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  • Open Access

29 June 2022

Utilization of Random Forest Classifier and Artificial Neural Network for Predicting Factors Influencing the Perceived Usability of COVID-19 Contact Tracing “MorChana” in Thailand

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1
School of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, Mapúa University, 658 Muralla St., Intramuros, Manila 1002, Philippines
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Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Yuan Ze University, 135 Yuan-Tung Road, Chung-Li 32003, Taiwan
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School of Graduate Studies, Mapúa University, 658 Muralla St., Intramuros, Manila 1002, Philippines
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Department of Information Systems, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Kampus ITS Sukolilo, Surabaya 60111, Indonesia
This article belongs to the Section Digital Health

Abstract

With the constant mutation of COVID-19 variants, the need to reduce the spread should be explored. MorChana is a mobile application utilized in Thailand to help mitigate the spread of the virus. This study aimed to explore factors affecting the actual use (AU) of the application through the use of machine learning algorithms (MLA) such as Random Forest Classifier (RFC) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). An integrated Protection Motivation Theory (PMT) and the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT) were considered. Using convenience sampling, a total of 907 valid responses from those who answered the online survey were voluntarily gathered. With 93.00% and 98.12% accuracy from RFC and ANN, it was seen that hedonic motivation and facilitating conditions were seen to be factors affecting very high AU; while habit and understanding led to high AU. It was seen that when people understand the impact and causes of the COVID-19 pandemic’s aftermath, its severity, and also see a way to reduce it, it would lead to the actual usage of a system. The findings of this study could be used by developers, the government, and stakeholders to capitalize on using the health-related applications with the intention of increasing actual usage. The framework and methodology used presented a way to evaluate health-related technologies. Moreover, the developing trends of using MLA for evaluating human behavior-related studies were further justified in this study. It is suggested that MLA could be utilized to assess factors affecting human behavior and technology used worldwide.

1. Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemic has been present for almost three years, starting in March of 2020. Presently, some countries are still suffering from the impact of the pandemic, leaving businesses, industries, and even services closed []. One of the countries that is still in strict compliance to help mitigate the spread of the COVID-19 virus is Thailand. Thailand is currently ranked second among the most infected areas of the COVID-19 pandemic in Asia [].
Thailand was able to develop a mobile application called MorChana to help track the people and critical areas []. MorChana is a COVID-19 tracker mobile application that was introduced in early April of 2020. This application has been strictly implemented, and locals and tourists are required to use the application upon entering different areas or vicinities. The mobile application is available both for IoS and Android users [] and has a push notification setting that informs people when the area has been visited by someone who is positive for the virus. In addition, the application determines risk level, has the ability to let users do self-assessment, as well as to contact people based on the information given. People would also be notified through color-based indications of high-risk level users visiting an area for the past 14 days.
A QR code is given to every user for their information which could be utilized by the health authorities. The use of MorChana has helped the country plan and strategize on developing methods of communication among Thais and healthcare professionals []. Viwattanakulvanid [] added how the reduction of risks, managing and controlling the spread of the virus, and mitigating the rise of cases were prominent upon the utilization of the MorChana []. However, this relatively new mobile application was strictly implemented and it was indicated by Reinecke and Bernstein [] that this does not necessarily have a positive effect among users. Therefore, similar to other related COVID-19 contact tracing applications such as StaySafe from the Philippines, Alipay in China, Tetamman, Tabaud, and Tawakkalna in Saudi Arabia [] and Aarougya Setu in India [], these mobile applications should be evaluated and explored to continuously promote their effectiveness with the help of people’s intention to utilize this health-related technology []. Since this is a relatively new technology, no studies were seen that evaluated its usability leading to actual usage. In addition, no studies were found relating to MorChana, its technology usage, and people’s behavior in using it.
Theories such as the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT2) and the Protection Motivation Theory (PMT) are two of the strong theories that could be utilized when evaluating health-related technology in relation to human behaviors. Several studies have utilized the UTAUT2 for evaluating factors affecting the intention to use a new technology. Venkatesh et al. [] highlighted how the UTAUT2 framework is one of the complete frameworks to evaluate intention to use a new technology. Their study also suggested to expand the relative factors depending on the purpose of technology. To this aim, this study considered the integration of PMT latent variables to holistically measure the actual usage of a new health-related mobile technology. Ong et al. [] suggested that PMT is a framework used to measure the coping and threat appraisal of health-related behaviors. The exploration to integrate PMT with another framework has been suggested to holistically measure health-related behavior and the integration of another theory would completely measure human behavior [].
Several studies have considered utilizing UTAUT2 as a framework to evaluate health-related applications. Alam et al. [] utilized UTAUT2 to measure mobile health (mhealth) applications. They suggested considering extending the UTAUT2 by incorporating trust, hedonic motivation, self-efficacy, and privacy. To this end, their study presented trust and hedonic motivation as key significant factors affecting intention to use mhealth applications []. Consequently, Badran [] utilized the UTAUT2 of ehealth applications. Their study covering ehealth in Egypt showed how effort and performance expectancy, facilitating conditions, and price had a significant effect on the intention to use the new technology. In addition, Mamra et al. [] considered the integration of UTAUT2 and PMT to evaluate the acceptance of user-health records from Malaysia. Mamra et al. [] justified that integrating both theories could holistically measure human behavior covering health-related applications. In this vein, PMT and UTAUT2 integration was also considered in this study.
PMT is a framework that aims to measure the coping appraisal and threat appraisal of health-related studies []. Prasetyo et al. [] considered the integration of PMT and TPB in measuring the effectiveness of community quarantine in the Philippines. Their study highlighted that understanding the risks and vulnerability presented key factors in how people would perceive the protocols as effective. In addition, Ong et al. [] integrated similar theories to measure the acceptance of a technology. Similarly, their study showed that if people would understand the benefits the technology may present, they would have high levels of acceptance. Moreover, several studies have shown that people would trust a technology when there is less threat and high privacy upon using it [,]. Consequently, Yu et al. [] integrated PMT and UTAUT2 in measuring factors affecting the intention of using mhealth education. Therefore, the use of the integrated theories is justified to completely measure the intention of utilizing the health-related applications, which will lead to an effect on actual usage.
This study aimed to measure the actual use of the COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application, MorChana in Thailand. Several factors such as Performance Expectancy, Effort Expectancy, Social Influence, Facilitating Conditions, Hedonic Motivation, Habit, Perceived Risk, Self-Efficacy, Privacy, Trust, Understanding of COVID-19, Intention to Use, and Actual Use were evaluated in this study. This study considered utilizing machine learning algorithms (MLA), specifically Random Forest Classifier (RFC) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Recently, several studies have considered evaluating human factors and human behavior using structural equation modeling (SEM). However, Fan et al. [] criticized the use of SEM due to the limitations when indirect effects are considered in the model. If the latent variable considers a mediating effect, there may be an effect on the coefficient which represents significance (i.e., lower or insignificance) [,]. Woody [] also highlighted how the mediating variable causes a high level of degradation on coefficient weights, leading to low importance of a latent variable which may be, in reality, higher. Thus, the employment of MLA in studies has been evident.
Taking the study of Alam et al. [], for example, their study considered the integration of SEM and ANN to evaluate factors affecting intention to use the mhealth application. Their study justified that ANN could promote the identification of different significant latent variables. In addition, Chen et al. [] highlighted the use of RFC to classify factors affecting human behavior. Their study presented a high level of accuracy in determining factors affecting human behavior. Similarly, Milani et al. [] considered utilizing decision trees to classify factors affecting human behavior. Moreover, Al-Mashraie [] showed how using MLA has high predictive powers on behavioral analysis when evaluating technology. Thus, employing MLA could be effective and justifies the limitation of SEM when classifying and predicting factors affecting human behavior such as intention to use and the actual usage of technology. This study is considered the first study that evaluated factors affecting the actual use of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application. The methodology and results of this study could be applied and extended to measure other health-related mobile applications. The framework of this study could also be utilized to measure the usability of different technology and the acceptance of it in other countries. Lastly, the MLA employed in this study could be utilized to evaluate other human-related behavioral studies worldwide.
Following the study of Jamshidi et al. [], they thoroughly evaluated several studies involving a hybrid of different techniques. Their study covered a wide range of methodologies, techniques, and applications with regard to works of literature applied and considered COVID-19-related issues. Specifically, this included the use of MLAs and Deep Learning. Their study deduced the complex phenomena such as nonlinear, complex, and uncertainty, to which hybrid tools could evaluate efficiently through accuracy of prediction and are reliable. However, Jamshidi et al. [] highlighted that the further need for validation should be done since this new type of analysis is not yet ideal. To narrow down the scope and application, presented in Table 1 are the different studies with regards to COVID-19 contact tracing applications, country of origin, methodology utilized, purpose, and findings.
Table 1. Literature Review.
It was evident from the presented reviews that the generalizability of the COVID-19 contact tracing is difficult to consider due to several factors involving language, location, understanding, utility, implementation, and complexity, which are factors affecting the perceived usability. As suggested, the need to heighten the individual’s motivation to use the technology will increase adoption and usage rates. The need to assess the COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application individually among users is therefore needed. This will help developers, users, and the government to enhance the motivation for usage, which will lead to mitigating the spread of the COVID-19 virus.

3. Methodology

3.1. Questionnaire

The table of constructs is presented in our previous study []. From the constructs, several indicators were considered to evaluate factors affecting the actual usage of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application []. Several factors under the UTAUT2 were considered, such as performance expectancy, effort expectancy, habit, hedonic motivation, social influence, facilitating conditions, privacy, and trust. Moreover, latent variables from the PMT were considered such as understanding the perceived risk of COVID-19 and self-efficacy. Adapted from several studies, there were a total of 53 indicators considered in this study.
Utilizing a 5-point Likert scale to evaluate the different factors, a preliminary test of the questionnaire was conducted. With 150 responses collected, the Cronbach’s alpha resulted in a value of 0.856. Following the suggestion of Hair [], the questionnaire is deemed valid and could be considered for distribution.

3.2. Participants

This study was approved by Navaminda Kasatriyadhiraj Royal Thai Air Force Academy’s Research Ethics committees and the School of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management of Mapua University’s Research Ethics committees. Utilizing an online survey for data collection, convenience sampling was employed to gather 907 valid responses from volunteer participants. The 907 participants were able to utilize the MorChana mobile application to ensure that the response obtained may be considered for this study. Prior to the analysis of the datasets considered, SPSS 25 was utilized to determine any missing response. No missing data was seen. In addition, the Harman’s Single Factor test for common method bias was conducted for the analysis of bias and false responses. It was stated from the study by Podsakoff et al. [] and Hair [] that a threshold of 50% would result in no bias and false responses. This study was able to obtain a result of 36.42%, which is below the set threshold. Thus, the data collected is acceptable with no missing data, false responses, and bias. A total of 48,071 datasets were considered for the MLA analysis.

3.3. Machine Learning Algorithm

Presented in Figure 2 is the methodological flowchart utilized in this study. Data acquisition was the first thing done, followed by data pre-processing and data normalization. The dataset was then considered as the input variables for both machine learning algorithms. Parameter setting and optimization was conducted, followed by the validation and generation of a classification model. Lastly, result interpretation was conducted.
Figure 2. Methodological Flowchart.
Data pre-processing was employed for the 48,071 datasets. Data cleaning using correlation analysis was conducted [,]. Indicators with a p-value greater than 0.05 and a correlation coefficient less than 0.20 were considered insignificant. Ong et al. [] indicated how weak correlation will still be considered for the analysis. However, anything lower than the threshold would be deemed insignificant and should not be considered since values lower than 0.20 would be considered as no correlation and are negligible []. Based on the results, all indicators were considered significant, and thus data aggregation was conducted. Averaging the indicators to represent each factor was conducted. The aggregated datasets were then normalized to process the RFC and ANN. Chen et al. [] presented how RFC is a type of MLA that produces a classification model with high accuracy.

3.3.1. Random Forest Classifier

RFC was developed in Python 4.5. The algorithm considered utilized packages such as pandas, sklearn, with its ensembles, and graphviz. The RFC would generate a tree every run as the classification model based on set parameters adapted from the study of Ong et al. [,]. Different factors such as HB, HM, FC, U, PE, EE, PCR, PR TR, SI, FC, and IU were considered to analyze the factor affecting actual usage of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application. The different factors were then utilized to run the RFC optimization considering different parameters. Parameters such as the splitter (gini or best), criterion (random or best), tree depth (4–7), and training and testing ratios (60:40–90:10) were considered to determine the optimum tree. Utilizing python 4.5, 100 runs per combination was considered to determine the best tree. A total of 6400 runs were conducted.
The study of Yang and Zhou [] explained how the different splitters would create a homogeneous dataset considered in the algorithm. In addition, the reduction of impurities would be evident upon the utilization of either gini or entropy []. In addition, the criterion of how the leaves would be split would be based on either choosing the best output or randomly. The consideration of tree depth would be necessary for generating the tree to reduce both overfitting and underfitting. Ong et al. [] discussed how having a lower depth of tree may cause underfitting of tree results while having a larger tree may produce overfitting. Lastly, determining the training and testing ratio would be a significant contribution to produce a consistent tree. This determines the significant factors affecting a dependent variable. The RFC pseudocode is presented as Algorithm 1:
Algorithm 1: Random Forest Classifier
Step 1. Loading of pre-processed dataset.
Step 2. Setting and Splitting the dataset among training and testing utilizing train_test_split from sklearn.model_selection.
Step 3. Setting the tree depth and random state at 0.
Step 4. Setting the criterion and splitter parameters with RandomForestClassifier from sklearn.ensemble. For Gini, Equation (1) was utilized while Entropy considered Equation (2).
p = probability of the factor classified to a particular class from j to t .
For gini index:
#The algorithm works at 1 − (probability of the 1st class squared + 2nd class squared + … n)
   For each split of branch:
       Percent branch representing the used weight will be calculated
       For each class:
          Calculation of probability in the branch given
          Probability will be squared
   Take sum of squared probability of class
   Subtract of summation from 1 to get gini index for each branch
Obtain weight of each branch from baseline probability
Taking sum of all weighted gini index for each split.
For entropy index:
#The algorithm works at [p 1st class * log(p(class1),2) + p 2nd class * log(p(class2),2) + … n].
   For each split of branch:
       Percent branch representing the used weight will be calculated
       For each class:
          Calculation of probability in the branch given
          Probability of class will be multiplied with log (probability, base = 2)
          −1 will be multiplied with the result
       Taking the sum of the resulting probabilities
   Obtain weight of each branch from baseline probability
   Taking sum of all weighted gini index for each split.
Step 5. Setting the splitter parameters (random or best) with RandomForestClassifier from sklearn.ensemble.
Step 6. Creating the confusion matrix using classification_report, confusion_matrix from sklearn.metrics.
Step 7. Printing the classification report and decision tree with random forest classifier using graphviz from sklearn.tree. Generation of training and testing accuracy result, precision, recall values, and run time will be obtained.
G i n i   ( t ) = 1 Σ j [ p ( j | t ) ] 2
E n t r o p y ( t ) = Σ j p ( j | t ) log p ( j | t )
where: p = probability of the factor classified to a particular class from j to t.

3.3.2. Artificial Neural Network

ANN data pre-processing was conducted utilizing correlation analysis, similar to the pre-processing technique employed with RFC [,]. Optimization of ANN parameters were conducted to determine the optimum model. The activation functions such as swish, relu, and tanh for the hidden layer was considered. For the output layer, sigmoid and softmax were considered. Lastly, optimizers such as adam, RMSProp, and SGD were considered [,]. Represented in Figure 3 are the operations done by the ANN.
Figure 3. ANN Operation.
Determining the optimum hidden layer nodes, each run considered increments of 10 nodes until 100 runs were reached. Adopting the study of Pradhand and Lee [] and Walczak and Cerpa [], 10 runs of each combination were conducted using 150 epochs. A total of 9900 runs were considered for the ANN optimization. The ANN employed feed-forward processing using an 80:20 training and testing ratio. Packages utilized for ANN were SKLEARN with numpy, pandas, matplotlib.pyplot, tensorflow and keras, and train_test_split. The pseudocode for ANN is presented as follows Algorithm 2:
Algorithm 2: Artificial Neural Network
Step 1. Loading of preprocessed data.
Step 2. Feature selection was set for dependent and independent variables.
Step 3. Setting and Splitting the dataset among training and testing utilizing train_test_split from sklearn.model_selection with 0 random state.
Step 4. Utilizing keras sequential for the number of nodes and parameters for the input layer, hidden layer, and output layer.
#For Activation Function
   #Hidden Layer swish equation
       Swish (Y) = X * Simgoid (X)
       Swish is considered a more efficient type of activation function following the popular ReLu since it is a continuous smooth function. This type of activation function follows negative weights with small values for its propagation process. Usually, swish is utilized for a successful nonmonotonic type of activation function. Its trainable parameter offers fine tuning for maximized output of propagation with a smooth gradient. This generates a faster, easier, and efficient generalizability of results [].
   #Hidden Layer ReLu equation
       Rectifier Linear (ReLu) = (f(x) = max (0, x))
       ReLu thresholds all negative values to zeroes and has consistent gains compared to other activation functions. It has been deduced that ReLu is established as an activation function that is consistent even with deep learning neural networks. Especially with nonlinear models, ReLu is an activation functions that can surpass the nonlinearity model and can calculate the relationship with high accuracy. In addition, ReLu has been seen to have low computation complexity when utilized and is versatile []. This was also considered and utilized in other studies [,,].
   #Hidden Layer Tanh equation
       tanh ( x ) = 2 1 + e 2 x 1
       Tanh is considered to be a shifted and stretched sigmoid function which performs better since it considers the negative values as compared to the automated zeroes from sigmoid. Gudivada and Rao [] explained how neural networks consider activation functions such as Tanh to calculate nonlinear relationships provided that the hidden layer and nodes are optimized, suitable to the model considered. Tanh have greater gradients resulting to stronger calculation of updating the weights. With that, a faster optimized result will be obtained. A nonlinear relationship may be easily resolved and identified with Tanh []. Several studies [,] have utilized Tanh for its effectivity.
   #Output Layer Sigmoid equation
       S i g m o i d   ( x ) = 1 1 + e x
       The sigmoid activation function is used for its capabilities to calculate nonlinear and bounded values with a smaller range. Negativity is set and calculated as zeroes. For output layers, processing of data has been accomplished at the hidden layer, and thus are forwarded to the nodes as smaller values []. Sigmoid functions are usually utilized to its simple but efficient calculation. It is commonly used in the output layer since its results are interpreted as probabilities [,].
   #Output Layer Softmax equation
       s o f t m a x   ( z j ) = e z j k = 1 K e z k
       Softmax is similar to sigmoid but the denominator is summed. The advantage of using softmax is it takes into account all output compared to the individual one like sigmoid.
Step 5. Setting parameter for the optimizer [,]. Unlike sigmoid, the softmax results are all interrelated and by design, the result of softmax will be the probability with a sum equal to 1. The likelihood of one class will be decreased if one class needs to be increased. This is ideal for a nonlinear relationship and output layers since it uses a multi-classification calculation. In addition, softmax may also be considered for the activation function in the hidden layer, which shows its versatility [].
Step 6. Setting parameters for optimizer and number of epochs.
Step 7. Feedforward process (learning rate, bias, weight (w)) considers the equation,
    Y = i = 1 m ( x i * w i ) + b
   Where:
    x i = input features
    w i = weights
   b = bias
   Then the activation function (f(Y)) is applied for the output, o u t p u t = f ( Y ) .
   The calculation pseudocode is as follows:
   OutputB = 1st input*w [0] + 2nd input*w [1] + bias*w [2]
   If OutputB > 0: #Activation Function considered
       OutputB = 1
   Else
       OutputB = 0
   Error = output–OutputB
   W [0] += error * 1st input * learning rate
   W [1] += error * 2nd input * learning rate
   W [2] += error * bias * learning rate
   OutputB = #calculation using the activation function
Step 8. Printing of validation test results. Generation of training and testing accuracy result, precision, recall values, loss rate, and run time will be obtained.

4. Results

4.1. Participants

The descriptive statistics of the respondents are presented in Table 1. From the results, 47.4% were female and 52.6% were male, ranging from 15–24 years old (37.3%), followed by 25–34 years old (41.7%), 35–44 years old (12.2%), and the rest were older, as represented in Figure 4. The majority of the respondents have a bachelor’s degree (60.09), followed by a master’s degree (26.90%), then a high school degree (11.91%). The majority earns either 10,000–20,000 THB (26.9%) or 20,000–30,000 THB (28.4%), followed by less than 10,000 THB (15.7%), and the rest are greater than 30,000 THB, as represented in Figure 5. Lastly, the majority are not covered by COVID-19 insurance (89.4%).
Figure 4. Descriptive Statistics of Age and Gender.
Figure 5. Descriptive Statistics of Income and Education.
In addition, the validity of the constructs through Cronbach’s alpha is presented in Table 2 together with the VIF values for the multicollinearity test. Following the suggestion of Chuenyindee et al. [], no multicollinearity is seen since the VIF values are less than 5.00. Thus, the constructs utilized in this study are considered to be valid without multicollinearity.
Table 2. Validity and Multicollinearity.

4.2. Machine Learning Algorithm

Presented in Table 3 is the result for the RFC that produced the highest accuracy, depth 5. It presents the results from the training and testing ratio from 60:40 until 90:10. It could be seen that the highest result presented a 93% accuracy with a 0.00 standard deviation. In addition, the average accuracy and recall values were also considered. It was seen that at this combination, the highest precision and recall were also obtained.
Table 3. Decision Tree Mean Accuracy (Depth = 5).
Presented in Figure 6 is the best tree derived from the optimization run. An accuracy rate of 93% with a 0.00 standard deviation was seen upon running the test. The run time per combination took 0.146 s. This indicates that the tree models the classification of significant factors affecting the actual usage of the MorChana COVID-19 tracking mobile application. The parameters that resulted in the best tree were gini for the splitter, best for the criterion, and 5 as the tree depth, using the 80:20 training and testing ratio. The results of the RFC indicate a ‘very high’, corresponding to the 5th point of the Likert Scale utilized, ‘high’ for the corresponding fourth point, and so on.
Figure 6. Optimum Random Forest Classifier.
Based on the tree, it was seen that HM (X1) represents the parent node, considering values less than or equal to 0.386. It will then consider HB (X0). If the value to consider is less than or equal to 2.13, it will consider X0 with values less than or equal to −0.823. Satisfying this will consider X1 and then FC (X2), which will lead to a very high AU. On the other hand, if HB (X0) is not satisfied, it will consider X0, which will lead to a very high AU. If the child node X0 is not satisfied, it will consider X1, then X2, leading again to a very high AU.
On the other hand, if X0 of the child node will be considered, values less than or equal to 0.123 will determine the branch. Satisfying this will consider X1, then X0, which will lead to a very high AU. If 0.123 was not satisfied, it will consider X2, then U (X3), then X2, which will lead to a high AU. Thus, it could be deduced that factors HM and FC would lead to significant and very high AU. HB and U would be significant and would have high AU among MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application users. However, only significant factors and their effects are evident in the RFC. No level of importance and lower significant factors could be seen from the results. To verify the findings of the RFC, neural networks may be employed. Following the suggestion of Abiodun et al. [], ANN may be utilized to help determine the importance of significant variables affecting cognitive computing.
Figure 7 represents the summary of ANN results from the optimization run. A 60% threshold was set to determine the significant level of the results from testing ratios [,,]. From the results, HB had the highest average testing result, followed by HM, PCR, FC, U, PE, SEF, and IU. These factors were ranked based on the average testing results, representing the most to least significant.
Figure 7. ANN Results of Training and Testing Accuracies.
An analysis of variance was conducted among the results to determine the significant differences from the initial run. The highest value was considered for the final parameters of creating the ANN. Ten nodes for the hidden layer with relu as the activation function, together with the softmax for the output layer activation function, and adam as the optimizer was utilized. Using 200 epochs at 70:0 and 80:20 training and testing ratio, 50 runs were conducted and the average result presented a 98.15% result with 1.193 standard deviations at 80:20. Recall and precision values resulted in 97.82 and 98.00, respectively. The run time for each combination for ANN took 0.480 s. The training and validation loss of the ANN run that resulted in no overfitting is presented in Figure 8. Following the study of Walczak and Cerpa [], this result was found to be relatively high for studies concerning human behavior. Thus, the results are acceptable.
Figure 8. Training and Validation Loss of ANN.
The final ANN includes the different factors as the input nodes with 10 hidden layer nodes, and one node for the output layer representing the actual usage of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application. From this, relu as the activation function for the hidden layer, softmax for the output layer, and adam as the optimizer would lead to an accuracy rate of 98.15%.
To validate the MLA results, the score of the importance and correlation analysis was conducted in SPSS 25. Presented in Figure 9 is the score of the importance of the different factors. Similar to the results of ANN and RFC, HB presented as the highest significant contributing factor for actual usage of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application. The second highest was HM, followed by PCR, FC, U, PE, SEF, and IU. From the results, TR, EE, PR, and SI were the least important factors affecting the AU of MorChana (score < 60%).
Figure 9. Score of Importance.
In addition, the correlation analysis results are presented in Table 4. All values presented in the table have p-values less than 0.05, and thus are significant. From the results seen in the AU factor, similar rankings are evidently based on the correlation coefficient. This further justifies the findings of the RFC and ANN.
Table 4. Pearson’s R Correlation.

5. Discussion

5.1. General Findings for Usability

This study considered utilizing RFC and ANN in predicting factors affecting actual usage of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing application. With the integration of UTAUT2 and PMT for evaluation of actual usage (AU), factors such as hedonic motivation (HM), Habit (HB), Perceived Risk (PCR), Understanding of COVID-19 (U), Performance Expectancy (PE), Self-Efficacy (SEF), Intention to Use (IU), Trust (TR), Effort Expectancy (EE), Privacy (PR), and Social Influence (SI) were evaluated. As seen from the results, the RFC model generated a 93.00% accuracy with a 0.00 standard deviation. Moreover, ANN resulted in a 98.12% average accuracy with a 1.172 standard deviation. From both results, it was evident that HB, HM, PCR, FC, and U greatly affected the actual usage of MorChana in a positive way. In addition, a Pearson correlation and score of importance validated the findings.
HB was indicated to greatly contribute towards very high actual usage. People in Thailand were seen to have adopted the consistent usage of MorChana, and it has become a regular activity for them. In line with the results of Wu et al. [], their study presented how the increase in HB also increases the satisfaction level in utilizing an application. In Thailand, people have been consistently using MorChana since early April 2020. With the strict implementation and utility, people have adapted well to its regular use upon entering a certain area. Palau-Saumell et al. [] explained how continuous usage will eventually develop the habit due to consistent usage. Thus, leading to the highest significant factor affecting AU. In addition, Nikolopoulou et al. [] showed how both HB and HM are key indicators contributing to an individual’s intention to utilize health-related applications.
HM was seen to be the second-highest factor affecting AU. From the RFC result, this would lead to high AU. The indicators presented how using MorChana led to enjoyment, fun, entertaining, and pleasurable in a health-related context. People would believe that it helps in preventing the COVID-19 spread, thus leading to it being a positive significant factor. Following the study of Palau-Saumell et al. [], their study presented how the consistent utility leads to people having the pleasure and enjoyment of consistent usage in daily activities. Venkatesh et al. [] also showed how HM derives the enjoyment in innovative technologies such as COVID-19 contact tracing applications. When people recognize the necessity, a high intention leading to AU would be seen when incorporated into daily activities [].
Third, PCR was seen to be one of the significant factors affecting the AU of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing application. It was seen from the indicators that using MorChana leads to help in assessing symptoms of COVID-19, identifying the area and people at risk of COVID-19, and giving notification when the area is infected. These important factors have been considered as reasons why PCR is an antecedent of AU. The study of Shemesh and Barnoy [] expounded on how the mhealth application would have a high intention of usage among users when the providers of the application are related to the healthcare system. In addition, Tuman and Moyer [] explained how mobile health applications would be utilized when benefits to health are seen. Thus, this supports the findings of this study.
Fourth, U was seen to have an important effect leading to very high AU. Based on the indicators, people know how COVID-19 spreads, they know its incubation period, symptoms, and preventions even before the MorChana application was utilized. This indicates that people know how severe and vulnerable they are to the COVID-19 virus. It presents how knowledgeable people are since the COVID-19 virus is prevalent even in other countries []. Following the study of Wang et al. [], they presented how 89.8% of Thais know and understand the effect of COVID-19 when they get infected. In addition, Caldwell et al. [] explained how the minimum health standard knowledge would reduce and mitigate the transmission of the COVID-19 virus. Therefore, this justifies why having U would lead to a very high AU of the MorChana application since people know the help the technology brings.
Fifth, PE was seen to be a significant and important factor leading to very high AU. Upon using the application, people find it useful, and helps in preventing the contraction of COVID-19. This indicates how there are benefits and advantages to utilizing the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing application. Venkatesh et al. [] explained how PE is one of the key indicators for people to accept and have high intentions in using a technology. Consequently, Alam et al. [] showed how people would have high utility for and would adopt a technology when there is a positive effect caused by PE. Upon dealing with health-related benefits, the higher benefits would lead to a positive effect of PE on AU.
From the ANN results and score of importance, SEF was seen to be an important factor affecting AU. Consequently, IU was also seen to have a positive important effect on AU. People find using the MorChana application to be convenient, easy to use, and having the availability of health services. In addition, indicators of IU present the continuous patronage of the application utility, incorporate the practice of using it daily, and would even install the application when changing mobile phones. Ong et al. [] indicated how the technical skills and knowledge of people with technology will lead to their acceptance of utilizing it. In addition, Thakur [] explained how both SE and satisfaction in using an application would have a positive effect on continuous intention in using an application. Chuenyindee et al. [] also presented a positive significant effect of IU on AU caused by the understanding of people towards the risks of the COVID-19 virus and the benefit of using a COVID-19 contact tracing application. Thus, this supports why SEF and U were evidently important factors affecting the AU of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing application.
Interestingly, the ANN presented how factors such as TR, EE, PR, and SI were seen to have low significance and lower scores of importance among other factors. Under TR, people know that the MorChana application is trustworthy, having high reliability, not opportunistic, and that the promises upon using the application are consistent. Subsequently, PR was also seen to have low significance. The indicators showed how the application has protection with personal information, high security, and no trackers placed. As indicated by an article regarding MorChana, the developers were able to promote the usage by highlighting security with information and data collected []. From the results, it could be seen that the developers were able to be consistent with their promotion. Thus, people did not give much attention to either factors.
In addition, EE was seen to have a low significant effect on AU. From the indicators, people find the application easy to use, clear and understandable interaction is seen, and they could be proficient with the mobile application. Effort would be lessened if people have already adopted the usage of the technology []. Several studies [,,,] presented how EE is a significant indicator leading to AU of technology. However, the application has been strictly implemented for compliance among people in Thailand. Thus, people easily adopted the technology. To which, it led to a low significant effect and low importance for AU.
Lastly, SI was seen to have the lowest score of importance among all other factors affecting AU. In addition, the ANN presented a very low accuracy result, leading to a low significant effect with AU. From the indicators, people around an individual influence them to use the MorChana mobile application. It makes sense why this is the least significant factor because the government implemented the strict utility of the application, thus no influence by others would be evident. According to Reinecke and Bernstein [], forcing people to use a certain technology would not automatically lead to a positive AU. However, based on the indicators presented by the significant factors, people find the application easy to use, beneficial, and that it promotes health safety. Therefore, despite the strict guidelines, people would still consider utilizing and promoting the continuous AU. Therefore, this finding should be capitalized on by the government and developers. For people to patronize a technology, the benefit and people’s understanding should be highlighted to have a positive effect on users.

5.2. Usability and Willingness among Users

It could be deduced that people developing habits of using the mobile application would lead to an increase in actual usage. With the constant usage and implementation of utilizing the mobile application, people from Thailand were seen to have adopted and grown accustomed to using the application. This has led to the hedonic motivation to use the mobile application. Similar to the study of other COVID-19 contact tracing applications, Tomczyk et al. [] explained that the behavior of people would greatly affect their usage of these contact tracing mobile applications. It was seen that people’s control of their behavior would influence their actual usage. It could also be posited that strategies should be created to highlight the usage of these contact tracing applications []. The findings of this study also indicated that perceived risk and understanding of COVID-19 influenced people’s actual usage. This indicates how people in Thailand understand and have knowledge of the effect of the virus, which led to the usage of the contact tracing application. It was explained [] that when people consider the benefit and are at high risk (i.e., health-related), an acceptance of technology will be evident. Lastly, PE is a key factor for usability as indicated by the results. Similar to the study of Ezzaouia and Bulchand-Gidumal [], these factors are significant in the intention and adoption of users for contact tracing applications.
With the challenge faced by the government to encourage people to use the application, it could be advised to have a user-friendly mobile application, and to promote the application for its health benefits and show how it could reduce the risk of contracting the virus. These general findings may then be adopted and applied to other contact tracing mobile applications to encourage usage among citizens. Overall, people find the utility of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing application to be a pleasant experience, as it helps in protecting their health and can be used anytime and anywhere. With continuous usage, people will adopt the technology and using it would become a habit. Moreover, the ease of use and the understanding of the health-related benefit would create a very high AU among users.
Contradicting the results from Yuduang et al. [], intention was not seen to be the highest significant factor, rather habit and hedonic motivation, followed by perceived risk and understanding of COVID-19 pandemic were. These factors were ranked second, third, fourth and sixth in their study. This study clearly showed how the nonlinear relationship due to the presence of a full mediator affects the findings from SEM. The utilization of MLA, specifically ANN, could eliminate these barriers since the presence of hidden layers would help calculate complex models despite the presence of mediators []. In studies with more mediators, more hidden layers could be utilized to enhance the accuracy of the findings [].

5.3. Practical and Theorertical Implications

The MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing application was seen to be highly beneficial due to its ease of use, people’s understanding of the benefit it may bring, and its help in avoiding drastic effects on a person due to the avoidance and real-time update of the COVID-19 danger. This could therefore be capitalized on by developers upon creating a health-related application. The findings and the results could be applied for consideration upon creating a similar technology. On the other hand, the framework integrated both UTAUT2 and PMT to evaluate the health-related mobile application. The results showed positive and highly valid constructs. Thus, the items used in this study could be applied and extended in evaluating other health-related mobile applications or technology.
In addition, the methodology and tools considered in this study showed promising results. MLA has been seen to be the trend when it comes to evaluating human factors and behaviors. Most studies [,,,,] have integrated MLA and compared it with other statistical and multivariate tools such as structural equation modeling (SEM). With the presented methodology, the sole utility of MLA such as RFC and ANN could be used for evaluating human factors and behavior, even without SEM. Therefore, other studies may apply and extend the utility of RFC and ANN, and even other MLAs to evaluate human behavior studies worldwide.
With the trend of utilizing the MLA ensemble relating to human factors and behavior, this study was able to validate its application through the perceived usability of technology. Though several studies have debated its application and usage as a tool, other studies have been published that considered and utilized the MLA ensemble for human factors and human behavior. Challenges regarding the applicability have risen due to the debate of its predictive power. Thus, our study may contribute towards the small step in further justifying the use and applicability of MLA for predictive and classification purposes with regard to behavioral studies.

5.4. Limitations

Despite the significant results and discussion presented, several limitations were still seen with this study. First, this study only considered RFC and ANN as machine learning algorithms. Though both present a model with high accuracy, other MLAs are still highly reliable, with more complex calculations. It is suggested to consider using the Support Vector Machine or Naïve Bayes Algorithm to create a nonlinear relationship among the factors considered. Second, only factors affecting a dependent variable were analyzed in this study. It is suggested to consider clustering the indicators to highlight key features of constructs affecting actual usage among different factors. Lastly, collecting responses among different age groups, educational attainment, and experience could be considered. Clustering such as fuzzy C-means may be done to determine the demographic profile among the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing application users. This could then be beneficial to developers to have a more generalized device for different age groups and people of different status to use.

6. Conclusions

It has been two years since the COVID-19 pandemic started, but until the present, several countries had made little progress in emerging from the pandemic. With the constant mutation and development of COVID-19 variants, the need to reduce the spread should be explored. The development of COVID-19 contact tracing applications has been seen to help mitigate the spread []. However, limited studies have explored the different mobile applications’ actual usage, specifically the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application from Thailand.
This study aimed to predict and classify factors affecting the actual usage of the Morchana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application. In addition, the utilization of a machine learning algorithm (MLA) was considered to prove how it could be used to assess factors affecting human behavior following the suggestion and considered limitation of the traditional multivariate analysis such as SEM among several studies [,,,,]. MLA tools such as RFC and ANN have been utilized to assess significant factors and importance affecting the actual use of MorChana. The integrated framework of PMT and UTAUT2 was evaluated with 907 valid responses collected via convenience sampling. Factors such as Performance Expectancy (PE), Effort Expectancy (EE), Social Influence (SI), Facilitating Conditions (FC), Hedonic Motivation (HM), Habit (HB), Perceived Risk (PCR), Self-Efficacy (SE), Privacy (PR), Trust (PT), Understanding COVID-19 (U), Intention to Use (IU), and Actual Use (AU) were evaluated simultaneously in this study.
From the validated results, it was seen that HM and FC were important factors that would lead to very high actual use. In addition, HB and U were significant factors that would lead to the high actual use of the MorChana COVID-19 contact tracing mobile application. It was seen that when people understand the impact and causes of the COVID-19 aftermath, its severity, and a way to reduce it, it would lead to the actual usage of a system that would cater to the advantages of health-related systems or technology. Moreover, when users find that there is an ease and health benefit upon using a health-related application, a higher IU would be seen, which would lead to high AU. In addition, the constant usage would lead to the development of a habit and with the enjoyment seen from using the application, HM would be seen, which would affect AU.
It is suggested that the developers and stakeholders take advantage of the results and findings of this study to creating health-related mobile applications. This will encourage people to attain higher AU, which would be beneficial for the users and developers. In addition, profitability is suggested for future researchers to consider. The methodology utilized in this study could be applied and extended to consider MLA for human behavioral studies aside from the multivariate tools available. The advancement of the analysis tools is one of the trends to which this study contributed to the available works of literature. In addition, the integrated framework utilized in this study showed how it could holistically measure factors affecting intention and actual use of a health-related mobile application. Future studies may consider the integration of PMT and UTAUT2 in evaluating factors affecting the AU of health-related applications, or even developing applications from other countries. Lastly, the findings, methodology, and tools of this study could be applied and extended to assess other systems or technology, even human-behavior-related studies worldwide [,].

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, A.K.S.O., Y.T.P. and N.Y.; methodology, A.K.S.O., Y.T.P. and N.Y.; software, A.K.S.O., Y.T.P. and N.Y.; validation, R.N., S.F.P., K.P.E.R., T.C. and T.B.; formal analysis, A.K.S.O., Y.T.P. and N.Y.; investigation, A.K.S.O., Y.T.P. and N.Y.; resources, N.Y.; writing—original draft preparation, A.K.S.O., Y.T.P. and N.Y.; writing—review and editing, R.N., S.F.P., K.P.E.R., T.C. and T.B.; supervision, Y.T.P., R.N. and S.F.P.; funding acquisition, Y.T.P. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research was funded by Mapúa University Directed Research for Innovation and Value Enhancement (DRIVE).

Institutional Review Board Statement

This study was approved by Mapua University Research Ethics Committees and Navaminda Kasatriyadhiraj Royal Air Force Academy Research Committees (FM-RC-22-03).

Data Availability Statement

The data presented in this study are available on request from the corresponding author.

Acknowledgments

The researchers would like to extend their deepest gratitude to the respondents of this study despite the current COVID-19 inflation rate.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

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