Search Results (156)

Regional disparities pose persistent challenges for balanced and sustainable development in Türkiye, where provinces exhibit prominently heterogeneous socioeconomic structures, capacities, and investment needs. This study proposes an integrated, data-driven framework for allocating public investments across provinces by jointly addressing development efficiency and spatial equity. A dataset of 109 indicators for 81 provinces was compiled and standardized, and Principal Component Analysis, followed by multiple clustering algorithms (K-Means, Gaussian Mixture Model, Fuzzy C-Means), was used to derive robust provincial development profiles. National policy priorities were quantified through a document-based assessment of the 12th Development Plan (2024–2028), enabling the construction of nine strategic investment categories aligned with national objectives. These components were incorporated into a multi-objective optimization model formulated using the ε-constraint method, where total utility is maximized subject to an adjustable equity constraint based on a Gini-like parameter. Results reveal a clear efficiency–equity trade-off: low inequality tolerance yields uniform but low-return allocations, whereas relaxed equity constraints amplify concentration in high-capacity metropolitan provinces. Intermediate equity levels (G = 0.3–0.5) generate the most balanced outcomes, supporting both development potential and spatial cohesion. The proposed framework offers a transparent, reproducible decision support tool for more equitable and strategy-aligned public investment planning in Türkiye. Full article

The northwestern Hubei region, primarily encompassing Shiyan City and Yunxi County in Hubei Province, constitutes a crucial component of the South Qinling Tectonic Belt. The Neoproterozoic Wudang Group in the study area exhibits Cu element enrichment, with ore deposit formation closely associated with stratigraphic and structural features. This study evaluates copper mineral resource distribution and metallogenic potential in northwestern Hubei by employing factor analysis, concentration-area fractal modeling, and the fuzzy weights-of-evidence method based on stream sediment data, aiming to construct a metallogenic potential model. Factor analysis was applied to process 2002 stream sediment samples of 32 elements to identify principal factors related to copper mineralization. Inverse distance interpolation was used to generate element distribution maps of principal factors, which were integrated with geological and structural data to establish a model using the fuzzy weights of evidence method. Prediction results indicate that most known copper deposits are located within posterior favourability ranges of 0.0027–0.272, constrained by stratigraphic and fault controls. The central northwestern Hubei region is identified as a priority target for future copper exploration. This research provides methodological references for conducting mineral resource potential assessments in north-western Hubei using innovative evaluation approaches. Full article

The coffee leaf miner (Leucoptera coffeella) is a major pest of coffee crops and can cause significant economic losses. Early monitoring is essential to support decision-making for its control. This study aimed to evaluate the potential of fuzzy logic for detecting leaf miner infestation using a 2.5-year historical series of Sentinel-2A satellite images processed on the Google Earth Engine platform. Field monitoring of coffee leaf miner infestation was carried out at the EPAMIG Experimental Field, located in São Sebastião do Paraíso, Minas Gerais, Brazil. The period evaluated was from September 2022 to April 2025. Vegetation indices were calculated using the Google Earth Engine platform, and a database was built with eight indices (NDVI, EVI, GNDVI, SR, IPVI, NDMI, MCARI, and CLMI) along with coffee leaf miner infestation data. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied to reduce data dimensionality and identify the most relevant indices for distinguishing infested from healthy plants, explaining 90.9% of the total variance in the first two components (PC1 and PC2). The indices CLMI, IPVI, GNDVI, and MCARI showed the greatest contribution to class separation. A fuzzy inference model was implemented based on the mean index values and validated through performance metrics. The results indicated an overall accuracy of 79.1%, a sensitivity (recall) of 86.6%, a specificity of 66.6%, an F1-score of 0.838, a Kappa coefficient of 0.545, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.766. These findings confirm the potential of integrating orbital spectral data via Google Earth Engine with fuzzy logic analysis as an efficient tool, contributing to the adoption of more sustainable monitoring practices in coffee farming. The fuzzy logic system received as input the spectral values derived from Sentinel-2A imagery, specifically the indices identified as most relevant by the PCA (CLMI, IPVI, GNDVI, and MCARI). These indices were computed and integrated into the inference model through processing routines developed in the Google Earth Engine platform, enabling a direct connection between satellite-derived spectral patterns and the detection of coffee leaf miner infestation. Full article

Classical time series methods are widely employed to analyze linear time series with a limited number of observations; however, their effectiveness relies on several strict assumptions. In contrast, artificial neural networks are particularly suitable for forecasting problems due to their data-driven nature and ability to address both linear and nonlinear challenges. Furthermore, recurrent neural networks feed the output back into the network as input, utilizing this feedback mechanism to enrich the information provided to the model. This study proposes a novel recurrent hybrid intuitionistic forecasting method utilizing a modified pi–sigma neural network, principal component analysis (PCA), and simple exponential smoothing (SES). In the proposed framework, lagged time series variables and principal components derived from the membership and non-membership values of an intuitionistic fuzzy clustering method are used as inputs. A modified particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is employed to train this new hybrid network. By integrating PCA, modified pi–sigma neural networks (MPS-ANNs), and SES within a recurrent hybrid structure, the model simultaneously captures linear and nonlinear dynamics, thereby enhancing forecasting accuracy and stability. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated using diverse financial and environmental datasets, including CMC-Open (I–IV), NYC water consumption, OECD freshwater use, and ROW series. Comparative results indicate that the proposed method achieves superior accuracy and stability compared to other fuzzy-based approaches. Full article

Implementing zero-carbon buildings (ZCBs) can serve as a promising approach to reducing unsustainable emissions and decreasing the effects of climate change on the Earth. However, many countries face technological barriers that hinder the successful implementation of ZCBs. To end this, this study develops a technological index for implementing ZCBs and provides strategies with actionable examples to advance the implementation. Therefore, the study identified 17 technological barriers that hinder the implementation of ZCBs from previous studies, which were then used to create a survey for distribution to construction professionals through an online platform. A survey of 272 usable responses was collected and analyzed via principal component analysis, fuzzy synthetic evaluation, and sensitivity assessment. These analysis techniques were harnessed to develop the technological index of 3.50, which is inclined to be highly influenced. To reduce this index, the study proposes an innovative strategic roadmap based on insights from the literature, providing a practical guide for implementing strategies with actionable examples. The developed index, in conjunction with an innovative strategic roadmap, will help researchers optimize the current knowledge. It will also guide practitioners and policymakers to enable sustainable decisions in building construction projects. Full article

The parameter optimization of marine hydrodynamic models currently relies predominantly on expert empirical knowledge, but the quantitative indicators and weighting mechanisms for rapid calibration remain unclear due to inherent model uncertainties and complexities. This study addresses these challenges through expert questionnaires that collect fuzzy evaluations of calibration criteria, developing an integrated methodology combining the theory of axiomatic fuzzy set (AFS) with principal component analysis (PCA). Numerical case studies quantify calibration indicator weights and assess critical parameter impacts, revealing that bathymetry and roughness coefficients predominantly govern simulation accuracy. Elevated roughness conditions demonstrate two regimes: (1) at 1–2 × baseline roughness, strong positive correlations (with a coefficient of determination R² increased by up to 0.568 compared to baseline) confirm effective model-data matching for tidal levels/currents; (2) beyond 2 × baseline roughness, progressive correlation decay accompanies increasing coefficients, indicating amplified simulation–measurement discrepancies. Notably, under reduced roughness conditions, high accuracy persists during spring/mid-tide phases but significantly diminishes during neap tides, demonstrating enhanced roughness sensitivity in low-tidal energy regimes. Full article

The quality of groundwater, a crucial freshwater resource in cold regions, directly affects human health. This study used groundwater quality monitoring data collected in the central Songnen Plain in 2014 and 2022 as a case study. The improved DRASTICL model was used to assess the vulnerability index, while water quality indicators were selected using a random forest algorithm and combined with the entropy-weighted groundwater quality index (E-GQI) approach to realize water quality assessment. Furthermore, self-organizing maps (SOM) were used for pollutant source analysis. Finally, the study identified the synergistic migration mechanism of NH₄⁺ and Cl⁻, as well as the activation trend of As in reducing environments. The uncertainty inherent to health risk assessment was considered by developing a kernel density estimation–trapezoidal fuzzy number–Monte Carlo simulation (KDE-TFN-MCSS) model that reduced the distribution mis-specification risks and high-risk misjudgment rates associated with conventional assessment methods. The results indicated that: (1) The water chemistry type in the study area was predominantly HCO₃⁻–Ca²⁺ with moderately to weakly alkaline water, and the primary and nitrogen pollution indicators were elevated, with the average NH₄⁺ concentration significantly increasing from 0.06 mg/L in 2014 to 1.26 mg/L in 2022, exceeding the Class III limit of 1.0 mg/L. (2) The groundwater quality in the central Songnen Plain was poor in 2014, comprising predominantly Classes IV and V; by 2022, it comprised mostly Classes I–IV following a banded distribution, but declined in some central and northern areas. (3) The results of the SOM analysis revealed that the principal hardness component shifted from Ca²⁺ in 2014 to Ca²⁺–Mg²⁺ synergy in 2022. Local high values of As and NH₄⁺ were determined to reflect geogenic origin and diffuse agricultural pollution, whereas the Cl⁻ distribution reflected the influence of de-icing agents and urbanization. (4) Through drinking water exposure, a deterministic evaluation conducted using the conventional four-step method indicated that the non-carcinogenic risk (HI) in the central and eastern areas significantly exceeded the threshold (HI > 1) in 2014, with the high-HI area expanding westward to the central and western regions in 2022; local areas in the north also exhibited carcinogenic risk (CR) values exceeding the threshold (CR > 0.0001). The results of a probabilistic evaluation conducted using the proposed simulation model indicated that, except for children’s CR in 2022, both HI and CR exceeded acceptable thresholds with 95% probability. Therefore, the proposed assessment method can provide a basis for improved groundwater pollution zoning and control decisions in cold regions. Full article

The result of accelerated development and technological progress is manifested through numerous changes in the labor market, primarily concerning the competencies of future employees. Many of those competencies have symmetrical character. The determinants that may influence the development of specific competencies are variable and dynamic, yet they share the characteristic of transcending temporal and spatial boundaries. In this paper we propose the use of a combination of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) to rank 21st-century competencies that are developed independently of the formal educational process. Ability to organize and plan, appreciation of diversity and multiculturalism, and ability to solve problems appeared to be the highest-ranked competencies. The development of key competencies is symmetrical to the skills for the labor market. Also, the development of key competencies is symmetrical to the right selection of the quality of media content. The paper proves that the development of key competencies is symmetrical to the level of education of both parents. One of the key findings is that participants with higher levels of media literacy express more readiness for the contemporary labor market. Moreover, the family, particularly parents, exerts a highly significant positive influence on the development of 21st-century competencies. Parents with higher levels of education, in particular, provide a stimulating environment for learning, foster critical thinking, and encourage the exploration of diverse domains of knowledge. Full article

The Mediterranean Sea, a biodiversity hotspot with over 8500 marine species, faces escalating threats from climate change, pollution, overfishing, and habitat degradation. This study introduces a novel Decision Support System (DSS) integrating a modified PESTEL framework (BESTEL: Biological, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, Legal) with Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) to assess and mitigate risks to marine species. Leveraging expert knowledge from 34 specialists, we identified 30 key factors influencing extinction risk, analyzed through Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to reduce dimensionality. The resulting FCM model simulated four policy scenarios, evaluating the impacts of climate change and dam proliferation on biodiversity. Findings reveal that mitigating both drivers significantly reduces extinction risk (−0.14), while unchecked climate change offsets gain from dam removal. The DSS highlights the dominance of climate stressors, with pollution and temperature shifts (−0.45, −0.42) as critical variables. Biological traits like reproductive frequency and longevity respond strongly to environmental improvements. This integrative approach bridges qualitative expertise and quantitative modeling, offering actionable insights for conservation planning. The study underscores the need for holistic strategies combining climate mitigation and habitat restoration to safeguard Mediterranean marine ecosystems. The FCM-based DSS provides a scalable tool for policymakers to prioritize interventions and assess trade-offs in complex socio-ecological systems. Full article

Rural areas offer unique contexts for work–life balance (WLB) development due to distinct working conditions and employment structures. Employees who have access to flexible work arrangements, non-material bonuses, and peaceful workplaces are more productive (lower absenteeism, greater commitment). The aim of the study was to determine the aspects of support and types of WLB among employees from rural areas. Two analyses were conducted: PCA (principal component analysis) for the entire sample, and a fuzzy c-means cluster analysis for wage employees. Based on PCA, three aspects of WLB support were identified: leave, work, and work hygiene (regeneration). The use of emergency and family leave dominated practices supporting WLB among employees in rural areas. The respondents did not attach much importance to social benefits improving work hygiene; moreover, the work hygiene aspect was not applied in parallel with other aspects of WLB support (leave, work). As a result of clustering the respondents’ answers, four employee types were identified based on WLB assessment, demographic characteristics, and work-related factors. Clustering revealed a clear correlation between WLB assessment and employee age and gender. The highest scores in terms of the quality of work–life balance were recorded among middle-aged men (type 4). Younger people, especially women (type 1), rated their WLB as moderately good. Regardless of age and gender, as stress levels increased and personal quality of life declined, thoughts about changing jobs intensified. Employee well-being significantly influences job retention intentions among rural workers. This study uniquely integrates multiple theoretical frameworks and employs principal component analysis and fuzzy c-means clustering to explore work–life balance among rural employees, a group seldom studied. By focusing on rural contexts and offering systemic, multi-domain insights, the findings advance WLB theory and practice and provide recommendations for employers and policymakers. Full article

Coalbed methane (CBM) resources hold broad development prospects in China, with deep CBM reservoirs increasingly becoming a focal point for exploration. However, compared to shallow CBM, the factors influencing the productivity of deep CBM are more complex and less studied. This study integrates statistical methods—grey correlation analysis and principal component analysis—with the machine learning approach of random forests, and further employs a fuzzy mathematics-based comprehensive evaluation method to propose a systematic evaluation framework for identifying key controlling factors of productivity. Using field data from the No. 8+9 coal seam in the eastern margin of the Ordos Basin, the results indicate that the primary geological factors affecting cumulative gas production are gas content and coal seam thickness, while the key engineering factors are proppant intensity and proppant volume. These findings align with practical field experience and provide a rational basis for the design of fracturing strategies in deep CBM reservoirs. Full article

Soil salinization, particularly under irrigation in the arid regions of North Africa, represents a major constraint to sustainable agricultural development. This study investigates the Chott El Hodna region in Algeria, a Ramsar-classified wetland severely affected by salinization. Two representative soil profiles (P1 and P2) were initially characterized, revealing chemical properties dominated by calcium-chloride and calcium-sulfate types. Based on these findings, 26 additional profiles with moderate levels of gypsum, limestone, and soluble salts were analyzed. The limited number of profiles reflects the environmental homogeneity of the area, allowing the study site to be considered a pilot zone. Fuzzy logic was employed to classify soils, identify intergrade soils, and determine their degree of membership to Solonchaks within the Calcisol class, addressing the lack of precision in conventional classifications. Results indicate that 50% of soils are Solonchaks, 46.15% are Calcisols, and 3.85% are intergrades. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) revealed that soil solution chemistry is mainly governed by the dissolution of evaporite minerals (gypsum, halite, anhydrite) and the precipitation of carbonate phases (calcite, aragonite, dolomite). Statistical analyses using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) demonstrated that ANN achieved superior predictive performance for the Solonchak index (Is), with R² = 0.70 and RMSE = 0.17, compared with R² = 0.41 for MLR. This study proposes a robust framework combining fuzzy logic and ANN to improve the classification of saline wetland soils, particularly by identifying intergrade soils, thus providing a more precise numerical classification than conventional approaches. Full article

Water quality is crucial to the economy and ecology because a healthy aquatic eco-system supports human survival and biodiversity. We have developed the Neuro-Adapt Fuzzy Strategist (NAFS) to improve water quality index (WQI) forecasting accuracy. The objective of the developed model is to achieve a balance by improving prediction accuracy while preserving high interpretability and computational efficiency. Neural networks and fuzzy logic improve the NAFS model’s flexibility and prediction accuracy, while its optimized backward pass improves training convergence speed and parameter update effectiveness, contributing to better learning performance. The normalized and partial derivative computations are refined to improve the model. NAFS is compared with ANN, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and current machine learning (ML) models such as LSTM, GRU, and Transformer based on performance evaluation metrics. NAFS outperforms ANFIS and ANN, with MSE of 1.678. NAFS predicts water quality better than ANFIS and ANN, with RMSE of 1.295. NAFS captures complicated water quality parameter interdependencies better than ANN and ANFIS using principal component analysis (PCA) and Pearson correlation. The performance comparison shows that NAFS outperforms all baseline models with the lowest MAE, MSE, RMSE and MAPE, and the highest R², confirming its superior accuracy. PCA is employed to reduce data dimensionality and identify the most influential water quality parameters. It reveals that two principal components account for 72% of the total variance, highlighting key contributors to WQI and supporting feature prioritization in the NAFS model. The Breusch–Pagan test reveals heteroscedasticity in residuals, justifying the use of non-linear models over linear methods. The Shapiro–Wilk test indicates non-normality in residuals. This shows that the NAFS model can handle complex, non-linear environmental variables better than previous water quality prediction research. NAFS not only can predict water quality index values but also enhance WQI estimation. Full article

In this study, a hybrid sensor-based electronic nose circuit was developed using eight metal-oxide semiconductors and 14 quartz crystal microbalance gas sensors. This study included 100 participants: 60 individuals diagnosed with lung cancer, 20 healthy nonsmokers, and 20 healthy smokers. A total of 338 experiments were performed using breath samples throughout this study. In the classification phase of the obtained data, in addition to traditional classification algorithms, such as decision trees, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, and random forests, the fuzzy logic method supported by the optimization algorithm was also used. While the data were classified using the fuzzy logic method, the parameters of the membership functions were optimized using a nature-inspired optimization algorithm. In addition, principal component analysis and linear discriminant analysis were used to determine the effects of dimension-reduction algorithms. As a result of all the operations performed, the highest classification accuracy of 94.58% was achieved using traditional classification algorithms, whereas the data were classified with 97.93% accuracy using the fuzzy logic method optimized with optimization algorithms inspired by nature. Full article

Cottonseeds, rich in high-quality protein and fatty acids, represent a vital plant-derived feedstuff and edible oil resource. To systematically investigate genetic variation patterns in nutritional quality and screen superior germplasm, this study analyzed 26 nutritional quality traits and 8 fiber traits across 259 upland cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) accessions using multivariate statistical approaches. Results revealed significant genetic diversity in cottonseed nutritional profiles, with coefficients of variation ranging from 3.42% to 26.37%. Moreover, with advancements in breeding periods, the contents of protein, amino acids, and the proportion of unsaturated fatty acids (UFAs) increased, while oil content and C16:0 levels decreased. Correlation analyses identified significant positive associations (p < 0.05) between proteins, amino acids, UFAs, and most fiber traits, except for seed index (SI), fiber micronaire (FM), and fiber elongation (FE). Through a principal component analysis–fuzzy membership function (PCA-FMF) model, 13 elite accessions (F > 0.75) with high protein content, high UFA proportion, and excellent fiber quality were identified. These findings provide both data-driven foundations and practical germplasm resources for value-added utilization of cottonseed and coordinated breeding for dual-quality traits of nutrition and fiber. Full article