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20 pages, 7090 KiB  
Article
The Influence of Hard Protection Structures on Shoreline Evolution in Riohacha, Colombia
by Marta Fernández-Hernández, Luis Iglesias, Jairo Escobar, José Joaquín Ortega, Jhonny Isaac Pérez-Montiel, Carlos Paredes and Ricardo Castedo
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 8119; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15148119 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 590
Abstract
Over the past 50 years, coastal erosion has become an increasingly critical issue worldwide, and Colombia’s Caribbean coast is no exception. In urban areas, this challenge is further complicated by hard protection structures, which, while often implemented as immediate solutions, can disrupt sediment [...] Read more.
Over the past 50 years, coastal erosion has become an increasingly critical issue worldwide, and Colombia’s Caribbean coast is no exception. In urban areas, this challenge is further complicated by hard protection structures, which, while often implemented as immediate solutions, can disrupt sediment transport and trigger unintended long-term consequences. This study examines shoreline changes in Riohacha, the capital of La Guajira Department, over a 35-year period (1987–2022), focusing on the impacts of coastal protection structures—specifically, the construction of seven groins and a seawall between 2006 and 2009—on coastal dynamics. Using twelve images (photographs and satellite) and the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS), the evolution of both beaches and cliffs has been analyzed. The results reveal a dramatic shift in shoreline behavior: erosion rates of approximately 0.5 m/year prior to the interventions transitioned to accretion rates of up to 11 m/year within the groin field, where rapid infill occurred. However, this sediment retention has exacerbated erosion in downstream cliff areas, with retreat rates reaching 1.8 ± 0.2 m/year. To anticipate future coastal evolution, predictive models were applied through 2045, providing insights into potential risks for infrastructure and urban development. These findings highlight the need for a strategic, long-term approach to coastal management that considers both the benefits and unintended consequences of engineering interventions. Full article
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25 pages, 5819 KiB  
Article
Future Development and Water Quality for the Pensacola and Perdido Bay Estuary Program: Applications for Urban Development Planning
by Tricia Kyzar, Michael Volk, Dan Farrah, Paul Owens and Thomas Hoctor
Land 2025, 14(7), 1446; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071446 - 11 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 391
Abstract
Land requirements and impacts from future development are a significant concern throughout the world. In Florida (USA), the state’s population increased from 18.8 M to 21.5 M between 2010 and 2020, and is projected to reach 26.6 M by 2040. To accommodate these [...] Read more.
Land requirements and impacts from future development are a significant concern throughout the world. In Florida (USA), the state’s population increased from 18.8 M to 21.5 M between 2010 and 2020, and is projected to reach 26.6 M by 2040. To accommodate these new residents, 801 km2 of wetlands were converted to developed uses between 1996 and 2016. These conversions present a significant threat to Florida’s unique ecosystems and highlight the need to prioritize conservation and water resource protection, both for the natural and human services that wetland and upland landscapes provide. To better understand the relationship between future development and water resources, we used future development and event mean concentration (EMC) models for Escambia and Santa Rosa counties in Florida (USA) to assess impacts from development patterns on water quality/runoff and water resource protection priorities. This study found that if future development densities increased by 30%, reductions of 7713 acres for developed land, 17,768 acre feet of stormwater volume, ~88k lb/yr total nitrogen, and ~15k lb/yr total phosphorus could be achieved. It also found that urban infill, redevelopment, and stormwater management are essential and complementary tools to broader growth management strategies for reducing sprawl while also addressing urban stormwater impacts. Full article
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24 pages, 5538 KiB  
Article
Satellite-Observed Mismatch in Urban Growth and Population Dynamics: Implications for Sustainable Regional Planning in Guangdong Province
by Fushan Zhang, Chi Duan and Qingling Zhang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(13), 2217; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17132217 - 27 Jun 2025
Viewed by 316
Abstract
Understanding spatiotemporal mismatches between urban expansion and population dynamics is essential for guiding sustainable development in rapidly urbanizing regions. Using multi-source nighttime light (NTL) images and global settlement layers, this study investigates the settlement growth pattern and potential spatiotemporal mismatch with population distribution [...] Read more.
Understanding spatiotemporal mismatches between urban expansion and population dynamics is essential for guiding sustainable development in rapidly urbanizing regions. Using multi-source nighttime light (NTL) images and global settlement layers, this study investigates the settlement growth pattern and potential spatiotemporal mismatch with population distribution in Guangdong, China, from 1995 to 2019 at a 5-year interval. Specifically, population spatialization in urban and rural areas is separately mapped by adopting a population-based thresholding method, achieving strong agreement with the census record. Our analysis reveals distinct expansion patterns and mismatch conditions across Guangdong’s Core, Belt, and District subzones. The Core and District subzones primarily experienced infilling and edge-expansion urban growth, while the Belt subzone exhibited more dispersed spatial patterns. Notably, only 5 of 21 prefectures exhibited faster population growth than urban expansion, likely due to sustained migration driven by economic opportunities and advanced urbanization. Quantitatively, both urban expansion and population growth followed a Core, Belt, District order. Spatially, population-dominated areas were primarily clustered within 10 km of urban centers, while the District subzone extensively displayed overfilled settlements, indicating low-efficient land use. Temporally, urban growth relative to population in the Core subzone turned from slower pre-2000 to faster post-2000, followed by gradual deceleration, while the Belt subzone maintained balanced growth throughout the study period. The District subzone sustained faster urban growth from 2000 to 2019. Findings of the study provide an important reference for scientific urban planning and sustainable regional development, not only in Guangzhou but other rapidly urbanizing regions globally. Full article
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24 pages, 5088 KiB  
Article
Exploring the Coupling Relationship Between Urbanization and Ecological Quality Based on Remote Sensing Data in Shenzhen, China
by Fangfang Sun, Chengcheng Dong, Longlong Zhao, Jinsong Chen, Li Wang, Ruixia Jiang and Hongzhong Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(13), 5887; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135887 - 26 Jun 2025
Viewed by 446
Abstract
As a flagship city of China’s reform and opening-up policy and the core engine of the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area, Shenzhen faces dual challenges of economic development and ecological conservation during its rapid urbanization. This study systematically investigates the relationship between urbanization [...] Read more.
As a flagship city of China’s reform and opening-up policy and the core engine of the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area, Shenzhen faces dual challenges of economic development and ecological conservation during its rapid urbanization. This study systematically investigates the relationship between urbanization and ecological quality in this high-density megacity over the past three decades (1990–2020) using multi-temporal Landsat imagery, incorporating an enhanced Remote Sensing Ecological Index (RSEI), impervious surface extraction techniques, and a Coupling Coordination Degree (CCD) model. Key findings include: (1) Impervious surfaces expanded from 458.15 km2 to 709.23 km2, showing a tri-phase pattern of rapid expansion, steady infill, and slight contraction, with an annual growth rate of 1.47%; (2) Ecological quality exhibited a “decline-recovery” trajectory, with RSEI values decreasing from 0.477 (1990) to 0.429 (2000) before rebounding to 0.491 (2020), demonstrating phased ecological fluctuations and restoration; (3) The CCD between urbanization and ecological environment improved significantly from “marginal coordination” (0.548) to “primary coordination” (0.636), forming a distinct “west-high-east-low” spatial pattern with significant clustering effects. This study reveals a novel three-dimensional synergistic pathway (“industrial upgrading-spatial optimization-ecological restoration”) for sustainable development in megacities, establishing the “Shenzhen Paradigm” for ecological governance in rapidly urbanizing regions worldwide. Full article
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20 pages, 10391 KiB  
Article
Tracking the Construction Land Expansion and Its Dynamics of Ho Chi Minh City Metropolitan Area in Vietnam
by Yutian Liang, Jie Zhang, Wei Sun, Zijing Guo and Shangqian Li
Land 2025, 14(6), 1253; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14061253 - 11 Jun 2025
Viewed by 1405
Abstract
International industrial transfer has driven rapid construction land expansion in emerging metropolitan areas, posing challenges for sustainable land management. However, existing research has largely overlooked the spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms of this expansion, particularly in Southeast Asian metropolitan regions. To address this [...] Read more.
International industrial transfer has driven rapid construction land expansion in emerging metropolitan areas, posing challenges for sustainable land management. However, existing research has largely overlooked the spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms of this expansion, particularly in Southeast Asian metropolitan regions. To address this gap, we focused on the Ho Chi Minh City metropolitan area, utilizing construction land data from GLC_FCS30D to analyze the dynamics of construction land expansion during this period. Findings indicated that: (1) Continuous expansion of construction land, with the expansion rate during 2010–2020 being five times that of 2000–2010; (2) The spatial pattern evolved from initial infilling development in urban cores to subsequent leapfrogging and edge expansion toward peripheral counties and transportation corridors; (3) The expansion of construction land occurred alongside substantial losses of wetland and cultivated land. Between 2000 and 2020, the conversion of cultivated land to construction land increased significantly, particularly during 2010–2020 when cultivated land conversion accounted for 93.76% of newly developed construction land. Wetland conversion also showed notable growth during this period, comprising 3.86% of total newly added construction land; (4) Foreign direct investment (FDI) served as the primary catalyst, while industrial park development and transport infrastructure projects functioned as secondary accelerants. This study constructed a framework to systematically analyze the global and local driving mechanisms of metropolitan land expansion. The findings deepen the understanding of land-use transitions in emerging countries and provide both theoretical support and policy references for sustainable land management. Full article
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23 pages, 25069 KiB  
Article
Urban Renewal Strategy Guided by Rail Transit Development Based on the “Node–Place–Revenue” Model: Case Study of Shenyang Metro Line 1
by Xu Lu, Mengqin Zhu, Zeting Li, Qingyu Li and Shan Huang
Land 2025, 14(6), 1214; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14061214 - 5 Jun 2025
Viewed by 646
Abstract
Under the backdrop of urban renewal, harmonizing transit-oriented development (TOD) with urban renewal to maximize rail value has emerged as a critical focus in contemporary planning. Based on this, this paper proposes the node–place–revenue (NPR) model, which constructs evaluation indexes from the three [...] Read more.
Under the backdrop of urban renewal, harmonizing transit-oriented development (TOD) with urban renewal to maximize rail value has emerged as a critical focus in contemporary planning. Based on this, this paper proposes the node–place–revenue (NPR) model, which constructs evaluation indexes from the three dimensions of the node, place, and revenue. It determines the weights of each index by using expert scoring and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Taking Shenyang Metro Line 1 as an example, the study first used the model to measure the node value, place value, and revenue value of each sample TOD station area. Secondly, K-means clustering analysis was used to form a spatial classification of five station areas. Finally, this paper proposes one differentiated urban renewal strategy for each type of station area. It is found that (1) the NPR model classifies stations into five categories: stress and high revenue, balanced, unbalanced node, unbalanced place, and dependence and low revenue and (2) the differentiated urban renewal strategies for each type of station area can be explored in terms of precise decongestion, node upgrading, function expansion, endogenous optimization, and infill quality improvement. This paper examines the economic driving effect of Shenyang Metro Line 1 stations on the renewal of the surrounding areas from the perspective of the economic balance of payments, providing a new reference for Shenyang-rail-transit-guided urban renewal work. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Territorial Space and Transportation Coordinated Development)
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26 pages, 429 KiB  
Review
Reorienting Green Ratings Towards the Big Problems Rather than Business as Usual: A Review of Pragmatic Issues
by Riley Smith, Verena Reid, Dylan Smith, John Rodwell, Scott Rayburg and Melissa Neave
Buildings 2025, 15(11), 1915; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15111915 - 2 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 456
Abstract
With expanding urban sprawl and the characterization of Australian housing as little more than glorified tents, there is a clear need for expert-informed tools—such as the Green Building Council of Australia’s Communities ratings. But what lessons can be learned from the ratings of [...] Read more.
With expanding urban sprawl and the characterization of Australian housing as little more than glorified tents, there is a clear need for expert-informed tools—such as the Green Building Council of Australia’s Communities ratings. But what lessons can be learned from the ratings of recent housing developments? A review of existing cases and supporting materials found low rates of engagement for some criteria and few projects meeting the criteria, with the most direct links being with sustainability. The patterns of scores obtained and criteria addressed appear to reflect many developers placing emphasis on compliance with the minimum standards rather than best practice in sustainability. Notable areas with poor performance include greenhouse gas mitigation strategies, the use of environmentally friendly materials and the sustainability of buildings. Strong, comprehensive education campaigns regarding up-front costs relative to long-term benefits, perhaps more heavily focused on end consumers, may help address some of the hesitancy developers have in engaging with key criteria. However, current rating frameworks fail to account for the pressing need for infill development to address the ‘missing middle’. Perhaps an evolution is needed in sustainability-oriented ratings, such as a mandatory sustainability assessment, that would crystallize the green premium of sustainable housing, thereby harnessing the demand from consumers’ for better quality. Full article
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20 pages, 5081 KiB  
Article
Combining Demand for Ecosystem Services with Ecosystem Conditions of Vacant Lots to Support Land Preservation and Restoration Decisions
by Erica Bruno, Enzo Falco and Davide Geneletti
Sustainability 2025, 17(10), 4686; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17104686 - 20 May 2025
Viewed by 431
Abstract
Urban densification threatens vacant lots in cities, potentially affecting biodiversity and the ecosystem services (ES) they provide. Policymakers require evidence-based tools to balance densification policies and initiatives with the preservation of green spaces. This research proposes a method to assess ecosystem conditions (EC) [...] Read more.
Urban densification threatens vacant lots in cities, potentially affecting biodiversity and the ecosystem services (ES) they provide. Policymakers require evidence-based tools to balance densification policies and initiatives with the preservation of green spaces. This research proposes a method to assess ecosystem conditions (EC) of vacant lots and combine it with ES demand in order to identify lots that need to be prioritised for preservation and restoration. This method is applied to the Northern Milan intermunicipal area (Italy). By using open-access satellite imagery, indicators for abiotic, biotic, and landscape characteristics were determined for each lot regarding four regulating ES (air purification, runoff mitigation, microclimate regulation, and pollination). The EC assessment provides planners with information on the ecosystems’ qualities and their ability to deliver ecosystem services. Our findings indicate that vacant lots differ in their contribution to ES provision due to variation in abiotic, biotic, and landscape connectivity conditions, underlining the need for a more detailed assessment of the differences between each individual area that composes the green infrastructure. However, challenges related to defining reference levels and the availability of detailed local data need to be addressed to guide planning decisions effectively. Full article
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23 pages, 8984 KiB  
Article
Spatial Patterns of Land Take in a Mediterranean City: An Assessment of the SDG Indicator 11.3.1 in the Peri-Urban Area of Thessaloniki
by Athena Yiannakou and George Zografos
Land 2025, 14(5), 965; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14050965 - 30 Apr 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1035
Abstract
Urban sprawl, characterized by continuous or discontinuous spatial patterns of artificial surface expansion, has been a common trend in most cities, even in those with longstanding compact features, such as cities in the northern Mediterranean region. This paper assesses the land take patterns [...] Read more.
Urban sprawl, characterized by continuous or discontinuous spatial patterns of artificial surface expansion, has been a common trend in most cities, even in those with longstanding compact features, such as cities in the northern Mediterranean region. This paper assesses the land take patterns in the peri-urban area of a typical compact city that experienced significant sprawl trends after the mid-1990s, which are closely linked to the specificities of planning regulations regarding the development in peri-urban settlements as well as outside planned areas. Using the rapidly suburbanized southern peri-urban area of Thessaloniki, Greece, as a case study, the paper analyzes the factors influencing the land cover change in the middle-class-led peri-urbanization during the period 2000–2018 and provides an estimate of the SDG indicator 11.3.1 “ratio of land consumption rate to population growth rate”, a suitable indicator for monitoring spatial changes. The main conclusions of the study indicate that, during the period examined, the peri-urban zone investigated in the case study exhibited a higher rate of population growth compared to that of artificial surfaces, with the latter showing a higher change during 2006–2012. However, the spatial pattern of urban expansion displays a fragmented yet linear form, creating fragmented enclaves of agricultural land. Full article
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17 pages, 873 KiB  
Review
Mechanisms of Generation and Ecological Impacts of Nano- and Microplastics from Artificial Turf Systems in Sports Facilities
by Akihito Harusato and Masashi Kato
Environments 2025, 12(4), 109; https://doi.org/10.3390/environments12040109 - 2 Apr 2025
Viewed by 1106
Abstract
The worldwide adoption of artificial turf in sports facilities and urban landscapes, alongside the systematic transition from natural grass and soil-based grounds, has raised growing concerns about its contribution to the significant source of nano- and microplastics in ecosystems. This review examines current [...] Read more.
The worldwide adoption of artificial turf in sports facilities and urban landscapes, alongside the systematic transition from natural grass and soil-based grounds, has raised growing concerns about its contribution to the significant source of nano- and microplastics in ecosystems. This review examines current knowledge on the mechanisms of nano- and microplastic generation from artificial turf systems and their environmental impacts. Combined mechanical stress, ultra-violet radiation, and weathering processes contribute to the breakdown of synthetic grass fibers and infill materials, generating particles ranging from nanometer to millimeter scales. These nano- and microplastics are detected in drainage systems and surrounding soils near sports facilities. Laboratory studies demonstrate that artificial turf-derived nano- and microplastics can adversely affect soil microbial communities, aquatic organisms, and potentially human health, through various exposure pathways. While current mitigation approaches include hybrid turf, particle retention systems, and improved maintenance protocols, emerging research focuses on developing novel, environmentally friendly materials as alternatives to conventional synthetic turf components. However, field data on emission rates and environmental fate remain limited, and standardized methods for particle characterization and quantification are lacking. This review identifies critical knowledge gaps, underscoring the need for comprehensive research on long-term ecological impacts and highlights the future goal of mitigating nano- and microplastic emissions from artificial turf systems into the ecosystem. Full article
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29 pages, 15098 KiB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Impacts and Mechanisms of Multi-Dimensional Urban Morphological Characteristics on Regional Heat Effects in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area
by Jiayu Wang, Yixuan Wang and Tian Chen
Land 2025, 14(4), 729; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14040729 - 28 Mar 2025
Viewed by 493
Abstract
The impact of urban morphology characteristics on regional thermal environments is a crucial topic in urban planning and climate adaptation research. However, existing studies are often limited to a single dimension and fail to fully reveal the spatiotemporal impact mechanisms of multi-dimensional urban [...] Read more.
The impact of urban morphology characteristics on regional thermal environments is a crucial topic in urban planning and climate adaptation research. However, existing studies are often limited to a single dimension and fail to fully reveal the spatiotemporal impact mechanisms of multi-dimensional urban morphology on thermal environments and their connection to regional planning policies. This study focuses on the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), combining quantitative data from landscape pattern indices, land use expansion patterns, and local climate zones (LCZs) derived from 2000 to 2020. By using geographically weighted regression and spatial autocorrelation analysis, we systematically explore the spatiotemporal effects and mechanisms of multi-dimensional urban morphology characteristics on regional thermal effects. We found the following points. (1) Built-up land patch density is significantly positively correlated with LST, with the urban heat island (UHI) effect spreading from core areas to the periphery; this corroborates the thermal environment differentiation features under the “multi-center, networked” spatial planning pattern of the GBA. (2) Outlying expansion mitigates local LST rise through an ecological isolation effect, and infill expansion significantly exacerbates the UHI effect due to high-intensity development, reflecting the differentiated impacts of various expansion patterns on the thermal environment. (3) LCZ spatial distribution aligns closely with regional planning, with the solar radiation shading effect of high-rise buildings significantly cooling daytime LSTs, whereas the thermal storage properties of traditional building materials and human heat sources cause nighttime LST increases; this reveals the deep influence of urban morphology mechanisms, building materials, and human activities on thermal environments. The findings provide scientific support for achieving a win–win goal of high-quality development and ecological security in the GBA while also offering a theoretical basis and practical insights for thermal environment regulation in high-density urban clusters worldwide. Full article
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19 pages, 6062 KiB  
Article
Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban Land Expansion Modes Considering Differences in Spatial Functional Zoning
by Jing Yang, Zheng Wang and Yizhong Sun
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2025, 14(4), 138; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi14040138 - 24 Mar 2025
Viewed by 579
Abstract
As a precious non-renewable resource, the rational utilization of land resources is crucial for global sustainable development, with urban land development scenario prediction and analysis serving as key methodologies to achieve this goal. Although previous studies have extensively explored urban land expansion simulation [...] Read more.
As a precious non-renewable resource, the rational utilization of land resources is crucial for global sustainable development, with urban land development scenario prediction and analysis serving as key methodologies to achieve this goal. Although previous studies have extensively explored urban land expansion simulation and scenario forecasting, further investigation is still required to simultaneously address spatial functional zoning differentiation and urban expansion mode diversity while simulating development trends under various expansion modes. In this study, we integrated major functional zones and ecological redlines to delineate urban spatial functional units and define development coefficients for construction land within each unit. Based on the spatial heterogeneity of expansion modes, the scopes of infill, sprawl, and leapfrog expansion modes were determined. Combining functional zoning and expansion mode zoning, we employed cellular automata model principles to design land conversion rules and simulate the evolution of land use under different expansion modes. Using Jiangyin City, China, as a case study, the model achieved a high simulation accuracy (kappa coefficient of 0.959), significantly outperforming comparative models. By predicting land-use patterns under different expansion scenarios and aligning with Jiangyin’s territorial planning goals, we recommend implementing infill–sprawl–leapfrog and infill–leapfrog–sprawl expansion modes. The results demonstrate that the model effectively supports the refined simulation of urban land expansion, providing a scientific basis for optimizing land resource allocation and balancing ecological protection with urban development. Future research could integrate multiple types of territorial control elements, refine land-use categories, and optimize prediction scenarios to enhance the model’s practicality and applicability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Spatial Decision Support Systems for Urban Sustainability)
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28 pages, 21520 KiB  
Article
Perception of Authenticity of a UNESCO Heritage Site: New Infill Design and Integrity Protection in the Old Town of Ohrid, North Macedonia
by Aleksandar Milojković, Uroš Antić, Ana Stanojević, Ljiljana Jevremović, Marko Nikolić, Isidora Đorđević and Milan Brzaković
Sustainability 2025, 17(5), 2067; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052067 - 27 Feb 2025
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1626
Abstract
The UNESCO world heritage site of the old town of Ohrid represents a unique spatial and historical area of the Balkan peninsula. Over time, it has changed due to new construction caused by social challenges and mass tourism, damaging its authentic value. This [...] Read more.
The UNESCO world heritage site of the old town of Ohrid represents a unique spatial and historical area of the Balkan peninsula. Over time, it has changed due to new construction caused by social challenges and mass tourism, damaging its authentic value. This research examines the issue of new infill design from the perspective of preserving the authenticity of Ohrid’s built heritage. Some new additions have arisen in the period of absence and/or inadequate application of the legislative protective framework, while others reflect a historical replication approach encouraged by official construction guidelines. The study aims to verify whether this legally accepted approach suits the area. The research relies on field study and questionnaire survey analysis regarding the perception of authenticity among the local community, non-Ohrid residents, and architecture and urban planning experts. The field study shows that fostering historical replication has led to low-quality imitations of inherited aesthetics. This trend prevents modern reflection of contemporary architectural design and has created fake historical continuity. The survey results indicate a different opinion on this issue, with variations based on profession and living place. The research outcomes create an opportunity for further education within the local community and dialogue regarding preserving Ohrid’s heritage. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cultural Heritage Conservation and Sustainable Development)
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19 pages, 7982 KiB  
Article
Rates and Patterns of Town Expansion in China’s 17 Shrinking Tourism-Type Counties
by Shanshan Jia, Peiyao Li, Wenxiao Jia and Xiaorui Chen
Land 2025, 14(2), 347; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14020347 - 8 Feb 2025
Viewed by 727
Abstract
Vast rural populations squeezed into cities, leaving small townships hollowed out. Even so, some townships’ lands are still expanding. The dilemma of land expansion with a shrinking population raises various challenges including farmland reduction. Much of the current research on the impervious expansion [...] Read more.
Vast rural populations squeezed into cities, leaving small townships hollowed out. Even so, some townships’ lands are still expanding. The dilemma of land expansion with a shrinking population raises various challenges including farmland reduction. Much of the current research on the impervious expansion has focused on urban areas, while townships were often neglected. Based on high-resolution satellite data and statistic data in 1993–2018, this study explored long-term township impervious land expansion dynamics and explored the real-world relationship with their population for the 17 first-batch-of-strong-tourism counties in China. The results showed that over the past 26 years, there had been an increasing trend in the impervious areas in 17 counties. There were diseconomies of scale for impervious land expansion, i.e., the township’s land expansion became less efficient with the shrinking population. The impervious area was predominantly converted from cropland (ranging from 16.40% to 71.96%). The expansion in highlands was also increasing, although most of the growth occurred in the lowlands. The expansion patterns were mainly dominated by infilling and edge-expansion during the early stage, after which leapfrogging occurred, and infilling increased again in recent years. Townships with a “closer” accessibility to tourist attractions had the largest and fastest rate of impervious land expansion and an increasing influence of townships. These counties needed customized development with its unique natural conditions. This study could provide data-based evidence for better planning and governing to promote sustainable development worldwide. Full article
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21 pages, 16279 KiB  
Article
Projected Spatiotemporal Evolution of Urban Form Using the SLEUTH Model with Urban Master Plan Scenarios
by Yuhan Liu, Caiyan Wu, Jiong Wu, Yangcen Zhang, Xing Bi, Meng Wang, Enrong Yan, Conghe Song and Junxiang Li
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(2), 270; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17020270 - 14 Jan 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1354
Abstract
Urban growth, a pivotal characteristic of economic development, brings many environmental and ecological challenges. Modeling urban growth is essential for understanding its spatial dynamics and projecting future trends, providing insights for effective urban planning and sustainable development. This study aims to assess the [...] Read more.
Urban growth, a pivotal characteristic of economic development, brings many environmental and ecological challenges. Modeling urban growth is essential for understanding its spatial dynamics and projecting future trends, providing insights for effective urban planning and sustainable development. This study aims to assess the spatiotemporal patterns of urban growth and morphological evolution in mainland Shanghai from 2016 to 2060 using the SLEUTH model under multiple growth scenarios based on the Shanghai Urban Master Plan (2017–2035). A comprehensive set of urban growth metrics and quadrant analysis were employed to quantify the magnitude, rate, intensity, and direction of urban growth, as well as morphological evolution, over time. We found that (1) significant urban growth was observed across most scenarios, with the exception of stringent land protection. The most substantial growth occurred prior to 2045 with an obvious north–south disparity, where southern regions demonstrated more pronounced increases in urban land area and urbanization rates. (2) The spatiotemporal patterns of the rate and intensity of urban growth exhibited similar characteristics. The spatial pattern followed a “concave shape” pattern and displayed anisotropic behavior, with the high values for these indicators primarily observed before 2025. (3) The urban form followed a diffusion–coalescence process, with patch areas dominated by the infilling mode and patch numbers dominated by the edge-expansion mode. This resulted in significant alternating urban growth models in the infilling, edge-expansion, and leapfrog modes over time, influenced by varying protection intensities. These findings provide valuable insights for forward-looking urban planning, land use optimization, and the support of sustainable urban development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Planning Supported by Remote Sensing Technology II)
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