carbon transportation, policy support and system reform, and digital transformation as well as coupling and balancing the relationships of various elements. In addition, cities need to develop evaluation indicators based on specific developments, and policy adaptability and flexibility are crucial for promoting cities’ efforts to achieve zero emissions. The current study provides targeted theoretical references and assistance for future policymakers and researchers, as well as advances and trends in the field of net zero carbon and associated research material from an urban viewpoint.

1. Introduction

Climate change is a global issue facing humanity that requires long-term and ongoing attention and research. In May 2023, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released the Global Climate Status 2022 report, which stated that greenhouse gas concentrations are still gradually increasing, with heat-trapping greenhouse gases reaching record levels and the land, oceans, and atmosphere changing globally [1]. In 2021, the concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide reached record levels, as observed in the global composite (1984–2021), and the levels of all three greenhouse gases continued to rise in 2022. Meanwhile, according to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the current global average surface temperature is approximately 1.2 °C higher than it was in 1880, well outside the normal range of fluctuations in the Earth’s average temperature over the previous 10,000 years [2]. In addition, the harm caused by global warming constitutes climate energy, and the potential economic losses are quite alarming. Thus, although earlier “carbon-neutral” actions have a broad social base, the global “carbon-neutral” vision is still highly uncertain because the energy low-carbon transition is a long-term, gradual, and complex process involving all aspects of the international political economy, and various types of pain and forms of backlash will be inevitable [3]. This uncertainty has caused many countries to fall into anxiety [4] and begin to expand their focus from the energy transition to a more integrated governance transition [5,6,7,8,9].
With the exploration of new governance approaches, the importance of cities in the governance process is gradually emerging. In terms of population, with the rapid growth of the urban population, energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions will increase, and as global urbanization continues, the proportion of urban dwellers is expected to rise from the current level of 54% to 68% by 2050, with new buildings, transportation facilities, and residential consumption resulting in higher energy consumption and carbon emissions. While generating more than 80% of the world’s GDP, they also consume 85% of the world’s total resources and energy consumption and emit greenhouse gases on the same scale, and cities are beginning to attract attention as an important area for addressing climate change. In addition, cities are the center of human activities, the largest consumers of energy products, and the main spatial source of carbon emissions, accounting for only 3% of Earth’s land area but generating more than 70% of carbon emissions. Cities are, therefore, central to the implementation of strategies to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate climate change, and to keep the global temperature rise to 1.5 °C or below, cities must achieve net-zero emissions by mid-century. In recent years, the impact of COVID-19 has caused major economic, health, and social setbacks around the world, and how to reconcile multiple issues and how to maximize the use of limited resources have become major challenges for countries. The need for and importance of urban transformation is gradually being recognized.
In practical ways, World Environment Day 2020 saw the official launch of the UN-backed Race to Zero global campaign, a leading coalition of net-zero initiatives for non-state actors, which was joined by 458 cities upon launch and has now expanded to 1136 cities worldwide. In January 2021, the World Economic Forum (WEF) Climate Action Platform released a study entitled “Net-Zero Carbon Cities (NZCC): An Integrated Approach” [10], which presented the first global framework for NZCCs and a comprehensive approach to achieving systemic efficiency gains. The study provides solutions to increase the resilience of cities to potential future climate and health crises [11]. From comprehensive planning to specific industries, the application of net-zero-carbon technology measures has the natural advantage of system integration, which can be achieved through comprehensive urban planning to optimize the combination of the spatial pattern, infrastructure, transportation system, and carbon sink space and bring into play the coupling effect of multi-dimensional carbon reduction, thus realizing the overall carbon reduction effect of the whole society. In this way, an increasing number of countries are taking active measures to build NZCCs [12]. Thus, how to encourage countries around the world to participate in the process of carbon emission reduction and how to achieve low carbon emissions in all aspects of production, life, and socio-economic development are common concerns among researchers today [13,14].
There are multiple differences between the focus and conclusions of earlier reviews and this study, with different emphases. First, in terms of the research direction, most existing articles focus on specific topics and countries, and reviews on the theory and practice of net-zero carbon under urban topics mainly focus on net-zero issues in the building sector [15,16,17,18], such as net-zero emissions and net-zero energy consumption in buildings [19,20,21] and accounting for carbon emissions during the whole cycle of building construction [22,23,24]. In addition to focusing on urban transportation [25,26,27] and industry [28,29,30], however, this study focuses on a comprehensive review of research across the full spectrum of NZCCs, adding policy and economic aspects to the topic because, to be used as a framework for climate action, NZCCs must be operationalized and measured as part of the ongoing activities of social, political, and economic systems, with buildings being only one piece of the urban transformation. Furthermore, the difficulty of harmonizing definitions in terms of the scope of net-zero-carbon research has been a key topic of discussion in the field, and the NZCC concept was first introduced in 2021 in the article “From Low- to Net-Zero Carbon Cities: The Next Global Agenda” by Karen C. In this article, the definition of an NZCC differs from the definition of a low-carbon city in that an NZCC is more transformative (over 80% reduction in fossil fuels) than a low-carbon city (over 20% reduction), calling for researchers to focus on transformative technologies and pathways for NZCCs. Thus far, however, the concept has not attracted sufficient attention from other researchers. Importantly, in terms of the definition of net-zero carbon, the term itself is only a concept and has meaning only when combined with specific evaluation indicators. Evaluation indicators also have certain application limitations. Therefore, the definition of the term should be accompanied by specific indicators within the scope of the study and should not be generalized.
In summary, this study aims to systematically and comprehensively summarize existing net-zero-carbon studies from an urban perspective and provide a reference basis for urban transformation. In terms of research methodology, carbon-neutral-related articles in the Web of Science (WoS) database from 2002 to 2022 were used as research objects in this paper. The collected literature was quantitatively analyzed by using the information visualization software CiteSpace 6.2.R4 and reviewed through a combination of quantitative and qualitative analysis. Additionally, a theoretical framework was built to finally propose future research topics based on four hot topics: the economy, paradigms, policy, and energy. The specific objectives of this study are as follows: 1. to quantitatively assess the NZCC-related literature from multiple perspectives to cluster existing research topics; 2. to analyze the dynamic evolutionary trend direction of the topics; 3. to conduct a literature review on the topic trend using qualitative analysis; and 4. to synthesize the results of the quantitative and qualitative analyses to construct a theoretical framework for this research topic and to propose future research topics to help researchers gain a comprehensive and up-to-date understanding of the field.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Data Processing

The literature data come from the WoS Core Collection-Citation Index, which includes the Conference Proceedings Citation Index-Science (CPCI-S), the Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), and the Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI). The first index was published in 2002, and neither of the two chemical indexes, i.e., Current Chemical Reactions Expanded (CCR-EXPANDED) and Index Chemicus (IC), yielded any relevant publications. As a result, the following search parameters were used for this paper: TS = “Net Zero Carbon” and timespan = 2002–2022. The search parameters and meticulous screening for extraneous publications resulted in 769 papers as of 31 December 2022. Regarding information, each chosen file includes the abstract, keywords, author, institution, and country, and the output file is renamed “download_*.txt”.

2.2. Research Methods

Visual analysis techniques are commonly employed in scientific research to assist researchers in swiftly extracting useful information from relevant literature and mapping knowledge networks. The major analysis software in this work is CiteSpace, an efficient and powerful scientometric visualization software developed by Dr. Chaomei Chen, a well-known information visualization expert [31,32]. Its original operation interface is illustrated in Figure 1. Scientometrics is a subfield of informatics that quantitatively examines scientific publications to understand the knowledge structure and developing trends in a research subject. The development state and trends of a subject area can be seen through its quantification and statistical analysis using literature-related information as input, thus boosting the scientific accuracy and precision of the subject study.
Figure 1. Initial interface of the software CiteSpace.
Based on this software process, this paper integrates the research framework detailed in Figure 2, and it visualizes and analyzes the current state of knowledge in the field using knowledge mapping based on the scope of the research object, relevant departments, supporting measures, and key time points. Accordingly, it assesses the current state of knowledge in the field, explores global progress and hot issues, and identifies research trends.
Figure 2. Analysis framework diagram.

3. Analysis of Developments in Research Fields

3.1. Countries and Regions Analysis

A preliminary understanding of NZCC was developed based on annual distribution statistics and a visual map of the thematic classification of publications. After using CiteSpace to filter out duplicate articles, we obtained a total of 769 papers on NZCC and the distribution of published articles per year (Figure 3). In terms of the publication trend of papers from 2002 to 2022, there are three phases: the first phase of the initial period of the study from 2002 to 2011 had a stable number of articles published; the second phase began in 2012, when the annual number of articles began to show an upward trend to 2018 to enter the third phase of the surge period; and the number of articles reached a peak of 163 in 2022.
Figure 3. Publication trends on net-zero-carbon cities (2002–2022).
The change in the number of publications is an important measure of the development of a country’s research field. After visualizing the data through the software, it can be further visualized to analyze its influence and stage of publication. In CiteSpace, the keyword frequency (Count) indicates the size of keyword co-occurrence in the literature, and the higher the keyword frequency, the more important the node is in the field. Betweenness centrality is a measure of the importance of a node in the network, and when the value of betweenness centrality exceeds 0.1, the node is called a critical node. From the perspective of issuance volume, betweenness centrality is an important indicator to measure the comprehensive value and quality of its issuance volume. According to the data analysis, the countries are ranked in descending order of the number of articles issued, and combined with Table 1 and Figure 4, it can be seen that the country with the highest number of articles issued in the time frame of this paper is the United States (count: 212), followed by China (count: 163), England (count: 104) Canada (count: 79), Belgium (count: 68), Australia (count: 55), Italy (count: 55), and other countries. Among them, the United States (centrality: 0.25), China (centrality: 0.11), England (centrality: 0.14) and Spain (centrality: 0.16) have a higher level of influence and quality of articles, while Canada ranks fourth in the number of articles, but its centrality value is only 0.1 and its influence has to be improved.
Table 1. Frequency of national article publication.
Figure 4. National research collaborations.
The software visualizes the impactfulness and cooperation relationship between its country and regional article issuance, which can reveal the development and change of cooperation in this research field. Figure 4 expresses the partnership between countries and the number of articles published in the last three years. The larger the country name is, the larger the number of articles published follows, and the size of the country name font size in the figure represents the frequency of articles published. The cooperation is expressed in terms of years and is repressed by the yellow linking line, and we can see from the graph, firstly, that the United States ranked first in terms of the number of articles issued, which not only has a high contribution rate of articles but also focuses on active cooperation between countries and is associated with most of them. Secondly, China, which is ranked second in terms of article volume, has a decreasing trend of inter-country cooperation, mainly showing intra-country cooperation, despite its high article volume. In order to further analyze the evolution of inter-country cooperation relationships, the relationship changes from red to yellow between 2002 and 2022 are shown in Figure 5 (with an interval of two years as a node), respectively. From the figure, it can be learned that before 2018, the countries were on a cooperation plateau, and the cooperation relationship was mainly concentrated between the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia. From 2018 on, more countries began to cooperate in research, and research cooperation in this field increased significantly. However, the main cooperative relationships and centrality values are still concentrated between Belgium, Australia, and the U.S. Starting in 2021, the center of gravity of the main cooperatively active countries began to shift, evolving from a situation dominated by European and American countries to a diffusion type, with cooperative countries expanding to Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Singapore, Wales, etc.
Figure 5. Change in national research partnerships 2002–2022.

3.2. Institutions and Author Analysis

A review of journals publishing research related to NZCC over time reveals a gradual expansion of journal categories and a recent interdisciplinary trend. While most of the early studies were published in journals in the environmental and atmospheric sciences, in recent years, journals in the energy and engineering fields have emerged and become dominant. In this case, as in Figure 6, the pink outer border indicates the potential intermediacy of the institution, with thicker borders indicating higher intermediacy of the node and greater academic impact of the institution. The lower left legend is divided by color to represent the change in publication year. Combining Table 2 with Figure 6, it can be seen that the volume of institutional publications is concentrated between 2020 and 2022, which is consistent with the total trend of publications in the above article. The top three according to the number are the University of Mons (52 articles), the City University of Hong Kong (50 articles), and the Utah System of Higher Education (23 articles).
Figure 6. Institutional activity and frequency.
Table 2. Top 10 most collaborative institutions.
The analysis of co-authors allowed the identification of collaborative cross-referencing relationships between researchers. In this paper, the authors were ranked according to the number of articles published from highest to lowest in the study years (Table 3), and the year in the table represent the first occurrence of a high period of cooperation by this author. the highest-producing author was Loakimidis, Christos S., whose 45 publications were published within the topic between 2002 and 2022. As well as analyzing the operational benefits of factors such as renewable energy generation, market prices, and electric vehicles, a model based on the Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) framework is provided to study the synergistic evaluation of EMS operations in buildings for each factor, culminating in a scenario-based simulation proposing a communication bi-directional energy management framework that can be used for smart buildings on university campuses.
Table 3. Top 10 most collaborative authors in studies on net-zero-carbon cities.

3.3. Top-Cited Article Analysis

In this section, we analyzed the most cited articles in NZCC, and a total of 769 articles with valid information were screened. Given the large number of articles, Table 4 shows the highly cited papers with nodal significance obtained by combining the frequency of the words or phrases used in the cited literature and the citation frequency obtained from the cited literature. In addition, articles on urban transportation, infrastructure, and legislative management are also heavily cited, revealing that several of these topics have attracted considerable attention in reaching the goal of building NZCC and that the research focus has gradually shifted from the initial area of building energy to the overall city level. The specific research directions and progress details for each topic will be reviewed in the next section of the qualitative analysis of the literature.
Table 4. List of the analysis of top cited articles.

3.4. Keywords Co-Occurrence Analysis

Keywords are used to identify the main ideas and main contents of articles, as well as to determine the frequency and presence of certain phrases in related literature, which helps to grasp the academic hotspots in the field. In this paper, we use each year as a time segment, and the threshold value is set to select the top 10 high-frequency nodes for each time segment. In the co-occurrence network, the larger the node is, the more frequently the node and the central node co-occur, i.e., the closer the relationship between them. By analyzing the literature from 2002 to 2022 (Figure 7), it can be seen that from 2002, the highest frequency according to the frequency mentioned is performance (frequency: 85), followed by city (frequency: 57), renewable energy (frequency: 45), and optimization (frequency: 45). In order to further identify trends and hotspots in the evolution of NZCC research, the “time zone” function of Cite Space was used to capture the time in this study, which was collected by dividing the year into segments, where each circle represents a keyword, the keyword is the year in which it first appeared in the analyzed dataset, and the line represents the association between the keywords. The keywords appear in chronological order on the corresponding timeline, and the larger the chronological wheel, the longer the appearance time. As can be seen from the figure, keywords such as performance, impact, and moderation began to appear on a large scale from 2002 to the present, and their influence is persistent. The year 2011 saw the first appearance of city and climate change under this topic, which is also the same trend as the highly cited literature in the previous section.
Figure 7. Keywords timeline map.
With the help of CiteSpace, the keywords are clustered and analyzed (Figure 8). Each cluster is a keyword in the co-occurrence network, and each keyword represents a value, and the one with the largest value in the same cluster is the representative in that class. This means that the larger the size of the cluster (i.e., the larger the number of members contained in the cluster). Two metrics to look at when analyzing clusters are modularity (Q) and average silhouette (S). It is generally believed that a Q value in the interval (0,1), Q > 0.3 means that the delineated structure is significant; when the S value is above 0.5, the clustering structure is reasonable, and when it is more than 0.7, it is more convincing. In the resulting clusters, the average profile value of the weights S was 0.7731, and the modularity value Q was 0.5867, indicating that the clustering of keywords was successful and that they had a reasonable structure and a high confidence level. As shown in the figure, the keywords of the existing literature are divided into 10 clusters, in order from largest to smallest, as shown in the following.
Figure 8. Co-occurred keyword cluster network.
  • Cluster 0: “Net-zero building”. Keywords in the cluster are performance, design, consumption, and impact. This represents a focus on building performance and the economic benefits of sustainability.
  • Cluster 1: “Climate Change Mitigation”. Keywords in the cluster are health, CO2 emissions, and mitigation, which represent the concern for the impact of climate change on cities, the environment, and human health.
  • Cluster 2: “Carbon sequestration”. Keywords in the cluster are growth and columns, which represent the focus on soil carbon sequestration and construction materials to reduce human “carbon footprint”.
  • Cluster 3: “Climate Change” Keywords in the cluster: policy, city, and consumption This cluster represents the focus on the impact of climate change on urban economies and the mechanisms of policy.
  • Cluster 4: “Public transport”. Keywords in the cluster: balance, stability, gas, and behavior. This represents the focus on the topic of carbon input into the carbon mass balance and emission balance among various elements of the city.
  • Cluster 5: “Smart Grid” Keywords in the cluster are boundary layer, radiation, and flows. This set represents the focus on the digital energy structure transformation and the development of a smart, low-carbon, safe, and efficient energy system.
  • Cluster 6: “Model”. Keywords in the cluster: smart metering and energy storage system (ESS). This represents the focus on energy storage and releases devices and technological innovations in energy demand scenarios such as power systems and transportation.
  • Cluster 7: “Insider Trading” Keywords in the cluster are time, costs, and firms. This represents a focus on the role of carbon markets as a policy instrument in their climate change policy portfolio and the development of the financialization of carbon trading markets.
  • Cluster 8: “Amino acid”. Keywords in the cluster are absorption, thermal conductivity, and black carbon, which represent the new hotspot for research on new clean energy sources and environmentally friendly fuels as a balance between carbon emissions.
  • Cluster 9: “Charging station”. Keywords in the cluster: systems and soil. This cluster represents a focus on energy-saving approaches and practices in urban public institutions and infrastructure.

5. Framework

5.1. Knowledge Framework

Based on the in-depth analysis of existing NZCC research, we see that there are various research dimensions and directions in this field, that new theories, challenges, materials, and methods are constantly being proposed as time and technology evolve, and that the disciplinary research hotspots are facing dynamic and complex changes, which, together with the research directions and contents, form the basis of NZCC research. At the same time, importantly, new concepts are constantly changing, from the initial “carbon-neutral cities”, “low-carbon cities”, eco-cities, and zero-carbon cities to the NZCCs of today, making it difficult for researchers to accurately distinguish between the terms used and confusing the semantics. Therefore, at this stage, it is necessary to summarize the hot trend of recent years, i.e., NZCCs, in a comprehensive manner. A comprehensive urban planning program and policy and institutional reform are needed to develop long-term and phased strategies to establish a holistic theoretical knowledge framework at the early stage of the development of this field to further advance the process of achieving the goal of NZCCs and to provide experience and references for future research.
This paper constructs a comprehensive theoretical knowledge framework for NZCCs based on four directions: the disciplinary scope, research focus, common citations, and potential topics of existing research (Figure 9). This knowledge framework clearly shows the evolution of collaborative networks, co-citation networks, and co-occurrence networks. It also depicts the research trends in the field, enabling the reader to obtain a quick overview of the research field of NZCCs. As seen from the framework, this paper performs collaborative, co-citation, and co-occurrence analyses to visualize the core elements of each analysis to aid and support the transition to an NZCC typology in an urban context.
Figure 9. Knowledge framework of the net-zero-carbon cities.

5.2. Future Research Directions

This study constructs a comprehensive and visualized knowledge system of NZCCs, which is useful for theoretical studies of NZCCs. The results of our quantitative analysis visualize changes in NZCC theoretical research in time and space, which can help researchers gain a more comprehensive knowledge of NZCCs. The most meaningful results of this study are based on the summary of existing experiences after quantitative and qualitative analyses. The research trends are combined with the sustainable development goals (Figure 10). Thus, the proposed NZCC research directions provide insights for relevant researchers to identify future topics to promote the transformation of NZCCs in practice, with the core points of the topic listed below.
Figure 10. Chart of existing trends and future directions.
  • Focus on infrastructure low-carbon transformation, supporting service facility construction, top-level layout, and grassroots optimization for joint promotion.
  • Focus on the digital development of smart cities in the context of the industrial structure and product structure special upgrades.
  • Construct localized evaluation indicators in line with the development stage of each city, focusing on differentiation and flexibility.
  • Pay attention to the driving force of policies for project realization, focus on relevant policy research, and clarify long-term and phased project goals.
  • Improve the organizational system and promote system innovation and institutional mechanism reform. Pay attention to the problem of the disconnection of work between systems and the scope of application of systems, planning, and standards.
  • Pay attention to the dynamic development relationship between urban systems. Promote the establishment of multi-disciplinary learning mechanisms and processing platforms.
  • The study of the energy transition needs to consider technical and economic factors as well as the effectiveness and flexibility of transition coping mechanisms. Avoid the high carbon lock-in of fossil energy and the resulting risk of enormous capital sinking, idleness, and waste.
  • Focus on the path of decarbonization at the city level, the proportion of each element, the inherent coupling and coordination relationship, and the balance of carbon emission relationships.
  • Focus on the development of “green buildings” in addition to the simulation of scenarios such as the creation of ecological urban areas, low-carbon communities, and other research on spatial scale diversification development.

6. Conclusions

We reach some interesting and valuable conclusions in this work by using 769 documents acquired from the WOS database, conducting scientometric research on NZCCs, studying the literature, and referring to the results of the quantitative analysis. First, “environmental studies” is the most popular category in this research area, followed by “energy” and “construction and building technology”. The top three most productive countries in this study field are the United States, China, and England. The University of Cambridge in the UK, Princeton University in the US, and University College London in the UK are by far the most productive institutions. Furthermore, the most typical journals are Applied Energy, Energy and Buildings, and Energy. The most-cited article in the database is “Zero Energy Building: A Review of Definitions and Calculation Methodologies” by A.J. Marszal et al. (2011). Group 0, NZBs, is currently regarded as the hottest research trend, and its popularity has persisted since its debut in 2011. Furthermore, “policy”, “urban transformation”, and “renewable energy” have all become popular research topics in recent years. Utilizing the aforementioned analytical results, we explain the theoretical framework and recommend some priority problems for further research. Because cities play such an important role in the transition to a net-zero-carbon paradigm, national- and city-level managers tend to make recommendations and policies from a sectoral and functional standpoint, whereas practitioners typically make suggestions and conduct activities from an industry standpoint. As a result, the findings of this article are likely to give policymakers and participants essential inspiration for new paths and goals in this field, leading to more informed planning and decision making.
Finally, regarding the limitations of this paper, although the keyword “net-zero carbon cities” was used, the search results may not have included all possible results due to inconsistent definitions, and a comprehensive data cleaning process was not performed, which may have led to data duplication. While this issue may easily interfere with the analysis of microdata, our study focused primarily on microdata, reducing the impact of this limitation on the results obtained here. Second, the search conducted in this paper excluded literature analysis of reviews and conference proceedings. The WoS Core Collection database was selected, which may have missed some publications compared to the “All Databases” database.
Furthermore, future research will be based on the theme of city-level decarbonization by element share and intrinsic coupling coordination, as proposed in Section 5, combined with a theoretical framework to observe the best cost-effective decarbonization pathways at the city scale based on specific panel data to evaluate the current stage of decarbonization projects in designated cities and their effectiveness. Overall, we aspire to see cities as holistic systems capable of improving our future by modifying growth patterns to construct NZCCs.

Author Contributions

All the authors contributed extensively to the work presented in this paper. Conceptualization, Z.D.; methodology, writing—review and editing Z.D.; supervision, S.K. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Data Availability Statement

Data will be made available on request.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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