Search Results (112)

The dynamical tropopause layer pressure (DTLP) represents a key interface characterizing upper-tropospheric stratification and atmospheric dynamical structure. Its spatial morphology and gradient variations directly influence jet stream distribution as well as the intensity and location of clear-air turbulence (CAT). Over the Tibetan Plateau, complex terrain and pronounced dynamical variability result in a significantly lower tropopause height and enhanced horizontal gradients during winter. Aircraft cruising altitudes frequently approach or intersect the tropopause layer in this region, making accurate and fine-scale characterization of DTLP structures critically important for aviation safety. A deep learning-based DTLP retrieval model (Att-ResUNet_DEM) is developed by integrating terrain constraints and an attention mechanism. Using MERRA-2 reanalysis data as supervisory labels, the model incorporates a squeeze-and-excitation (SE) attention mechanism within a residual encoder–decoder framework, while a digital elevation model (DEM) is introduced as an additional input channel and fused with satellite brightness temperature data to explicitly account for terrain effects. A random forest (RF) model is implemented as a baseline for comparison. Compared with the RF model, the Att-ResUNet_DEM reduces the MAE and RMSE by 13.20% and 9.19%, respectively, while increasing the correlation coefficient to 0.76. Over the primary aviation corridors of the Tibetan Plateau, the Att-ResUNet_DEM model achieves a correlation coefficient(R) of 0.87, with markedly reduced gradient dispersion. A representative CAT case further confirms the model’s ability to capture the overall DTLP morphology and gradient enhancement zones. Overall, by combining a regionalized modeling strategy with terrain constraints, this study systematically improves DTLP retrieval accuracy and gradient consistency over complex terrain, providing a new technical pathway for high-resolution tropopause monitoring and aviation operation support. Full article

Avoiding contrails is one of the recent trends in ATM. Aviation contrails are considered a significant non-CO₂ environmental factor worth avoiding even with a CO₂ increase (lower-level cruise or horizontal avoidance, both burning more fuel). This paper is a study of the global impact of aviation on global warming considering contrails and CO₂ trade-offs. In the literature, there are two concepts on why contrails are detrimental to the environment: (i) Daytime persistent contrails have a positive effect by reflecting the Sun’s rays back, whereas the contrails persisting into nighttime need to be avoided because they block the cooling of the planet by radiation—the overall impact is negative; (ii) too much humidity is injected into the tropopause by aircraft regardless of the type of contrails, persistent or not, and even by the flights without contrails. In hypothesis (ii), contrail avoidance is not the issue, since humidity is generated by the turbine engines regardless of the visibility of the water molecules (ice crystals or water droplets). Regarding hypothesis (i), the study analysed the Earth’s reflections contributing to albedo and the Earth’s emissions at the top of the atmosphere in infrared (day and night) over 25 years (2000–2025) from CERES data and found correlations with the two pandemic years, when the number of flights was significantly reduced, to understand the real environmental impact of aviation. The conclusion is that most of the time, contrails increase the Earth’s albedo, having a positive environmental impact. The damage to the environment comes mostly from 2% of flights, mainly over Europe, and the paper puts forward some practical proposals to regulate these flights, instead of complex contrail avoidance applied at the ATM level for all flights. Full article

We develop a minimal thermodynamic model to predict Titan’s surface temperature based on radiative–convective equilibrium and the principle of maximum entropy production (MEP). The model retains only the essential atmospheric constituents: gaseous methane, which absorbs both longwave and near-infrared radiation, and stratospheric haze, which scatters and absorbs solar flux. Subject to Clausius–Clapeyron scaling of methane vapor pressure together with energy balances at the surface, tropopause, and stratopause, the model links the convective flux to the surface temperature, which exhibits a pronounced maximum due to competing radiative effects of tropospheric methane. As the surface warms, enhanced greenhouse effect would strengthen the convection, whereas the rising anti-greenhouse effect would suppress convection. The resulting convective peak corresponds to MEP, which thus selects a surface temperature slightly above methane’s triple point. To assess its long-term evolution, we consider a 20% dimmer early Sun and a hypothetical 20% enrichment of the oceanic methane. Even in combination, they only cool the surface by ~2 K, in sharp contrast to the ~20 K cooling inferred in studies that prescribe haze abundance. This study suggests a critical role of self-adjusting haze in providing the internal degree of freedom necessary for MEP closure, thereby stabilizing Titan’s temperature. Full article

Baroclinic wave resonance, particularly Rossby waves, has attracted great interest in ocean and atmospheric physics since the 1970s. Research on Rossby wave resonance covers a wide variety of phenomena that can be unified when focusing on quasi-stationary Rossby waves traveling at the interface of two stratified fluids. This assumes a clear differentiation of the pycnocline, where the density varies strongly vertically. In the atmosphere, such stationary Rossby waves are observable at the tropopause, at the interface between the polar jet and the ascending air column at the meeting of the polar and Ferrel cell circulation, or between the subtropical jet and the descending air column at the meeting of the Ferrel and Hadley cell circulation. The movement of these air columns varies according to the declination of the sun. In oceans, quasi-stationary Rossby waves are observable in the tropics, at mid-latitudes, and around the subtropical gyres (i.e., the gyral Rossby waves GRWs) due to the buoyant properties of warm waters originating from tropical oceans, transported to high latitudes by western boundary currents. The thermocline oscillation results from solar irradiance variations induced by the sun’s declination, as well as solar and orbital cycles. It is governed by the forced, linear, inviscid shallow water equations on the β-plane (or β-cone for GRWs), namely the momentum, continuity, and potential vorticity equations. The coupling of multi-frequency wave systems occurs in exchange zones. The quasi-stationary Rossby waves and the associated zonal/polar and meridional/radial geostrophic currents modify the geostrophy of the basin. Here, it is shown that the ubiquity of resonant forcing in (sub)harmonic modes of Rossby waves in stratified media results from two properties: (1) the natural period of Rossby wave systems tunes to the forcing period, (2) the restoring forces between the different multi-frequency Rossby waves assimilated to inertial Caldirola–Kanai (CK) oscillators are all the stronger when the imbalance between the Coriolis force and the horizontal pressure gradients in the exchange zones is significant. According to the CK equations, this resonance mode ensures the sustainability of the wave systems despite the variability of the forcing periods. The resonant forcing of quasi-stationary Rossby waves is at the origin of climate variations, as well-known as El Niño, glacial–interglacial cycles or extreme events generated by cold drops or, conversely, heat waves. This approach attempts to provide some new avenues for addressing climate and weather issues. Full article

On the morning of 4 April 2025, a rare formation of Cirrostratus undulatus homomutatus was observed over Barcelona. This variety of the homomutatus form of the Cirrostratus cloud genus—originating from the transformation of persistent aircraft contrails—has not previously been documented in the International Cloud Atlas or in any scientific publication, making this observation unique within the current literature. The event was visually recorded and meteorologically analyzed using upper-air data from the Barcelona radiosonde and the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 300 and 500 hPa geopotential heights. Synoptic and thermodynamic analyses revealed a localized region of enhanced wind shear activity coinciding with a thin, moist layer near the tropopause. These conditions likely facilitated the transformation of persistent contrails into cirriform layers exhibiting undulated patterns characteristic of the undulatus variety. This case provides new insight into the microphysical and dynamic mechanisms underlying the evolution of anthropogenic cirriform clouds, contributing to the growing body of knowledge on homomutatus phenomena and their interaction with upper-tropospheric processes. It thus represents the first formal documentation and meteorological interpretation of Cirrostratus undulatus homomutatus, offering a valuable reference for future observational and classification efforts within the WMO framework. Full article

Our previous study examined the stratosphere-troposphere exchange (STE) of air mass and ozone using ERA5 and MERRA2 reanalysis data and observations for 2007–2010. Their analysis applied a lower stratosphere mass budget approach, with the 380 K isentropic surface serving as the upper boundary of the lowermost stratosphere. This study employs a dynamic isentropic surface fitted to the tropical tropopause, providing an update to the results using the static 380 K boundary. Additionally, we improve the numerical scheme for deriving the mass of the lowermost stratosphere. Under this new framework, the air mass upward flux at the isentropic surface in the tropics increases from 19.3 × 10⁹, 19.3 × 10⁹, and 22.0 × 10⁹ kg s⁻¹ in our previous study to 21.9 × 10⁹, 20.9 × 10⁹, and 26.3 × 10⁹ kg s⁻¹ in the present study for ERA5, MERRA2, and observations, respectively. The global ozone fluxes across the fitted isentrope become −347.6, −362.5 and −368.4 Tg yr⁻¹ as compared to −345.7, −359.5 and −335.6 Tg yr⁻¹ at the 380 K level from our previous study for ERA5, MERRA2 and observations, respectively. The corresponding extratropical ozone fluxes are −539.3, −541.3 and −565.5 Tg yr⁻¹ versus previous estimates of −538.1, −542.5 and −527.8 Tg yr⁻¹. The increased role of tropical cirrus clouds near the tropopause is also highlighted under the updated framework in observations. The contribution of cloud heating to tropical air mass flux increases from 2.0% in our previous study to 8.2% in the present analysis, while for ozone, the corresponding contribution increases from 1.8% to 8.1%. We further show that the improved estimate of the change rate of mass in the lowermost stratosphere has an impact on seasonal ozone STE results from chemistry climate models presented in another of our previous studies. These findings provide new insights into the processes governing stratosphere-troposphere exchange. Full article

Atmospheric climate science lacks the capacity to integrate thermodynamics with the gravitational potential of air in a classical quantum theory. To what extent can we identify Carnot’s ideal heat engine cycle in reversible isothermal and isentropic phases between dual temperatures partitioning heat flow with coupled work processes in the atmosphere? Using statistical action mechanics to describe Carnot’s cycle, the maximum rate of work possible can be integrated for the working gases as equal to variations in the absolute Gibbs energy, estimated as sustaining field quanta consistent with Carnot’s definition of heat as caloric. His treatise of 1824 even gave equations expressing work potential as a function of differences in temperature and the logarithm of the change in density and volume. Second, Carnot’s mechanical principle of cooling caused by gas dilation or warming by compression can be applied to tropospheric heat–work cycles in anticyclones and cyclones. Third, the virial theorem of Lagrange and Clausius based on least action predicts a more accurate temperature gradient with altitude near 6.5–6.9 °C per km, requiring that the Gibbs rotational quantum energies of gas molecules exchange reversibly with gravitational potential. This predicts a diminished role for the radiative transfer of energy from the atmosphere to the surface, in contrast to the Trenberth global radiative budget of ≈330 watts per square metre as downwelling radiation. The spectral absorptivity of greenhouse gas for surface radiation into the troposphere enables thermal recycling, sustaining air masses in Lagrangian action. This obviates the current paradigm of cooling with altitude by adiabatic expansion. The virial-action theorem must also control non-reversible heat–work Carnot cycles, with turbulent friction raising the surface temperature. Dissipative surface warming raises the surface pressure by heating, sustaining the weight of the atmosphere to varying altitudes according to latitude and seasonal angles of insolation. New predictions for experimental testing are now emerging from this virial-action hypothesis for climate, linking vortical energy potential with convective and turbulent exchanges of work and heat, proposed as the efficient cause setting the thermal temperature of surface materials. Full article

The impacts of the solar eclipse that occurred on 8 April 2024 over the United States on various atmospheric parameters are investigated. We analyzed surface and vertical profiles of temperature and humidity to understand how this eclipse affected the atmosphere from the ground to the stratosphere. Our findings show a significant response throughout the atmospheric range. The eclipse caused a decrease in shortwave radiation, leading to cooler Earth surfaces and a subsequent drop in surface temperature. This cooling effect also resulted in high relative humidity and lower wind speeds at the surface. Furthermore, GPS radio occultation data from COSMIC-2 revealed a decrease in tropospheric temperature and increase in stratospheric temperature during the eclipse. We also observed a reduction in both the temperature and height of the tropopause. The uniqueness of the present investigations lies in delineating the solar eclipse’s effects on the land and ocean. Our analysis indicates that land regions experienced a more pronounced temperature change compared to ocean regions. Full article

The atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and tropopause play critical roles in weather formation and climate change. This study initially focuses on the ABL height (ABLH), tropopause height (TPH), and temperature (TPT) retrieved from the integrated radio occultation (RO) profiles from FY-3E, FY-3F, and FY-3G satellites during September 2022 to August 2024. All three FY-3 series satellites are equipped with the RO payload of Global Navigation Satellite System Radio Occultation Sounder-II (GNOS-II), which includes open-loop tracking RO observations from the BeiDou navigation satellite system (BDS) and the Global Positioning System (GPS). The wavelet covariance transform method was used to determine the ABL top, and the temperature lapse rate was applied to judge the tropopause. Results show that the maximum ABL detection rate of FY-3/GNOS-II RO can reach up to 76% in the subtropical eastern Pacific, southern hemisphere Atlantic, and eastern Indian Ocean. The ABLH is highly consistent with the collocated radiosonde observations and presents distinct seasonal variations. The TPH retrieved from FY-3/GNOS-II RO profiles is in agreement with the radiosonde-derived TPH, and both TPH and TPT from RO profiles display well-defined spatial structures. From 45°S to 45°N and south of 55°S, the annual cycle of the TPT is negatively correlated with the TPH. This study substantiates the promising performance of FY-3/GNOS-II RO measurements in observing the ABL and tropopause, which can be incorporated into the weather and climate systems. Full article

A severe cold air outbreak hit the US and parts of Canada in January 2019, leaving behind many casualties where at least 21 people died as a consequence. According to Insurance Business America, the event cost the US about 1 billion dollars. In the Midwest, surface temperatures dipped to the lowest on record in decades, reaching −32 °C in Chicago, Illinois, and down to −48 °C wind chill temperature in Cotton and Dakota, Minnesota, giving rise to broad media attention. A zonal wavenumber 1–3 planetary wave forcing caused a sudden stratospheric warming, with a displacement followed by a split of the polar vortex at the beginning of 2019. The common downward progression of the stratospheric anomalies stalled at the tropopause and, thus, they did not reach tropospheric levels. Instead, the stratospheric trough, developing in a barotropic fashion around 70° W, turned the usually baroclinic structure of the Aleutian high quasi-barotropic. In response, upward propagating waves over the North Pacific were reflected at its lower stratospheric, eastward tilting edge toward North America. Channeled by a dipole structure of positive and negative eddy geopotential height anomalies, the waves converged at the center of the latter and thereby strengthened the circulation anomalies responsible for the severely cold surface temperatures in most of the Midwest and Northeast US. Full article

During the South Asian Summer Monsoon (SASM), intense large-scale uplift and strong deep convective activity over South Asia lead to the formation of a high aerosol concentration zone in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS), known as the Asian Troposphere Aerosol Layer (ATAL), which appears from June to August. ATAL not only influences the exchange processes of material and energy between the troposphere and stratosphere, but also affects the global climate by altering radiation, cloud formation, and precipitation processes. Therefore, examining the spatiotemporal distribution and climate impacts of ATAL is essential for understanding climate change and evaluating the feasibility of geoengineering. This study systematically reviews research progress on the three-dimensional spatiotemporal distribution, trends, sources, and climatic effects of ATAL. Findings reveal a prominent aerosol layer at the top of the Asian troposphere, and the SASM region potentially serving as a critical conduit for constituents of the boundary layer to reach the stratosphere. However, simulated ATAL components differ significantly across models, particularly in terms of vertical distribution patterns. The precise three-dimensional structure and long-term evolution of ATAL remain unclear, presenting challenges for assessing its climate impact. To advance the understanding of the roles of ATAL in climate change, three future research directions are proposed. Full article

The hydrosphere is an element of the climate system and changes in the latter are reasonably projected over the river outflow. Climatic changes, however, are unevenly distributed over the Earth, and understanding their regional imprint on the hydrosphere is of great importance. In this study, we have conducted a statistical analysis of the monthly maximum and minimum river discharge recorded in 22 hydrological stations located on 19 of the Bulgarian rivers during the period 1993–2022. We have found that in half of the river basins, the trend of the spring maximum discharge is significantly positive (α = 0.05). In the other half of the stations, the trend is neutral. The stations with a positive trend are not randomly distributed but grouped, forming a pattern crossing the country from northwest to southeast. This pattern of trend distribution raises questions about the causes of the irregular hydrological response to the rising global near-surface temperatures. A comparison of hydrological data with some climatic variables (i.e., temperature, precipitation, and ozone at 70 hPa), combined with neural network analysis results, suggests ozone as a possible reason for the heterogeneous hydrological response. Its effect could be explained by an imposed episodic warming of the near-surface temperature due to fluctuations in the ozone density near the tropopause, which in turn favours the faster melting of ice and snow in the corresponding river basins. Full article

Cosmogenic beryllium-10 and beryllium-7, and the ratio of the two (10Be/7Be), are powerful atmospheric tracers of stratosphere–troposphere exchange (STE) processes; however, measurements are sparse for altitudes well above the tropopause. We present a novel high-altitude balloon campaign aimed to measure these isotopes in the mid-stratosphere called Beryllium Isotopes for Resolving Dynamics in the Stratosphere (BIRDIES). BIRDIES targeted gravity waves produced by tropopause-overshooting convection to study their propagation and impact on STE dynamics, including the production of turbulence in the stratosphere. Two custom-designed payloads called FiSH and GASP were flown at altitudes approaching 30 km to measure in situ turbulence and beryllium isotopes (on aerosols), respectively. These were flown on nine high-altitude balloon flights over Kansas, USA, in summer 2022. The atmospheric samples were augmented with a ground-based rainfall collection targeting isotopic signatures of deep convection overshooting. Our GASP samples yielded mostly negligible amounts of both 10Be and 7Be collected in the mid-stratosphere but led to design improvements to increase aerosol capture in low-pressure environments. Observations from FiSH and the precipitation collection were more fruitful. FiSH showed the presence of turbulent velocity, temperature, and acoustic fluctuations in the stratosphere, including length scales in the infra-sonic range and inertial subrange that indicated times of elevated turbulence. The precipitation collection, and subsequent statistical analysis, showed that large spatial datasets of 10Be/7Be can be measured in individual rainfall events with minimum terrestrial contamination. While the spatial patterns in rainfall suggested some evidence for overshooting convection, inter-event temporal variability was clearly observed and predicted with good agreement using the 3D chemical transport model GEOS-CHEM. Full article

The Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate 2 (COSMIC-2) collects data covering latitudes primarily between 40 degrees north and south, providing abundant data for tropical cyclone (TC) research. The radio occultation data provide valuable information on the boundary layer. However, quality control of the data within the boundary layer remains a challenging issue. The aim of this study is to obtain a more accurate COSMIC-2 radio occultation (RO) dataset through quality control (QC) and use this dataset to validate warm core structures and explore the planetary boundary layer (PBL) structures of TCs. In this study, COSMIC-2 data are used to analyze the distribution of the relative local spectral width (LSW) and the confidence parameter characterizing the random error of the bending angle. An LSW less than 20% is set as a data QC threshold, and the warm core and PBL composite structures of TCs at three intensities in the Northwest Pacific Ocean are investigated. We reproduce the warm core intensity and warm core height characteristics of TCs. In the radial direction of the typhoon eyewall, the impact height of the PBL increases from 3.45 km to 4 km, with the tropopause ranging from 160 hPa to 100 hPa. At the bottom of the troposphere, the variations in the positive and negative bias between the RO-detected and background field bending angles correspond well to the PBL heights, and the variations in the positive bias between the RO-detected and background field refractivity reach 14%. This research provides an effective QC method and reveals that the bending angle is sensitive to the PBL height. Full article

This study aims to achieve the classification of the cirrus clouds over the Observatory of Haute-Provence (OHP) in France. Rayleigh–Mie–Raman lidar measurements, in conjunction with the ERA5 dataset, are analyzed to provide geometrical morphology and optical cirrus properties over the site. The method of cirrus cloud climatology presented here is based on a threefold classification scheme based on the cirrus geometrical and optical properties and their formation history. Principal component analysis (PCA) and subsequent clustering provide four morphological cirrus classes, three optical groups, and two origin-related categories. Cirrus clouds occur approximately 37% of the time, with most being single-layered (66.7%). The mean cloud optical depth (COD) is 0.39 ± 0.46, and the mean heights range around 10.8 ± 1.35 km. Thicker tropospheric cirrus are observed under higher temperature and humidity conditions than cirrus observed in the vicinity of the tropopause level. Monthly cirrus occurrences fluctuate irregularly, whereas seasonal patterns peak in spring. Concerning the mechanism of the formation, it is found that the majority of cirrus clouds are of in situ origin. The liquid-origin cirrus category consists nearly entirely of thick cirrus. Overall results suggest that in situ origin thin cirrus, located in the upper tropospheric and tropopause regions, have the most noteworthy occurrence over the site. Full article