Search Results (255)

Flooding is a significant natural hazard in arid regions, particularly in Saudi Arabia, where intense rainfall events pose serious risks to both infrastructure and public safety. Bahrah City, situated between Jeddah and Makkah, has experienced recurrent flooding owing to its topography, rapid urbanization, and inadequate drainage systems. This study aims to develop a comprehensive flood hazard mapping approach for Bahrah City by integrating remote sensing data, Geographic Information Systems (GISs), and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA). Key input factors included the Digital Elevation Model (DEM), slope, distance from streams, and land use/land cover (LULC). The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) was applied to assign relative weights to these factors, which were then combined with fuzzy membership values through fuzzy overlay analysis to generate a flood susceptibility map categorized into five levels. According to the AHP analysis, the high-susceptibility zone covers 2.2 km², indicating areas highly vulnerable to flooding, whereas the moderate-susceptibility zone spans 26.1 km², representing areas prone to occasional flooding, but with lower severity. The low-susceptibility zone, covering the largest area (44.7 km ²), corresponds to regions with a lower likelihood of significant flooding. Additionally, hydraulic simulations using the rain-on-grid (RoG) method in HEC-RAS were conducted to validate the hazard assessment by identifying inundation depths. Both the AHP analysis and the RoG flood hazard maps consistently identify the western part of Bahrah City as the high-susceptibility zone, reinforcing the reliability and complementarity of both models. These findings provide critical insights for urban planners and policymakers to improve flood hazard mitigation and strengthen resilience to future flood events. Full article

With the accelerating pace of urbanization, cities are increasingly affected by rainstorm and flood disasters, which pose severe threats to the safety of residents’ lives and property. Existing models are increasingly inadequate in meeting the accuracy requirements for flood simulation in highly urbanized regions. Thus, it is urgent to develop a new method for flood inundation simulation based on high-resolution urban hydrological units. The novelty of the model lies in the novel structure of the high-resolution Urban Hydrological Units model (HRGM), which replaces coarse sub-catchments with a fine-grained network of urban hydrological units. The primary innovation is the node-based coupling strategy, in which the HRGM provides precise overflow hydrographs at drainage inlets as point sources for LISFLOOD-FP, rather than relying on diffuse runoff inputs from larger areas. In this paper, a high-resolution hydraulic model (HRGM) based on urban hydrological units coupled with a 2D hydrodynamic model (LISFLOOD-FP) was constructed and successfully applied in the Chebeichong watershed. Results show that the model’s simulations align well with observed data, achieving a Nash efficiency coefficient above 0.8 under typical rainfall events. Compared with the SWMM model, the simulation results of HRGM were significantly improved and more consistent with measured results. Taking the rainstorm event on 10 August 2021 as an example, the Nash coefficient increased from 0.7 to 0.85, while the peak flow error decreased markedly from 15.8% to 3.1%. It should be emphasized that urban waterlogging distribution is not continuous but appears as patchy, discontinuous, and fragmented patterns due to the segmentation and blocking effects of roads and buildings in urban areas. The framework presented in this study shows potential for application in other regions requiring flood risk assessment at urban agglomeration scales, offering a valuable reference for advancing flood prediction methodologies and disaster mitigation strategies. Full article

Flash floods are among the most destructive hazards in northeastern Bangladesh, particularly in Sylhet district, where intense rainfall from the Meghalaya hills generates rapid inundation of low-lying areas. This study applies the Delft3D Flexible Mesh (FM) Suite to simulate flash flood inundation in the Surma River catchment and assess its potential for hazard mapping. Hydrological inputs were obtained from Bangladesh Water Development Board (BWDB) stations, combined with bathymetric surveys and a 10 m resolution DEM derived from remote sensing data. Model calibration and validation were performed using observed discharge and water level data at SW267 for the years 2019–2020 and verified for flood events in 2012, 2016, and 2017. The model achieved strong agreement with observed flows (R² > 0.9, NSE = 0.75–0.93), and the simulated inundation extent corresponded well with Sentinel-1A satellite-derived flood maps. Validation indicated that Delft3D FM can reasonably capture flash flood propagation and floodplain inundation patterns, including frequently affected areas, e.g., Sylhet Uposhohor. The results demonstrate the value of integrating hydrodynamic modeling with satellite-based validation for improved flood risk management. Findings highlight the potential of Delft3D FM to support early warning, urban planning, and disaster preparedness in flash flood-prone regions of Bangladesh. Full article

The accelerating impacts of climate change present critical challenges to cultural heritage, particularly in the Mediterranean region where hydroclimatic extremes are intensifying. Future estimates for the Sanctuary of Asklepios at Epidaurus, a UNESCO World Heritage Site, suggest more intense precipitation patterns, increased rainfall intensity and water-induced material degradation. This study aims to identify current and projected climate-related threats to the site and to inform adaptive strategies that safeguard both its physical integrity and its associated heritage values through a value-based approach. Opting for a heritage value-based risk assessment, the study employs a mixed-methods technical approach grounded in the Conceptual Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction of UNISDR and ICCROM’s “ABC Method” for the risk assessment of climatic threats that combines GIS-based hydrological modelling (HAND), field observations and existing material assessments with NARA Grids to link exposure, vulnerability and value loss. Results reveal intensified surface water runoff and localised water inundation threatening key monuments, particularly the Roman Odeion and the central part of the site’s ensemble, while frost-related risks are projected to decline towards 2100. The findings suggest the development of site-specific climate change adaptation that prioritises drainage enhancement, preventive conservation and continuous monitoring to preserve its Outstanding Universal Values under changing climatic conditions. Full article

Tidal inundation is a key factor determining the structure and function of estuarine salt marsh ecosystems. However, due to the influence of microtopography (small-scale topographic variations), the fine-scale spatial variations in tidal inundation have not been fully studied. To fill this research gap, this study focuses on the Luanhe Estuary—a region highly sensitive to topographic changes—and explores in depth the physical mechanisms regulating tidal inundation in this area. The study integrates long-term data from the Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI), spanning the period from 2016 to 2025, to construct a high-resolution time series dataset of Apparent Inundation Frequency (AIF). Subsequently, this dataset is correlated with a high-precision microtopographic Digital Elevation Model (DEM) obtained through Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) surveys. The analysis reveals a strong nonlinear relationship between AIF and topographic elevation, which is best described by an exponential decay model (R² = 0.903). The results show that the average inundation probability in the study area has shown a fluctuating but overall upward trend, increasing from 16.74% in 2016 to 29.02% in 2025 (peaking at 31.39% in 2024). Quantitative modeling confirms that microtopography is the primary controlling factor for fine-scale variations in tidal inundation levels. The integrated research approach proposed in this study provides a reliable framework for coastal vulnerability assessment. Against the backdrop of increasingly severe impacts from climate change and human activities, the high-resolution quantitative data generated by this study provides scientific support for formulating disaster mitigation and geomorphological management strategies. Full article

Floods increasingly threaten semiarid regions, yet their long-term soil ecological impacts remain underdocumented. This study quantifies the hydrologic change and flood-induced soil transformation on the Zhabay River floodplain (Akmola, Kazakhstan) using integrated field, laboratory, and remote sensing data. Gauge records (2012–2024) were analyzed; inundation was mapped from a 0.30 m DEM (Digital Elevation Model) merging SRTM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission), Landsat 8/Sentinel 2, and UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) photogrammetry (NDWI (Normalized Difference Water Index) > 0.28) and validated with 54 in situ depths (MAE (Mean Absolute Error) 0.17 m). Soil samples collected before and after floods were analyzed for texture, bulk density, pH, Eh, macronutrients, and heavy metals. Annual maxima increased by 0.08 m yr⁻¹, while extreme floods became more frequent. Thresholds of ≥0.5 m depth and >7 days duration marked compaction onset, whereas >1 m and ≥12 days produced maximum organic carbon loss and Zn/Ni enrichment. The combination of high-resolution DEMs, ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) analysis, and soil microbial monitoring provides new operational indicators of soil degradation for Central Asian steppe floodplains. Findings contribute to SDG 13 (Climate Action) and SDG 15 (Life on Land) by linking flood resilience assessment with sustainable land-use planning. Full article

Channel geometry, e.g., riverbed elevation and channel width, is the fundamental input for hydrodynamic simulations and conveys critical information for understanding fluvial processes. In remote or data-scarce areas, however, traditional field surveys face financial and technical challenges for providing enough spatiotemporal coverage. This study proposes an innovative method integrating multi-source satellite data (Sentinel-2 and ICESat-2) and hydraulic modeling to derive channel geometry for part of the Nen River, China. Both channel width (R² = 0.98, RMSE = 35.41 m) and bottom elevation (R² = 0.86, RMSE = 1.77 m, PBIAS = −0.61%) are well predicted. The satellite-derived channel geometry results in an overall good simulation of 1D flows through the 5-yr period in terms of peak magnitudes and timings, with the NSE value of 0.94, RMSE of 207.76 m³/s, and PBIAS of 6.19%. The 2D inundation driven by the derived channel geometry achieved accurate hydrodynamic responses. However, for the channel bend with complicated flow regimes, the satellite-derived channel terrains tend to generate more different flow rates due to the hypothesized rectangular channel. This proposed method provides a promising way to derive river bathymetry in both low-gradient and high-slope regions where precise river topography is difficult to obtain. Full article

With the increasing frequency of extreme rainfall events, pluvial flooding has become a critical challenge to the safety and sustainable development of megacities worldwide. This study proposes a multi-dimensional framework for assessing urban pluvial flood resilience (UPFR) by integrating a coupled hydrological-hydrodynamic model with system performance curves. The framework characterizes the dynamic evolution of resilience across three dimensions: rainfall characteristics, risk thresholds, and spatial scales. Results show that short-duration intense rainfall triggers instantaneous pipe overloading, whereas long-duration storms impose cumulative stress that leads to sustained systemic weakening, with the lowest resilience observed under extreme prolonged rainfall conditions. The specification of risk thresholds strongly influences resilience ranking, with the vehicle stalling risk (VSR) consistently showing the lowest resilience, followed by building inundation risk (BIR) and human instability risk (HIR). Spatially, pipes represent the weakest components, nodes maintain resilience under moderate stress, and the regional system exhibits a pattern of local weakness but overall stability, accompanied by delayed recovery. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating multi-threshold and multi-scale perspectives in flood resilience assessment and management. The proposed framework provides a scientific basis to support staged prevention measures and adaptive emergency response strategies, thereby enhancing urban flood resilience in megacities. Full article

Urban coastal areas are increasingly vulnerable to compound flooding due to the convergence of extreme rainfall, storm surges, and infrastructure aging, especially in high-density settings. This study proposes and empirically validates a multi-scale strategy for enhancing urban flood resilience in the Macau Peninsula, a densely built coastal city with complex flood exposure patterns. Building on a previously developed network-based resilience assessment framework, the study integrates hydrodynamic simulation and complex network analysis to evaluate the effectiveness of targeted interventions, including segmented storm surge defense barriers, drainage infrastructure upgrades, and spatially optimized low-impact development (LID) measures. The Macau Peninsula was partitioned into multiple shoreline defense zones, each guided by context-specific design principles and functional zoning. Based on our previously developed flood simulation framework covering extreme rainfall, storm surge, and compound events in high-density coastal zones, this study validates resilience strategies that achieve significant reductions in inundation extent, water depth, and recession time. Additionally, the network-based resilience index showed marked improvement in system connectivity and recovery efficiency, particularly under compound hazard conditions. The findings highlight the value of integrating spatial planning, ecological infrastructure, and systemic modeling to inform adaptive flood resilience strategies in compact coastal cities. The framework developed offers transferable insights for other urban regions confronting escalating hydrometeorological risks under climate change. Full article

The Bekasi River Basin is highly vulnerable to severe and recurrent flooding, as evidenced by significant infrastructure and environmental damage during major events. This study investigates the catastrophic floods of 2016, 2020, 2022, and 2025 by implementing the Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) model to simulate key hydrological processes. After validation using historical water level data, the model performed effectively, achieving the highest coefficient of determination (R² = 0.75) and lowest root mean square error (RMSE = 0.66) at Cileungsi Station. In contrast, the lowest R² = 0.02, and the highest RMSE = 3.74 at Pondok Gede Permai (PGP) Station. The results reveal a concerning trend of worsening 5-year flood events, with the 2025 flood reaching a peak inundation depth exceeding 3 m and affecting an area of 2.97 km², caused by a rainfall threshold of more than 180 mm/day. Furthermore, the model shows a rapid hydrological response, with a time lag of approximately 7 h or less between peak rainfall and flood onset across three monitoring stations. Analysis indicates these severe floods were primarily triggered by heavy rainfall combined with significant land cover changes. The findings provide valuable insights for flood prediction and mitigation strategies in this vulnerable region. Full article

Coastal wetlands are a critical buffer between land and water that are threatened by land use and climate change, necessitating improved monitoring for management and resilience planning. The recently launched NASA-ISRO L- and S-band SAR satellite (NISAR) will provide regular collections of fully polarimetric SAR imagery over the Great Lakes, allowing for unprecedented remote monitoring of the large expanses of coastal wetlands in the region. Prior research with polarimetric C-band SAR showed inconsistencies with common polarimetric analysis techniques, including the erroneous misattribution of double-bounce scattering in three-component scattering models. To prepare for NISAR and determine whether SAR-based coastal wetland analysis methods established with the C-band are applicable to the L- and S-bands, the NASA-ISRO airborne system (ASAR) collected imagery over western Lake Erie and Lake St. Clair coincident with a field data collection campaign. ASAR data were analyzed to identify common Great Lakes coastal wetland vegetation species, assess the extent of inundation, and derive biomass retrieval algorithms. Co-polarized phase difference histograms were also analyzed to assess the validity of three-component scattering decompositions. The L- and S-bands allowed for the production of wetland type maps with high accuracies (92%), comparable to those produced using a fusion of optical and SAR data. Both frequencies could assess the extent of flooded vegetation, with the S-band correctly identifying inundated vegetation at a slightly higher rate than the L-band (83% to 78%). Marsh vegetation biomass retrieval algorithms derived from L-band data had the best correlation with field data (R² = 0.71). Three component scattering models were found to misattribute double-bounce scattering at incidence angles shallower than 35°. The L- and S-band results were compared with satellite RADARSAT-2 imagery collected close to the ASAR acquisitions. This study provides an advanced understanding of polarimetric SAR for monitoring wetlands and provides a framework for utilizing forthcoming NISAR data for effective monitoring. Full article

Addressing earthquake risk remains a significant global challenge, requiring rapid assessment of evacuation shelters for effective disaster response. Existing frameworks, such as FEMA’s Hazus, Copernicus EMS, and UNOSAT, offer valuable insights but are typically regional, static, and event-focused, lacking mechanisms for continuous shelter-level updates. This study introduces the Shelter Hazard Impact and Lifeline Outage Estimation (SHILOE) framework. SHILOE is a stepwise estimation approach integrating multisensor datasets for time-scaled assessments of shelter functionality and operability. These datasets include seismic intensity, liquefaction probability, tsunami inundation, IoT-derived power outage data, communication network disruptions, and social media. Application to the 2024 Noto Peninsula earthquake showed that ≥93.6% of designated and activated shelters were impacted by at least one hazard, with all experiencing at least one lifeline outage. The framework delivers estimates through three phases: immediate (within tens of minutes, e.g., simulation-based hazard models and lifeline data), intermediate (days, e.g., observation-based datasets), and refinement (ongoing, e.g., Social Networking Service and detailed field surveys). By progressively incorporating new data across these phases, SHILOE generates dynamic, facility-level insights that capture evolving hazard exposure and lifeline status. These outputs provide actionable information for emergency managers to prioritize resources, reinforce shelters, and sustain critical services, thereby advancing disaster resilience. Full article

Floods are among the most frequent and destructive natural hazards worldwide, with increasingly severe socioeconomic consequences due to rapid urbanization, land use changes, and climate variability. While the combination of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) with models such as HEC-RAS has been extensively explored for flood risk management, many existing studies remain limited to one-dimensional (1D) models or use coarse-resolution terrain data, often underestimating flood risk and failing to produce critical multivariate flood characteristics in densely built urban areas. This study applies a two-dimensional (2D) hydraulic modeling framework in HEC-RAS combined with GIS-based spatial analysis, using a high-resolution (1 × 1 m) LiDAR-derived Digital Terrain Model (DTM) and a hybrid mesh refined between 2 × 2 m and 8 × 8 m, with the main contributions represented by the specific application context and methodological choices. A key methodological aspect is the direct integration of synthetic hydrographs with defined exceedance probabilities (10%, 1%, and 0.1%) into the 2D model, thereby reducing the need for extensive hydrological simulations and defining a data-driven approach for resource-constrained environments. The primary novelty is the application of this high-resolution urban modeling framework to a Romanian urban–peri-urban setting, where detailed hydrological observations are scarce. Unlike previous studies in Romania, this approach applies detailed channel and floodplain discretization at high spatial resolution, explicitly incorporating anthropogenic features like buildings and detailed land use roughness for the accurate representation of local hydraulic dynamics. The resulting outputs (inundation extents, depths, and velocities) support risk assessment and spatial planning in the Ungheni locality (Iași County, Romania), providing a practical, transferable workflow adapted to data-scarce regions. Scenario results quantify vulnerability: for the 0.1% exceedance probability scenario (with a calibration accuracy of ±15–30 min deviation for peak flow timing), the flood risk may affect 882 buildings, 42 land parcels, and 13.5 km of infrastructure. This framework contributes to evidence-based decision-making for climate adaptation and disaster risk reduction strategies, improving urban resilience. Full article

Costa Rica has experienced 45 tsunamis at both its Pacific and Caribbean coasts, with none to moderated impact. However, the coastal population has increased exponentially in the past few decades, which might lead to higher impact in future tsunamis. In 2018 and 2019, IOC/UNESCO organized Experts Meetings of Tsunami Sources, Hazards, Risks and Uncertainties associated with the Tonga–Kermadec and Colombia–Ecuador subduction zones, where experts defined maximum credible scenarios. Here we modeled the propagation of those tsunami scenarios to Costa Rica and their inundation for selected sites. We found that the Tonga–Kermadec scenarios provoked more inundation than previous modeled sources from that region. However, the large travel time for those scenarios, about 14 h, would allow for a timely evacuation. In the Colombia–Ecuador scenarios, they provoked less inundation than previously modeled sources from that region, a good outcome as their arrival time is between 75 and 150 min. These new results required the update of tsunami evacuation maps and/or plans for many communities but provided more favorable conditions for tsunami preparedness. Yet, the short arrival times of the Colombia–Ecuador scenarios still require a prompt response from the population and authorities. For this, additional to updated tsunami evacuation maps and plans, it is recommended to have tsunami exercises on a regular basis. Full article

Rapid urbanization and frequent extreme events have made urban flooding a growing threat to residents. This issue is acute in old urban districts, where extremely limited land resources, outdated standards and poor infrastructure have led to inadequate drainage and uneven pipe settlement, heightening flood risk. This study applies InfoWorks ICM Ultimate (version 21.0.284) to simulate flooding in a typical old urban district for six return periods. A risk assessment was carried out, flood causes were analyzed, and mitigation strategies were evaluated to reduce inundation and cost. Results show that all combined schemes outperform single-measure solutions. Among them, the green roof combined with pipe optimization scheme eliminated high-risk and medium-risk areas, while reducing low-risk areas by over 78.23%. It also lowered the ponding depth at key waterlogging points by 70%, significantly improving the flood risk profile. The permeable pavement combined with pipe optimization scheme achieved similar results, reducing low-risk areas by 77.42% and completely eliminating ponding at key locations, although at a 50.8% higher cost. This study underscores the unique contribution of cost-considered gray-green infrastructure retrofitting in old urban areas characterized by land scarcity and aging pipeline networks. It provides a quantitative basis and optimization strategies for refined modeling and multi-strategy management of urban waterlogging in such regions, offering valuable references for other cities facing similar challenges. The findings hold significant implications for urban flood control planning and hydrological research, serving as an important resource for urban planners engaged in flood risk management and researchers in urban hydrology and stormwater management. Full article