Search Results (580)

In Taiwan, hydro-meteorological data are fragmented across multiple agencies, limiting the effectiveness of coordinated flood response. To address this challenge and the increasing uncertainty associated with extreme rainfall, a real-time disaster prevention platform has been developed. This system integrates multi-source data and geospatial information through a cluster-based architecture to enhance pluvial flood management. Built on a Service-Oriented Architecture (SOA) and incorporating Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, AI-based convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and 3D drone mapping, the platform enables automated alerts by linking sensor thresholds with real-time environmental data, facilitating synchronized operational responses. Deployed in New Taipei City over the past three years, the system has demonstrably reduced flood risk during severe rainfall events. Region-specific action thresholds and adaptive strategies are continually refined through feedback mechanisms, while integrated spatial and hydrological trend analyses extend the lead time available for emergency response. Full article

BeiDou navigation satellite system (BDS) precise point positioning (PPP)-B2b has significant potential for application in meteorological fields, such as standalone water vapor monitoring in depopulated area without Internet. In this study, the practical ability of water vapor monitoring using the BDS PPP-B2b service is illustrated through a continuously operated water vapor monitoring system in Wuhan, China, with a 25-day experiment in 2025. Original observations from the Global Positioning System (GPS) and BDS are collected and processed in the near real-time (NRT) mode using ephemeris from the PPP-B2b service. Precipitable water vapor PWV monitored with B2b ephemeris are evaluated with radiosonde and ERA5 reanalysis, respectively. Taking PWV from radiosonde observations as the reference, RMS of PWV based on B2b ephemeris varies from 3.71 to 4.66 mm for different satellite combinations. While those values are with a range from 3.95 to 4.55 mm when compared with ERA5 reanalysis. These values are similar to those processed with the real-time ephemeris from the China Academy of Science (CAS). In general, this study demonstrates that the practical accuracy of water vapor monitored based on the BDS PPP-B2b service can meet the basic demand for operational meteorology for the first time. This will provide a scientific reference for its wide promotion to meteorological applications in the near future. Full article

Air quality forecasts play a crucial role in informing the public about atmospheric pollutant levels that pose risks to human health and the environment. The accuracy of these forecasts strongly depends on the quality and resolution of the input data used in the modelling process. At HungaroMet, the Hungarian Meteorological Service, the CHIMERE chemical transport model is used to provide two-day air quality forecasts for the territory of Hungary. This study compares two configurations of the CHIMERE model: the current operational setup, which uses climatological averages from the LMDz-INCA database for boundary conditions, and a test configuration that incorporates real-time boundary conditions from the CAMS global forecast. The primary objective of this work was to assess how the use of real-time versus climatological boundary conditions affects modelled concentrations of key pollutants, including NO₂, O₃, PM₁₀, and PM_2.5. The model results were evaluated against observational data from the Hungarian Air Quality Monitoring Network using a range of statistical metrics. The results indicate that the use of real-time boundary conditions, particularly for aerosol-type pollutants, improves the accuracy of PM₁₀ forecasts. This improvement is most significant under meteorological conditions that favour the long-range transport of particulate matter, such as during Saharan dust or wildfire episodes. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating dynamic, up-to-date boundary data, especially for particulate matter forecasting—given the increasing frequency of transboundary dust events. Full article

With rapid socio-economic development, excessive anthropogenic consumption and the exploitation of natural resources have impaired the self-healing, supply, and carrying capacities of ecosystems. The assessment and prediction of ecosystem service values (ESVs) are crucial for the coordinated development of ecology and economy. This research examines the Xiangjiang River Basin and combines land use data from 1995 to 2020, Landsat images, meteorological data, and socio-economic data. These data are incorporated into the PLUS model to simulate land use patterns in 2035 under the following five scenarios: natural development, economic development, farmland protection, ecological protection, and coordinated development. Additionally, this research analyzes the dynamics of land use and changes in ESVs in the Xiangjiang River Basin. The results show that between 1995 and 2020 in the Xiangjiang River Basin, urbanization accelerated, human activities intensified, and the construction land area expanded significantly, while the areas of forest, farmland, and grassland decreased continuously. Based on multi-scenario simulations, the ESV showed the largest and smallest declines under economic development and ecological protection scenarios, respectively. This results from the economic development scenario inducing a rapid expansion in construction land. In contrast, construction land expansion was restricted under the ecological protection scenario, because the ecological functions of forests and water bodies were prioritized. This research proposes land use strategies to coordinate ecological protection and economic development to provide a basis for sustainable development in the Xiangjiang River Basin and constructing a national ecological security barrier, as well as offer Chinese experience and local cases for global ecological environment governance. Full article

Climate change can severely impact plant-pollinator interactions and have serious effects on ecosystem services such as pollination. This study was carried out in 2023 and 2024, and it examined the effects of drought on flowering and nectar production in one cultivar of white mustard (Brassica alba cv. Palma), an important entomophilous crop of the temperate zone with several attributes that make it promising for sustainable agricultural practices. Drought-stressed plants delayed the flowering time, shortened the flowering duration, and developed significantly fewer flowers. Nectar production in white mustard depends on soil moisture levels and short-term changes in meteorological conditions (e.g., air humidity, air temperature). At reduced soil moisture, the total sugar yield per plant decreased by 60%, compared to control plants, resulting in lower availability of caloric food resources, which should be considered when developing strategies supporting pollinators. Changes in floral traits resulted in differences in the frequency of insect visits, which may exert a negative impact on white mustard pollination under drought stress and may have indirect consequences for seed yield resulting from increased drought intensity associated with climate change. The results provide important data for the management of the white mustard crop and indicate the need for broader evaluation of cultivars to promote drought-resistant B. alba cultivars. Full article

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting (nowcasting) based on weather radar data is essential for managing weather-related risks, particularly in applications such as airport operations, urban flood prevention, and public safety during outdoor events. This study proposes a computationally efficient nowcasting method based on a Lagrangian advection scheme, estimating both the translation and rotation of radar-observed precipitation fields without relying on machine learning or resource-intensive computation. The method was tested on a two-year dataset (2022–2023) over Tuscany, using data collected from the Italian Civil Protection Department’s radar network. Forecast performance was evaluated using the Critical Success Index (CSI) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) across varying spatial domains (1° × 1° to 2° × 2°) and precipitation regimes. The results show that, for high-intensity events (average rate > 1 mm/h), the method achieved CSI scores exceeding 0.5 for lead times up to 2 h. In the case of low-intensity rainfall (average rate < 0.3 mm/h), its forecasting skill dropped after 20–30 min. Forecast accuracy was shown to be highly sensitive to the temporal stability of precipitation intensity. The method performed well under quasi-stationary stratiform conditions, whereas its skill declined during rapidly evolving convective events. The method has low computational requirements, with forecasts generated in under one minute on standard hardware, and it is well suited for real-time application in regional meteorological centres. Overall, the findings highlight the method’s effective balance between simplicity and performance, making it a practical and scalable option for operational nowcasting in settings with limited computational capacity. Its deployment is currently being planned at the LaMMA Consortium, the official meteorological service of Tuscany. Full article

Short-term precipitation forecasting is a core task in meteorological science, aiming to achieve accurate predictions by modeling the spatiotemporal evolution of radar echo sequences, thereby supporting meteorological services and disaster warning systems. However, existing spatiotemporal sequence prediction methods still struggle to disentangle complex spatiotemporal dependencies effectively and fail to capture the nonlinear chaotic characteristics of precipitation systems. This often results in ambiguous predictions, attenuation of echo intensity, and spatial localization errors. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a unified spatiotemporal sequence prediction framework based on spatiotemporal masking, which comprises two stages: self-supervised pre-training and task-oriented fine-tuning. During pre-training, the model learns global structural features of meteorological systems from sparse contexts by randomly masking local spatiotemporal regions of radar images. In the fine-tuning stage, considering the importance of the temporal dimension in short-term precipitation forecasting and the complex long-range dependencies in spatiotemporal evolution of precipitation systems, we design an RNN-based cyclic temporal mask self-encoder model (MAE-RNN) and a transformer-based spatiotemporal attention model (STMT). The former focuses on capturing short-term temporal dynamics, while the latter simultaneously models long-range dependencies across space and time via a self-attention mechanism, thereby avoiding the smoothing effects on high-frequency details that are typical of conventional convolutional or recurrent structures. The experimental results show that STMT improves 3.73% and 2.39% in CSI and HSS key indexes compared with the existing advanced models, and generates radar echo sequences that are closer to the real data in terms of air mass morphology evolution and reflection intensity grading. Full article

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) are one of the major environmental concerns, as they have various negative effects on public and environmental health, recreational services, and economics. HAB modeling is challenging due to inconsistent and insufficient data, as well as the nonlinear nature of algae formation data. However, it is crucial for attaining sustainable development goals related to clean water and sanitation. From this point of view, we employed the sparse identification nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) technique to model microcystin, an algal toxin, utilizing dissolved oxygen as a water quality metric and evaporation as a meteorological parameter. SINDy is a novel approach that combines a sparse regression and machine learning method to reconstruct the analytical representation of a dynamical system. The model results indicate that MAPE values of approximately 2% were achieved in three out of four lakes, while the MAPE value of the remaining lake is 11%. Moreover, a model-driven and web-based interactive tool was created to develop environmental education, raise public awareness on HAB events, and produce more effective solutions to HAB problems through what-if scenarios. This interactive and user-friendly web platform allows tracking the status of HABs in lakes and observing the impact of specific parameters on harmful algae formation. Full article

Air pollution in urban areas has increased significantly over the past few years due to industrialization and population increase. Therefore, accurate predictions are needed to minimize their impact. This paper presents a neural network-based examination for forecasting Air Quality Index (AQI) values, employing two different models: a variable-depth neural network (NN) called slideNN, and a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model. Both models used past particulate matter measurements alongside local meteorological data as inputs. The slideNN variable-depth architecture consists of a set of independent neural network models, referred to as strands. Similarly, the GRU model comprises a set of independent GRU models with varying numbers of cells. Finally, both models were combined to provide a hybrid cloud-based model. This research examined the practical application of multi-strand neural networks and multi-cell recurrent neural networks in air quality forecasting, offering a hands-on case study and model evaluation for the city of Ioannina, Greece. Experimental results show that the GRU model consistently outperforms the slideNN model in terms of forecasting losses. In contrast, the hybrid GRU-NN model outperforms both GRU and slideNN, capturing additional localized information that can be exploited by combining particle concentration and microclimate monitoring services. Full article

Forest fires in the Hindu Kush Himalaya (HKH) region are increasing in frequency and severity, driven by climate variability, prolonged dry periods, and human activity. Nepal, a critical part of the HKH, recorded over 22,700 forest fire events in the past decade, with fire incidence nearly doubling in 2023. Despite this growing threat, operational early warning systems remain limited. This study presents Nepal’s first high-resolution early fire risk outlook system, developed by adopting the Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI) using meteorological forecasts from the High-Impact Weather Assessment Toolkit (HIWAT). The system generates daily and two-day forecasts using a fully automated Python-based workflow and publishes results as Web Map Services (WMS). Model validation against MODIS, VIIRS, and ground fire records for 2023 showed that over 80% of fires occurred in zones classified as Moderate to Very High risk. Spatiotemporal analysis confirmed fire seasonality, with peaks in mid-April and over 65% of fires occurring in forested areas. The system’s integration of satellite data and high-resolution forecasts improves the spatial and temporal accuracy of fire danger predictions. This research presents a novel, scalable, and operational framework tailored for data-scarce and topographically complex regions. Its transferability holds substantial potential for strengthening anticipatory fire management and climate adaptation strategies across the HKH and beyond. Full article

Temperature forecasting is critical for public safety, environmental risk management, and energy conservation. However, reliable forecasting becomes challenging in regions where governmental institutions lack adequate measurement infrastructure. To address this limitation, the present study aims to improve temperature forecasting by collecting temperature, pressure, and humidity data through IoT sensor networks. The study further seeks to identify the most effective method for the real-time processing of large-scale datasets generated by sensor measurements and to ensure data reliability. The collected data were pre-processed using Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) to extract essential features and reduce noise. Subsequently, three wavelet-processed deep-learning models were employed: Wavelet-processed Artificial Neural Networks (W-ANN), Wavelet-processed Long Short-Term Memory Networks (W-LSTM), and Wavelet-processed Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Networks (W-BiLSTM). Among these, the W-BiLSTM model yielded the highest performance, achieving a test accuracy of 97% and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2%. It significantly outperformed the W-LSTM and W-ANN models in predictive accuracy. Forecasts were validated using data obtained from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (TSMS), yielding a 94% concordance, thereby confirming the robustness of the proposed approach. The findings demonstrate that the W-BiLSTM-based model enables reliable temperature forecasting, even in regions with insufficient governmental measurement infrastructure. Accordingly, this approach holds considerable potential for supporting data-driven decision-making in environmental risk management and energy conservation. Full article

Gonghe Basin is an important frontier of resource and energy development and environmental protection on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau and upper sections of the Yellow River. As a characteristic ecotone, this area exhibits complex and diverse ecosystem types while demonstrating marked ecological vulnerability. The response of ecosystem services (ESs) to human activities (HAs) is directly related to the sustainable construction of an ecological civilization highland and the decision-making and implementation of high-quality development. However, this response relationship is unclear in the Gonghe Basin. Based on remote sensing data, land use, meteorological, soil, and digital elevation model data, the current research determined the human activity intensity (HAI) in the Gonghe Basin by reclassifying HAs and modifying the intensity coefficient. Employing the InVEST model and bivariate spatial autocorrelation methods, the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of HAI and ESs and responses of ESs to HAs in Gonghe Basin from 2000 to 2020 were quantitatively analyzed. The results demonstrate that: From 2000 to 2020, the HAI in the Gonghe Basin mainly reflected low-intensity HA, although the spatial range of HAI continued to expand. Single plantation and town construction activities exhibited high-intensity areas that spread along the northwest-southeast axis; composite activities such as tourism services and energy development showed medium-intensity areas of local growth, while the environmental supervision activity maintained a low-intensity wide-area distribution pattern. Over the past two decades, the four key ESs of water yield, soil conservation, carbon sequestration, and habitat quality exhibited distinct yet interconnected characteristics. From 2000 to 2020, HAs were significantly negatively correlated with ESs in Gonghe Basin. The spatial aggregation of HAs and ESs was mainly low-high and high-low, while the aggregation of HAs and individual services differed. These findings offer valuable insights for balancing and coordinating socio-economic development with resource exploitation in Gonghe Basin. Full article

The global shipping industry is evolving towards deep integration of digital transformation, intelligent upgrading, and green development. Meanwhile, recent geopolitical shifts have introduced heightened uncertainties into international shipping, compounding the challenges and escalating the demands for weather routing services for ocean-going ships. This paper provides a systematic review and expert perspective on China’s current status and key challenges in ocean-going weather routing services. Based on operational insights from China’s national meteorological service synthesized with a review of current trends and the literature, it further explores the future development of China’s ocean-going weather routing services and technologies from multiple dimensions: enhancing maritime weather observation capabilities, developing advanced weather routing service models, upgrading autonomous and controllable global satellite communication systems, promoting intelligent navigation technologies to facilitate shipping’s low-carbon transition, and expanding meteorological support capabilities for Arctic shipping routes. The analysis identifies critical gaps and proposes strategic directions, offering a unique contribution to understanding the trajectory of weather routing services within China’s specific national context from the perspective of its primary national service provider. Full article

The performance of Precise Point Positioning (PPP) using different Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) product sets, including broadcast ephemerides, International GNSS Service Real-Time Service (IGS-RTS) corrections, Galileo High Accuracy Service (HAS) corrections, and precise products from the Center for Orbit Determination in Europe (CODE) Multi-GNSS Experiment (MGEX), has been evaluated. The availability of solutions, convergence time, position accuracy and Zenith Tropospheric Delay (ZTD) estimation across these products were analyzed using simulated real-time and postprocessing static modes, using data from globally distributed stations with a 1 s observation interval. The results indicate that precise products from the MGEX provide the highest accuracy, achieving centimeter-level precision in post-processed mode. Real-time simulated solutions, such as HAS and IGS-RTS, deliver promising results, with Galileo HAS meeting its target accuracy of 20 cm horizontally and 40 cm vertically and a convergence time under 5 min. However, Global Positioning System (GPS) performance within HAS is limited by a significantly lower correction availability—around 67% on average compared to over 95% for Galileo—which negatively impacts PPP performance. ZTD estimation results show that real-time services (HAS, IGS-RTS) achieved errors within 1–3 cm, sufficient for meteorological applications. This study highlights the growing importance of HAS in real-time positioning applications and suggests further improvements in GPS for enhanced performance. Full article

Climate change has a significant impact on vegetation development. While existing studies provide some insights, long-term trend analysis and multifactor driver assessments for China are still lacking. At the same time, research on the future vegetation development under different climate change scenarios needs further strengthening. In response to these issues, this study analyzed China’s normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data from 2001 to 2023, exploring vegetation cover trends, driving factors, and predicting the impact of future climate change. Firstly, this study decomposed the time series data into seasonal, trend, and residual components using the Seasonal–Trend decomposition using Loess (STL) decomposition method, quantifying vegetation changes across different climate zones. Partial least squares (PLS) regression analysis was then used to examine the relationship between NDVI and driving factors, and the contribution of these factors to NDVI variation was determined through the variable importance in projection (VIP) score. The results show that NDVI has significantly increased over the past two decades, especially since 2010. Further analysis revealed that vegetation growth is primarily influenced by soil moisture, shortwave radiation, and total precipitation (VIP scores > 0.8). Utilizing machine learning with Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) multimodel data, this study predicts NDVI trends from 2023 to 2100 under four emission scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, SSP585), quantifying future meteorological factors such as temperature, precipitation, and radiation to NDVI. Findings indicate that under high-emission scenarios, the vegetation greenness in some regions may experience improved vegetation conditions despite global warming challenges. Future land management strategies must consider climate change impacts on ecosystems to ensure sustainability and enhance ecosystem services. Full article