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Keywords = neural gas analysis

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19 pages, 7138 KiB  
Article
Classification Algorithms for Fast Retrieval of Atmospheric Vertical Columns of CO in the Interferogram Domain
by Nejla Ećo, Sébastien Payan and Laurence Croizé
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(16), 2804; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17162804 - 13 Aug 2025
Viewed by 180
Abstract
Onboard the MetOp satellite series, Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) is a Fourier Transform spectrometer based on the Michelson interferometer. IASI acquires interferograms, which are processed to provide high-resolution atmospheric emission spectra. These spectra enable the derivation of temperature and humidity profiles, among [...] Read more.
Onboard the MetOp satellite series, Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) is a Fourier Transform spectrometer based on the Michelson interferometer. IASI acquires interferograms, which are processed to provide high-resolution atmospheric emission spectra. These spectra enable the derivation of temperature and humidity profiles, among other parameters, with exceptional spectral resolution. In this study, we evaluate a novel, rapid retrieval approach in the interferogram domain, aiming for near-real-time (NRT) analysis of large spectral datasets anticipated from next-generation tropospheric sounders, such as MTG-IRS. The Partially Sampled Interferogram (PSI) method, applied to trace gas retrievals from IASI, has been sparsely explored. However, previous studies suggest its potential for high-accuracy retrievals of specific gases, including CO, CO2, CH4, and N2O at the resolution of a single IASI footprint. This article presents the results of a study based on retrieval in the interferogram domain. Furthermore, the optical pathway differences sensitive to the parameters of interest are studied. Interferograms are generated using a fast Fourier transform on synthetic IASI spectra. Finally, the relationship to the total column of carbon monoxide is explored using three different algorithms—from the most intuitive to a complex neural network approach. These algorithms serve as a proof of concept for interferogram classification and rapid predictions of surface temperature, as well as the abundances of H2O and CO. IASI spectra simulations were performed using the LATMOS Atmospheric Retrieval Algorithm (LARA), a robust and validated radiative transfer model based on least squares estimation. The climatological library TIGR was employed to generate IASI interferograms from LARA spectra. TIGR includes 2311 atmospheric scenarios, each characterized by temperature, water vapor, and ozone concentration profiles across a pressure grid from the surface to the top of the atmosphere. Our study focuses on CO, a critical trace gas for understanding air quality and climate forcing, which displays a characteristic absorption pattern in the 2050–2350 cm1 wavenumber range. Additionally, the study explores the potential of correlating interferogram characteristics with surface temperature and H2O content, aiming to enhance the accuracy of CO column retrievals. Starting with intuitive retrieval algorithms, we progressively increased complexity, culminating in a neural network-based algorithm. The results of the NN study demonstrate the feasibility of fast interferogram-domain retrievals, paving the way for operational applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Remote Sensing)
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17 pages, 1856 KiB  
Article
Optimizing Ultrasonic-Assisted Extraction Process of Paralepista flaccida: A Comparative Study of Antioxidant, Anticholinesterase, and Antiproliferative Activities via Response Surface Methodology and Artificial Neural Network Modeling
by Mustafa Sevindik, Ayşenur Gürgen, Aras Fahrettin Korkmaz and Ilgaz Akata
Molecules 2025, 30(16), 3317; https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules30163317 - 8 Aug 2025
Viewed by 220
Abstract
In this study, extraction conditions were optimized to maximize the biological activities of extracts obtained from Paralepista flaccida, an edible mushroom species. Extraction processes were carried out using an ultrasonically assisted system, and two different optimization approaches were used as follows: Response [...] Read more.
In this study, extraction conditions were optimized to maximize the biological activities of extracts obtained from Paralepista flaccida, an edible mushroom species. Extraction processes were carried out using an ultrasonically assisted system, and two different optimization approaches were used as follows: Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and Artificial Neural Network–Genetic Algorithm (ANN-GA). The antioxidant potentials of the optimized extracts were evaluated using DPPH, FRAP, TAS, TOS, and OSI parameters; anticholinesterase activities were measured against AChE and BChE enzymes; and antiproliferative activities were investigated in A549, MCF-7, and DU-145 human cancer cell lines. In addition, phenolic contents were determined by LC-MS/MS analysis. The findings revealed that the extracts obtained by the RSM method exhibited a superior biological profile compared to ANN-GA extracts in terms of antioxidant, anticholinesterase, and antiproliferative activities. The high cytotoxicity observed, particularly in the MCF-7 line, supports the anticancer potential of this extract. These results demonstrate that optimization strategies are crucial for increasing not only extract yield but also biological functionality. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Exploring Bioactive Compounds in Foods and Nutrients for Human Health)
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28 pages, 7766 KiB  
Article
Feature Importance Analysis for Compressive Bearing Capacity of HSCM Piles Based on GA-BPNN
by Fangzhou Chu, Jiakuan Ma, Yang Luan and Shilin Chen
Buildings 2025, 15(15), 2790; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15152790 - 7 Aug 2025
Viewed by 198
Abstract
To address the complex pile–soil interaction mechanisms in predicting the compressive bearing capacity of HSCM piles (Helix Stiffened Cement Mixing piles) in marine soft soil regions, this study proposes an intelligent prediction method based on a GA-BPNN (Genetic Algorithm-Optimized Back Propagation Neural Network). [...] Read more.
To address the complex pile–soil interaction mechanisms in predicting the compressive bearing capacity of HSCM piles (Helix Stiffened Cement Mixing piles) in marine soft soil regions, this study proposes an intelligent prediction method based on a GA-BPNN (Genetic Algorithm-Optimized Back Propagation Neural Network). A high-quality database comprising 1243 data points was established through finite element numerical simulations. By integrating data preprocessing techniques and the GA-BPNN model, the study systematically investigated the influence of helical blade spacing H1 and H2, strength ratio Cref/Su, and diameter ratio Dsc/DH on bearing capacity. The results demonstrate that the GA-BPNN model achieves a prediction accuracy of 99.07%, with a mean squared error (MSE) of 7.20 × 10−3 and a coefficient of determination R2 of 0.990. SHAP value analysis reveals that the strength ratio and diameter ratio are the dominant factors, exhibiting nonlinear relationships with bearing capacity characterized by saturation effects and threshold-dependent behavior. Laboratory tests further confirm strong correlations between cement–soil strength Cref, formed pile diameter Dsc, and bearing capacity. The findings indicate that the GA-BPNN model provides an efficient and accurate approach for predicting the bearing capacity of HSCM piles, offering a reliable basis for engineering parameter optimization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Structures)
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28 pages, 10147 KiB  
Article
Construction of Analogy Indicator System and Machine-Learning-Based Optimization of Analogy Methods for Oilfield Development Projects
by Muzhen Zhang, Zhanxiang Lei, Chengyun Yan, Baoquan Zeng, Fei Huang, Tailai Qu, Bin Wang and Li Fu
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4076; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154076 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 301
Abstract
Oil and gas development is characterized by high technical complexity, strong interdisciplinarity, long investment cycles, and significant uncertainty. To meet the need for quick evaluation of overseas oilfield projects with limited data and experience, this study develops an analogy indicator system and tests [...] Read more.
Oil and gas development is characterized by high technical complexity, strong interdisciplinarity, long investment cycles, and significant uncertainty. To meet the need for quick evaluation of overseas oilfield projects with limited data and experience, this study develops an analogy indicator system and tests multiple machine-learning algorithms on two analogy tasks to identify the optimal method. Using an initial set of basic indicators and a database of 1436 oilfield samples, a combined subjective–objective weighting strategy that integrates statistical methods with expert judgment is used to select, classify, and assign weights to the indicators. This process results in 26 key indicators for practical analogy analysis. Single-indicator and whole-asset analogy experiments are then performed with five standard machine-learning algorithms—support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), backpropagation neural network (BP), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), and decision tree (DT). Results show that SVM achieves classification accuracies of 86% and 95% in medium-high permeability sandstone oilfields, respectively, greatly surpassing other methods. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed indicator system and methodology, providing efficient and objective technical support for evaluating and making decisions on overseas oilfield development projects. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section H1: Petroleum Engineering)
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24 pages, 4618 KiB  
Article
A Sensor Data Prediction and Early-Warning Method for Coal Mining Faces Based on the MTGNN-Bayesian-IF-DBSCAN Algorithm
by Mingyang Liu, Xiaodong Wang, Wei Qiao, Hongbo Shang, Zhenguo Yan and Zhixin Qin
Sensors 2025, 25(15), 4717; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25154717 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 280
Abstract
In the context of intelligent coal mine safety monitoring, an integrated prediction and early-warning method named MTGNN-Bayesian-IF-DBSCAN (Multi-Task Graph Neural Network–Bayesian Optimization–Isolation Forest–Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise) is proposed to address the challenges of gas concentration prediction and anomaly detection in [...] Read more.
In the context of intelligent coal mine safety monitoring, an integrated prediction and early-warning method named MTGNN-Bayesian-IF-DBSCAN (Multi-Task Graph Neural Network–Bayesian Optimization–Isolation Forest–Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise) is proposed to address the challenges of gas concentration prediction and anomaly detection in coal mining faces. The MTGNN (Multi-Task Graph Neural Network) is first employed to model the spatiotemporal coupling characteristics of gas concentration and wind speed data. By constructing a graph structure based on sensor spatial dependencies and utilizing temporal convolutional layers to capture long short-term time-series features, the high-precision dynamic prediction of gas concentrations is achieved via the MTGNN. Experimental results indicate that the MTGNN outperforms comparative algorithms, such as CrossGNN and FourierGNN, in prediction accuracy, with the mean absolute error (MAE) being as low as 0.00237 and the root mean square error (RMSE) maintained below 0.0203 across different sensor locations (T0, T1, T2). For anomaly detection, a Bayesian optimization framework is introduced to adaptively optimize the fusion weights of IF (Isolation Forest) and DBSCAN (Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise). Through defining the objective function as the F1 score and employing Gaussian process surrogate models, the optimal weight combination (w_if = 0.43, w_dbscan = 0.52) is determined, achieving an F1 score of 1.0. By integrating original concentration data and residual features, gas anomalies are effectively identified by the proposed method, with the detection rate reaching a range of 93–96% and the false alarm rate controlled below 5%. Multidimensional analysis diagrams (e.g., residual distribution, 45° diagonal error plot, and boxplots) further validate the model’s robustness in different spatial locations, particularly in capturing abrupt changes and low-concentration anomalies. This study provides a new technical pathway for intelligent gas warning in coal mines, integrating spatiotemporal modeling, multi-algorithm fusion, and statistical optimization. The proposed framework not only enhances the accuracy and reliability of gas prediction and anomaly detection but also demonstrates potential for generalization to other industrial sensor networks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Industrial Sensors)
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19 pages, 1761 KiB  
Article
Prediction of China’s Silicon Wafer Price: A GA-PSO-BP Model
by Jining Wang, Hui Chen and Lei Wang
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2453; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152453 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 218
Abstract
The BP (Back-Propagation) neural network model (hereafter referred to as the BP model) often gets stuck in local optima when predicting China’s silicon wafer price, which hurts the accuracy of the forecasts. This study addresses the issue by enhancing the BP model. It [...] Read more.
The BP (Back-Propagation) neural network model (hereafter referred to as the BP model) often gets stuck in local optima when predicting China’s silicon wafer price, which hurts the accuracy of the forecasts. This study addresses the issue by enhancing the BP model. It integrates the principles of genetic algorithm (GA) with particle swarm optimization (PSO) to develop a new model called the GA-PSO-BP. This study also considers the material price from both the supply and demand sides of the photovoltaic industry. These prices are important factors in China’s silicon wafer price prediction. This research indicates that improving the BP model by integrating GA allows for a broader exploration of potential solution spaces. This approach helps to prevent local minima and identify the optimal solution. The BP model converges more quickly by using PSO for weight initialization. Additionally, the method by which particles share information decreases the probability of being confined to local optima. The upgraded GA-PSO-BP model demonstrates improved generalization capabilities and makes more accurate predictions. The MAE (Mean Absolute Error) value of the GA-PSO-BP model is 31.01% lower than those of the standalone BP model and also falls by 19.36% and 16.28% relative to the GA-BP and PSO-BP models, respectively. The smaller the value, the closer the prediction result of the model is to the actual value. This model has proven effective and superior in China’s silicon wafer price prediction. This capability makes it an essential resource for market analysis and decision-making within the silicon wafer industry. Full article
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38 pages, 5939 KiB  
Article
Decentralized Energy Management for Microgrids Using Multilayer Perceptron Neural Networks and Modified Cheetah Optimizer
by Zulfiqar Ali Memon, Ahmed Bilal Awan, Hasan Abdel Rahim A. Zidan and Mohana Alanazi
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2385; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082385 - 27 Jul 2025
Viewed by 513
Abstract
This paper presents a decentralized energy management system (EMS) based on Multilayer Perceptron Artificial Neural Networks (MLP-ANNs) and a Modified Cheetah Optimizer (MCO) to account for uncertainty in renewable generation and load demand. The proposed framework applies an MLP-ANN with Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) training [...] Read more.
This paper presents a decentralized energy management system (EMS) based on Multilayer Perceptron Artificial Neural Networks (MLP-ANNs) and a Modified Cheetah Optimizer (MCO) to account for uncertainty in renewable generation and load demand. The proposed framework applies an MLP-ANN with Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) training for high-precision forecasts of photovoltaic/wind generation, ambient temperature, and load demand, greatly outperforming traditional statistical methods (e.g., time-series analysis) and resilient backpropagation (RP) in precision. The new MCO algorithm eliminates local trapping and premature convergence issues in classical optimization methods like Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Genetic Algorithms (GAs). Simulations on a test microgrid verily demonstrate the advantages of the framework, achieving a 26.8% cost-of-operation reduction against rule-based EMSs and classical PSO/GA, and a 15% improvement in forecast accuracy using an LM-trained MLP-ANN. Moreover, demand response programs embodied in the system reduce peak loads by 7.5% further enhancing grid stability. The MLP-ANN forecasting–MCO optimization duet is an effective and cost-competitive decentralized microgrid management solution under uncertainty. Full article
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17 pages, 3178 KiB  
Article
Deep Learning-Based YOLO Applied to Rear Weld Pool Thermal Monitoring of Metallic Materials in the GTAW Process
by Vinicius Lemes Jorge, Zaid Boutaleb, Theo Boutin, Issam Bendaoud, Fabien Soulié and Cyril Bordreuil
Metals 2025, 15(8), 836; https://doi.org/10.3390/met15080836 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 378
Abstract
This study investigates the use of YOLOv8 deep learning models to segment and classify thermal images acquired from the rear of the weld pool during the Gas Tungsten Arc Welding (GTAW) process. Thermal data were acquired using a two-color pyrometer under three welding [...] Read more.
This study investigates the use of YOLOv8 deep learning models to segment and classify thermal images acquired from the rear of the weld pool during the Gas Tungsten Arc Welding (GTAW) process. Thermal data were acquired using a two-color pyrometer under three welding current levels (160 A, 180 A, and 200 A). Models of sizes from nano to extra-large were trained on 66 annotated frames and evaluated with and without data augmentation. The results demonstrate that the YOLOv8m model achieved the best classification performance, with a precision of 83.25% and an inference time of 21.4 ms per frame by using GPU, offering the optimal balance between accuracy and speed. Segmentation accuracy also remained high across all current levels. The YOLOv8n model was the fastest (15.9 ms/frame) but less accurate (75.33%). Classification was most reliable at 160 A, where the thermal field was more stable. The arc reflection class was consistently identified with near-perfect precision, demonstrating the model’s robustness against non-relevant thermal artifacts. These findings confirm the feasibility of using lightweight, dual-task neural networks for reliable weld pool analysis, even with limited training data. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Welding Processes of Metallic Materials)
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19 pages, 5311 KiB  
Article
Constraint-Aware and User-Specific Product Design: A Machine Learning Framework for User-Centered Optimization
by Ming Deng
Electronics 2025, 14(15), 2962; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14152962 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 201
Abstract
This study presents a data-driven, multi-objective optimization framework for user-centric product form design, integrating affective response modeling with coupled constraint satisfaction. Initially, morphological analysis and aesthetic evaluation are employed to extract critical design elements, while cluster analysis segments users based on preference data. [...] Read more.
This study presents a data-driven, multi-objective optimization framework for user-centric product form design, integrating affective response modeling with coupled constraint satisfaction. Initially, morphological analysis and aesthetic evaluation are employed to extract critical design elements, while cluster analysis segments users based on preference data. Dominance-based rough set theory is then applied to derive group-specific affective patterns, which are subsequently modeled using Genetic Algorithm-optimized Backpropagation Neural Networks (GA-BPNN). The framework leverages Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) to generate Pareto-optimal solutions, balancing aesthetic preferences and engineering constraints across user groups. A case study on SUV form design validates the proposed methodology, demonstrating its efficacy in delivering optimal, user-group-targeted design solutions while accommodating individual variability and constraint interdependencies. The results highlight the framework’s potential as a generalizable approach for emotion-aware, constraint-compliant product design. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue User-Centered Interaction Design: Latest Advances and Prospects)
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22 pages, 5102 KiB  
Article
Approaches to Proxy Modeling of Gas Reservoirs
by Alexander Perepelkin, Anar Sharifov, Daniil Titov, Zakhar Shandrygolov, Denis Derkach and Shamil Islamov
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3881; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143881 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 286
Abstract
In the gas industry, accurate forecasting of gas production is critical for optimizing well operating conditions. Although traditional hydrodynamic models offer high accuracy, they are often computationally intensive and time-consuming, prompting a growing interest in proxy-based alternatives. This study proposes a hybrid methodology [...] Read more.
In the gas industry, accurate forecasting of gas production is critical for optimizing well operating conditions. Although traditional hydrodynamic models offer high accuracy, they are often computationally intensive and time-consuming, prompting a growing interest in proxy-based alternatives. This study proposes a hybrid methodology based on Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (ST-GNNs) for gas production forecasting. The methodology integrates graph neural networks to account for spatial interdependencies between wells with recurrent and convolutional neural networks for time-series analysis. The model was validated using an extensive set of hydrodynamic simulation calculations and real-world field data. On average, the ST-GNN method reduces computational time by a factor of 4.3 compared to traditional hydrodynamic models, with a median predictive error not exceeding 10% across diverse datasets, despite variability in specific scenarios. The ST-GNN framework demonstrates promising potential as a tool for operational and strategic planning. Full article
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15 pages, 2325 KiB  
Article
Research on Quantitative Analysis Method of Infrared Spectroscopy for Coal Mine Gases
by Feng Zhang, Yuchen Zhu, Lin Li, Suping Zhao, Xiaoyan Zhang and Chaobo Chen
Molecules 2025, 30(14), 3040; https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules30143040 - 20 Jul 2025
Viewed by 295
Abstract
Accurate and reliable detection of coal mine gases is the key to ensuring the safe service of coal mine production. Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy, due to its high sensitivity, non-destructive nature, and potential for online monitoring, has emerged as a key technique [...] Read more.
Accurate and reliable detection of coal mine gases is the key to ensuring the safe service of coal mine production. Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy, due to its high sensitivity, non-destructive nature, and potential for online monitoring, has emerged as a key technique in gas detection. However, the complex underground environment often causes baseline drift in IR spectra. Furthermore, the variety of gas species and uneven distribution of concentrations make it difficult to achieve precise and reliable online analysis using existing quantitative methods. This paper aims to perform a quantitative analysis of coal mine gases by FTIR. It utilized the adaptive smoothness parameter penalized least squares method to correct the drifted spectra. Subsequently, based on the infrared spectral distribution characteristics of coal mine gases, they could be classified into gases with mutually distinct absorption peaks and gases with overlapping absorption peaks. For gases with distinct absorption peaks, three spectral lines, including the absorption peak and its adjacent troughs, were selected for quantitative analysis. Spline fitting, polynomial fitting, and other curve fitting methods are used to establish a functional relationship between characteristic parameters and gas concentration. For gases with overlapping absorption peaks, a wavelength selection method bassed on the impact values of variables and population analysis was applied to select variables from the spectral data. The selected variables were then used as input features for building a model with a backpropagation (BP) neural network. Finally, the proposed method was validated using standard gases. Experimental results show detection limits of 0.5 ppm for CH4, 1 ppm for C2H6, 0.5 ppm for C3H8, 0.5 ppm for n-C4H10, 0.5 ppm for i-C4H10, 0.5 ppm for C2H4, 0.2 ppm for C2H2, 0.5 ppm for C3H6, 1 ppm for CO, 0.5 ppm for CO2, and 0.1 ppm for SF6, with quantification limits below 10 ppm for all gases. Experimental results show that the absolute error is less than 0.3% of the full scale (F.S.) and the relative error is within 10%. These results demonstrate that the proposed infrared spectral quantitative analysis method can effectively analyze mine gases and achieve good predictive performance. Full article
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16 pages, 944 KiB  
Article
Artificial Intelligence in the Oil and Gas Industry: Applications, Challenges, and Future Directions
by Marcelo dos Santos Póvoas, Jéssica Freire Moreira, Severino Virgínio Martins Neto, Carlos Antonio da Silva Carvalho, Bruno Santos Cezario, André Luís Azevedo Guedes and Gilson Brito Alves Lima
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 7918; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15147918 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 1671
Abstract
This study aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the application of artificial intelligence (AI) methods to solve real-world problems in the oil and gas sector. The methodology involved a two-step process for analyzing AI applications. In the first step, an initial exploration [...] Read more.
This study aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the application of artificial intelligence (AI) methods to solve real-world problems in the oil and gas sector. The methodology involved a two-step process for analyzing AI applications. In the first step, an initial exploration of scientific articles in the Scopus database was conducted using keywords related to AI and computational intelligence, resulting in a total of 11,296 articles. The bibliometric analysis conducted using VOS Viewer version 1.6.15 software revealed an average annual growth of approximately 15% in the number of publications related to AI in the sector between 2015 and 2024, indicating the growing importance of this technology. In the second step, the research focused on the OnePetro database, widely used by the oil industry, selecting articles with terms associated with production and drilling, such as “production system”, “hydrate formation”, “machine learning”, “real-time”, and “neural network”. The results highlight the transformative impact of AI on production operations, with key applications including optimizing operations through real-time data analysis, predictive maintenance to anticipate failures, advanced reservoir management through improved modeling, image and video analysis for continuous equipment monitoring, and enhanced safety through immediate risk detection. The bibliometric analysis identified a significant concentration of publications at Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) events, which accounted for approximately 40% of the selected articles. Overall, the integration of AI into production operations has driven significant improvements in efficiency and safety, and its continued evolution is expected to advance industry practices further and address emerging challenges. Full article
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28 pages, 5504 KiB  
Article
Towards a Digital Twin for Gas Turbines: Thermodynamic Modeling, Critical Parameter Estimation, and Performance Optimization Using PINN and PSO
by Jian Tiong Lim, Achnaf Habibullah and Eddie Yin Kwee Ng
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3721; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143721 - 14 Jul 2025
Viewed by 484
Abstract
Gas turbine (GT) modeling and optimization have been widely studied at the design level but still lacks focus on real-world operational cases. The concept of a digital twin (DT) allows for the interaction between operation data and the system dynamic performance. Among many [...] Read more.
Gas turbine (GT) modeling and optimization have been widely studied at the design level but still lacks focus on real-world operational cases. The concept of a digital twin (DT) allows for the interaction between operation data and the system dynamic performance. Among many DT studies, only a few focus on GT for thermal power plants. This study proposes a digital twin prototype framework including the following modules: process modeling, parameter estimation, and performance optimization. Provided with real-world power plant operational data, key performance parameters such as turbine inlet temperature (TIT) and specific fuel consumption (SFC) were initially unavailable, therefore necessitating further calculation using thermodynamic analysis. These parameters are then used as a target label for developing artificial neural networks (ANNs). Three ANN models with different structures are developed to predict TIT, SFC, and turbine power output (GTPO), achieving high R2 scores of 94.03%, 82.27%, and 97.59%, respectively. Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) are then employed to estimate the values of the air–fuel ratio and combustion efficiency for each time index. The PINN-based estimation resulted in estimated values that align with the literature. Subsequently, an unconventional method of detecting alarms by using conformal prediction were also proposed, resulting in a significantly reduced number of alarms. The developed ANNs are then combined with particle swarm optimization (PSO) to carry out performance optimization in real time. GTPO and SFC are selected as the primary metrics for the optimization, with controllable parameters such as AFR and a fine-tuned inlet guide vane position. The results demonstrated that GTPO could be optimized with the application of conformal prediction when the true GTPO is detected to be higher than the upper range of GTPO obtained from the ANN model with a conformal prediction of a 95% confidence level. Multiple PSO variants were also compared and benchmarked to ensure an enhanced performance. The proposed PSO in this study has a lower mean loss compared to GEP. Furthermore, PSO has a lower computational cost compared to RS for hyperparameter tuning, as shown in this study. Ultimately, the proposed methods aim to enhance GT operations via a data-driven digital twin concept combination of deep learning and optimization algorithms. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advancements in Gas Turbine Aerothermodynamics)
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19 pages, 910 KiB  
Article
Robust Gas Demand Prediction Using Deep Neural Networks: A Data-Driven Approach to Forecasting Under Regulatory Constraints
by Kostiantyn Pavlov, Olena Pavlova, Tomasz Wołowiec, Svitlana Slobodian, Andriy Tymchyshak and Tetiana Vlasenko
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3690; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143690 - 12 Jul 2025
Viewed by 374
Abstract
Accurate gas consumption forecasting is critical for modern energy systems due to complex consumer behavior and regulatory requirements. Deep neural networks (DNNs), such as Seq2Seq with attention, TiDE, and Temporal Fusion Transformers, are promising for modeling complex temporal relationships and non-linear dependencies. This [...] Read more.
Accurate gas consumption forecasting is critical for modern energy systems due to complex consumer behavior and regulatory requirements. Deep neural networks (DNNs), such as Seq2Seq with attention, TiDE, and Temporal Fusion Transformers, are promising for modeling complex temporal relationships and non-linear dependencies. This study compares state-of-the-art architectures using real-world data from over 100,000 consumers to determine their practical viability for forecasting gas consumption under operational and regulatory conditions. Particular attention is paid to the impact of data quality, feature attribution, and model reliability on performance. The main use cases for natural gas consumption forecasting are tariff setting by regulators and system balancing for suppliers and operators. The study used monthly natural gas consumption data from 105,527 households in the Volyn region of Ukraine from January 2019 to April 2023 and meteorological data on average monthly air temperature. Missing values were replaced with zeros or imputed using seasonal imputation and the K-nearest neighbors. The results showed that previous consumption is the dominant feature for all models, confirming their autoregressive origin and the high importance of historical data. Temperature and category were identified as supporting features. Improvised data consistently improved the performance of all models. Seq2SeqPlus showed high accuracy, TiDE was the most stable, and TFT offered flexibility and interpretability. Implementing these models requires careful integration with data management, regulatory frameworks, and operational workflows. Full article
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19 pages, 2271 KiB  
Article
A Sustainable Solution for High-Standard Farmland Construction—NGO–BP Model for Cost Indicator Prediction in Fertility Enhancement Projects
by Xuenan Li, Kun Han, Jiaze Li and Chunsheng Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6250; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146250 - 8 Jul 2025
Viewed by 300
Abstract
High-standard farmland fertility enhancement projects can lead to the sustainable utilization of arable land resources. However, due to difficulties in project implementation and uncertainties in costs, resource allocation efficiency is constrained. To address these challenges, this study first analyzes the impact of geography [...] Read more.
High-standard farmland fertility enhancement projects can lead to the sustainable utilization of arable land resources. However, due to difficulties in project implementation and uncertainties in costs, resource allocation efficiency is constrained. To address these challenges, this study first analyzes the impact of geography and engineering characteristics on cost indicators and applies principal component analysis (PCA) to extract key influencing factors. A hybrid prediction model is then constructed by integrating the Northern Goshawk Optimization (NGO) algorithm with a Backpropagation Neural Network (BP). The NGO–BP model is compared with the RF, XGBoost, standard BP, and GA–BP models. Using data from China’s 2025 high-standard farmland fertility enhancement projects, empirical validation shows that the NGO–BP model achieves a maximum RMSE of only CNY 98.472 across soil conditioning, deep plowing, subsoiling, and fertilization projects—approximately 30.74% lower than those of other models. The maximum MAE is just CNY 88.487, a reduction of about 32.97%, and all R2 values exceed 0.914, representing an improvement of roughly 5.83%. These results demonstrate that the NGO–BP model offers superior predictive accuracy and generalization ability compared to other approaches. The findings provide a robust theoretical foundation and technical support for agricultural resource management, the construction of projects, and project investment planning. Full article
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