Search Results (749)

The Yanshangou landslide, located in the Baihetan Reservoir area, poses severe potential threats to the normal operation of the reservoir due to its distinct deformation characteristics and high sensitivity to reservoir water level fluctuations. This study systematically investigates the geological background, deformation characteristics, stability evolution, and landslide-induced surge hazards of the Yanshangou landslide in the Baihetan Reservoir area. This work only considers the influence of reservoir water level fluctuations, which is the dominant factor controlling the current progressive deformation of the landslide. Field surveys and GNSS/deep displacement monitoring results revealed that the Yanshangou landslide exhibits obvious staged deformation characteristics, and the landslide deformation rate was closely coupled with the dynamic changes in reservoir water level. A slope stability evaluation method integrating the Morgenstern–Price limit equilibrium method and Richard’s equation was established, and the results indicated that the Yanshangou landslide has low saturated permeability. Therefore, its factor of safety (FOS) presents a clear four-stage variation trend in response to reservoir water level fluctuations. A Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH)-based numerical model was further developed to simulate the landslide-induced surges under two typical reservoir water level scenarios (815 m and 765 m). The simulation results demonstrated that a high reservoir water level led to more intense surges with greater height and higher velocity, while a low reservoir water level resulted in surges with a wider propagation range along the reservoir bank. The research findings of this study provide a comprehensive theoretical basis and detailed data support for the prevention and mitigation of geological hazards in the Baihetan Reservoir area, and also offer a reference for the hazard management of similar reservoir landslides worldwide. Full article

Deep-seated landslide complexes are widespread in soft-rock hill-country landscapes, yet their regional morphometric organisation and controlling factors remain insufficiently quantified. This study uses high-resolution (1 m) airborne LiDAR-derived terrain data integrated with geological and drainage-network datasets to investigate landslide complexes in the eastern Tararua District, New Zealand. A relative, unit-based morphometric framework is applied to compare terrain derivatives (including slope, aspect, and multi-scale relative relief) between mapped landslides and their host geological units. To isolate intrinsic lithological controls from geomorphic influences, the analysis is restricted to landslides occurring entirely within a single geological unit. The results indicate that lithology exerts first-order control on landslide morphometry, while fluvial incision and valley confinement regulate landslide initiation and persistence. Landslides are preferentially associated with low- to mid-order channels, indicating strong hillslope–channel coupling within a young, actively uplifting landscape. A conceptual threshold framework is proposed, showing that landslides develop where lithological susceptibility and relief amplification jointly exceed stability thresholds. By integrating geological information with LiDAR-based morphometric analysis, this study provides a transferable framework for distinguishing instability regimes and improving understanding of sediment dynamics and landscape evolution in soft-rock terrains. Full article

The Tuzla Submarine Landslide represents one of the most significant mass-wasting features associated with the active North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ). The failure surface geometry and sediment stratigraphy indicate the presence of a mechanically weak, saturated layer that may become unstable under strong seismic loading. This study presents a comprehensive geotechnical evaluation of the Tuzla Submarine Landslide. Based on regional sediment properties, the landslide was characterized and modeled with an estimated volume of 0.015 km³ and an average slope angle of 14°. The submarine landslide potential was investigated through re-analysis of seismic, geotechnical, and bathymetric datasets. Finite Element Method (FEM) simulations were conducted to model the seismic slope failure. Based on these analyses, the seismic slope displacements, stress distributions, and equivalent plastic strains were identified. The estimated landslide displacements under varying seismic acceleration scenarios corresponding to three major earthquakes ranged between 2.38 m and 4.12 m, depending on the triggering ground motion and slope stability conditions. These findings highlight that reactivation of the Tuzla submarine landslide, potentially triggered by a future large earthquake along the NAFZ, could pose a moderate landslide hazard to the coastal settlements bordering the Marmara Sea. Full article

As one of the most catastrophic geological hazards globally, landslides exhibit heightened risks due to their increasing frequency, destructive potential, and extensive spatial distribution. The primary objective of this study is to develop an integrated analytical framework to quantitatively evaluate the stability of variably shaped slopes under rainfall infiltration. The core hypothesis is that slope curvature significantly alters infiltration behavior and stress distribution, leading to morphology-dependent failure mechanisms. Employing Green-Ampt infiltration theory coupled with limit equilibrium analysis, we establish stability prediction models for three fundamental slope geometries (linear, concave, convex) under contrasting rainfall regimes (high-intensity vs. low-intensity precipitation). The derived analytical solutions reveal two critical phenomena: (1) progressive downward migration of the saturation front maintaining parallelism with slope surfaces during infiltration and (2) time-dependent stability deterioration following hyperbolic decay patterns. The proposed models are rigorously validated through numerical simulations employing finite element methods, which demonstrate remarkable congruence with theoretical predictions, showing safety factor discrepancies below 5% (ΔFs < 0.05). Particularly, concave slopes exhibit 18–22% faster destabilization rates compared to convex counterparts under equivalent rainfall conditions. The validated models elucidate the spatiotemporal evolution of matric suction and pore pressure distributions, providing quantitative insights into morphology-dependent failure thresholds. These findings advance predictive capabilities for rainfall-induced landslides through physics-based stability criteria, offering critical guidance for terrain-specific early warning systems and mitigation strategies in geohazard-prone regions. Full article

Landslide dams, as a special type of earth dams, are characterized by complex geomorphological features and geotechnical properties. The failure of landslide dams induced by seepage should not be overlooked. This study introduces a calculation method for analyzing the slope stability of landslide dams with three different material compositions under seepage conditions. Furthermore, the influence of spatial heterogeneity in particle size on the stability of landslide dam slopes subjected to unsaturated seepage is investigated using the random finite element method combined with Monte Carlo simulation. This paper provides a reference for the reliability evaluation of landslide dams with different material types. Full article

Rainfall-induced shallow loess landslides pose a significant threat to human life and property. Early warning and risk assessment of these landslides are critical prerequisites for engineering control and disaster loss reduction. The Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-Based Regional Slope-Stability Model (TRIGRS)-Three-dimensional Slope Stability Analysis Tool (Scoops 3D) joint model can overcome the shortcomings of using a single TRIGRS model for hydrological analysis and a single Scoops 3D model for slope stability analysis. Landslide risk assessment based on expected economic loss, on the other hand, can overcome the issue of maintaining the risk level edge and sorting at the same level. In this paper, the TRIGRS model’s head pressures were put into the Scoops 3D model, with the southeast of Fangta, a town in Shaanxi province, China, as the study area. The relationship between the slope gradient and the number of grids in each stable grade was certified. The rainfall thresholds for landslides, based on both rainfall intensity and rainfall duration, were obtained by rerunning the TRIGRS-Scoops 3D joint model. The landslide range and land uses of each dangerous slope were determined by maximum likelihood classification, and then the expected economic loss was calculated. To verify the reliability of the TRIGRS-Scoops 3D joint model, the identified dangerous slopes were compared with the results from landslide susceptibility mapping. The results show that the unstable grids are concentrated within a slope gradient of 30° to 35°, and the landslide early warning levels are divided into Tier 3, Tier 2, and Tier 1 Warnings. The occurrence of shallow loess landslides is affected by both rainfall intensity and rainfall duration, and the combined effect should be considered in early warning. The distribution of both extreme susceptible grids and high susceptible grids across all 23 dangerous slopes demonstrates the reasonableness of the TRIGRS-Scoops 3D joint model. The landslide susceptible probability within some dangerous slopes exhibits spatial variability. The mapping relationship between the slope gradient and loess landslides is extremely complex. This paper can provide a theoretical basis for the early warning and risk management for rainfall-induced shallow loess landslides; the proposed method is also applicable to other regions with similar geological and meteorological conditions. Full article

Indonesia is among the most landslide-prone countries in the world, with thousands of fatalities and widespread infrastructure damage recorded over recent decades. Despite this high hazard level, regional-scale landslide monitoring remains constrained by the limitations of conventional bitemporal satellite imagery, which is susceptible to cloud contamination, dependent on precise acquisition timing, and unable to capture the full temporal dynamics of landslide occurrence and recovery. While the LandTrendr (Landsat-based Detection of Trends in Disturbance and Recovery) algorithm has been widely applied for detecting vegetation disturbances such as forest loss and land-use change, its potential for landslide detection in tropical environments has not been sufficiently explored. This study aims to evaluate the applicability of LandTrendr applied to long-term Landsat time series imagery for automated regional-scale landslide detection and mapping in Indonesia. The method integrates temporal segmentation of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) derived from Landsat imagery spanning 2000–2022 with slope information from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) Digital Elevation Model (DEM) to identify the characteristic drop-recovery spectral signature associated with landslide events. The algorithm was applied and evaluated in two geologically distinct study areas: Lombok, West Nusa Tenggara, and Pasaman, West Sumatra. Detection accuracies of 25.9% by location and 20.3% by area were achieved in Lombok and 76.3% by location and 85.3% by area in Pasaman. The lower accuracy in Lombok is primarily attributed to the predominance of small landslides below the sensor’s spatial resolution and rapid vegetation recovery. The proposed approach demonstrates the unique capability of LandTrendr to model the entire life cycle of a mass movement event, from pre-event stability through abrupt disturbance to ecological recovery within a single unified framework, providing a scalable and cost-effective tool for long-term landslide monitoring applicable to other tropical, landslide-prone regions. Full article

In July 2024, a major rainfall-induced landslide disaster occurred in Zixing county, Hunan Province, triggering more than 4000 landslides with a total area exceeding 21 km². The scale of this hazard underscores a critical need for long-term stability assessment of the affected slopes. While previous studies have primarily used optical remote sensing to map landslide distributions, quantitative evaluation of post-failure movement dynamics remains limited. This study developed an integrated monitoring framework that combines time-series SBAS-InSAR displacement measurements (using Sentinel-1 data from August 2024 to September 2025) with deep learning-based optical interpretation, rainfall analysis, and geological data. Our approach enables the quantitative, region-scale stability assessment of the Zixing landslide cluster one year after the initial event. Experimental results reveal sustained surface displacement with rates ranging from −30 to 30 mm/year, and localized displacements exceeding 40 mm/year. Notably, over 48% of the mapped landslides are classified as active or critically active, indicating widespread, ongoing instability. Correlation analysis further establishes precipitation as a key driver of accelerated movement. Beyond the Zixing case, this work provides a transferable methodology for assessing long-term post-disaster landslide behavior, offering direct value for regional hazard management and early-warning systems. Full article

The strength of Xigeda strata decreases significantly upon contact with water, and the shear strength between sandstone and mudstone layers is lower than that within the individual layers. Therefore, the interlayer dip angle plays an important role in determining the failure mode of rainfall-induced landslides. To investigate the effect of interlayer dip angle on the mechanical response of Xigeda sandstone–mudstone slopes under rainfall conditions, a total of five model slope tests were conducted. Different ratios of model materials were selected for the sandstone and mudstone, and artificial rainfall with intensities representative of the Panxi region was simulated using a calibrated rainfall device. A combination of photography and instrument measurements was employed to study the seepage field, deformation field, and slope failure characteristics at five interlayer dip angles. It is shown that when the interlayer dip angle is smaller than the slope angle, an increase in the interlayer dip angle accelerates the movement of the wetting front along the weak interlayer plane. At the same time, this increase shortens the time to the occurrence of abrupt displacement and increases the corresponding displacement magnitude, which makes slope failure prediction more challenging. The shoulders of all slopes experienced displacement earliest and exhibited the largest displacement amplitude. The slope failure mode transitioned from shallow surface sliding to interlayer sliding. When the interlayer dip angle surpassed the slope angle, the weak interlayer plane was no longer the dominant control surface. Slope stability was thereby moderately enhanced, with the failure mode shifting to through-layer sliding. Full article

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events, together with altered soil saturation dynamics, have significantly increased the occurrence of shallow landslides. These processes are closely linked to climate change and increasingly affect mountainous and hilly regions worldwide, where rainfall-induced pore pressure variations and transient infiltration govern slope instability. Despite growing recognition of climate-driven slope failures, most conventional geomechanical analyses still rely on static assumptions and simplified boundary conditions, which are insufficient to capture the pronounced temporal variability of hydro-climatic forcing. To address this gap, this study introduces a conceptual and methodological framework for a proactive landslide cadaster, developed within the Climate Adaptive Resilience Evaluation (CARE) framework. Rather than serving as a static inventory of past events, the proposed cadaster functions as a structured, updatable repository of climate–geomechanical parameters that directly support advanced landslide analyses. The core innovation lies in the formalization of the climate–geomechanical interface, which enables the transformation of climatic and hydrological variables into parameters directly applicable in geomechanical modeling. These parameters encompass climatic, hydrological, geomechanical, and thermo-hydraulic processes and are assigned to spatially referenced locations, complemented by documented landslide occurrences. Their spatial distribution forms a network of reference points that allows interpolation, continuous updating, and reuse across multiple analyses. In this way, the cadaster becomes a proactive, process-based data infrastructure, serving as the foundational input for scenario-based landslide susceptibility, hazard, and risk assessments within the CARE analytical workflow. The conceptual framework is illustrated through an example from Slovenia, focusing on the Visole area near Maribor, where selected data types and workflow steps are presented for demonstration purposes. Full article

Terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) provides dense point clouds for landslide monitoring, yet occlusion, heterogeneous point density, and seasonal vegetation introduce noise and unstable deformation boundaries in multi-temporal change detection. To overcome the limitations of the multiscale model-to-model cloud comparison (M3C2) method under dominant downslope tangential motion and vegetation disturbance, we propose a block-wise ICP method to retrieve 3D displacement vectors. The scene is partitioned into local sub-blocks; rigid registration is performed within each sub-block, and the estimated translation is assigned to the sub-block center. A two-stage matching and quality control procedure removes under-constrained sub-blocks, enabling the direct retrieval of 3D displacement vectors and interpretable boundaries. Applied to the Longxigou landslide in Wenchuan using RIEGL VZ-2000i surveys on 1 November 2023 and 23 May 2024, the proposed method produces a more continuous displacement field and clearer boundaries than M3C2. For a tower target, manual measurements indicate a displacement of 0.41–0.63 m; our estimates are within 0.33–0.40 m, whereas M3C2 mostly falls between −0.25 and 0.25 m. In a seasonal vegetation change scene, we detect a canopy envelope expansion of approximately 0.20–0.40 m, while M3C2 shows scattered canopy responses that hinder boundary interpretation. A sensitivity analysis indicates a block-scale trade-off between boundary stability and peak preservation, motivating adaptive multi-scale blocking and uncertainty quantification. Full article

The determination of landslide thrust is one of the premises of slope protection. The normative calculation methods of landslide thrust are often difficult to develop because of the structural complexity and paroxysmal instability of rock slopes. In this study, the thin-plate buckling model was adopted to simplify the upper bedding slope rock mass of the protective structure into a rock plate considering transverse shear deformation. The critical load of bedding rock slope instability was selected as the primary indicator for landslide thrust analysis. The double Fourier series was used to solve the mechanical properties of rock plates with simply supported edges under unidirectional and bidirectional pressures, and the critical load expressions of small-deflection buckling of rock plate mechanics were modeled under corresponding conditions and obtained. The relationship and change rules of the dimensionless load coefficient and rock plate geometry size with different cases of thickness is discussed in detail. Finally, the model test and field test were conducted, and the obtained data were used to verify the theoretical results and applied to the landslide thrust calculation and protection structure design of bedding rock slope, providing a theoretical reference for guiding the design of anti-slide piles for slopes and ensuring the stability of slopes. Full article

This study proposes a hybrid landslide displacement prediction model based on multi-strategy integrated optimization to address high nonlinearity and limited accuracy. An improved SFOA with Lévy flight, dynamic exploration adjustment, and stagnation detection enhances global search and convergence. The optimized SFOA (OSFOA) is employed to optimize CEEMDAN using minimum envelope entropy, reducing hyperparameter subjectivity and decomposing cumulative displacement into multi-scale components. The trend term is predicted by a Bayesian-optimized ARIMA, while periodic and stochastic terms are further decomposed by VMD and predicted using Bayesian-optimized SVR. GRA-MIC is applied to select key influencing factors and optimize model inputs. Results show that the proposed method improves accuracy and stability, reducing RMSE by about 82% and 52% compared with SSA-SVR and the baseline single decomposition model, respectively. The study further identifies monthly rainfall change and two-month reservoir level variation as the dominant driving factors for the displacement evolution, providing an effective and interpretable approach for complex landslide early warning. Full article

The identification of potential landslides and targeted risk analysis is crucial for the warning and prevention of geological landslide disasters. This article presents a time series deformation prediction framework based on a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network deep learning model for analyzing Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data. By employing an advanced stacked LSTM network model, we effectively capture temporal dependencies and move beyond traditional methods that depend on explicit deformation. This approach enables short- to medium-term deformation prediction through structured time dynamic modeling, identifies potential landslide targets in the high-altitude regions upstream of Lake Sarez, and classifies associated risk levels. The results indicate that: (1) In short-term forecasting, the stacked LSTM model effectively captures trend turning points, producing stable and reliable predictions with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.164 mm and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.194 mm; (2) From 2019 to 2022, regional surface deformation characteristics exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity, with the potential landslide on the right bank identified as the most critical settlement center, demonstrating a line of sight (LOS) deformation rate consistently exceeding 49 mm per year, while the Usoi Dam displayed relatively good stability during this period; (3) By integrating InSAR deformation rate maps with Sentinel-2 optical images, we identified a total of 72 potential landslide targets in the region, four of which exhibited deformation rates exceeding −30 mm per year, indicating significant activity and classifying them as high-risk areas requiring attention. This provides a targeted reference list for the prevention and control of geological landslides around Lake Sarez and establishes a reliable technical pathway for the early identification of landslides under complex geological conditions in high-altitude mountainous areas. Full article

To address the stability issues of bridge piers on high expansive soil slopes in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Water Transfer Project and reveal the slope-bridge structure interaction mechanism, this study performed 100 g geotechnical centrifuge model tests. Slope failure modes under rainfall-bridge load coupling are investigated, with bridge pier deformation, earth pressure, and pile bending moment evolution analyzed. Results show that rainfall-induced failure causes shallow slope sliding with negligible pier displacement, keeping the structure safe. Conversely, under bridge working and ultimate loads, the slope will experience a mid-deep landslide with a sliding depth of 13–20 m, leading to slope instability and bridge overturning. The influence range of shallow landslides is 1–2 m, and the earth pressure at the pile cap is 132 kPa, which is a critical factor affecting bridge stability. In contrast, the bearing performance of pile foundations plays a dominant controlling role in deep-seated landslides. With the increase in landslide depth, the inflection point of the pile gradually moves downward. Numerical simulations further indicate that shallow landslides feature superficial slip–shear failure, and deep-seated landslides follow a progressive slip tensile cracking mechanism. Full article