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Keywords = sustainable land use

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13 pages, 6693 KB  
Article
Bird Diversity and Spatial Distribution at a High-Altitude Wetland in Eastern Anatolia: A Grid-Based Assessment of Çalı Lake (Kars, Türkiye) and Its Implications for Sustainable Wetland Management
by Leyla Sarıboğa and Emrah Çelik
Sustainability 2026, 18(17), 8634; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18178634 (registering DOI) - 23 Aug 2026
Abstract
High-altitude wetlands in the Caucasus Anatolia transition zone remain among the least-documented avian habitats in the Western Palearctic. Standardised avian biodiversity assessment in such systems provides essential evidence for sustainable wetland management, supporting the conservation planning and long-term ecological monitoring needed to safeguard [...] Read more.
High-altitude wetlands in the Caucasus Anatolia transition zone remain among the least-documented avian habitats in the Western Palearctic. Standardised avian biodiversity assessment in such systems provides essential evidence for sustainable wetland management, supporting the conservation planning and long-term ecological monitoring needed to safeguard these ecosystems under increasing anthropogenic pressure. We report on the avifauna of Çalı Lake (2237 m a.s.l.; 391 ha; Kars Province, Türkiye), a nationally designated wetland located on the Central Asian Flyway, based on five systematic survey periods conducted from March 2024 to Spring 2026 using line transects and point counts, combined with a 25 × 25 m grid-based GIS analysis encompassing 498 cells. Approximately 31 ha of the core open-water and marsh perimeter within the 391 ha designated boundary is covered; upland steppe and pasture zones beyond the active survey perimeter were excluded. A total of 154 species belonging to 18 orders and 41 families were recorded, representing approximately 30.5% of Turkey’s national checklist. IUCN status assessment identified two Endangered species, Neophron percnopterus and Oxyura leucocephala, two Vulnerable, five Near Threatened, and 145 Least Concern species. Grid-level species richness averaged 1.47 ± 1.20 per cell per period; cumulative richness per grid reached 7.62 ± 2.73 across all five survey periods. Spearman rank correlation between per-grid richness (S) and abundance (N) was consistently strong across all five periods (ρ = 0.52–0.60; all p < 0.001). A Friedman test indicated significant overall variation across periods (χ2(4) = 127.73, p < 0.001, Kendall’s W = 0.064, a negligible effect size by conventional benchmarks, indicating that the statistically significant variation reflects trivially small per-cell richness differences at this block size). Bonferroni-corrected post hoc Wilcoxon tests revealed that all significant contrasts involved the 2024 Spring–Summer period or the 2026 partial Spring window, while the four fully comparable 2024 Autumn–2025 periods showed no significant differences. A Lorenz concentration curve yielded a Gini coefficient of 0.351, with the top 10% of grid cells concentrating 24.0% of all individual detections in the central and south-western lake zones. Collectively, these findings document Çalı Lake as a species-rich high-altitude wetland with significant conservation value, and establish a reproducible spatial and temporal baseline for long-term ornithological monitoring. These results demonstrate the value of standardised biodiversity assessment as a practical tool for sustainable wetland governance and align with international sustainability frameworks, including the UN Sustainable Development Goals on life on land and clean water and sanitation. Full article
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28 pages, 5517 KB  
Article
Digital Rural Transformation, Ecological Space Transition, and Territorial Sustainability: Evidence from China’s Taobao Villages
by Jiayi Gu, Chenjing Fan, Shiguang Shen, Weixiao Chen, Qin Tao and Bo Wen
Sustainability 2026, 18(17), 8632; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18178632 (registering DOI) - 23 Aug 2026
Abstract
The rapid growth of rural e-commerce is reshaping rural development, yet its implications for territorial sustainability remain unclear. Using panel data from 1503 Chinese counties from 2014 to 2022, the effects of Taobao Village development and the mechanism of territorial sustainability are examined [...] Read more.
The rapid growth of rural e-commerce is reshaping rural development, yet its implications for territorial sustainability remain unclear. Using panel data from 1503 Chinese counties from 2014 to 2022, the effects of Taobao Village development and the mechanism of territorial sustainability are examined through causal, spatial, and mechanism analyses. The results show the following: (1) Taobao Village development significantly improves territorial sustainability, with stronger effects observed in central and northeastern China, while the impacts vary considerably across regions due to differences in economic foundations, digital infrastructure, and land-use conditions. (2) Spatial analysis reveals that the sustainability-enhancing effects of Taobao Villages are mainly localized, with no significant spillover effects to neighboring counties, indicating the constraints of existing administrative and spatial governance systems. (3) The ecological land-use change induced by Taobao Village development is characterized by quantity reduction with potential quality upgrading. The development of Taobao Village has reduced the ecological land area, but it does not mean a decline in ecological functions. The converted land may be composed of low-quality ecological plots, and the fiscal benefits driven by e-commerce and China’s land use compensation policy may maintain or enhance the overall ecological function. These findings highlight the importance of integrating digital rural development with ecological sustainability and territorial spatial governance. The study provides policy implications for promoting resilient and sustainable rural transformation through differentiated land-use strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Economic Growth and Sustainable Regional Development)
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27 pages, 591 KB  
Article
Labor Exit Without Land Exit: Off-Farm Employment and Farmers’ Adoption of Agricultural Production Trusteeship in China
by Kun Gao, Zixin Feng, Runping Zhang and Qian Lu
Land 2026, 15(9), 1537; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15091537 (registering DOI) - 23 Aug 2026
Abstract
Agricultural production trusteeship (APT) represents an innovative model of agricultural socialized services in which specialized service organizations provide scaled operations to smallholders without transferring land rights. It can effectively address rural labor shortages while contributing to China’s grain security and agricultural modernization by [...] Read more.
Agricultural production trusteeship (APT) represents an innovative model of agricultural socialized services in which specialized service organizations provide scaled operations to smallholders without transferring land rights. It can effectively address rural labor shortages while contributing to China’s grain security and agricultural modernization by improving production efficiency and promoting more sustainable resource allocation. Using survey data from farm households across six Shandong cities, this study applies an Ordered Probit model to examine how off-farm employment influences farmers’ adoption of APT, together with its underlying mechanisms and heterogeneous patterns. The results show that a higher share of household labor engaged in off-farm employment is associated with a higher probability of APT adoption. This association is stronger under flexible employment model and weaker as the location of off-farm work becomes more distant. Mechanism analysis shows capital endowment mediates the association between off-farm employment and APT adoption, with physical capital having the strongest effect and economic capital the weakest. Higher risk perception weakens the positive effect of off-farm employment on farmers’ adoption of APT. These findings provide novel evidence and practical policy implications for improving APT implementation and facilitating smallholders’ effective participation in modern agricultural production systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Land Socio-Economic and Political Issues)
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20 pages, 3496 KB  
Article
Spatial Correlation Network Characteristics and Driving Factors of Eco-Efficiency of Cultivated Land Use in Xinjiang
by Ziyang Wang, Yong Xia, Fuhong Wang, Yuan Deng and Ning Ding
Land 2026, 15(9), 1536; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15091536 (registering DOI) - 22 Aug 2026
Abstract
Exploring the spatial correlation network (SCN) characteristics and influencing factors of the eco-efficiency of cultivated land use (ECLU) in Xinjiang’s counties is crucial for clarifying inter-regional spatial mechanisms and supporting cross-regional collaborative governance. Using a panel dataset covering 85 counties across Xinjiang, this [...] Read more.
Exploring the spatial correlation network (SCN) characteristics and influencing factors of the eco-efficiency of cultivated land use (ECLU) in Xinjiang’s counties is crucial for clarifying inter-regional spatial mechanisms and supporting cross-regional collaborative governance. Using a panel dataset covering 85 counties across Xinjiang, this study adopts the super-efficiency SBM model, revised gravity model, social network analysis and QAP model to quantify ECLU, and further investigate its spatial network features as well as driving mechanisms. The results showed that: (1) ECLU exhibited a fluctuating upward trend with significant regional differentiation, and northern Xinjiang performed notably better than southern Xinjiang. (2) SCN remained connected overall, but network density was low, average path length was long, and spatial transmission efficiency was relatively low. (3) Regional differences in economic levels, labor productivity, and industrial structure all had positive effects on the formation of the SCN throughout the study period. Regional differences in fiscal support for agriculture had positive effects only in 2014 and 2017, while differences in the soil and water coordination ratio had a negative effect in 2021. Future policies for sustainable cultivated land use should be differentiated and zone-specific, based on each county’s role within the correlation network, to promote coordinated improvement of ECLU across counties. Full article
31 pages, 4572 KB  
Article
Integrated Sustainability Assessment of the Chibunga River Basin Using the Watershed Sustainability Index in a Data-Scarce Andean Context
by Julia Calahorrano-González, Franco Delgado, César Cisneros-Vaca, María Fernanda Romero and Iván Ríos
Water 2026, 18(17), 2059; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18172059 (registering DOI) - 22 Aug 2026
Abstract
Integrated watershed sustainability assessments are still incipient in Ecuador, where scarce and heterogeneous data are limiting factors. This study introduces the Watershed Sustainability Index (WSI) to the Chibunga Basin in Chimborazo, Ecuador, marking its first application in this region. A key aspect of [...] Read more.
Integrated watershed sustainability assessments are still incipient in Ecuador, where scarce and heterogeneous data are limiting factors. This study introduces the Watershed Sustainability Index (WSI) to the Chibunga Basin in Chimborazo, Ecuador, marking its first application in this region. A key aspect of this study is the development of a clear and reproducible method for applying the index, particularly in inter-Andean basins where data are limited. The four dimensions—Hydrology, Environment, Life, and Policy—were assessed through the Pressure–State–Response (PSR) framework by combining secondary statistics, field sampling, GIS land-use analysis, and a two-round Delphi consultation with ten experts to operationalize the institutional (Policy) component. The basin scored 0.38 (low sustainability), with a critical Hydrology dimension (0.08), poor Policy dimension (0.33), moderate–low Life dimension (0.42), and moderate Environment dimension (0.67). The central finding goes beyond these scores: the operationalized PSR framework pinpointed where the management cycle breaks down in practice. Systematically null response scores reveal that unsustainability stems from the failure to translate an existing regulatory framework into formal institutional action, rather than from regulatory absence or physical water scarcity alone, further constrained by unfavorable socioeconomic conditions. The procedure turns the WSI from a scoring tool into a diagnostic one, providing a replicable reference for data-scarce Andean basins. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources Management, Policy and Governance)
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23 pages, 1799 KB  
Article
Linking Multi-Scale Stressors to Fish and Benthic Invertebrates in Non-Wadable Rivers: Implications for River Management
by Miha Knehtl and Gorazd Urbanič
Sustainability 2026, 18(17), 8613; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18178613 (registering DOI) - 22 Aug 2026
Abstract
Understanding how multiple stressors operating across spatial scales shape riverine biota is essential for advancing sustainable ecosystem management. This study evaluated the relative importance of hydromorphological alterations and land-use changes for benthic invertebrate (n = 77) and fish assemblages (n = [...] Read more.
Understanding how multiple stressors operating across spatial scales shape riverine biota is essential for advancing sustainable ecosystem management. This study evaluated the relative importance of hydromorphological alterations and land-use changes for benthic invertebrate (n = 77) and fish assemblages (n = 92) in large Slovenian rivers. Multivariate analyses were employed to disentangle unique and shared effects of stressors at reach, segment, and catchment scales while accounting for natural variability. The results revealed a hierarchical structuring of stressors, with regional factors shaping local conditions. Fish assemblages were predominantly associated with local-scale stressors, particularly at the segment scale, whereas benthic invertebrates were more strongly associated with shared stressor effects across multiple spatial scales. Stressors explained substantially more variability in fish (43.5%) than in benthic invertebrates (19.9%). Catchment-scale land use showed higher explanatory power than local riparian land use. Typological variables moderately improved model performance, emphasizing the contribution of natural environmental gradients. Our findings suggest that large river management may benefit from a multi-scale perspective that prioritizes segment-scale habitat conditions for fish and coordinated catchment-to-local strategies for benthic invertebrates, with potential benefits for ecosystem resilience and long-term sustainability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability, Biodiversity and Conservation)
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40 pages, 4028 KB  
Article
A Spatial Sufficiency Multifunctionality Framework for Sustainable Neighborhood Land Governance
by Najmeh Mozaffaree Pour
Land 2026, 15(8), 1527; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15081527 - 21 Aug 2026
Abstract
Urban sustainability governance has long been dominated by growth-oriented metrics that measure aggregate improvement without establishing whether neighborhoods provide enough for all residents without continuous territorial expansion or resource-intensive redevelopment. Drawing on the post-growth planning, sufficiency theory, spatial justice, land governance, and the [...] Read more.
Urban sustainability governance has long been dominated by growth-oriented metrics that measure aggregate improvement without establishing whether neighborhoods provide enough for all residents without continuous territorial expansion or resource-intensive redevelopment. Drawing on the post-growth planning, sufficiency theory, spatial justice, land governance, and the adaptive planning literature, this paper proposes a Spatial Sufficiency Multifunctionality Framework (SSMF). SSMF is a provisional conceptual framework requiring empirical validation and aiming to reorient neighborhood land assessment from growth optimization to sufficiency thresholds. The framework organizes planning around five interconnected dimensions: social sufficiency, economic resilience without growth dependence, ecological resilience, spatial governance and land-use sufficiency, and institutional and participatory capacity. Each is operationalized through illustrative indicators, thresholds, and linked governance instruments. SSMF asks whether per-capita land use remains within ecological capacities and whether access to services, green space, and affordable space is equitably distributed. The framework is developed through a systematic scoping review of the literature on urban sustainability, land governance, and post-growth planning, and provides a diagnostic logic and a menu of governance instruments. By shifting the evaluative focus from “more” to “enough, equity distributed within neighborhood capacities,” SSMF offers a provisional architecture for understanding post-growth principles at the neighborhood scale. Full article
27 pages, 14783 KB  
Article
Habitat Redistribution of Dracaena cochinchinensis (Lour.) S.C.Chen in Southern China Under Climate and Land-Use Change: Current Distribution, Future Projections, and Conservation Implications
by Zhengnan Zhang, Jie Qiu, Naiwei Li, Linhe Sun, Yajun Chang, Xuan Hu, Kun Dong, Dongrui Yao and Jinfeng Li
Plants 2026, 15(16), 2539; https://doi.org/10.3390/plants15162539 - 21 Aug 2026
Abstract
Climate and land-use change are shifting the spatial distribution and habitat suitability of many plant species, particularly those with narrow ecological niches and limited ranges. Dracaena cochinchinensis (Lour.) S.C.Chen is a medicinally important and nationally protected plant species distributed in tropical and subtropical [...] Read more.
Climate and land-use change are shifting the spatial distribution and habitat suitability of many plant species, particularly those with narrow ecological niches and limited ranges. Dracaena cochinchinensis (Lour.) S.C.Chen is a medicinally important and nationally protected plant species distributed in tropical and subtropical southern China. Predicting its habitat suitability under current and future climate scenarios is essential for understanding its responses to environmental change and guiding conservation and resource management. In this study, an optimized maximum entropy model was used to predict the current habitat suitability of D. cochinchinensis in China and to assess changes in habitat suitability under future climate scenarios in the 2090s. The model showed reliable predictive performance for estimating species distribution. Under current conditions, suitable habitats were concentrated in southern China, particularly southern Yunnan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Hainan, Taiwan, and parts of Fujian, covering 23.93 × 104 km2 (8.31% of the study area). Mean temperature of the driest quarter (Bio9), temperature annual range (Bio7), and precipitation seasonality (Bio15) were the dominant predictors, highlighting the importance of thermal conditions in shaping species distribution, whereas lithology (Lith) and soil type (ST) were the major non-climatic contributors influencing habitat suitability. Under future scenarios, suitable habitats showed spatial redistribution rather than uniform expansion or contraction. The spatial comparison among future scenarios identified stable habitats in the central and southwestern parts of Hainan Island, south-central Yunnan, and western Guangxi, with habitat losses mainly occurring in coastal South China and limited expansion in southwestern regions. Habitat centroid shifts were scenario dependent, with an eastward shift under SSP1-2.6 and northwestward shifts under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5, with migration distances ranging from 60.09 to 165.77 km. These results indicate that climate change may substantially reorganize the distribution pattern of D. cochinchinensis in southern China. Therefore, future conservation planning should prioritize current high-suitability areas, potential macroclimatically stable areas, and emerging suitable habitats to support long-term preservation and sustainable utilization of nationally protected medicinal species. Full article
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20 pages, 19624 KB  
Article
Memory-in-Transformation: Toward a Temporal Theory of Urban Landscape Transformation, Heritage, and Memory
by Tigran Haas, Ryan Locke, Krister Olsson and Ljiljana Vasilevska
Land 2026, 15(8), 1522; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15081522 - 21 Aug 2026
Abstract
Urban landscapes are increasingly understood as dynamic systems in which natural, cultural, and socio-spatial layers continuously overlap and evolve. Within this perspective, heritage and memory are often treated as stable qualities of place, to be preserved or restored amid ongoing urban transformation. This [...] Read more.
Urban landscapes are increasingly understood as dynamic systems in which natural, cultural, and socio-spatial layers continuously overlap and evolve. Within this perspective, heritage and memory are often treated as stable qualities of place, to be preserved or restored amid ongoing urban transformation. This paper challenges that static understanding by advancing memory-in-transformation, a theoretical framework positioned within the broader concept of Temporal Urbanism. Drawing on an integrative synthesis of landscape theory, critical heritage studies, memory studies, and urban theory, the paper argues that urban landscape transformation does not simply affect heritage and memory but actively produces, reconfigures, and redefines them over time. The framework rests on three interrelated dimensions: temporal layering, mediated interpretation, and dialectical production, through which transformation operates as a mediating process linking spatial change, collective memory, and the continuous formation of heritage landscapes. Illustrative cases (Superkilen, Copenhagen; the Slussen redevelopment, Stockholm) show how transformation can destabilize existing heritage while generating new heritage systems. The paper further introduces the notion of temporal justice, foregrounding whose memories are sustained or marginalized in processes of change, and outlines new directions for research and practice in heritage urbanism, land-use planning, landscape architecture, and sustainable urban development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Landscape Transformation vs. Heritage and Memory)
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31 pages, 50049 KB  
Article
Modeling Food Sufficiency Critical Thresholds Under Population-Driven Land-Use/Land-Cover Change
by Salis Deris Artikanur, Widiatmaka Widiatmaka, Wiwin Ambarwulan, Yusuf Surachman Djajadihardja, Nawa Suwedi, Darmawan Listya Cahya, Lena Sumargana, Bambang Winarno, Heri Sadmono, Andri Purwandani, Fanny Meliani, Teguh Arif Pianto, Harun Idham Akbar and Elenora Gita Alamanda Sapan
Earth 2026, 7(4), 140; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7040140 - 21 Aug 2026
Abstract
Population growth is increasing food demand, while watershed food systems face intense pressure from land-use/land-cover (LULC) change. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the critical threshold for food sufficiency in the Cimanuk Watershed. The methods used include dynamic analysis and prediction of LULC [...] Read more.
Population growth is increasing food demand, while watershed food systems face intense pressure from land-use/land-cover (LULC) change. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the critical threshold for food sufficiency in the Cimanuk Watershed. The methods used include dynamic analysis and prediction of LULC changes in line with four scenarios using Support Vector Machine (SVM)–Markov model, ecosystem service-based food production modeling through Crop Production module in Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model, food demand estimation based on population projections, and calculation of Food Sufficiency Index (FSI) to identify the critical threshold at which the food system shifts from surplus to deficit. The results showed that paddy rice production is projected to continue meeting food demand across all scenarios through 2042. However, food demand is expected to increase as the population grows, specifically in the Accelerated Population Growth (APGS) scenario. FSI analysis indicated that the Cimanuk Watershed remained in food surplus (FSI > 1) up to 2042. The watershed may transition to a food-deficit condition after 2062 in the absence of intervention measures. Therefore, this study recommends protecting productive paddy fields, conserving forests, and managing population growth to maintain long-term food sufficiency. Full article
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15 pages, 3046 KB  
Article
Research on the Ecosystem Service Value of the Xiaolangdi Reservoir Area Using the Value Equivalence Method
by Jie Li, Wei Wang, Liu Sun, Yawei Hu, Rongxu Chen and David Benson
Water 2026, 18(16), 2054; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18162054 - 21 Aug 2026
Abstract
Land-use transformation driven by large-scale water conservancy projects profoundly reshapes regional ecosystem structures and the supply capacity of ecosystem services, yet targeted quantitative assessments linking land-use evolution to ecosystem service values (ESV) in the Xiaolangdi Reservoir resettlement zone remain insufficient, restricting scientific ecological [...] Read more.
Land-use transformation driven by large-scale water conservancy projects profoundly reshapes regional ecosystem structures and the supply capacity of ecosystem services, yet targeted quantitative assessments linking land-use evolution to ecosystem service values (ESV) in the Xiaolangdi Reservoir resettlement zone remain insufficient, restricting scientific ecological management and territorial spatial governance for reservoir-affected counties and districts. This study draws on the latest ecosystem service valuation theories proposed by domestic and international scholars and applies the value equivalence method to quantify variations in land-use pattern changes and ESV across nine resettlement counties and districts (including the Sanmenxia urban area) affected by the Xiaolangdi Reservoir relocation project. Data collected included historical records (1995–2020), digital elevation models (DEM, 30 m resolution), and land-use information. By applying value equivalence theory and analyzing land-use change impacts, the study calculated changes in ESV and conducted sensitivity analyses across different land types. The findings reveal significant impacts on surrounding counties following the reservoir’s completion. Data indicate that the expansion of water areas drove the total ESV to rise from US$3.3261 billion in 1995 to a peak of US$3.6557 billion in 2010, followed by a decline to US$3.6128 billion in 2020. The most pronounced changes occurred during the first five years post-reservoir filling (2000–2005), marked by elevated water sensitivity indices. This research clarifies the differentiated responses of ecosystem service functions to land-use changes across reservoir-affected counties, provides quantitative decision-making support for coordinated ecological restoration, cultivated land protection, and sustainable land management in the resettlement area of the Xiaolangdi Reservoir, and offers a replicable technical framework for ecosystem service valuation of large sediment-laden river reservoir regions worldwide. Full article
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31 pages, 6307 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Variations and Influencing Factors of Soil Erosion in the Qingyi River Basin (Southwest China) Based on the CSLE Model: Implications for Sustainable Watershed Management
by Bin Chen, Yuqi Guan, Xiong Duan and Bingrui Su
Sustainability 2026, 18(16), 8561; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18168561 - 20 Aug 2026
Viewed by 131
Abstract
Soil erosion is a major environmental issue that threatens watershed ecological security and the sustainable use of land resources. Quantifying its spatiotemporal variability and associated environmental controls is important for sustainable land use planning and watershed management. To characterize the spatiotemporal variation in [...] Read more.
Soil erosion is a major environmental issue that threatens watershed ecological security and the sustainable use of land resources. Quantifying its spatiotemporal variability and associated environmental controls is important for sustainable land use planning and watershed management. To characterize the spatiotemporal variation in CSLE-simulated soil erosion and the relative explanatory contributions of environmental variables in the Qingyi River Basin, this study integrated rainfall, soil type, digital elevation model, land use, and vegetation coverage data for six observation years from 2000 to 2025 with GIS spatial analysis and the Chinese Soil Loss Equation (CSLE). Geodetector and CatBoost–SHAP were further applied to evaluate the explanatory contributions and interaction patterns of the selected environmental variables on the simulated erosion results. The results showed the following: (1) Woodland and cropland dominated the land use structure of the basin, while construction land increased from 90.95 km2 to 164.21 km2. Land use patterns differed markedly between the upstream and downstream areas, with woodland and grassland dominating the upstream area and cropland and construction land accounting for higher proportions in the downstream area. (2) Across the six observation years, the mean soil erosion modulus ranged from 135.74 to 378.39 t·km−2·a−1, indicating generally low erosion levels, with the highest value occurring in 2015 and the lowest in 2025. (3) Soil erosion intensity was mainly characterized by slight and mild erosion, which together accounted for more than 95% of the basin area, whereas areas of moderate erosion and above were mainly concentrated in downstream mountainous areas and along both sides of river valleys. (4) The explanatory analysis showed that elevation, land use, and vegetation coverage made relatively high contributions to the spatial variability in the CSLE-simulated erosion results. Topographic and vegetation-related variables showed higher explanatory contributions in the upstream area, whereas land use showed a higher contribution in the downstream area. These findings provide a quantitative basis for soil erosion monitoring, the identification of priority areas for soil and water conservation, sustainable land use optimization, and region-specific watershed management in the Qingyi River Basin. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Sustainability and Applications)
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26 pages, 45260 KB  
Article
Asynchronous Responses of Ecosystem Carbon Gain and Groundwater Storage Under Ecological Restoration in the Loess Plateau
by Yifei Ma, Qiaoli Wu, Shaoyuan Chen, Jinling Song and Jie Jiang
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(16), 2822; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18162822 - 20 Aug 2026
Viewed by 110
Abstract
Since the implementation of the Grain-for-Green Program (GGP), vegetation across the Loess Plateau (LP) has substantially recovered. However, whether the associated increase in ecosystem carbon gain was accompanied by a proportional increase in water consumption and whether groundwater storage changed synchronously remain unclear. [...] Read more.
Since the implementation of the Grain-for-Green Program (GGP), vegetation across the Loess Plateau (LP) has substantially recovered. However, whether the associated increase in ecosystem carbon gain was accompanied by a proportional increase in water consumption and whether groundwater storage changed synchronously remain unclear. This study integrated multi-source remote sensing products, GLDAS-Noah land-surface assimilation data, GRACE/GRACE-FO satellite gravimetry, irrigation water-use data, provincial water-use statistics, and coal-resource information to examine long-term changes in gross primary productivity (GPP), evapotranspiration (ET), water-use efficiency (WUE), soil moisture (SM), and groundwater storage anomaly (GWSA) during 2002–2023. GPP increased significantly by 10.67 g C m−2 yr−1 (p<0.01), whereas ET increased more modestly by 1.97 mm yr−1 (p<0.05). The relative growth rate of GPP (1.66%) was approximately 3.5 times that of ET (0.47%), and WUE increased by 0.018 g C m−2 mm−1 yr−1 (p<0.01). In the XGBoost–SHAP models for 2004–2019, LAI showed the strongest model-based association with GPP and WUE, whereas ET was associated more broadly with LAI, air temperature, and precipitation. SM declined during 2002–2015 but showed an increasing tendency during 2016–2023, particularly in the middle and deep layers. The long-term GWSA slopes derived from CSR and JPL were −8.707 and −9.505 mm yr−1, respectively, and the averaged CSR–JPL GWSA series showed a Sen’s slope of −9.131 mm yr−1. GWSA declined during 2002–2020 and showed only a short-term, nonsignificant increase during 2020–2023 (4.110 mm yr−1, p>0.05). These contrasting trajectories indicate that increases in surface carbon uptake and improvements in soil-water conditions were not accompanied by synchronous regional groundwater recovery. Overall, the ecological-restoration period was accompanied by increased carbon gain and WUE without a proportional increase in regional ET, while groundwater storage followed a distinct trajectory. These findings provide regional-scale evidence and a quantitative basis for coordinating sustainable water-resource management with ecological-restoration optimization on the LP. Full article
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31 pages, 24630 KB  
Article
A SUDI Framework for Identifying Suitability–Utilisation Deviation and Supporting Sustainable Management of Supplemented Cropland
by Zhongshu Wang, Xiaoyan Lei, Dan Huang, Lijuan Bao and Kangwen Zhu
Sustainability 2026, 18(16), 8558; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18168558 - 20 Aug 2026
Viewed by 196
Abstract
Ensuring the long-term sustainable utilisation of supplemented cropland has become a critical challenge for implementing China’s requisition–compensation balance of farmland (RCBF) policy, particularly in the fragmented hilly and mountainous regions of Southwest China. Existing studies generally evaluate land suitability and utilisation performance separately, [...] Read more.
Ensuring the long-term sustainable utilisation of supplemented cropland has become a critical challenge for implementing China’s requisition–compensation balance of farmland (RCBF) policy, particularly in the fragmented hilly and mountainous regions of Southwest China. Existing studies generally evaluate land suitability and utilisation performance separately, making it difficult to identify mismatches between theoretical suitability and actual utilisation and thereby limiting targeted regulation. To address this limitation, this study proposes a suitability–utilisation deviation identification (SUDI) framework, which integrates four sequential analytical components: three-dimensional suitability assessment, suitability–utilisation deviation identification, driving mechanism analysis, and sustainable regulation. Taking Beibei District of Chongqing as a case study, supplemented cropland parcels were identified using the 2020–2024 land change survey data. A three-dimensional suitability evaluation system incorporating production, ecological, and utilisation attributes was established to quantify theoretical land suitability. Actual utilisation performance was characterised using the land economic utilisation coefficient, and suitability–utilisation deviation was identified through residual analysis between theoretical suitability and utilisation intensity. A Bayesian-optimised Extreme Gradient Boosting-SHAP (XGBoost-SHAP) model was subsequently employed to reveal the nonlinear effects and interaction mechanisms of the driving factors. The results indicate the following: (1) supplemented cropland in Beibei District is predominantly characterised by medium-to-high suitability, with high-suitability patches exhibiting a mosaic spatial pattern of local aggregation and overall dispersion; (2) suitability–utilisation deviation is dominated by under-utilised plots, whereas well-matched and over-intensified plots account for substantially smaller proportions, indicating that insufficient realisation of land suitability is the prevailing utilisation pattern; and (3) the land economic utilisation coefficient is the dominant factor driving suitability–utilisation deviation, while high-standard farmland construction and plot area exhibit significant mitigating effects. Moreover, significant interaction effects between utilisation intensity and location-related variables reveal that unfavourable spatial conditions amplify deviation risk under intensive land use. The proposed SUDI framework extends conventional suitability assessment by explicitly linking suitability evaluation with utilisation performance, driving mechanism analysis, and differentiated regulation. It provides a transferable analytical framework for diagnosing suitability–utilisation mismatch and supports dynamic management and sustainable utilisation of supplemented cropland in fragmented hilly and mountainous regions. Full article
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Article
An XGBoost–SHAP-Based Interpretable Analysis of the Driving Factors of Carbon Storage in the Tumen River Basin
by Ruixing Lin, Yan Gao, Wanqiao Lv, Guangxiu Fang, Mingyang Du and Shunmei Piao
Sustainability 2026, 18(16), 8555; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18168555 - 20 Aug 2026
Viewed by 160
Abstract
Balancing terrestrial carbon-storage conservation with land development is a central sustainability challenge in transboundary river basins, yet the consequences of alternative land-use pathways in the Chinese portion of the Tumen River Basin remain insufficiently understood. Using land-use datasets from 1990, 2000, 2010, and [...] Read more.
Balancing terrestrial carbon-storage conservation with land development is a central sustainability challenge in transboundary river basins, yet the consequences of alternative land-use pathways in the Chinese portion of the Tumen River Basin remain insufficiently understood. Using land-use datasets from 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020, the InVEST and PLUS models were employed to quantify historical carbon-storage change and projected land-use and carbon-storage outcomes under three scenarios for 2050. Separately, an XGBoost–SHAP framework was applied to the 2020 spatial data to interpret the spatial heterogeneity of carbon storage and identify nonlinear thresholds. Forest remained the dominant land-use type between 1990 and 2020, whereas the area of Built-up expanded by 78.7%. Over the same period, total carbon storage decreased from 153.07 × 108 t to 151.03 × 108 t, following a decline–recovery–decline trajectory. Among the three 2050 pathways, only the Ecological protection scenario produced a net increase in carbon storage relative to 2020 (+3.82 × 106 t), whereas the Urban development scenario resulted in the largest loss (−1.65 × 108 t). For the 2020 spatial pattern, the XGBoost–SHAP analysis identified NDVI and slope as the leading explanatory variables, with model-derived thresholds for slope (6.18°), precipitation (666.98 mm), NDVI (0.92), elevation (442.65 m), GDP (CNY 8725), and distance to railways (10,379.04 m). These results therefore support a spatially differentiated land-use strategy that prioritizes forest-patch continuity and restricts the replacement of carbon-dense land by Built-up within the basin. Full article
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