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23 pages, 688 KB  
Article
Determinants of On-Farm Diversification Strategies: A Case Study of Smallholder Farmers in Mpumalanga Province, South Africa
by Moses Zakhele Sithole, Azikiwe Isaac Agholor, Oluwasogo David Olorunfemi, Funso Raphael Kutu and Mishal Trevor Morepje
Agriculture 2026, 16(7), 719; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16070719 (registering DOI) - 24 Mar 2026
Abstract
Promoting resilience, increasing productivity and sustainability, and profit maximization remain key challenges facing farmers globally. These are exacerbated by factors such as climate change, low to no access to technological advancement, financial constraints, poor technical and management skills, inadequate government support, and limited [...] Read more.
Promoting resilience, increasing productivity and sustainability, and profit maximization remain key challenges facing farmers globally. These are exacerbated by factors such as climate change, low to no access to technological advancement, financial constraints, poor technical and management skills, inadequate government support, and limited access to resources. However, there are diverse strategies that abound, including on-farm diversification, that farmers could leverage on to address these numerous and complex challenges. This study investigated the determinants of on-farm diversification strategies among smallholders in Mpumalanga Province. The study employed a quantitative approach using closed-ended survey questionnaires to elicit information from a total of 465 farmers who were randomly sampled from a total population of 14,411. The data gathered were analysed using descriptive statistics to determine the on-farm diversification strategies employed by farmers and the factors influencing the use of these strategies. A binary logistic regression model was employed to establish the relationship between on-farm diversification strategies and the determining factors. More than half of the farmers were female (51.8%), with only 48.2% male. The majority (59.1%) of the farmers were between the ages of 36 and 60, with only 20.2% youth participation in farming. Slightly more than half (50.8%) of the farmers practise mixed farming as their on-farm diversification strategy, while only 4.3% of the farmers practise mono-cropping. The study identified significant variables such as level of education (p = 0.001), secondary source of income (p = 0.057), farmland size (p = 0.022), number of farm assistants (p = 0.016), and on-farm diversification awareness as key determinants of on-farm diversification among smallholder farmers in Mpumalanga Province. Therefore, it is recommended that policies within the agricultural sector be revised to encourage on-farm diversification in order to motivate farmers to transition to agripreneurship for poverty alleviation, food security and rural economic development (RED). Full article
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28 pages, 1466 KB  
Article
Regulatory Employment Thresholds and Firm Size Distortions: Evidence from Ecuador
by Gelmar García-Vidal, Laritza Guzmán-Vilar, Alexander Sánchez-Rodríguez, Rodobaldo Martínez-Vivar, Geisel García-Vidal and Reyner Pérez-Campdesuñer
Economies 2026, 14(3), 102; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies14030102 - 23 Mar 2026
Viewed by 60
Abstract
This study examines whether size-contingent employment regulations are associated with distortions in firm size distribution and whether such patterns are more consistent with productivity-based selection or with broader constraints on firm scaling. Using 2024 census data covering 86,758 formal firms in Ecuador, we [...] Read more.
This study examines whether size-contingent employment regulations are associated with distortions in firm size distribution and whether such patterns are more consistent with productivity-based selection or with broader constraints on firm scaling. Using 2024 census data covering 86,758 formal firms in Ecuador, we combine bunching analysis, regression discontinuity design (RDD), and logistic regression to analyze firm responses at the 10- and 50-employee thresholds. We document significant bunching below the 50-employee threshold, consistent with an economically meaningful implicit regulatory tax on firm scaling. However, RDD estimates reveal no productivity discontinuity at the cutoff, indicating that the observed threshold effects are more consistent with broad-based scaling constraints than with selective filtering of low-productivity firms. Sectoral analyses show a consistent pattern of bunching across technologically diverse industries, supporting an institutional rather than technological interpretation. Conditional on threshold proximity, firm crossing is more strongly associated with sales growth than with productivity advantages. By distinguishing between compositional avoidance and local crossing, the study sheds new light on the puzzle of absent productivity selection. These findings provide the first rigorous evidence of regulatory threshold effects in Ecuador and show how size-based regulations may distort firm scaling and contribute to allocative inefficiencies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Applied Economics: Trade, Growth and Policy Modeling)
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25 pages, 791 KB  
Article
Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Development Pilot Zones and Green Total Factor Productivity of the Logistics Industry: An Empirical Analysis Based on Double Machine Learning
by Yonggang Ma and Jiagen Zang
Sustainability 2026, 18(6), 3092; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18063092 - 21 Mar 2026
Viewed by 134
Abstract
Although digital economic development is often viewed as a catalyst for green transformation, the causal implications of policy-driven AI deployment for low-carbon logistics development remain unclear. To address this gap, this study leverages China’s National New Generation Artificial Intelligence Innovation Development Pilot Zones [...] Read more.
Although digital economic development is often viewed as a catalyst for green transformation, the causal implications of policy-driven AI deployment for low-carbon logistics development remain unclear. To address this gap, this study leverages China’s National New Generation Artificial Intelligence Innovation Development Pilot Zones (AIIDPZs) as a quasi-natural experiment. Using panel data from 30 provincial regions from 2012 to 2022, this research employs a double machine learning framework to rigorously quantify the AIIDPZ policy’s causal effects on the logistics industry’s green total factor productivity (GTFP). We further examine underlying transmission mechanisms and spatial spillover effects. Results show that the AIIDPZ policy significantly enhances logistics GTFP, a finding robust to parallel trend tests, sample adjustments, and algorithm substitutions. Mechanism analysis reveals that the AIIDPZ policy promotes logistics GTFP by alleviating manufacturing agglomeration and collaborative agglomeration. This occurs mainly through the mitigation of environmental externalities and the easing of inter-sectoral resource competition. Heterogeneity analysis highlights substantial regional variation: the policy impact is strongest in East China, Central China, and Southwest China; positive but weaker in Northeast and Northwest China; and statistically insignificant in North and South China. Spatial econometric results confirm significant positive spillovers to neighboring regions. Temporally, the logistics industry’s GTFP shows a sustained upward trajectory, while spatially it follows a spatial pattern of “Eastern leadership, Central rise, and Western catch-up.” Robust empirical evidence is presented to evaluate the environmental outcomes of AI policy implementation, alongside policy-relevant insights for advancing coordinated and spatially differentiated regional development. Full article
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9 pages, 904 KB  
Perspective
The Lithium-Ion Battery Recycling Trilemma: Bridging the Gap Between Material Science, Economic Reality, and Regulatory Policy
by Qi Zhang
Materials 2026, 19(6), 1235; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19061235 - 20 Mar 2026
Viewed by 202
Abstract
The electric vehicle revolution has created an urgent need for lithium-ion battery (LIB) recycling, with projections exceeding 11 million tons of end-of-life batteries annually by 2030. However, progress toward a circular economy remains fragmented. This perspective article introduces the concept of a ‘Recycling [...] Read more.
The electric vehicle revolution has created an urgent need for lithium-ion battery (LIB) recycling, with projections exceeding 11 million tons of end-of-life batteries annually by 2030. However, progress toward a circular economy remains fragmented. This perspective article introduces the concept of a ‘Recycling Trilemma,’ arguing that technological advancements in material separation are systematically undermined by economic volatility and regulatory fragmentation. While current literature focuses on isolated domains—chemistry, business models, or policy—this work provides a systems-level synthesis. By analyzing the friction points between material science (e.g., binder removal, impurity sensitivity), economic realities (e.g., logistics costs, LFP profitability), and regulatory frameworks (e.g., EU vs. US divergence), we propose that true circularity requires synchronized design-for-recycling, market stabilization mechanisms, and harmonized digital product passports. The paper concludes that overcoming the trilemma demands a shift from isolated fixes to integrated, cross-sectoral coordination. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recycling and Electrode Materials of Lithium Batteries)
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20 pages, 572 KB  
Article
Energy Storage as a Tool to Increase the Security and Energy Efficiency of Household Electricity in North-Western Poland in the Sustainable Management of Micro-Installation Potential
by Ewa Chomać-Pierzecka, Sebastian Zupok, Jolanta Stec-Rusiecka, Bartosz Błaszczak and Stefan Dyrka
Sustainability 2026, 18(6), 3033; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18063033 - 19 Mar 2026
Viewed by 153
Abstract
Small-scale prosumer installations are playing an increasingly important role in the Polish electricity sector. These primarily include photovoltaic systems and heat pumps installed for internal use. Noticeable losses for individual investors, generated by the power flow mechanism during peak production hours (connection to [...] Read more.
Small-scale prosumer installations are playing an increasingly important role in the Polish electricity sector. These primarily include photovoltaic systems and heat pumps installed for internal use. Noticeable losses for individual investors, generated by the power flow mechanism during peak production hours (connection to the grid) and peak demand (drawback from the grid), as well as the issue of fluctuating grid capacity and the observed redispatch procedures for photovoltaic installations, are driving increased interest in equipping home energy installations with energy storage systems, strengthening the aspect of sustainable energy development in this dimension. The impact of energy storage on investment motivation and the actual effects of incorporating it into home energy installations have not yet been sufficiently researched, particularly in Poland. Therefore, the aim of the study was to assess the use of energy storage in home installations as a socio-technical direction of power development at the micro level, in light of the constantly increasing energy demand observed worldwide in line with the challenges of sustainable development. The results of a survey of 206 individual users of power installations equipped with energy storage systems in Poland were used for this study. The research was qualitative and quantitative in nature, with descriptive statistics and a logistic regression model used in the in-depth section, and the findings were supported by PQStat software. The research revealed that the selection of energy storage systems in home power grids is related to the potential for prosumer optimization. On the other hand, they are seen as a path towards increasing energy security at the household level. Supporting this direction of installation development at the micro level is a justified concept for the development of green energy in Poland, socially and environmentally beneficial as well as economically justified, i.e., in line with the trend of sustainable development. The information campaign, combined with financial support for this type of investment, should be continued and strengthened in Poland. Full article
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17 pages, 633 KB  
Article
Examining Associations Between Socio-Demographic Characteristics and Online Shopping Risk Determinants of Consumers in Bulgaria
by Zoya Ivanova
Adm. Sci. 2026, 16(3), 151; https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci16030151 - 19 Mar 2026
Viewed by 181
Abstract
This study examines associations between socio-demographic characteristics and online shopping risk determinants of consumers in Bulgaria. It focuses on nine risk determinants grouped into four domains—technological, logistical, legal and geographical, and other risks. The analysis is based on aggregated official data from Eurostat [...] Read more.
This study examines associations between socio-demographic characteristics and online shopping risk determinants of consumers in Bulgaria. It focuses on nine risk determinants grouped into four domains—technological, logistical, legal and geographical, and other risks. The analysis is based on aggregated official data from Eurostat and the National Statistical Institute of Bulgaria. The methodological framework employs a correlational approach using non-parametric correlation coefficients. The empirical results reveal statistically significant associations of varying strength. Employment status demonstrates the strongest associations among the socio-demographic variables, while gender, educational level, and age exhibit relatively weaker associations. These findings provide actionable insights for evidence-based strategies to mitigate online shopping risk determinants and support policies and initiatives to enhance consumer protection and engagement in Bulgaria’s e-commerce sector. Full article
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19 pages, 1546 KB  
Article
Deep Learning-Enhanced Proactive Strategy: LSTM and VRP/ACO for Autonomous Replenishment and Demand Forecasting in Shared Logistics
by Martin Straka and Kristína Kleinová
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(6), 2838; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16062838 - 16 Mar 2026
Viewed by 192
Abstract
At present, the global logistics sector faces critical challenges, including rising energy costs and pressure to reduce CO2 emissions. Traditional linear supply chains are becoming inefficient, necessitating a transition toward shared logistics based on the principles of the sharing economy. This paper [...] Read more.
At present, the global logistics sector faces critical challenges, including rising energy costs and pressure to reduce CO2 emissions. Traditional linear supply chains are becoming inefficient, necessitating a transition toward shared logistics based on the principles of the sharing economy. This paper presents a progressive three-layer architecture that transforms conventional reactive data collection into an autonomous, proactive management system for the distribution of consumable materials. While previous research established foundations in IoT connectivity for smart vending machines, this study advances the process by integrating an intelligent layer of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms. The framework utilizes Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks for demand forecasting, dynamic route optimization (VRP/ACO) for replenishment, and Isolation Forest/DBSCAN algorithms for real-time anomaly detection. To evaluate the framework, a numerical simulation was conducted using representative pilot scenarios. The results indicate that within the simulated environment, the system achieves over 95% accuracy in inventory depletion prediction (MAPE = 4.02%). In these analyzed instances, this leads to a 25–30% reduction in stock-out risks and a 25% reduction in replenishment distance. These findings demonstrate the significant potential for reducing operational costs and carbon footprints in green logistics. The study confirms that the synergy between IoT infrastructure and AI-driven analysis provides a robust foundation for transitioning from static methodologies to resilient, collaborative logistics ecosystems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Artificial Intelligence in the Internet of Things)
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24 pages, 1157 KB  
Article
Emergent Competitiveness in Artisanal Furniture: A Case Study from Misantla, Mexico
by Luis Enrique García-Santamaría, Eduardo Fernández-Echeverría, Gregorio Fernández-Lambert, Nora Amalia Parra-Hernández, Elizabeth Delfín-Portela, Areli Brenis-Dzul, José Aparicio-Urbano and Juan Manuel Carrión-Delgado
Logistics 2026, 10(3), 66; https://doi.org/10.3390/logistics10030066 - 15 Mar 2026
Viewed by 232
Abstract
Background: This study examines the competitive dynamics of the artisanal wooden furniture industry in Misantla, Veracruz, Mexico, a predominantly informal productive system characterized by family-managed production units and strong territorial embeddedness. Methods: A mixed-methods research design was employed. Quantitative data were collected from [...] Read more.
Background: This study examines the competitive dynamics of the artisanal wooden furniture industry in Misantla, Veracruz, Mexico, a predominantly informal productive system characterized by family-managed production units and strong territorial embeddedness. Methods: A mixed-methods research design was employed. Quantitative data were collected from 187 family-managed production units (86 woodworking units and 101 workshops) using a structured questionnaire based on five-level Likert scales assessing external efficiency, collective efficiency, and innovation. Statistical analyses included descriptive measures and chi-square tests to examine associations between competitiveness and collective strategies, while qualitative validation and thematic interpretation based on expert assessments were used to contextualize sectoral practices and structural constraints. Results: The findings indicate a low overall competitiveness score (1.92/5), associated with informal practices, limited technical training, and weak supply chain integration. Despite these constraints, the sector maintains a strong cultural identity and contributes to its local economy. Conclusions: Artisanal supply chains can achieve functional levels of logistics performance through internal coordination dynamics. Strengthening collaboration mechanisms is a viable strategy for improving logistics performance in artisanal manufacturing systems in emerging economies. These findings provide empirical evidence to support the design of collaborative strategies that integrate traditional craftsmanship with modern supply chain practices in artisanal micro-industries. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Supply Chains and Logistics)
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20 pages, 879 KB  
Article
Willingness to Implement Logistics and Supply Chain Resilience Strategies Amid COVID-19: Insights from Japanese Manufacturing Firms
by Rajali Maharjan, Hironori Kato and Sunkyung Choi
Logistics 2026, 10(3), 65; https://doi.org/10.3390/logistics10030065 - 13 Mar 2026
Viewed by 223
Abstract
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has underscored the critical importance of supply chain resilience. However, little is known about firms’ willingness to implement logistics and supply chain resilience strategies (SCRESTs), and how this willingness varies across contexts. This study investigates the willingness of [...] Read more.
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has underscored the critical importance of supply chain resilience. However, little is known about firms’ willingness to implement logistics and supply chain resilience strategies (SCRESTs), and how this willingness varies across contexts. This study investigates the willingness of Japanese manufacturing firms to implement SCRESTs and examines how the pandemic has influenced this willingness. Methods: Using survey data from 549 Japanese manufacturing firms collected from March to April 2022, we employed binary choice models and the average treatment effect on the treated (ATET) analysis to examine the factors influencing the willingness to implement SCRESTs before and during/after the pandemic. Results: Firms demonstrated significantly higher willingness to implement SCRESTs during/after the pandemic compared with before. Company size, industry sector, logistics strategy, implementation obstacles, and past SCREST implementation significantly influenced willingness across both periods. The ATET analysis confirmed that past SCREST implementation positively affects future willingness. Conclusions: The pandemic served as a catalyst for enhanced supply chain resilience awareness among Japanese manufacturers. Sector-specific interventions addressing both informational and structural barriers are essential to sustain and strengthen the willingness to implement SCRESTs, particularly in strategically important sectors where financial incentives alone may prove insufficient. Full article
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27 pages, 919 KB  
Article
A Mixed-Integer Linear Programming Framework for Multi-Period Offshore Wind Personnel Logistics: Integrating Routing, Scheduling, and Personnel Inventory Management
by Yunxiang Shu, Yu Guo, Yuquan Du and Shuaian Wang
Mathematics 2026, 14(6), 978; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14060978 - 13 Mar 2026
Viewed by 239
Abstract
The offshore wind energy sector faces significant logistics costs due to complex maritime environments. This study addresses the multi-period Crew Transfer Vessel routing within offshore wind farms and scheduling problems through a novel mixed-integer linear programming framework. The model integrates personnel inventory management [...] Read more.
The offshore wind energy sector faces significant logistics costs due to complex maritime environments. This study addresses the multi-period Crew Transfer Vessel routing within offshore wind farms and scheduling problems through a novel mixed-integer linear programming framework. The model integrates personnel inventory management with dynamic service times. It determines optimal routing and scheduling plans to minimise total operational costs. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach. The results indicate that increasing vessel capacity from 8 to 20 reduces total expenses by approximately 80%. Moreover, shifting from single-trip to multi-trip operations decreases fixed charter costs by 30%. The computational performance is efficient, and the solver achieves optimal solutions within an average of 5.67 s. This framework provides operators with precise decision support for complex offshore wind farm maintenance scenarios. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mathematics Applied to Manufacturing and Logistics Systems)
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18 pages, 383 KB  
Article
Determinants of the Green Image of Cooperative Banks in the Segment of Young Consumers on the Example of a Selected Region of Poland
by Monika Szafrańska
Sustainability 2026, 18(6), 2733; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18062733 - 11 Mar 2026
Viewed by 192
Abstract
The growing importance of sustainability in the financial sector increases the need to analyse the green image of banks. However, research to date mainly focuses on large commercial banks, while cooperative banks, despite their local nature of operation and strong social ties, remain [...] Read more.
The growing importance of sustainability in the financial sector increases the need to analyse the green image of banks. However, research to date mainly focuses on large commercial banks, while cooperative banks, despite their local nature of operation and strong social ties, remain relatively poorly recognised empirically, especially regionally and in terms of young consumers’ perceptions. The aim of this article is to assess the level of the green image of cooperative banks and to identify selected socio-demographic and economic, psychological, and behavioural determinants that determine its perception by young customers in a selected region of Poland. Empirical research was conducted using a survey method (questionnaire interview, n = 256) in 2024. The green image was operationalised as a synthetic indicator, including an assessment of cooperative banks’ environmental responsibility activities, environmental initiatives, and sustainability communication, measured on a scale of 1–7. Student’s t-test, analysis of variance and a logistic regression model were used in the data analysis. The results indicate that the green image of cooperative banks in the study group is neutral (M = 4.34). Statistically significant differences were found depending on selected characteristics of the respondents. The results suggest the need to segment communication activities in the area of sustainability and to adapt the image-building strategy to the profile of young customers. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Management)
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18 pages, 782 KB  
Article
Patterns of Loss: A Typology of Depopulating Cities in the USA
by Ivan N. Alov, Marko D. Petrović and Alisa M. Belyaeva
Urban Sci. 2026, 10(3), 147; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10030147 - 10 Mar 2026
Viewed by 303
Abstract
Urban depopulation has become an increasingly visible phenomenon worldwide, affecting cities of different sizes and economic structures. This article develops a typology of U.S. depopulating cities beyond the Rust Belt’s iconic industrial cities, which dominate academic literature, to include a wider range of [...] Read more.
Urban depopulation has become an increasingly visible phenomenon worldwide, affecting cities of different sizes and economic structures. This article develops a typology of U.S. depopulating cities beyond the Rust Belt’s iconic industrial cities, which dominate academic literature, to include a wider range of shrinking settlements in the shadows. The analysis is based on a dataset of U.S. census places constructed from decennial census population data (1990–2020) combined with employment structure indicators and spatial classification variables identifying metropolitan position and industrial specialization. Using 1990–2020 population change and three explanatory dimensions—city size, industrial heritage, and peripheral location—the analysis identified 1082 places that lost at least 10% of their population. Logistic regression showed manufacturing and mining reliance, small size, and remoteness as significant predictors of depopulation. Based on these factors, settlements are divided into seven types, from large urban centers to small peripheral towns with fewer than 5000 people. The overwhelming predominance of small towns (97%) in the sample highlights their distinct development challenges and questions the narrative of decline focused solely on larger industrial cities. By situating American trajectories within the broader shrinking cities discourse, the findings demonstrate the value of typology as a methodological tool for identifying intra-group heterogeneity, capturing regional differences, and establishing a more reliable basis for comparative urban studies. Ultimately, the study shows that urban decline in the United States is not exclusively a Rust Belt phenomenon, but a multidimensional process encompassing different scales, sectors, and geographies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Urban Economy and Industry)
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21 pages, 1079 KB  
Article
Digital Public Infrastructure and Agricultural Modernization: Causal Evidence from the Broadband China Policy
by Xianghui Tian, Yawen Zhai and Zhaoming Sun
Sustainability 2026, 18(5), 2644; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18052644 - 9 Mar 2026
Viewed by 204
Abstract
Digital public infrastructure is increasingly viewed as a catalyst for rural and agricultural transformation, yet its structural impact on agricultural modernization remains insufficiently examined. Using the Broadband China policy as a quasi-natural experiment, this study applies a difference-in-differences framework to city-level panel data [...] Read more.
Digital public infrastructure is increasingly viewed as a catalyst for rural and agricultural transformation, yet its structural impact on agricultural modernization remains insufficiently examined. Using the Broadband China policy as a quasi-natural experiment, this study applies a difference-in-differences framework to city-level panel data to identify the causal effect of digital public infrastructure on agricultural modernization. The estimates indicate that digital infrastructure significantly advances agricultural modernization. Further analysis shows that the effect operates through enhanced technological innovation and strengthened economic agglomeration, suggesting that digital connectivity reshapes both productivity and spatial organization within the agricultural sector. The impact is more pronounced in regions with developed logistics systems and lower information frictions, underscoring the importance of complementary infrastructure and institutional conditions. By linking digital public infrastructure to structural agricultural transformation, this study extends the literature on digital development and provides policy insights for developing economies pursuing infrastructure-driven modernization strategies. Full article
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41 pages, 3705 KB  
Review
Bio-CO2 as Feedstock for Renewable Methanol in Maritime Applications
by Michael Bampaou, Vasileios Mitrousis, Evangelia Koliamitra, Paraskevas Stratigousis, Henrik Schloesser, Ismael Matino, Valentina Colla and Kyriakos D. Panopoulos
Energies 2026, 19(5), 1364; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19051364 - 7 Mar 2026
Viewed by 409
Abstract
Bio-CO2 is part of the natural carbon cycle and represents a sustainable carbon source for the production of Renewable Fuels of Non-Biological Origin (RFNBOs), such as synthetic methanol. This study addresses the critical knowledge gap in aligning diverse biogenic CO2 sources [...] Read more.
Bio-CO2 is part of the natural carbon cycle and represents a sustainable carbon source for the production of Renewable Fuels of Non-Biological Origin (RFNBOs), such as synthetic methanol. This study addresses the critical knowledge gap in aligning diverse biogenic CO2 sources with e-methanol requirements in the EU by providing harmonized mapping, based on datasets, literature sources, and reported industrial statistics at the sectoral and country level. Bio-CO2 streams from biogas and biogas upgrading, biomass combustion, pulp and paper, bioethanol production, and the food and beverage sector are evaluated for total emissions, CO2 concentrations and purity, the geographical distribution, seasonality, and impurity profiles. Results show that approximately 350 Mtpa of bio-CO2 are emitted across the EU, with highly heterogeneous characteristics. Biogas upgrading and fermentation-based processes generate highly pure CO2 streams (>98–99%), yet their small and dispersed nature complicates logistics. In contrast, biomass-combustion and pulp and paper sectors provide large volumes (around 214.6–298.2 Mtpa and 73.9 Mtpa CO2, respectively), but in diluted streams (typically 3–15% and 10–20%). Replacing just 10% of the EU maritime fuel demand with e-methanol would require 53.6 Mtpa of bio-CO2 and 58 GW of electrolyzer capacity, a stark contrast to the current operational 385 MW. The findings highlight the need for infrastructure planning and aggregation hubs to enable the large-scale deployment of RFNBO methanol in the maritime sector. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Renewable Hydrogen and Hydrogen Carriers for the Maritime Sector)
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30 pages, 576 KB  
Article
El Clásico Revisited: Discriminant Analysis Versus Logistic Regression for Bankruptcy Prediction in the Accommodation and Food Service Industry Across B9 Countries
by Simona Vojtekova, Katarina Kramarova, Veronika Labosova and Pavol Durana
Mathematics 2026, 14(5), 889; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14050889 - 5 Mar 2026
Viewed by 228
Abstract
Despite the rapid expansion of AI and machine-learning techniques in bankruptcy prediction, classical statistical methods such as discriminant analysis and logistic regression remain relevant because of their transparency and interpretability. These characteristics are crucial for stakeholders who require understandable decision-making tools, especially in [...] Read more.
Despite the rapid expansion of AI and machine-learning techniques in bankruptcy prediction, classical statistical methods such as discriminant analysis and logistic regression remain relevant because of their transparency and interpretability. These characteristics are crucial for stakeholders who require understandable decision-making tools, especially in NACE Rev. 2 Section I—Accommodation and Food Service Activities, a sector characterized by high operating leverage, vulnerability to economic shocks, and strong macroeconomic importance. The study aims to evaluate and compare the predictive performance of discriminant analysis and logistic regression for bankruptcy prediction and to identify key predictors that can serve as managerial early-warning signals for companies in crisis across B9 countries. The sample of 4395 companies was used. The classification ability of all models is assessed using multiple performance metrics, including overall accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, the F1-score, the F2-score, the Matthews correlation coefficient, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The results show that both approaches achieve consistently high predictive performance, with all major metrics exceeding 0.92 on the test sample of prosperous and non-prosperous enterprises. Six significant bankruptcy predictors are identified for each method, with three common indicators: financial leverage, total liabilities to assets, and return on costs. The comparative analysis results in a methodological “draw,” confirming comparable predictive power. These findings reaffirm the relevance of classical prediction models and identify key financial indicators that can be used as practical early-warning signals by managers in the sector. Full article
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