Search Results (214)

Wildfire regimes are undergoing rapid transformation under anthropogenic climate change, with major implications for biodiversity, carbon cycling, and ecosystem resilience. This systematic review synthesizes findings from 42 studies across global, continental, and regional scales to assess emerging patterns in fire frequency, intensity, and seasonality, and to identify climatic, ecological, and anthropogenic drivers shaping these changes. Across biomes, evidence shows increasingly fire-conducive conditions driven by rising temperatures, vapor-pressure deficit, and intensifying drought, with climate model projections indicating amplification of extreme fire weather this century. Boreal ecosystems show heightened fire danger and carbon-cycle vulnerability; Mediterranean and Iberian regions face extended fire seasons and faster spread rates; tropical forests, particularly the Amazon, are shifting toward more flammable states due to drought–fragmentation interactions; and savannas display divergent moisture- and fuel-limited dynamics influenced by climate and land use. These results highlight the emergence of biome-specific fire–climate–fuel feedback that may push certain ecosystems toward alternative stable states. The review underscores the need for improved attribution frameworks, integration of fire–vegetation–carbon feedback into Earth system models, and development of adaptive, regionally tailored fire-management strategies. Full article

In recent decades, forest fires have become one of the most disruptive and complex natural hazards from both environmental and territorial perspectives. The Canary Islands represent a particularly suitable setting for analysing wildfire risk. This study aims to characterise the Large Forest Fires (LFFs) that occurred across the archipelago between 2012 and 2024 through an integrative approach combining geospatial, meteorological, and socio-environmental information. A total of 13 LFFs were identified in Tenerife, Gran Canaria, La Palma, and La Gomera, affecting 55,167 hectares—equivalent to 7.4% of the islands’ total land area. The results indicate a temporal concentration during the summer months and an altitudinal range between 750 and 1500 m, corresponding to transitional zones between laurel forest and Canary pine woodland. Meteorological conditions showed average temperatures of 24.3 °C, minimum relative humidity of 23.7%, and thermal inversion layers at around 270 m a.s.l., creating an environment conducive to fire spread. Approximately 81% of the affected area lies within protected natural spaces, highlighting a high level of ecological vulnerability. Analysis of the Normalized Burn Ratio (NBR) index reveals a growing trend in fire severity, while social impacts include the evacuation of more than 43,000 people. These findings underscore the urgency of moving towards proactive territorial management that integrates prevention, ecological restoration, and climate change adaptation as fundamental pillars of any disaster risk reduction strategy. Full article

Climate change has increased the frequency and severity of extreme weather events such as wildfires, storms, high winds, and floods. Overhead lines are particularly vulnerable to these hazards, prompting utilities to consider reinforcement solutions through undergrounding overhead lines or structural hardening. However, these mitigation strategies are expensive and should be used selectively, prioritized for areas that are most at risk. This necessitates a framework to concurrently balance cost and resilience. In addition, the adopted reinforcement strategy must consider the consequences of possible outages on communities. This paper presents a multi-objective optimization framework to identify overhead line reinforcement strategies in a distribution system exposed to different hazards. A case study is presented for the city of Greeley, CO, which is prone to both wildfire and flood risks. Undergrounding overhead lines and reinforcing tower structures are considered as possible solutions for wildfire-prone areas and flood-prone areas, respectively. The proposed model is adaptable and can be applied to other hazard types and/or geographic regions. The proposed framework incorporates energy justice by prioritizing vulnerable populations and ensuring equitable distribution of reinforcement benefits. The results indicate that targeted hardening can reduce load shedding, improve outage response, and support equitable resilience planning. Full article

Fire is a key driver of ecosystem dynamics under global change, and understanding its complex relationship with the climate system is crucial for regional wildfire risk management and the development of ecological adaptation strategies. The western United States is a critical region for studying fire–climate interactions due to its pronounced environmental gradients, diverse fire regimes, and high vulnerability to climate change, which together provide a robust natural laboratory for examining spatial variability in fire responses. Based on tree-ring fire-scar records systematically collected from five major ecoregions in the western United States via the International Tree-Ring Data Bank (ITRDB), this study reconstructed fire history sequences spanning 430–454 years. By integrating methods such as correlation analysis, random forest regression, superposed epoch analysis, and effect size assessment, we systematically revealed the spatial differentiation patterns of fire frequency and fire spatial extent across different ecoregions, quantified the relative contributions of key climatic drivers, and identified climatic anomaly characteristics during extreme fire years. The results indicate that: (1) there are significant differences in fire frequency between different ecological areas; (2) summer drought conditions (PDSI) are the most consistent and strongest driver of fire across all ecoregions, and ENSO (NINO3) also shows a widespread negative correlation; (3) random forest models indicate that the Sierra Nevada and Madrean Archipelago ecoregions are the most sensitive to multiple climatic factors, while fire in regions such as the Northern Rockies may be more regulated by non-climatic processes; (4) extreme fire years across all ecoregions are associated with significant negative PDSI anomalies with prominent effect sizes, confirming that severe drought is the dominant cross-regional precondition for extreme fire events. This study emphasizes the region-specific nature of fire–climate relationships and provides a scientific basis for developing differentiated, ecoregion-specific fire prediction models and prevention strategies. The methodological framework and findings offer valuable insights for fire regime studies in other global forest ecosystems facing similar climate challenges. Full article

This study examines long-term trends in maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) near-surface air temperatures and precipitation across South America, focusing on Brazilian biomes and national capitals, using ERA5 reanalysis data for 1979–2024. To isolate the underlying climate signal, seasonal cycles were removed using Seasonal-Trend decomposition based on Loess (STL), which effectively separates short-term variability from long-term trends. Temperature trends were quantified using ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, allowing consistent estimation of linear changes over time, while precipitation trends were assessed using the non-parametric Mann–Kendall test combined with Theil–Sen slope estimation, a robust approach that minimizes the influence of outliers and serial correlation in hydroclimatic data. Results indicate widespread but spatially heterogeneous warming, with Tmax increasing faster than Tmin, consistent with reduced cloudiness and evaporative cooling. A meridional precipitation dipole is evident, with drying across the Cerrado, Pantanal, Caatinga, and Pampa, contrasted by rainfall increases in northern South America linked to ITCZ shifts. The Pantanal emerges as the most vulnerable biome, showing strong warming (+0.51 °C decade⁻¹) and the steepest rainfall decline (−10.45 mm decade⁻¹). Satellite-based fire detections (2013–2024) reveal rising wildfire activity in the Amazon, Pantanal, and Cerrado, aligning with the “hotter and drier” climate regime. In the capitals, persistent Tmax increases suggest enhanced urban heat island effects, with implications for public health and energy demand. Although ERA5 provides coherent spatial coverage, regional biases and sparse in situ observations introduce uncertainties, particularly in the Amazon and Andes, these do not alter the principal finding that the magnitude and persistence of the 1979–2024 warming lie well above the range of interdecadal variability typically associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). This provides strong evidence that the recent warming is not cyclical but reflects the externally forced secular warming signal. These findings underscore growing fire risk, ecosystem stress, and urban vulnerability, highlighting the urgency of targeted adaptation and resilience strategies under accelerating climate change. Full article

Background. Climate change is increasingly recognized as a threat to mental health, giving rise to constructs such as eco-anxiety and solastalgia. Although these phenomena have gained attention, quantitative data from European populations remain scarce. Objectives. This study investigated the prevalence and correlates of eco-anxiety in an Italian sample, focusing on associations with demographics, environmental disaster exposure, psychological distress, psychosis-risk indicators, and quality of life. Methods. A cross-sectional online survey was conducted with 1051 participants. Measures included the Hogg Eco-Anxiety Scale (HEAS-13), Brief Symptom Inventory (BSI), Prodromal Questionnaire (PQ-16), SF-36 Health Survey, and a socio-demographic/environmental exposure questionnaire. Data were analyzed using correlations, t-tests, and regression analyses. Results. Eco-anxiety was higher among younger participants, women, and individuals without children, while education showed a weak negative association. No differences emerged by rural vs. urban residence. Participants exposed to floods, droughts, wildfires, and landslides reported elevated eco-anxiety. Scores correlated strongly with general distress (r = 0.57), positively with psychosis-risk indicators (PQ-16 distress, r = 0.42), and negatively with quality of life (r = −0.25). Conclusions. Eco-anxiety in Italy is linked to socio-demographic vulnerabilities, disaster exposure, and impaired mental health. These findings highlight eco-anxiety as a pressing public health concern and stress the need for prevention and interventions that promote adaptive coping and engagement with climate change. Full article

The increasing frequency of extreme wildfire behavior globally, particularly under the influence of anthropogenic climate change, poses unprecedented challenges to traditional fire management paradigms. This study presents a comprehensive, multi-dimensional case study of the catastrophic eruptive fire event that occurred in Xintian County, Hunan Province, China, on 17 October 2022. By integrating data on long-term ecological drought, critical synoptic-scale weather conditions, and real-time emission profiles of combustion products, we delineate the mechanistic chain leading to eruptive fire development in a subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forest region, historically considered a low-to-moderate fire risk zone. Our results demonstrate that the eruptive fire was a consequence of a critical convergence of factors: a protracted pre-conditioning drought that significantly reduced live and dead fuel moisture, a specific meteorological window characterized by extremely low relative humidity (<60%) and initially high wind speeds (peak at 16.5–17.9 m/s), and the abundant production and accumulation of flammable pyrolysis gases (e.g., CO, CH₄) from the dominant Masson pine forests. The emission data pinpointed October 19th as the key tipping point, marking the transition to high-intensity combustion. This study underscores the vulnerability of subtropical forest ecosystems to eruptive fires during compound extreme events. Our findings provide a critical scientific basis for updating fire danger rating systems and early warning strategies in similar ecological regions under a changing climate. Full article

Mediterranean relict forests, including Laurisilva and other humid forest refugia, are rare and ecologically distinctive habitats often embedded in fire-prone landscapes. Understanding how these ecosystems respond to disturbance is essential for biodiversity conservation and land management under increasing fire risk. However, the effects of fire on key components of these forests, such as macrofungi, remain poorly understood. Here, we examined how fine-scale spatial heterogeneity in fire severity, topography and vegetation shapes post-fire macrofungal communities in a Laurisilva relict forest in central Portugal. Fire severity reduced mycorrhizal richness while having negligible effects on saprotrophs, leading to shifts in the mycorrhizal-to-saprotrophic richness ratio along severity gradients. A similar shift toward saprotrophs also occurred from low to moderate–high elevations, consistent with more exposed, drier conditions at higher elevations. Aspect, topographic ruggedness, and wetness showed weaker, guild-specific associations with macrofungal richness, while vegetation cover and richness had more limited influence, possibly reflecting the complexity and vulnerability of post-fire plant–fungus interactions. Overall, these results highlight the importance of conserving humid and structurally complex environments to foster post-fire fungal diversity in relict forests. More broadly, our findings suggest that fine-scale environmental heterogeneity may help sustain relict forest resilience under intensifying wildfires and other disturbances associated with land-use and climate change. Full article

Background and Aim: Natural hazard-related disasters such as wildfires, hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods pose significant risks to older adults, individuals with disabilities, and those with chronic health conditions. Transportation-related challenges during and after evacuation can severely impact their safety, mobility, and recovery. This scoping review examines the current evidence to identify research gaps and inform strategies to improve evacuation outcomes and long-term resilience for these at-risk groups. The STEPS framework (Spatial, Temporal, Economic, Physiological, Social) was applied to guide the analysis and interpretation of findings. Methods: This review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines and searched five databases, including PubMed, APA PsycINFO, CINAHL Complete, EMBASE, and Web of Science for primary studies on transportation and disaster evacuation among vulnerable populations. Results: Twenty studies were included. Four key areas of concern were identified: (1) immediate transportation barriers during evacuation, (2) prolonged transportation disruptions post-disaster, (3) anticipated logistical challenges in future evacuation planning, and (4) inconsistent and inaccessible communication of transportation-related information during emergencies. These challenges intersected with all five STEPS dimensions. Conclusions: Transportation barriers remain a persistent and under-addressed risk factor in disaster contexts for vulnerable groups. The STEPS framework helped reveal the multidimensional nature of these issues, emphasizing the need for integrated planning, assistive transport options, inclusive communication systems, and stronger public–private coordination. Future research should focus on collecting disaggregated data, evaluating interventions, and supporting inclusive policy reforms tailored to each type of disaster. Full article

To prevent or mitigate the negative impact of fires, spatial prediction maps of wildfires are created to identify susceptible locations and key factors that influence the occurrence of fires. This study uses artificial intelligence models, specifically machine learning (XGBoost) and deep learning (Kolmogorov-Arnold networks—KANs, and deep neural network—DNN), with data obtained from multi-sensor satellite imagery (MODIS, VIIRS, Sentinel-2, Landsat 8/9) for spatial modeling wildfires in Serbia (88,361 km²). Based on geographic information systems (GIS) and 199,598 wildfire samples, 16 quantitative variables (geomorphological, climatological, hydrological, vegetational, and anthropogenic) are presented, together with 3 synthesis maps and an integrated susceptibility map of the 3 applied models. The results show a varying percentage of Serbia’s very high vulnerability to wildfires (XGBoost = 11.5%; KAN = 14.8%; DNN = 15.2%; Ensemble = 12.7%). Among the applied models, the DNN achieved the highest predictive performance (Accuracy = 83.4%, ROC-AUC = 92.3%), followed by XGBoost and KANs, both of which also demonstrated strong predictive accuracy (ROC-AUC > 90%). These results confirm the robustness of deep and machine learning approaches for wildfire susceptibility mapping in Serbia. SHAP analysis determined that the most influential factors are elevation, air temperature, and humidity regime (precipitation, aridity, and series of consecutive dry/wet days). Full article

Climate change is intensifying fire regimes, thereby challenging forest ecosystems and making it more difficult to predict the fate of burned trees. The significant ecological impacts of latent tree mortality remain poorly understood. In this study, we reviewed the scientific literature on latent tree mortality in conifer forests following wildfires or prescribed fires. A total of 2294 papers published between 2000 and 2024 were identified from Scopus and Web of Science databases. Using the PICO selection method, we included 16 relevant studies in the final analysis. These studies are based on field assessment, excluding remote sensing and controlled laboratory conditions. Our research revealed that latent mortality results from multiple forms of damage and environmental stressors that disrupt hydraulic function and carbon allocation, increasing tree vulnerability to secondary biotic and abiotic stressors. The discussion is structured around four thematic areas: physiology, ecophysiology, dendrochronology, and silviculture. This approach contributes to a deeper, interdisciplinary understanding of latent tree mortality. However, predicting it remains difficult, reflecting persistent knowledge gaps. Despite the limited literature on this specific field, our review highlights the need for integrated physiological indicators, such as sap flow, transpiration, nonstructural carbohydrates and glucose concentration, as well as long-term monitoring along many growing seasons to better assess tree survival after fire. Full article

Cyprus is located between Europe, Asia and Africa, and its location is vulnerable to dust transport from the Sahara Desert, wildfire smoke particles from surrounding regions, and other anthropogenic emissions caused by several factors, mostly due to business activities on harbor areas. Moreover, the country suffers from heavy traffic conditions caused by the limited public transportation system in Cyprus. Therefore, taking into consideration the country’s geographic location, heavy commercial activities, and lack of good public transportation system, Cyprus is exposed to dust episodes and high anthropogenic emissions associated with multiple health and environmental issues. Therefore, continuous and qualitative air quality monitoring is essential. The Department of Labor Inspection of Cyprus (DLI) has established an air quality monitoring network that consists of 11 stations at strategic geographic locations covering rural, residential, traffic and industrial zones. This network measures the following pollutants: nitrogen oxide, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, ozone, carbon monoxide, particulate matter 2.5, and particulate matter 10. This case study compares and evaluates the agreement between Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) air quality products and ground-truth data from the DLI air quality network. The study period spans from January to December 2024. This study focuses on the following three pollutants: particulate matter 2.5, particulate matter 10, and ozone, using Ensemble Median, EMEP, and CHIMERE near-real-time model data provided by CAMS. A data analysis was performed to identify the agreement and the error rate between those two datasets (i.e., ground-truth air quality data and CAMS air quality data). In addition, this study assesses the reliability of assimilated datasets from CAMS across rural, residential, traffic and industrial zones. The results showcase how CAMS near-real-time analysis data can supplement air quality monitoring in locations without the availability of ground-truth data. Full article

The assessment of the economic vulnerability of natural disasters is a necessary step in the evaluation of any risks. This study proposes the approach implemented under the H2020 FirEurisk project to value the economic damage of wildfires on a European scale. Economic damage is assessed as the net value change in natural (agricultural and forestry resources and their ecosystem services) and manufactured assets under simulated fire intensity, taking into consideration the time necessary for natural capital to recover to the pre-damaged conditions. We show minimum, maximum, and average damage for European countries and map the critical areas. Damages to provisioning-ecosystem services are more pronounced in Central Europe because of the lower resilience of ecosystems compared to the Mediterranean, suggesting that mitigation measures (such as managing vegetation to reduce fuel; improving access to fire services; and engaging communities through education, agriculture, and forest management participation) must be enforced. We are confident that the approach proposed may stimulate further research to test the goodness of the estimates proposed and suggest where it is more appropriate to invest in fire prevention. Full article

The Republic of Korea, with 64% forest coverage, is increasingly vulnerable to large-scale wildfires. This study employed electrical resistance tomography (ERT) to diagnose internal damage in Pinus densiflora trees following a surface fire in spring 2023. Of the 30 monitored trees, 5 died in 2023 and 6 more had died by 2024. Dead trees showed a 41% higher Bark Scorch Index (BSI) and a 10%–15% lower DBH and circumference than survivors. From July, ERT detected significant increases in high- (ERT_R) and medium-resistance (ERT_Y) areas, while low-resistance (ERT_B) regions declined. By September, ERT_R and ERT_Y were 2.2 and 1.9 times higher in dead trees. Maximum resistivity (Rs_max) rose 6.1-fold to 3724 Ωm. One year post-fire, healthy areas in dead trees dropped below 18%. These findings indicate that internal defects develop gradually and accelerate in summer and winter, correlating with thermal and freeze–thaw stress. Early diagnosis within two months post-fire was unreliable, while post-summer assessments better distinguished trees at mortality risk. This study demonstrates ERT’s utility as a non-destructive tool for tracking post-fire damage and guiding forest restoration under increasing wildfire threats. Full article

Escalating extreme wildfires, fueled by the confluence of climate change, land use patterns alterations, ignitions by humans, and flammable fuels accumulation, pose significant and increasingly destructive risks to critical infrastructure (CI). This study presents a comprehensive comparative analysis of wildfire impacts and the corresponding CI resilience strategies employed across the EU and the US. It examines the vulnerability of CIs to the devastating effects of wildfires and their inadvertent contribution to wildfire ignition and spread. The study evaluates the EU’s CER Directive and the US National Infrastructure Protection Plan and assesses European Commission wildfire resilience-related initiatives, including FIRELOGUE, FIRE-RES, SILVANUS, and TREEADS flagship projects. It synthesizes empirical evidence and extracts key lessons learned from major wildfire events in the EU (2017 Portuguese fires; 2018 Mati wildfire) and the US (2023 Lahaina disaster; 2025 Los Angeles fires), drawing insights regarding the effectiveness of various resilience measures and identifying areas for improvement. Persistent challenges impeding effective wildfire resilience are identified, including governance fragmentation, lack of standardization in risk assessment and mitigation protocols, and insufficient integration of scientific knowledge and data into policy formulation and implementation. It concludes with actionable recommendations aimed at fostering science-based, multi-stakeholder approaches to strengthen wildfire resilience at both policy and operational levels. Full article