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Search Results (5,046)

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Keywords = dynamic of land use

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38 pages, 13151 KB  
Article
The Spatio-Temporal Characteristics and Factors Influencing of the Multidimensional Coupling Relationship Between the Land Price Gradient and Industrial Gradient in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Urban Agglomeration
by Deqi Wang and Wei Liang
Sustainability 2025, 17(18), 8153; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188153 - 10 Sep 2025
Abstract
When considering an urban agglomeration as a unit, promoting the coupling and coordination of the land price gradient and industrial gradient is crucial for achieving regional integrated development. We selected the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Urban Agglomeration (BTHUA) as a case study; constructed a three-dimensional analytical [...] Read more.
When considering an urban agglomeration as a unit, promoting the coupling and coordination of the land price gradient and industrial gradient is crucial for achieving regional integrated development. We selected the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Urban Agglomeration (BTHUA) as a case study; constructed a three-dimensional analytical framework involving static coupling, dynamic coupling, and spatial matching; theoretically clarified the coupling mechanism between the land price gradient and industrial gradient; and systematically assessed their spatial-temporal patterns and coupling characteristics. The results indicate that from 2012 to 2022, both the land price gradient and industrial gradient within the BTHUA exhibited a “core-periphery” spatial distribution, gradually forming an over-all pattern of “one core, multiple nodes, and multi-level rings.” For the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei urban agglomeration, overall static coupling and spatial matching exhibit an evolutionary trajectory of “first rising, then declining.” By contrast, dynamic coupling remains relatively weak, exhibiting a corridor-shaped distribution along core and sub-core cities. All three indicators consistently show that core cities outperform peripheral cities. Nonlinear mechanism analysis based on the gradient boosting decision tree method showed that “second-nature” factors like economic development and public utilities significantly promote multidimensional coupling. Conversely, “first-nature” factors, such as geographic conditions, have limited impacts with threshold effects; surpassing these thresholds results in inhibitory effects. Based on the research findings, this study proposes that regional integration should serve as the guiding principle, emphasizing the cultivation of regional development corridors, the implementation of flexible and functionally aligned land supply policies, the strengthening of land use performance audits, and the reorientation of fiscal and financial policies toward structural and qualitative improvements. These measures can provide valuable references for promoting coordinated industrial development and balanced land allocation in urban agglomerations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Economic and Business Aspects of Sustainability)
26 pages, 3051 KB  
Article
Water Surface Loss and Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon Biome by Farming Expansion and Weak Legislation
by Anderson Targino da Silva Ferreira, Maria Carolina Hernandez Ribeiro, Regina Célia de Oliveira, Maurício Lamano Ferreira and Cassiano Gustavo Messias
Earth 2025, 6(3), 108; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030108 - 10 Sep 2025
Abstract
The study examines the relationship between water surface loss and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon, focusing on the expansion of farming (crops and agriculture, as well as pasture and livestock) and the impact of inadequate legislation from 1985 to 2023. The Amazon biome [...] Read more.
The study examines the relationship between water surface loss and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon, focusing on the expansion of farming (crops and agriculture, as well as pasture and livestock) and the impact of inadequate legislation from 1985 to 2023. The Amazon biome is vital for the global hydrological cycle and is home to about 10% of the known species. Data from MapBiomas and multivariate statistical techniques revealed that forest and water surface areas decreased significantly while pasture and agricultural regions increased. Environmental legislation has shown progress, with Center and Left-leaning governments implementing environmental protection measures. In contrast, Center–Right and Right-leaning governments prioritized economic interests, resulting in significant setbacks in forest protection and increased deforestation. The study further highlights the importance of developing integrated and sustainable strategies that balance economic development and environmental conservation in the Amazon biome. Full article
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31 pages, 5616 KB  
Article
Deep Signals: Enhancing Bottom Temperature Predictions in Norway’s Mjøsa Lake Through VMD- and EMD-Boosted Machine Learning Models
by Sertac Oruc, Mehmet Ali Hınıs, Zeliha Selek and Türker Tuğrul
Water 2025, 17(18), 2673; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17182673 - 10 Sep 2025
Abstract
In this study, we benchmark various machine learning techniques against a synthetic but physically based reference time series (model-simulated (ERA5-Land/FLake) bottom-temperature series) and assess whether decomposition methods (VMD and EMD) improve forecast accuracy using Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Random Forest [...] Read more.
In this study, we benchmark various machine learning techniques against a synthetic but physically based reference time series (model-simulated (ERA5-Land/FLake) bottom-temperature series) and assess whether decomposition methods (VMD and EMD) improve forecast accuracy using Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Random Forest (RF), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with the monthly average data of Mjøsa, the largest lake in Norway, between 1950 and 2024 from the ERA5-Land FLake model. A total of 70% of the dataset was used for training and 30% was reserved for testing. To assess the performance several metrics, correlation coefficient (r), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE), Performance Index (PI), RMSE-based RSR, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) were used. The results revealed that without decomposition, the GPR-M03 combination outperforms other models (with scores r = 0.9662, NSE = 0.9186, KGE = 0.8786, PI = 0.0231, RSR = 0.2848, and RMSE = 0.2000). Considering decomposition cases, when VMD is applied, the SVM-VMD-M03 combination achieved better results compared to other models (with scores r = 0.9859, NSE = 0.9717, KGE = 0.9755, PI = 0.0135, RSR = 0.1679, and RMSE = 0.1179). Conversely, with decomposition cases, when EMD applied, LSTM-EMD-M03 is explored as the more effective combination than others (with scores r = 0.9562, NSE = 0.9008, KGE = 0.9315, PI = 0.0256, RSR = 0.2978, and RMSE = 0.3143). The results demonstrate that GPR and SVM, coupled with VMD, yield high correlation (e.g., r ≈ 0.986) and low RMSE (~0.12), indicating the ability to reproduce FLake dynamics rather than as accurate predictions of measured bottom temperature. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Machine Learning in Hydrological Monitoring)
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14 pages, 7190 KB  
Article
Chaos Prediction and Nonlinear Dynamic Analysis of a Dimple-Equipped Electrostatically Excited Microbeam
by Ayman M. Alneamy
Mathematics 2025, 13(18), 2925; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13182925 - 10 Sep 2025
Abstract
As MEMS design encounters growing challenges, particularly stiction between movable and stationary electrodes, dielectric charging, pull-in instability, and multi-valued response characteristics, the integration of dimple-equipped structures has emerged as a pivotal solution to mitigate these fundamental issues. Consequently, this study investigates the dynamic [...] Read more.
As MEMS design encounters growing challenges, particularly stiction between movable and stationary electrodes, dielectric charging, pull-in instability, and multi-valued response characteristics, the integration of dimple-equipped structures has emerged as a pivotal solution to mitigate these fundamental issues. Consequently, this study investigates the dynamic behavior of an electrostatically actuated double-clamped microbeam incorporating dimples and contact pads. While the dimples enhance the beam’s travel range, they may also induce an impact mode upon contact with the landing pads, leading to complex nonlinear dynamic phenomena. A reduced-order model was developed to numerically solve the governing equation of motion. The microbeam’s response was analyzed both with and without dimples using multiple analytical techniques, including bifurcation diagrams and discrete excitation procedures near the impacting regime. The findings demonstrate that the inclusion of dimples effectively suppresses stiction, pull-in instability, and multi-valued responses. The results indicate that upon contacting the landing pads, the beam exhibits pronounced nonlinear dynamic behaviors, manifesting as higher-period oscillations such as period-3, period-4 and period-5 and then fully developed chaotic attractors. Indeed, this specifically demonstrates the potential of using the dynamic transition from a steady-state to a chaotic response to build novel MEMS sensors. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods and Applications)
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28 pages, 4410 KB  
Article
Modeling Soil–Atmosphere Interactions to Support Sustainable Soil Management and Agricultural Resilience in Temperate Europe Using the SiSPAT Model
by Abdulaziz Alharbi and Mohamed Ghonimy
Sustainability 2025, 17(18), 8114; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188114 - 9 Sep 2025
Abstract
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the SiSPAT model in simulating surface energy balance components and soil hydrothermal dynamics under temperate oceanic climate conditions, focusing on sparsely vegetated bare soils commonly found in transitional agroecosystems. The model was validated using high-resolution [...] Read more.
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the SiSPAT model in simulating surface energy balance components and soil hydrothermal dynamics under temperate oceanic climate conditions, focusing on sparsely vegetated bare soils commonly found in transitional agroecosystems. The model was validated using high-resolution field data from the United Kingdom, including measurements of net radiation, soil heat flux, latent and sensible heat fluxes, and soil temperature and moisture at multiple depths. Results indicated that SiSPAT effectively reproduced the magnitude and diurnal variations in net radiation, soil heat flux, and subsurface thermal and moisture conditions, with overall agreement exceeding 90% in most cases. Minor underestimations (~10%) were observed for midday latent and sensible heat fluxes, while slight overestimations occurred in topsoil moisture during dry periods—remaining within acceptable simulation limits. These outcomes demonstrate the model’s capability to simulate land–atmosphere interactions under variable surface conditions and moderate humidity. The novelty of this study lies in extending the application of SiSPAT to temperate oceanic regions with partially vegetated soils—an underrepresented context—emphasizing its potential as a decision support tool for sustainable soil management, irrigation planning, and climate-resilient land use strategies in temperate regions with climatic and soil conditions similar to those represented in this study. Full article
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24 pages, 3374 KB  
Article
Characterization of the Meiobenthic Community Inhabiting the Zwin Coastal Lagoon (Belgium, the Netherlands) and the Role of the Sedimentary Environment
by Elisa Baldrighi, Francesca Alvisi, Carl Van Colen, Eleonora Grassi, Linda Catani, Francesca Ape, Claudio Vasapollo, Elena Manini, Jeffrey G. Baguley and Federica Semprucci
Water 2025, 17(18), 2669; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17182669 - 9 Sep 2025
Abstract
Coastal waters are sensitive habitats that support high biodiversity and provide essential ecosystem goods. Changes in sedimentation regimes due to land-use and engineering activities in the coastal zone affect biodiversity and these habitats’ ecological value. This study aims to characterize the meiobenthic communities [...] Read more.
Coastal waters are sensitive habitats that support high biodiversity and provide essential ecosystem goods. Changes in sedimentation regimes due to land-use and engineering activities in the coastal zone affect biodiversity and these habitats’ ecological value. This study aims to characterize the meiobenthic communities inhabiting the Zwin tidal lagoon, located on the border between Belgium and the Netherlands, and to evaluate to what extent the sedimentological characteristics and the quantity and composition of organic matter influence the composition and distribution of meiofauna. The meiobenthic community showed traits of a well-established population dominated by nematodes, followed by copepods + nauplii. Notably, meiofauna rapidly colonized the area after its opening to the sea in February 2019 (two years before sampling), showing that even very weak tidal currents were sufficient to suspend and transport these animals to the new environment. Our results suggest that the Zwin lagoon is a productive system with high food quality (i.e., PRT/CHO ≥ 1), predominantly of marine origin. Major structural differences in communities were related to the sedimentary environments at the investigated stations and estimations of the quantity of food. The present findings confirm that sedimentary dynamics and depositional processes, through their influence on sediment properties (e.g., grain size) and organic matter’s quantity and composition, shape meiofaunal communities and their vertical and horizontal distributions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Marine Biodiversity and Its Relationship with Climate/Environment)
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20 pages, 11176 KB  
Article
Influence of Land Use/Land Cover Dynamics on Urban Surface Metrics in Semi-Arid Heritage Cities
by Saurabh Singh, Ram Avtar, Ankush Kumar Jain, Wafa Saleh Alkhuraiji and Mohamed Zhran
Land 2025, 14(9), 1834; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14091834 - 8 Sep 2025
Abstract
Rapid urbanization in semi-arid heritage cities is accelerating land use/land cover (LULC) transitions, with critical implications for local climate regulation, surface energy balance, and environmental sustainability. This study investigates Jaipur, Jodhpur, and Udaipur (Rajasthan, India) between 2018 and 2024 to assess the influence [...] Read more.
Rapid urbanization in semi-arid heritage cities is accelerating land use/land cover (LULC) transitions, with critical implications for local climate regulation, surface energy balance, and environmental sustainability. This study investigates Jaipur, Jodhpur, and Udaipur (Rajasthan, India) between 2018 and 2024 to assess the influence of spatio-temporal dynamics of LULC on urban surface metrics. Multi-temporal satellite datasets were used to derive the index-based built-up index (IBI), surface urban heat island intensity (SUHI), Albedo, urban thermal field variance index (UTFVI), and bare soil index (BSI). The results reveal substantial built-up expansion—most pronounced in Udaipur (+26.7%)—coupled with vegetation loss (up to −23.8% in Jaipur) and progressive albedo decline (Sen’s slope ≈ −0.002 yr−1). These transformations highlight suppressed surface reflectivity and enhanced heat absorption. A key and novel finding is the emergence of a counter-intuitive surface urban cool island (SUCI) effect, whereby urban cores exhibited daytime cooling and nighttime warming relative to rural surroundings. This anomaly is attributed to the rapid heating and poor nocturnal heat retention of bare, sparsely vegetated rural soils, contrasted with the thermal inertia and shading of urban surfaces. By documenting negative SUHI patterns and explicitly linking them to LULC trajectories, this study advances the understanding of urban climate dynamics in semi-arid contexts. The findings underscore the need for climate-sensitive planning—strengthening peri-urban green belts, regulating impervious expansion, and adopting albedo-enhancing construction materials—while safeguarding cultural heritage. More broadly, the study contributes empirical evidence from climatically vulnerable yet culturally significant cities, offering insights relevant to global SUHI research and sustainable urban development. Full article
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18 pages, 14367 KB  
Article
The Driving Mechanism and Spatio-Temporal Nonstationarity of Oasis Urban Green Landscape Pattern Changes in Urumqi
by Lei Shi, Xinhan Zhang and Ümüt Halik
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(17), 3123; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17173123 - 8 Sep 2025
Abstract
The green landscapes of oasis cities play an important role in maintaining ecological security. However, these ecosystems face increasing threats from desertification and fragmentation, driven by intensifying climate change and rapid urbanization. Understanding the characteristics and driving mechanisms behind changes in green landscape [...] Read more.
The green landscapes of oasis cities play an important role in maintaining ecological security. However, these ecosystems face increasing threats from desertification and fragmentation, driven by intensifying climate change and rapid urbanization. Understanding the characteristics and driving mechanisms behind changes in green landscape patterns is crucial for advancing sustainable urban green space management. This study explores the spatio-temporal changes in the green landscape pattern in Urumqi during 1990–2020 using a random forest classifier. This study also applies geographical detectors and geographically weighted regression to comprehensively determine the driving mechanism and spatio-temporal nonstationarity. The results are as follows: (1) The landscape types are primarily dominated by unused land, urban green spaces, and construction land, accounting for more than 80%. The areas of urban green spaces, water bodies, cropland, and unused land decreased by 0.38%, 37.41%, 0.57%, and 4.58%, respectively, from 1990 to 2020. With rapid urbanization, construction land exhibited a significant expansion trend, and the degree of fragmentation of urban green spaces increased spatially over these 30 years. (2) From 1990 to 2020, each landscape index exhibited fluctuating characteristics. Overall, the Shannon’s diversity and evenness indices of the urban green landscapes exhibited an increasing trend. The contagion and connectivity indices exhibited a decreasing trend, decreasing from 50.894 and 99.311 in 1990 to 46.584 and 99.048 in 2020, respectively. (3) During these 30 years, the dynamics of urban greenery were affected by a combination of natural and social factors, with elevation determining the overall urban green distribution pattern. Precipitation and temperature dominate the urban green space changes in the north and south of Urumqi. Socioeconomic factors such as GDP, population, river distance, and town distance regulate the urban green space changes in the central built-up area. Full article
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21 pages, 11249 KB  
Article
Are Hydrological Geosites Related to High Hydrodiversity? A Study in the State of Rio Grande do Norte, Northeast Brazil
by Maria Luiza de Oliveira Terto, Paulo Pereira and Marco Túlio Mendonça Diniz
Hydrology 2025, 12(9), 234; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12090234 - 8 Sep 2025
Abstract
This study presents an assessment of hydrological diversity (hydrodiversity) in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, aiming to identify potential correlations between hydrodiversity and hydrological features of geoheritage. The methodology applied a quantitative approach based on mean annual precipitation, river discharge, reservoir distribution, and [...] Read more.
This study presents an assessment of hydrological diversity (hydrodiversity) in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, aiming to identify potential correlations between hydrodiversity and hydrological features of geoheritage. The methodology applied a quantitative approach based on mean annual precipitation, river discharge, reservoir distribution, and stream order. These variables were analyzed within a 5.5 km grid using GIS tools. The four resulting sub-indices were normalized through the Maximum Possible Value method to ensure equal weighting in the final Hydrodiversity Index, which classifies areas into four levels: low, medium, high, and very high. Results show the highest hydrodiversity values in the eastern region and along the Apodi–Mossoró River, where rainfall and drainage density are greatest. The Hydrodiversity Index map was examined alongside land use data and the distribution of 22 previously identified hydrological sites (hydrosites). A greater concentration of anthropogenic land use was noted in areas with medium to high hydrodiversity, especially in the east and along the northern coast, emphasizing the role of water resources in territorial dynamics. The findings indicate that no hydrosites are located within areas of Very High Hydrodiversity; however, more than 50% of the hydrosites correspond to areas classified as High Hydrodiversity. While further research is required to better elucidate the relationship between geodiversity and geoheritage, these results underscore both the complexity of the link between hydrodiversity and water-related geoheritage, as well as the importance of employing an index to inform conservation and management strategies. Full article
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42 pages, 8471 KB  
Review
Comprehensive Evaluation of Agrivoltaics Research: Breadth, Depth, and Insights for Future Research
by Kai Lepley, Hanna Fields, Chong Seok Choi, Thomas Hickey, Benny Towner, Brittany Staie, James McCall, Julia Chamberland and Jordan Macknick
Energies 2025, 18(17), 4776; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18174776 - 8 Sep 2025
Abstract
Agrivoltaics integrates agricultural production with solar energy generation to address challenges related to land use, food security, and renewable energy development. This study provides the most comprehensive evaluation to date of global agrivoltaic research, aiming to classify the literature, identify strengths and gaps, [...] Read more.
Agrivoltaics integrates agricultural production with solar energy generation to address challenges related to land use, food security, and renewable energy development. This study provides the most comprehensive evaluation to date of global agrivoltaic research, aiming to classify the literature, identify strengths and gaps, and guide future work. We systematically screened over 3000 English-language publications through 2023 for relevant agrivoltaic publications. A total of 670 studies were categorized in the InSPIRE Data Portal across five agrivoltaic activities and multiple hierarchical themes, including physical, biological, technological, social, and crosscutting domains. We found that research was concentrated on crop production, microclimate dynamics, and PV performance, with gaps in areas like human health, wildlife, policy, and standardized methodologies. Although the U.S. emphasizes animal grazing and habitat-based systems in practice, most U.S.-based studies focused disproportionately on crop production. The analysis revealed uneven geographic and topical representation and highlighted a lack of integrated, interdisciplinary approaches. This study concludes that while agrivoltaic research has grown rapidly, more coordinated efforts could support standardized data collection, address overlooked ecological and social impacts, and align research focus with real-world system implementation, ultimately improving the scalability and successful deployment of agrivoltaic systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Renewable Energy Integration into Agricultural and Food Engineering)
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26 pages, 10305 KB  
Article
Prediction of Ecological Zoning and Optimization Strategies Based on Ecosystem Service Value and Ecological Risk
by Qing Liu, Yaoyao Zhao, Shuhai Zhuo, Yixian Mo and Peng Zhou
Land 2025, 14(9), 1824; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14091824 - 7 Sep 2025
Viewed by 166
Abstract
As a typical coastal tourist city, Sanya has experienced large-scale urbanization driven by tourism development, leading to landscape fragmentation, disorderly urban sprawl, and irrational resource utilization. These factors have intensified regional ecological risks and caused the degradation of ecosystem service functions, thereby constraining [...] Read more.
As a typical coastal tourist city, Sanya has experienced large-scale urbanization driven by tourism development, leading to landscape fragmentation, disorderly urban sprawl, and irrational resource utilization. These factors have intensified regional ecological risks and caused the degradation of ecosystem service functions, thereby constraining sustainable urban development. Therefore, establishing urban ecological zoning can identify the dynamic relationship between ecological conditions and urban growth, ease human-land conflicts, and promote high-quality urban development. This study employed the value equivalency method and the landscape ecological risk index method to calculate the ecosystem service value (ESV) and the ecological risk index (ERI) of Sanya City from 2000 to 2020 and to delineate ecological zones. The PLUS model was used to predict the changes in ecological zoning of Sanya City under a natural development scenario in 2030. The results demonstrate the following: (1) The ecological risk in the study area shows a distribution pattern of “high in the south and low in the north,” with low-risk areas being the dominant type, accounting for about 80% of the total area. Over time, the area of high-risk zones has shown an increasing trend, while that of low-risk zones has decreased year by year. (2) The ecosystem service value in the study area shows a distribution pattern of “high in the north and low in the south,” with a decreasing trend over time, with a cumulative reduction of 2.11 × 108 ten thousand yuan from 2000 to 2020. (3) Among the four ecological zones, the ecological protection zone is the dominant type, accounting for about 50%. The increase in the ecological early warning zone is the most significant. In contrast, the ecological optimization and improvement zones show a marked decrease. The prediction results show that by 2030, the ecological early warning and ecological protection zones will increase, while the other zones will decrease. This study adopts a temporal-dynamic approach by constructing a framework that integrates historical evolution with future simulation, providing scientific evidence for building Sanya’s ecological security pattern and spatial governance. It offers practical significance for coordinating regional ecological conservation with urban development. Full article
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26 pages, 26889 KB  
Article
Spatio-Temporal Changes in Mangroves in Sri Lanka: Landsat Analysis from 1987 to 2022
by Darshana Athukorala, Yuji Murayama, Siri Karunaratne, Rangani Wijenayake, Takehiro Morimoto, S. L. J. Fernando and N. S. K. Herath
Land 2025, 14(9), 1820; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14091820 - 6 Sep 2025
Viewed by 438
Abstract
Mangroves in Sri Lanka provide critical ecosystem services, yet they have undergone significant changes due to anthropogenic and natural drivers. This study presents the first national-scale assessment of mangrove dynamics in Sri Lanka using remote sensing techniques. A total of 4670 Landsat images [...] Read more.
Mangroves in Sri Lanka provide critical ecosystem services, yet they have undergone significant changes due to anthropogenic and natural drivers. This study presents the first national-scale assessment of mangrove dynamics in Sri Lanka using remote sensing techniques. A total of 4670 Landsat images from Landsat 5, 7, 8, and 9 were selected to detect mangrove distribution, changes in extent, and structure and stability patterns from 1987 to 2022. A Random Forest classification model was applied to elucidate the spatial changes in mangrove distribution in Sri Lanka. Using national-scale data enhanced mapping accuracy by incorporating region-specific spectral and ecological characteristics. The average overall accuracy of the maps was over 96.29%. The total extent of mangroves in 2022 was 16,615 ha, representing 0.25% of the total land of Sri Lanka. The results further indicate that, at the national scale, mangrove extent increased from 1989 to 2022, with a net gain of 1988 ha (13.6%), suggesting a sustained and continuous recovery of mangroves. Provincial-wise assessments reveal that the Eastern and Northern Provinces showed the largest mangrove extents in Sri Lanka. In contrast, the Colombo, Gampaha, and Kalutara districts in the Western Province showed persistent declines. The top mangrove spatial structure and stability districts were Jaffna, Trincomalee, and Gampaha, while the most degraded mangrove districts were Batticaloa, Colombo, and Kalutara. This study offers critical insights into sustainable mangrove management, policy implementation, and climate resilience strategies in Sri Lanka. Full article
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17 pages, 3525 KB  
Article
Lateral Responses of Coastal Intertidal Meta-Ecosystems to Sea-Level Rise: Lessons from the Yangtze Estuary
by Yu Gao, Bing-Jiang Zhou, Bin Zhao, Jiquan Chen, Neil Saintilan, Peter I. Macreadie, Anirban Akhand, Feng Zhao, Ting-Ting Zhang, Sheng-Long Yang, Si-Kai Wang, Jun-Lin Ren and Ping Zhuang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(17), 3109; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17173109 - 6 Sep 2025
Viewed by 467
Abstract
Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of coastal intertidal meta-ecosystems in response to sea-level rise (SLR) is essential for understanding the interactions between terrestrial and aquatic meta-ecosystems. However, given that annual SLR changes are typically measured in millimeters, ecosystems may take decades to exhibit noticeable [...] Read more.
Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of coastal intertidal meta-ecosystems in response to sea-level rise (SLR) is essential for understanding the interactions between terrestrial and aquatic meta-ecosystems. However, given that annual SLR changes are typically measured in millimeters, ecosystems may take decades to exhibit noticeable shifts. As a result, the extent of lateral responses at a single point is constrained by the fragmented temporal and spatial scales. We integrated the tidal inundation gradient of a coastal meta-ecosystem—comprising a high-elevation flat (H), low-elevation flat (L), and mudflat—to quantify the potential application of inferring the spatiotemporal impact of environmental features, using China’s Yangtze Estuary, which is one of the largest and most dynamic estuaries in the world. We employed both flood ratio data and tidal elevation modeling, underscoring the utility of spatial modeling of the role of SLR. Our results show that along the tidal inundation gradient, SLR alters hydrological dynamics, leading to environmental changes such as reduced aboveground biomass, increased plant diversity, decreased total soil, carbon, and nitrogen, and a lower leaf area index (LAI). Furthermore, composite indices combining the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) and the land surface water index (LSWI) were used to characterize the rapid responses of vegetation and soil between sites to predict future ecosystem shifts in environmental properties over time due to SLR. To effectively capture both vegetation characteristics and the soil surface water content, we propose the use of the ratio and difference between the EVI and LSWI as a composite indicator (ELR), which effectively reflects vegetation responses to SLR, with high-elevation sites driven by tides and high ELRs. The EVI-LSWI difference (ELD) was also found to be effective for detecting flood dynamics and vegetation along the tidal inundation gradient. Our findings offer a heuristic scenario of the response of coastal intertidal meta-ecosystems in the Yangtze Estuary to SLR and provide valuable insights for conservation strategies in the context of climate change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing of Coastal, Wetland, and Intertidal Zones)
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19 pages, 5017 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Future Projections of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Shihezi City, Xinjiang, China
by Yilin Chen, Wenhui Wang and Zhen’an Yang
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(9), 356; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090356 - 6 Sep 2025
Viewed by 231
Abstract
Land use and land cover change (LUCC) is central to regulating human–land relationships and crucial for urban planning and sustainable development in arid oasis cities. As a typical oasis city in Xinjiang, Shihezi City faces the triple challenges of agricultural protection, urban expansion, [...] Read more.
Land use and land cover change (LUCC) is central to regulating human–land relationships and crucial for urban planning and sustainable development in arid oasis cities. As a typical oasis city in Xinjiang, Shihezi City faces the triple challenges of agricultural protection, urban expansion, and ecological conservation. Taking Shihezi City as the research object, this study used the 30 m resolution China Land Cover Dataset and applied the land use dynamic degree, comprehensive index of land use degree, transfer matrix, Geodetector, and PLUS model to analyse the spatiotemporal dynamics of LUCC from 2002 to 2022, identify driving mechanisms, and predict the land use pattern from 2027 to 2032. The results showed that (1) from 2002 to 2022, farmland decreased by 86.1075 km2, man-made surfaces increased by 63.7389 km2 (annual expansion rate of 2.86%), grassland slightly increased by 24.5592 km2, and other land types remained stable; (2) the dynamics of land use showed a phased characteristic of “growth–equilibrium–acceleration”, and the land use degree index rose to 2.8639; natural factors (elevation, soil, temperature) dominated LUCC, and most interactions among factors showed enhancement effects; (3) the PLUS model predicted that by 2032, farmland would decrease to 224.347 km2 and man-made surfaces would increase to 111.941 km2. This study clarifies the laws of LUCC in Shihezi, demonstrates driving analysis and simulation prediction, and provides scientific support for balancing urban development, agricultural protection, and ecological security in arid oasis regions. Full article
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19 pages, 572 KB  
Article
Assessing the Socio-Economic and Natural Factors Shaping Türkiye’s Virtual Land Trade Balance
by Saliha Çelik and Harun Uçak
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 8034; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17178034 - 6 Sep 2025
Viewed by 479
Abstract
Agricultural trade not only facilitates the exchange of final products but also leads to the indirect transfer of arable land resources involved in their production processes across countries. These indirect flows are commonly referred to in the literature as virtual land flows or [...] Read more.
Agricultural trade not only facilitates the exchange of final products but also leads to the indirect transfer of arable land resources involved in their production processes across countries. These indirect flows are commonly referred to in the literature as virtual land flows or virtual land trade. An in-depth understanding of the factors influencing virtual land flows is crucial for both the management of these flows and the sustainable and efficient allocation of limited arable land resources on a global scale. The objective of this study is to identify the key determinants that influence virtual land flows in Türkiye’s trade of plant-based agricultural products. To achieve this, the virtual land trade balance for Türkiye was computed by estimating the import and export volumes of virtual land from 1986 to 2019, based on crop, year, and country-specific yield values. Subsequently, the relationship between Türkiye’s virtual land trade balance and macroeconomic and environmental variables—such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the real effective exchange rate, annual total precipitation, per capita arable land, and fertilizer usage—was investigated using the ARDL bounds testing approach. The findings of this study indicate that the most significant factors influencing Türkiye’s virtual land flows are per capita arable land endowment and fertilizer usage. This result highlights the strong relationship between virtual land flows and variables related to productivity and natural resource endowment, while also emphasizing the importance of integrating sustainability considerations and environmental impacts into contemporary agricultural policy frameworks. Elucidating the dynamics of virtual land trade is a pivotal step toward ensuring the long-term sustainability of international agricultural trade, as well as the equitable and efficient allocation of arable land resources. Furthermore, it represents a fundamental strategy for global agricultural production, offering critical insights for shaping future agricultural policy and practice at the global level. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Land Management and Sustainable Agricultural Production)
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