Search Results (1,923)

The complex topography and harsh natural environment of the Loess Plateau in Longzhong have been suffering from an undefined living circle structure, which has hindered rural planning and development. A rural community living circle is a spatial unit centered on meeting the needs of villagers, within which various service facilities are rationally allocated within a specific spatial scope. To refine its spatial patterns, the concept of living circles was introduced to address travel challenges. The extent of these living circles is affected by the accessibility of public service facilities and barriers to travel. Using land use data, DEM, population density, and road networks, this study employed the MCR model, gravity model, and ArcGIS spatial analysis to examine the patterns of rural community living circles. The focus was on analyzing the living circle structure of rural communities on the Loess Plateau in Longzhong, considering both natural and artificial environmental constraints. The results show: (1) Rural community living circles present multi-scale spatial features. The basic living circle covers a 15 min slow-travel area. The central living circle corresponds to village-level needs, accessible within 35 min by both slow and motorized travel. The town living circle covers a 10 km radius, reachable within 60 min by a mix of transport modes. The county living circle, dominated by motorized travel, represents the top tier of public service configuration. (2) Quantitatively, the delineation identified 2753 basic, 444 central, 19 township, and 1 county-level living circles in the Anding District of Dingxi City. The Northern, Eastern, and Southwest Zones suffer from fragmented mountainous landscapes, limiting mobility and accessibility. The Central Zone, however, benefits from a combination of mountainous terrain and river valley plains, offering superior service accessibility. (3) The analysis results based on the MCR model and gravity model aligned more closely with reality, reflecting the scale patterns of rural community living circles. The results of this study can provide theoretical guidance for rural planning, construction, and management in the hilly and gully areas of the Loess Plateau. Full article

Impulsive overtopping generated by dam-break surges is a critical hazard for dikes and flood-protection embankments, especially in reservoirs and mountainous catchments. Unlike classical coastal wave overtopping, which is governed by long, irregular wave trains and usually characterized by mean overtopping discharge over many waves, these dam-break-type events are dominated by one or a few strongly nonlinear bores with highly transient overtopping heights. Accurately predicting the resulting overtopping levels under such impulsive flows is therefore important for flood-risk assessment and emergency planning. Conventional cluster-then-predict approaches, which have been proposed in recent years, often first partition data into subgroups and then train separate models for each cluster. However, these methods often suffer from rigid boundaries and ignore the uncertainty information contained in clustering results. To overcome these limitations, we propose a GMM+MoE framework that integrates Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) soft clustering with a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) predictor. GMM provides posterior probabilities of regime membership, which are used by the MoE gating mechanism to adaptively assign expert models. Using SPH-simulated overtopping data with physically interpretable dimensionless parameters, the framework is benchmarked against XGBoost, GMM+XGBoost, MoE, and Random Forest. Results show that GMM+MoE achieves the highest accuracy ($R^2=0.9638$ on the testing dataset) and the most centralized residual distribution, confirming its robustness. Furthermore, SHAP-based feature attribution reveals that relative propagation distance and wave height are the dominant drivers of overtopping, providing physically consistent explanations. This demonstrates that combining soft clustering with adaptive expert allocation not only improves accuracy but also enhances interpretability, offering a practical tool for dike safety assessment and flood-risk management in reservoirs and mountain river valleys. Full article

Accurate information regarding species boundaries is essential for ecological research and conservation planning. This information is particularly difficult to obtain but essential for cryptic amphibian species. The distribution and potential dispersal corridors of two cryptic salamander species, the Korean clawed (Onychodactylus koreanus) and the Yangsan clawed (O. sillanus) salamanders, were investigated using integrated approaches for high-resolution species distribution modeling (SDM), genetic species identification, and habitat connectivity analysis. The SDM results showed high habitat suitability in mid- and high-mountainous areas, but very low suitability in riverine areas for both species. Genetic species identification of the 25 populations delimited the distribution boundary between the two species along the Nakdong and Geumho rivers. Dispersal corridors of the two species commonly involved a detour around the major rivers and produced only one possible dispersal route, where both species moved into the opposite species’ habitat along the east side of the mountainous areas of the Geumho River. The findings not only clarify the distribution range of two cryptic Onychodactylus species in the Republic of Korea but also highlight the importance of the unique dispersal route for studying species interactions and maintaining ecological connectivity. Full article

The development of large-scale cascade hydropower complexes has improved the navigation conditions of mountainous rivers but creates unique “continuous dam zones,” presenting complex challenges for port site selection due to hydrological variability and geological risks. To address the lack of specialized evaluation tools for this specific context, this paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation indicator system tailored for mountainous reservoir areas. The proposed system explicitly integrates critical engineering and physical constraints—specifically fluctuating backwater zones, geological hazards, and dam-bypass mileage—alongside ecological and social requirements. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Entropy Weight Method (EWM) are integrated using a Game Theory model to determine combined weights, and the Evaluation based on Distance from Average Solution (EDAS) model is applied to rank the alternatives. An empirical analysis of the Xiluodu Reservoir area on the Jinsha River demonstrates that operational efficiency, geological safety, and environmental feasibility constitute the critical decision-making factors. The results indicate that Option C (Majiaheba site) offers the optimal solution (ASi = 0.9695), effectively balancing engineering utility with environmental protection. Sensitivity analysis further validates the consistency and stability of this ranking under different decision-making scenarios. The findings provide quantitative decision support for project implementation and offer a replicable reference for infrastructure planning in similar complex mountainous river basins. Full article

The precise identification of territorial space conflicts (TSCs) and their driving mechanisms is key to enhancing spatial security governance. Taking Jinan City as a case study, this research evaluates territorial space suitability across production, living, and ecological dimensions, proposes an empirical TSC identification model, and employs GeoDetector to analyze spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms. The results indicated that (1) from 2000 to 2020, significant spatial heterogeneity characterized the suitability of production–living–ecological spaces in Jinan City. High suitability zones of production and living space expanded in the northern plain along the Yellow River and central piedmont plain, respectively, while those of ecological space contracted in the southern mountainous and hilly areas. (2) Significant spatiotemporal variations in territorial space conflicts (TSCs) were observed in Jinan City over the past two decades. Intense conflicts dominated production–living and production–ecological space interactions, while moderate conflicts were prevalent in living–ecological and production–living–ecological space interactions. Production–living space conflict zones expanded, living–ecological space conflict zones contracted, and production–ecological and production–living–ecological space conflict zones showed consistent expansion trends. (3) The spatiotemporal evolution of territorial space conflicts is jointly driven by the natural environment, geographical location, social economy, and regional policies. The interaction of driving factors exhibited significant dual-factor and nonlineal enhancement effects. Finally, this study provides some scientific references for the comprehensive management and pattern optimization of territorial space in Jinan City. Full article

Tsunami amplification and overland flow characteristics have been investigated using numerical modeling in a case study of the Ukai coast during the 2024 tsunami event. The tsunami wave amplification from offshore Iida Bay to Ukai has been investigated by using a hydrodynamic model. The model has been successfully validated by comparing simulated tsunami inundation with observations in Ukai. Non-breaking tsunami amplification from model simulations shows a power law, with a correlation coefficient R² of 0.97, leading to a 1.84-fold amplification at the breaking depth location. After wave breaking, tsunami amplification follows an exponential function of water depth, with a significantly slower increase rate compared to that before breaking. Tsunami travel time from the Iida Bay offshore boundary to Ukai is determined by comparing tsunami peaks at two different locations. A quick approximation of tsunami travel time using the averaged depth for shallow wave celerity results in an 8.5% error compared to hydrodynamic model simulations. Supercritical and subcritical flow characteristics in the beachfront area have been examined using a wave dynamic model. Based on the Froude number, beachfront overland flow on an asphalt ground surface with low friction results in fast supercritical flow and deeper inundation, which can have major impacts on coastal structures and sediment scour. Grass-covered ground lowers tsunami velocity to slower subcritical flow and lower the maximum inundation height which can reduce the tsunami damage. The findings will provide valuable support for coastal hazard mitigation and resilience studies. Full article

Precipitation in high mountain areas is of critical importance as these regions are major sources of freshwater, supporting river basins, ecosystems, and downstream communities. Changes in precipitation regimes in these regions can have cascading impacts on water availability, agriculture, hydropower, and biodiversity. The present study aims to give new information about precipitation variability in high mountain regions of Bulgaria (Musala, Botev Peak, and Cherni Vrah) and to assess the role of large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns for the occurrence of extreme precipitation months. The study period is 1937–2024, and the classification of extreme precipitation months is based on the 10th and 90th percentiles of precipitation distribution. The temporal distribution of extreme precipitation months was analyzed by comparison of two periods (1937–1980 and 1981–2024). The impact of atmospheric circulation was evaluated by correlation between the number of extreme precipitation months and indices for the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Western Mediterranean Oscillation (WeMO). Results show a statistically significant decrease in winter and spring precipitation at Musala and Cherni Vrah, and a persistent drying tendency at Cherni Vrah across all seasons. The frequency of extremely wet months in winter and autumn has sharply declined since 1981, whereas extremely dry months have become more common, particularly during the cold season. Precipitation erosivity also exhibits station-specific responses, with Musala and Cherni Vrah showing reduced monthly concentration, while Botev Peak retains pronounced warm-season erosive rainfall. Circulation analysis indicates that positive NAOI phases favor dry extremes, while positive WeMOI phases enhance wet extremes. These findings reveal a shift toward drier and more seasonally uneven conditions in Bulgaria’s alpine zone, increasing hydrological risks related to drought, water scarcity, and soil erosion. The identified shifts in precipitation seasonality and intensity offer essential guidance for forecasting hydrological risks and mitigating soil erosion in vulnerable mountain ecosystems. The study underscores the need for adaptive water-resource strategies and enhanced monitoring in high-mountain areas. Full article

Mountain floods, one of the most common and destructive natural disasters worldwide, pose significant challenges to disaster prevention due to their sudden onset, high destructive power, and severe localized impacts. This study proposes an innovative flash flood early warning system based on a distributed hydrological model ensemble. The main objective is to improve the prediction and early warning accuracy of flash flood disasters by integrating multi-source data and regional modeling. The system simulates flood flow and risk levels under different rainfall scenarios to provide timely warnings in mountainous areas. A case study of a heavy rainfall event in Ma Jia Natural Village, Jiangxi Province was used to validate the system’s performance. Through regionalized parameter calibration within the ensemble, the system achieved Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) values exceeding 0.88, while the simulated peak discharges deviated from observed values by only 1.5%, 9.5%, and 4.8% under 3 h, 6 h, and 24 h rainfall scenarios, respectively, demonstrating the improved quantitative accuracy of flood prediction enabled by the ensemble-based framework. The system showed high consistency with observed data, accurately predicting flood responses at 3, 6, and 24 h time scales and providing reliable risk warnings. This approach not only enhances warning accuracy across multiple temporal scales but also supports risk-level early warnings at both river-section and village scales, offering significant practical value for the prevention of mountainous flood disasters. Full article

Blueberries (Vaccinium spp.) are highly sensitive to winter chilling fulfillment, growing degree days above 7 °C (GDD7), and water balance (WB). By integrating a climate-based natural suitability index (CNSI), three-dimensional kernel density estimation, traditional and spatial Markov chains, and optimal geographic detector analysis, this study examines the spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms of blueberry climatic suitability realization in 19 major producing provinces in China during 2008–2023. Results show that CNSI exhibits a stable and moderately right-skewed distribution, with partial convergence and a narrowing interprovincial gap. Suitability realization is highest in the middle and lower Yangtze River rice-growing belt, whereas the northern dryland belt and the southern subtropical mountainous belt show persistent mismatches between climatic potential and production advantages. Markov results reveal path dependence and moderate mobility, with “low–low lock-in” and “high–high club” phenomena reinforced under neighborhood effects. GeoDetector results indicate that effective facility irrigation and fertilizer input are dominant factors explaining spatial variation in CNSI, while comprehensive transportation accessibility and agricultural labor act as stable complements. Interaction analysis suggests that multi-factor synergies, particularly irrigation-centered combinations, yield strong dual-factor enhancement and near-nonlinear enhancement. These findings highlight the importance of aligning climatic suitability with adaptive infrastructure investment and region-specific management to promote sustainable production-share advantages in China’s blueberry industry. Full article

Thermal stability is a key factor in determining the phenomena of deep chlorophyll maxima (DCM) in stratified lakes, as it mediates the vertical balance between light and nutrients required by phytoplankton. While it is well established that lake stratification is sensitive to latitude gradients, the ways in which thermal stability modulates DCM characteristics (i.e., depth, thickness, and concentration) and nutrient–chlorophyll relationships across different latitude classifications remain unclear. In this study, data on thermocline depth, DCM feature, and water quality parameters were collected from 88 globally distributed stratified lakes. Our findings indicate that (1) higher-latitude lakes exhibit strong thermoclines, with light and nitrogen serving as the primary drivers of thermal stratification; (2) in high-latitude lakes, surface chlorophyll a concentrations are more tightly linked to total phosphorus than that at DCM depth in low-latitude lakes; and (3) structural equation modeling (SEM) results demonstrate that higher-latitude lakes form shallower and thinner DCM structures, where low light levels contribute to reduced peaks in algal biomass. These findings provide valuable insights for the management of stratified lakes facing the dual pressures of climate change and eutrophication. Full article

Urban expansion and its driving factors are frequently analyzed within administrative regions to inform regional urban planning, yet such analyses often fall short at the natural basin scale (referring to the spatial extent defined by hydrological drainage boundaries) due to the scarcity of statistical data. Geographic and socio-economic spatial data can offer more detailed information across various research scales compared to traditional data (such as administrative statistical data, survey-based data, etc.), providing a potential solution to this limitation. Thus, this study took the Indus Basin as an example to reveal its urban expansion patterns and driving mechanism based on natural–economic–social time-series (2000–2020) spatial data, landscape expansion index, and geographical detector model (GDM). Future urban expansion distribution under different scenarios was also projected using Cellular Automata and Markov model (CA-Markov). The results indicated the following: (1) The Indus River Basin experienced rapid urban expansion during 2000–2020 dominated by edge-expansion, with urban expansion intensity showing a continuous increase. (2) Between 2000 and 2010 as well as 2010 and 2020, the dominant factor influencing urban expansion shifted from altitude to population (Pop), while the strongest interacting factors shifted from fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) and altitude to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Pop. (3) Future urban expansion probably occupies substantial mountainous area under the normal scenario, while the expansion region shifts towards the central plains to protect more ecological zones under a sustainable development scenario. Findings in this study would deepen the understanding of urban expansion characteristics of the Indus Basin and benefit its future urban planning. Full article

Anthropogenic stressors increasingly threaten freshwater biodiversity, with fish communities particularly sensitive to habitat modification. This study evaluates how river morphological alterations influence fish assemblage structure in 114 mountain rivers of the Southern Carpathians, assessing whether such changes cause species loss or drive shifts toward disturbance-tolerant communities. Using a multi-scale analytical framework integrating non-metric multidimensional scaling, redundancy analysis, and variance partitioning, we quantified the contributions of spatial, catchment, and local habitat variables to community patterns. Spatial- and catchment-scale factors explained the largest variance in fish assemblages (12% in adults and 17% in small-bodied fish). However, morphological pressures proved significant in shaping community structure with clear ecological consequences. Weirs and embankments reduced abundances of rheophilic species (flow-dependent) by 27–38%, potamodromous by 23–42%, invertivorous by 26–49%, benthic by 40–46% and lithophilic taxa by 27–41%, indicating the loss of habitat specialists. In contrast, limnophilic taxa (preferring slow or still water) increased 25 times, phytophilic spawners by 17–41%, and tolerant species by 10%, reflecting biotic homogenization. By integrating a trait-based approach, this study highlights functional shifts that may be overlooked in species-level assessments. It underscores the need to couple local habitat restoration with catchment-scale management to conserve fish biodiversity and maintain natural ecological gradients in mountain river systems. Full article

Accurate short-lead river discharge forecasting is critical for effective flood risk mitigation in small mountainous basins, where rapid hydrological responses pose significant challenges. In this study, we focus on the Fuhu Stream in Emeishan City, China, and utilize high-resolution 5-min time series of upstream precipitation, stage, and discharge to predict downstream flow. We benchmark three data-driven models—SARIMAX, XGBoost, and LSTM—using a dataset spanning from 7 June 2024 to 25 October 2024. The data were split chronologically, with observations from October 2024 reserved exclusively for testing to ensure rigorous out-of-sample evaluation. Lagged correlation analysis was employed to estimate travel times from upstream to the basin outlet and to inform the selection of time-lagged input features for model training. Results during the test period demonstrate that the LSTM model significantly outperformed both XGBoost and SARIMAX across all regression metrics: it achieved the highest coefficient of determination (R² = 0.994) and the lowest prediction errors (RMSE = 0.016, MAE = 0.011). XGBoost exhibited moderate performance, while SARIMAX showed a tendency toward mean reversion and failed to capture low-flow variability. Accuracy evaluation reveals that LSTM accurately reproduced both baseflow conditions and multiple flood peaks, whereas XGBoost and SARIMAX failed. These results highlight the advantage of sequence-learning architectures in modeling nonlinear hydrological propagation and memory effects in short-term discharge dynamics. Feature importance analysis indicates that the LSTM model was highly effective for real-time forecasting and that the WSQ/LY sites served as critical monitoring nodes for achieving reliable predictions. This research contributes to the operationalization of early warning systems and provides support for decision-making regarding downstream flood disaster prevention. Full article

Rapid urbanization has driven land-use transitions, leading to the continuous replacement of land-use types with high carbon storage capacity by those with lower capacity. A deeper analysis of the drivers behind these changes and predictions of their future development is essential for optimizing land-use patterns and enhancing regional carbon sink functions. This study takes the Guanzhong Plain Urban Agglomeration (GPUA) as a case study. It employs the PLUS and InVEST models to simulate land use and land cover (LULC) dynamics from 2000 to 2020 and to project the LULC and associated spatial clustering characteristics of carbon storage in 2030. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, LULC changes in the region were dominated by the conversion of cropland to built-up land, primarily concentrated in urban areas and along the Wei River corridor. By 2030, built-up land is expected to continue expanding along transportation corridors and urban peripheries, further reducing the area of cropland. (2) Changes in carbon storage were mainly driven by LULC transitions, with an overall declining trend observed from 2000 to 2020 (decreasing from 2754.69 Mt to 2741.79 Mt) despite the buffering effect of ecological restoration, and a projected continued decrease to 2734.28 Mt by 2030. (3) The spatial distribution of carbon storage was characterized by a strengthening polarization. The proportion of hotspot areas increased from 30.38% to 32.33% over the 2000–2020 period, with a concentration in ecological function zones such as the Qinling Mountains, Ziwuling, and Huanglongshan. Concurrently, coldspot areas also expanded. Future efforts should prioritize the protection of high-carbon-sink mountainous zones, strictly control the outward expansion of built-up land, and enhance carbon storage capacity in agricultural areas to support low-carbon development and spatial optimization in the GPUA. Full article

Monitoring steep slopes in mountainous canyon areas has always been a challenging problem, especially during the construction of large hydropower projects. Effective monitoring is crucial for construction safety and operational security. However, under complex terrain conditions, existing monitoring methods have significant limitations and cannot comprehensively and accurately cover steep slopes. To address the above challenges, this study proposes a multi-temporal UAV-based photogrammetric offset tracking (POT) monitoring method assisted by terrestrial laser scanning (TLS), which is primarily applicable to rocky and texture-rich steep slopes. This method utilizes TLS point cloud data to provide supplementary ground control points (TLS-GCPs) for UAV image modeling, effectively overcoming the difficulty of deploying conventional RTK ground control points (RTK-GCPs) on high and steep slopes, thereby significantly improving the accuracy of UAV-based Structure-from-Motion (SfM) models. In a case study at a hydropower station, we employed TLS-assisted UAV modeling to produce high-precision UAV images. Using POT technology, we successfully identified signs of slope deformation between January 2024 and December 2024. Comparative experiments with traditional algorithms demonstrated that in areas where RTK-GCPs cannot be deployed, this method greatly enhances UAV modeling accuracy, fully meeting the monitoring requirements for steep slopes in complex terrains. Full article