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Search Results (9,768)

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21 pages, 2077 KiB  
Article
Quantitative Risk Assessment of Liquefied Natural Gas Bunkering Hoses in Maritime Operations: A Case of Shenzhen Port
by Yimiao Gu, Yanmin Zeng and Hui Shan Loh
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1494; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081494 (registering DOI) - 2 Aug 2025
Abstract
The widespread adoption of liquefied natural gas (LNG) as a marine fuel has driven the development of LNG bunkering operations in global ports. Major international hubs, such as Shenzhen Port, have implemented ship-to-ship (STS) bunkering practices. However, this process entails unique safety risks, [...] Read more.
The widespread adoption of liquefied natural gas (LNG) as a marine fuel has driven the development of LNG bunkering operations in global ports. Major international hubs, such as Shenzhen Port, have implemented ship-to-ship (STS) bunkering practices. However, this process entails unique safety risks, particularly hazards associated with vapor cloud dispersion caused by bunkering hose releases. This study employs the Phast software developed by DNV to systematically simulate LNG release scenarios during STS operations, integrating real-world meteorological data and storage conditions. The dynamic effects of transfer flow rates, release heights, and release directions on vapor cloud dispersion are quantitatively analyzed under daytime and nighttime conditions. The results demonstrate that transfer flow rate significantly regulates dispersion range, with recommendations to limit the rate below 1500 m3/h and prioritize daytime operations to mitigate risks. Release heights exceeding 10 m significantly amplify dispersion effects, particularly at night (nighttime dispersion area at a height of 20 m is 3.5 times larger than during the daytime). Optimizing release direction effectively suppresses dispersion, with vertically downward releases exhibiting minimal impact. Horizontal releases require avoidance of downwind alignment, and daytime operations are prioritized to reduce lateral dispersion risks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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17 pages, 8148 KiB  
Article
Inland Flood Analysis in Irrigated Agricultural Fields Including Drainage Systems and Pump Stations
by Inhyeok Song, Heesung Lim and Hyunuk An
Water 2025, 17(15), 2299; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152299 (registering DOI) - 2 Aug 2025
Abstract
Effective flood management in agricultural fields has become increasingly important due to the rising frequency and intensity of rainfall events driven by climate change. This study investigates the applicability of urban flood analysis models—SWMM (1D) and K-Flood (2D)—to irrigated agricultural fields with artificial [...] Read more.
Effective flood management in agricultural fields has become increasingly important due to the rising frequency and intensity of rainfall events driven by climate change. This study investigates the applicability of urban flood analysis models—SWMM (1D) and K-Flood (2D)—to irrigated agricultural fields with artificial drainage systems. A case study was conducted in a rural area near the Sindae drainage station in Cheongju, South Korea, using rainfall data from an extreme weather event in 2017. The models simulated inland flooding and were validated against flood trace maps provided by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (MOIS). Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis showed a true positive rate of 0.565, a false positive rate of 0.21, and an overall accuracy of 0.731, indicating reasonable agreement with observed inundation. Scenario analyses were also conducted to assess the effectiveness of three improvement strategies: reducing the Manning coefficient, increasing pump station capacity, and widening drainage channels. Among them, increasing pump capacity most effectively reduced flood volume, while channel widening had the greatest impact on reducing flood extent. These findings demonstrate the potential of urban flood models for application in agricultural contexts and support data-driven planning for rural flood mitigation. Full article
19 pages, 18533 KiB  
Article
Modeling of Marine Assembly Logistics for an Offshore Floating Photovoltaic Plant Subject to Weather Dependencies
by Lu-Jan Huang, Simone Mancini and Minne de Jong
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1493; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081493 (registering DOI) - 2 Aug 2025
Abstract
Floating solar technology has gained significant attention as part of the global expansion of renewable energy due to its potential for installation in underutilized water bodies. Several countries, including the Netherlands, have initiated efforts to extend this technology from inland freshwater applications to [...] Read more.
Floating solar technology has gained significant attention as part of the global expansion of renewable energy due to its potential for installation in underutilized water bodies. Several countries, including the Netherlands, have initiated efforts to extend this technology from inland freshwater applications to open offshore environments, particularly within offshore wind farm areas. This development is motivated by the synergistic benefits of increasing site energy density and leveraging the existing offshore grid infrastructure. The deployment of offshore floating photovoltaic (OFPV) systems involves assembling multiple modular units in a marine environment, introducing operational risks that may give rise to safety concerns. To mitigate these risks, weather windows must be considered prior to the task execution to ensure continuity between weather-sensitive activities, which can also lead to additional time delays and increased costs. Consequently, optimizing marine logistics becomes crucial to achieving the cost reductions necessary for making OFPV technology economically viable. This study employs a simulation-based approach to estimate the installation duration of a 5 MWp OFPV plant at a Dutch offshore wind farm site, started in different months and under three distinct risk management scenarios. Based on 20 years of hindcast wave data, the results reveal the impacts of campaign start months and risk management policies on installation duration. Across all the scenarios, the installation duration during the autumn and winter period is 160% longer than the one in the spring and summer period. The average installation durations, based on results from 12 campaign start months, are 70, 80, and 130 days for the three risk management policies analyzed. The result variation highlights the additional time required to mitigate operational risks arising from potential discontinuity between highly interdependent tasks (e.g., offshore platform assembly and mooring). Additionally, it is found that the weather-induced delays are mainly associated with the campaigns of pre-laying anchors and platform and mooring line installation compared with the other campaigns. In conclusion, this study presents a logistics modeling methodology for OFPV systems, demonstrated through a representative case study based on a state-of-the-art truss-type design. The primary contribution lies in providing a framework to quantify the performance of OFPV installation strategies at an early design stage. The findings of this case study further highlight that marine installation logistics are highly sensitive to local marine conditions and the chosen installation strategy, and should be integrated early in the OFPV design process to help reduce the levelized cost of electricity. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Design, Modeling, and Development of Marine Renewable Energy Devices)
30 pages, 1130 KiB  
Review
Beyond the Backbone: A Quantitative Review of Deep-Learning Architectures for Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting
by He Huang, Difei Deng, Liang Hu, Yawen Chen and Nan Sun
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2675; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152675 (registering DOI) - 2 Aug 2025
Abstract
Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone (TC) tracks is critical for disaster preparedness and risk mitigation. While traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems have long served as the backbone of operational forecasting, they face limitations in computational cost and sensitivity to initial conditions. In [...] Read more.
Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone (TC) tracks is critical for disaster preparedness and risk mitigation. While traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems have long served as the backbone of operational forecasting, they face limitations in computational cost and sensitivity to initial conditions. In recent years, deep learning (DL) has emerged as a promising alternative, offering data-driven modeling capabilities for capturing nonlinear spatiotemporal patterns. This paper presents a comprehensive review of DL-based approaches for TC track forecasting. We categorize all DL-based TC tracking models according to the architecture, including recurrent neural networks (RNNs), convolutional neural networks (CNNs), Transformers, graph neural networks (GNNs), generative models, and Fourier-based operators. To enable rigorous performance comparison, we introduce a Unified Geodesic Distance Error (UGDE) metric that standardizes evaluation across diverse studies and lead times. Based on this metric, we conduct a critical comparison of state-of-the-art models and identify key insights into their relative strengths, limitations, and suitable application scenarios. Building on this framework, we conduct a critical cross-model analysis that reveals key trends, performance disparities, and architectural tradeoffs. Our analysis also highlights several persistent challenges, such as long-term forecast degradation, limited physical integration, and generalization to extreme events, pointing toward future directions for developing more robust and operationally viable DL models for TC track forecasting. To support reproducibility and facilitate standardized evaluation, we release an open-source UGDE conversion tool on GitHub. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section AI Remote Sensing)
20 pages, 1907 KiB  
Article
Multi-Innovation-Based Parameter Identification for Vertical Dynamic Modeling of AUV Under High Maneuverability and Large Attitude Variations
by Jianping Yuan, Zhixun Luo, Lei Wan, Cenan Wang, Chi Zhang and Qingdong Chen
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1489; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081489 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
The parameter identification of Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs) serves as a fundamental basis for achieving high-precision motion control, state monitoring, and system development. Currently, AUV parameter identification typically relies on the complete motion information obtained from onboard sensors. However, in practical applications, it [...] Read more.
The parameter identification of Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs) serves as a fundamental basis for achieving high-precision motion control, state monitoring, and system development. Currently, AUV parameter identification typically relies on the complete motion information obtained from onboard sensors. However, in practical applications, it is often challenging to accurately measure key state variables such as velocity and angular velocity, resulting in incomplete measurement data that compromises identification accuracy and model reliability. This issue is particularly pronounced in vertical motion tasks involving low-speed, large pitch angles, and highly maneuverable conditions, where the strong coupling and nonlinear characteristics of underwater vehicles become more significant. Traditional hydrodynamic models based on full-state measurements often suffer from limited descriptive capability and difficulties in parameter estimation under such conditions. To address these challenges, this study investigates a parameter identification method for AUVs operating under vertical, large-amplitude maneuvers with constrained measurement information. A control autoregressive (CAR) model-based identification approach is derived, which requires only pitch angle, vertical velocity, and vertical position data, thereby reducing the dependence on complete state observations. To overcome the limitations of the conventional Recursive Least Squares (RLS) algorithm—namely, its slow convergence and low accuracy under rapidly changing conditions—a Multi-Innovation Least Squares (MILS) algorithm is proposed to enable the efficient estimation of nonlinear hydrodynamic characteristics in complex dynamic environments. The simulation and experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method, demonstrating high identification accuracy and robustness in scenarios involving large pitch angles and rapid maneuvering. The results confirm that the combined use of the CAR model and MILS algorithm significantly enhances model adaptability and accuracy, providing a solid data foundation and theoretical support for the design of AUV control systems in complex operational environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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19 pages, 2359 KiB  
Article
Research on Concrete Crack Damage Assessment Method Based on Pseudo-Label Semi-Supervised Learning
by Ming Xie, Zhangdong Wang and Li’e Yin
Buildings 2025, 15(15), 2726; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15152726 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
To address the inefficiency of traditional concrete crack detection methods and the heavy reliance of supervised learning on extensive labeled data, in this study, an intelligent assessment method of concrete damage based on pseudo-label semi-supervised learning and fractal geometry theory is proposed to [...] Read more.
To address the inefficiency of traditional concrete crack detection methods and the heavy reliance of supervised learning on extensive labeled data, in this study, an intelligent assessment method of concrete damage based on pseudo-label semi-supervised learning and fractal geometry theory is proposed to solve two core tasks: one is binary classification of pixel-level cracks, and the other is multi-category assessment of damage state based on crack morphology. Using three-channel RGB images as input, a dual-path collaborative training framework based on U-Net encoder–decoder architecture is constructed, and a binary segmentation mask of the same size is output to achieve the accurate segmentation of cracks at the pixel level. By constructing a dual-path collaborative training framework and employing a dynamic pseudo-label refinement mechanism, the model achieves an F1-score of 0.883 using only 50% labeled data—a mere 1.3% decrease compared to the fully supervised benchmark DeepCrack (F1 = 0.896)—while reducing manual annotation costs by over 60%. Furthermore, a quantitative correlation model between crack fractal characteristics and structural damage severity is established by combining a U-Net segmentation network with the differential box-counting algorithm. The experimental results demonstrate that under a cyclic loading of 147.6–221.4 kN, the fractal dimension monotonically increases from 1.073 (moderate damage) to 1.189 (failure), with 100% accuracy in damage state identification, closely aligning with the degradation trend of macroscopic mechanical properties. In complex crack scenarios, the model attains a recall rate (Re = 0.882), surpassing U-Net by 13.9%, with significantly enhanced edge reconstruction precision. Compared with the mainstream models, this method effectively alleviates the problem of data annotation dependence through a semi-supervised strategy while maintaining high accuracy. It provides an efficient structural health monitoring solution for engineering practice, which is of great value to promote the application of intelligent detection technology in infrastructure operation and maintenance. Full article
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15 pages, 560 KiB  
Article
Exploring the Material Feasibility of a LiFePO4-Based Energy Storage System
by Caleb Scarlett and Vivek Utgikar
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4102; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154102 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
This paper analyzes the availability of lithium resources required to support a global decarbonized energy system featuring electrical energy storage based on lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries. A net-zero carbon grid consisting of existing nuclear and hydro capacity, with the balance being a [...] Read more.
This paper analyzes the availability of lithium resources required to support a global decarbonized energy system featuring electrical energy storage based on lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries. A net-zero carbon grid consisting of existing nuclear and hydro capacity, with the balance being a 50/50 mix of wind and solar power generation, is assumed to satisfy projected world electrical demand in 2050, incorporating the electrification of transportation. The battery electrical storage capacity needed to support this grid is estimated and translated into the required number of nominal 10 MWh LFP storage plants similar to the ones currently in operation. The total lithium required for the global storage system is determined from the number of nominal plants and the inventory of lithium in each plant. The energy required to refine this amount of lithium is accounted for in the estimation of the total lithium requirement. Comparison of the estimated lithium requirements with known global lithium resources indicates that a global storage system consisting only of LFP plants would require only around 12.3% of currently known lithium reserves in a high-economic-growth scenario. The overall cost for a global LFP-based grid-scale energy storage system is estimated to be approximately USD 17 trillion. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Renewable Energy and Energy Storage Systems)
22 pages, 29737 KiB  
Article
A Comparative Investigation of CFD Approaches for Oil–Air Two-Phase Flow in High-Speed Lubricated Rolling Bearings
by Ruifeng Zhao, Pengfei Zhou, Jianfeng Zhong, Duan Yang and Jie Ling
Machines 2025, 13(8), 678; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13080678 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
Analyzing the two-phase flow behavior in bearing lubrication is crucial for understanding friction and wear mechanisms, optimizing lubrication design, and improving bearing operational efficiency and reliability. However, the complexity of oil–air two-phase flow in high-speed bearings poses significant research challenges. Currently, there is [...] Read more.
Analyzing the two-phase flow behavior in bearing lubrication is crucial for understanding friction and wear mechanisms, optimizing lubrication design, and improving bearing operational efficiency and reliability. However, the complexity of oil–air two-phase flow in high-speed bearings poses significant research challenges. Currently, there is a lack of comparative studies employing different simulation strategies to address this issue, leaving a gap in evidence-based guidance for selecting appropriate simulation approaches in practical applications. This study begins with a comparative analysis between experimental and simulation results to validate the reliability of the adopted simulation approach. Subsequently, a comparative evaluation of different simulation methods is conducted to provide a scientific basis for relevant decision-making. Evaluated from three dimensions—adaptability to rotational speed conditions, research focuses (oil distribution and power loss), and computational economy—the findings reveal that FVM excels at medium-to-high speeds, accurately predicting continuous oil film distribution and power loss, while MPS, leveraging its meshless Lagrangian characteristics, demonstrates superior capability in describing physical phenomena under extreme conditions, albeit with higher computational costs. Economically, FVM, supported by mature software ecosystems and parallel computing optimization, is more suitable for industrial design applications, whereas MPS, being more reliant on high-performance hardware, is better suited for academic research and customized scenarios. The study further proposes that future research could adopt an FVM-MPS coupled approach to balance efficiency and precision, offering a new paradigm for multi-scale lubrication analysis in bearings. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Machine Design and Theory)
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22 pages, 6482 KiB  
Article
Surface Damage Detection in Hydraulic Structures from UAV Images Using Lightweight Neural Networks
by Feng Han and Chongshi Gu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2668; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152668 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
Timely and accurate identification of surface damage in hydraulic structures is essential for maintaining structural integrity and ensuring operational safety. Traditional manual inspections are time-consuming, labor-intensive, and prone to subjectivity, especially for large-scale or inaccessible infrastructure. Leveraging advancements in aerial imaging, unmanned aerial [...] Read more.
Timely and accurate identification of surface damage in hydraulic structures is essential for maintaining structural integrity and ensuring operational safety. Traditional manual inspections are time-consuming, labor-intensive, and prone to subjectivity, especially for large-scale or inaccessible infrastructure. Leveraging advancements in aerial imaging, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) enable efficient acquisition of high-resolution visual data across expansive hydraulic environments. However, existing deep learning (DL) models often lack architectural adaptations for the visual complexities of UAV imagery, including low-texture contrast, noise interference, and irregular crack patterns. To address these challenges, this study proposes a lightweight, robust, and high-precision segmentation framework, called LFPA-EAM-Fast-SCNN, specifically designed for pixel-level damage detection in UAV-captured images of hydraulic concrete surfaces. The developed DL-based model integrates an enhanced Fast-SCNN backbone for efficient feature extraction, a Lightweight Feature Pyramid Attention (LFPA) module for multi-scale context enhancement, and an Edge Attention Module (EAM) for refined boundary localization. The experimental results on a custom UAV-based dataset show that the proposed damage detection method achieves superior performance, with a precision of 0.949, a recall of 0.892, an F1 score of 0.906, and an IoU of 87.92%, outperforming U-Net, Attention U-Net, SegNet, DeepLab v3+, I-ST-UNet, and SegFormer. Additionally, it reaches a real-time inference speed of 56.31 FPS, significantly surpassing other models. The experimental results demonstrate the proposed framework’s strong generalization capability and robustness under varying noise levels and damage scenarios, underscoring its suitability for scalable, automated surface damage assessment in UAV-based remote sensing of civil infrastructure. Full article
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26 pages, 3037 KiB  
Article
Effectiveness of Firefighter Training for Indoor Intervention: Analysis of Temperature Profiles and Extinguishing Effectiveness
by Jan Hora
Fire 2025, 8(8), 304; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire8080304 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study assessed the effectiveness of stress-based cognitive-behavioral training compared to standard training in firefighters, emphasizing their ability to distribute extinguishing water and cool environments evenly during enclosure fires. Experiments took place at the Zbiroh training facility with two firefighter teams (Team A [...] Read more.
This study assessed the effectiveness of stress-based cognitive-behavioral training compared to standard training in firefighters, emphasizing their ability to distribute extinguishing water and cool environments evenly during enclosure fires. Experiments took place at the Zbiroh training facility with two firefighter teams (Team A with stress-based training and Team B with standard training) under realistic conditions. Using 58 thermocouples and 4 radiometers, temperature distribution and radiant heat flux were measured to evaluate water distribution efficiency and cooling performance during interventions. Team A consistently achieved temperature reductions of approximately 320 °C in the upper layers and 250–400 °C in the middle layers, maintaining stable conditions, whereas Team B only achieved partial cooling, with upper-layer temperatures remaining at 750–800 °C. Additionally, Team A recorded lower radiant heat flux densities (e.g., 20.74 kW/m2 at 0°) compared to Team B (21.81 kW/m2), indicating more effective water application and adaptability. The findings confirm that stress-based training enhances firefighters’ operational readiness and their ability to distribute water effectively during interventions. This skill is essential for safer and effective management of indoor fires under extreme conditions. This study supports the inclusion of stress-based and scenario-based training in firefighter education to enhance safety and operational performance. Full article
16 pages, 3183 KiB  
Case Report
A Multidisciplinary Approach to Crime Scene Investigation: A Cold Case Study and Proposal for Standardized Procedures in Buried Cadaver Searches over Large Areas
by Pier Matteo Barone and Enrico Di Luise
Forensic Sci. 2025, 5(3), 34; https://doi.org/10.3390/forensicsci5030034 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
This case report presents a multidisciplinary forensic investigation into a cold case involving a missing person in Italy, likely linked to a homicide that occurred in 2008. The investigation applied a standardized protocol integrating satellite imagery analysis, site reconnaissance, vegetation clearance, ground-penetrating radar [...] Read more.
This case report presents a multidisciplinary forensic investigation into a cold case involving a missing person in Italy, likely linked to a homicide that occurred in 2008. The investigation applied a standardized protocol integrating satellite imagery analysis, site reconnaissance, vegetation clearance, ground-penetrating radar (GPR), and cadaver dog (K9) deployment. A dedicated decision tree guided each phase, allowing for efficient allocation of resources and minimizing investigative delays. Although no human remains were recovered, the case demonstrates the practical utility and operational robustness of a structured, evidence-based model that supports decision-making even in the absence of positive findings. The approach highlights the relevance of “negative” results, which, when derived through scientifically validated procedures, offer substantial value by excluding burial scenarios with a high degree of reliability. This case is particularly significant in the Italian forensic context, where the adoption of standardized search protocols remains limited, especially in complex outdoor environments. The integration of geophysical, remote sensing, and canine methodologies—rooted in forensic geoarchaeology—provides a replicable framework that enhances both investigative effectiveness and the evidentiary admissibility of findings in court. The protocol illustrated in this study supports the consistent evaluation of large and morphologically complex areas, reduces the risk of interpretive error, and reinforces the transparency and scientific rigor expected in judicial settings. As such, it offers a model for improving forensic search strategies in both national and international contexts, particularly in long-standing or high-profile missing persons cases. Full article
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21 pages, 6893 KiB  
Article
Nose-Wheel Steering Control via Digital Twin and Multi-Disciplinary Co-Simulation
by Wenjie Chen, Luxi Zhang, Zhizhong Tong and Leilei Liu
Machines 2025, 13(8), 677; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13080677 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
The aircraft nose-wheel steering system serves as a critical component for ensuring ground taxiing safety and maneuvering efficiency. However, its dynamic control stability faces significant challenges under complex operational conditions. Existing research predominantly focuses on single-discipline modeling, with insufficient in-depth analysis of the [...] Read more.
The aircraft nose-wheel steering system serves as a critical component for ensuring ground taxiing safety and maneuvering efficiency. However, its dynamic control stability faces significant challenges under complex operational conditions. Existing research predominantly focuses on single-discipline modeling, with insufficient in-depth analysis of the coupling effects between hydraulic system dynamics and mechanical dynamics. Traditional PID controllers exhibit limitations in scenarios involving nonlinear time-varying conditions caused by normal load fluctuations of the landing gear buffer strut during high-speed landing phases, including increased control overshoot and inadequate adaptability to abrupt load variations. These issues severely compromise the stability of high-speed deviation correction and overall aircraft safety. To address these challenges, this study constructs a digital twin model based on real aircraft data and innovatively implements multidisciplinary co-simulation via Simcenter 3D, AMESim 2021.1, and MATLAB R2020a. A fuzzy adaptive PID controller is specifically designed to achieve adaptive adjustment of control parameters. Comparative analysis through co-simulation demonstrates that the proposed mechanical–electrical–hydraulic collaborative control strategy significantly reduces response delay, effectively minimizes control overshoot, and decreases hydraulic pressure-fluctuation amplitude by over 85.2%. This work provides a novel methodology for optimizing steering stability under nonlinear interference scenarios, offering substantial engineering applicability and promotion value. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Robotics, Mechatronics and Intelligent Machines)
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18 pages, 2724 KiB  
Article
Uncertainty-Aware Earthquake Forecasting Using a Bayesian Neural Network with Elastic Weight Consolidation
by Changchun Liu, Yuting Li, Huijuan Gao, Lin Feng and Xinqian Wu
Buildings 2025, 15(15), 2718; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15152718 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
Effective earthquake early warning (EEW) is essential for disaster prevention in the built environment, enabling a rapid structural response, system shutdown, and occupant evacuation to mitigate damage and casualties. However, most current EEW systems lack rigorous reliability analyses of their predictive outcomes, limiting [...] Read more.
Effective earthquake early warning (EEW) is essential for disaster prevention in the built environment, enabling a rapid structural response, system shutdown, and occupant evacuation to mitigate damage and casualties. However, most current EEW systems lack rigorous reliability analyses of their predictive outcomes, limiting their effectiveness in real-world scenarios—especially for on-site warnings, where data are limited and time is critical. To address these challenges, we propose a Bayesian neural network (BNN) framework based on Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD). By performing Bayesian inference, we estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters, thus outputting a reliability analysis of the prediction results. In addition, we incorporate a continual learning mechanism based on elastic weight consolidation, allowing the system to adapt quickly without full retraining. Our experiments demonstrate that our SVGD-BNN model significantly outperforms traditional peak displacement (Pd)-based approaches. In a 3 s time window, the Pearson correlation coefficient R increases by 9.2% and the residual standard deviation SD decreases by 24.4% compared to a variational inference (VI)-based BNN. Furthermore, the prediction variance generated by the model can effectively reflect the uncertainty of the prediction results. The continual learning strategy reduces the training time by 133–194 s, enhancing the system’s responsiveness. These features make the proposed framework a promising tool for real-time, reliable, and adaptive EEW—supporting disaster-resilient building design and operation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Structures)
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30 pages, 12322 KiB  
Article
Dynamic Modeling and Validation of Dual-Cable Double-Pendulum Systems for Gantry Cranes
by Bowen Jin, Ji Zeng, Pan Gao, He Zhang and Shenwei Ge
Machines 2025, 13(8), 676; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13080676 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
This paper presents a novel dynamic modeling framework for gantry crane systems based on the cart double pendulum with dual cables (CDPD) model. The CDPD model systematically incorporates the effects of dual suspension cables, equalizer beams, and closed-chain kinematic constraints, enabling an accurate [...] Read more.
This paper presents a novel dynamic modeling framework for gantry crane systems based on the cart double pendulum with dual cables (CDPD) model. The CDPD model systematically incorporates the effects of dual suspension cables, equalizer beams, and closed-chain kinematic constraints, enabling an accurate simulation of both symmetric and asymmetric lifting scenarios. Utilizing Kane’s method, the model efficiently handles redundant coordinates and holonomic constraints, resulting in a compact and numerically robust formulation. Validation results demonstrate strict energy conservation and consistency with traditional models in limiting cases. The proposed approach provides a unified and extensible foundation for the advanced analysis, control, and optimization of large-scale gantry crane operations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Machine Design and Theory)
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27 pages, 471 KiB  
Article
Multi-Granulation Covering Rough Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets Based on Maximal Description
by Xiao-Meng Si and Zhan-Ao Xue
Symmetry 2025, 17(8), 1217; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17081217 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
Rough sets and fuzzy sets are two complementary approaches for modeling uncertainty and imprecision. Their integration enables a more comprehensive representation of complex, uncertain systems. However, existing rough fuzzy sets models lack the expressive power to fully capture the interactions among structural uncertainty, [...] Read more.
Rough sets and fuzzy sets are two complementary approaches for modeling uncertainty and imprecision. Their integration enables a more comprehensive representation of complex, uncertain systems. However, existing rough fuzzy sets models lack the expressive power to fully capture the interactions among structural uncertainty, cognitive hesitation, and multi-level granular information. To address these limitations, we achieve the following: (1) We propose intuitionistic fuzzy covering rough membership and non-membership degrees based on maximal description and construct a new single-granulation model that more effectively captures both the structural relationships among elements and the semantics of fuzzy information. (2) We further extend the model to a multi-granulation framework by defining optimistic and pessimistic approximation operators and analyzing their properties. Additionally, we propose a neutral multi-granulation covering rough intuitionistic fuzzy sets based on aggregated membership and non-membership degrees. Compared with single-granulation models, the multi-granulation models integrate multiple levels of information, allowing for more fine-grained and robust representations of uncertainty. Finally, a case study on real estate investment was conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed models. The results show that our models can more precisely represent uncertainty and granularity in complex data, providing a flexible tool for knowledge representation in decision-making scenarios. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mathematics)
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