Search Results (3,618)

The transition to net-zero energy systems requires operationally grounded decision-making frameworks that integrate technology performance, infrastructure readiness, and policy constraints at local scale. Food transportation represents a high-emission and operationally critical component of regional energy and supply chain systems, particularly in food-producing regions. This study proposes a preliminary Local Area Energy Planning (LAEP) framework to support operational decision-making for the decarbonisation of food transportation, using Lincolnshire, UK, as a case study. The framework evaluates alternative freight transport technologies—battery electric vehicles (BEVs), hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (HFCEVs), battery electric road systems (BERS), and conventional internal combustion engine vehicles—across energy efficiency, CO₂ emissions, infrastructure requirements, and cost implications. Secondary data from national statistics, regional planning documents, and peer-reviewed literature are analysed using comparative quantitative and qualitative assessment methods. Results indicate that BEVs currently offer the most energy-efficient and cost-effective solution for short-haul and last-mile food logistics, achieving overall efficiencies of approximately 77–82% with zero tailpipe emissions. HFCEVs and BERS present potential long-term operational advantages for heavy-duty and long-haul freight, but remain constrained by high infrastructure investment, energy conversion losses, and system-level costs. The findings highlight the importance of phased technology adoption, renewable energy integration, and infrastructure prioritisation to enable sustainable energy operations in freight transport systems. By embedding technology comparison within a place-based planning framework, this study contributes actionable insights for local authorities, logistics operators, and policymakers seeking to support operational decision-making in sustainable energy systems. The proposed LAEP framework is transferable to other food-producing regions aiming to decarbonise freight transportation while maintaining operational efficiency. Full article

Against the backdrop of the global energy transition toward deep electrification, the natural gas industry faces challenges, including increased load forecasting uncertainty and frequent extreme weather impacts. To enhance natural gas load forecasting accuracy and support system resilience planning, this study constructs a forecasting model based on quadratic decomposition and hybrid deep learning, incorporating an electricity substitution coefficient to characterize the coupling substitution effect between electricity and natural gas. Under the basic scenario, the VMD-WPD-TCN-BiGRU model is proposed. It employs variational mode decomposition and wavelet packet denoising for secondary signal denoising, combined with a time-series convolutional network and bidirectional gated recurrent unit to extract temporal features. Experiments demonstrate that, compared to mainstream methods such as CNN, BiLSTM, SVM, and XGBoost, this model achieves statistically significant reductions in MSE (11.11–96.21%), MAE (0.89–76.50%), and MAPE (4.10–67.94%), significantly improving forecasting accuracy. In the deep electrification scenario, the introduction of the electricity substitution coefficient further optimizes peak load forecasting for system pressure days under extreme low temperatures, elevating the overall R² to 0.9905 in the deep electrification scenario. Research indicates that the proposed model not only effectively improves the accuracy of short-term natural gas load forecasting but also provides quantitative support for enterprises to plan peak-shaving facilities, optimize pipeline networks, and respond to extreme weather emergencies in data silo environments. This contributes to strengthening the adaptability and long-term resilience of natural gas systems during the energy transition, thereby supporting the sustainable development of energy infrastructure. Full article

Climate change poses an urgent challenge to Canada’s sustainable development. The country experiences increasing extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and pressures on energy systems—particularly in remote northern regions. In Newfoundland and Labrador, isolated communities are vulnerable because reliance on diesel-based electricity increases greenhouse gas emissions, energy costs, and environmental risks, highlighting the need for resilient energy solutions. This study uses a systematic methodology combining literature review, local energy demand data, and site-specific wind resources to design and optimize hybrid renewable energy systems (HRESs) for Makkovik. It employs HOMER Pro and the Monte Carlo method to evaluate uncertainties in cost, fuel consumption, and renewable fraction. The objectives are to quantify how renewable integration can reduce emissions, improve energy reliability, and support sustainable development in remote communities. The novelty lies in combining location-specific modeling with probabilistic Monte Carlo analysis and providing robust, system-level insights into environmental and economic outcomes while guiding climate-resilient energy planning. The proposed HRES significantly mitigates climate change impacts, reducing annual CO₂ emissions from 72,500 kg/year to 15,190 kg/year. Monte Carlo analysis indicates economic feasibility with a net present cost of $14.5 million, a levelized cost of electricity of 0.256 $/kWh, and diesel consumption reduced from 29,970 L/year to 5854 L/year. Wind energy provides 99.6% of total annual electricity, ensuring a high renewable fraction and reliable power, enhancing energy resilience and adaptation potential. This study demonstrates that a well-designed hybrid renewable energy system can deliver measurable emission reductions, economic feasibility, and enhanced energy resilience. It supports sustainable development and climate change mitigation in remote Canadian communities. Full article

Historically, the electricity sector in Greece was based on local lignite, which provided a stable and affordable base for electricity production. However, current European policy directions, including decarbonization and climate neutrality by 2050, have accelerated the transformation of traditional energy models, resulting in a gradual phasing-out of fossil fuels and an increasing integration of Renewable Energy Sources (RES). In line with EU policy priorities and in light of the new dynamics shaped by the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), lignite gradually became unprofitable for the national economy, leading the Greek government to announce an accelerated lignite phase-out plan. However, the phase-out of domestic lignite, although consistent with climate objectives, rapidly increased the country’s energy dependency on natural gas and its exposure to natural gas price volatility. At the same time, increased investment in solar and wind technologies has reshaped the electricity mix; yet market design, limited system flexibility and inadequate infrastructure and storage capacity have not allowed the full utilization of RES benefits. This structural gap, in turn, raises critical questions about resilience and affordability. The paper provides evidence on these issues and offers a critical evaluation of the decarbonization pathway that has reshaped the country’s energy dependency. Full article

The electrical characteristics of distribution networks (DNs) are drastically changing, which is mainly due to widespread adoption of small-scale distributed energy resources (DERs) by end-users. In these cases, conventional planning models may lead to overinvestment choices. This paper presents a planning model for utility companies that explicitly incorporates a model of end-users’ energy-related decisions, considering a neighborhood energy trading scheme (NETS). The model is formulated based on the Stackelberg game (SG) approach, which guarantees the optimality of the final solution for each user and the utility. The proposed mixed-integer second-order cone programming (MISOCP) problem finds the optimal investment plan for transformers, lines, distributed generators (DGs), and energy storage systems (ESSs) for the utility, considering the scenarios of end-users’ investments in rooftop photovoltaic (PV) and battery systems that maximize their benefits. Additionally, a dynamic network charge (NC) scheme is designed to rationalize the network use. Also, Benders decomposition (BD) is used to improve the convergence of the solution algorithm. The numerical studies on a real 23-bus low voltage (LV) network in Perth, Australia, using real-world data reveals that the proposed planning model offers the lowest total cost and the highest penetration of DERs in comparison with conventional models. Full article

The rapid expansion of the high electricity-intensive industries like data center has led to a structural increase in industrial electricity demand, thereby increasing the need for demand response (DR) to enhance power system flexibility. However, in the industrial sector, DR strategies based solely on simple load curtailment can impose productivity losses on participating customers. To address this limitation, this study proposes an SMP-based load shifting linear programming (LP) optimization model that enables DR curtailment to translate into electricity cost reduction through clustered DR resources formed by combining load resources at the industrial complex level. The decision variables representing hourly load shifting are adjusted under constraints defined by the hourly average demand and flexibility of the load resources, and the averages and fluctuations of SMP. The objective function is optimized to minimize the total electricity cost. Since the demand flexibility varies by season, experiments are conducted about various clustered DR resources on a seasonal basis. When resources with similar hourly average demand and flexibility are combined, the resulting load shifting plans are found to yield the greatest electricity cost reduction (Scenario 2—0.79 M KRW). These results confirm that the proposed load shifting LP model can provide a practical approach for DR operation planning. Full article

This paper addresses the low-carbon transformation needs of the high-energy-consuming industry of cement and proposes a planning method that integrates photovoltaic capacity planning and multi-time-scale demand response. The aim of this method is to minimize the total system cost throughout the entire life cycle, including the investment cost of photovoltaic and the expected operating cost considering demand response. A multi-time-scale demand response model that precisely describes the temporal coupling of the cement production process, inventory dynamics, and hourly/weekly scenarios was constructed. By establishing a two-layer stochastic optimization framework and using the typical scenario method to handle the uncertainties of photovoltaic output and market demand, the coordinated optimization of photovoltaic configuration and load flexibility was achieved. Based on a case study of a typical cement plant in China, it is shown that, compared with traditional planning methods, the proposed method can significantly increase the photovoltaic consumption rate, reduce electricity costs, and effectively quantify the system’s demand response capability, providing a theoretical basis and practical tools for industrial users to achieve “source-load” coordinated low-carbon planning. Full article

With the increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EV), congestion at charging stations during peak hours has become a prominent issue, imposing significant pressure on station scheduling. Furthermore, the large-scale integration of photovoltaics (PV) introduces dual uncertainties in both generation and load, negatively impacting grid voltage. To tackle the above problems, a strategy for demand response balancing and congestion alleviation of charging stations under grid–road network partition mapping is proposed in this paper. Firstly, a user demand response capability assessment method based on the Fogg Behavior Model is proposed to evaluate the demand response potential of individual users in each zone. The results are aggregated to obtain the demand response participation capability of each zone, thereby realizing capability-based allocation and achieving demand response balancing. Secondly, the road network is divided into several zones and mapped to the power grid, and a two-layer cross-zone collaborative autonomy model is established. The upper layer aims to alleviate inter-zone congestion and balance inter-station power, taking into account the grid voltage level. A tripartite benefit model involving the power grid, charging stations and users is constructed, and an inter-zone mutual-aid model for the upper layer is established and solved optimally. The lower layer establishes an intra-zone self-consistency model, which subdivides different functional zone types within the road network zone, allocates and accommodates the cross-zone power from the upper-layer output inside the zone, and synchronously performs intra-zone cross-zone judgment to avoid congestion at charging stations. Simulation verification is carried out on the IEEE 33-bus system. The results show that the proposed method can effectively alleviate the congestion of charging stations, the balance degree among all zones is increased by 43.58%, and the power grid voltage quality is improved by about 38%. This study offers feasible guidance for exploring large-scale planned participation of electric vehicles in power system demand response. Full article

Electric-propulsion (EP) orbit raising from geosynchronous transfer orbit (GTO) to geostationary Earth orbit (GEO) requires long-duration, continuously steered low thrust, for which small pointing deviations may accumulate over time, and practical execution is constrained by spacecraft attitude and momentum management. This study develops a cross-layer command-to-execution framework that couples mission-level thrust-command generation with smooth trajectory planning of an EP vectoring arm. At the orbit layer, an engineering-oriented mission-level transfer model with dominant J₂ secular correction is used to construct a time-tagged sequence of thrust magnitude and direction commands for the GTO–GEO transfer. At the execution layer, a 4-DOF revolute arm is modeled using Denavit–Hartenberg kinematics, and the desired thrust directions are mapped to feasible joint trajectories through a direction-only inverse-kinematics formulation cast as a constrained nonlinear least-squares problem with cross/dot residuals, smoothness regularization, and warm-start propagation. In numerical simulation, the GTO–GEO transfer is completed in approximately 278 days with Δv ≈ 3665 m/s, corresponding to a propellant consumption of 175 kg (spacecraft mass from 1800 kg to 1625 kg). The planned joint trajectories remain smooth over the full horizon, with maximum inter-sample variations of 1.84° and 1.04° for the major and minor motion groups, respectively. The numerical geometric thrust-direction tracking error in the kinematic mapping remains at the millidegree level, with a mean of 7.39 × 10⁻⁴° and a P95 of 0.00101°. The results demonstrate that the proposed cross-layer interface can generate executable, low-bandwidth joint commands while preserving high geometric consistency with the desired thrust directions in the numerical kinematic mapping sense, thereby providing a practical basis for implementation-oriented studies of EP orbit transfer with vectoring manipulators. Full article

Shared e-scooter systems are frequently characterized as zero-emission mobility solutions; however, lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions depend on manufacturing, electricity generation, and operational logistics. While conventional life cycle assessment (LCA) studies quantify environmental impacts using static average parameters, they rarely integrate lifecycle emissions into real-time fleet decision-making. This study proposes a formally defined carbon-aware operational framework that integrates ride-level telemetry, time-varying electricity grid carbon intensity, amortized production emissions, and dynamically allocated logistics impacts into a unified optimization architecture. Lifecycle emissions are computed at ride-level granularity and incorporated into charging and rebalancing decisions through a constrained optimization framework. A multi-objective extension is introduced to account for environmental–economic trade-offs. An illustrative simulation of 1000 rides was conducted to evaluate the operational performance of the framework. Under the assumed baseline scenario, the illustrative carbon-aware simulation indicated a potential reduction of up to 24.5% relative to conventional scheduling. Sensitivity analysis across variations in grid carbon intensity, scooter lifetime, energy consumption, and logistics emissions demonstrated reduction outcomes ranging between 18% and 29%, indicating robustness to parameter uncertainty. The study does not present large-scale empirical validation but provides a mathematically formalized decision-support architecture that operationalizes lifecycle assessment within shared micro-mobility fleet management. The results suggest that integrating carbon metrics into operational control may substantially enhance the environmental performance of shared e-scooter systems. Future research should validate the framework using real-world fleet data and incorporate a comprehensive economic assessment. The proposed framework provides a scalable methodological basis for integrating environmental metrics into real-time micro-mobility management and urban sustainability planning. Full article

Jordan is among the most water-stressed countries globally, with renewable freshwater availability falling below 100 m³ per capita per year. The Jordan Valley (JV), the country’s primary irrigated agricultural corridor, faces interconnected pressures across water, energy, food, and ecosystem (WEFE) systems under intensifying climatic and demographic stressors. This study evaluates the integrated performance of the WEFE nexus in the Jordan Valley using updated evidence (2018–2023) to quantify cross-sector interactions, performance gaps, and intervention priorities. A mixed-methods empirical assessment integrated quantitative sectoral data on water supply–demand and quality, electricity supply–demand and renewable deployment, agricultural productivity, and ecosystem pressure indicators, complemented by Living Lab–based stakeholder interviews. Sectoral indices were calculated based on supply–demand adequacy and aggregated into an overall WEFE Nexus Index. Results indicate persistent water scarcity, with a domestic supply of 23.48 MCM yr⁻¹ versus demand of 26.00 MCM yr⁻¹ (deficit −2.52 MCM yr⁻¹) and irrigation supply of 206 MCM yr⁻¹ relative to approximately 400 MCM yr⁻¹ demand (deficit −194 MCM yr⁻¹). Water services account for 14% of national electricity consumption, while solar pumping provides approximately 40% of daytime irrigation energy. Agricultural productivity is constrained by salinity and water quality, resulting in yield gaps (e.g., greenhouse vegetables: 4.7 vs. 10.0 t/dunum). Sectoral performance is uneven (Water 0.71; Energy 1.00; Food 0.45; Ecosystem 0.50), yielding an overall WEFE Nexus Index of 0.63 (0.50 after efficiency adjustment). Climate projections indicate continued warming (+1.8 °C) and declining precipitation (−11%) by 2060. Water harvesting, integrated renewable-powered water services, wastewater reuse, salinity management, climate-smart agriculture, and ecosystem restoration are critical to enhancing climate-resilient resource security in the Jordan Valley. The WEFE index developed here offers a tool for integrated planning and underscores that achieving climate-resilient resource security in the Jordan Valley will require strategic, cross-sector interventions and adaptive governance rather than sector-specific fixes. Full article

The development of Smart Tourism often overlooks the “Wilderness Last Mile”, leading to the spatial exclusion of people with disabilities in mountain areas. This problem exists because standard tourist maps and urban-centric accessibility models rely on averaged terrain data, failing to identify critical micro-scale barriers (e.g., short, sudden steep ascents) that pose severe safety and traction risks for off-road wheelchair users. To address this gap, this article presents a novel GIS methodology for planning accessible off-road tourism for electric Specialized Off-Road Wheelchairs. The proposed four-stage analytical model includes (1) graph-based trail network topologization to enable precise routing; (2) traction safety verification utilizing high-resolution (1 × 1 m) Digital Elevation Model (DEM) micro-segmentation to detect hidden slope barriers; (3) multi-criteria evaluation combining a user-calibrated Difficulty Index (EDI) and a Tourism Quality Index (TQI); and (4) a hub optimization algorithm that prioritizes locations maximizing the diversity of accessible routes. The method was empirically tested in a case study of the Bieszczady Mountains (Poland), calibrating the model with the technical limits (25% max slope) of a prototype wheelchair. The experimental results clearly validate the model’s superiority over traditional approaches: the micro-segmentation successfully identified hidden terrain traps, disqualifying 55% of the standard trail network that would have otherwise been deemed safe by average-slope assessments. Furthermore, the model identified a contiguous safe network of 153 km and pinpointed the optimal rental hub location, ensuring the highest inclusivity and route variety. Ultimately, this approach transforms raw spatial data into safe, ready-made tourism products, providing a precise tool with which to implement Universal Design in natural environments. Full article

(1) Background: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains a major public health issue, with survival largely determined by the initial rhythm and timeliness of resuscitation. Comprehensive population-based data are essential for guiding prevention, emergency medical services (EMS) planning, and improving outcomes. (2) Methods: We performed a retrospective observational study of all adult OHCA cases managed by EMS in Lecce (Italy) between January 2013 and March 2025. Demographics, arrest circumstances, initial rhythm, time intervals, and return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) were analyzed across age, sex, temporal, and pandemic-related strata. Rhythm classification followed European Resuscitation Council guidelines. (3) Results: A total of 11,653 cases were analyzed (mean age 76.8 ± 15.5 years, 56.6% male). Asystole (AS) was the predominant rhythm (88.7%), followed by ventricular fibrillation (VF, 7.6%), pulseless electrical activity (PEA, 1.3%), and pulseless ventricular tachycardia (pVT, 0.08%). VF was more common in younger and male patients, while AS increased with age. Hour-level analysis revealed circadian peaks: VF in late afternoon and AS in early morning. Pandemic analysis showed reduced VF and increased AS during COVID-19, with partial recovery post-pandemic. ROSC occurred in 3.47% overall, strongly associated with shockable rhythms. EMS response times were stable across day–night and pandemic phases. (4) Conclusions: AS dominates OHCA presentations, especially among the elderly, whereas VF remains the strongest predictor of ROSC. Circadian variation at the hourly level suggests potential for EMS optimization. Pandemic-related shifts in rhythm highlight the vulnerability of the chain of survival to societal disruptions. Strengthening bystander CPR, expanding AED availability, and tailoring EMS strategies remain key priorities for improving OHCA outcomes. Full article

With the continuous increase in the penetration rate of renewable energy sources, the uncertainty of new energy output has brought significant risks and challenges to the planning strategy of integrated energy systems. Meanwhile, power grid operators and heat network operators, belonging to different stakeholder entities, exhibit complex cooperative-competitive game relationships, making it difficult to balance the interests of all parties. To address this issue, this paper proposes a game theory and optimal planning strategy for electricity-heat multiple heterogeneous energy systems based on a deep temporal clustering method from the perspective of different stakeholders. Firstly, typical scenarios of renewable energy output are generated through the deep temporal clustering method. Simultaneously, the charging and discharging behaviors of energy storage devices are utilized to assist the distribution system in new energy consumption. This paper incorporates battery life degradation costs into the objective function on the power grid side to achieve accurate accounting of energy storage device dispatch expenses. Additionally, an optimal dispatch model is established on the heat network side, upon which a game framework for multiple heterogeneous energy systems is constructed. The construction capacity and installation location of each flexible device can be determined through planning decisions in typical multi-scenario situations. Considering the non-convex and nonlinear characteristics of the model, this paper employs an improved firefly algorithm to achieve optimal solution search and rapid convergence. Finally, the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method are demonstrated through a case study of an electricity-heat energy system. Full article

Accurate time-series simulation of carbon emissions for both the whole society and the electricity industry is pivotal for realizing China’s “Dual Carbon” goals. This research constructs a hybrid simulation architecture integrating factor decomposition with deep learning to quantify emission trajectories for both the whole society and the electricity industry in Anhui Province. First, the extended Kaya identity and Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) are employed to analyze socioeconomic drivers. The decomposition analysis indicates that per capita income is the primary driver of carbon emissions, whereas energy intensity exerts the strongest inhibitory effect. Subsequently, Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) is applied to the nonstationary emission series to produce multi-scale sub-signals, which are then fed into a predictive model comprising a Bayesian-optimized (BO) Transformer coupled with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. The study establishes three distinct evolution scenarios: Moderate Sustainability (MS), Business as Usual (BAU), and Strong Economic Growth (SEG). Simulation results indicate that under MS, carbon emissions from the whole society and the electricity industry peak in 2029 at 435.2 Mt and 2030 at 281.2 Mt, respectively. Conversely, the SEG scenario delays the peak of the whole society to 2034, while the electricity industry fails to peak before 2035. These findings reveal significant risks of temporal asynchrony between the whole society and the electricity industry peaks, providing robust methodological support for regional decarbonization planning. Full article