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Search Results (1,899)

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Keywords = transport demand model

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14 pages, 359 KiB  
Article
Determinants of High-Speed Train Demand: Insights from the Jakarta—Bandung Corridor in Indonesia
by Mohammed Ali Berawi, Samidjan Samidjan, Perdana Miraj, Andyka Kusuma and Mustika Sari
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 308; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080308 - 7 Aug 2025
Abstract
For the last few decades, the use of High-Speed Trains (HSTs) has been growing rapidly in various parts of the world. Despite rapid global expansion, many HST projects fail due to demand overestimation and cost overruns. This study analyzes factors influencing HST demand [...] Read more.
For the last few decades, the use of High-Speed Trains (HSTs) has been growing rapidly in various parts of the world. Despite rapid global expansion, many HST projects fail due to demand overestimation and cost overruns. This study analyzes factors influencing HST demand in Indonesia, aiming to identify impactful determinants from user perspectives. Employing a quantitative cross-sectional approach, this research utilized questionnaires distributed to users of different modes of transportation in the Jakarta–Bandung area, including trains, buses, travel services, and private cars. Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) via Lisrel software was used to analyze the data. The results indicate that Transit-Oriented Developments (TOD) and new urban areas significantly increase HST demand by facilitating urban growth and development. Additionally, supporting infrastructure and external factors such as road accessibility, parking availability, shuttle services, and environmental integration are pivotal in shaping commuter preferences. Although factors such as safety, comfort, and reliability are important, they alone may not be adequate to persuade consumers to use high-speed trains for their travel. Full article
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20 pages, 6776 KiB  
Article
Computational Approaches to Assess Flow Rate Efficiency During In Situ Recovery of Uranium: From Reactive Transport to Streamline- and Trajectory-Based Methods
by Maksat Kurmanseiit, Nurlan Shayakhmetov, Daniar Aizhulov, Banu Abdullayeva and Madina Tungatarova
Minerals 2025, 15(8), 835; https://doi.org/10.3390/min15080835 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study presents a comprehensive computational analysis of flow rate efficiency during uranium extraction via the In Situ Recovery method. Using field data from a deposit located in Southern Kazakhstan, a series of mathematical models were developed to evaluate the distribution and balance [...] Read more.
This study presents a comprehensive computational analysis of flow rate efficiency during uranium extraction via the In Situ Recovery method. Using field data from a deposit located in Southern Kazakhstan, a series of mathematical models were developed to evaluate the distribution and balance of leaching solution. A reactive transport model incorporating uranium dissolution kinetics and acid–rock interactions were utilized to assess the accuracy of both traditional and proposed methods. The results reveal a significant spatial imbalance in sulfuric acid distribution, with up to 239.1 tons of acid migrating beyond the block boundaries. To reduce computational demands while maintaining predictive accuracy, two alternative methods, a streamline-based and a trajectory-based approach were proposed and verified. The streamline method showed close agreement with reactive transport modeling and was able to effectively identify the presence of intra-block reagent imbalance. The trajectory-based method provided detailed insight into flow dynamics but tended to overestimate acid overflow outside the block. Both alternative methods outperformed the conventional approach in terms of accuracy by accounting for geological heterogeneity and well spacing. The proposed methods have significantly lower computational costs, as they do not require solving complex systems of partial differential equations involved in reactive transport simulations. The proposed approaches can be used to analyze the efficiency of mineral In Situ Recovery at both the design and operational stages, as well as to determine optimal production regimes for reducing economic expenditures in a timely manner. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mineral Processing and Extractive Metallurgy)
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21 pages, 4968 KiB  
Article
EQResNet: Real-Time Simulation and Resilience Assessment of Post-Earthquake Emergency Highway Transportation Networks
by Zhenliang Liu and Chuxuan Guo
Computation 2025, 13(8), 188; https://doi.org/10.3390/computation13080188 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Multiple uncertainties in traffic demand fluctuations and infrastructure vulnerability during seismic events pose significant challenges for the resilience assessment of highway transportation networks (HTNs). While Monte Carlo simulation remains the dominant approach for uncertainty propagation, its high computational cost limits its scalability, particularly [...] Read more.
Multiple uncertainties in traffic demand fluctuations and infrastructure vulnerability during seismic events pose significant challenges for the resilience assessment of highway transportation networks (HTNs). While Monte Carlo simulation remains the dominant approach for uncertainty propagation, its high computational cost limits its scalability, particularly in metropolitan-scale networks. This study proposes an EQResNet framework for accelerated post-earthquake resilience assessment of HTNs. The model integrates network topology, interregional traffic demand, and roadway characteristics into a streamlined deep neural network architecture. A comprehensive surrogate modeling strategy is developed to replace conventional traffic simulation modules, including highway status realization, shortest path computation, and traffic flow assignment. Combined with seismic fragility models and recovery functions for regional bridges, the framework captures the dynamic evolution of HTN functionality following seismic events. A multi-dimensional resilience evaluation system is also established to quantify network performance from emergency response and recovery perspectives. A case study on the Sioux Falls network under probabilistic earthquake scenarios demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method, achieving 95% prediction accuracy while reducing computational time by 90% compared to traditional numerical simulations. The results highlight the framework’s potential as a scalable, efficient, and reliable tool for large-scale post-disaster transportation system analysis. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Computational Engineering)
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10 pages, 1346 KiB  
Article
Scintillation Properties of CsPbBr3 Quantum Dot Film-Enhanced Ga:ZnO Wafer and Its Applications
by Shiyi He, Silong Zhang, Liang Chen, Yang Li, Fangbao Wang, Nan Zhang, Naizhe Zhao and Xiaoping Ouyang
Materials 2025, 18(15), 3691; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18153691 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
In high energy density physics, the demand for precise detection of nanosecond-level fast physical processes is high. Ga:ZnO (GZO), GaN, and other fast scintillators are widely used in pulsed signal detection. However, many of them, especially wide-bandgap materials, still face issues of low [...] Read more.
In high energy density physics, the demand for precise detection of nanosecond-level fast physical processes is high. Ga:ZnO (GZO), GaN, and other fast scintillators are widely used in pulsed signal detection. However, many of them, especially wide-bandgap materials, still face issues of low luminous intensity and significant self-absorption. Therefore, an enhanced method was proposed to tune the wavelength of materials via coating perovskite quantum dot (QD) films. Three-layer samples based on GZO were primarily investigated and characterized. Radioluminescence (RL) spectra from each face of the samples, as well as their decay times, were obtained. Lower temperatures further enhanced the luminous intensity of the samples. Its overall luminous intensity increased by 2.7 times at 60 K compared to room temperature. The changes in the RL processes caused by perovskite QD and low temperatures were discussed using the light tuning and transporting model. In addition, an experiment under a pico-second electron beam was conducted to verify their pulse response and decay time. Accordingly, the samples were successfully applied in beam state monitoring of nanosecond pulsed proton beams, which indicates that GZO wafer coating with perovskite QD films has broad application prospects in pulsed radiation detection. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Quantum Materials)
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16 pages, 825 KiB  
Article
Geographic Scale Matters in Analyzing the Effects of the Built Environment on Choice of Travel Modes: A Case Study of Grocery Shopping Trips in Salt Lake County, USA
by Ensheng Dong, Felix Haifeng Liao and Hejun Kang
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 307; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080307 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Compared to commuting, grocery shopping trips, despite their profound implications for mixed land use and transportation planning, have received limited attention in travel behavior research. Drawing upon a travel diary survey conducted in a fast-growing metropolitan region of the United States, i.e., Salt [...] Read more.
Compared to commuting, grocery shopping trips, despite their profound implications for mixed land use and transportation planning, have received limited attention in travel behavior research. Drawing upon a travel diary survey conducted in a fast-growing metropolitan region of the United States, i.e., Salt Lake County, UT, this research investigated a variety of influential factors affecting mode choices associated with grocery shopping. We analyze how built environment (BE) characteristics, measured at seven spatial scales or different ways of aggregating spatial data—including straight-line buffers, network buffers, and census units—affect travel mode decisions. Key predictors of choosing walking, biking, or transit over driving include age, household size, vehicle ownership, income, land use mix, street density, and distance to the central business district (CBD). Notably, the influence of BE factors on mode choice is sensitive to different spatial aggregation methods and locations of origins and destinations. The straight-line buffer was a good indicator for the influence of store sales amount on mode choices; the network buffer was more suitable for the household built environment factors, whereas the measurement at the census block and block group levels was more effective for store-area characteristics. These findings underscore the importance of considering both the spatial analysis method and the location (home vs. store) when modeling non-work travel. A multi-scalar approach can enhance the accuracy of travel demand models and inform more effective land use and transportation planning strategies. Full article
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20 pages, 2225 KiB  
Article
Network Saturation: Key Indicator for Profitability and Sensitivity Analyses of PRT and GRT Systems
by Joerg Schweizer, Giacomo Bernieri and Federico Rupi
Future Transp. 2025, 5(3), 104; https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp5030104 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 168
Abstract
Personal Rapid Transit (PRT) and Group Rapid Transit (GRT) are classes of fully automated public transport systems, where passengers can travel in small vehicles on an interconnected, grade-separated network of guideways, non-stop, from origin to destination. PRT and GRT are considered sustainable as [...] Read more.
Personal Rapid Transit (PRT) and Group Rapid Transit (GRT) are classes of fully automated public transport systems, where passengers can travel in small vehicles on an interconnected, grade-separated network of guideways, non-stop, from origin to destination. PRT and GRT are considered sustainable as they are low-emission and able to attract car drivers. The parameterized cost modeling framework developed in this paper has the advantage that profitability of different PRT/GRT systems can be rapidly verified in a transparent way and in function of a variety of relevant system parameters. This framework may contribute to a more transparent, rapid, and low-cost evaluation of PRT/GRT schemes for planning and decision-making purposes. The main innovation is the introduction of the “peak hour network saturation” S: the number of vehicles in circulation during peak hour divided by the maximum number of vehicles running at line speed with minimum time headways. It is an index that aggregates the main uncertainties in the planning process, namely the demand level relative to the supply level. Furthermore, a maximum S can be estimated for a PRT/GRT project, even without a detailed demand estimation. The profit per trip is analytically derived based on S and a series of more certain parameters, such as fares, capital and maintenance costs, daily demand curve, empty vehicle share, and physical properties of the system. To demonstrate the ability of the framework to analyze profitability in function of various parameters, we apply the methods to a single vehicle PRT, a platooned PRT, and a mixed PRT/GRT. The results show that PRT services with trip length proportional fares could be profitable already for S>0.25. The PRT capacity, profitability, and robustness to tripled infrastructure costs can be increased by vehicle platooning or GRT service during peak hours. Full article
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38 pages, 2159 KiB  
Review
Leveraging Big Data and AI for Sustainable Urban Mobility Solutions
by Oluwaleke Yusuf, Adil Rasheed and Frank Lindseth
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 301; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080301 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 202
Abstract
Urban population growth is intensifying pressure on mobility systems, with road transportation contributing to environmental and sustainability challenges. Policymakers must navigate complex uncertainties in addressing rising mobility demand while pursuing sustainability goals. Advanced technologies offer promise, but their real-world effectiveness in urban contexts [...] Read more.
Urban population growth is intensifying pressure on mobility systems, with road transportation contributing to environmental and sustainability challenges. Policymakers must navigate complex uncertainties in addressing rising mobility demand while pursuing sustainability goals. Advanced technologies offer promise, but their real-world effectiveness in urban contexts remains underexplored. This meta-review comprised three complementary studies: a broad analysis of sustainable mobility with Norwegian case studies, and systematic literature reviews on digital twins and Big Data/AI applications in urban mobility, covering the period of 2019–2024. Using structured criteria, we synthesised findings from 72 relevant articles to identify major trends, limitations, and opportunities. The findings show that mobility policies often prioritise technocentric solutions that unintentionally hinder sustainability goals. Digital twins show potential for traffic simulation, urban planning, and public engagement, while machine learning techniques support traffic forecasting and multimodal integration. However, persistent challenges include data interoperability, model validation, and insufficient stakeholder engagement. We identify a hierarchy of mobility modes where public transit and active mobility outperform private vehicles in sustainability and user satisfaction. Integrating electrification and automation and sharing models with data-informed governance can enhance urban liveability. We propose actionable pathways leveraging Big Data and AI, outlining the roles of various stakeholders in advancing sustainable urban mobility futures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Urbanization, Regional Planning and Development)
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20 pages, 9591 KiB  
Article
A Channel Centerline-Based Method for Modeling Turbidity Currents Morphodynamics: Case Study of the Baco–Malaylay Submarine Canyon System
by Alessandro Frascati, Michele Bolla Pittaluga, Octavio E. Sequeiros, Carlos Pirmez and Alessandro Cantelli
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1495; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081495 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 193
Abstract
Turbidity currents pose significant threats to offshore seabed infrastructures, including subsea hydrocarbon production facilities and submarine communication cables. These powerful underwater flows can damage pipelines, potentially causing hydrocarbon spills that endanger local communities, the environment, and negatively impact energy production infrastructures. Therefore, a [...] Read more.
Turbidity currents pose significant threats to offshore seabed infrastructures, including subsea hydrocarbon production facilities and submarine communication cables. These powerful underwater flows can damage pipelines, potentially causing hydrocarbon spills that endanger local communities, the environment, and negatively impact energy production infrastructures. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of the spatio-temporal development and destructive force of turbidity currents is essential. While numerical computation of 3D flow, sediment transport, and substrate exchange is possible, field-scale simulations are computationally intensive. In this study, we develop a simplified morphodynamic approach to model the flow properties of channelized turbidity currents and the associated trends of sediment accretion and erosion. This model is applied to the Baco–Malaylay submarine system to investigate the dynamics of a significant turbidity current event that impacted a submarine pipeline offshore the Philippines. The modeling results align with available seabed assessments and observed erosion trends of the protective rock berm. Our simplified modeling approach shows good agreement with simulations from a fully 3D numerical model, demonstrating its effectiveness in providing valuable insights while reducing computational demands. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Marine Geohazards: Characterization to Prediction)
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27 pages, 2929 KiB  
Article
Comparative Performance Analysis of Gene Expression Programming and Linear Regression Models for IRI-Based Pavement Condition Index Prediction
by Mostafa M. Radwan, Majid Faissal Jassim, Samir A. B. Al-Jassim, Mahmoud M. Elnahla and Yasser A. S. Gamal
Eng 2025, 6(8), 183; https://doi.org/10.3390/eng6080183 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 219
Abstract
Traditional Pavement Condition Index (PCI) assessments are highly resource-intensive, demanding substantial time and labor while generating significant carbon emissions through extensive field operations. To address these sustainability challenges, this research presents an innovative methodology utilizing Gene Expression Programming (GEP) to determine PCI values [...] Read more.
Traditional Pavement Condition Index (PCI) assessments are highly resource-intensive, demanding substantial time and labor while generating significant carbon emissions through extensive field operations. To address these sustainability challenges, this research presents an innovative methodology utilizing Gene Expression Programming (GEP) to determine PCI values based on International Roughness Index (IRI) measurements from Iraqi road networks, offering an environmentally conscious and resource-efficient approach to pavement management. The study incorporated 401 samples of IRI and PCI data through comprehensive visual inspection procedures. The developed GEP model exhibited exceptional predictive performance, with coefficient of determination (R2) values achieving 0.821 for training, 0.858 for validation, and 0.8233 overall, successfully accounting for approximately 82–85% of PCI variance. Prediction accuracy remained robust with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) values of 12–13 units and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values of 11.209 and 11.00 for training and validation sets, respectively. The lower validation RMSE suggests effective generalization without overfitting. Strong correlations between predicted and measured values exceeded 0.90, with acceptable relative absolute error values ranging from 0.403 to 0.387, confirming model effectiveness. Comparative analysis reveals GEP outperforms alternative regression methods in generalization capacity, particularly in real-world applications. This sustainable methodology represents a cost-effective alternative to conventional PCI evaluation, significantly reducing environmental impact through decreased field operations, lower fuel consumption, and minimized traffic disruption. By streamlining pavement management while maintaining assessment reliability and accuracy, this approach supports environmentally responsible transportation systems and aligns contemporary sustainability goals in infrastructure management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Chemical, Civil and Environmental Engineering)
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18 pages, 2835 KiB  
Article
Numerical Modeling of Gentamicin Transport in Agricultural Soils: Implications for Environmental Pollution
by Nami Morales-Durán, Sebastián Fuentes, Jesús García-Gallego, José Treviño-Reséndez, Josué D. García-Espinoza, Rubén Morones-Ramírez and Carlos Chávez
Antibiotics 2025, 14(8), 786; https://doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics14080786 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 394
Abstract
Background/Objectives: In recent years, the discharge of antibiotics into rivers and irrigation canals has increased. However, few studies have addressed the impact of these compounds on agricultural fields that use such water to meet crop demands. Methods: In this study, the transport of [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: In recent years, the discharge of antibiotics into rivers and irrigation canals has increased. However, few studies have addressed the impact of these compounds on agricultural fields that use such water to meet crop demands. Methods: In this study, the transport of two types of gentamicin (pure gentamicin and gentamicin sulfate) was modeled at concentrations of 150 and 300 μL/L, respectively, in a soil with more than 60 years of agricultural use. Infiltration tests under constant head conditions and gentamicin transport experiments were conducted in acrylic columns measuring 14 cm in length and 12.7 cm in diameter. The scaling parameters for the Richards equation were obtained from experimental data, while those for the advection–dispersion equation were estimated using inverse methods through a nonlinear optimization algorithm. In addition, a fractal-based model for saturated hydraulic conductivity was employed. Results: It was found that the dispersivity of gentamicin sulfate is 3.1 times higher than that of pure gentamicin. Based on the estimated parameters, two simulation scenarios were conducted: continuous application of gentamicin and soil flushing after antibiotic discharge. The results show that the transport velocity of gentamicin sulfate in the soil may have short-term consequences for the emergence of resistant microorganisms due to the destination of wastewater containing antibiotic residues. Conclusions: Finally, further research is needed to evaluate the impact of antibiotics on soil physical properties, as well as their effects on irrigated crops, animals that consume such water, and the soil microbiota. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Impact of Antibiotic Residues in Wastewater)
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31 pages, 1698 KiB  
Article
Green Energy Fuelling Stations in Road Transport: Poland in the European and Global Context
by Tomasz Neumann
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4110; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154110 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 168
Abstract
The transition to green energy in the transport sector is becoming a priority in the context of global climate challenges and the European Green Deal. This paper investigates the development of alternative fuelling stations, particularly electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure and hydrogen stations, [...] Read more.
The transition to green energy in the transport sector is becoming a priority in the context of global climate challenges and the European Green Deal. This paper investigates the development of alternative fuelling stations, particularly electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure and hydrogen stations, across EU countries with a focus on Poland. It combines a policy and technology overview with a quantitative scientific analysis, offering a multidimensional perspective on green infrastructure deployment. A Pearson correlation analysis reveals significant links between charging station density and both GDP per capita and the share of renewable energy. The study introduces an original Infrastructure Accessibility Index (IAI) to compare infrastructure availability across EU member states and models Poland’s EV charging station demand up to 2030 under multiple growth scenarios. Furthermore, the article provides a comprehensive overview of biofuels, including first-, second-, and third-generation technologies, and highlights recent advances in hydrogen and renewable electricity integration. Emphasis is placed on life cycle considerations, energy source sustainability, and economic implications. The findings support policy development toward zero-emission mobility and the decarbonisation of transport systems, offering recommendations for infrastructure expansion and energy diversification strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section B: Energy and Environment)
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44 pages, 2693 KiB  
Article
Managing Surcharge Risk in Strategic Fleet Deployment: A Partial Relaxed MIP Model Framework with a Case Study on China-Built Ships
by Yanmeng Tao, Ying Yang and Shuaian Wang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8582; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158582 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 172
Abstract
Container liner shipping companies operate within a complex environment where they must balance profitability and service reliability. Meanwhile, evolving regulatory policies, such as surcharges imposed on ships of a particular origin or type on specific trade lanes, introduce new operational challenges. This study [...] Read more.
Container liner shipping companies operate within a complex environment where they must balance profitability and service reliability. Meanwhile, evolving regulatory policies, such as surcharges imposed on ships of a particular origin or type on specific trade lanes, introduce new operational challenges. This study addresses the heterogeneous ship routing and demand acceptance problem, aiming to maximize two conflicting objectives: weekly profit and total transport volume. We formulate the problem as a bi-objective mixed-integer programming model and prove that the ship chartering constraint matrix is totally unimodular, enabling the reformulation of the model into a partially relaxed MIP that preserves optimality while improving computational efficiency. We further analyze key mathematical properties showing that the Pareto frontier consists of a finite union of continuous, piecewise linear segments but is generally non-convex with discontinuities. A case study based on a realistic liner shipping network confirms the model’s effectiveness in capturing the trade-off between profit and transport volume. Sensitivity analyses show that increasing freight rates enables higher profits without large losses in volume. Notably, this paper provides a practical risk management framework for shipping companies to enhance their adaptability under shifting regulatory landscapes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk and Safety of Maritime Transportation)
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19 pages, 1160 KiB  
Article
Multi-User Satisfaction-Driven Bi-Level Optimization of Electric Vehicle Charging Strategies
by Boyin Chen, Jiangjiao Xu and Dongdong Li
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4097; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154097 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 216
Abstract
The accelerating integration of electric vehicles (EVs) into contemporary transportation infrastructure has underscored significant limitations in traditional charging paradigms, particularly in accommodating heterogeneous user requirements within dynamic operational environments. This study presents a differentiated optimization framework for EV charging strategies through the systematic [...] Read more.
The accelerating integration of electric vehicles (EVs) into contemporary transportation infrastructure has underscored significant limitations in traditional charging paradigms, particularly in accommodating heterogeneous user requirements within dynamic operational environments. This study presents a differentiated optimization framework for EV charging strategies through the systematic classification of user types. A multidimensional decision-making environment is established for three representative user categories—residential, commercial, and industrial—by synthesizing time-variant electricity pricing models with dynamic carbon emission pricing mechanisms. A bi-level optimization architecture is subsequently formulated, leveraging deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to capture user-specific demand characteristics through customized reward functions and adaptive constraint structures. Validation is conducted within a high-fidelity simulation environment featuring 90 autonomous EV charging agents operating in a metropolitan parking facility. Empirical results indicate that the proposed typology-driven approach yields a 32.6% average cost reduction across user groups relative to baseline charging protocols, with statistically significant improvements in expenditure optimization (p < 0.01). Further interpretability analysis employing gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-CAM) demonstrates that the model’s attention mechanisms are well aligned with theoretically anticipated demand prioritization patterns across the distinct user types, thereby confirming the decision-theoretic soundness of the framework. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section E: Electric Vehicles)
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26 pages, 2081 KiB  
Article
Tariff-Sensitive Global Supply Chains: Semi-Markov Decision Approach with Reinforcement Learning
by Duygu Yilmaz Eroglu
Systems 2025, 13(8), 645; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13080645 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 204
Abstract
Global supply chains often face uncertainties in production lead times, fluctuating exchange rates, and varying tariff regulations, all of which can significantly impact total profit. To address these challenges, this study formulates a multi-country supply chain problem as a Semi-Markov Decision Process (SMDP), [...] Read more.
Global supply chains often face uncertainties in production lead times, fluctuating exchange rates, and varying tariff regulations, all of which can significantly impact total profit. To address these challenges, this study formulates a multi-country supply chain problem as a Semi-Markov Decision Process (SMDP), integrating both currency variability and tariff levels. Using a Q-learning-based method (SMART), we explore three scenarios: (1) wide currency gaps under a uniform tariff, (2) narrowed currency gaps encouraging more local sourcing, and (3) distinct tariff structures that highlight how varying duties can reshape global fulfillment decisions. Beyond these baselines we analyze uncertainty-extended variants and targeted sensitivities (quantity discounts, tariff escalation, and the joint influence of inventory holding costs and tariff costs). Simulation results, accompanied by policy heatmaps and performance metrics, illustrate how small or large shifts in exchange rates and tariffs can alter sourcing strategies, transportation modes, and inventory management. A Deep Q-Network (DQN) is also applied to validate the Q-learning policy, demonstrating alignment with a more advanced neural model for moderate-scale problems. These findings underscore the adaptability of reinforcement learning in guiding practitioners and policymakers, especially under rapidly changing trade environments where exchange rate volatility and incremental tariff changes demand robust, data-driven decision-making. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modelling and Simulation of Transportation Systems)
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17 pages, 26388 KiB  
Article
City-Level Road Traffic CO2 Emission Modeling with a Spatial Random Forest Method
by Hansheng Jin, Dongyu Wu and Yingheng Zhang
Systems 2025, 13(8), 632; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13080632 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 284
Abstract
In the era of “carbon dioxide peaking and carbon neutrality”, low-carbon development of road traffic and transportation has now become a rigid demand in China. Considering the fact that socioeconomic and demographic characteristics vary significantly across Chinese cities, proper city-level transportation development strategies [...] Read more.
In the era of “carbon dioxide peaking and carbon neutrality”, low-carbon development of road traffic and transportation has now become a rigid demand in China. Considering the fact that socioeconomic and demographic characteristics vary significantly across Chinese cities, proper city-level transportation development strategies should be established. Using detailed data from cities at prefecture level and above in China, this study investigates the spatially heterogeneous effects of various factors on road traffic CO2 emissions. Another theoretical issue is concerned with the analytic method for zonal CO2 emission modeling. We combine the concepts of geographically weighted regression (GWR) and machine learning for nonparametric regression, proposing a modified random forest (RF) algorithm, named “geographically weighted random forest” (GWRF). Our empirical analysis indicates that, when an appropriate weight parameter is applied, GWRF is able to achieve significantly superior performance compared to both the traditional RF and GWR methods. Moreover, the influences of various explanatory variables on CO2 emissions differ across cities. These findings suggest that low-carbon transportation strategies should be customized to reflect regional heterogeneity, rather than relying on a unified national policy. Full article
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