Search Results (7,275)

Using She County, a national new-type urbanization comprehensive pilot area, as a case study, this research develops a multi-layered “static–dynamic–driver” analytical framework based on rural settlement data. By integrating GIS spatial overlay, landscape pattern indices, average nearest neighbor analysis, kernel density estimation, and cold–hotspot analysis, the study systematically characterizes the spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms of rural settlements from 1980 to 2020. The results reveal that: (1) settlement evolution exhibits distinct phase-specific patterns, encompassing four primary types of transformation: localized expansion and consolidation, individual disappearance, rapid expansion, and the emergence of new settlements with peripheral extension; (2) landscape pattern and aggregation analyses indicate continuous growth in both total area and number of settlements, accompanied by increasing irregularity and fragmentation of patches; settlement size aggregation shows a fluctuating decline followed by recovery, overall spatial clustering intensity trends upward, and high-density kernel areas shift from the central–western to the northwestern region; (3) under multi-factor interactions, settlement layouts transitioned from an early “survival–location dependent” pattern dominated by natural constraints and transportation accessibility, to a mid-stage rapid aggregation driven by economic development and public service provision, ultimately evolving into a composite pattern balancing economic drivers and ecological constraints. The findings underscore the nonlinear superimposed effects of natural environment, economic development, transportation accessibility, public service availability, and ecological carrying capacity, providing a robust scientific basis for optimizing rural settlement spatial arrangements and informing rural development policy under the context of national new-type urbanization. Full article

Sea surface temperature (SST) serves as a fundamental driver of ocean–atmosphere interactions and global climate variability, exhibiting strong nonstationarity, multiscale dynamics, and cross-variable coupling. However, current deep learning models often fail to capture these complex characteristics, limiting their ability to support accurate and physically consistent long-term SST prediction. To address these issues, we propose PAMSTnet, a unified deep learning framework for physics-informed adaptive multiscale spatiotemporal prediction. PAMSTnet leverages three-dimensional empirical wavelet transform (3DEWT) to learn interpretable multiscale spatiotemporal dynamics from raw observations, and applies multivariate spatiotemporal empirical orthogonal function (MSTEOF) to identify dominant cross-variable coupled modes. These physically meaningful representations are integrated into a deep ConvLSTM predictive network (DCPN) to support coordinated multiscale dynamical learning. Furthermore, PAMSTnet introduces physics-informed consistency learning (PICL) to enforce thermodynamic and dynamic constraints, enhancing physical consistency and interpretability. Extensive experiments demonstrate that PAMSTnet achieves superior performance against state-of-the-art baselines in long-term global SST prediction, reducing RMSE by 8.1% and improving ACC by 2.8% compared with the best-performing baseline, particularly under extreme climate events. Interpretation insights further highlight PAMSTnet’s adaptive representation of variable contributions and regional physical drivers. These findings position PAMSTnet as a promising paradigm for developing intelligent ocean prediction systems with enhanced physical consistency and interpretability. Full article

This study develops a multiregional forecasting framework for road traffic accidents in Ecuador, addressing a critical limitation in existing predictive approaches that rely predominantly on point error metrics without validating the statistical assumptions underlying forecast uncertainty. Although the analysis is conducted at the provincial level, the spatial dimension is used primarily for cross-regional comparison and risk classification rather than for explicit spatial interaction modeling. Using a dataset of 27,648 monthly observations covering all 24 provinces from 2014 to 2025, the study applies the Prophet model within a Design Science Research paradigm and a CRISP-DM implementation cycle. Separate provincial models are estimated with a 24-month forecasting horizon, and methodological rigor is ensured through systematic residual diagnostics using the Shapiro–Wilk test for normality and the Ljung–Box test for temporal independence. Empirical results indicate that the Prophet-based artifact outperforms a naïve seasonal benchmark in 70.8% of the provinces, demonstrating excellent predictive accuracy in structurally stable regions such as Tungurahua (MAPE = 10.9%). At the same time, the framework enables the identification of critical emerging risks in provinces such as Santo Domingo and Cotopaxi, where projected increases exceed 49% despite acceptable point forecasts. The findings confirm that point accuracy alone does not guarantee the validity of confidence intervals and that residual validation is essential for trustworthy uncertainty quantification. Overall, the proposed approach provides a robust foundation for a predictive surveillance system capable of supporting differentiated, evidence-based road safety policies in territorially heterogeneous contexts. Full article

The coupling coordination between Urbanization Quality (UQ) and Water Ecological Carrying Capacity (WECC) represents a critical nexus for sustainable regional development within the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB). Focusing on 16 cities in Hubei Province over the period 2020–2024, this study constructed comprehensive indicator systems for UQ and WECC, Spatial Autocorrelation Analysis and Key Factor Analysis are then applied to analyze spatiotemporal evolution, identify key influencing factors. The results reveal that: (1) Both UQ and WECC demonstrated upward trajectories, with UQ increasing from 0.369 to 0.409, although WECC exhibited fluctuating patterns; (2) Spatial analysis identified pronounced “core–periphery” clustering effects with Wuhan as the dominant center, confirmed by the positive Global Moran’s I; (3) Hubei’s CCD advanced from 0.626 to 0.661, progressing toward initially coordinated stages, with Wuhan pioneering this transition, while 81.25% of cities remained at the moderately coordinated stage; (4) Grey relational analysis identified aquatic biological resources as the principal constraint, with piscivore biomass ratios and pension insurance participation rates (γ = 0.752) emerging as key biophysical and socioeconomic drivers, respectively. These findings provide empirical evidence for targeted interventions promoting balanced urban–water ecological development in the YREB, while contributing a novel analytical framework for examining UQ-WECC interactions in rapidly urbanizing regions globally. Full article

Background: Knee osteoarthritis (KOA) is a major cause of pain, mobility limitation, and increased fall risk among older adults. Gait dysfunction, characterized by spatiotemporal and kinematic alterations, is a key functional consequence of KOA. While sagittal-plane gait deviations are well-established, multiplanar kinematic changes—particularly in the frontal and transverse planes—remain less clearly understood. This study aimed to compare three-dimensional gait characteristics between older adults with and without KOA. Methods: Ninety older adults (45 with KOA and 45 controls) completed gait assessments using a VICON™ motion capture system. Participants walked at a self-selected speed along a straight walkway without turning movements during data collection. Spatiotemporal parameters and lower-limb joint kinematics (hip, knee, and ankle) were recorded during key gait phases: initial contact, mid-stance, toe-off, and mid-swing. Group comparisons were performed using independent t-tests with statistical significance set at p < 0.05. Results: Compared with controls, participants with KOA demonstrated significantly slower gait velocity (p = 0.001), reduced cadence (p = 0.020), shorter stride length (p = 0.011), increased step time (p = 0.006), prolonged double support time (p = 0.009), and reduced single support time (p = 0.012). Kinematic analysis revealed greater knee adduction at initial contact (p = 0.001), reduced hip adduction (p = 0.002) and greater knee adduction (p = 0.003) during mid-stance, and increased ankle plantarflexion at toe-off (p = 0.004) in the KOA group. No significant between-group differences were observed during the mid-swing phase. Conclusions: Older adults with KOA exhibit distinct spatiotemporal and multiplanar kinematic gait alterations, particularly during weight-bearing phases. These changes may reflect adaptive gait patterns associated with joint dysfunction rather than definitive compensatory mechanisms. Three-dimensional gait analysis may provide valuable biomechanical insights to support early identification of mobility impairments and inform targeted rehabilitation planning in individuals with KOA. Full article

Background: Wild jujube (Ziziphus jujuba var. spinosa) exhibits remarkable tolerance to saline-alkali stress, yet its molecular mechanisms remain poorly understood. 3-ketoacyl-CoA synthase (KCS) is a key enzyme involved in the biosynthesis of very-long-chain fatty acids (VLCFAs), which constitute pivotal precursors for membrane lipids involved in stress adaptation. Methods: Through genome-wide analysis and molecular biology techniques, 20 ZjKCS genes were identified. Results: The ZjKCS genes were grouped into nine subfamilies, exhibiting highly conserved gene structures, motifs, and functional domains within each subfamily. Two pairs of collinear gene pairs were identified, with the ZjKCS12-ZjKCS18 pair retaining core conserved functions despite intense purifying selection. ZjKCS genes are rich in cis-acting elements associated with light transduction, phytohormone responses, and abiotic stress adaptation. Tissue-specific expression patterns of ZjKCS under light, ABA (abscisic acid), and MeJA (methyl jasmonate) treatments were analyzed by quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR). Under saline-alkali stress, ZjKCS genes were significantly upregulated, with most showing strong sustained induction during later treatment stages. Conclusions: These findings indicate that the ZjKCS family participates in saline-alkali stress and abiotic stress adaptation, potentially by enhancing VLCFA synthesis to reinforce and remodel membrane lipid structure. This study provides a foundation for elucidating lipid-mediated stress resistance mechanisms in stress-tolerant fruit trees. Full article

Objectives: While the previous literature has established that meteorological conditions are associated with COVID-19 mortality fluctuations, the relative effect of each of these highly correlated factors remains unclear. This study aims to conduct a comparative analysis to determine which of three main meteorological variables—Ambient Temperature, Ultraviolet (UV) Index, and Sunlight Duration—have the strongest negative association with COVID-19 mortality. The objective is to quantify and rank their impact over a 7-to-21-day biological exposure window. Methods: We conducted retrospective spatiotemporal analyses in the form of panel Poisson Distributed Lag Models (PDLMs) regression using daily data from 21 January 2020 to 10 January 2023, spanning 129 distinct geographical regions worldwide. To ensure a direct and fair comparison of effect sizes, all meteorological and environmental variables were Z-score standardized. We estimated three independent PDLMs—each focusing separately on UV Index, Ambient Temperature, and Sunlight Duration—with lags ranging from 7 to 21 days. These models controlled for overarching time trends and utilized a categorical variable to account for Region Fixed Effects modeling time-invariant regional health and socioeconomic determinants (e.g., obesity, age demographics, healthcare capacity). Furthermore, distributed lags of daily PM2.5 (air pollution) and relative humidity were explicitly included in each model as dynamic confounders. Results: The comparison of PDLM results reveals that the UV Index has the strongest negative association with COVID-19 mortality. A one standard deviation increase in the UV Index corresponds to a massive, highly significant cumulative reduction in deaths observed 1 to 3 weeks later (p < 0.001). Sunlight Duration is the second-strongest protective meteorological factor, whereas Ambient Temperature has the weakest effect. The distributed lags of particulate matter (PM2.5) and relative humidity were found to be statistically insignificant when modeled alongside the meteorological variables. Conclusions: After standardizing variables and controlling for dynamic environmental confounders like air pollution and humidity, the study findings provide robust empirical evidence that meteorological conditions have a strong significant association with COVID-19 mortality fluctuation with a temporal delay, overcoming the confounding effects of merely dry or clear-air conditions. Full article

Background: Protein phosphatase 2Cs (PP2Cs) constitutes the largest phosphatase family in plants, playing a pivotal role in signal transduction. Within this family, the PP2C.D subfamily exerts significant influence on cell elongation and stress adaptation by mediating the ‘SAUR-PP2C.D-H+-ATPase’ regulatory module in the auxin signaling pathway. In rice, OsPP2C61 is a PP2C member whose molecular features and potential regulatory context remain unclear. Methods: Our study conducted a preliminary characterization of OsPP2C61 through integrated bioinformatics analysis, spatiotemporal expression profiling, and subcellular localization experiments in tobacco leaf cell. Results: OsPP2C61 encodes a 377-amino-acid protein predicted to be hydrophilic, basic, and structurally unstable. Secondary-structure prediction identified three major elements with random coils as the predominant component, whereas 3D modeling indicated alternating α-helices and β-sheets consistent with a canonical PP2C fold. Phylogenetic inference placed OsPP2C61 within the PP2C.D clade and revealed conserved motifs shared with OsPP2C25, OsPP2C28, and OsPP2C39. Promoter analysis showed enrichment of abscisic acid (ABA)- and methyl jasmonate (MeJA)-responsive elements along with multiple stress-related cis-regulatory motifs. Spatiotemporal expression analysis showed that OsPP2C61 is highly expressed in roots. Subcellular localization assays further demonstrated that the OsPP2C61-GFP fusion protein localizes to the nucleus and the plasma membrane when transiently expressed in epidermal cells of Nicotiana benthamiana. Conclusions: This work delivers the first comprehensive characterization of OsPP2C61, establishing a foundation for mechanistic studies and positioning OsPP2C61 as a candidate gene for rice improvement. Full article

In this study, supervised machine learning (ML) regression models are employed to predict water uptake during the sorption process in a sorption reactor for thermal energy storage applications. Two main methods are used to study sorption storage systems: experimental studies and numerical simulations. Experimental studies involve physical testing and measurements but are often costly and time-consuming. Numerical simulations are more flexible and cost-effective, though they can require significant computational resources for large or complex systems. To address these challenges, researchers are increasingly employing various machine learning techniques, which offer strong potential for data analysis and predictive modeling. In this study, CFD-based sorption simulations are integrated with machine learning models to predict the spatiotemporal evolution of water uptake. Several ML techniques including support vector regression (SVR), Random Forest, XGBoost, CatBoost (gradient boosting decision trees), and multilayer perceptron neural networks (MLPs) are evaluated and compared. A fixed-bed reactor equipped with fins and tubes is considered within a closed adsorption thermal storage system. Numerical simulations are conducted for three different fin lengths (10 mm, 25 mm, and 35 mm) to generate a comprehensive dataset for training the ML models and capturing the complex temporal evolution of water uptake, thereby enabling predictions for unseen fin geometries. The results indicate that neural network-based models achieve superior predictive performance compared to the other methods. For water uptake training, the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination $\left(R^2\right)$ are approximately 2.83, 4.37, and 0.91, respectively. The predicted water uptake shows close agreement with the numerical simulation results. For the prediction cases, the MAE, MSE, and $R^2$ values are approximately 1.13, 1.2, and 0.8, respectively. Overall, the study demonstrates that machine learning models can accurately predict water uptake beyond the training dataset, indicating strong generalization capability and significant potential for improving thermal management system design. Additionally, the proposed approach reduces simulation time and computational cost while providing an efficient and reliable framework for modeling complex sorption processes in thermal energy storage systems. Full article

This study systematically quantified the carbon footprint generated by China’s consumption of eight major fossil energy sources (coal, coke, crude oil, petrol, kerosene, diesel, fuel oil, and natural gas), alongside the carbon carrying capacity of four vegetation ecosystems (forest, grassland, wetland, and crop), based on the IPCC inventory methodology. ArcGIS spatial analysis was employed to reveal the spatiotemporal distribution, while the STIRPAT model identified drivers of energy carbon footprint pressure (ECFP). Concurrently, the GM (1,1) model predicted evolution trends for both energy carbon footprint (ECF) and vegetation carbon carrying capacity. Results indicated that: (1) ECF increased from 12,039.89 million tons in 2015 to 13,896.41 million tons in 2022, representing a cumulative growth of 15.42%; (2) vegetation carbon carrying capacity increased from 4710.54 million tons in 2015 to 5300.76 million tons in 2022, representing a cumulative growth of 12.53%; (3) STIRPAT model analysis indicated that economic growth and technological progress were the dominant factors influencing ECFP; and (4) GM (1,1) predicted that the ECF would continue to grow at a slower pace by 2026, while vegetation carbon carrying capacity would steadily increase. It was concluded that optimizing the energy structure and strengthening vegetation conservation could effectively alleviate ECFP, providing crucial support for the carbon neutrality objectives of China. Full article

Drought is a complex natural hazard with severe impacts on ecosystems, agriculture, water resources, and socio-economic stability. Understanding its spatiotemporal evolution is critical for effective drought monitoring and prevention. This study analyzed drought characteristics in Henan province from 1961 to 2023 using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), calculated from daily meteorological data at 111 meteorological stations. Drought was examined at annual and seasonal scales across multiple time scales, including the 1-month time scale (SPEI1), 3-month time scale (SPEI3), and 12-month time scale (SPEI12), and future trends were assessed using Theil–Sen Median and Hurst exponent analyses. Key findings revealed the following: (1) Drought frequency showed a non-significant increasing trend overall, but drought intensity increased significantly, with severe and extreme droughts becoming more frequent. Most areas are projected to continue aridification. (2) Winter recorded the highest frequency and occurrence of droughts, followed by autumn and summer. Except for summer, moderate and severe droughts increased across all seasons. Extreme droughts increased significantly across all seasons, especially in spring and autumn. (3) High annual drought frequency was concentrated in the northwest, north, and east. Spatial patterns varied by drought severity: slight droughts were more common in the north, moderate droughts in the central–east, severe droughts in the west and south, and extreme droughts in the southwest and north. (4) Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis revealed three main spatial modes: a uniform regional pattern, a southeast–northwest contrast, and a central–eastern opposition. Shorter time scales provided more detailed spatial patterns, while longer scales better reflected interannual characteristics of drought and flood variations. This study offers valuable insights for improving drought assessment and supporting risk management and policy decisions. Full article

The rapid deployment of surveillance cameras in urban, industrial, and domestic environments has intensified the need for intelligent systems capable of analyzing video streams beyond the limitations of single-camera setups. Unlike traditional single-camera approaches, multi-camera systems expand spatial coverage, reduce blind spots, and enable consistent tracking of people and objects across non-overlapping views, thereby improving robustness against occlusions and viewpoint changes. This article presents a comprehensive review of multi-camera vision systems published between 2020 and 2025, covering application domains including public security and biometrics, intelligent transportation, smart cities and IoT, healthcare monitoring, precision agriculture, industry and robotics, pan–tilt–zoom (PTZ) camera networks, and emerging areas such as retail and forensic analysis. The review synthesizes predominant technical approaches, including deep-learning-based detection, multi-target multi-camera tracking (MTMCT), re-identification (Re-ID), spatiotemporal fusion, and edge computing architectures. Persistent challenges are identified, particularly in inter-camera data association, scalability, computational efficiency, privacy preservation, and dataset availability. Emerging trends such as distributed edge AI, cooperative camera networks, and active perception are discussed to outline future research directions toward scalable, privacy-aware, and intelligent multi-camera infrastructures. Full article

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is a key indicator reflecting soil quality and management level. Understanding its spatiotemporal dynamics in cropland is necessary for sustainable land management. Revealing the relationship patterns between SOC (Sampling resolution: 1 km²; analysis resolution: 4 km²) and environmental factors in one period allows inferring SOC distribution in unsampled years, partly compensating for temporal data gaps. This study introduces a season-based crop rotation system (Winter wheat in the first season and summer corn in the next) as independent variables in a machine learning model innovatively, enriching variable selection in SOC inference and improving understanding of SOC accumulation. The Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region, characterized by a typical winter wheat–summer corn rotation system, was selected for analysis. The results show that in 2000, the average SOC was relatively low compared with global levels. Climatic variables were negatively correlated with SOC below the 0.8 quantile but positive above it, which corresponds to the upper 20% of the observed range of each climatic variable. Winter-wheat growth is more important on SOC distribution than summer-corn growth (two annual peaks of NDVI and EVI), showing a positive correlation with SOC, while corn showed a weak correlation and became negative above the 0.8 quantile. In the inferred results, the differences between observed and inferred mean values and their confidence intervals were approximately 0.1. This research provides a reference method for evaluating regional-scale SOC distribution patterns under data-limited conditions by integrating environmental factors and crop rotation characteristics. Full article

This study investigates the spatiotemporal variability of the near-surface air temperature lapse rate (NSATLR) in Calabria, a region representative of typical Mediterranean environmental and climatic conditions. Through the integration of observational datasets and model simulations, a global sensitivity analysis using the Sobol method, and Bayesian linear regression modelling across annual, seasonal, and monthly scales, the primary drivers of near-surface air temperature (NSAT) variability were identified. Results demonstrate that altitude is the dominant factor influencing temperature distribution, with minimal contributions from other geographical parameters such as latitude, longitude, and proximity to the sea. The Bayesian models yielded robust performance for mean and maximum temperatures, while minimum temperature proved more challenging to predict. Lapse rate analyses confirmed a consistent inverse relationship between temperature and elevation, with the steepest gradients observed for Tmin. In particular, a significant long-term decline in lapse rates over the past 70 years, especially during winter and autumn, points to accelerated warming at higher elevations, primarily driven by rising Tmin values. This trend suggests a gradual homogenization of temperature across altitudes, with important implications for ecosystem dynamics, snowpack stability, and climate-sensitive sectors such as agriculture and urban planning. Full article

Rapid urbanization has intensified the mismatch between urban green space (UGS) and urban spatial vitality (USV), hindering sustainable development. To address this, we developed the Urban Green Space Vitality Adaptation Model (UGSVAM) and analyzed 64 subdistricts in central Nanjing. Specifically, this study asks: Does the mismatch exist? What are its spatiotemporal patterns? What factors drive it? Methodologically, we use the Gini coefficient and Lorenz curve to assess overall UGS-USV adaptation, then construct the Urban Green Space Vitality Density (UGVD) indicator to quantify the match level, classifying units as overloaded, underloaded, or balanced. OLS and GWR reveal global and local influencing mechanisms, while quadrant analysis supports differentiated planning. Results show: (1) UGS-USV adaptation in Nanjing is weak, with Gini coefficients of 0.466 (weekday) and 0.456 (weekend). UGVD exhibits a spatial pattern of a primary overload core in the central city, a secondary core in the southwest, and peripheral decline, with the southeast underloaded. Overloaded units also show notable temporal variation. (2) Globally POI density and intersection density promote UGVD, while excessive transport facilities, air pollution, and high temperatures inhibit it—ecological factors have stronger weekend effects. (3) Locally, the northeast is more sensitive to POI density, the southwest to transport and heat, and the Jiangbei New Area could enhance green space carrying capacity through transport optimization and spatial integration. The UGSVAM integrates spatial diagnosis, mechanism analysis, and planning response, offering a transferable framework for refining green space governance in high-density cities. Full article