Search Results (18)

Aiming at the problem that the energy consumption of the boiler system varies greatly under the flexible peaking requirements of coal-fired units, an energy consumption prediction model for the boiler system is established based on a Least-Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM). First, the Mean Impact Value (MIV) algorithm is used to simplify the input characteristics of the model and determine the key operating parameters that affect energy consumption. Secondly, the Snow Ablation Optimizer (SAO) with tent map, adaptive t-distribution, and the opposites learning mechanism is introduced to determine the parameters in the prediction model. On this basis, based on the operation data of an ultra-supercritical coal-fired unit in Xinjiang, China, the boiler energy consumption dataset under variable load is established based on the theory of fuel specific consumption. The proposed prediction model is used to predict and analyze the boiler energy consumption, and a comparison is made with other common prediction methods. The results show that compared with the LSSVM, BP, and ELM prediction models, the average Relative Root Mean Squared Errors (aRRMSE) of the LSSVM model using ISAO are reduced by 2.13%, 18.12%, and 40.3%, respectively. The prediction model established in this paper has good accuracy. It can predict the energy consumption distribution of the boiler system of the ultra-supercritical coal-fired unit under variable load more accurately. Full article

In the Czochralski silicon single crystal growth process, the tail diameter is a key parameter that cannot be directly measured. In this paper, we propose a real-time soft measurement method that combines a deep belief network (DBN) and a support vector regression (SVR) network based on system identification to accurately predict the crystal diameter. The main steps of the proposed method are as follows: First, we address the delay problem of the effects of the temperature and crystal pulling speed on the tail diameter growth by using a back propagation (BP) neural network based on the mean impact value (MIV) method to determine the optimal delay time. Second, we construct a prediction model of the tail diameter by using the DBN network with the temperature and crystal pulling speed as input variables in the crystal growth process. Third, we improve the DBN network by using the SVR network to enhance its linear regression capability. We also employ the ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithm to obtain the optimal parameters of the SVR network. Finally, we compare the performance of the DBN-ACO-SVR network based on system identification with the DBN and SVR networks, and the results show that our method can effectively deal with the delay problem and achieve the accurate prediction of the tail diameter in the Czochralski silicon single crystal growth process. Full article

High-precision operational flight loads are essential for monitoring fatigue of individual aircraft and are usually determined by flight parameters. To tackle the nonlinear relationship between flight loads and flight parameters for more accurate prediction of flight loads, artificial neural networks have been widely studied. However, there are still two major problems, namely the training strategy and sensitivity analysis of the flight parameters. For the first problem, the gradient descent method is usually used, which is time-consuming and can easily converge to a local solution. To solve this problem, an extreme learning machine is proposed to determine the weights based on a Moore–Penrose generalized inverse. Moreover, a genetic algorithm method is proposed to optimize the weights between the input and hidden layers. For the second problem, a mean impact value (MIV) method is proposed to measure the sensitivity of the flight parameters, and the neuron number in the hidden layer is also optimized. Finally, based on the measured dataset of an aircraft, the proposed flight load prediction method is verified to be effective and efficient. In addition, a comparison is made with some well-known neural networks to demonstrate the advantages of the proposed method. Full article

By using an array of pressure sensors distributed on the surface of an aircraft to measure the pressure of each port, the flush airdata sensing (FADS) system is widely applied in many modern aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). Normally, the pressure transducers of the FADS system should be mounted on the leading edge of the aircraft, where they are sensitive to changes in pressure. For UAVs, however, the leading edge of the nose and wing may not be available for pressure transducers. In addition, the number of transducers is limited to 8–10, making it difficult to maintain accuracy in the normal method for FADS systems. An FADS system model for an unmanned flying wing was developed, and the pressure transducers were all located outside the regions of the leading edge areas. The locations of the transducers were selected by using the mean impact value (MIV), and ensemble neural networks were developed to predict the airdata with a very limited number of transducers. Furthermore, an error detection method was also developed based on artificial neural networks and random forests. The FADS system model can accurately detect the malfunctioning port and use the correct pressure combination to predict the Mach number, angle of attack, and angle of sideslip with high accuracy. Full article

Riserless Mud Recovery (RMR) technology, as an emerging and efficient drilling method, is advantageous to reduce the shallow flow hazards and the number of casings. The wave current effect is one of the reasons limiting the application of RMR technology in deep and ultra-deep water, and fewer quantitative and qualitative analyses of the effect of the current are made on the stability of conductors. This paper investigates the influence of the overturning moment generated by the continuous subsea internal wave flow and the soil resistance to the conductor. The numerical simulation software ABAQUS is used to study the effects of sea state recurrence period, seabed soil properties, conductor material, driving depth in the mud, and conductor wellhead height on the stability of the conductor, and the influence weights of the factors affecting the stability of the conductor are analyzed using the weight analysis algorithm of extreme learning machine-mean impact value (ELM-MIV). Finally, the qualitative and quantitative analyses affecting the stability of the conductor are carried out, which provide reference values for the application of the RMR technology. Full article

Aiming at the problem of calculating the overtopping of single-slope breakwaters, a mean impact value-backpropagation (MIV-BP) estimation model for predicting overtopping was established. Experimental data from the Tianjin Research Institute of Water Transport Engineering (TIWTE) were utilized to further enrich the dataset of the CLASH project for single-slope wave overtopping discharge. This paper established a comprehensive prediction model based on an ensemble learning average method combination strategy. There are 10 input parameters in the model, including the offshore effective wave height, average wave period, offshore water depth, toe submergence, toe width, slope tangent, armor rock surface roughness factor, crest height with respect to the static water level, wall height with respect to the static water level, and crest width; the output parameter is the mean overtopping discharge. Subsequently, a comparative analysis was conducted between this estimation model, the Chinese standard formula calculation model, and the European Van der Meer formula calculation model. Compared with the two formulas mentioned above, this estimation model’s coefficient of correlation increased by 0.23 and 0.26, respectively. Finally, a weight evaluation analysis of the 10 main factors affecting overtopping was carried out based on a MIV-BP neural network model. In the analysis, a positive correlation was found for factors, such as the wave height, average wave period, and water depth at the structure toe; a negative correlation was found for factors, such as the slope, crest height with respect to the static water level, wall height with respect to the static water level, and crest width. Overall, the results provide a significant basis and reference for optimizing the design of the wave overtopping control. Full article

Uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) is one of the most important parameters to characterize the rock mass in geotechnical engineering design and construction. In this study, a novel kernel extreme learning machine-grey wolf optimizer (KELM-GWO) model was proposed to predict the UCS of 271 rock samples. Four parameters namely the porosity (P_n, %), Schmidt hardness rebound number (SHR), P-wave velocity (V_p, km/s), and point load strength (PLS, MPa) were considered as the input variables, and the UCS is the output variable. To verify the effectiveness and accuracy of the KELM-GWO model, extreme learning machine (ELM), KELM, deep extreme learning machine (DELM) back-propagation neural network (BPNN), and one empirical model were established and compared with the KELM-GWO model to predict the UCS. The root mean square error (RMSE), determination coefficient (R²), mean absolute error (MAE), prediction accuracy (U₁), prediction quality (U₂), and variance accounted for (VAF) were adopted to evaluate all models in this study. The results demonstrate that the proposed KELM-GWO model was the best model for predicting UCS with the best performance indices. Additionally, the identified most important parameter for predicting UCS is the porosity by using the mean impact value (MIV) technique. Full article

To address the problem of subjectivity in determining the poverty-returning risk among registered poor households, a method of monitoring and analyzing the poverty-returning risk among households based on BP neural network and natural breaks method was constructed. In the case of Yunyang District, Hubei Province, based on the data of the poverty alleviation and development system, we constructed a monitoring system for the poverty-returning risk for the registered poor households. The spatial distribution pattern of households under the poverty-returning risk was analyzed from two scales of district and township, respectively, by combining Geographic Information Science, and the influence degree of indicators on the poverty-returning risk using mean impact value (MIV). The results show that: (1) The spatial distribution of the poverty-returning risk among the registered poor households in the study area basically coincides with the local natural poverty-causing factors and the degree of social and economic development. (2) The Poverty-Returning Risk Index for each township represents a globally strong spatial dependence with a Moran’s I coefficient of 0.352. (3) The past poverty identification status of registered poor households is the main factor to reduce the poverty-returning risk, and the past policy should remain unchanged for a period of time. (4) Improving the quality of education within households and focusing on helping households with older average age can further reduce the poverty-returning risk. Full article

In order to effectively solve the problems of low prediction accuracy and calculation efficiency of existing methods for estimating economic loss in a subway station engineering project due to rainstorm flooding, a new intelligent prediction model is developed using the sparrow search algorithm (SSA), the least-squares support vector machine (LSSVM) and the mean impact value (MIV) method. First, in this study, 11 input variables are determined from the disaster loss rate and asset value, and a complete method is provided for acquiring and processing data of all variables. Then, the SSA method, with strong optimization ability, fast convergence and few parameters, is used to optimize the kernel function and the penalty factor parameters of the LSSVM. Finally, the MIV is used to identify the important input variables, so as to reduce the predicted input variables and achieve higher calculation accuracy. In addition, 45 station projects in China were selected for empirical analysis. The empirical results revealed that the linear correlation between the 11 input variables and output variables was weak, which demonstrated the necessity of adopting nonlinear analysis methods such as the LSSVM. Compared with other forecasting methods, such as the multiple regression analysis, the backpropagation neural network (BPNN), the BPNN optimized by the particle swarm optimization, the BPNN optimized by the SSA, the LSSVM, the LSSVM optimized by the genetic algorithm, the PSO-LSSVM and the LSSVM optimized by the Grey Wolf Optimizer, the model proposed in this paper had higher accuracy and stability and was effectively used for forecasting economic loss in subway station engineering projects due to rainstorms. Full article

Feature selection is to obtain effective features from data, also known as feature engineering. Traditional feature selection and predictive model learning are separated, and there is a problem of inconsistency of criteria. This paper presents an end-to-end feature selection and diagnosis method that organically unifies feature expression learning and machine prediction learning into one model. The algorithm first combines the prediction model to calculate the mean impact value (MIVs) of the feature and realizes primary feature selection for the prediction model by selecting the feature with a larger MIV. In order to take into account the performance of the feature itself, the within-class and between-class discriminant analysis (WBDA) method is proposed, and combined with the feature diversity strategy, the feature-oriented secondary selection is realized. Eventually, feature vectors obtained by two selections are classified using a multi-class support vector machine (SVM). Compared with the modified network variable selection algorithm (MIVs), the principal component analysis dimensionality reduction algorithm (PCA), variable selection based on compensative distance evaluation technology (CDET), and other algorithms, the proposed method MIVs-WBDA exhibits excellent classification accuracy owing to the fusion of feature selection and predictive model learning. According to the results of classification accuracy testing after dimensionality reduction on rotating machinery status, the MIVs-WBDA method has a 3% classification accuracy improvement under the low-dimensional feature set. The typical running time of this classification learning algorithm is less than 10 s, while using deep learning, its running time will be more than a few hours. Full article

This paper presents a feature selection model based on mean impact value (MIV) to solve induction motor (IM) fault diagnosis on the current signal. In this paper, particle swarm optimization (PSO) is combined with back propagation neural network (BPNN) to classify the current signal of IM. First, the purpose of this study is to establish IM fault diagnosis system. Additionally, this study proposes a feature selection process that is composed of MIV, whose objective is to reduce the number of classifier input features. Secondly, the features are extracted as a feature database after analyzing the current signal of IM, and the fault diagnosis is established through the model of PSO-BPNN. Finally, redundant features are deleted through this feature selection process and a classifier is built. The result shows that the feature selection model based on MIV can filter the features effectively at a signal to noise ratio of 30 dB and 20 dB for the IM fault detection problem. In addition, the computing time of BPNN is also reduced which is helpful for online detection. Full article

Particle morphology is of great significance to the grain- and macro-scale behaviors of granular soils. Most existing traditional morphology descriptors have three perennial limitations, i.e., dissensus of definition, inter-scale effect, and surface roughness heterogeneity, which limit the accurate representation of particle morphology. The inter-scale effect refers to the inaccurate representation of the morphological features at the target relative length scale (RLS, i.e., length scale with respective to particle size) caused by the inclusion of additional morphological details existing at other RLS. To effectively eliminate the inter-scale effect and reflect surface roughness heterogeneity, a novel spherical harmonic-based multi-scale morphology descriptor R_inc is proposed to depict the incremental morphology variation (IMV) at different RLS. The following conclusions were drawn: (1) the IMV at each RLS decreases with decreasing RLS while the corresponding particle surface is, in general, getting rougher; (2) artificial neural network (ANN)-based mean impact values (MIVs) of R_inc at different RLS are calculated and the results prove the effective elimination of inter-scale effects by using R_inc; (3) R_inc shows a positive correlation with the rate of increase of surface area R_SA at all RLS; (4) R_inc can be utilized to quantify the irregularity and roughness; (5) the surface morphology of a given particle shows different morphology variation in different sections, as well as different variation trends at different RLS. With the capability of eliminating the existing limitations of traditional morphology descriptors, the novel multi-scale descriptor proposed in this paper is very suitable for acting as a morphological gene to represent the multi-scale feature of particle morphology. Full article

Leaf area index (LAI) is an essential vegetation parameter that represents the light energy utilization and vegetation canopy structure. As the only in-operation hyperspectral satellite launched by China, GF-5 is potentially useful for accurate LAI estimation. However, there is no research focus on evaluating GF-5 data for LAI estimation. Hyperspectral remote sensing data contains abundant information about the reflective characteristics of vegetation canopies, but these abound data also easily result in a dimensionality curse. Therefore, feature selection (FS) is necessary to reduce data redundancy to achieve more reliable estimations. Currently, machine learning (ML) algorithms have been widely used for FS. Moreover, the same ML algorithm is usually conducted for both FS and regression in LAI estimation. However, no evidence suggests that this is the optimal solution. Therefore, this study focuses on evaluating the capacity of GF-5 spectral reflectance for estimating LAI and the performances of different combination of FS and ML algorithms. Firstly, the PROSAIL model, which coupled leaf optical properties model PROSPECT and the scattering by arbitrarily inclined leaves (SAIL) model, was used to generate simulated GF-5 reflectance data under different vegetation and soil conditions, and then three FS methods, including random forest (RF), K-means clustering (K-means) and mean impact value (MIV), and three ML algorithms, including random forest regression (RFR), back propagation neural network (BPNN) and K-nearest neighbor (KNN) were used to develop nine LAI estimation models. The FS process was conducted twice using different strategies: Firstly, three FS methods were conducted to search the lowest dimension number, which maintained the estimation accuracy of all bands. Then, the sequential backward selection (SBS) method was used to eliminate the bands having minimal impact on LAI estimation accuracy. Finally, three best estimation models were selected and evaluated using reference LAI. The results showed that although the RF_RFR model (RF used for feature selection and RFR used for regression) achieved reliable LAI estimates (coefficient of determination (R²) = 0.828, root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.839), the poor performance (R² = 0.763, RMSE = 0.987) of the MIV_BPNN model (MIV used for feature selection and BPNN used for regression) suggested using feature selection and regression conducted by the same ML algorithm could not always ensure an optimal estimation. Moreover, RF selection preserved the most informative bands for LAI estimation so that each ML regression method could achieve satisfactory estimation results. Finally, the results indicated that the RF_KNN model (RF used as feature selection and KNN used for regression) with seven GF-5 spectral band reflectance achieved the better estimation results than others when validated by simulated data (R² = 0.834, RMSE = 0.824) and actual reference LAI (R² = 0.659, RMSE = 0.697). Full article

The combination of coal precise mining and information technology in the new century is one of the important directions for the future development of coal mining. Taking the fully mechanized top coal caving condition of a thick coal seam in the 90,101 working face of Baoshan Yujing Coal Mine in Shanyin City, Shanxi Province as an example, the intelligent identification method of section coal pillar stability was studied. The load transfer law of overlying strata in the upper part of coal pillar was analyzed, and the coal pillar values of each index were obtained by using an empirical formula, mean impact value-genetic algorithm-BP neural network (MIV-GA-BP) simulation experiment, and finite difference algorithm. The Delphi index evaluation system was used to calculate the optimal value of the coal pillar. The results showed that the non-contact cantilevered triangle on the two wings of the coal pillar in the goaf reduced the stress on the coal pillar; according to the width of the coal pillar at 10 m, 14 m, 16 m, and 20 m, combined with the relationship between the plastic zone and the core zone of coal pillar, and the relationship between the stress field and the ultimate strength of coal pillar, the numerical simulation value of the coal pillar was determined. The MIV (mean impact value) characteristics screened out the influencing factors of coal pillar width in the section near the horizontal fully mechanized top coal caving face order of importance; the relative error between the predicted value and the expected value of the MIV-GA-BP simulation experiment was less than 5%, which has good stability for the multi-factor nonlinear coupling prediction problem; and the optimal value of the coal pillar was 16.03 m by the intelligent identification method of the coal pillar. When the 16 m pillar was used, the surrounding rock deformation of the roadway was small, and the control effect was good. The research results provide a theoretical basis and reference for the parameter determination of similar projects. Full article

The importance of neural network (NN) modelling is evident from its performance benefits in a myriad of applications, where, unlike conventional techniques, NN modeling provides superior performance without relying on complex filtering and/or time-consuming parameter tuning specific to applications and their wider ranges of conditions. In this paper, we employ NN modelling with training data generation based on sensitivity analysis for the prediction of building energy consumption to improve performance and reliability. Unlike our previous work, where insignificant input variables are successively screened out based on their mean impact values (MIVs) during the training process, we use the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plot to generate reliable data with a conservative or progressive point of view, which overcomes the issue of data insufficiency of the MIV method: By properly setting boundaries for input variables based on the ROC plot and their statistics, instead of completely screening them out as in the MIV-based method, we can generate new training data that maximize true positive and false negative numbers from the partial data set. Then a NN model is constructed and trained with the generated training data using Levenberg–Marquardt back propagation (LM-BP) to perform electricity prediction for commercial buildings. The performance of the proposed data generation methods is compared with that of the MIV method through experiments, whose results show that data generation using successive and cross pattern provides satisfactory performance, following energy consumption trends with good phase. Among the two options in data generation, i.e., successive and two data combination, the successive option shows lower root mean square error (RMSE) than the combination one by around 400~900 kWh (i.e., 30%~75%). Full article