Search Results (149)

African hydrological systems are incredibly complex and highly sensitive to climate variability. This review synthesizes observational data, remote sensing, and climate modeling to understand the interactions between fluvial processes, water cycle dynamics, and anthropogenic pressures. Currently, these systems are experiencing accelerating warming (+0.3 °C/decade), leading to more intense hydrological extremes and regionally varied responses. For example, East Africa has shown reversed temperature–moisture correlations since the Holocene onset, while West African rivers demonstrate nonlinear runoff sensitivity (a threefold reduction per unit decline in rainfall). Land-use and land-cover changes (LULCC) are as impactful as climate change, with analysis from 1959–2014 revealing extensive conversion of primary non-forest land and a more than sixfold increase in the intensity of pastureland expansion by the early 21st century. Future projections, exemplified by studies in basins like Ethiopia’s Gilgel Gibe and Ghana’s Vea, indicate escalating aridity with significant reductions in surface runoff and groundwater recharge, increasing aquifer stress. These findings underscore the need for integrated adaptation strategies that leverage remote sensing, nature-based solutions, and transboundary governance to build resilient water futures across Africa’s diverse basins. Full article

The hydrological response of a watershed is strongly influenced by the spatiotemporal dynamics of rainfall. Rainfall events of similar magnitude can produce markedly different flood processes due to variations in the spatiotemporal patterns of rainfall, posing significant challenges for flood forecasting under complex rainfall scenarios. Traditional methods typically rely on high-resolution or synthetic rainfall data to characterize the scale, direction and velocity of rainstorms, in order to analyze their impact on the flood process. These studies have shown that storms traveling along the main river channel tend to exert the greatest impact on flood processes. Therefore, tracking the movement of the rainfall center along the flow direction, especially when only rain gauge data are available, can reduce model complexity while maintaining forecast accuracy and improving model applicability. This study proposes a machine learning-based time-variable instantaneous unit hydrograph that integrates rainfall spatiotemporal dynamics using quantitative spatial indicators. To overcome limitations of traditional variable unit hydrograph methods, a pre-training and fine-tuning strategy is employed to link the unit hydrograph S-curve with rainfall spatial distribution. First, synthetic pre-training data were used to enable the machine learning model to learn the shape of the S-curve and its general pattern of variation with rainfall spatial distribution. Then, real flood data were employed to learn the actual runoff routing characteristics of the study area. The improved model allows the unit hydrograph to adapt dynamically to rainfall evolution during the flood event, effectively capturing hydrological responses under varying spatiotemporal patterns. The case study shows that the improved model exhibits superior performance across all runoff routing metrics under spatiotemporal rainfall variability. The improved model increased the simulation qualified rate for historical flood events, with significant rainfall center movement during the event from 63% to 90%. This study deepens the understanding of how rainfall dynamics influence watershed response and enhances hourly-scale flood forecasting, providing support for disaster early warning with strong theoretical and practical significance. Full article

The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was utilized to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of composite non-point source pollution in the Yapu Port Basin, China, and to quantify the pollutant load contributions from various sources. Scenario-based simulations were designed to assess the effectiveness of different mitigation strategies, focusing on both agricultural and urban non-point source pollution control. The watershed was divided into 39 sub-watersheds and 106 hydrologic response units (HRUs). Model calibration and validation were conducted using the observed data on runoff, total phosphorus (TP), and total nitrogen (TN). The results demonstrate good model performance, with coefficients of determination (R²) ≥ 0.85 and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiencies (NSEs) ≥ 0.84, indicating its applicability to the study area. Temporally, pollutant loads exhibited a positive correlation with precipitation, with peak values observed during the annual flood season. Spatially, pollution intensity increased from upstream to downstream, with the western region of the watershed showing higher loss intensity. Pollution was predominantly concentrated in the downstream region. Based on the composite source analysis, a series of management measures were designed targeting both agricultural and urban non-point source pollution. Among individual measures, fertilizer reduction in agricultural fields and the establishment of vegetative buffer strips demonstrated the highest effectiveness. Combined management strategies significantly enhanced pollution control, with average TN and TP load reductions of 22.18% and 22.70%, respectively. The most effective scenario combined fertilizer reduction, improved urban stormwater utilization, vegetative buffer strips, and grassed swales in both farmland and orchards, resulting in TN and TP reductions of 67.2% and 56.2%, respectively. Full article

The hydrodynamics characteristics of artificial water diversion canals with long-distance and inter-basin multi-stage sluice gate regulations are prone to sudden increases and decreases, and sluice gate discharge differs from that of natural rivers. Research on the change characteristics of hydrological elements in artificial canals under the control of sluice gates is lacking, as are scientifically accurate calculations of sluice gate discharge. Therefore, addressing these gaps in long-distance artificial water transfer is of great importance. In this study, real-time operation data of 61 sluice gates, pertaining to the period from May 2019 to July 2021, including data on water levels, flow discharge, velocity, and sluice gate openings in the main canal of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project of China, were analyzed. The discharge coefficient of each sluice gate was calculated by the dimensional analysis method, and the unit-width discharge was modeled as a function of gate opening ($e$), gravity acceleration ($g$), and energy difference ($H$). Through logarithmic transformation of the Buckingham Pi theorem-derived equation, a linear regression model was used. Data within the relative opening orifice flow regime were selected for fitting, yielding the discharge coefficients and stage–discharge relationships. The results demonstrate that during the study period, the water level, discharge, and velocity of the main canal showed an increasing trend year by year. The dimensional analysis results indicate that the stage–discharge response relationship followed a power function ($Q\propto {(\frac{H}{e})}^{constant}$) and that there was a good linear relationship between $l{g}^{(\frac{H}{e})}$ and $l{g}^{(\frac{K}{e})}$ (R² > 0.95, $K={(q^2/g)}^{1/3}$). By integrating geometric, operational, and hydraulic parameters, the proposed method provides a practical tool and a scientific reference for analyzing sluice gates’ regulation and hydrological response characteristics, optimizing water allocation, enhancing ecological management, and improving operational safety in long-distance inter-basin water diversion projects. Full article

This study aimed to analyze changes in water retention conservation in response to climate change and forest management strategies and to propose methods for securing sustainable water resources. The KO-G-Dynamic model, a Korean forest growth model, was utilized alongside aboveground and belowground water resource prediction models to evaluate changes in water retention conservation under various climate change scenarios and forest management strategies. The analysis revealed that under climate change and current forest management levels, water retention conservation was projected to reach 37.553 billion tons per year in the 2030s, 38.274 billion tons per year in the 2050s, and 40.306 billion tons per year in the 2080s. Under optimal forest management policies, the water yield and storage were expected to increase to 37.863 billion tons per year in the 2030s, 38.877 billion tons per year in the 2050s, and 41.495 billion tons per year in the 2080s. Notably, watershed-based forest management offers a more practical management unit than conventional legal boundaries, as it reflects hydrological flow and the ecological characteristics of forest environments. Furthermore, the watershed-based forest management scenario demonstrated greater feasibility in securing water resources. This study provides foundational data for climate change adaptation and sustainable forest management and may aid national and local forest planning. The findings underscore the critical role of forest management in mitigating climate change impacts and ensuring long-term water sustainability. Full article

This study introduces a novel framework with the use of extended reality (XR) systems in hydrology, particularly focusing on immersive visualization of hydrologic data for enhanced environmental planning and decision making. The study details the shift from traditional 2D data visualization methods in hydrology to more advanced XR technologies, including virtual and augmented reality. Unlike static 2D maps or charts that require cross-referencing disparate data sources, this system consolidates real-time, multivariate datasets, such as streamflow, precipitation, and terrain, into a single interactive, spatially contextualized 3D environment. Immersive information systems facilitate dynamic interaction with real-time hydrological and meteorological datasets for various stakeholders and use cases, and pave the way for metaverse and digital twin systems. This system, accessible via web browsers and XR devices, allows users to navigate a 3D representation of the continental United States. The paper addresses the current limitations in hydrological visualization, methodology, and system architecture while discussing the challenges, limitations, and future directions to extend its applicability to a wider range of environmental management and disaster response scenarios. Future application potential includes climate resilience planning, immersive disaster preparedness training, and public education, where stakeholders can explore scenario-based outcomes within a virtual space to support real-time or anticipatory decision making. Full article

Recent climate change has intensified extreme rainfall events, exacerbating soil erosion and agricultural nonpoint source pollution in South Korea’s steeply sloped farmlands. This study assessed soil erosion reduction measures by applying individual Best Management Practices (BMPs) in cropland and expanding upon existing management efforts through the implementation of additional BMPs aimed at further reducing soil erosion. Furthermore, priority management areas were identified based on soil erosion reduction efficiency within subbasins. For this evaluation, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was employed, with a spatially distributed Hydrological Response Unit (SD-HRU) module and calibrated Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE) parameters tailored to Korean watershed conditions. Scenarios 1 and 2 were implemented in the study area to evaluate BMP effectiveness in controlling soil erosion and suspended sediment (SS) loads. Scenario 1 applied a set of BMPs already in place, while Scenario 2 involved the addition of supplementary BMPs to enhance soil erosion control. Scenario 1 resulted in a 34.6% reduction in annual soil erosion and a 35.0% decrease in SS concentration, whereas Scenario 2 achieved a 59.3% reduction in soil erosion and a 57.3% decrease in SS concentration. Subbasin-scale evaluations revealed considerable spatial variability in erosion control efficiency, ranging from 1.3% to 70.5%, highlighting the necessity for spatially targeted management strategies. These results underscore the importance of employing spatially adaptive BMP approaches and offer practical guidance for enhancing watershed sustainability, particularly in regions vulnerable to extreme hydrometeorological events. Full article

Soil erosion is a critical factor impacting soil health and agricultural productivity, with soil erodibility often quantified using the K-factor in erosion models such as the universal soil loss equation (USLE). Traditional K-factor estimation lacks spatiotemporal precision, particularly under varying soil moisture and land cover conditions. This study introduces modified K-factor pedotransfer functions (Kmlr) integrating dynamic remotely sensed data on land use land cover to enhance K-factor accuracy for diverse soil health management applications. The Kmlr functions from multiple approaches, including dynamic crop and cover management factor (Cdynamic), high resolution satellite data, and downscaled remotely sensed data, were evaluated across spatial and temporal scales within the Fish River watershed in Alabama, a coastal watershed with significant soil–water interactions. The results highlighted that the Kmlr model provided more accurate sediment yield (SY) predictions, particularly in agricultural areas, where traditional models overestimated erosion by upto 59.23 ton/ha. SY analysis across the 36 hydrological response units (HRUs) in the watershed showed that the Kmlr model captured more accurate soil loss estimates, especially in regions with varying land use. The modified K-factor model (Kmlr-c) using Cdynamic and high-resolution soil surface moisture data outperformed the traditional USLE K-factors in predicting SY, with a strong correlation to observed SY data (R² = 0.980 versus R² = 0.911). The total sediment yield predicted by Kmlr-c (525.11 ton/ha) was notably lower than that of USLE-based estimates (828.62 ton/ha), highlighting the overestimation in conventional models. The identification of erosive hotspots revealed that 6003 ha of land was at high erosion risk (K-factor > 0.25), with an average soil loss of 24.2 ton/ha. The categorization of erosive hotspots highlighted critical areas at high risk for erosion, underscoring the need for targeted soil conservation practices. This research underscores the improvement of remotely sensed data-based models and perfects them for the application of soil erodibility assessments thus promoting the development of such models. Full article

The increasing frequency and severity of hydrological extremes due to climate change necessitate accurate baseflow estimation and effective watershed management for sustainable water resource use. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is widely utilized for hydrological modeling but shows limitations in baseflow simulation due to its uniform application of the alpha factor across Hydrologic Response Units (HRUs), neglecting spatial and temporal variability. To address these challenges, this study integrated SWAT with the Tree-Based Pipeline Optimization Tool (TPOT), an automated machine learning (AutoML) framework, to predict HRU-specific alpha factors. Furthermore, a user-friendly web-based program was developed to improve the accessibility and practical application of these optimized alpha factors, supporting more accurate baseflow predictions, even in ungauged watersheds. The proposed HRU-specific alpha factor approach in the study area significantly enhanced the recession and baseflow predictions compared to the traditional uniform alpha factor method. This improvement was supported by key performance metrics, including the Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), the coefficient of determination (R²), the percent bias (PBIAS), and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). This integrated framework effectively improves the accuracy and practicality of hydrological modeling, offering scalable and innovative solutions for sustainable watershed management in the face of increasing water stress. Full article

Streamflow prediction is vital for effective water resource management, enabling a better understanding of hydrological variability and its response to environmental factors. This study presents a spatio-temporal graph neural network (STGNN) model for streamflow prediction in the Upper Colorado River Basin (UCRB), integrating graph convolutional networks (GCNs) to model spatial connectivity and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks to capture temporal dynamics. Using 30 years of monthly streamflow data from 20 monitoring stations, the STGNN predicted streamflow over a 36-month horizon and was evaluated against traditional models, including random forest regression (RFR), LSTM, gated recurrent units (GRU), and seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average (SARIMA). The STGNN outperformed these models across multiple metrics, achieving an R² of 0.78, an RMSE of 0.81 mm/month, and a KGE of 0.79 at critical locations like Lees Ferry. A sequential analysis of input–output configurations identified the (36, 36) setup as optimal for balancing historical context and forecasting accuracy. Additionally, the STGNN showed strong generalizability when applied to other locations within the UCRB. These results underscore the importance of integrating spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics in hydrological forecasting, offering a scalable and adaptable framework to improve predictive accuracy and support adaptive water resource management in river basins. Full article

In response to the escalating frequency and severity of wildfires, this study carried out a preliminary assessment of their impact on groundwater systems by simulating post-fire effects on groundwater recharge. The study focuses on the El Sutó spring area in Santa Cruz, Bolivia, a region that is susceptible to water scarcity and frequent wildfires. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) Soil-Water-Balance model version 2.0 was utilized, adjusting soil texture and infiltration capacity parameters to reflect the changes induced by wildfire events. The findings indicated a significant decrease in groundwater recharge following a hypothetical high-severity wildfire, with an average reduction of approximately 39.5% in the first year post-fire. A partial recovery was modeled thereafter, resulting in an estimated long-term average reduction of 10%. Based on these results, the El Sutó spring was provisionally classified as having high vulnerability shortly after a wildfire and moderate vulnerability in the extended period. Building on these model-based impacts, a preliminary Fire-Related Forest Recharge Impact Score (FRIS) was proposed. This index is grounded in soil properties and recharge dynamics and is designed to assess hydrological vulnerability after wildfires in dry tropical forests. Although these findings remain exploratory, they offer a predictive framework intended to guide future studies and inform strategies for managing wildfire impacts on groundwater resources. Full article

This study critically examines the applications of the Hydrologic Engineering Center-Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) in hydrological research from 2000 to 2023, with a focus on its use in event-based and continuous simulations. A bibliometric analysis reveals a steady growth in research productivity and identifies key thematic areas, including hydrologic modeling, climate change impact assessment, and land use analysis. Event-based modeling, employing methods such as the SCS curve number (CN) and SCS unit hydrograph, demonstrates exceptional performance in simulating short-term hydrological responses, particularly in flood risk management and stormwater applications. In contrast, continuous modeling excels in capturing long-term processes, such as soil moisture dynamics and groundwater contributions, using methodologies like soil moisture accounting and linear reservoir baseflow approaches, which are critical for water resource planning and climate resilience studies. This review highlights the adaptability of HEC-HMS, showcasing its successful integration of event-based precision and continuous process modeling through hybrid approaches, enabling robust analyses across temporal scales. By synthesizing methodologies, performance metrics, and case studies, this study offers practical insights for selecting appropriate modeling techniques tailored to specific hydrological objectives. Moreover, it identifies critical research gaps, including the need for advanced calibration methods, enhanced parameter sensitivity analyses, and improved integration with hydraulic models. These findings highlight HEC-HMS’s critical role in improving hydrological research and give a thorough foundation for its use in addressing current water resource concerns. Full article

The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was applied to investigate agricultural non-point source pollution in the Shitun River Basin (54.87 km²), China, where intensive agriculture dominates. This study analyzed spatiotemporal pollutant distribution from January 2021 to September 2023 and identified key pollution sources. The basin was divided into 46 sub-basins and 268 hydrological response units (HRUs). Model calibration and validation using runoff, total phosphorus, and ammonia nitrogen data demonstrated high accuracy (R² ≥ 0.6, Ens ≥ 0.5), confirming its applicability for area-source pollution assessment in agricultural regions. Agricultural area-source pollution was particularly concentrated from June to October, aligning with the high-flow period. Conversely, pollution levels saw a significant reduction during the medium- and low-flow periods. Severe pollution was mainly observed along the river and in the eastern part of the basin. By means of unit area load index method and Jenks natural fracture point method, it was determined that the key source areas of surface source pollution are mainly distributed in the upper reaches of the basin. The results can provide an adjusting basis and a theoretical basis for the control of agricultural surface source pollution in the watershed. Full article

The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model is extensively used globally for hydrological and water quality assessments but encounters challenges in karst regions due to their complex surface and groundwater hydrological environments. This study aims to refine the delineation of hydrological response units within the SWAT model by combining geomorphological classification and to enhance the model with an epikarst zone hydrological process module, exploring the accuracy improvement of SWAT model simulations in karst regions of Southwest China. Compared with the simulation results of the original SWAT model, we simulated runoff and nutrient concentrations in the Mudong watershed from January 2017 to December 2021 using the improved SWAT model. The simulation results indicated that the modified SWAT model responded more rapidly to precipitation events, particularly in bare karst landform, aligning more closely with the actual hydrological processes in Southwest China’s karst regions. In terms of the predictive accuracy for monthly loads of total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP), the coefficient of determination (R²) value of the modified model increased by 10.3% and 9.7%, respectively, and the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) increased by 11.3% and 9.9%, respectively. The modified SWAT model improves prediction accuracy in karst areas and holds significant practical value for guiding non-point source pollution control in agricultural watersheds. Full article

Spatial discretization in hydrological models has a strong impact on computation times. This study investigates its effect on the performance of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) applied to a French Mediterranean watershed. It quantifies how spatial discretization (the number of sub-basins and hydrological response units (HRUs)) affects the SWAT model’s performance in simulating daily streamflow and whether this effect depends on the choice of soil and land use input datasets. Sixty-eight SWAT model configurations were created using various soil and land use datasets and 17 discretization setups, evaluated from 2001 to 2021 with the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) metric. The key findings include (1) while the number of sub-basins does not impact model performance, increasing HRUs significantly degrades it (KGE loss of 0.13 to 0.26) regardless of the number of sub-basins or input datasets. (2) SWAT is found to be more sensitive to variations in soil datasets than in land use datasets, but the observed performance decline with more HRUs is attributed to the calibration process and the increased heterogeneity in soil types rather than input dataset spatial resolution. (3) Minimizing the number of HRUs may improve both the accuracy of streamflow simulations and the computational efficiency of the SWAT model. Full article