Search Results (278)

Hangzhou Bay (HZB) has become a hot spot in hydro-morphodynamic research due to human impacts and natural influences, as well as the substantial quantities of water discharge and sediment load of the Yangtze River and Qiantang River. Although many previous studies have analyzed the spatial–temporal variations in suspended particulate matter (TSM) from in situ and satellite observations, the long-term changes in suspended sediment dynamics remain unclear. In this study, we quantified the long-term variation in TSM load using MODIS/Aqua data during 2003–2024. The TSM products in the HZB displayed a decreasing trend from 2003 to 2024 (k = −1.90 mg/L/year, p < 0.05), which may be attributed to decreased sediment discharge from the Yangtze River. The spatial variation in TSM provided quantitative results for HZB, with a substantially increasing trend in the southern shallow areas and a decreasing trend in the northern deep troughs and central bay. The interannual variations in TSM in winter displayed a positive correlation with the sediment load from the Yangtze River (R = 0.640 for the data during 2014–2022) and with wind speed (R = 0.676 for the data during 2009–2021). The TSM of HZB was partly affected by the combined impacts of human activities and climate change. A distinct difference in TSM concentrations on both sides of the Hangzhou Bay Bridge was observed, with higher TSM on the western side than on the eastern side for most of the year during 2003–2024. A decline in TSM was observed near Yushan Island from 2003 to 2024, attributed to large-scale land reclamation and associated alterations in tide-dominated areas. This study provides valuable insights into the long-term changes in suspended sediment and water quality in HZB, which is crucial for managing water resources, creating effective water strategies, predicting future needs, and ensuring sustainable water management. Full article

In the context of global climate change and accelerated urbanization, coastal cities face severe threats from storm surges, and accurately predicting coastal water level changes during storm surges has become a core technological demand for disaster prevention and reduction. Storm surges are caused by atmospheric pressure and wind conditions, and their destructive power is closely related to the morphology of the coastline. Traditional tide level prediction models often face difficulties in boundary condition parameterization. Tide level changes result from the combined effect of various complex processes. In past prediction studies, harmonic analysis and numerical simulations have dominated, each with their own limitations. Although machine learning applications in tide prediction have garnered attention, issues such as data inconsistency or missing data still exist. The physical–data fusion approach aims to overcome the limitations of single methods but still faces some challenges. This paper proposes a Deep-Numerical-Reinforcement learning fusion prediction model (DNR), which adopts ensemble learning. First, deep learning models and the numerical model Finite-Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) are used to predict tide levels at different tide stations, and then a fusion approach based on the improved reinforcement learning model DDPG_dual is applied for model assimilation. This reinforcement learning fusion model includes a module specifically designed to handle tide extreme points. In the case of the Typhoon Mangkhut storm surge, the DNR model achieved the best results for tide level predictions at six tide stations in the South China Sea. Full article

Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of coastal intertidal meta-ecosystems in response to sea-level rise (SLR) is essential for understanding the interactions between terrestrial and aquatic meta-ecosystems. However, given that annual SLR changes are typically measured in millimeters, ecosystems may take decades to exhibit noticeable shifts. As a result, the extent of lateral responses at a single point is constrained by the fragmented temporal and spatial scales. We integrated the tidal inundation gradient of a coastal meta-ecosystem—comprising a high-elevation flat (H), low-elevation flat (L), and mudflat—to quantify the potential application of inferring the spatiotemporal impact of environmental features, using China’s Yangtze Estuary, which is one of the largest and most dynamic estuaries in the world. We employed both flood ratio data and tidal elevation modeling, underscoring the utility of spatial modeling of the role of SLR. Our results show that along the tidal inundation gradient, SLR alters hydrological dynamics, leading to environmental changes such as reduced aboveground biomass, increased plant diversity, decreased total soil, carbon, and nitrogen, and a lower leaf area index (LAI). Furthermore, composite indices combining the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) and the land surface water index (LSWI) were used to characterize the rapid responses of vegetation and soil between sites to predict future ecosystem shifts in environmental properties over time due to SLR. To effectively capture both vegetation characteristics and the soil surface water content, we propose the use of the ratio and difference between the EVI and LSWI as a composite indicator (ELR), which effectively reflects vegetation responses to SLR, with high-elevation sites driven by tides and high ELRs. The EVI-LSWI difference (ELD) was also found to be effective for detecting flood dynamics and vegetation along the tidal inundation gradient. Our findings offer a heuristic scenario of the response of coastal intertidal meta-ecosystems in the Yangtze Estuary to SLR and provide valuable insights for conservation strategies in the context of climate change. Full article

F_TIDE has been proven to be effective in obtaining the time-varying harmonic parameters of nonstationary tidal signals, and the results near the two endpoints of the analyzed time series are more accurate than those obtained by S_TIDE, which provides good conditions for the prediction of future sea levels. In this paper, F_TIDE is used for the short-term prediction of nonstationary tides in Nome (Alaska) and South Beach (Oregon). The significance of each standard parameter of F_TIDE is quantified by calculating its signal-to-noise ratio to determine the appropriate parameters that can be used for prediction. F_TIDE performs well in forecasting the sea level for three weeks at the Nome gauge and one week at the South Beach gauge. F_TIDE causes 30.1% and 42.0% decreases in the mean absolute errors between the forecasts and the observations compared to T_TIDE. F_TIDE is applied to the original signal at the Nome gauge, and the results show a strong correlation between the variation in M₂ amplitude and the variation in the mean sea level. A potential mechanism is speculated in that changes in tides are affected by the changes in water depth on different time scales, which the sea level pressure, wind, sea ice, and other marine motions may contribute to. Full article

Wetlands are an important part of coastal ecosystems but are under increasing pressure from climate change-induced sea-level rise and flooding, in addition to development pressures associated with increasing human populations. The change in tidal events and their intensity due to sea-level rise is also reshaping and challenging the vitality of existing wetland systems, requiring more intensive localized studies to identify future-focused restoration and conservation strategies. To support this endeavor, this study utilizes tide gauge datasets from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) for maximum sea-level (Hmax) prediction and Landsat Collection surface reflectance datasets obtained from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) database to detect and project patterns of change in the Maroochy River floodplain of Queensland, Australia. This study developed an efficient hybrid deep learning model combining a Convolutional Neural Network and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (CNNBiLSTM) architecture for the prediction of maximum sea-level and tidal events. The proposed model significantly outperformed three benchmark models (Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and CatBoost) in achieving a high correlation coefficient (r = 0.9748) for maximum sea-level prediction. To further address the increasing frequency and intensity of tidal events linked to sea-level rise, a CNNBiLSTM classification model was also developed, achieving 96.72% accuracy in predicting extreme tidal occurrences. This study identified a significant positive linear increase in sea-level rise of 0.016 m/year between 2014 and 2024. Wetland change detection using Landsat imagery along the Maroochy River floodplain also identified a substantial vegetation loss of 395.64 hectares from 2009 to 2023. These findings highlight the strong potential of integrating deep learning and remote sensing for improved prediction and assessment of sea-level extremes and coastal ecosystem changes. The study outcomes provide valuable insights for informing not only conservation and restoration activities but also for providing localized projections of future change necessary for the progression of effective climate adaptation and mitigation strategies. Full article

RNA-binding proteins (RBPs), particularly IGF2BP3, play critical but underexplored roles in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). This study investigated IGF2BP3′s clinical and functional significance using single-cell/RNA sequencing, validated by qPCR, Western blot, and immunohistochemistry. The results show IGF2BP3 was significantly upregulated in LUAD tissues and associated with advanced-stage, larger tumors, lymph node metastasis, and poor prognosis. A prognostic nomogram confirmed its independent predictive value. Functionally, IGF2BP3 knockdown suppressed proliferation, and induced G2/M arrest and apoptosis. GSEA linked high IGF2BP3 to cell cycle activation and low expression to metabolic pathways. Notably, high IGF2BP3 correlated with immune evasion markers (downregulated CD4+ effector T cells, upregulated Th2 cells), while TIDE analysis suggested a better immunotherapy response in low-expressing patients. Drug screening identified BI-2536 as a potential therapy for low-IGF2BP3 cases, supported by strong molecular docking affinity (−7.55 kcal/mol). These findings establish IGF2BP3 as a key driver of LUAD progression and a promising target for immunotherapy and precision medicine. Full article

Halifax Harbour, a major seaport in Nova Scotia that is approximately 100 km southeast of the Bay of Fundy, comprises a deep inner region called Bedford Basin, connected to the adjacent ocean by a shallow channel called The Narrows. A study of sea level and currents reveals the presence of episodic oscillations in The Narrows, with a period of approximately 2 h. The oscillation strength varies from day to day and, to some extent, through the seasons. The median amplitude of the associated sea level variation is $18\%$ that of the de-tided signal, rising to $32\%$ at the 95-th percentile. Values this large may be of concern for the transit of deep-draft vessels through shallow parts of the harbour and for the clearance of tall vessels under the two bridges that span The Narrows. Another concerning issue is the matter of oscillations being superimposed on storm surges. In addition to such direct effects of sea level variation, shear associated with the oscillations may increase the turbulent mixing in the region, affecting the overall state of this estuarine system. We explore the nature of the oscillations as a first step towards the improvement of prediction schemes for sea level and currents in the region. This involves an analysis of the oscillations in the context of seiche and Helmholtz resonance theories and the use of a 2D numerical model to handle realistic bathymetric conditions and other complications that the simpler theories cannot address. We conclude that the predictions of Helmholtz resonance theory are in reasonable agreement with both the observations and the predictions of the numerical model. Full article

To explore a more accurate prediction method for subgrade settlement induced by underpass construction, this study takes the existing railway project of Ningbo Yuanyi Road underpass as a case to construct a subgrade settlement prediction model based on the Mamba neural network. Using monitoring data collected using on-site automated monitoring robots as the data foundation, the prediction results of the improved transformer, long short-term memory (LSTM), time-series dense encoder (Tide), and decomposition-linear (Dlinear) neural networks are compared. The research results show that the Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of the proposed Bi-Mamba model are 0.279 and 0.276, respectively, demonstrating higher prediction accuracy than comparative models such as iTransformer and LSTM. Additionally, ablation experiments verify that the attention gating module in the model reduces the MSE by 9.1%, serving as a key component for improving accuracy. This study provides an advanced data-driven prediction method for subgrade settlement forecasting, offering technical references for similar engineering projects. Full article

The Upper Carboniferous strata in the eastern Qaidam Basin, comprising several hundred meters of thick, mixed clastic–carbonate successions that have been little reported or explained, provide an excellent geological record of paleoenvironmental and paleo-sea level changes during the Late Carboniferous icehouse period. This tropical carbonate–clastic system offers critical constraints for correlating equatorial sea level responses with high-latitude glacial cycles during the Late Paleozoic Ice Age. Based on detailed outcrop observations and interpretations, five facies assemblages, including fluvial channel, tide-dominated estuary, wave-dominated shoreface, tide-influenced delta, and carbonate-dominated marine, have been identified and organized into cyclical stacking patterns. Correspondingly, four third-order sequences were recognized, each composed of lowstand, transgressive, and highstand system tracts (LST, TST, and HST). LST is generally dominated by fluvial channels as a result of river juvenation when the sea level falls. The TST is characterized by tide-dominated estuaries, followed by retrogradational, carbonated-dominated marine deposits formed during a period of sea level rise. The HST is dominated by aggradational marine deposits, wave-dominated shoreface environments, or tide-influenced deltas, caused by subsequent sea level falls and increased debris supply. The sequence stratigraphic evolution and geochemical records, based on carbon and oxygen isotopes and trace elements, suggest that during the Late Carboniferous period, the eastern Qaidam Basin experienced at least four significant sea level fluctuation events, and an overall long-term sea level rise. These were primarily driven by the Gondwana glacio-eustasy and regionally ascribed to the Paleo-Tethys Ocean expansion induced by the late Hercynian movement. Assessing the history of glacio-eustasy-driven sea level changes in the eastern Qaidam Basin is useful for predicting the distribution and evolution of mixed cyclic succession in and around the Tibetan Plateau. Full article

Accurate short-term wave forecasting is critical for the safe and efficient operation of marine structures that rely on real-time, phase-resolved ocean wave information for control and monitoring purposes (e.g., digital twins). These systems often depend on environmental sensors (e.g., waverider buoys, wave-sensing LIDAR). Challenges arise when upstream sensor data are missing, sparse, or phase-shifted due to drift. This study investigates the performance of two machine learning models, time-series dense encoder (TiDE) and long short-term memory (LSTM), for forecasting phase-resolved ocean surface elevations under varying degrees of data degradation. We introduce the $\tau$-trimming algorithm, which adapts the prediction horizon based on uncertainty thresholds derived from historical forecasts. Numerical wave tank (NWT) and wave basin experiments are used to benchmark model performance under short- and long-term data masking, spatially coarse sensor grids, and upstream phase shifts. Results show under a 50% probability of upstream data loss, the $\tau$-trimmed TiDE model achieves a 46% reduction in error at the most upstream target, compared to 22% for LSTM. Furthermore, phase misalignment in upstream data introduces a near-linear increase in forecast error. Under moderate model settings, a ±3 s misalignment increases the mean absolute error by approximately 0.5 m, while the same error is accumulated at ±4 s using the more conservative approach. These findings inform the design of resilient, uncertainty-aware wave forecasting systems suited for realistic offshore sensing environments. Full article

Sea level rise due to climate change poses an increasing threat to coastal ecosystems, infrastructure, and human settlements. However, accurately estimating sea level changes in regions without tide gauge observations remains a major challenge. While satellite altimetry provides wide spatial coverage, its accuracy diminishes near coastlines. In contrast, tide gauges offer high precision but are spatially limited. This study aims to develop an artificial neural network-based model for estimating relative sea level changes in coastal regions where tide gauge data are unavailable. Unlike conventional forecasting approaches focused on future time series prediction, the proposed model is designed to learn spatial distribution patterns and temporal rates of sea level change from a fusion of satellite altimetry and tide gauge data. A normalization scheme is applied to reduce inconsistencies in reference levels, and Bayesian optimization is employed to fine-tune hyperparameters. A case analysis is conducted in two coastal regions in South Korea, Busan and Ansan, using data from 2018 to 2023. The model demonstrates strong agreement with observed tide gauge records, particularly in estimating temporal trends of sea level rise. This approach effectively compensates for the limitations of satellite altimetry in coastal regions and fills critical observational gaps in ungauged areas. The proposed method holds substantial promise for coastal hazard mitigation, infrastructure planning, and climate adaptation strategies. Full article

As society continues to develop, the demand for, and dependence on, energy for production and daily life activities are constantly increasing. Driven by environmental awareness and limited land resource, people have begun to reduce their dependence on fossil fuels and turn to the ocean for energy. Oceans contain vast and abundant energy resources, such as waves, tides, temperature differences and salinity gradients, all of which can be used for power generation. These resources are clean, efficient, renewable and inexhaustible, making them reliable “blue energy sources”. In addition, they are also generally not limited by land use areas, meeting the need for sustainable energy development. This article summarizes the technical characteristics of ocean energy, such as wave, tidal curre1nt, tidal, temperature difference and salinity gradient energies, and combs through the technological forms of different ocean energies, respectively. It also summarizes the development status of the ocean energy industry, and analyzes the industrial maturity of wave energy, tidal energy, etc, predicts future ocean energy development trends, and highlights the influence of ocean energy on sustainable development. We hope that this article provides a reference for scholars and institutions that dedicated to the research and development of ocean energy. Full article

Accurate predictions of beach user numbers are important for coastal management, resource allocation, and minimising safety risks, especially when considering surf-zone hazards. The present work applies an XGBoost model to predict beach attendance from automatically video-derived data, incorporating input variables such as weather, waves, tide, and time (e.g., day hour, weekday). This approach is applied to data collected from Biscarrosse Beach during the summer of 2023, where beach attendance varied significantly (from 0 to 2031 individuals). Results indicate that the optimal XGBoost model achieved high predictive accuracy, with a coefficient of determination ($R^2$) of 0.97 and an RMSE of 70.4 users, using daily mean weather data, tide and time as input variables, i.e., disregarding wave data. The model skilfully captures both day-to-day and hourly variability in attendance, with time of day (hour) and daily mean air temperature being the most influential variables. An XGBoost model using only daily mean temperature and hour of the day even shows good predictive accuracy ($R^2$ = 0.90). The study emphasises the importance of daily mean weather data over instantaneous measurements, as beach users tend to plan visits based on forecasts. This model offers reliable, computationally inexpensive, and high-frequency (e.g., every 10 min) beach user predictions which, combined with existing surf-zone hazard forecast models, can be used to anticipate life risk at the beach. Full article

This study applied an adjoint data assimilation model capable of integrating wind fields to investigate a temperate storm surge event in the Bohai Sea region during October 18 to 21, 2024. Based on in situ water level measurements from five tide gauge stations, the model simulated the spatial distributions of water levels under different wind stress drag coefficients (C_D) schemes driven by reanalysis wind fields and interpolated wind fields. The results demonstrated that the scheme without the adjoint data assimilation exhibited relatively low accuracy. Upon integrating the adjoint data assimlation method, the errors of the reanalysis wind fields were reduced by 44%, while those of the interpolated wind fields experienced a 74% decrease in error magnitude. Overall, this study provides a reference for enhancing the accuracy of water level predictions during storm surge events. Full article

The primary contribution of this study lies in analyzing the dynamic drivers during two anomalous sea level rise events in the Bohai Sea through coupled numeric modeling using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM) integrated with the Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN) module (hereafter referred to as FVCOM-SWAVE). WRF-derived wind speeds (0.05° grid resolution) were validated against Haiyang-2 (HY-2) scatterometer observations, yielding a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.88 m/s and a correlation coefficient (Cor) of 0.85. Similarly, comparisons of significant wave height (SWH) simulated by FVCOM-SWAVE (0.05° triangular mesh) with HY-2 altimeter data showed an RMSE of 0.67 m and a Cor of 0.84. Four FVCOM sensitivity experiments were conducted to assess drivers of sea level rise, validated against tide gauge observations. The results identified tides as the primary driver of sea level rise, with wind stress and elevation forcing (e.g., storm surge) amplifying variability, while currents exhibited negligible influence. During the two events, i.e., 20–21 October and 25–26 August 2024, elevation forcing contributed to localized sea level rises of 0.6 m in the northern and southern Bohai Sea and 1.1 m in the southern Bohai Sea. A 1 m surge in the northern region correlated with intense Yellow Sea winds (20 m/s) and waves (5 m SWH), which drove water masses into the Bohai Sea. Stokes transport (wave-driven circulation) significantly amplified water levels during the 21 October and 26 August peak, underscoring critical wave–tide interactions. This study highlights the necessity of incorporating tides, wind, elevation forcing, and wave effects into coastal hydrodynamic models to improve predictions of extreme sea level rise events. In contrast, the role of imposed boundary current can be marginalized in such scenarios. Full article