Search Results (97)

Mangroves play a crucial part in the worldwide blue carbon cycle because they store a lot of carbon in their biomass and soil. Accurate estimation of aboveground biomass (AGB) is essential for quantifying carbon stocks and understanding ecological responses to climate and human disturbances. However, regional-scale AGB mapping remains difficult due to fragmented mangrove distributions, limited field data, and cross-site heterogeneity. To address these challenges, we propose a Spatial Attention Coupled Bayesian Aggregator (SAC-BA), which integrates field measurements with multi-source remote sensing (Landsat 8, Sentinel-1), terrain data, and climate variables using advanced ensemble learning. Four machine learning models (Random Forest (RF), Cubist, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)) were first trained, and their outputs were fused using Bayesian model averaging with spatial attention weights and constraints based on Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISAs), which identify spatial clusters (e.g., high–high, low–low) to improve accuracy and spatial coherence. SAC-BA achieved the highest performance (coefficient of determination (${\mathrm{R}}^2$) = 0.82, root mean square error = 29.90 Mg/ha), outperforming all individual models and traditional BMA. The resulting 30-m AGB map of Indonesian mangroves in 2017 estimated a total of 217.17 × ${\mathrm{10}}^6$ Mg, with a mean of 103.20 Mg/ha. The predicted AGB map effectively captured spatial variability, reduced noise at ecological boundaries, and maintained high confidence predictions in core mangrove zones. These results highlight the advantages of incorporating spatial structure and uncertainty into ensemble modeling. SAC-BA provides a reliable and transferable framework for regional AGB estimation, supporting improved carbon assessment and mangrove conservation efforts. Full article

Reanalysis air temperature data, characterized by temporal continuity but limited spatial resolution, are commonly downscaled to achieve higher spatial resolution to meet the demands of regional climatological studies and related research fields. However, when large spatial scale differences are involved, the adaptability of statistical downscaling models across different scales warrants further investigation. In this study, a stepwise downscaling method is proposed, employing multiple linear regression (MLR), Cubist regression tree, random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) models to downscale the 3-hourly ERA5-Land reanalysis air temperature data at the resolution of 0.1° to that of 30 m. A comparative analysis was performed to evaluate the accuracy of downscaled ERA5-Land air temperature results obtained from the stepwise and the direct downscaling methods, based on observed air temperatures at meteorological stations and the spatial distribution of air temperature estimated by a remote sensing method. In addition, variations in the importance of driving factors across different spatial scales were examined. The results indicate that the stepwise downscaling method exhibits higher accuracy than the direct downscaling method, with a more pronounced performance improvement in winter. Compared with the direct downscaling method, the RMSE value of the MLR, Cubist, RF, and XGBoost models under the stepwise downscaling method were reduced by 0.48 K, 0.38 K, 0.48 K, and 0.50 K, respectively, at meteorological station locations. In terms of spatial distribution, the stepwise downscaling results demonstrate greater consistency with the estimated spatial distribution of air temperature, and it can capture air temperature variations across different land surface types more accurately. Furthermore, the stepwise downscaling method is capable of effectively capturing changes in the importance of driving factors across different spatial scales. These results generally suggest that the stepwise downscaling method can significantly improve the accuracy of air temperature downscaled from reanalysis data by adopting multiple resolutions as the intermediate downscaling process. Full article

Air pollution, particularly PM₁₀ particulate matter, poses significant health risks related to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases as well as cancer. Accurate identification of PM₁₀ reduction factors is therefore essential for developing effective sustainable development strategies. According to the current state of knowledge, machine learning methods are most frequently employed for this purpose due to their superior performance compared to classical statistical approaches. This study evaluated the performance of three machine learning algorithms—Decision Tree (CART), Random Forest, and Cubist Rule—in predicting PM₁₀ concentrations and estimating long-term trends following meteorological normalisation. The research focused on Tarnów, Poland (2010–2022), with comprehensive consideration of meteorological variability. The results demonstrated superior accuracy for the Random Forest and Cubist models (R² ~0.88–0.89, RMSE ~14 μg/m³) compared to CART (RMSE 19.96 μg/m³). Air temperature and boundary layer height emerged as the most significant predictive variables across all algorithms. The Cubist algorithm proved particularly effective in detecting the impact of policy interventions, making it valuable for air quality trend analysis. While the study confirmed a statistically significant annual decrease in PM₁₀ concentrations (0.83–1.03 μg/m³), pollution levels still exceeded both the updated EU air quality standards from 2024 (Directive (EU) 2024/2881), which will come into force in 2030, and the more stringent WHO guidelines from 2021. Full article

This study evaluates and estimates the agronomic effectiveness of food waste-derived fertilizers by analyzing plant yield and the internal efficiency of nitrogen utilization (IENU) via statistical and machine learning models. A dataset of 448 cases from various food waste treatments gathered from our experiments and the existing literature was analyzed. Plant yield and IENU exhibited substantial variability, averaging 2268 ± 3099 kg/ha and 32.3 ± 92.5 kg N/ha, respectively. Ryegrass dominated (73.77%), followed by unspecified grass (10.76%), oats (4.87%), and lettuce (2.02%). Correlation analysis revealed that decomposition duration positively influenced plant yield and IENU (r = 0.42 and 0.44), while temperature and volatile solids had negative correlations. Machine learning models outperformed linear regression in predicting plant yield and IENU, especially after preprocessing to remove missing values and outliers. Random Forest and Cubist models showed strong generalization with high R² (0.79–0.83) for plant yield, while Cubist predicted IENU well in testing, with RMSE = 3.83 and R² = 0.78. These findings highlight machine learning’s ability to analyze complex datasets, improve agricultural decision-making, and optimize food waste utilization. Full article

Accurate soil pH prediction is critical for soil management and ecological environmental protection. Machine learning (ML) models have been widely applied in the field of soil pH prediction. However, when using these models, the spatial heterogeneity of the relationship between soil and environmental variables is often not fully considered, which limits the predictive capability of the models, especially in large-scale regions with complex soil landscapes. To address these challenges, this study collected soil pH data from 4335 soil surface points (0–20 cm) obtained from the China Soil System Survey, combined with a multi-source environmental covariate. This study integrates Geographic Weighted Regression (GWR) with three ML models (Random Forest, Cubist, and XGBoost) and designs and develops three geographically weighted machine learning models optimized by Genetic Algorithms to improve the prediction of soil pH values. Compared to GWR and traditional ML models, the R² of the geographic weighted random forest (GWRF), geographic weighted Cubist (GWCubist), and geographic weighted extreme gradient boosting (GWXGBoost) models increased by 1.98% to 14.29%, while the RMSE decreased by 1.81% to 11.98%. Among the three models, the GWRF model performed the best and effectively reduced uncertainty in soil pH mapping. Mean Annual Precipitation and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index are two key environmental variables influencing the prediction of soil pH, and they have a significant negative impact on the spatial distribution of soil pH. These findings provide a scientific basis for effective soil health management and the implementation of large-scale soil modeling programs. Full article

Vegetation biochemical and biophysical variables, especially chlorophyll content, are pivotal indicators for assessing drought’s impact on plants. Chlorophyll, crucial for photosynthesis, ultimately influences crop productivity. This study evaluates the mean squared Euclidean distance (MSD) method, traditionally applied in soil analysis, for estimating chlorophyll content in five diverse leaf types across various months using visible/near-infrared (vis/NIR) spectral reflectance. The MSD method serves as a tool for selecting a representative calibration dataset. By integrating MSD with partial least squares regression (PLSR) and the Cubist model, we aim to accurately predict chlorophyll content, focusing on key spectral bands within the ranges of 500–640 nm and 740–1100 nm. In the validation dataset, PLSR achieved a high determination coefficient (R²) of 0.70 and a low mean bias error (MBE) of 0.04 mg g⁻¹. The Cubist model performed even better, demonstrating an R² of 0.77 and an exceptionally low MBE of 0.01 mg g⁻¹. These results indicate that the MSD method serves as a tool for selecting a representative calibration dataset in leaves, and vis/NIR spectrometry combined with the MSD method is a promising alternative to traditional methods for quantifying chlorophyll content in various leaf types over various months. The technique is non-destructive, rapid, and consistent, making it an invaluable tool for assessing drought impacts on plant health and productivity. Full article

Agriculture’s sustainable growth necessitates the application of advanced science and technology to ensure the sensible use of resources and improve the agricultural economy’s long-term stability. In this study, apple trees were employed as research objects throughout the spring (NSS) and autumn shoot stop-growing stage (ASS), and the data source was canopy hyperspectral data of fruit trees collected using ASD near-earth sensors, which was then combined with multiple sensitive wavelength screening algorithms and machine learning models to create an efficient and accurate apple yield estimation system. This is critical for guiding fruit farmers’ production, maintaining market supply and demand balances, fostering stable agricultural economy development, and providing a scientific basis and technical support for agricultural sustainability. Firstly, the fruit tree canopy hyperspectral data and apple tree yield data were collected, and the Savitsky–Golay convolution smoothing method (SG) was used to preprocess the canopy hyperspectral data. Secondly, six algorithms—Competitive Adaptive Re-weighting Sampling (CARS), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Successive Projections Algorithm (SPA), Uninformative Variable Elimination Algorithm (UVE), Variable Iteration Spatial Shrinking Algorithm (VISSA), and Variable Combination Population Algorithm (VCPA)—were employed to screen for the sensitive wavelengths related to apple tree yield, then preferring three methods for two-by-two combinations to determine the optimal algorithm combinations. Finally, using the best algorithm combinations, we built the apple yield linear model partial least squares regression (PLSR) and three machine learning models, Random Forest (RF), Cubist, and XGBoost, to screen for the best estimation model. The results demonstrated that ASS was the best fertility period for estimating yield; the validation set of the model constructed using each algorithm in ASS had a higher R² of 0.05–0.51 and a lower RMSE of 0.21–5.33 than those in NSS. The three algorithms preferred were CARS, GA, and VISSA. After combining the three algorithms in two combinations, the best combination of VISSA-CARS was found. The RF model established based on the best VISSA-CARS combination algorithm is the best model for apple yield estimation, with a validation set R² = 0.78 and RMSE = 6.03. The findings of this study may provide a new concept for accurately and quickly estimating apple yield, allowing fruit growers to improve production efficiency and promote agricultural sustainability. Full article

Metabolic pathway modeling, essential for understanding organism metabolism, is pivotal in predicting genetic mutation effects, drug design, and biofuel development. Enhancing these modeling techniques is crucial for achieving greater prediction accuracy and reliability. However, the limited experimental data or the complexity of the pathway makes it challenging for researchers to predict phenotypes. Deep learning (DL) is known to perform better than other Machine Learning (ML) approaches if the right conditions are met (i.e., a large database and good choice of parameters). Here, we use a knowledge-based model to massively generate synthetic data and extend a small initial dataset of experimental values. The main objective is to assess if DL can perform at least as well as other ML approaches in flux prediction, using 68,950 instances. Two processing methods are used to generate DL models: cross-validation and repeated holdout evaluation. DL models predict the metabolic fluxes with high precision and slightly outperform the best-known ML approach (the Cubist model) with a lower RMSE (≤0.01) in both cases. They also outperform the PLS model (RMSE ≥ 30). This study is the first to use DL to predict the overall flux of a metabolic pathway only from variations of enzyme concentrations. Full article

Accurate crop yield prediction is crucial for optimizing cultivation practices and informing breeding decisions. Integrating UAV-acquired multispectral datasets with advanced machine learning methodologies has markedly refined the accuracy of crop yield forecasting. This study aimed to construct a robust and versatile yield prediction model for multi-genotyped oat varieties by investigating 14 modeling scenarios that combine multispectral data from four key growth stages. An ensemble learning framework, StackReg, was constructed by stacking four base algorithms—ridge regression (RR), support vector machines (SVM), Cubist, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)—to predict oat yield. The results show that, for single growth stages, base models achieved R² values within the interval of 0.02 to 0.60 and RMSEs ranging from 391.50 to 620.49 kg/ha. By comparison, the StackReg improved performance, with R² values extending from 0.25 to 0.61 and RMSEs narrowing to 385.33 and 542.02 kg/ha. In dual-stage and multi-stage settings, the StackReg consistently surpassed the base models, reaching R² values of up to 0.65 and RMSE values as low as 371.77 kg/ha. These findings underscored the potential of combining UAV-derived multispectral imagery with ensemble learning for high-throughput phenotyping and yield forecasting, advancing precision agriculture in oat cultivation. Full article

The need to maintain soil health and produce more food worldwide has increased, and soil analysis is essential for its management. Although spectroscopy has emerged as an important tool, it is important to focus primarily on predictive modeling procedures rather than specific protocols. This article aims to contribute to a routine work sequence in a hybrid laboratory that seeks to provide the best data for its users. In this study, 18,730 soil samples from the state of Paraná, Brazil, were analyzed using three different laboratories, sensors and geometries for data acquisition. Thirty soil properties were analyzed, some using different chemical methodologies for comparison purposes. After a spectral reading, two literary protocols were applied, and the final prediction results were observed. We applied cubist models, which were the best for our population. The combination of different spectral analysis systems, with a standardized protocol using LB for the ISS detection of discrepant samples, was shown to significantly improve the accuracy of predictions for 21 of the 30 soil properties analyzed, highlighting the importance of choosing the extraction methodology and improving data quality, which have a significant impact on laboratory analyses, reaffirming spectroscopy as an essential tool for the efficient and sustainable management of soil resources. Full article

Soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration in cropland is not only instrumental in combating climate change, but it also significantly enhances soil fertility. It is imperative to precisely and accurately quantify the SOC sequestration potential and assess the relative significance of various multiple explanatory factors in a timely manner. We studied 555 soil samples from the cropland topsoil (0–15 cm) across the black soil region in Northeast China between the years 2021 and 2022, and we identified 16 significant impact factors using one-way ANOVA and Pearson correlation coefficient analysis. In addition, the Random Forest (RF) model outperformed the Cubist model in predicting the spatial distribution of SOC contents. The predicted ranges of SOC contents span from 5.24 to 43.93 g/kg, with the average SOC content using the RF model standing at 17.24 g/kg in Northeast China. Stepwise regression and structural equation modeling revealed climate and topography as key factors affecting SOC distribution. The SOC density in the study area varied from 0.51 to 9.11 kg/m², averaging 3.30 kg/m², with a total SOC stock of 1226.64 Tg. The SOC sequestration potential in the study area was estimated at 3057.65 Tg by the categorical maximum method, with a remaining sequestration capacity of 1831.01 Tg. The study area has great potential for SOC sequestration. We hope to transform the theoretical value of SOC sequestration potential into actual SOC sequestration capacity by promoting sustainable agriculture and additional strategies. Our findings provide insights into the global soil conditions, SOC storage capacities, and effective SOC management strategies. Full article

Estimating tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is crucial for disaster reduction and risk management. This study aims to estimate TC intensity using machine learning (ML) models. We utilized eight ML models to predict TC intensity, incorporating factors such as TC location, central pressure, distance to land, landfall in the next six hours, storm speed, storm direction, date, and number from the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship Version 4 (IBTrACS V4). The dataset was divided into four sub-datasets based on the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases (Neutral, El Niño, and La Niña). Our results highlight that central pressure has the greatest effect on TC intensity estimation, with a maximum root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.289 knots (equivalent to 0.663 m/s). Cubist and Random Forest (RF) models consistently outperformed others, with Cubist showing superior performance in both training and testing datasets. The highest bias was observed in SVM models. Temporal analysis revealed the highest mean error in January and November, and the lowest in February. Errors during the Warm phase of ENSO were notably higher, especially in the South China Sea. Central pressure was identified as the most influential factor for TC intensity estimation, with further exploration of environmental features recommended for model robustness. Full article

Bamboo forests, as some of the integral components of forest ecosystems, have emerged as focal points in forestry research due to their rapid growth and substantial carbon sequestration capacities. In this paper, satellite-borne lidar data from GEDI and ICESat-2/ATLAS are utilized as the main information sources, with Landsat 9 and DEM data as covariates, combined with 51 pieces of ground-measured data. Using random forest regression (RFR), boosted regression tree (BRT), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), Cubist, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and Stacking-ridge regression (RR) machine learning methods, an aboveground carbon (AGC) storage model was constructed at a regional scale. The model evaluation indices were the coefficient of determination (R²), root mean square error (RMSE), and overall estimation accuracy (P). The results showed that (1) The best-fit semivariogram models for c_dem, f_dem, f_ndvi, p_dem, and a_ndvi were Gaussian models, while those for h1_b7, h2_b7, h3_b7, and h4_b7 were spherical models; (2) According to Pearson correlation analysis, the AGC of Dendrocalamus giganteus showed an extremely significant correlation (p < 0.01) with c_dem and p_dem from GEDI, and also showed an extremely significant correlation with a_ndvi, h1_b7, h2_b7, h3_b7, and h4_b7 from ICESat-2/ATLAS; moreover, AGC showed a significant correlation (0.01 < p < 0.05) with f_dem and f_ndvi from GEDI; (3) The estimation accuracy of the GEDI model was superior to that of the ICESat-2/ATLAS model; additionally, the estimation accuracy of the Stacking-RR model, which integrates GEDI and ICESat-2/ATLAS (R² = 0.92, RMSE = 5.73 Mg/ha, p = 86.19%), was better than that of any single model (XGBoost, RFR, BRT, KNN, Cubist); (4) Based on the Stacking-RR model, the estimated AGC of Dendrocalamus giganteus within the study area was 1.02 × 10⁷ Mg. The average AGC was 43.61 Mg/ha, with a maximum value of 76.43 Mg/ha and a minimum value of 15.52 Mg/ha. This achievement can serve as a reference for estimating other bamboo species using GEDI and ICESat-2/ATLAS remote sensing technologies and provide decision support for the scientific operation and management of Dendrocalamus giganteus. Full article

Soil visible and near–infrared reflectance spectroscopy is an effective tool for the rapid estimation of soil organic carbon (SOC). The development of spectroscopic technology has increased the application of spectral libraries for SOC research. However, the direct application of spectral libraries for SOC prediction remains challenging due to the high variability in soil types and soil–forming factors. This study aims to address this challenge by improving SOC prediction accuracy through spectral classification. We utilized the European Land Use and Cover Area frame Survey (LUCAS) large–scale spectral library and employed a geographically weighted principal component analysis (GWPCA) combined with a fuzzy c–means (FCM) clustering algorithm to classify the spectra. Subsequently, we used partial least squares regression (PLSR) and the Cubist model for SOC prediction. Additionally, we classified the soil data by land cover types and compared the classification prediction results with those obtained from spectral classification. The results showed that (1) the GWPCA–FCM–Cubist model yielded the best predictions, with an average accuracy of R² = 0.83 and RPIQ = 2.95, representing improvements of 10.33% and 18.00% in R² and RPIQ, respectively, compared to unclassified full sample modeling. (2) The accuracy of spectral classification modeling based on GWPCA–FCM was significantly superior to that of land cover type classification modeling. Specifically, there was a 7.64% and 14.22% improvement in R² and RPIQ, respectively, under PLSR, and a 13.36% and 29.10% improvement in R² and RPIQ, respectively, under Cubist. (3) Overall, the prediction accuracy of Cubist models was better than that of PLSR models. These findings indicate that the application of GWPCA and FCM clustering in conjunction with the Cubist modeling technique can significantly enhance the prediction accuracy of SOC from large–scale spectral libraries. Full article

Rapid and accurate mapping of soil properties in farmlands is crucial for guiding agricultural production and maintaining food security. Traditional methods using spectral features from remote sensing prove valuable for estimating soil properties, but are restricted to short periods of bare soil occurrence within agricultural settings. Addressing the challenge of predicting soil properties under crop cover, this study proposed an improved soil modeling framework that integrates dynamic crop growth information with machine learning techniques. The methodology’s robustness was tested on six key soil properties in an agricultural region of China, including soil organic carbon (SOC), total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), dissolved organic carbon (DOC), dissolved organic nitrogen (DON), and pH. Four experimental scenarios were established to assess the impact of crop growth information, represented by the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and phenological parameters. Specifically, Scenario I utilized only natural factors (terrain and climate data); Scenario II added phenological parameters based on Scenario I; Scenario III incorporated time-series NDVI based on Scenario I; and Scenario IV combined all variables (traditional natural factors and crop growth information). These were evaluated using three advanced machine learning models: random forest (RF), Cubist, and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Results demonstrated that incorporating phenological parameters and time-series NDVI significantly improved model accuracy, enhancing predictions by up to 36% over models using only natural factors. Moreover, although both are crop growth factors, the contribution of the time-series NDVI variable to model accuracy surpassed that of the phenological variable for most soil properties. Relative importance analysis suggested that the crop growth information, derived from time-series NDVI and phenology data, collectively explained 14–45% of the spatial variation in soil properties. This study highlights the significant benefits of integrating remote sensing-based crop growth factors into soil property inversion under crop-covered conditions, providing valuable insights for digital soil mapping. Full article