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26 pages, 9773 KiB  
Review
A Narrative Review of the Clinical Applications of Echocardiography in Right Heart Failure
by North J. Noelck, Heather A. Perry, Phyllis L. Talley and D. Elizabeth Le
J. Clin. Med. 2025, 14(15), 5505; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14155505 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 21
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Historically, echocardiographic imaging of the right heart has been challenging because its abnormal geometry is not conducive to reproducible anatomical and functional assessment. With the development of advanced echocardiographic techniques, it is now possible to complete an integrated assessment of the right [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Historically, echocardiographic imaging of the right heart has been challenging because its abnormal geometry is not conducive to reproducible anatomical and functional assessment. With the development of advanced echocardiographic techniques, it is now possible to complete an integrated assessment of the right heart that has fewer assumptions, resulting in increased accuracy and precision. Echocardiography continues to be the first-line imaging modality for diagnostic analysis and the management of acute and chronic right heart failure because of its portability, versatility, and affordability compared to cardiac computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, nuclear scintigraphy, and positron emission tomography. Virtually all echocardiographic parameters have been well-validated and have demonstrated prognostic significance. The goal of this narrative review of the echocardiographic parameters of the right heart chambers and hemodynamic alterations associated with right ventricular dysfunction is to present information that must be acquired during each examination to deliver a comprehensive assessment of the right heart and to discuss their clinical significance in right heart failure. Methods: Using a literature search in the PubMed database from 1985 to 2025 and the Cochrane database, which included but was not limited to terminology that are descriptive of right heart anatomy and function, disease states involving acute and chronic right heart failure and pulmonary hypertension, and the application of conventional and advanced echocardiographic modalities that strive to elucidate the pathophysiology of right heart failure, we reviewed randomized control trials, observational retrospective and prospective cohort studies, societal guidelines, and systematic review articles. Conclusions: In addition to the conventional 2-dimensional echocardiography and color, spectral, and tissue Doppler measurements, a contemporary echocardiographic assessment of a patient with suspected or proven right heart failure must include 3-dimensional echocardiographic-derived measurements, speckle-tracking echocardiography strain analysis, and hemodynamics parameters to not only characterize the right heart anatomy but to also determine the underlying pathophysiology of right heart failure. Complete and point-of-care echocardiography is available in virtually all clinical settings for routine care, but this imaging tool is particularly indispensable in the emergency department, intensive care units, and operating room, where it can provide an immediate assessment of right ventricular function and associated hemodynamic changes to assist with real-time management decisions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cardiac Imaging in the Diagnosis and Management of Heart Failure)
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24 pages, 9190 KiB  
Article
Modeling the Historical and Future Potential Global Distribution of the Pepper Weevil Anthonomus eugenii Using the Ensemble Approach
by Kaitong Xiao, Lei Ling, Ruixiong Deng, Beibei Huang, Qiang Wu, Yu Cao, Hang Ning and Hui Chen
Insects 2025, 16(8), 803; https://doi.org/10.3390/insects16080803 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 320
Abstract
The pepper weevil Anthonomus eugenii is a devastating pest native to Central America that can cause severe damage to over 35 pepper varieties. Global trade in peppers has significantly increased the risk of its spread and expansion. Moreover, future climate change may add [...] Read more.
The pepper weevil Anthonomus eugenii is a devastating pest native to Central America that can cause severe damage to over 35 pepper varieties. Global trade in peppers has significantly increased the risk of its spread and expansion. Moreover, future climate change may add more uncertainty to its distribution, resulting in considerable ecological and economic damage globally. Therefore, we employed an ensemble model combining Random Forests and CLIMEX to predict the potential global distribution of A. eugenii in historical and future climate scenarios. The results indicated that the maximum temperature of the warmest month is an important variable affecting global A. eugenii distribution. Under the historical climate scenario, the potential global distribution of A. eugenii is concentrated in the Midwestern and Southern United States, Central America, the La Plata Plain, parts of the Brazilian Plateau, the Mediterranean and Black Sea coasts, sub-Saharan Africa, Northern and Southern China, Southern India, Indochina Peninsula, and coastal area in Eastern Australia. Under future climate scenarios, suitable areas in the Northern Hemisphere, including North America, Europe, and China, are projected to expand toward higher latitudes. In China, the number of highly suitable areas is expected to increase significantly, mainly in the south and north. Contrastingly, suitable areas in Central America, northern South America, the Brazilian Plateau, India, and the Indochina Peninsula will become less suitable. The total land area suitable for A. eugenii under historical and future low- and high-emission climate scenarios accounted for 73.12, 66.82, and 75.97% of the global land area (except for Antarctica), respectively. The high-suitability areas identified by both models decreased by 19.05 and 35.02% under low- and high-emission scenarios, respectively. Building on these findings, we inferred the future expansion trends of A. eugenii globally. Furthermore, we provide early warning of A. eugenii invasion and a scientific basis for its spread and outbreak, facilitating the development of effective quarantine and control measures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Insect Ecology, Diversity and Conservation)
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27 pages, 5026 KiB  
Review
China’s Carbon Emissions Trading Market: Current Situation, Impact Assessment, Challenges, and Suggestions
by Qidi Wang, Jinyan Zhan, Hailin Zhang, Yuhan Cao, Zheng Yang, Quanlong Wu and Ali Raza Otho
Land 2025, 14(8), 1582; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081582 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 173
Abstract
As the world’s largest developing and carbon-emitting country, China is accelerating its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction process, and it is of vital importance in achieving the goals set out in the Paris Agreement. This paper examines the historical development and current operation [...] Read more.
As the world’s largest developing and carbon-emitting country, China is accelerating its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction process, and it is of vital importance in achieving the goals set out in the Paris Agreement. This paper examines the historical development and current operation of China’s carbon emissions trading market (CETM). The current progress of research on the implementation of carbon emissions trading policy (CETP) is described in four dimensions: environment, economy, innovation, and society. The results show that CETP generates clear environmental and social benefits but exhibits mixed economic and innovation effects. Furthermore, this paper analyses the challenges of China’s carbon market, including the green paradox, the low carbon price, the imperfections in cap setting and allocation of allowances, the small scope of coverage, and the weakness of the legal supervision system. Ultimately, this paper proposes recommendations for fostering China’s CETM with the anticipation of offering a comprehensive outlook for future research. Full article
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24 pages, 5968 KiB  
Article
Life Cycle Assessment of a Digital Tool for Reducing Environmental Burdens in the European Milk Supply Chain
by Yuan Zhang, Junzhang Wu, Haida Wasim, Doris Yicun Wu, Filippo Zuliani and Alessandro Manzardo
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8506; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158506 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 119
Abstract
Food loss and waste from the European Union’s dairy supply chain, particularly in the management of fresh milk, imposes significant environmental burdens. This study demonstrates that implementing Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)-enabled digital decision-support tools can substantially reduce these impacts across the region. A [...] Read more.
Food loss and waste from the European Union’s dairy supply chain, particularly in the management of fresh milk, imposes significant environmental burdens. This study demonstrates that implementing Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)-enabled digital decision-support tools can substantially reduce these impacts across the region. A cradle-to-grave life cycle assessment (LCA) was used to quantify both the additional environmental burdens from RFID (tag production, usage, and disposal) and the avoided burdens due to reduced milk losses in the farm, processing, and distribution stages. Within the EU’s fresh milk supply chain, the implementation of digital tools could result in annual net reductions of up to 80,000 tonnes of CO2-equivalent greenhouse gas emissions, 81,083 tonnes of PM2.5-equivalent particulate matter, 84,326 tonnes of land use–related carbon deficit, and 80,000 cubic meters of freshwater-equivalent consumption. Spatial analysis indicates that regions with historically high spoilage rates, particularly in Southern and Eastern Europe, see the greatest benefits from RFID enabled digital-decision support tools. These environmental savings are most pronounced during the peak months of milk production. Overall, the study demonstrates that despite the environmental footprint of RFID systems, their integration into the EU’S dairy supply chain enhances transparency, reduces waste, and improves resource efficiency—supporting their strategic value. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Artificial Intelligence and Numerical Simulation in Food Engineering)
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24 pages, 3832 KiB  
Article
Temperature and Precipitation Extremes Under SSP Emission Scenarios with GISS-E2.1 Model
by Larissa S. Nazarenko, Nickolai L. Tausnev and Maxwell T. Elling
Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 920; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080920 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 267
Abstract
Atmospheric warming results in increase in temperatures for the mean, the coldest, and the hottest day of the year, season, or month. Global warming leads to a large increase in the atmospheric water vapor content and to changes in the hydrological cycle, which [...] Read more.
Atmospheric warming results in increase in temperatures for the mean, the coldest, and the hottest day of the year, season, or month. Global warming leads to a large increase in the atmospheric water vapor content and to changes in the hydrological cycle, which include an intensification of precipitation extremes. Using the GISS-E2.1 climate model, we present the future changes in the coldest and hottest daily temperatures as well as in extreme precipitation indices (under four main Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)). The increase in the wet-day precipitation ranges between 6% and 15% per 1 °C global surface temperature warming. Scaling of the 95th percentile versus the total precipitation showed that the sensitivity for the extreme precipitation to the warming is about 10 times stronger than that for the mean total precipitation. For six precipitation extreme indices (Total Precipitation, R95p, RX5day, R10mm, SDII, and CDD), the histograms of probability density functions become flatter, with reduced peaks and increased spread for the global mean compared to the historical period of 1850–2014. The mean values shift to the right end (toward larger precipitation and intensity). The higher the GHG emission of the SSP scenario, the more significant the increase in the index change. We found an intensification of precipitation over the globe but large uncertainties remained regionally and at different scales, especially for extremes. Over land, there is a strong increase in precipitation for the wettest day in all seasons over the mid and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. There is an enlargement of the drying patterns in the subtropics including over large regions around Mediterranean, southern Africa, and western Eurasia. For the continental averages, the reduction in total precipitation was found for South America, Europe, Africa, and Australia, and there is an increase in total precipitation over North America, Asia, and the continental Russian Arctic. Over the continental Russian Arctic, there is an increase in all precipitation extremes and a consistent decrease in CDD for all SSP scenarios, with the maximum increase of more than 90% for R95p and R10 mm observed under SSP5–8.5. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)
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25 pages, 10240 KiB  
Article
Present and Future Energy Potential of Run-of-River Hydropower in Mainland Southeast Asia: Balancing Climate Change and Environmental Sustainability
by Saman Maroufpoor and Xiaosheng Qin
Water 2025, 17(15), 2256; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152256 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 343
Abstract
Southeast Asia relies heavily on hydropower from dams and reservoir projects, but this dependence comes at the cost of ecological damage and increased vulnerability to extreme events. This dilemma necessitates a choice between continued dam development and adopting alternative renewable options. Concerns over [...] Read more.
Southeast Asia relies heavily on hydropower from dams and reservoir projects, but this dependence comes at the cost of ecological damage and increased vulnerability to extreme events. This dilemma necessitates a choice between continued dam development and adopting alternative renewable options. Concerns over these environmental impacts have already led to halts in dam construction across the region. This study assesses the potential of run-of-river hydropower plants (RHPs) across 199 hydrometric stations in Mainland Southeast Asia (MSEA). The assessment utilizes power duration curves for the historical period and projections from the HBV hydrological model, which is driven by an ensemble of 31 climate models for future scenarios. Energy production was analyzed at four levels (minimum, maximum, balanced, and optimal) for both historical and future periods under varying Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). To promote sustainable development, environmental flow constraints and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions were evaluated for both historical and projected periods. The results indicate that the aggregate energy production potential during the historical period ranges from 111.15 to 229.62 MW (Malaysia), 582.78 to 3615.36 MW (Myanmar), 555.47 to 3142.46 MW (Thailand), 1067.05 to 6401.25 MW (Laos), 28.07 to 189.77 MW (Vietnam), and 566.13 to 2803.75 MW (Cambodia). The impact of climate change on power production varies significantly across countries, depending on the level and scenarios. At the optimal level, an average production change of −9.2–5.9% is projected for the near future, increasing to 15.3–19% in the far future. Additionally, RHP development in MSEA is estimated to avoid 32.5 Mt of CO2 emissions at the optimal level. The analysis further shows avoidance change of 8.3–25.3% and −8.6–25.3% under SSP245 and SSP585, respectively. Full article
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11 pages, 270 KiB  
Article
Comparison of Contemporary Grazing Cattle and Bison Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the Southern Great Plains
by Maria De Bernardi, Carlee M. Salisbury, Haley E. Larson, Matthew R. Beck and Logan R. Thompson
Ruminants 2025, 5(3), 34; https://doi.org/10.3390/ruminants5030034 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 321
Abstract
The objective of this analysis was to compare the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from contemporary grazing cattle production with bison grazing, both modern and historical. The data sets used in this analysis were derived from existing research and conservation properties located outside of [...] Read more.
The objective of this analysis was to compare the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from contemporary grazing cattle production with bison grazing, both modern and historical. The data sets used in this analysis were derived from existing research and conservation properties located outside of Manhattan, KS (USA), which are home to stocker cattle, cow–calf production (CCS), and grazing bison. For stocker cattle, 10 years of animal production data (2007–2016) from season-long stocking (SLS, grazing 156 d) and intensive early stocking systems (IES; 76 grazing d and 2× stocking density) were used for GHG calculations. Enteric CH4, manure CH4, and direct nitrous oxide emissions were estimated using the IPCC tier 2 methodology. Historic bison (HGB) enteric CH4 estimates were calculated using a stocking density of 0.15 ha/animal and assuming that only 13% of grassland was used by bison each year. Within contemporary systems, IES had the lowest emissions (463.3 kg CO2-eq./ha/yr), while SLS, CCS, and MGB had the highest estimates (494.7, 493.9, and 595.9 kg CO2-eq./ha/yr, respectively). HGB had the lowest estimated annual emissions at 295.7 kg CO2-eq./ha/yr. These results imply that the historic grazing baseline of this grassland system is lower but similar to that of contemporary grazing cattle in the Great Plains region. Full article
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25 pages, 5001 KiB  
Article
Spatio-Temporal Variation in Solar Irradiance in the Mediterranean Region: A Deep Learning Approach
by Buket İşler, Uğur Şener, Ahmet Tokgözlü, Zafer Aslan and Rene Heise
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6696; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156696 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 348
Abstract
In response to the global imperative of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the optimisation of renewable energy systems under regionally favourable conditions has become increasingly essential. Solar irradiance forecasting plays a pivotal role in enhancing energy planning, grid reliability, and long-term sustainability. However, in [...] Read more.
In response to the global imperative of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the optimisation of renewable energy systems under regionally favourable conditions has become increasingly essential. Solar irradiance forecasting plays a pivotal role in enhancing energy planning, grid reliability, and long-term sustainability. However, in the context of Turkey, existing studies on solar radiation forecasting often rely on traditional statistical approaches and are limited to single-site analyses, with insufficient attention to regional diversity and deep learning-based modelling. To address this gap, the present study focuses on Turkey’s Mediterranean region, characterised by high solar potential and diverse climatic conditions and strategically relevant to national clean energy targets. Historical data from 2020 to 2023 were used to forecast solar irradiance patterns up to 2026. Five representative locations—Adana, Isparta, Fethiye, Ulukışla, and Yüreğir—were selected to capture spatial and temporal variability across inland, coastal, and high-altitude zones. Advanced deep learning models, including artificial neural networks (ANN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), were developed and evaluated using standard performance metrics. Among these, BiLSTM achieved the highest accuracy, with a correlation coefficient of R = 0.95, RMSE = 0.22, and MAPE = 5.4% in Fethiye, followed by strong performance in Yüreğir (R = 0.90, RMSE = 0.12, MAPE = 7.2%). These results demonstrate BiLSTM’s superior capacity to model temporal dependencies and regional variability in solar radiation. The findings contribute to the development of location-specific forecasting frameworks and offer valuable insights for renewable energy planning and grid integration in solar-rich environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Sustainability)
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29 pages, 6058 KiB  
Article
Machine Learning-Based Carbon Compliance Forecasting and Energy Performance Assessment in Commercial Buildings
by Aditya Ramnarayan, Felipe de Castro, Andres Sarmiento and Michael Ohadi
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3906; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153906 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 246
Abstract
Owing to the need for continuous improvement in building energy performance standards (BEPSs), facilities must adhere to benchmark performances in their quest to achieve net-zero performance. This research explores machine learning models that leverage historical energy data from a cluster of buildings, along [...] Read more.
Owing to the need for continuous improvement in building energy performance standards (BEPSs), facilities must adhere to benchmark performances in their quest to achieve net-zero performance. This research explores machine learning models that leverage historical energy data from a cluster of buildings, along with relevant ambient weather data and building characteristics, with the objective of predicting the buildings’ energy performance through the year 2040. Using the forecasted emission results, the portfolio of buildings is analyzed for the incurred carbon non-compliance fees based on their on-site fossil fuel CO2e emissions to assess and pinpoint facilities with poor energy performance that need to be prioritized for decarbonization. The forecasts from the machine learning algorithms predicted that the portfolio of buildings would incur an annual average penalty of $31.7 million ($1.09/sq. ft.) and ~$348.7 million ($12.03/sq. ft.) over 11 years. To comply with these regulations, the building portfolio would need to reduce on-site fossil fuel CO2e emissions by an average of 58,246 metric tons (22.10 kg/sq. ft.) annually, totaling 640,708 metric tons (22.10 kg/sq. ft.) over a period of 11 years. This study demonstrates the potential for robust machine learning models to generate accurate forecasts to evaluate carbon compliance and guide prompt action in decarbonizing the built environment. Full article
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26 pages, 5713 KiB  
Article
Enhancing the Energy Performance of Historic Buildings Using Heritage Building Information Modelling: A Case Study
by Mina Kakouei, Monty Sutrisna, Eziaku Rasheed and Zhenan Feng
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6655; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146655 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 655
Abstract
Heritage building conservation plays a special role in addressing modern sustainability challenges by preserving the cultural identity, retrofitting, restoring, and renovating these structures to improve energy performance, which is crucial for revitalisation. This research aims to use Heritage Building Information Modelling (HBIM) to [...] Read more.
Heritage building conservation plays a special role in addressing modern sustainability challenges by preserving the cultural identity, retrofitting, restoring, and renovating these structures to improve energy performance, which is crucial for revitalisation. This research aims to use Heritage Building Information Modelling (HBIM) to increase energy efficiency and environmental sustainability in historic buildings. Retrofitting heritage buildings presents unique challenges and opportunities to simultaneously reduce energy consumption and carbon emissions while maintaining historical integrity. Traditional approaches are often insufficient to meet heritage structures’ energy needs. Modern technologies such as information building modelling and energy simulations can offer solutions. HBIM is a vigorous digital framework that facilitates interdisciplinary collaboration and offers detailed insights into building restoration and energy modelling. HBIM supports the integration of thermal and energy efficiency measures while maintaining the authenticity of heritage architecture by creating a comprehensive database. Using a case study heritage building, this research demonstrates how retrofitting the different aspects of heritage buildings can improve energy performance. Evaluating the preservation of heritage buildings’ cultural and architectural values and the effectiveness of using HBIM to model energy performance offers a viable framework for sustainable retrofitting of heritage buildings. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Tourism, Culture, and Heritage)
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18 pages, 1067 KiB  
Article
Legacy Datasets and Their Impacts: Analysing Ecoinvent’s Influence on Wool and Polyester LCA Outcomes
by Mitali Nautiyal, Donna Cleveland, Amabel Hunting and Amanda Smith
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6513; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146513 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 492
Abstract
Accurate and transparent Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) datasets are essential for reliable sustainability evaluations, particularly in the complex and varied textile industry. Historically, the ecoinvent database has been a foundational source for LCA studies in the textile sector. This paper critically examines the [...] Read more.
Accurate and transparent Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) datasets are essential for reliable sustainability evaluations, particularly in the complex and varied textile industry. Historically, the ecoinvent database has been a foundational source for LCA studies in the textile sector. This paper critically examines the limitations of the ecoinvent v3.7 dataset, which is widely used in academic research, industry tools, and policymaking. While newer versions, such as v3.11, released in 2024, have addressed many issues, including enhanced geographical representation and updated emission profiles for chemicals, this study emphasises the historical implications of earlier data versions. By comparing the cradle-to-gate Global Warming Potential (GWP) of wool and polyester jumpers, this research reveals how aggregated and outdated data underestimated the polyester’s environmental impact while overestimating that of wool. These discrepancies have shaped fibre certification, eco-labelling, and consumer perceptions for years. Understanding the legacy of these datasets is vital for re-evaluating past LCA-based decisions and guiding future assessments toward greater regional relevance and transparency. Full article
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28 pages, 15254 KiB  
Article
Detailed Forecast for the Development of Electric Trucks and Tractor Units and Their Power Demand in Hamburg by 2050
by Edvard Avdevičius, Amra Jahic and Detlef Schulz
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3719; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143719 - 14 Jul 2025
Viewed by 317
Abstract
The global urgency to mitigate climate change by reducing transport-related emissions drives the accelerated electrification of road freight transport. This paper presents a comprehensive meta-study forecasting the development and corresponding power demand of electric trucks and tractor units in Hamburg up to 2050, [...] Read more.
The global urgency to mitigate climate change by reducing transport-related emissions drives the accelerated electrification of road freight transport. This paper presents a comprehensive meta-study forecasting the development and corresponding power demand of electric trucks and tractor units in Hamburg up to 2050, emphasizing the shift from conventional to electric vehicles. Utilizing historical registration data and existing commercial and institutional reports from 2007 to 2024, the analysis estimates future distributions of electric heavy-duty vehicles across Hamburg’s 103 city quarters. Distinct approaches are evaluated to explore potential heavy-duty vehicle distribution in the city, employing Mixed-Integer Linear Programming to quantify and minimize distribution uncertainties. Power demand forecasts at this detailed geographical level enable effective infrastructure planning and strategy development. The findings serve as a foundation for Hamburg’s transition to electric heavy-duty vehicles, ensuring a sustainable, efficient, and reliable energy supply aligned with the city’s growing electrification requirements. Full article
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19 pages, 2636 KiB  
Article
Electric Vehicle Sales Forecast for the UK: Integrating Machine Learning, Time Series Models, and Global Trends
by Shima Veysi, Mohammad Moshfeghi, Amir Sadrfaridpour and Peiman Emamy
Algorithms 2025, 18(7), 430; https://doi.org/10.3390/a18070430 - 14 Jul 2025
Viewed by 364
Abstract
This study presents a comprehensive forecasting approach to evaluate the future of electric vehicle (EV) adoption in the United Kingdom through 2035. Using three complementary models—SARIMAX, Prophet with regressors, and XGBoost—the analysis balances statistical robustness, policy sensitivity, and interpretability. Historical data from 2015 [...] Read more.
This study presents a comprehensive forecasting approach to evaluate the future of electric vehicle (EV) adoption in the United Kingdom through 2035. Using three complementary models—SARIMAX, Prophet with regressors, and XGBoost—the analysis balances statistical robustness, policy sensitivity, and interpretability. Historical data from 2015 to 2024 was used to train the models, incorporating key drivers such as battery prices, GDP growth, public charging infrastructure, and government policy targets. XGBoost demonstrated the highest historical accuracy, making it a strong explanatory tool, particularly for assessing variable importance. However, due to its limitations in extrapolation, it was not used for long-term forecasting. Instead, Prophet and SARIMAX were employed to project EV sales under baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic policy scenarios. The results suggest that the UK could achieve between 2,964,000 and 3,188,000 EV sales by 2035 under baseline assumptions. Scenario analysis revealed high sensitivity to infrastructure growth and policy enforcement, with potential shortfalls of up to 500,000 vehicles in pessimistic scenarios. These findings highlight the importance of sustained government commitment and investment in EV infrastructure and supply chains. By combining machine learning diagnostics with transparent forecasting models, the study offers actionable insights for policymakers, investors, and stakeholders navigating the UK’s zero-emission transition. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Feature Papers in Evolutionary Algorithms and Machine Learning)
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28 pages, 18279 KiB  
Article
From the Past to the Future: Unveiling the Impact of Extreme Climate on Vegetation Dynamics in Northern China Through Historical Trends and Future Projections
by Yuxuan Zhang, Xiaojun Yao, Juan Zhang and Qin Ma
Land 2025, 14(7), 1456; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071456 - 13 Jul 2025
Viewed by 292
Abstract
Over the past few decades, occurrences of extreme climatic events have escalated significantly, with severe repercussions for global ecosystems and socio-economics. northern China (NC), characterized by its complex topography and diverse climatic conditions, represents a typical ecologically vulnerable region where vegetation is highly [...] Read more.
Over the past few decades, occurrences of extreme climatic events have escalated significantly, with severe repercussions for global ecosystems and socio-economics. northern China (NC), characterized by its complex topography and diverse climatic conditions, represents a typical ecologically vulnerable region where vegetation is highly sensitive to climate change. Therefore, monitoring vegetation dynamics and analyzing the influence of extreme climatic events on vegetation are crucial for ecological conservation efforts in NC. Based on extreme climate indicators and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), this study employed trend analysis, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, all subsets regression analysis, and random forest to quantitatively investigate the spatiotemporal variations in historical and projected future NDVI trends in NC, as well as their responses to extreme climatic conditions. The results indicate that from 1982 to 2018, the NDVI in NC generally exhibited a recovery trend, with an average growth rate of 0.003/a and a short-term variation cycle of approximately 3 years. Vegetation restoration across most areas was primarily driven by short-term high temperatures and long-term precipitation patterns. Future projections under different emission scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585) suggest that extreme climate change will continue to follow historical trends. However, increased radiative forcing is expected to constrain both the rate of vegetation growth and its spatial expansion. These findings provide a scientific basis for mitigating the impacts of climate anomalies and improving ecological quality in NC. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Vegetation Cover Changes Monitoring Using Remote Sensing Data)
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21 pages, 3698 KiB  
Article
Forecasting Climate Change Impacts on Water Security Using HEC-HMS: A Case Study of Angat Dam in the Philippines
by Kevin Paolo V. Robles and Cris Edward F. Monjardin
Water 2025, 17(14), 2085; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17142085 - 12 Jul 2025
Viewed by 792
Abstract
The Angat Reservoir serves as a major water source for Metro Manila, providing most of the region’s domestic, agricultural, and hydropower needs. However, its dependence on rainfall makes it sensitive to climate variability and future climate change. This study assesses potential long-term impacts [...] Read more.
The Angat Reservoir serves as a major water source for Metro Manila, providing most of the region’s domestic, agricultural, and hydropower needs. However, its dependence on rainfall makes it sensitive to climate variability and future climate change. This study assesses potential long-term impacts of climate change on water availability in the Angat watershed using the Hydrologic Engineering Center–Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS). Historical rainfall data from 1994 to 2023 and projections under both RCP4.5 (moderate emissions) and RCP8.5 (high emissions) scenarios were analyzed to simulate future hydrologic responses. Results indicate projected reductions in wet-season rainfall and corresponding outflows, with declines of up to 18% under the high-emission scenario. Increased variability during dry-season flows suggests heightened risks of water scarcity. While these projections highlight possible changes in the watershed’s hydrologic regime, the study acknowledges limitations, including assumptions in rainfall downscaling and the absence of direct streamflow observations for model calibration. Overall, the findings underscore the need for further investigation and planning to manage potential climate-related impacts on water resources in Metro Manila. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Hydroclimate Extremes: Causes, Impacts, and Mitigation Plans)
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