Search Results (2,664)

The present paper reports for the first time the comparison of radar-derived eddy dissipation rate (EDR) and vertical velocity with measurements from six aircraft for an intense squall line crossing Hong Kong. The study objectives are three-fold: (i) to characterise the structural dynamics of the intense squall line; (ii) to identify the dynamical change in EDR and vertical velocity during its eastward propagation across Hong Kong with a view to gaining insight into the intensity change of the squall line and the severity of its impact on aircraft flying near it; (iii) to carry out quantitative comparison of EDR and vertical velocity derived from remote sensing instruments, i.e., weather radars and in situ measurements from aircraft, so that the quality of the former dataset can be evaluated by the latter. During the passage of the squall line and taking reference of the radar reflectivity, vertical circulation and the subsiding flow at the rear, it appeared to be weakening in crossing over Hong Kong, possibly due to land friction by terrain and urban morphology. This is also consistent with the maximum gusts recorded by the dense network of ground-based anemometers in Hong Kong. However, from the EDR and the vertical velocity of the aircraft, the weakening trend was not very apparent, and rather severe turbulence was still recorded by the aircraft flying through the squall line into the region with stratiform precipitation when the latter reached the eastern coast of Hong Kong. In general, the radar-based and the aircraft-based EDRs are consistent with each other. The radar-retrieved maximum vertical velocity may be smaller in magnitude at times, possibly arising from the limited spatial and temporal resolutions of the aircraft data. The results of this paper could be a useful reference for the development of radar-based turbulence products for aviation applications. Full article

Xi’an, China, has a complex geological environment, with geological hazards seriously hindering urban development and safety. This study analyzed the conditions leading to disaster formation and screened 12 evaluation factors (e.g., slope and slope direction) using Spearman’s correlation. Furthermore, it also introduced an innovative combined weighting method, integrating subjective weights from the hierarchical analysis method and objective weights from the entropy method, as well as an information value model for susceptibility assessment. The main results are as follows: (1) There are 787 hazard points—landslides/collapses are concentrated in loess areas and Qinling foothills, while subsidence/fissures are concentrated in plains. (2) The combined weighting method effectively overcame the limitations of single methods. (3) Validation using hazard density and ROC curves showed that the combined weighting information value model achieved the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.872). (4) The model was applied to classify the disaster susceptibility of Xi’an into high (12.31%), medium (18.68%), low (7.88%), and non-susceptible (61.14%) zones. The results are consistent with the actual distribution of disasters, thus providing a scientific basis for disaster prevention. Full article

The prevailing environmental conditions before and during the 28 Large Forest Fires (LFFs) that have occurred in the Canary Islands since 1983 are analyzed. These conditions are often associated with episodes characterized by the advection of continental tropical air masses originating from the Sahara, which frequently result in intense heatwaves. During the onset of the LFFs, the base of the subsidence thermal inversion layer—separating a lower layer of cool, moist air from an upper layer of warm, dry air—is typically located at an altitude of around 350 m above sea level, approximately 600 m below the usual average. Understanding these Saharan air advection events is crucial, as they significantly alter the vertical thermal structure of the atmosphere and create highly conducive conditions for wildfire ignition and spread in the forested mid- and high-altitude zones of the archipelago. Analysis of meteorological records from various weather stations reveals that the average maximum temperature on the first day of fire ignition is 30.3 °C, with mean temperatures of 27.4 °C during the preceding week and 28.9 °C throughout the fire activity period. Relative humidity on the ignition days averages 24.3%, remaining at around 30% during the active phase of the fires. No significant correlation has been found between dry or wet years and the occurrence of LFFs, which have been recorded across years with widely varying precipitation levels. Full article

In this study, we analyzed the lithospheric seismic background of the Tianshan and adjacent areas by combining various geophysical methods (effective elastic thickness, time-varying gravity, apparent density, and InSAR), and explored the genesis mechanism of the Wushi Ms7.1 earthquake as an example, which led to the following conclusions: (1) The effective elastic thickness (Te) of the Tianshan lithosphere is low (13–28 km) and weak, while the Tarim and Junggar basins have Te > 30 km with high intensity, and the loads are all mainly from the surface (F < 0.5). Earthquakes occur mostly in areas with low values of Te. (2) Medium and strong earthquakes are prone to occur in regions with alternating positive and negative changes in the gravity field during the stage of large-scale reverse adjustment. It is expected that the risk of a moderate-to-strong earthquake occurring again in the vicinity of the survey area between 2025 and 2026 is relatively high. (3) Before the Wushi earthquake, the positive and negative boundaries of the apparent density of the crust at 12 km shifted to be approximately parallel to the seismic fault, and the earthquake was triggered after undergoing a “solidification” process. (4) The Wushi earthquake is a leptokurtic strike-slip backwash type of earthquake; coseismic deformation shows that subsidence occurs in the high-visual-density zone, and vice versa for uplift. The results of this study reveal the lithosphere-conceiving environment of the Tianshan and adjacent areas and provide a basis for regional earthquake monitoring, early warning, and post-disaster disposal. Full article

The Xiong’an New Area, a newly established national-level zone in China, faces the threat of land subsidence and ground fissure due to groundwater overexploitation and geothermal extraction, threatening urban safety. This study integrates time-series InSAR and GNSS monitoring to analyze spatiotemporal deformation patterns from 2017/05 to 2025/03. The key results show: (1) Three subsidence hotspots, namely northern Xiongxian (max. cumulative subsidence: 591 mm; 70 mm/yr), Luzhuang, and Liulizhuang, strongly correlate with geothermal wells and F4/F5 fault zones; (2) GNSS baseline analysis (e.g., XA01-XA02) reveals fissure-induced differential deformation (max. horizontal/vertical rates: 40.04 mm/yr and 19.8 mm/yr); and (3) InSAR–GNSS cross-validation confirms the high consistency of the results (Pearson’s correlation coefficient = 0.86). Subsidence in Xiongxian is driven by geothermal/industrial groundwater use, without any seasonal variations, while Anxin exhibits agricultural pumping-linked seasonal fluctuations. The use of rooftop GNSS stations reduces multipath effects and improves urban monitoring accuracy. The spatiotemporal heterogeneity stems from coupled resource exploitation and tectonic activity. We propose prioritizing rooftop GNSS deployments to enhance east–west deformation monitoring. This framework balances regional and local-scale precision, offering a replicable solution for geological risk assessments in emerging cities. Full article

This study investigates ground deformations in the southeastern Po Plain (northern Italy), focusing on the Bologna area—a densely populated region affected by natural and anthropogenic subsidence. Ground deformations in the area result from geological processes (e.g., sediment compaction and tectonic activity) and human activities (e.g., ground water production and underground gas storage—UGS). We apply a multidisciplinary approach integrating subsurface geology, ground water production, advanced differential interferometry synthetic aperture radar—DInSAR, gas storage data, and land use information to characterize and analyze the spatial and temporal variations in vertical ground deformations. Seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) and cluster analysis techniques are applied to historical DInSAR vertical time series, targeting three representatives areas close to the city of Bologna. The main contribution of the study is the attempt to correlate the lateral extension of ground water bodies with seasonal ground deformations and water production data; the results are validated via knowledge of the geological characteristics of the uppermost part of the Po Plain area. Distinct seasonal patterns are identified and correlated with ground water production withdrawal and UGS operations. The results highlight the influence of superficial aquifer characteristics—particularly the geometry, lateral extent, and hydraulic properties of sedimentary bodies—on the ground movements behavior. This case study outlines an effective multidisciplinary approach for subsidence characterization providing critical insights for risk assessment and mitigation strategies, relevant for the future development of CO₂ and hydrogen storage in depleted reservoirs and saline aquifers. Full article

Geological storage is an integral element of the green energy transition. Geological formations, such as aquifers, depleted reservoirs, and hard rock caverns, are used mainly for the storage of hydrocarbons, carbon dioxide and increasingly hydrogen. However, potential adverse effects such as ground movements, leakage, seismic activity, and environmental pollution are observed. Existing research focuses on monitoring subsurface elements of the storage, while on the surface it is limited to ground movement observations. The review was carried out based on 191 research contributions related to geological storage. It emphasizes the importance of monitoring underground gas storage (UGS) sites and their surroundings to ensure sustainable and safe operation. It details surface monitoring methods, distinguishing geodetic surveys and remote sensing techniques. Remote sensing, including active methods such as InSAR and LiDAR, and passive methods of multispectral and hyperspectral imaging, provide valuable spatiotemporal information on UGS sites on a large scale. The review covers modelling and prediction methods used to analyze the environmental impacts of UGS, with data-driven models employing geostatistical tools and machine learning algorithms. The limited number of contributions treating geological storage sites holistically opens perspectives for the development of complex approaches capable of monitoring and modelling its environmental impacts. Full article

Under China’s “Rural Revitalisation” strategy, contract farming faces challenges including farmers’ limited access to advanced technologies and high operational risks for agricultural support enterprises. The collaborative involvement of scientific research institutions offers potential solutions but remains underexplored. This study employs Stackelberg game theory to model a contract farming supply chain under two agricultural assistance modes: enterprise-led (EL) and collaborative assistance with scientific research institutions (CI). We further propose two government subsidy mechanisms: subsidies to enterprises and subsidies to scientific research institutions. The models analyze optimal decisions, supply chain performance, and subsidy efficiency, validated through numerical experiments. Key findings reveal the following: (1) The CI mode enhances agricultural output and farmer revenue but may reduce enterprise profits, deterring collaboration. (2) Government subsidies incentivize enterprise–institution collaboration. Subsidizing scientific research institutions typically improves agricultural productivity and economic benefits more effectively than subsidizing enterprises. (3) Synergistic effects exist among the government subsidy coefficient, cost coefficient of technical assistance, consumer preferences for agricultural quality, and profit-sharing ratio. The latter three parameters significantly influence subsidy model selection. This research provides policy insights for enhancing agricultural assistance efficiency and sustainable contract farming development. Full article

The precise characterization of surface rupture zones and associated co-seismic displacement fields from large earthquakes provides critical insights into seismic rupture mechanisms, earthquake dynamics, and hazard assessments. Stereo-photogrammetric digital elevation models (DEMs), produced from high-resolution satellite stereo imagery, offer reliable global datasets that are suitable for the detailed extraction and quantification of vertical co-seismic displacements. In this study, we utilized pre- and post-event WorldView-2 stereo images of the 2024 Ms7.1 Wushi earthquake in Xinjiang to generate DEMs with a spatial resolution of 0.5 m and corresponding terrain point clouds with an average density of approximately 4 points/m². Subsequently, we applied the Iterative Closest Point (ICP) algorithm to perform differencing analysis on these datasets. Special care was taken to reduce influences from terrain changes such as vegetation growth and anthropogenic structures. Ultimately, by maintaining sufficient spatial detail, we obtained a three-dimensional co-seismic displacement field with a resolution of 15 m within grid cells measuring 30 m near the fault trace. The results indicate a clear vertical displacement distribution pattern along the causative sinistral–thrust fault, exhibiting alternating uplift and subsidence zones that follow a characteristic “high-in-center and low-at-ends” profile, along with localized peak displacement clusters. Vertical displacements range from approximately 0.2 to 1.4 m, with a maximum displacement of ~1.46 m located in the piedmont region north of the Qialemati River, near the transition between alluvial fan deposits and bedrock. Horizontal displacement components in the east-west and north-south directions are negligible, consistent with focal mechanism solutions and surface rupture observations from field investigations. The successful extraction of this high-resolution vertical displacement field validates the efficacy of satellite-based high-resolution stereo-imaging methods for overcoming the limitations of GNSS and InSAR techniques in characterizing near-field surface displacements associated with earthquake ruptures. Moreover, this dataset provides robust constraints for investigating fault-slip mechanisms within near-surface geological contexts. Full article

In mining areas with high groundwater levels, intensive coal mining has led to the accumulation of substantial surface water and significant alterations in regional landscape patterns. Reconstructing the ecological security pattern (ESP) has emerged as a critical focus for ecological restoration in coal mining subsidence areas with high groundwater levels. This study employed the patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model to predict the landscape evolution trend of the study area in 2032 under three scenarios, combining environmental characteristics and disturbance features of coal mining subsidence areas with high groundwater levels. In order to determine the differences in ecological network changes within the study area under various development scenarios, morphological spatial pattern analysis (MSPA) and landscape connectivity analysis were employed to identify ecological source areas and establish ecological corridors using circuit theory. Based on the simulation results of the optimal development scenario, potential ecological pinch points and ecological barrier points were further identified. The findings indicate that: (1) land use changes predominantly occur in urban fringe areas and coal mining subsidence areas. In the land reclamation (LR) scenario, the reduction in cultivated land area is minimal, whereas in the economic development (ED) scenario, construction land exhibits a marked increasing trend. Under the natural development (ND) scenario, forest land and water expand most significantly, thereby maximizing ecological space. (2) Under the ND scenario, the number and distribution of ecological source areas and ecological corridors reach their peak, leading to an enhanced ecological network structure that positively contributes to corridor improvement. (3) By comparing the ESP in the ND scenario in 2032 with that in 2022, the number and area of ecological barrier points increase substantially while the number and area of ecological pinch points decrease. These areas should be prioritized for ecological protection and restoration. Based on the scenario simulation results, this study proposes a planning objective for a “one axis, four belts, and four zones” ESP, along with corresponding strategies for ecological protection and restoration. This research provides a crucial foundation for decision-making in enhancing territorial space planning in coal mining subsidence areas with high groundwater levels. Full article

Water migration occurs in unsaturated loess subgrade due to extreme rainfall, making it prone to subgrade subsidence and other water damage disasters, which seriously impact road safety and sustainable development of the Loess Plateau. The study performed a rainfall test using a compacted loess subgrade model based on a self-developed water migration test device. The effects of extreme rainfall on the water distribution, wetting front, and infiltration rate in the subgrade were systematically explored by setting three rainfall intensities (4.6478 mm/h, 9.2951 mm/h, and 13.9427 mm/h, namely J1 stage, J2stage, and J3 stage), and a lateral water migration model was proposed. The results indicated that the range of water content change areas constantly expands as rainfall intensity and time increase. The soil infiltration rate gradually decreased, and the ratio of surface runoff to infiltration rainfall increased. The hysteresis of lateral water migration refers to the physical phenomenon in which the internal water response of the subgrade is delayed in time and space compared to changes in boundary conditions. The sensor closest to the side of the slope changed first, with the most significant fluctuations. The farther away from the slope, the slower the response and the smaller the fluctuation. The bigger the rainfall intensity, the faster the wetting front moved horizontally. The migration rate at the slope toe is the highest. The migration rate of sensor W3 increased by 66.47% and 333.70%, respectively, in the J3 stage compared to the J2 and J1 stages. The results of the model and the measured data were in good agreement, with the R² exceeding 0.90, which verifies the reliability of the model. The study findings are important for guiding the prevention and control of disasters caused by water damage to roadbeds in loess areas. Full article

This study characterized collagen remodeling in an electron-beam-sterilized porcine acellular dermal matrix (E-PADM) by evaluating host response kinetics during wound healing. E-PADM (n = 6 lots/time point) was implanted in an abdominal wall bridging defect in nonhuman primates (N = 24). Histological, immunohistochemical, and biochemical assessments were conducted. Pro-inflammatory tissue cytokines peaked 1 month post-implantation and subsided to baseline by 6 months. E-PADM-specific serum immunoglobulin G antibodies increased by 213-fold from baseline at 1 month, then decreased to <10-fold by 6–9 months. The mean percentage tissue area staining positively for matrix metalloproteinase-1 plateaued at 3 months (40.3 ± 16.9%), then subsided by 6 months (16.3 ± 11.1%); tissue inhibitor matrix metalloproteinase-1 content plateaued at 1 month (39.0 ± 14.3%), then subsided by 9 months (13.0 ± 8.8%). Mean E-PADM thickness (1.7 ± 0.2 mm pre-implant) increased at 3 months (2.9 ± 1.5 mm), then decreased by 9 months (1.9 ± 1.1; equivalent to pre-implant). Histology demonstrated mild inflammation between 1–3 months, then a peak in host tissue deposition, with ≈75%–100% E-PADM collagen turnover, and fibroblast infiltration and neovascularization between 3–6 months. Picrosirius red staining revealed that mature E-PADM collagen was replaced by host-associated neo-collagen by 6 months. E-PADM implantation induced wound healing, which drove dermal E-PADM collagen remodeling to native, functional fascia-like tissue at the implant site. Full article

Under global warming, persistent extreme heat events (PHEs) in China have increased significantly in both frequency and intensity, posing severe threats to agriculture and socioeconomic development. Combining observational analysis (1961–2019) and numerical simulations, this study investigates the distinct impacts of Northwest Pacific (NWP) and North Atlantic (NA) sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies on PHEs over China. Key findings include the following: (1) PHEs exhibit heterogeneous spatial distribution, with the Yangtze-Huai River Valley as the hotspot showing the highest frequency and intensity. A regime shift occurred post-2000, marked by a threefold increase in extreme indices (+3σ to +4σ). (2) Observational analyses reveal significant but independent correlations between PHEs and SST anomalies in the tropical NWP and mid-high latitude NA. (3) Numerical experiments demonstrate that NWP warming triggers a meridional dipole response (warming in southern China vs. cooling in the north) via the Pacific–Japan teleconnection pattern, characterized by an eastward-retreated and southward-shifted sub-tropical high (WPSH) coupled with an intensified South Asian High (SAH). In contrast, NA warming induces uniform warming across eastern China through a Eurasian Rossby wave train that modulates the WPSH northward. (4) Thermodynamically, NWP forcing dominates via asymmetric vertical motion and advection processes, while NA forcing primarily enhances large-scale subsidence and shortwave radiation. This study elucidates region-specific oceanic drivers of extreme heat, advancing mechanistic understanding for improved heatwave predictability. Full article

Foundation pit pumping induces groundwater drawdown both inside and outside the pit, consequently causing surrounding land subsidence. Based on actual engineering cases, this study established a three-dimensional numerical model using ABAQUS software (version 6.14-4) to systematically investigate the temporal evolution of groundwater drawdown and land subsidence during pit pumping, while quantifying the relationship between drawdown and subsidence stabilization time under different parameters. The key findings are as follows: (1) land subsidence stabilization time (50 days) is governed by external phreatic layer response, reaching 2.3 times longer than isolated aquifer conditions (22 days); (2) medium-permeability strata (0.01–10 K_0,AdII) showed peak sensitivity to drawdown–subsidence coupling; (3) pumping from a confined aquifer extends the subsidence stabilization time by a factor of 1.1 compared to phreatic aquifer conditions. These findings provide valuable insights for the design and risk assessment of dewatering strategies in foundation pits within multi-aquifer systems. Full article

The accurate inversion of mining subsidence prediction parameters is key to the precise prediction of deformation during mining. However, the use of traditional genetic algorithms (GA) for inversion prediction has problems such as poor resistance to differences, and the accuracy of inversion parameters is affected when key monitoring points are missing. In response to these issues, a probability integral parameter inversion method is proposed in this study that integrates a selection-weighted iterative robust genetic algorithm. This method combines the selection-weighted iteration method with a genetic algorithm to determine the weights of different observation values, and then a probability integral parameter inversion method is constructed for the fusion selection-weighted iterative robust GA. The results indicate that the fusion selection-weighted iterative robust GA is stronger than the traditional GA, and the parameters obtained have higher accuracy and greater reliability. An experiment using real working face engineering showed that, compared with the GA method, the RMSE (root mean square error) of the proposed method is reduced by 24.4 mm and 37.5 mm, thus verifying the usability of this method. Full article