Search Results (151)

Accurate prediction of a ship’s Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) is of great significance for port scheduling, logistics management, and navigation safety. Traditional ETA prediction approaches often rely on manual experience for parameter tuning, which tends to be inefficient and susceptible to subjective factors. To address this issue and improve prediction accuracy, this study proposes a hybrid modeling framework, integrating Bayesian Optimization (BO), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. In this approach, Automatic Identification System (AIS) data is leveraged to predict the total voyage duration before departure, thereby deriving the vessel’s ETA. The model, referred to as BO-CNN-LSTM, utilizes BO for automatic hyperparameter tuning, employs CNN for extracting local features, and applies LSTM network to capture temporal dependencies. The model is developed using a dataset of 32,972 distinct voyage records, among which 23,947 are retained as valid samples after data cleaning. Pearson correlation analysis is conducted to select key input variables, including navigation speed, ship type, sailing distance, and deadweight tonnage. Additionally, sailing distance is processed using the Ramer–Douglas–Peucker algorithm. Experimental evaluation indicates that the BO-CNN-LSTM model achieves a coefficient of determination of 0.987, along with a mean absolute error and root mean square error of 6.078 and 8.730, respectively. These results significantly outperform comparison models such as CNN, LSTM, CNN-LSTM, random forest, AdaBoost, and Elman neural networks. Overall, this study validates the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed BO-CNN-LSTM model in ship ETA prediction, providing an efficient and effective prediction solution for intelligent maritime transportation systems. Full article

Shallow water bathymetry data underpins maritime shipping and marine resource survey/protection, but its accuracy is constrained by water heterogeneity and spectral interference. To address this, this study proposes a Spatio-Temporal Coupling and Correlation Adaptive Spectral (STCCAS) inversion method, integrating four machine learning models: Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP). Experiments were conducted in Tampa Bay’s nearshore waters, using Sentinel-2 imagery and Airborne LiDAR Bathymetry (ALB) data. Core to STCCAS, the Temporal Stability Index (TSI) quantifies spectral temporal consistency, while the Normalized Difference Turbidity Index (NDTI) characterizes water turbidity, and the two indices synergistically form a dual-scale “spectral reliability-turbidity stability” evaluation system for pixel-level feature quality assessment—coupled with spectral fusion features and spatial location, they jointly realize pixel-level feature reliability weighting and dynamic filtering to build a water condition-adaptive input set. Comparative analysis of inversion performance under the original spectral features (OSFs) inversion method vs. STCCAS inversion method confirms STCCAS significantly boosts accuracy. XGBoost outperforms others, achieving a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.93, root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.16 m, and mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.12 m. STCCAS breaks the limitations of traditional fixed feature combinations, effectively adapting to nearshore water heterogeneity. It provides a novel method for high-frequency, high-precision shallow water bathymetry inversion, with important practical value for marine environmental monitoring and resource management. Full article

With the expansion of water transportation networks and increasing traffic intensity, maritime accidents have become frequent, posing significant threats to safety and property. This study presents a knowledge graph-driven framework for maritime accident analysis, addressing the limitations of traditional risk analysis methods in extracting and organizing unstructured accident data. First, a standardized ontology for ship collision accidents is developed, defining core concepts such as event, spatiotemporal behavior, causation, consequence, responsibility, and decision-making. Advanced natural language processing models, including a lexicon-enhanced LEBERT-BiLSTM-CRF and a K-BERT-BiLSTM-CRF incorporating ship collision knowledge triplets, are proposed for named entity recognition and relation extraction, with F1-score improvements of 6.7% and 1.2%, respectively. The constructed accident knowledge graph integrates heterogeneous data, enabling semantic organization and efficient retrieval. Leveraging graph topological features, an accident severity classification model is established, where a graph-feature-driven LSTM-RNN demonstrates robust performance, especially with imbalanced data. Comparative experiments show the superiority of this approach over conventional models such as XGBoost and random forest. Overall, this research demonstrates that knowledge graph-driven methods can significantly enhance maritime accident knowledge extraction and severity classification, providing strong information support and methodological advances for intelligent accident management and prevention. Full article

Fire refugia are critical for post-disturbance recovery, yet microhabitats such as stones remain understudied despite their ubiquity and thermal persistence. This study tested whether the depth- and area-dependent refugial capacity of stones previously demonstrated in Mediterranean oak forests also operates in intensively managed plantations and how forest type and management modulate this capacity. Immediate wildfire effects (1–8 days post-fire) on ground-dwelling macroinvertebrates were quantified under 660 stones across burnt and unburnt native maritime pine and exotic eucalypt plantations following a medium- to high-severity wildfire. Stones acted as thermal refugia in both plantation types, with burial depths greater than 5 cm and surface areas greater than 500 cm² predicting survival. Despite severe impacts (richness declined by 56% in pine and 63% in eucalypt; overall mortality exceeding 50%), diverse taxa persisted under stones, particularly ground spiders, ants, centipedes, rock bristletails, and harvestmen, while plant-associated and moisture-dependent groups suffered the highest losses. Native pine supported a higher abundance and richness per stone than exotic eucalypt in both burnt and unburnt conditions, reflecting management-driven differences in stone size, depth, and availability. These findings show that retaining sufficiently large, deeply buried stones during plantation establishment can enhance post-fire biodiversity recovery in increasingly fire-prone production landscapes. Full article

Short-form video platforms such as TikTok (TikTok Pte. Ltd., Singapore) host large volumes of user-generated, often ephemeral, content related to irregular migration, where relevant cues are distributed across visual scenes, on-screen text, and multilingual captions. Automatically identifying migration-related videos is challenging due to this multimodal complexity and the scarcity of labeled data in sensitive domains. This paper presents an interpretable multimodal classification framework designed for deployment under data-scarce conditions. We extract features from platform metadata, automated video analysis (Google Cloud Video Intelligence), and Optical Character Recognition (OCR) text, and compare text-only, OCR-only, and vision-only baselines against a multimodal fusion approach using Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and XGBoost. In this pilot study, multimodal fusion consistently improves class separation over single-modality models, achieving an F1-score of 0.92 for the migration-related class under stratified cross-validation. Given the limited sample size, these results are interpreted as evidence of feature separability rather than definitive generalization. Feature importance and SHAP analyses identify OCR-derived keywords, maritime cues, and regional indicators as the most influential predictors. To assess robustness under data scarcity, we apply SMOTE to synthetically expand the training set to 500 samples and evaluate performance on a small held-out set of real videos, observing stable results that further support feature-level robustness. Finally, we demonstrate scalability by constructing a weakly labeled corpus of 600 videos using the identified multimodal cues, highlighting the suitability of the proposed feature set for weakly supervised monitoring at scale. Overall, this work serves as a methodological blueprint for building interpretable multimodal monitoring pipelines in sensitive, low-resource settings. Full article

Visibility is a critical meteorological factor for ensuring the safety of maritime and bridge transportation, and accurate identification of low-visibility levels is essential for early warning and operational scheduling. Traditional methods such as Random Forest often exhibit insufficient feature-modeling capability when dealing with high-dimensional, multi-source remote sensing data. Meanwhile, satellite observations used for visibility recognition are characterized by strong inter-channel correlations, complex nonlinear interactions, significant observational noise and outliers, and the scarcity of low-visibility samples that are easily confused with low clouds and haze. As a result, existing general deep learning methods (e.g., the Saint model) may still exhibit unstable attention weights and limited generalization under complex meteorological conditions. To address these limitations, this study constructs a visibility classification task for the Jiaxing–Shaoxing Cross-Sea Bridge region in China based on multi-channel visible and infrared spectral observations from the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) and Fengyun-4B (FY-4B) satellites. We propose a visibility classification method using the LF-Transformer for the Jiaxing–Shaoxing Cross-Sea Bridge region in China, and systematically compare it with the Random Forest and Saint models. Experimental results show that the Precision of the LF-Transformer increases significantly from 0.47 (Random Forest) to 0.59, achieving a 13% improvement and demonstrating stronger discriminative ability and stability under complex meteorological conditions. Furthermore, a combination input of FY4A+FY4B outperform the single FY4A, with a 25.5% increased Macro F1-score. With an additional ensemble strategy, the LF-Transformer further improves its precision on the FY4A+FY4B fused dataset to 0.61, a 3% compared to the original LF-Transformer, indicating enhanced prediction stability. Overall, the proposed method substantially strengthens visibility classification performance and highlights the strong application potential of the LF-Transformer in remote-sensing-based meteorological tasks, particularly for low-visibility monitoring, early warning, and transportation safety assurance. Full article

This study explores the potential for afforestation in Portugal that could balance wood and non-wood forest production under future climate change scenarios. The Climate Envelope Models (CEM) approach was employed with three main objectives: (1) to model the current distribution of key Portuguese forest species—eucalypts, maritime pine, umbrella pine, chestnut, and cork oak—based on their suitability for wood and non-wood production; (2) to project their potential distribution for the years 2070 and 2090 under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios: SSP2–4.5 (moderate) and SSP5–8.5 (high emissions); and (3) to generate integrated species distribution maps identifying both current and future high-suitability zones to support afforestation planning, reflecting climatic compatibility under fixed thresholds. Species’ current CMEs were produced using an additive Boolean model with a set of environmental variables (e.g., temperature-related and precipitation-related, elevation, and soil) specific to each species. Species’ current CEMs were validated using forest inventory data and the official Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) map of Portugal, and a good agreement was obtained (>99%). By the end of the 21st century, marked reductions in species suitability are projected, especially for chestnut (36%–44%) and maritime pine (25%–35%). Incorporating future suitability projections and preventive silvicultural practices into afforestation planning is therefore essential to ensure climate-resilient and ecologically friendly forest management. Full article

Sea fog is a major meteorological hazard that severely disrupts maritime transportation and economic activities in the South China Sea. As China’s next-generation geostationary meteorological satellite, Fengyun-4B (FY-4B) supplies continuous observations that are well suited for sea fog monitoring, yet a satellite-specific recognition method has been lacking. A key obstacle is the radiometric inconsistency between the Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager (AGRI) sensors on FY-4A and FY-4B, compounded by the cessation of Cloud–Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) observations, which prevents direct transfer of fog labels. To address these challenges and fill this research gap, we propose a machine learning framework that integrates cross-satellite radiometric recalibration and physical mechanism constraints for robust daytime sea fog detection. First, we innovatively apply a radiation recalibration transfer technique based on the radiative transfer model to normalize FY-4A/B radiances and, together with Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) cloud/fog classification products and ERA5 reanalysis, construct a highly consistent joint training set of FY-4A/B for the winter-spring seasons since 2019. Secondly, to enhance the model’s physical performance, we incorporate key physical parameters related to the sea fog formation process (such as temperature inversion, near-surface humidity, and wind field characteristics) as physical constraints, and combine them with multispectral channel sensitivity and the brightness temperature (BT) standard deviation that characterizes texture smoothness, resulting in an optimized 13-dimensional feature matrix. Using this, we optimize the sea fog recognition model parameters of decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM) with grid search and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms. The validation results show that the RF model outperforms others with the highest overall classification accuracy (0.91) and probability of detection (POD, 0.81) that surpasses prior FY-4A-based work for the South China Sea (POD 0.71–0.76). More importantly, this study demonstrates that the proposed FY-4B framework provides reliable technical support for operational, continuous sea fog monitoring over the South China Sea. Full article

The Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) of vessels is a vital operational indicator for voyage planning, fleet deployment, and resource allocation. However, most existing studies focus on short-distance liner services with fixed routes, while ETA prediction for long-distance tramp bulk carriers remains insufficiently accurate, often resulting in operational inefficiencies and charter party disputes. To fill this gap, this study proposes a data-driven stacking ensemble learning framework that integrates Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Random Forest (RF) as base learners, combined with a Linear Regression meta-learner. This framework is specifically tailored to the unique complexities of tramp shipping, advancing beyond traditional single-model approaches by incorporating systematic feature engineering and model fusion. The study also introduces the construction of a comprehensive multi-dimensional AIS feature system, incorporating baseline, temporal, speed-related, course-related, static, and historical behavioral features, thereby enabling more nuanced and accurate ETA prediction. Using AIS trajectory data from bulk carrier voyages between Weipa (Australia) and Qingdao (China) in 2023, the framework leverages multi-feature fusion to enhance predictive performance. The results demonstrate that the stacking model achieves the highest accuracy, reducing the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) to 3.30 h—a 74.7% improvement over the historical averaging benchmark and an 11.3% reduction compared with the best individual model, XGBoost. Extensive performance evaluation and interpretability analysis confirm that the stacking ensemble provides stability and robustness. Feature importance analysis reveals that vessel speed, course stability, and remaining distance are the primary drivers of ETA prediction. Additionally, meta-learner weighting analysis shows that LightGBM offers a stable baseline, while systematic deviations in XGBoost predictions act as effective error-correction signals, highlighting the complementary strengths captured by the ensemble. The findings provide operational insights for maritime logistics and port management, offering significant benefits for port scheduling and maritime logistics management. Full article

Coastal shipping plays a critical role in meeting maritime decarbonization targets under the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) Carbon Intensity Indicator (CII) and the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS); however, operators currently lack robust tools to forecast route-specific carbon intensity and evaluate the causal benefits of fuel switching. This study developed a distribution-free causal forecasting framework for voyage-level Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) intensity using an enriched panel of 1440 real-world voyages across four Nigerian coastal routes (2022–2024). We employed a physics-informed monotonic Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) model trained under a strict leave-one-route-out (LORO) protocol, integrated with split-conformal prediction for uncertainty quantification and Causal Forests for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects. The model predicted emission intensity on completely unseen corridors with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 40.7 kg CO₂/nm, while 90% conformal prediction intervals achieved 100% empirical coverage. While the global average effect of switching from heavy fuel oil to diesel was negligible (≈−0.07 kg CO₂/nm), Causal Forests revealed significant heterogeneity, with effects ranging from −74 g to +29 g CO₂/nm depending on route conditions. Economically, targeted diesel use becomes viable only when carbon prices exceed ~100 USD/tCO₂. These findings demonstrate that effective coastal decarbonization requires moving beyond static baselines to uncertainty-aware planning and targeted, route-specific fuel strategies rather than uniform fleet-wide policies. Full article

Modern port operations face increasing challenges from rapidly changing weather and environmental conditions, requiring accurate short-term forecasting to support safe and efficient maritime activities. This study presents a sensor fusion-based machine learning framework for real-time multi-target nowcasting of wind gust speed, sustained wind speed, and wind direction using heterogeneous data collected at the Port of Livorno from February to November 2025. Using an IoT architecture compliant with the oneM2M standard and deployed at the Port of Livorno, CNIT integrated heterogeneous data from environmental sensors (meteorological stations, anemometers) and vessel-mounted LiDAR systems through feature-level fusion to enhance situational awareness, with gust speed treated as the primary safety-critical variable due to its substantial impact on berthing and crane operations. In addition, a comparative performance analysis of Random Forest, XGBoost, LSTM, Temporal Convolutional Network, Ensemble Neural Network, Transformer models, and a Kalman filter was performed. The results show that XGBoost consistently achieved the highest accuracy across all targets, with near-perfect performance in both single-split testing (R² ≈ 0.999) and five-fold cross-validation (mean R² = 0.9976). Ensemble models exhibited greater robustness than deep learning approaches. The proposed multi-target fusion framework demonstrates strong potential for real-time deployment in Maritime Autonomous Surface Ship (MASS) systems and port decision-support platforms, enabling safer manoeuvring and operational continuity under rapidly varying environmental conditions. Full article

Understanding the spatial dynamics of China’s marine economic geography is essential for sustainable coastal development and marine spatial governance. This study examines the spatial distribution patterns and influencing factors of spatial differentiation in China’s marine economy from 2013 to 2023, utilizing AI techniques to facilitate multi-source data fusion and employing a Random Forest analytical method. The research was integrated with AI-based web-scraping, automated data-cleaning procedures, multi-source data preprocessing, Min–Max normalization, and Random Forest regression to accomplish multi-source data fusion and factor-importance analysis. Kernel density estimation, global Moran’s I, Getis-Ord Gi* statistics, and buffer zone analysis were employed to characterize spatial heterogeneity across coastal, island, and maritime economic zones, while Spearman’s correlation was used to quantify the relationships of influencing factors. Results indicate that China’s marine economy exhibits a pronounced “south–hot–north–cold and east–strong–west–weak” spatial gradient, with high-value clusters concentrated in the Bohai Rim, Yangtze River Delta, and Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area. The coastal zone economy accounts for over 65% of the national marine GDP and acts as the dominant driver of spatial agglomeration. Policy implications suggest strengthening cross-regional industrial cooperation and optimizing spatial planning to enhance marine economic resilience and sustainability. Full article

Mangrove forests are biodiverse and highly productive coastal ecosystems, fundamental to fisheries and tourism. However, they are severely threatened by human activities and invasive species, particularly in port areas such as the Port of Santos, necessitating effective environmental management. This study aimed to analyze the risks of biological invasion in mangrove ecosystems stemming from port activities, with a focus on the Port of Santos (PS), Brazil. To achieve this, we conducted a bibliometric review using the Web of Science and Scopus databases, analyzed vessel traffic flows arriving at the PS over 14 years (from 2010 to 2024), and discussed alternatives to address the challenge of biological invasion. The review revealed a significant gap in the scientific literature, as few studies (9.9%, n = 71) address the intersection of maritime transport, invasive species, and mangroves in Latin American contexts. The intense and constant flow of international vessels into the Port of Santos, totaling 15,193 arrivals from more than 200 ports worldwide between 2010 and 2024, poses a persistent threat of biological invasion. This high-volume connectivity, with several foreign hubs exceeding 300 departures in the period, reinforces the role of ships as vectors transporting exotic species in ballast water and through hull fouling. This can destabilize local ecosystems and cause significant socioeconomic losses unless control measures, mediated by effective policies, regulations, and technologies, are implemented in the short term. A spatiotemporal analysis of vessel traffic flows over a 14-year period revealed persistent high-risk corridors for bioinvasion, directly linking maritime activity patterns to the threat level for adjacent mangrove ecosystems. The data indicate a substantial challenge for the PS, yet one with a high potential for resolution in the medium term, contingent upon investment in technology and regulation. Full article

With the trend of internationalization, maritime traffic density has gradually increased. Since 2002, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) has required various types of vessels to be equipped with the Automatic Identification System (AIS). Through AIS static and dynamic data, more complete navigational information of vessels can be obtained. As the Port of Kaohsiung is currently transitioning into a smart port, this study focuses on inbound and outbound vessels of the Second Port of Kaohsiung. It considers both the safety monitoring of the smart port and environmental security, integrating a big data database to provide early warnings for abnormal navigation conditions. This study builds an integrated database based on vessel AIS data, conducts AIS big data analysis to extract useful information, and establishes a random forest model to predict whether a vessel’s course and speed during port navigation deviate from normal patterns, thereby achieving the goal of early warning. This study also helps reduce the risk of collisions caused by abnormal vessel operations and thus prevents marine pollution in the port area due to oil spills or hazardous substance leakage. Through real-time monitoring and early warning of navigation behavior, it not only enhances navigation safety but also serves as the first line of defense against marine pollution, contributing significantly to the protection of the port’s ecological environment and the promotion of sustainable development. Full article

The increasing emphasis on environmental sustainability has placed biomass as a versatile and renewable resource, while the management and disposal of forest byproducts remain a significant challenge. This study explores the valorization of forest biomass residues derived from Pinus pinaster, Pinus pinea, and the invasive species Acacia dealbata, with a focus on their potential application as bioadsorbents. A comprehensive physicochemical characterization was conducted for different biomass fractions (leaves, needles, and branches of varying diameters). Leaves and needles contained higher amounts of extractives (from 7.7% in acacia leaves to 18.8% in maritime pine needles) and ash (3.4 and 4.2% in acacia leaves and stone pine needles, respectively), whereas branches contained more holocellulose (from 59.6% in P. pinea small branches to 79.2% in P. pinaster large branches). ATR-FTIR and pHpzc analyses indicated compositional and surface charge differences, with higher pHpzc values in A. dealbata relative to Pinus. TG analysis showed that acacia large branches degraded at a lower temperature (320 °C) compared to Pinus species (440–450 °C). Overall, the findings highlight the suitability of these underutilized forest byproducts as bioadsorbents, contributing to the advancement of circular economy practices. Full article