Search Results (893)

Wetlands are critical components of the global carbon cycle, yet their carbon sink dynamics under hydrological fluctuations remain insufficiently understood. This study employed the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA) model to estimate the net ecosystem productivity (NEP) of the Dongting Lake wetland and explored the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving mechanisms of carbon sinks from 2000 to 2022, utilizing the Theil-Sen median trend, Mann-Kendall test, and attribution based on the differentiating equation (ADE). Results showed that (1) the annual mean spatial NEP was 50.24 g C/m²/a, which first increased and then decreased, with an overall trend of −1.5 g C/m²/a. The carbon sink was strongest in spring, declined in summer, and shifted to a carbon source in autumn and winter. (2) Climate variability and human activities contributed +2.17 and −3.73 g C/m²/a to NEP, respectively. Human activities were the primary driver of carbon sink degradation (74.30%), whereas climate change mainly promoted carbon sequestration (25.70%). However, from 2000–2011 to 2011–2022, climate change shifted from enhancing to limiting carbon sequestration, mainly due to the transition from water storage and lake reclamation to ecological restoration policies and intensified climate anomalies. (3) NEP was negatively correlated with precipitation and water level. Land use adjustments, such as forest expansion and conversion of cropland and reed to sedge, alongside maintaining growing season water levels between 24.06~26.44 m, are recommended to sustain and enhance wetland carbon sinks. Despite inherent uncertainties in model parameterization and the lack of sufficient in situ flux validation, these findings could provide valuable scientific insights for wetland carbon management and policy-making. Full article

The remote sensing monitoring of land use changes and future scenario simulation hold crucial significance for accurately characterizing urban expansion patterns, optimizing urban land use configurations, and thereby promoting coordinated regional development. Through the integration of multi-source data, this study systematically analyzes the spatiotemporal trajectories and driving forces of land use changes in the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration (PRD) from 1990 to 2020 and further simulates the spatial patterns of urban land use under diverse development scenarios from 2025 to 2035. The results indicate the following: (1) During 1990–2020, urban expansion in the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration exhibited a “stepwise growth” pattern, with an annual expansion rate of 3.7%. Regional land use remained dominated by forest (accounting for over 50%), while construction land surged from 6.5% to 21.8% of total land cover. The gravity center trajectory shifted southeastward. Concurrently, cropland fragmentation has intensified, accompanied by deteriorating connectivity of ecological lands. (2) Urban expansion in the PRD arises from synergistic interactions between natural and socioeconomic drivers. The Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model revealed that natural constraints—elevation (regression coefficients ranging −0.35 to −0.05) and river network density (−0.47 to −0.15)—exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity. Socioeconomic drivers dominated by year-end paved road area (0.26–0.28) and foreign direct investment (0.03–0.11) emerged as core expansion catalysts. Geographic detector analysis demonstrated pronounced interaction effects: all factor pairs exhibited either two-factor enhancement or nonlinear enhancement effects, with interaction explanatory power surpassing individual factors. (3) Validation of the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model showed high reliability (Kappa coefficient = 0.9205, overall accuracy = 95.9%). Under the Natural Development Scenario, construction land would exceed the ecological security baseline, causing 408.60 km² of ecological space loss; Under the Ecological Protection Scenario, mandatory control boundaries could reduce cropland and forest loss by 3.04%, albeit with unused land development intensity rising to 24.09%; Under the Economic Development Scenario, cross-city contiguous development zones along the Pearl River Estuary would emerge, with land development intensity peaking in Guangzhou–Foshan and Shenzhen–Dongguan border areas. This study deciphers the spatiotemporal dynamics, driving mechanisms, and scenario outcomes of urban agglomeration expansion, providing critical insights for formulating regionally differentiated policies. Full article

Material stocks (MS) serve as essential physical foundations for socio–economic systems, reflecting the accumulation, transformation, and consumption of resources over time and space. Positioned at the intersection of environmental and socio–economic systems, MS are increasingly recognized as leverage points for advancing sustainability. However, there is currently a lack of comprehensive overview, making it difficult to fully capture the latest developments and cutting–edge research. We adopt a systems perspective to conduct a comprehensive bibliometric and thematic review of 602 scholarly publications on MS research. The results showed that MS research encompasses has three development periods: preliminary exploration (before 2007), rapid development (2007–2016), and expansion and deepening (after 2016). MS research continues to deepen, gathering multiple teams and differentiating into diverse topics. MS research has evolved from simple accounting to intersection with socio–economic, resources, and environmental systems, and shifted from relying on statistical data to integrating high–spatio–temporal–resolution geographic big data. MS research is shifting from problem revelation to problem solving, constantly achieving new developments and improvements. In the future, it is still necessary to refine MS spatio–temporal distribution, reveal MS’s evolution mechanism, establish standardized databases, strengthen interaction with other systems, enhance problem–solving abilities, and provide powerful guidance for the formulation of dematerialization and decarbonization policies to achieve sustainable development. Full article

Spatiotemporal correlations between meteo-inputs and wind–solar outputs in an optimal regional scale are crucial for developing robust models, reliable in mid-term prediction time horizons. Modelling border conditions is vital for early recognition of progress in chaotic atmospheric processes at the destination of interest. This approach is used in differential and deep learning; artificial intelligence (AI) techniques allow for reliable pattern representation in long-term uncertainty and regional irregularities. The proposed day-by-day estimation of the RE production potential is based on first data processing in detecting modelling initialisation times from historical databases, considering correlation distance. Optimal data sampling is crucial for AI training in statistically based predictive modelling. Differential learning (DfL) is a recently developed and biologically inspired strategy that combines numerical derivative solutions with neurocomputing. This hybrid approach is based on the optimal determination of partial differential equations (PDEs) composed at the nodes of gradually expanded binomial trees. It allows for modelling of highly uncertain weather-related physical systems using unstable RE. The main objective is to improve its self-evolution and the resulting computation in prediction time. Representing relevant patterns by their similarity factors in input–output resampling reduces ambiguity in RE forecasting. Node-by-node feature selection and dynamical PDE representation of DfL are evaluated along with long-short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent processing of deep learning (DL), capturing complex spatio-temporal patterns. Parametric C++ executable software with one-month spatial metadata records is available to compare additional modelling strategies. Full article

To investigate the slope instability caused by differential frost heaving mechanisms from the slope crest to the toe during frost heave processes, this study takes a typical silty clay slope in Xinjiang, China, as the research object. Through indoor triaxial consolidated undrained shear tests, eight sets of natural and frost-heaved specimens were prepared under confining pressure conditions ranging from 100 to 400 kPa. The geotechnical parameters of the soil in both natural and frost-heaved states were obtained, and a spatiotemporal thermo-hydro-mechanical coupled numerical model was established to reveal the dynamic evolution law of anchor rod axial forces and the frost heave response mechanism between the frame and slope soil. The analytical results indicate that (1) the frost heave process is influenced by slope boundaries, resulting in distinct spatial variations in the temperature field response across the slope surface—namely pronounced responses at the crest and toe but a weaker response in the mid-slope. (2) Under the coupled drive of the water potential gradient and gravitational potential gradient, the ice content in the toe area increases significantly, and the horizontal frost heave force exhibits exponential growth, reaching its peak value of 92 kPa at the toe in February. (3) During soil freezing, the reverse stress field generated by soil arching shows consistent temporal variation trends with the temperature field. Along the height of the soil arch, the intensity of the reverse frost heave force field displays a nonlinear distribution characteristic of initial strengthening followed by attenuation. (4) By analyzing the changes in anchor rod axial forces during frost heaving, it was found that axial forces during the frost heave period are approximately 1.3 times those under natural conditions, confirming the frost heave period as the most critical condition for frame anchor design. Furthermore, through comparative analysis with 12 months of on-site anchor rod axial force monitoring data, the reliability and accuracy of the numerical simulation model were validated. These research outcomes provide a theoretical basis for the design of frame anchor support systems in seasonally frozen regions. Full article

Ningxia has emerged as a strategic hub for China’s photovoltaic (PV) industry by leveraging abundant solar energy resources and geoclimatic advantages. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal expansion trends and microclimatic impacts of PV installations (2015–2024) using Gaofen-1 (GF-1) and Landsat8 satellite imagery with deep learning algorithms and multidimensional environmental metrics. Among semantic segmentation models, DeepLabV3+ had the best performance in PV extraction, and the Mean Intersection over Union, precision, and F1-score were 91.97%, 89.02%, 89.2%, and 89.11%, respectively, with accuracies close to 100% after manual correction. Subsequent land surface temperature inversion and spatial buffer analysis quantified the thermal environmental effects of PV installation. Localized cooling patterns may be influenced by albedo and vegetation dynamics, though further validation is needed. The total PV site area in Ningxia expanded from 59.62 km² to 410.06 km² between 2015 and 2024. Yinchuan and Wuzhong cities were primary growth hubs; Yinchuan alone added 99.98 km² (2022–2023) through localized policy incentives. PV installations induced significant daytime cooling effects within 0–100 m buffers, reducing ambient temperatures by 0.19–1.35 °C on average. The most pronounced cooling occurred in western desert regions during winter (maximum temperature differential = 1.97 °C). Agricultural zones in central Ningxia exhibited weaker thermal modulation due to coupled vegetation–PV interactions. Policy-driven land use optimization was the dominant catalyst for PV proliferation. This study validates “remote sensing + deep learning” framework efficacy in renewable energy monitoring and provides empirical insights into eco-environmental impacts under “PV + ecological restoration” paradigms, offering critical data support for energy–ecology synergy planning in arid regions. Full article

As China shifts from rapid to high-quality development, urban growth has exhibited allometric patterns. This study evaluated land use efficiency from the perspective of architectural space, focusing on 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2010 to 2020. A land development intensity index was constructed at both the provincial and municipal levels using the entropy weight method, integrating floor area ratio, building density, and functional mix. The spatiotemporal characteristics of land development intensity and population density were analyzed, and a coordination coupling model was applied to identify mismatches between land and population. The results reveal: (1) Temporally, the imbalance of “more people, less land” in the Yangtze River Delta diminished. Spatially, leading regions exhibit a diffusion effect. Shanghai showed a decline in both population density and development intensity; Zhejiang maintained balanced development; Jiangsu experienced accelerated growth; and Anhui showed signs of catching up. (2) Although the two indicators showed a high coupling degree and strong correlation, the coordination degree remained low, indicating poor quality of correlation. The land-population relationship demonstrated a fluctuating pattern of “strengthening–weakening” over time. Shanghai exhibited the highest coordination, while more than half of the cities in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui still needed optimization. (3) Unlike previous findings that linked such patterns to shrinking cities, in this transformation stage, the number of cities where land development intensity exceeded population density continued to grow in advanced regions. This study first applied 3D building data at the macro scale to support differentiated spatial policies. Full article

Bract coloration in ornamental plants is a complex trait governed by diverse pigments (chlorophylls, anthocyanins, betalains, and carotenoids), their biosynthetic pathways, and regulatory networks. While previous research has primarily focused on floral pigmentation, studies on bract coloration—particularly in species where bracts serve as the primary ornamental feature—have received less attention until recent advances. This review synthesizes current understanding of bract color diversity, pigment biochemistry, and molecular regulation in key species including Bougainvillea, Euphorbia pulcherrima, Anthurium andraeanum, Curcuma alismatifolia, and Zantedeschia hybrida. Anthocyanins predominantly contribute to red-to-purple hues, while betalains generate red, purple, or yellow coloration through differential accumulation of betacyanins and betaxanthins. Developmental color transitions are mediated by chlorophyll degradation and carotenoid dynamics. The spatiotemporal regulation of pigment accumulation involves coordinated interactions between key structural genes (CHS, DFR, ANS for anthocyanins; DODA, CYP76AD1 for betalains), transcription factors (MYB, bHLH, WRKY), and plant growth regulators (BAP, GA, MeJA). Despite these advances, significant knowledge gaps remain in genetic inheritance patterns, epigenetic regulation, cross-pigment pathway crosstalk, and environmental modulation. Future research directions should integrate multi-omics approaches, wild germplasm resources, and gene-editing technologies to develop novel breeding strategies for bract color improvement. Full article

Sea fog is a natural phenomenon that significantly reduces visibility, posing navigational hazards for ships and impacting coastal activities. Geostationary meteorological satellite data have proven to be indispensable for sea fog monitoring due to their large spatial coverage and spatiotemporal consistency. However, the spectral similarities between sea fog and low clouds result in omissions and misclassifications. Furthermore, high clouds obscure certain sea fog regions, leading to under-detection and high false alarm rates. In this paper, we present a novel sea fog detection method to alleviate the challenges. Specifically, the approach leverages a fusion of spectral, motion, and spatiotemporal texture consistency features to effectively differentiate sea fog and low clouds. Additionally, a multi-scale self-attention module is incorporated to recover the sea fog region obscured by clouds. Based on the spatial distribution characteristics of sea fog and clouds, we redesigned the loss function to integrate total variation loss, focal loss, and dice loss. Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method, and the detection accuracy is compared with the vertical feature mask produced by the CALIOP and exhibits a high level of consistency. Full article

The rapid advancement of Internet of Things technologies has significantly enhanced cross-regional communication among geographically and linguistically diverse populations on social platforms yet simultaneously accelerated the propagation of rumors across multilingual networks at unprecedented velocity. Therefore, this study focuses on investigating the spatiotemporal propagation dynamics and cross-lingual diffusion characteristics of rumors. Distinguished from conventional approaches, we innovatively formulate a hybrid dual-layer rumor containment model through a reaction–diffusion framework that explicitly incorporates the coupling control effects of media layers with independent propagation dynamics. Furthermore, we rigorously prove the differentiability of control-to-state mappings, which enables the derivation of necessary optimality conditions for the optimal control problem. Finally, comprehensive simulations validate both the adaptability and effectiveness of our media-based spatiotemporal control strategies in multilingual environments. Full article

High-quality growth of the construction industry and an improved human settlements environment are essential to sustainable urbanization. Existing studies have paid limited systematic attention to the spatial and temporal dynamics of the coordinated development between the construction industry and human settlements, as well as the underlying factors driving regional disparities. This gap restricts the formulation of precise, differentiated sustainable policies tailored to regions at different development stages and with varying resource endowments. Southern China, characterized by pronounced spatial heterogeneity and unique development trends, offers a natural laboratory for examining the spatio-temporal interaction between these two dimensions. Using panel data for 15 southern provinces (2013–2022), we applied the entropy method, coupling coordination model, Dagum Gini coefficient, spatial trend surface analysis, gravity model, and grey forecasting to evaluate current conditions and predict future trends. The main findings are as follows. (1) The coupling coordination degree rose steadily, forming a stepped spatial pattern from the southwest through the center to the southeast. (2) The coupling coordination degree appears obvious polarization effect, presenting a spatial linkage pattern with Jiangsu-Shanghai-Zhejiang, Hubei-Hunan-Jiangxi, and Sichuan-Chongqing as the core of the three major clusters. (3) The overall Dagum Gini coefficient declined, but intra-regional disparities persisted: values were highest in the southeast, moderate in the center, and lowest in the southwest; inter-regional differences dominated the total inequality. (4) Forecasts for 2023–2027 suggest further improvement in the coupling coordination degree, yet spatial divergence will widen, creating a configuration of “eastern leadership, central catch-up acceleration, and differentiated southwestern development.” This study provides an evidence base for policies that foster high-quality construction sector growth and enhance the living environment. The findings of this study indicate that policymaking should prioritize promoting synergistic regional development, enhancing the radiating and driving role of core regions, and establishing a multi-level coordinated governance mechanism to bridge regional disparities and foster more balanced and sustainable development. Full article

As a crucial ecological barrier in China, the Greater Khingan Mountains play a vital role in global ecological security. Investigating the spatiotemporal variations in fractional vegetation cover (FVC) and the driving mechanisms behind its spatial differentiation is essential. This study introduced a KNDVI-XGeoML framework integrating the Kernel NDVI and explainable geospatial machine learning to analyze the FVC dynamics and the mechanisms driving their spatial differentiation in China’s Greater Khingan Mountains, based on which targeted ecological management strategies were proposed. The key findings reveal that (1) from 2001 to 2022, FVC showed an increasing trend, confirming the effectiveness of ecological restoration. (2) The XGeoML model successfully revealed nonlinear relationships and threshold effects between driving factors and FVC. In addition, both single-factor importance and inter-factor interaction analyses consistently showed that landform factors dominated the spatial distribution of FVC. (3) Regional heterogeneity emerged—human activities drove the northern alpine zones, while landform factors governed other areas. (4) The natural-environment-dominated zones and human-activity-dominated zones were established, and management strategies were proposed: restricting tourism in low-altitude zones, optimizing the cold-resistant vegetation at high elevations, and improving the southern soil conditions to support ecological barrier construction. The innovation lies in merging nonlinear vegetation indices with interpretable machine learning, overcoming the traditional limitations in terms of saturation effects and analyses of spatial heterogeneity. This approach enhances our understanding of high-latitude vegetation dynamics, offering a methodological advancement for precision ecological management. The spatial zoning strategy based on dominant drivers provides actionable insights for maintaining this critical ecological barrier, particularly under climate change pressures. The framework demonstrates strong potential for extrapolation to other ecologically sensitive regions requiring data-driven conservation planning. Full article

This study addresses the challenges of redundant crop identification features and low computational efficiency in complex agricultural environments, particularly in arid regions. Focusing on the Hexi region of Gansu Province, we utilized the Google Earth Engine (GEE) to integrate Sentinel-2 optical imagery (10 bands) and Sentinel-1 radar data (VV/VH polarization), constructing a 96-feature set that comprises spectral, vegetation index, red-edge, and texture variables. The recursive feature elimination random forest (RF-RFE) algorithm was employed for feature selection and model optimization. Key findings include: (1) Variables driven by spatiotemporal differentiation were effectively selected, with red-edge bands (B5–B7) during the grain-filling stage in August accounting for 56.7% of the top 30 features, which were closely correlated with canopy chlorophyll content (p < 0.01). (2) A breakthrough in lightweight modeling was achieved, reducing the number of features by 69%, enhancing computational efficiency by 62.5% (from 8 h to 3 h), and decreasing memory usage by 66.7% (from 12 GB to 4 GB), while maintaining classification accuracy (PA: 97.69%, UA: 97.20%, Kappa: 0.89). (3) Multi-source data fusion improved accuracy by 11.54% compared to optical-only schemes, demonstrating the compensatory role of radar in arid, cloudy regions. This study offers an interpretable and transferable lightweight framework for precision crop monitoring in arid zones. Full article

China’s accelerated urbanization has instigated construction land expansion and ecological land attrition, aggravating the carbon emission disequilibrium. Notably, the “land carbon emission elasticity coefficient” in urban agglomerations far exceeds international benchmarks, underscoring the contradiction between spatial expansion and low-carbon goals. Existing research predominantly centers on single-spatial-type or static-model analyses, lacking cross-scale mechanism exploration, policy heterogeneity consideration, and differentiated carbon metabolism assessment across functional spaces. This study takes Xiong’an New Area as a case, delineating the spatiotemporal evolution of land use and carbon emissions during 2017–2023. Construction land expanded by 26.8%, propelling an 11-fold escalation in carbon emissions, while emission intensity decreased by 11.4% due to energy efficiency improvements and renewable energy adoption. Cultivated land reduction (31.8%) caused a 73.4% decline in agricultural emissions, and ecological land network restructuring (65.3% forest expansion and wetland restoration) significantly enhanced carbon sequestration. This research validates a governance paradigm prioritizing “structural optimization” over “scale expansion”—synergizing construction land intensification with ecological restoration to decelerate emission growth and strengthen carbon sink systems. Full article

The use of gait analysis to differentiate among paediatric populations with neurological and developmental conditions such as idiopathic toe walking (ITW), cerebral palsy (CP), and hereditary spastic paraplegia (HSP) remains challenging due to the insufficient precision of current diagnostic approaches, leading in some cases to misdiagnosis. Existing methods often isolate the analysis of gait variables, overlooking the whole complexity of biomechanical patterns and variations in motor control strategies. While previous studies have explored the use of statistical physics principles for the analysis of impaired gait patterns, gaps remain in integrating both kinematic and kinetic information or benchmarking these approaches against Deep Learning models. This study evaluates the robustness of statistical physics metrics in differentiating between normal and abnormal gait patterns and quantifies how the data source affects model performance. The analysis was conducted using gait data sets from two research institutions in Madrid and Dublin, with a total of 81 children with ITW, 300 with CP, 20 with HSP, and 127 typically developing children as controls. From each kinematic and kinetic time series, Shannon’s entropy, permutation entropy, weighted permutation entropy, and time irreversibility metrics were derived and used with Random Forest models. The classification accuracy of these features was compared to a ResNet Deep Learning model. Further analyses explored the effects of inter-laboratory comparisons and the spatiotemporal resolution of time series on classification performance and evaluated the impact of age and walking speed with linear mixed models. The results revealed that statistical physics metrics were able to differentiate among impaired gait patterns, achieving classification scores comparable to ResNet. The effects of walking speed and age on gait predictability and temporal organisation were observed as disease-specific patterns. However, performance differences across laboratories limit the generalisation of the trained models. These findings highlight the value of statistical physics metrics in the classification of children with different toe walking conditions and point towards the need of multimetric integration to improve diagnostic accuracy and gain a more comprehensive understanding of gait disorders. Full article