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Keywords = hydrologically modified watershed

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56 pages, 3276 KB  
Systematic Review
Snowpack and Snowmelt Interactions with Forest Ecosystem Sustainability: A Bibliometric Analysis and Systematic Review of Hydrological, Ecological, and Biogeochemical Processes
by Iulian Bratu, Lucian Dinca, Cristinel Constandache, Gabriel Murariu, Maria Mihaela Antofie, Mirela Stanciu, Alexandra Mihaela (Nagy) and Tiberiu Draghici
Sustainability 2026, 18(13), 6818; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18136818 - 4 Jul 2026
Viewed by 659
Abstract
Seasonal snowpack and snowmelt are critical regulators of forest ecosystem functioning in temperate, boreal, montane, and alpine regions. Snowpack acts as a temporary water and energy reservoir, while snowmelt determines the seasonal availability of water and influences ecosystem processes during the growing season. [...] Read more.
Seasonal snowpack and snowmelt are critical regulators of forest ecosystem functioning in temperate, boreal, montane, and alpine regions. Snowpack acts as a temporary water and energy reservoir, while snowmelt determines the seasonal availability of water and influences ecosystem processes during the growing season. Climate change is altering snowfall patterns, snow accumulation, and melt timing, with consequences for forest productivity, resilience, and disturbance dynamics. This review synthesizes current knowledge on snow–forest interactions and identifies major research trends, methodological approaches, and remaining knowledge gaps. The study combines a bibliometric analysis and a qualitative literature review based on publications indexed in the Scopus and Web of Science databases. A total of 695 publications were included in the bibliometric dataset and analyzed to assess temporal trends, geographical patterns, research themes, and the ecological consequences of changing snow dynamics in forests. Representative studies from this dataset were subsequently synthesized to evaluate the influence of snowpack and snowmelt on forest ecosystem functioning, resilience, and sustainability. The reviewed literature shows that snowpack and snowmelt strongly regulate forest water availability, soil thermal conditions, nutrient cycling, vegetation responses, and carbon dynamics. Changes in snow regimes, particularly reduced snow accumulation and earlier melt, can increase the risk of soil freezing, modify moisture conditions, intensify water stress, and affect ecosystem carbon balance. However, the magnitude and direction of these effects depend on forest type, species composition, climate, and landscape characteristics. Forest structure also plays an important role in controlling snow interception, accumulation, persistence, and melt processes. The bibliometric analysis indicates a rapid increase in research interest in snow–forest interactions over the last two decades, with major contributions from the United States, Canada, China, and Northern Europe. Environmental sciences, hydrology, and ecology were the dominant research areas. Despite substantial progress, uncertainties remain regarding long-term ecosystem responses, species-specific vulnerabilities, and the interactions between declining snow cover and other climate-driven disturbances. This review emphasizes that understanding snowpack and snowmelt dynamics is essential for predicting forest ecosystem responses to climate change and for improving sustainable forest management and watershed conservation strategies in snow-dependent regions. Full article
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21 pages, 3076 KB  
Article
Evaluating Ecological Integrity in Andean High-Mountain Streams Using a Multiplicative Water Quality Index: Roles of Seasonal Hydrology and Benthic Assemblages
by Diego Fernando Moreno Pérez, Germán Eduardo Cely Reyes and Pablo Antonio Serrano Cely
Water 2026, 18(13), 1591; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18131591 - 30 Jun 2026
Viewed by 395
Abstract
High-mountain lotic ecosystems in the tropical Andes are increasingly threatened by agricultural expansion and seasonal hydrological variability. This study evaluates structural water quality shifts and benthic macroinvertebrate community assembly across an environmental degradation gradient in the La Chorrera micro-basin (Boyacá, Colombia). A weighted [...] Read more.
High-mountain lotic ecosystems in the tropical Andes are increasingly threatened by agricultural expansion and seasonal hydrological variability. This study evaluates structural water quality shifts and benthic macroinvertebrate community assembly across an environmental degradation gradient in the La Chorrera micro-basin (Boyacá, Colombia). A weighted multiplicative Water Quality Index (mWQI), originally developed in previous literature, was implemented and validated alongside biotic scores (BMWP/Col) and Canonical Correspondence Analysis (CCA) across 16 sampling points during contrasting wet and dry seasons. The results demonstrate that intense precipitation during the wet season introduces a volumetric dilution effect, maintaining high ecological quality scores (mWQI > 80.0) even in deeply modified agricultural sectors. Conversely, severe baseflow contraction during the dry season triggers pollutant concentration, driving total phosphorus to hyper-eutrophic peaks (9.20 mg/L) and forcing a complete mathematical collapse of the index (mWQI = 0.00). The CCA biplot confirmed that seasonal chemical filters combined with hypoxia (<60% oxygen saturation) eliminate highly responsive macroinvertebrate orders (Ephemeroptera, Plecoptera, Trichoptera), leading to absolute dominance of hypoxia-tolerant opportunists (Chironomidae and Oligochaeta). The benthic community shifted from physical stress (sedimentation) during the wet season to chemical stress (nutrient toxicity and oxygen depletion) during the dry season. The multiplicative framework effectively isolates localized ecological tipping points, providing a high-sensitivity baseline tool for targeted watershed restoration in tropical alpine regions. Full article
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18 pages, 19889 KB  
Article
Multi-Factor Coupling Mechanism of Small Water Body Area Dynamics Under Different Scenarios in the Chaohu Lake Basin, China
by Chunhua Li, Wei Cheng, Yuxuan Wu, Jingtong Zhang, Chun Ye, Yuyun Zhang, Haoran Zheng, Yanhua Wang and Xi Chen
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(11), 1771; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18111771 - 1 Jun 2026
Viewed by 298
Abstract
Small water bodies serve as fundamental units and key conduits for material cycling and hydrological processes at the watershed scale. However, quantitatively identifying the mechanisms driving their area evolution under multi-factor coupling in different scenario simulations remains challenging. This study focused on the [...] Read more.
Small water bodies serve as fundamental units and key conduits for material cycling and hydrological processes at the watershed scale. However, quantitatively identifying the mechanisms driving their area evolution under multi-factor coupling in different scenario simulations remains challenging. This study focused on the small water bodies in the Chaohu Lake Basin. An Otsu algorithm was applied to establish a basin-scale database of small water bodies, while the GeoDetector model was integrated to reveal the spatiotemporal driving mechanisms of multi-factor coupling behind their evolution. Furthermore, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)–Transformer model was modified to simulate future scenarios of small water body area dynamics. The results indicated that, from 1995 to 2024, the area of small water bodies in the Chaohu Lake Basin exhibited a fluctuating decreasing trend (wet season: 186–269 km2; dry season: 110–253 km2). In terms of spatial distribution, the small water bodies exhibited an unbalanced distribution pattern characterized by wide dispersion alongside regional clustering. Results from the GeoDetector model revealed that land use type (q = 0.711) and evapotranspiration (q = 0.526) were the dominant drivers of variations in small water body areas. LSTM–Transformer simulations (R2 = 0.92, p < 0.01) suggested that, under temperature, precipitation, and land use change scenarios, the small water body areas in the Chaohu Lake Basin will exhibit distinct seasonal variation characteristics, with scenario-dependent differences in fluctuation amplitude and peak–trough timing. These results offer theoretical support for the protection of small water bodies and integrated water resource management in the Chaohu Lake Basin. Full article
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15 pages, 4977 KB  
Article
Quantifying Climate Change Impacts on Mine Rock Drainage Quantity Using Physics-Informed Neural Networks
by Can Zhang, Liang Ma and Wenying Liu
Minerals 2026, 16(4), 397; https://doi.org/10.3390/min16040397 - 13 Apr 2026
Viewed by 670
Abstract
Climate change is reshaping hydrologic regimes in snow-dominated watersheds, with important implications for mine rock drainage quantity and contaminant mobilization. This study quantifies potential long-term changes in drainage quantity by coupling a previously published physics-informed machine learning model with a Monte Carlo framework [...] Read more.
Climate change is reshaping hydrologic regimes in snow-dominated watersheds, with important implications for mine rock drainage quantity and contaminant mobilization. This study quantifies potential long-term changes in drainage quantity by coupling a previously published physics-informed machine learning model with a Monte Carlo framework driven by downscaled monthly climate projections from ClimateNA. The proposed methodology was applied to three drainage monitoring stations at a mine site in Western Canada to assess projected drainage responses over the 2011–2100 period. An ensemble of daily weather sequences was generated by sampling historical within-month variability and scaling the resulting series to match projected monthly climate statistics, which were then used as inputs for the drainage model. Trends were assessed using the Mann–Kendall test modified for serial correlation, and their magnitudes were summarized using the Theil–Sen slopes. The trend analysis results indicate scenario-dependent changes in annual drainage across stations, alongside consistent seasonal shifts toward higher spring (April–May) and lower early-summer (June–July) drainage. These patterns are consistent with earlier snowmelt and earlier snowpack depletion. Corresponding shifts in intra-annual flow timing suggest that a larger fraction of annual drainage occurs earlier in the year. Overall, these findings provide a physics-informed basis for changes in drainage quantity and for guiding monitoring, design, and mitigation strategies under a warming climate. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Acid Mine Drainage: A Challenge or an Opportunity?)
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29 pages, 4903 KB  
Article
Sediment Yield Assessment and Erosion Risk Analysis Using the SWAT Model in the Amman–Zarqa Basin, Jordan
by Motasem R. AlHalaigah, Michel Rahbeh, Nisrein H. Alnizami, Mutaz M. Zoubi, Heba F. Al-Jawaldeh, Shahed H. Alsoud, Yazan A. Alta’any, Qusay Y. Abu-Afifeh, Ali Brezat, Rasha Al-Rkebat, Safa E. El-Mahroug, Bassam Al Qarallah and Ahmad J. Alzubaidi
Hydrology 2026, 13(4), 107; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13040107 - 9 Apr 2026
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2015
Abstract
Sediment accumulation in reservoirs represents a critical challenge for sustainable water resources management in semi-arid regions. In Jordan, accelerated sedimentation threatens the operational capacity of major dams, including the King Talal Dam (KTD), which serves as a key water resource in the Amman–Zarqa [...] Read more.
Sediment accumulation in reservoirs represents a critical challenge for sustainable water resources management in semi-arid regions. In Jordan, accelerated sedimentation threatens the operational capacity of major dams, including the King Talal Dam (KTD), which serves as a key water resource in the Amman–Zarqa Basin (AZB). This study assesses sediment yield and erosion risk at the catchment scale using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) integrated with the Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE). The AZB was subdivided into 31 sub-basins and 586 Hydrological Response Units (HRUs) based on land use, soil characteristics, topography, and slope. The model was calibrated for the period 1993–2002 and validated for 2003–2012 using hydrological and sediment observations from 17 monitoring stations. Long-term simulations covering more than two decades were conducted to quantify spatial and temporal sediment yield patterns across the basin. Results indicate a mean annual sediment yield of 2.79 t ha−1 yr−1, corresponding to approximately 0.59 MCM yr−1 of sediment inflow to the reservoir. These estimates closely agree with bathymetric survey results reported by the Jordan Valley Authority, which indicate sedimentation rates of 2.59 t ha−1 yr−1 (0.55 MCM yr−1). Overall, the model demonstrates strong agreement between observed and simulated sediment loads, confirming its reliability for sediment dynamics assessment. The findings are relevant to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 6 (clean water and sanitation) and 15 (life on land) by informing sustainable watershed and soil erosion management practices. Full article
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20 pages, 2682 KB  
Article
Monolayer or Multilayer Snow Model: Implications for the HYDROTEL Hydrological Model for Flow Modeling
by Julien Augas, Alain N. Rousseau and Etienne Foulon
Water 2026, 18(7), 884; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18070884 - 7 Apr 2026
Viewed by 553
Abstract
The snow module of the HYDROTEL (version 2.8.x-078-00-4.1.15.5551) hydrological model was modified to incorporate a multilayer structure composed of ice and air layers within the snowpack, as well as to account for the impact of freezing rain on snow cover. This study examines [...] Read more.
The snow module of the HYDROTEL (version 2.8.x-078-00-4.1.15.5551) hydrological model was modified to incorporate a multilayer structure composed of ice and air layers within the snowpack, as well as to account for the impact of freezing rain on snow cover. This study examines whether this enhanced physical representation of snow processes improves the accuracy of streamflow simulations. The analysis was conducted across ten watersheds in Quebec, Canada. The multilayer snow model consistently improved low-flow simulations during both calibration and validation periods and enhanced the representation of the falling limb during the calibration period. However, the monolayer snow model performs slightly better during the rising limb of the freshet season for the calibration phase. In addition, the multilayer configuration reduced the bias of the cumulative freshet volumes and annual maximum freshet discharge. Overall, the multilayer snow model achieved comparable performance to the monolayer model for high-flow simulations while outperforming it for low-flow conditions, leading to a more accurate representation of freshet volumes and falling limb dynamics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrology)
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28 pages, 7529 KB  
Article
Integrating GLASS LAI into the SWAT Model for Improved Hydrological Simulation in Semi-Arid Regions
by Xun Zhang, Yanan Jiang, Ting Yan, Kun Xie, Ping Li, Jiping Niu, Kexin Li and Xiaojun Wang
Agronomy 2026, 16(6), 639; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16060639 - 18 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 748
Abstract
The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model has been widely used to simulate ecohydrological processes in watersheds. However, the SWAT model uses a simplified Environmental Policy Impact Climate (EPIC) model to simulate the leaf area index (LAI), creating a critical gap in [...] Read more.
The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model has been widely used to simulate ecohydrological processes in watersheds. However, the SWAT model uses a simplified Environmental Policy Impact Climate (EPIC) model to simulate the leaf area index (LAI), creating a critical gap in accurately simulating evapotranspiration (ET) and runoff in semi-arid regions. This work aims to fill this gap by modifying the SWAT source code to integrate high-resolution Global Land Surface Satellite (GLASS) leaf area index (LAI) data. The modified version was applied to the semi-arid Wuding River Basin and calibrated using a Fortran-based dynamic dimension search (DDS) algorithm. The results show a relatively significant improvement in the accuracy of the daily-scale runoff simulation (R2 from 0.52 to 0.71 and NSE from 0.52 to 0.7 for the calibration period, and R2 from 0.21 to 0.58 and NSE from 0.2 to 0.51 for the validation period). The improved version also corrects the unrealistic default LAI peak (from >5.0 to 1.5–3.0), correcting the multi-year average ET from 251.7 mm to 341.8 mm. The improved vegetation growth module of the SWAT model effectively improved the accuracy of hydrologic simulation in the semi-arid region and enhanced the structural robustness of SWAT for water management. Full article
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20 pages, 9183 KB  
Article
Simulation of Nitrogen Migration and Output Loads Under Field Scale in Small Watershed, China
by Yixiao Song, Ling Jiang and Ming Liang
Land 2026, 15(3), 442; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15030442 - 10 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 697
Abstract
Field-scale nitrogen migration mechanisms in small watersheds remain poorly quantified due to insufficient representation of microtopographic heterogeneity. This study investigates nitrogen transport dynamics in a 1.27 km2 agricultural watershed in China’s Jianghuai region using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) -derived 0.1 m digital [...] Read more.
Field-scale nitrogen migration mechanisms in small watersheds remain poorly quantified due to insufficient representation of microtopographic heterogeneity. This study investigates nitrogen transport dynamics in a 1.27 km2 agricultural watershed in China’s Jianghuai region using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) -derived 0.1 m digital elevation models (DEMs) and coupled hydrological–erosion modeling. The Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) and Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE) models quantified nitrogen output loads, while the multi-flow direction algorithm simulated migration trajectories for total nitrogen (TN), ammonium, and nitrate. Results revealed strong spatial heterogeneity in nitrogen exports (watershed mean: 29.66 kg TN/km2·a), with bare land and greenhouses exhibiting the highest outputs (448.54 and 363.41 kg/km2·a) and forested areas showing minimal export (<6.1 kg/km2·a). Nitrogen migration was predominantly controlled by topographic gradients, with microtopographic features—field ridges, ditches, and buildings—physically redirecting flows and creating critical export nodes at field boundaries. DEM resolution critically affected simulation accuracy: erosion intensity displayed a non-monotonic response with an inflection point near 1 m resolution, corresponding to the median elevation difference (1.2 m) of field ridges. Structural equation modeling confirmed that high-resolution DEMs (0.1–2 m) maintained topographic control over nitrogen migration (~80% contribution), whereas 30 m DEMs reduced this influence to 30%, inducing spurious meteorological dominance. This study demonstrates that decimeter-scale DEMs are essential for accurately capturing microtopographic regulation of nitrogen transport, providing a methodological basis for precision management of agricultural non-point source pollution. Full article
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21 pages, 4863 KB  
Article
Revealing Emerging Hydroclimatic Shifts: Advanced Trend Analysis of Rainfall and Streamflow in the Navasota River Watershed
by Ali Fares, Ripendra Awal, Anwar Assefa Adem, Anoop Valiya Veettil, Taha B. M. J. Ouarda, Samuel Brody and Marouane Temimi
Hydrology 2026, 13(1), 12; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13010012 - 25 Dec 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1495
Abstract
Rainfall and streamflow analyses have long been central to hydrological research, yet traditional approaches often overlook the complexity introduced by changing climate signals, land-use dynamics, and human infrastructure. This study applies an integrated, data-driven framework to explore emerging hydroclimatic shifts in the Navasota [...] Read more.
Rainfall and streamflow analyses have long been central to hydrological research, yet traditional approaches often overlook the complexity introduced by changing climate signals, land-use dynamics, and human infrastructure. This study applies an integrated, data-driven framework to explore emerging hydroclimatic shifts in the Navasota River Watershed of east-central Texas. By combining autocorrelation analysis, Mann–Kendall and modified Mann–Kendall trend tests, and Pettitt’s change-point detection, we examine more than a century of precipitation and streamflow records alongside post-1978 reservoir operations. Results reveal an accelerating wetting tendency, particularly evident in decadal rolling averages and early-summer precipitation, accompanied by a statistically significant increase in 10-year moving averages of annual peak streamflow. While abrupt regime shifts were not detected, subtle but persistent changes point to evolving watershed memory and heightened flood risk in the post-dam era. This study reframes rainfall and streamflow trend analysis as a dynamic tool for anticipating hydrologic regime shifts, highlighting the urgent need for adaptive water infrastructure and flood management strategies in rapidly urbanizing and climate-sensitive watersheds. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Trends and Variations in Hydroclimatic Variables: 2nd Edition)
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18 pages, 10928 KB  
Article
Long-Term Monitoring of Qaraoun Lake’s Water Quality and Hydrological Deterioration Using Landsat 7–9 and Google Earth Engine: Evidence of Environmental Decline in Lebanon
by Mohamad Awad
Hydrology 2026, 13(1), 8; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13010008 - 23 Dec 2025
Viewed by 2283
Abstract
Globally, lakes are increasingly recognized as sensitive indicators of climate change and ecosystem stress. Qaraoun Lake, Lebanon’s largest artificial reservoir, is a critical resource for irrigation, hydropower generation, and domestic water supply. Over the past 25 years, satellite remote sensing has enabled consistent [...] Read more.
Globally, lakes are increasingly recognized as sensitive indicators of climate change and ecosystem stress. Qaraoun Lake, Lebanon’s largest artificial reservoir, is a critical resource for irrigation, hydropower generation, and domestic water supply. Over the past 25 years, satellite remote sensing has enabled consistent monitoring of its hydrological and environmental dynamics. This study leverages the advanced cloud-based processing capabilities of Google Earth Engine (GEE) to analyze over 180 cloud-free scenes from Landsat 7 (Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus) (ETM+) from 2000 to present, Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager and Thermal Infrared Sensor (OLI/TIRS) from 2013 to present, and Landsat 9 OLI-2/TIRS-2 from 2021 to present, quantifying changes in lake surface area, water volume, and pollution levels. Water extent was delineated using the Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI), enhanced through pansharpening to improve spatial resolution from 30 m to 15 m. Water quality was evaluated using a composite pollution index that integrates three spectral indicators—the Normalized Difference Chlorophyll Index (NDCI), the Floating Algae Index (FAI), and a normalized Shortwave Infrared (SWIR) band—which serves as a proxy for turbidity and organic matter. This index was further standardized against a conservative Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) threshold to reduce vegetation interference. The resulting index ranges from near-zero (minimal pollution) to values exceeding 1.0 (severe pollution), with higher values indicating elevated chlorophyll concentrations, surface reflectance anomalies, and suspended particulate matter. Results indicate a significant decline in mean annual water volume, from a peak of 174.07 million m3 in 2003 to a low of 106.62 million m3 in 2025 (until mid-November). Concurrently, pollution levels increased markedly, with the average index rising from 0.0028 in 2000 to a peak of 0.2465 in 2024. Episodic spikes exceeding 1.0 were detected in 2005, 2016, and 2024, corresponding to documented contamination events. These findings were validated against multiple institutional and international reports, confirming the reliability and efficiency of the GEE-based methodology. Time-series visualizations generated through GEE underscore a dual deterioration, both hydrological and qualitative, highlighting the lake’s growing vulnerability to anthropogenic pressures and climate variability. The study emphasizes the urgent need for integrated watershed management, pollution control measures, and long-term environmental monitoring to safeguard Lebanon’s water security and ecological resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Lakes as Sensitive Indicators of Hydrology, Environment, and Climate)
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23 pages, 9084 KB  
Article
Quantifying Torrential Watershed Behavior over Time: A Synergistic Approach Using Classical and Modern Techniques
by Ana M. Petrović, Laure Guerit, Valentina Nikolova, Ivan Novković, Dobromir Filipov and Jiří Jakubínský
Earth 2026, 7(1), 1; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010001 - 19 Dec 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1351
Abstract
This study investigates temporal and spatial variation in torrential flood hazards and sediment dynamics in two ungauged watersheds in southeastern Serbia from 1991 to 2023. By integrating classical hydrological models with modern geospatial and photogrammetric techniques, watershed responses to environmental and anthropogenic changes [...] Read more.
This study investigates temporal and spatial variation in torrential flood hazards and sediment dynamics in two ungauged watersheds in southeastern Serbia from 1991 to 2023. By integrating classical hydrological models with modern geospatial and photogrammetric techniques, watershed responses to environmental and anthropogenic changes are quantified. Torrential flood potential was estimated and peak discharges were calculated using both the rational and SCS-Unit hydrograph methods, while sediment transport was assessed through Gavrilović’s erosion potential model and a modified Poljakov model. A key innovation is the use of UAV-based and close-range photogrammetry for 3D grain-size analysis, marking the first such application in Serbia. The mean torrential flood potential decreased by 4.4% in the Petrova Watershed and 4.2% in the Rasnička Watershed. Specific peak discharges for a 100-year return period declined from 1.62 to 1.07 m3·s−1·km−2 in Petrova and from 1.60 to 1.34 m3·s−1·km−2 in Rasnička. Sediment transport during a 1% probability flood was reduced from 4.97 to 2.53 m3·s−1 in Petrova and from 13.87 to 9.48 m3·s−1 in Rasnička. Grain-size analyses revealed immobile coarse bedload in the Petrova and active sediment transport in the Rasnička River, where D50 and D90 decreased between 2023 and 2024. The findings highlight the effectiveness of a synergistic methodological approach for analyzing complex watershed processes in data-scarce regions. The study provides a replicable model for flood hazard assessment and erosion control planning in similar mountainous environments undergoing socio-environmental transitions. Full article
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19 pages, 3086 KB  
Article
Simulation of Different Land Cover and Rainfall Scenarios to Soil Erosion Using HEC-HMS in Cagayan De Oro River Basin, Mindanao, Philippines
by Kim Emissary C. Magarin, Hernando P. Bacosa, Elizabeth Edan M. Albiento, Jaime Q. Guihawan and Peter D. Suson
Earth 2025, 6(4), 135; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040135 - 1 Nov 2025
Viewed by 3836
Abstract
Soil erosion affects agricultural and environmental sustainability and needs to be addressed. The Cagayan de Oro River Basin (CDORB), one of the major river basins in the Philippines, provides economic, social, and environmental services to the city and municipalities inside the basin. More [...] Read more.
Soil erosion affects agricultural and environmental sustainability and needs to be addressed. The Cagayan de Oro River Basin (CDORB), one of the major river basins in the Philippines, provides economic, social, and environmental services to the city and municipalities inside the basin. More than 70% of the area of the river basin is devoted to various forms of agricultural production. Land cover critically influences erosion dynamics as vegetation reduces rainfall impact, enhances infiltration, and limits sediment transport. This study employs the Hydrologic Engineering Center–Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) integrated with the Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE) to evaluate soil erosion under different rainfall return periods (5, 10, 25, 50, 100 years) and four land cover scenarios: No Reforestation Intervention (NI), Maximum Forest Cover (MF), Slope-Based Land Use (SB), and Reforestation on Public Domain (PD). Model results showed that soil loss increased with rainfall intensity, with NI yielding the highest average erosion of 1443 t ha−1. Conservation scenarios reduced erosion by up to 53% compared to NI. Among the conservation scenarios, MF, SB, and PD yielded average erosion of 21, 716, and 1304 t ha−1, respectively. While the MF scenario had the least soil loss, no space was assigned for economic production. On the other hand, the SB approach offered the best balance, halving erosion across all rainfall return periods, but at the same time has sufficient space available for economic production. These findings demonstrate the scientific value of integrating HEC-HMS and MUSLE for event-based erosion modeling and highlight how comparing multiple land-cover scenarios can inform data-driven land use planning and policy formulation for sustainable watershed management. Full article
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25 pages, 6099 KB  
Article
SWAT Machine Learning-Integrated Modeling for Ranking Watershed Vulnerability to Climate Variability and Land-Use Change in Alabama, USA, in 1990–2023
by Riad Arefin, Jonathan Frame, Geoffrey R. Tick, Derek D. Bussan, Andrew M. Goodliffe and Yong Zhang
Environments 2025, 12(10), 395; https://doi.org/10.3390/environments12100395 - 21 Oct 2025
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 3552
Abstract
Understanding streamflow dynamics in watersheds affected by human activity and climate variability is important for sustainable water and environmental resource management. This study evaluates the vulnerability of Alabama watersheds to anthropogenic and climatic changes using an integrated framework combining GIS, remote sensing, hydrological [...] Read more.
Understanding streamflow dynamics in watersheds affected by human activity and climate variability is important for sustainable water and environmental resource management. This study evaluates the vulnerability of Alabama watersheds to anthropogenic and climatic changes using an integrated framework combining GIS, remote sensing, hydrological modeling, and machine learning (ML). Three Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) models, differing in spatial resolution and soil inputs, were developed to simulate streamflow under baseline and land-use/land cover (LULC) scenarios from 1990 to 2023. The model, built with consistent 100 × 100 m rasters and fine-resolution SSURGO (Soil Survey Geographic Database) soil data, achieved the best calibration and was selected for detailed analysis. Streamflow trends were assessed over two periods (1993–2009 and 2010–2023) to help isolate climate variability (from LULC effects), while LULC changes were evaluated using 1992, 2011, and 2021 maps. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model further enhanced simulation accuracy by integrating partially calibrated SWAT outputs. Watershed vulnerability was ranked using a multi-criteria framework. Two watersheds were classified as highly vulnerable, nine as moderately vulnerable, and three as having low vulnerability. Basin-level contrasts revealed moderate climate impacts in the Tombigbee Basin, greater climate sensitivity in the Black Warrior Basin, and LULC-dominated impacts in the Alabama Basin. Overall, LULC change exerted stronger and more spatially variable effects on streamflow than climate variability. This study introduces a transferable SWAT–ML vulnerability ranking framework to guide watershed and environmental management in data-scarce, human-modified regions. Full article
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18 pages, 6787 KB  
Article
Analysis of the Intermittent Characteristics of Streamflow in Taiwan
by Xi Fang, Hsin-Yu Chen and Hsin-Fu Yeh
Water 2025, 17(14), 2090; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17142090 - 13 Jul 2025
Viewed by 1539
Abstract
More than half of the world’s rivers are intermittent, and climate change is increasing their intermittency, affecting water resources and ecosystems. In Taiwan, steep topography and uneven rainfall have led to increased intermittency in some areas, reflecting changes in hydrological conditions. Using streamflow [...] Read more.
More than half of the world’s rivers are intermittent, and climate change is increasing their intermittency, affecting water resources and ecosystems. In Taiwan, steep topography and uneven rainfall have led to increased intermittency in some areas, reflecting changes in hydrological conditions. Using streamflow data, this study applied intermittency ratio (IR), modified 6-month dry period seasonality (SD6), and trend analysis, as well as watershed properties and climate indices. Results showed that 92% of stations had low flows for less than 20% of the time. The dry season was mainly from November to April, and intermittency was spatially affected mainly by upstream soil moisture, moderately by potential evapotranspiration and infiltration, and less by actual evapotranspiration and catchment area. Intermittency increased in the east and decreased in the west. It was negatively correlated with upstream soil moisture and strongly associated with rainfall frequency, especially the proportion of days with precipitation less than 1 mm. These patterns highlight regional differences in river responses to climate. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrology)
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29 pages, 10523 KB  
Article
Simulated Effects of Future Water Availability and Protected Species Habitat in a Perennial Wetland, Santa Barbara County, California
by Geoffrey Cromwell, Daniel P. Culling, Matthew J. Young and Joshua D. Larsen
Water 2025, 17(8), 1238; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17081238 - 21 Apr 2025
Viewed by 1410
Abstract
This study evaluates the potential water availability in Barka Slough and the effects of changing hydrological conditions on the aquatic habitat of five protected species. Barka Slough is a historically perennial wetland at the downstream western end of the San Antonio Creek Valley [...] Read more.
This study evaluates the potential water availability in Barka Slough and the effects of changing hydrological conditions on the aquatic habitat of five protected species. Barka Slough is a historically perennial wetland at the downstream western end of the San Antonio Creek Valley watershed (SACVW). A previously published hydrologic model of the SACVW for 1948–2018 was extended to include 2019–2021 and then modified to simulate the future years of 2022–2051. Two models simulating the future years of 2022–2051 were constructed, each with different climate inputs: (1) a repeated historical climate and (2) a 2070-centered Drier Extreme Warming climate (2070 DEW). The model with the 2070 DEW climate had warmer temperatures and an increase in average annual precipitation driven by larger, albeit more infrequent, precipitation events than the model with the historical climate. Simulated groundwater pumpage resulted in cumulative groundwater storage depletion and groundwater-level decline in Barka Slough in both future models. The simulations indicate that Barka Slough may transition from a perennial to an ephemeral wetland. Streamflow, stream disconnection, and depth to groundwater are key habitat metrics for federally listed species in Barka Slough. Future seasonal conditions for each metric are more likely to affect federally listed species’ habitats under 2070 DEW climatic conditions. Future seasonal streamflow volume may negatively impact unarmored threespine stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus williamsoni) and tidewater goby (Eucyclogobis newberryi) habitats. Future seasonal stream disconnection may negatively impact the unarmored threespine stickleback habitat. Future groundwater-level decline may negatively impact Gambel’s watercress (Nasturtium gambelii) and La Graciosa thistle (Cirsium scariosum var. loncholepis) habitats and could influence the ability to use Barka Slough as a restoration or reintroduction site for these species. Results from this study can be used to inform water management decisions to sustain future groundwater availability in the SACVW. Full article
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