With the advancement of urbanization, the stress on the green infrastructure around the urban agglomeration has intensified, which causes severe ecological problems. The uncertainty of urban growth makes it difficult to achieve effective protection o...
Wind-energy systems are strongly affected by uncertainty and variability. Therefore, uncertainty sources should be considered during the economic evaluation of this type of system. In the literature, a framework for the economic performance assessmen...
The article proposes a method to assess the level of economic security, based on the analysis of scenarios of future events. These scenarios cover realistically possible combinations of future events, both positive and negative, allowing for an asses...
Assuring the safety of automated vehicles is essential for their timely introduction and acceptance by policymakers and the public. To assess their safe design and robust decision making in response to all possible scenarios, new methods that use a s...
This article presents the research results related to the methodology of threat analysis to implement in energy security. In the conducted studies, the world’s output in scenario planning and the most famous cases of global security and technology sc...
As the world faces the challenge of mitigating climate change, energy- and emissions-intensive industrial processes must be addressed urgently worldwide. The cement production industry accounts for over 8% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions fro...
Urban areas are gradually becoming more viable places in terms of life quality than most rural areas. This phenomenon generates human movements, both at a local and at an international scale, the latter usually being labeled as irregular migration. T...
Due to increasing urbanization, nowadays, cities are facing challenges spanning multiple domains such as mobility, energy, environment, etc. For example, to reduce traffic congestion, energy consumption, and excessive pollution, big data gathered fro...
The sewage sludges are the byproducts of the wastewater treatment. The new perspective of the wastewater value chain points to a sustainable circular economy approach, where the residual solid material produced by sewage sludge treatments is a resour...
29 November 2019
Vehicular emissions have become an important source of air pollution, and their effective reduction control is essential to protect the environment. The aim of this study was to establish multi-year vehicular emission inventories for ten important ai...
The North China Plain faces severe water scarcity, and the efficient use of brackish water has become a crucial pathway for sustaining agricultural development. In this study, we combine scenario analysis with Data Envelopment Analysis to establish a...
Scenario analysis is a comprehensive approach to assess the impact of climate-related transition risk on businesses. Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scores are popular tools with financial institutions (FI’s) for green-scoring pract...
Blockchain is predicted to disrupt industries, economies, and societies. The properties of distributed ledgers allow the creation of immutable data structures that facilitate shared access in real time and enable a plethora of innovative applications...
In the context of global climate change and carbon neutrality goals, agriculture has emerged as a major source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and faces the critical challenge of reducing emissions while ensuring food security. However, existing r...
Cities play an important role in achieving carbon emission peaking and neutrality targets, yet identifying feasible mitigation pathways remains challenging for prefecture-level cities with limited historical data. This study develops a context-specif...
Farmers face financial challenges due to changing input costs and market prices, making risk assessment an important tool for decision-making. This study uses scenario analysis to examine how different economic conditions affect farm profitability. E...
Wireless communication has been widely used in emergency rescue, including from command vehicles to command vehicles, command vehicles to rescue teams, command vehicles to wireless sensors, and rescue teams to intelligent platforms such as unmanned v...
In view of the complexity of the energy system and its complex relationship with socio-economic factors, this study adopts the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) model, a technology-based, bottom-up approach, scenario-based analysis, to de...
In the context of large-scale wind power access to the power system, it is urgent to explore new probabilistic supply–demand analysis methods. This paper proposes a wind power stochastic and extreme scenario generation method considering wind p...
Well construction is a complex multi-step process that requires decision-making at every step. These decisions, currently made by humans, are inadvertently influenced by past experiences and human factor issues, such as the situational awareness of t...
The development of agricultural tourism (agritourism) has gained increasing importance as a tool for improving rural economies and promoting sustainable natural resource management. This study proposes a scenario-based framework for agritourism devel...
Despite coal being one of the major contributors of CO
1 March 2021
The past decades were witnessing unprecedented habitat degradation across the globe. It thus is of great significance to investigate the impacts of land use change on habitat quality in the context of rapid urbanization, particularly in developing co...
This paper develops and analyzes four energy scenarios for Colombia that consider the El Niño phenomenon and the inclusion of renewable energies in the energy generation matrix for the period 2020–2035. A comparative analysis is presented between the...
In the background of constructing a wold-class Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Great Bay Area (GBA), the growing demand for industrial, transportation and energy development in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) will put considerable pressure on improvement of re...
Recently, the Japanese government has introduced ambitious policies for agricultural sustainability, specifically the MIDORI Strategy, aimed at reducing chemical fertilizer use, expanding organic farmland, and increasing calorie-based food self-suffi...
A variety of energy-efficient and energy-generating products, such as photovoltaics (PV) and electric vehicles, have diffused into the market to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the residential sector. Understanding future changes in electricity de...
Can China feed itself by 2100? This study begins with a critical reexamination of the bayesTFR recovery assumption embedded in UN WPP 2024 and reconstructs population scenarios using an “empirical-base ± empirical-offset” methodolo...
This study investigated the energy characteristics of a 100 hp-class agricultural tractor under representative agricultural operations using field-measured workload data and a scenario-based energy analysis framework. Six representative operations, i...
In this paper, an improved grey model and scenario analysis, GA-GM(1,N) is proposed to forecast the carbon intensity in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region, one of the most developed regions in China. Moreover, to show the advantage and feasibility of...
With power consumption increasing in China, the CO2 emissions from electricity pose a serious threat to the environment. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore the influencing factors of power CO2 emissions, which is conducive to sustainab...
In this study, environmental sustainability implications of planned rail infrastructure investments on the urban form and development in the Greater Dublin Region (GDR) have been analysed incorporating the scenario analysis approach. Various scenario...
15 February 2023
Due to the prosperous development of the economy, the emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases (GHGs) have intensified and attracted attention worldwide. China has set the “dual-carbon” aim to pursue sustainable develo...
This study analyzes the potential impact of the electrification of the delivery fleet on sustainability in the e-commerce sector, forecasting trends up to 2050. Scenario analysis, forecast models, and Monte Carlo simulations are utilized to evaluate...
With the acceleration of urbanization and industrialization, regional development is becoming increasingly disordered. Thus, how to balance economic development and ecological protection is a key question. To comprehensively evaluate land development...
Urban sustainability involves a re-examination of urban development including environmental, social and economic policies and practices that acknowledge the role of cities in global environmental change. However, sustainability remains a broadly defi...
The transition towards sustainable construction is crucial, and demountable building elements are frequently advocated for achieving this goal. While these elements offer relocatability during refurbishments, their adoption may increase initial envir...
The inherent uncertainty of inflow forecasts hinders the reservoir real-time optimal operation. This paper proposes a risk analysis model for reservoir real-time optimal operation using the scenario tree-based stochastic optimization method. We quant...
In a global context where sustainable growth is imperative, understanding carbon emissions in significant regions is essential. Henan Province, being a vital region in China for population, agriculture, industry, and energy consumption, plays a cruci...
Expressway systems play a vital role in facilitating intercity travels for both passengers and freights, which are also a significant source of vehicle emissions within the transportation sector. This study investigates vehicle emissions from express...
The increasing penetration of renewable generation and flexible loads has made modern power systems operate under highly variable and diverse conditions. For power-system planning studies, static power-system analysis plays an important role in chara...
In recent years, Beijing has been facing serious environmental problems. As an important cause of environmental problems, a further study of the factors influencing CO2 emissions in Beijing has important significance for the social and economic devel...
To support carbon peaking and neutrality goals in the city transportation sector, this paper accounts for CO2 emissions from the transport sector in Xuzhou City, North Jiangsu Province, from 1995 to 2023. This study explores the relationship between...
This study is aimed at suggesting the most economical transportation route by comparing seven different Korea–US intermodal transportation routes for automotive parts exported to Southeastern USA. To keep up with the global competition of parts...
Natural gas consumption has increased with an average annual growth rate of about 10% between 2012 and 2017. Total natural gas consumption accounted for 6.4% of consumed primary energy resources in 2016, up from 5.4% in 2012, making China the world&r...
Forests in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region have played an important role in wind prevention, sand fixation, and carbon emission reduction in China. This study uses scenario analysis to assess the region’s potential for carbon emiss...
East and south coastal China is made up of a cluster of six developed provinces whose CO2 emissions account for one third of the total CO2 emissions in China. As such, it is meaningful to predict carbon emissions in this region to assess whether Chin...
In response to the objective of fully attaining carbon neutrality by 2060, people from all walks of life are pursuing low-carbon transformation. Due to the high water cut in the middle and late phases of development, the oilfield’s energy consu...
Sustainable urban development requires the coordinated development of economic, social, and environmental subsystems. Evaluating the coordination degree of different urban subsystems is of great significance to supporting sustainable urban developmen...
This study examines the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on workforce skill requirements as AI becomes increasingly integrated into business operations. Using foresight analysis and scenario-based methods, we anticipate the necessary skills for...
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