Search Results (232)

This study investigates the use of a Random Forest (RF), an artificial intelligence (AI) model, to estimate the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) over Central Amazonia from climatic elements data collected during the GoAmazon experiment, held in 2014 and 2015, as it is a key metric for air quality, weather forecasting, and climate modeling. The novelty of this study lies in estimating PBLH using only surface-based meteorological observations. This approach is validated against remote sensing measurements (e.g., LIDAR, ceilometer, and wind profilers), which are seldom available in the Amazon region. The dataset includes various meteorological features, though substantial missing data for the latent heat flux (LE) and net radiation (Rn) measurements posed challenges. We addressed these gaps through different data-cleaning strategies, such as feature exclusion, row removal, and imputation techniques, assessing their impact on model performance using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and $r^2$ metrics. The best-performing strategy achieved an RMSE of 375.9 m. In addition to the RF model, we benchmarked its performance against Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, LightGBM, XGBoost, and a Deep Neural Network. While all models showed moderate correlation with observed PBLH, the RF model outperformed all others with statistically significant differences confirmed by paired t-tests. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values were used to enhance model interpretability, revealing hour of the day, air temperature, and relative humidity as the most influential predictors for PBLH, underscoring their critical role in atmospheric dynamics in Central Amazonia. Despite these optimizations, the model underestimates the PBLH values—by an average of 197 m, particularly in the spring and early summer austral seasons when atmospheric conditions are more variable. These findings emphasize the importance of robust data preprocessing and higtextight the potential of ML models for improving PBLH estimation in data-scarce tropical environments. Full article

This study investigates the seasonal dynamics of energy balance, evapotranspiration (ET), and Net Ecosystem Production (NEP) in the Dengkou desert ecosystem of Inner Mongolia, China. Using eddy covariance and meteorological data from 2019 to 2022, the research focuses on understanding how these processes interact in one of the world’s most water-limited environments. This arid research area received an average of 109.35 mm per annum precipitation over the studied period, classifying the region as a typical arid ecosystem. Seasonal patterns were observed in daily air temperature, with extremes ranging from −20.6 °C to 29.6 °C. Temporal variations in sensible heat flux (H), latent heat flux (LE), and net radiation (Rn) peaked during summer season. The average ground heat flux (G) was mostly positive throughout the observation period, indicating heat transmission from atmosphere to soil, but showed negative values during the winter season. The energy balance ratio for the studied period was in the range of 0.61 to 0.80, indicating challenges in achieving energy closure and ecological shifts. ET exhibited two annual peaks influenced by vegetation growth and climate change, with annual ET exceeding annual precipitation, except in 2021. Net ecosystem production (NEP) from 2019 to 2020 revealed that the Dengkou desert were a net source of carbon, indicating the carbon loss from the ecosystem. In 2021, the Dengkou ecosystem shifted to become a net carbon sink, effectively sequestrating carbon. However, this was sharply reversed in 2022, resulting in a significant net release of carbon. The study findings highlight the complex interactions between energy balance components, ET, and NEP in desert ecosystems, providing insights into sustainable water management and carbon neutrality strategies in arid regions under climate change effect. Full article

Machine learning modeling is a valuable tool for gap-filling or prediction, and its performance is typically evaluated using standard metrics. To enable more precise assessments for time-series data, this study emphasizes the importance of considering time-series consistency, which can be evaluated through amplitude—specifically, the interquartile range and the lower bound of the band in gap-filled time series. To test this hypothesis, a gap-filling technique was applied using long-term (~6 years) high-frequency flux and meteorological data collected at four different levels (1.5, 60, 140, and 300 m above sea level) on a ~300 m tall flux tower. This study focused on turbulent kinetic energy among several variables, which is important for estimating sensible and latent heat fluxes and net ecosystem exchange. Five ensemble machine learning algorithms were selected and trained on three different datasets. Among several modeling scenarios, the stacking model with a dataset combined with derivative data produced the best metrics for predicting turbulent kinetic energy. Although the metrics before and after gap-filling reported fewer differences among the scenarios, large distortions were found in the consistency of the time series in terms of amplitude. These findings underscore the importance of evaluating time-series consistency alongside traditional metrics, not only to accurately assess modeling performance but also to ensure reliability in downstream applications such as forecasting, climate modeling, and energy estimation. Full article

The long-term trend of coastal upwelling under global warming has been a research focus in recent years. Based on datasets including sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface wind, air–sea heat fluxes, ocean currents, and sea level pressure, this study explores the long-term trend and underlying mechanisms of the Oman coastal upwelling intensity in summer during 1993–2018. The results indicate a persistent decrease in SST within the Oman upwelling region during this period, suggesting an intensification trend of Oman upwelling. This trend is primarily driven by the strengthened positive wind stress curl (WSC), while the enhanced net shortwave radiation flux at the sea surface partially suppresses the SST cooling induced by the strengthened positive WSC, and the effect of horizontal oceanic heat transport is weak. Further analysis revealed that the increasing trend in the positive WSC results from the nonuniform responses of sea level pressure and the associated surface winds to global warming. There is an increasing trend in sea level pressure over the western Arabian Sea, coupled with decreasing atmospheric pressure over the Arabian Peninsula and the Somali Peninsula. This enhances the atmospheric pressure gradient between land and sea, and consequently strengthens the alongshore winds off the Oman coast. However, in the coastal region, wind changes are less pronounced, resulting in an insignificant trend in the alongshore component of surface wind. Consequently, it results in the increasing positive WSC over the Oman upwelling region, and sustains the intensification trend of Oman coastal upwelling. Full article

The Saiss plain in northern Morocco covers an area of 2300 km² and is one of the main agricultural contributors to the national economy. However, climate change and water scarcity reduce the region’s agricultural yields. Conventional methods of estimating evapotranspiration (ET) provide localized results but cannot capture regional-scale variations. This study aims to estimate the spatiotemporal evolution of daily crop ET (olives, fruit trees, cereals, and vegetables) across the Saiss plain. The METRIC model was adapted for the region using Landsat 8 data and was calibrated and validated using in situ flux tower measurements. The methodology employed an energy balance approach to calculate ET as a residual of net radiation, soil heat flux, and sensible heat flux by using hot and cold pixels for calibration. METRIC-ET ranged from 0.1 to 11 mm/day, demonstrating strong agreement with reference ET (R² = 0.76, RMSE = 1, MAE = 0.78) and outperforming MODIS-ET in accuracy and spatial resolution. Olives and fruit trees showed higher ET values compared to vegetables and cereals. The results indicated a significant impact of ET on water availability, with spatiotemporal patterns being influenced by vegetation cover, climate, and water resources. This study could support the development of adaptive agricultural strategies. Full article

This article uses FLUENT to construct a two-dimensional axisymmetric numerical model of a cryogenic hydrogen charging pipeline. By loading with initial temperature gradient and transient initial pressure disturbance, the basic characteristics of low-temperature hydrogen Taconis thermoacoustic oscillation are calculated, including temperature, heat flux density distribution, pressure amplitude, and frequency. The instability boundary of hydrogen TAO is also obtained. The results show that (1) the temperature distribution and flow characteristics of the gas inside the pipeline exhibit significant periodic changes. In the first half of the oscillation period, the cold-end gas moves towards the end of the pipeline. Low-viscosity cold hydrogen is easily heated and rapidly expands. In the second half of the cycle, the expanding cold gas pushes the hot-end gas to move towards the cold end, forming a low-pressure zone and causing gas backflow. (2) Thermoacoustic oscillation can also cause additional thermal leakage on the pipeline wall. The average heat flux during one cycle is 1150.1 W/m² for inflow and 1087.7 W/m² for outflow, with a net inflow heat flux of 62.4 W/m². (3) The instability boundary of the system is mainly determined by the temperature ratio of the cold and hot ends α, temperature gradient β, and length ratio of the cold and hot ends ξ. Increasing the pipe diameter and minimizing the pipe length can effectively weaken the amplitude of thermoacoustic oscillations. This study provides theoretical support for predicting thermoacoustic oscillations in low-temperature hydrogen transport pipeline systems and offers insights for system stability control and design verification. Full article

This study explores the relationship between land use and land cover (LULC) changes and a significant cyclogenesis event that occurred in Alabama’s Black Belt region from 6 to 7 October 2021. Utilizing the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, two scenarios were analyzed: the WRF Control Run, which maintained unchanged LULC, and the WRF Sensitivity Experiment, which converted 56.5% of forested areas into cropland to assess the impact on storm dynamics. Quantitative comparisons of predicted rainfall from both simulations were conducted against observed data. The control run demonstrated a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 1.64, indicating accurate rainfall predictions. In contrast, the modified scenario yielded an RMSE of 2.01, suggesting lower reliability. The Mean Bias (MB) values were 1.32 for the control run and 1.58 for the modified scenario, revealing notable discrepancies in accuracy. The coefficient of determination (R²) was 0.247 for the control run and 0.270 for the modified scenario. The Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) value was 0.1567 for the control run but dropped to −0.2257 following LULC modifications. Sensitivity analyses revealed a 60% increase in heat flux and a 36% rise in precipitation, underscoring the significant impact of LULC on meteorological outcomes. While this study concentrated on the Black Belt region, the methodologies employed could apply to various other areas, though caution is advised when generalizing these results to different climates and socio-economic contexts. Further research is necessary to enhance the model’s applicability across diverse environments. Full article

Earth’s energy imbalance (EEI) is a major indicator of climate change. Its metrics are top of the atmosphere radiation imbalance (EEI TOA) and net internal heat uptake. Both EEI and temperature are expected to respond gradually to forcing on annual timescales. This expectation was tested by analyzing regime changes in the inputs to EEI TOA along with increasing ocean heat content (OHC). Outward longwave radiation (OLR) displayed rapid shifts in three observational and two reanalysis records. The reanalysis records also contained shifts in surface fluxes and temperature. OLR, outward shortwave radiation (OSR) and TOA net radiation (Net) from the CERES Energy Balanced and Filled Ed-4.2.1 (2001–2023) record and from 27 CMIP5 historical and RCP4.5 forced simulations 1861–2100, were also analyzed. All variables from CERES contained shifts but the record was too short to confirm regime changes. Contributions of OLR and OSR to net showed high complementarity over space and time. EEI TOA was −0.47 ± 0.11 W m⁻² in 2001–2011 and −1.09 ± 0.11 W m⁻² in 2012–2023. Reduced OSR due to cloud feedback was a major contributor, coinciding with rapid increases in sea surface temperatures in 2014. Despite widely varying OLR and OSR, 26/27 climate models produced stable regimes for net radiation. EEI TOA was neutral from 1861, shifting downward in the 26 reliable records between 1963 and 1995, with 25 records showing it stabilizing by 2039. To investigate heat uptake, temperature and OHC 1955/57–2023 was analyzed for regime change in the 100 m, 700 m and 2000 m layers. The 100 m layer, about one third of total heat content, was dominated by regimes. Increases became more gradual with depth. Annual changes between the 700 m layer and 1300 m beneath were negatively correlated (−0.67), with delayed oscillations during lag years 2–9. Heat uptake at depth is dynamic. These changes reveal a complex thermodynamic response to gradual forcing. We outline a complex arrangement of naturally evolved heat engines, dominated by a dissipative heat engine nested within a radiative engine. EEI is a property of the dissipative heat engine. This far-from-equilibrium natural engine has evolved to take the path of least resistance while being constrained by its maximum power limit (~2 W m⁻²). It is open to the radiative engine, receiving solar radiation and emitting scattered shortwave and longwave radiation. Steady states maximize entropy within the dissipative engine by regulating spatial patterns in surface variables that influence outgoing OLR and OSR. Regime shifts to warmer climates balance the cost of greater irreversibility with increased energy rate density. The result is the regulation of EEI TOA through a form of thermodynamic metabolism. Full article

Accurate evapotranspiration (ET) monitoring is important for making scientific irrigation decisions. Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing platforms allow for the flexible and efficient acquisition of field data, providing a valuable approach for large-scale ET monitoring. This study aims to enhance the accuracy and reliability of ET estimation in rice paddies through two synergistic approaches: (1) integrating the energy flux diurnal variations into the Two-Source Energy Balance (TSEB) model, which considers the canopy and soil temperature components separately, for physical estimation and (2) optimizing the flight altitudes and observation times for thermal infrared (TIR) data acquisition to enhance the data quality. The results indicated that the energy flux in rice paddies followed a single-peak diurnal pattern dominated by net radiation (Rn). The diurnal variation in the ratio of soil heat flux (G) to Rn could be well fitted by the cosine function with a max value and peak time (R² > 0.90). The optimal flight altitude and time (50 m and 11:00 am) for improved identification of temperature differentiation between treatments were further obtained through cross-comparison. These adaptations enabled the TSEB model to achieve a satisfactory accuracy in estimating energy flux compared to the single-source SEBAL model, with R² values of 0.8501 for Rn − G and 0.7503 for latent heat (LE), as well as reduced rRMSE values. In conclusion, this study presents a reliable method for paddy field scale ET estimation based on a calibrated TSEB model. Moreover, the integration of ground and UAV multimodal data highlights its potential for precise irrigation practices and sustainable water resource management. Full article

The planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) in coastal Arctic regions is influenced by sea breeze circulation. However, the specific mechanisms through which sea breeze affects PBLH evolution remain insufficiently explored. This study uses meteorological data, micro-pulse lidar (MPL) data, and sounding profiles from 2014 to 2021 to investigate the annual and polar day PBLH evolution driven by sea breezes in the Barrow region of Alaska, as well as the specific mechanisms. The results show that sea breeze events significantly suppress PBLH, especially during the polar day, when prolonged solar radiation intensifies the thermal contrast between land and ocean. The cold, moist sea breeze stabilizes the atmospheric conditions, reducing net radiation and sensible heat flux. All these factors inhibit turbulent mixing and PBLH development. Lidar and sounding analyses further reveal that PBLH is lower during sea breeze events compared to non-sea-breeze conditions, with the peak of its probability density distribution occurring at a lower PBLH range. The variable importance in projection (VIP) analysis identifies relative humidity (VIP = 1.95) and temperature (VIP = 1.1) as the primary factors controlling PBLH, highlighting the influence of atmospheric stability in regulating PBLH. These findings emphasize the crucial role of sea breeze in modulating PBL dynamics in the Arctic, with significant implications for improving climate models and studies on pollutant dispersion in polar regions. Full article

The estimation of sensible heat flux (H) in drylands is important because it constitutes a significant portion of the net available surface energy. A model to estimate H half-hourly measurements for bare soils was derived by combining the surface renewal (SR) theory and the Monin–Obukhov similarity theory (MOST), involving the land surface temperature (LST), wind speed, and the air temperature in a period of half an hour, H_SR-LST. The surface roughness lengths for momentum ($z_{om}$) and for heat (z_0h) were estimated at neutral conditions. The dataset included dry climates and different measurement heights (1.5 m up to 20 m). Root mean square error ($\mathrm{R}\mathrm{M}\mathrm{S}\mathrm{E}$) over the mean actual sensible heat flux estimate (H_EC), E $={\displaystyle \frac{\mathrm{R}\mathrm{M}\mathrm{S}\mathrm{E}}{\overline{\mathrm{H}\mathrm{E}\mathrm{C}}}}100\%$, was considered excellent, good, and moderate for E values of up to 25%, 35%, and 40%, respectively. In stable conditions, H_SR-LST and H_MOST values were comparable and both were unacceptable (E > 40%). However, the RMSE using H_SR-LST ranged between 8 Wm² and 12 Wm² and performed slightly better than H_MOST. In unstable conditions, H_SR-LST was in excellent, good, and moderate agreement in 3, 6, and 5 cases, respectively; H_MOST was good in 3 cases; and the remaining 11 cases were intolerable because they required site-specific calibration. Full article

PM_2.5 plays a significant role in urban climate, especially as urban development accelerates. In this study, surface PM_2.5, skin temperature, surface air temperature, net longwave radiation, net shortwave radiation, sensible heat flux, and latent heat flux were directly analyzed in Nanchang from 2020 to 2022. The results indicate that PM_2.5 in Nanchang is highest during winter and lowest in summer. On an annual scale, surface PM_2.5 reduces skin and surface air temperatures at a rate of 0.75 °C/(μg m⁻³) by decreasing net solar radiation and increasing net longwave radiation at night. Conversely, it increases air temperature by absorbing radiation, leading to a surface inversion. Furthermore, surface PM_2.5 influences surface air and skin temperatures by modulating the latent heat fluxes. Full article

The presence of a bright spot structure in the divertor region during the discharge process, indicative of localized overheating, has been observed through multi-band and high-speed endoscope diagnostic on the Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST). This localized deposition of hyperthermal heat flux can lead to erosion and melting of the target plate material, thereby posing a significant risk to the safe operation of the device. Moreover, it may introduce impurities into the main plasma, negatively impacting plasma performance. Therefore, real-time monitoring of the divertor and rapid identification of localized overheating regions during experiments are crucial. In this context, this paper proposes an improved DeepLabv3+-based highlight structure image-segmentation algorithm, which uses minimum value, image difference method, and Prewitt operator for dataset preprocessing. In order to realize the rapid identification of local overheated regions, this paper introduces the application of the improved DeepLabv3+ neural network algorithm based on MobileNetV2 as the backbone network in the bright spot structure segmentation task for the first time. The results show that the algorithm achieves a 65.36% average crosslinking rate (mIoU), 78.75% accuracy, 0.78 s per-iteration processing time, and 22.4 MB parameter size. This provides substantial advantages in terms of reduced computing and memory resources and real-time detection performance. Ultimately, the method proposed in this paper enables the rapid identification of the bright spot structure in the localized overheating region of the divertor on the EAST; it identifies areas of overheating and prevents damage to the divertor or other critical components due to overheating, ensuring safe operation of the device. Full article

The paper at hand evaluates the necessity of depicting topographic features like boulders on the lunar environment in thermal analyses for a size of up to 6.5 m in diameter. The question regarding the thermal influence becomes relevant when analysing a technical system within the lunar environment. This influence on the thermal behaviour of a test object is investigated in sensitivity studies. It is shown that the local surroundings can significantly alter a system’s net heat flux and can lead to overheating or critically cooling down instead of theoretically surviving when not considering local topographic features. Especially for small and lightweight systems ≤20 kg, like micro rovers, the effect of the surrounding on the system’s temperature becomes critical due to the low thermal capacity. Thus, it is a substantial aspect to be accounted for during the design phase as well as in mission operation. Full article

The variation in the background temperature field in aquatic environments plays a crucial role in the detection of thermal signatures of maritime moving targets. To elucidate the influence of various meteorological and hydrological parameters on the background temperature field of water bodies, this study employs the COARE 3.0 model to analyze the relationship between the net heat flux at the air–water interface and the characteristics of the cool skin layer. By examining the diurnal fluctuations of environmental parameters, the diurnal variation patterns of the cool skin layer properties are investigated. A dynamic temperature field testing platform was established in an outdoor pool to measure air–water volume variables and validate the accuracy of the water temperature field calculation model. The findings indicate that the cool skin phenomenon is indeed present in natural aquatic environments. The properties of the cool skin layer are predominantly affected by factors such as wind speed, the specific humidity gradient between the near-surface and high-altitude regions, and the temperature gradient between these regions. The temperature of the cool skin layer is typically a few tenths of K lower than that of the subsurface water, with a thickness generally ranging from 2 to 5 mm. Full article