Search Results (6,408)

Gas injection is a well-established method for enhancing oil recovery by improving oil mobility, primarily through viscosity reduction. While its application in heavy oil reservoirs is extensively studied, the specific impact of carbon dioxide (CO₂) injection pressure on fluid viscosity reduction and the ultimate recovery factor from light oil reservoirs has not been fully investigated. To address this gap, this experimental study systematically explores the effects of CO₂ injection pressure and reservoir permeability on light oil recovery. This study conducted miscible, near-miscible, and immiscible gas injection experiments on two core samples with distinct permeabilities (13.4 md and 28 md), each saturated with light oil. CO₂ was injected at five different pressures, including conditions ranging from immiscible to initial reservoir pressure. The primary metrics for evaluation were the recovery factor (measured at gas breakthrough, end of injection, and abandonment pressure) and the viscosity reduction of the produced oil. The results conclusively demonstrate that CO₂ injection significantly enhances light oil production. A direct proportional relationship was established between both the injection pressure and the recovery factor and between permeability and overall oil production at the gas breakthrough. However, a key finding was the inverse relationship observed between permeability and viscosity reduction: the lower-permeability sample (13.4 md) consistently exhibited a greater percentage of viscosity reduction across all injection pressures than the higher-permeability sample (28 md). This unexpected trend is aligned with the inverse relationship between the permeability and the recovery factor after the gas breakthrough. This outcome suggests that enhanced CO₂ solubility, driven by higher confinement pressures within the nanopores of the lower-permeability rock, promotes a localized, near-miscible state. This effect was even evident during immiscible injection, where the low-permeability sample showed a noticeable viscosity reduction and superior long-term production. These findings highlight the critical role of pore-scale confinement in governing CO₂ miscibility and its associated viscosity reduction, which should be incorporated into enhanced oil recovery design for unconventional reservoirs. Full article

Individuals born after intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) are at increased risk of long-term cardiovascular complications, including elevated blood pressure, endothelial dysfunction, and arterial stiffness. Endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs), particularly endothelial colony-forming cells (ECFCs), play a critical role in maintaining vascular homeostasis. Previously, Simoncini et al. observed that in a rat model of IUGR, six-month-old males exhibited elevated systolic blood pressure (SBP) and microvascular rarefaction compared with control (CTRL) rats. These vascular alterations were accompanied by reduced numbers and impaired function of bone marrow-derived ECFCs, which were associated with oxidative stress and stress-induced premature senescence (SIPS). In contrast, IUGR females of the same age and from the same litter did not exhibit higher SBP or microvascular rarefaction, raising the question of whether ECFC dysfunction in IUGR female rats can be present without vascular alterations. So, we investigated ECFCs isolated from six-month-old female IUGR offspring (maternal 9% casein diet) and CTRL females (23% casein diet). To complete the vascular assessment, we performed in vivo and in vitro investigations. No alteration in pulse wave velocity (measured by echo-Doppler) was observed; however, IUGR females showed decreased aortic collagen and increased elastin content compared with CTRL. Regarding ECFCs, those from IUGR females maintained their endothelial identity (CD31⁺/CD146⁺ ratio among viable CD45⁻ cells) but exhibited slight alterations in progenitor marker expression (CD34) compared with those of CTRL females. Functionally, IUGR-ECFCs displayed a delayed proliferation phase between 6 and 24 h, while their ability to form capillary-like structures remained unchanged, however their capacity to form capillary-like structures was preserved. Regarding the nitric oxide (NO) pathway, a biologically relevant trend toward reduced NO levels and decreased endothelial nitric oxide synthase expression was observed, whereas oxidative stress and SIPS markers remained unchanged. Overall, these findings indicate that ECFCs from six-month-old female IUGR rats exhibit only minor functional alterations, which may contribute to vascular protection against increase SBP, microvascular rarefaction, and arterial stiffness. Full article

Photovoltaic Systems have been a long-standing challenge to integrate with electrical Power Grids due to the randomness of solar irradiance. Deep Learning (DL) has potential to forecast solar irradiance; however, black-box DL models typically do not offer interpretation, nor can they easily distinguish between deterministic astronomical cycles, and random meteorological variability. The objective of this study was to develop and apply a new Physics-Aware Deep Learning Framework that identifies and utilizes physical attributes of solar irradiance via Fourier-based signal decomposition. The proposed method decomposes the time-series into polynomial trend, Fourier-based seasonal component and stochastic residual, each of which are processed within different neural network paths. A wide variety of architectures were tested (Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)), at multiple historical window sizes and forecast horizons on a diverse dataset from a three-year span. All of the architectures tested demonstrated improved accuracy and robustness when using the physics aware decomposition as opposed to all other methods. Of the architectures tested, the GRU architecture was the most accurate and performed well in terms of overall evaluation. The GRU model had an RMSE of 78.63 W/m² and an $R^2$ value of 0.9281 for 15 min ahead forecasting. Additionally, the Fourier-based methodology was able to reduce the maximum absolute error by approximately 15% to 20%, depending upon the architecture used, and therefore it provided a way to reduce the impact of the larger errors in forecasting during periods of unstable weather. Overall, this framework represents a viable option for both physically interpretive and computationally efficient real-time solar forecasting that provides a bridge between Physical Modeling and Data-Driven Intelligence. Full article

Schistosomiasis remains a major neglected tropical disease globally and presents particular challenges for countries transitioning from control to elimination. Saudi Arabia represents a unique epidemiological setting, having shifted from historical endemic transmission to very low reported incidence, yet long-term national analyses remain limited. A retrospective longitudinal analysis of national schistosomiasis surveillance data from 2002 to 2024 was conducted to evaluate temporal trends, clinical subtypes, regional distribution, and demographic characteristics. Joinpoint regression was used to identify significant changes in temporal trends, and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were applied to forecast national and regional trajectories. National incidence declined markedly from 5.5 per 100,000 in 2002 to 0.12 per 100,000 in 2024, with a notable change around 2010, followed by sustained low-level incidence. Intestinal schistosomiasis accounted for most cases, with increasing concentration among adult non-Saudi males and near-elimination among children. Regionally, cases were confined to a limited number of western and southwestern regions, particularly Ta’if, Al Baha, Jazan, and Madinah. Forecasting analyses indicated continued low-level detection without evidence of national resurgence. These findings demonstrate a transition to an elimination-maintenance phase and highlight the need for sustained surveillance in historically endemic regions and mobile populations. Full article

Determining long-term changes in global ice and water storage from satellite gravimetry remains challenging due to the limited temporal coverage of high-resolution missions. Here, we combine Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) data to reconstruct large-scale, non-linear mass variations from 1995 to 2024, extending gravity-based observations into the pre-GRACE era while preserving spatial detail through backward extrapolation. The combined model reveals widespread and statistically significant accelerations in global water and ice mass changes and enables the identification of key turning points in their temporal evolution. Results indicate that in Svalbard, a non-linear transition in ice mass balance occurred in late 2004, followed by a pronounced acceleration of mass loss due to climate warming. Glaciers in the Gulf of Alaska exhibit persistent mass loss with a marked intensification after 2012, while in the Antarctic Peninsula, ice mass loss substantially slowed and a potential trend reversal emerged around 2021. The reconstructed mass anomalies show strong consistency with independent satellite altimetry and climate indicators, including a clear response to the 1997/1998 El Niño event prior to the GRACE mission. These findings demonstrate that integrating SLR with GRACE enables robust detection of non-linear, climate-driven mass redistribution on a global scale and provides a physically consistent extension of satellite gravimetry records beyond the GRACE era. Full article

An accurate assessment of the state of health (SOH) of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is crucial for ensuring the safety and reliability of energy storage systems and electric vehicles. However, existing methods face challenges: physics-based models are computationally complex, traditional data-driven methods rely heavily on manual feature engineering, and single models lack the ability to capture both local and global degradation patterns. To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel hybrid LSTM–Transformer model for LIB SOH estimation using actual measurement data. The model integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to capture local temporal dependencies with the Trans-former architecture to model global degradation trends through self-attention mechanisms. Experimental validation was conducted using eight 18650 Nickel Cobalt Manganese (NCM) LIBs subjected to 750 charge–discharge cycles under room temperature conditions. Sixteen statistical features were extracted from voltage and current data during constant current–constant voltage (CC-CV) phases, with feature selection based on the Pearson correlation coefficient and maximum information coefficient analysis. The proposed LSTM–Transformer model demonstrated superior performance compared to the standalone LSTM and Transformer models, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) as low as 0.001775, root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.002147, and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.196% for individual batteries. Core features including cumulative charge (CC Q), charging time, and voltage slope during the constant current phase showed a strong correlation with the SOH (absolute PCC > 0.8). The hybrid model exhibited excellent generalization across different battery cells with consistent error distributions and nearly overlapping prediction curves with actual SOH trajectories. The symmetrical LSTM–Transformer hybrid architecture provides an accurate, robust, and generalizable solution for LIB SOH assessment, effectively overcoming the limitations of traditional methods while offering potential for real-time battery management system applications. This approach enables health feature learning without manual feature engineering, representing an advancement in data-driven battery health monitoring. Full article

Condition-based maintenance strategies using AI-driven health monitoring have emerged as valuable tools for industrial reliability, yet their implementation remains challenging in industries with limited operational data. Class I induction motors (≤15 kW), which power critical equipment in industries such as grain handling facilities, represent a significant portion of industrial assets but lack established healthy vibration baselines for effective monitoring. A fundamental challenge exists in deploying AI-based health monitoring systems when no historical performance data is available, creating a ’cold-start’ problem that prevents industries from adopting predictive maintenance strategies without costly pilot programs or prolonged data collection periods. This study developed a data-driven health monitoring framework for Class I induction motors that eliminates the dependency on long-term historical trends. Through extensive experimental testing of 98 configurations on new motors, a correlation between vibration amplitude at rotational frequency and motor power rating was established, enabling the creation of a synthetic signal generation algorithm. A robust Health Index (HI) model with integrated diagnostic capabilities was developed using the JPCCED-HI framework, trained on both experimental and synthetically generated healthy vibration data to detect degradation and diagnose common failure modes. The regression analysis revealed a statistically significant relationship between motor power rating and healthy vibration signatures, enabling synthetic generation of baseline data for any Class I motor within the rated range. When implemented at an operational grain silo facility, the HI model successfully detected faulty behavior and accurately diagnosed probable failure modes in equipment with no prior monitoring history, demonstrating that maintenance decisions could be made based on condition data rather than reactive responses to failures. This framework enables immediate deployment of AI-based condition monitoring in industries lacking historical data, eliminating a major barrier to adopting predictive maintenance strategies. The synthetic data generation approach provides a cost-effective solution to the data scarcity problem identified as a critical challenge in industrial AI applications, while the successful industrial implementation validates the feasibility of this approach for small-to-medium industrial facilities. Full article

Constructing a temperature and humidity prediction model for greenhouse-grown tomatoes is of great significance for achieving resource-efficient and sustainable greenhouse environmental control and promoting healthy tomato growth. However, traditional models often struggle to simultaneously capture long-term temporal trends, short-term local dynamic variations, and the coupling relationships among multiple variables. To address these issues, this study develops an iT-LSTM-CA multi-step prediction model, in which the inverted Transformer (iTransformer, iT) is employed to capture global dependencies across variables and long temporal scales, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is utilized to extract short-term local variation patterns, and a cross-attention (CA) mechanism is introduced to dynamically fuse the two types of features. Experimental results show that, compared with models such as Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), LSTM, and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM), the iT-LSTM-CA achieves the best performance in multi-step forecasting tasks at 3 h, 6 h, 12 h, and 24 h horizons. For temperature prediction, the R² ranges from 0.96 to 0.98, with MAE between 0.42 °C and 0.79 °C and RMSE between 0.58 °C and 1.06 °C; for humidity prediction, the R² ranges from 0.95 to 0.97, with MAE between 1.21% and 2.49% and RMSE between 1.78% and 3.42%. These results indicate that the iT-LSTM-CA model can effectively capture greenhouse environmental variations and provide a scientific basis for environmental control and management in tomato greenhouses. Full article

CLARA-A3 currently provides the longest temporal coverage among available albedo products, with improvements in both retrieval algorithms and product coverage compared to earlier versions. This study first evaluates the performance of the CLARA-A3-SAL product over Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) and subsequently applies it to investigate spatiotemporal trends in summer albedo from 1979 to 2024. Validation against 32 in situ observation sites indicates negligible bias in the interior regions, with RMSE values ranging from 0.01 to 0.07. Although larger errors exist in the coastal ablation zone due to unresolved sub-grid surface heterogeneity, the product successfully captures observed spatiotemporal variability and long-term trends, demonstrating that CLARA-A3-SAL provides a generally reliable representation of surface albedo. Since 1979, the summer surface albedo averaged over the entire ice sheet has decreased at a rate of −0.24% decade⁻¹. Albedo in the dry snow area has remained relatively stable and showed no significant correlation with most climate variables, except for the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Greenland Blocking Index (GBI). Conversely, the marginal zone has undergone substantial darkening (−0.66% decade⁻¹), which is strongly correlated with temperature, snowfall and melt, with meltwater showing the highest correlation (r = −0.90, p < 0.01). This suggests that meltwater-driven grain growth and exposure of bare ice are the primary drivers of albedo reduction over the non-dry snow zone. Large-scale atmospheric circulation also plays a key role: the GBI exhibits the strongest association with albedo (r = −0.63, p < 0.05), underscoring the importance of persistent blocking in amplifying surface warming and darkening. Furthermore, decadal-scale variability associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) modulates both the magnitude and spatial pattern of albedo changes across GrIS, with AMO+ generally linked to reduced albedo and PDO+ tending to enhance it. Full article

The rapid development of electromobility increases the need for fast, accessible and robust charging stations devoted to EVs (electric vehicles). Planning a network of such stations poses new challenges—amongst others, a power supply that may power such chargers. One major concept is to utilise wind energy as a power source. The paper analyses meteorological data gathered since 2001 in several stations across Poland to achieve quantitative indexes, which summarise (a) wind power density (WPD) as a metric of energy amount, (b) long-term (multiannual) time trends of amount of energy, (c) short-term stability (and thus predictability) of the wind power. The indexes that cover the abovementioned factors allow the authors to answer the research questions, where the local wind conditions allow the authors to consider the integration of a wind powerplant and a network of EV chargers. Additionally, we investigated locations where the amount of available energy is sufficient, but the variability of wind power impedes its practical exploitation. In such cases, the power system may be extended by an energy storage system that acts as a buffer, smoothing power fluctuations and thereby improving the robustness and reliability of downstream charging systems. Full article

The successful attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) necessitates robust monitoring frameworks capable of tracking progress toward tangible outcomes while capturing dynamic sustainability trajectories. However, existing SDG evaluation methods suffer from three critical limitations: (1) misalignment between global targets and national priorities, which undermines contextual relevance; (2) fragmented assessments that neglect holistic integration of social, economic, and ecological dimensions, thereby obscuring systemic interdependencies; and (3) insufficient longitudinal analysis, which restricts insights into temporal patterns of sustainable development and hinders adaptive policymaking. To address these gaps, we employed China’s 31 provinces as a case study and constructed an SDG indicator framework comprising 178 metrics—harmonizing global SDG benchmarks with China’s national development priorities. Using official statistics and open-source data spanning 2006–2021, we evaluate longitudinal SDG scores for all 17 goals (SDGs 1–17). Additionally, we developed a composite SDG index that considers the coupling coordination degree of the social–economic–ecological system and evaluated the index value under different economic region settings. Finally, we developed a two-threshold model to analyze the dynamic evolution of SDG conditions, incorporating temporal sustainability (long-term development resilience) and action urgency (short-term policy intervention needs) as dual evaluation dimensions. This model was applied to conduct a longitudinal analysis (2006–2021) across all 31 Chinese provinces, enabling a granular assessment of regional SDG trajectories while capturing both systemic trends and acute challenges over time. The results indicate that China’s social SDG performance improved substantially over the 2006–2021 period, achieving a cumulative increase of 126.53%, whereas progress in ecological SDGs was comparatively modest, with a cumulative growth of only 23.93%. Over the same period, the average composite SDG score across China’s 31 provinces increased markedly from 0.502 to 0.714, reflecting a strengthened systemic alignment between regional development trajectories and national sustainability objectives. Further analysis shows that all provinces attained a status of “temporal sustainability with low action urgency” throughout the study period, highlighting China’s overall progress in sustainable development. Nevertheless, pronounced regional disparities persist: eastern provinces developed earlier and have consistently maintained leading positions; central and northeastern regions exhibit broadly comparable development levels; and western regions, despite severe early-stage lagging, have demonstrated accelerated growth in later years. Our study holds substantial significance by integrating multi-dimensional indicators—spanning ecological, economic, and social dimensions—to deliver a holistic, longitudinal perspective on sustainable development. Full article

Poultry price instability remains a critical challenge for food security in Nigeria. This study examines the relationship between poultry price volatility (PPV), exchange rate (LEXR), and inflation (LCPI) from 1991 to 2024 using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Descriptive results show that PPV had the highest variability (mean 0.65; standard deviation 1.07), while LEXR and LCPI were relatively more stable. Trend analysis indicates that poultry price volatility was high in the early 1990s but declined steadily after 2005, coinciding with persistent inflation and cycles of exchange rate depreciation and appreciation.Unit root and bounds tests confirm that the variables werecointegrated, with an F-statistic of 4.50 exceeding the upper bound at 5 percent significance. The long-run estimates reveal that inflation hada negative effect on poultry price volatility (−0.109), while the exchange rate exerteda positive effect (0.2702). The errorcorrection term (−0.336) indicates a 33.6 percent adjustment to equilibrium each period. In the short run, changes in inflation (0.942) and lagged exchange rate variations significantly influenced poultry price volatility. These findings underscore the importance of stabilizing exchange rates and controlling inflation to reduce price volatility in Nigeria’s poultry sector. Full article

Background: A sedentary lifestyle contributes to chronic disease risk in adults and may predict unfavourable body composition in adolescents. Declining physical activity and rising sedentary behaviour are linked to increasing global obesity rates. Given the scarcity of longitudinal studies examining how participation in organized sports and screen device use relate to body composition in early adolescence, this study aims to address this gap by analyzing temporal trends in both sexes. Methods: A sample of 158 Italian students, 38% of whom were female, was followed longitudinally from ages 11 to 13. Annual anthropometric assessments were conducted, and self-reported data on screen time and organised sports participation were collected. Fat mass (FM), fat-free mass (FFM), fat mass index (FMI), fat-free mass index (FFMI), body mass index (BMI), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) were subsequently calculated, along with annual increments. Repeated-measures ANOVA assessed age and sex effects, while multiple regression models evaluated associations between behavioural variables or sex and body composition indices. Results: Significant differences in %F, FM, FFM and its increment, WHtR and its increment, FMI, and FFMI (all p < 0.01) were observed by age and sex interaction. At age 13, weekly sports participation was negatively associated with annual increments in %F (β = −0.204, p = 0.04) and FMI (β = −0.227, p = 0.03). Female sex was associated with greater increments in %F (β = 0.188, p < 0.05) and WHtR (β = 0.323, p < 0.01), and with smaller increments in FFM (β = −0.421, p < 0.01). No significant associations were found for screen time (p > 0.05). Conclusions: Sporting during early adolescence seems to have positive effects on body composition changes, while sex-specific patterns warrant further attention. A deeper understanding of how early adolescent lifestyle factors, such as physical activity and sedentary behaviour, shape body composition is essential for promoting long-term health. Full article

Agricultural robotics and artificial intelligence (AI) are becoming essential to building more sustainable, efficient, and resilient food systems. As climate change, food security pressures, and labour shortages intensify, the integration of intelligent technologies in agriculture has gained strategic importance. This systematic review provides a consolidated assessment of AI and robotics research in agriculture from 2000 to 2025, identifying major trends, methodological trajectories, and underexplored domains. A structured search was conducted in the Scopus database—which was selected for its broad coverage of engineering, computer science, and agricultural technology—and records were screened using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria across title, abstract, keywords, and eligibility levels. The final dataset was analysed through descriptive statistics and science-mapping techniques (VOSviewer, SciMAT). Out of 4894 retrieved records, 3673 studies met the eligibility criteria and were included. As with all bibliometric reviews, the synthesis reflects the scope of indexed publications and available metadata, and potential selection bias was mitigated through a multi-stage screening workflow. The analysis revealed four dominant research themes: deep-learning-based perception, UAV-enabled remote sensing, data-driven decision systems, and precision agriculture. Several strategically relevant but underdeveloped areas also emerged, including soft manipulation, multimodal sensing, sim-to-real transfer, and adaptive autonomy. Geographical patterns highlight a strong concentration of research in China and India, reflecting agricultural scale and investment dynamics. Overall, the field appears technologically mature in perception and aerial sensing but remains limited in physical interaction, uncertainty-aware control, and long-term autonomous operation. These gaps indicate concrete opportunities for advancing next-generation AI-driven robotic systems in agriculture. Funding sources are reported in the full manuscript. Full article

This analysis examines long-term changes in water levels of the Mead and Glen Canyon reservoirs on the Colorado River. Both reservoirs display clear declining trends in water levels, particularly after 2003. The causes include a combination of climate change, megadrought, increased water consumption, and alterations in the hydrological regime. Lake Mead exhibits a stronger and more concerning decline than Lake Powell, including extreme drought conditions over the past three years. The Rescaled Adjusted Partial Sums (RAPS) analysis identifies three statistically distinct subperiods, with an unambiguous decline in the most recent period. The day-to-day (DTD) method indicates reduced day-to-day water level variability in Lake Mead following the commissioning of the Powell reservoir, confirming its regulating influence. The Standardized Hydrological Index (SHI) indicates an accelerating intensification of drought conditions over the past 20 years. Regression analysis confirms a strong relationship between the water levels of the two reservoirs, along with significantly increased water losses in the more recent period. The literature suggests that climate projections are highly unfavorable, with further reductions in Colorado River discharge expected. The study underscores the urgent need to adapt water-management policies and align consumption with the new hydrological realities. Full article